Tesla Bot Expert Shows PROOF Bots Already Making Cars | Scott Walter
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 พ.ค. 2024
- Robot Expert reveals clues Tesla already has Bots working in its Factories
Says 500 Tesla Bots will be live by end of 2023!
See the list of use cases and how every part of the bot work
Scott Walter is an Aerospace Engineer with a Ph.D. in Mechanical Engineering and has co-founded two robotics companies
Follow Scott on Twitter: @GoingBallistic5
Follow Scott on TH-cam: / @goingballisticmotion5455
Time stamps:
00:00:00 Introduction
00:02:22 About Scott
00:04:13 What TeslaBot Can Do
00:04:50 Why 500 Bots?
00:07:22 History of TeslaBot
00:10:25 Wrist and Arms
00:17:50 TeslaBot Working at Factory
00:24:28 Hands
00:44:10 Elon Video
00:47:13 Old Bot Building New Bot
00:53:41 Actuators
01:02:50 Optimus Capabilities
01:11:18 Teach Bots
01:19:20 Economics and Financials
Let's get brighter!
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Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date.
#Tesla #TSLA #stock #ElonMusk #investing #teslabot #technology - วิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี
Listening at 1.5 this gentleman sounds like “doc” from back to the future. All joking aside, he is so good at explaining. So cool to be able to hear this experts talking simple, so we can understand.
Even got the hair
Eye opening, Tesla has put so many Easter Eggs out there that take someone with a sufficient level of knowledge to unpack. And you two just shone a spotlight so we can enjoy the view. Brilliant.
Sounds just like QAnon 😂
Scott should apply for working on bot ! He has as much enthusiasm like a kid eating ice cream for the first time. Man how the world would be if everyone was like Scott!
Herbert. Love your Chanel. Every person you bring on makes me feel like a flea. So it gives me drive to upgrade my life 😂
I have millions in stock yet these people have incredible backgrounds.
The only thing a computer can't do is live your life for you. Your job now is to live your life. - Elon Musk
You need a revenue for that. If you don't have stock shares to live off dividend you're going to starve.
@@halnineooo136 there are lots of ways to make profit…with bots.
@@richb2229
Yes. For those who own the bots. Those who have money to own the bots. Those who have ways to earn money like having a job or a lot of invested money already.
For those who just had a job and lost it, they cannot buy a robot and make it make money for them.
Open up your mind bro
@@donjerson
I'm all ears
profound statement, "there are other companies making bots, but none of them need them."
🤯 I remember a similar comment with regards to fsd, "other companies pay people to train their cars, Tesla has customers pay them to train their cars."
I disagree. The companies want to sell/lease bots just like tesla. That's a pretty big need. If they make a comparable or similar bot, they can sell it for cheaper. Can't afford tesla? Go with us instead. Just like everything else.
So beautiful to watch a man that has this amount of love to his work
Many people wondered why the original Tesla Giga factory, the one in Nevada, took so long to grow… in fact, it’s still not even close to the size it was supposed to be.
Elon learned the hard way that tax breaks don’t add up to much if the manpower you need refuses to drive that far to go to work.
Notice he did not make that mistake a second time… Shanghai 24.8 million, Berlin 3.6 million, Austin 1.2 million, Monterrey 5.2 million.
Now, imagine he gets a great factory location, cheap on taxes, lotsa power, lotsa water, nothing environmentally to worry about, lotsa space to build and expand, near rail, waterways and airports… but low population… NO PROBLEM!
Bring in Optimus!!!!
That's a losta words
Great location would be Florida if it weren’t for hurricanes👎
@@louieschwartz better start paying attention or you’ll get stuck in the past🤙
@@spray_cheese not just pay attention to it but use these new tools and technologies to make CASH
The Nevada factory could be much better used if they repurpose it for large items and automated tasks like battery recycling and battery material refining... or they could just staff it with Optimus.
I'm glad this went into more detail. I found it somewhat annoying that people seemed to expect optimus to magically have human-level hand dexterity with one degree of freedom per finger. I'm a big Optimus fan, but let's keep it real. To get human dexterity, you need to maybe double the actuator count.
It doesn't need to have human hand level dexterity in order to completely transform society.
@@peopleofearth6250 I agree with that. Actually AI doesn't need a robot body at all to completely transform society. I'm just skeptical of notions such as the initial version of Optimus being equivalent to three humans just because it can operate 24/7 without breaks.
@@Seehart Not being as dexterous or fast is a much more minor reduction in production than not working at all, which is what humans expect to do for 128/168 hours of the week. Most tasks also do not require the full dexterity a person is capable of.
Why arent they building it with more actuators then? why bother with something that wont have enough dexterity?
Scott Walter is terrific. Came to watch this video, just because I was already familiar and impressed with his knowledge from John's channel. Great interview. You were both very well prepared. Thanks! 👏
omg 3% floor space usage is mind blowing. if it can be taken up to 30% it would be 10x output increase from this factor alone. it is roughly another 9 factories created out of blue, sort of.
A bit after the 1 hour mark, Herbert asked how the Kuka robot communicates with Tesla Bot. During Investor Day it was mentioned that they had installed a 5G network on the factory floor. This is one of the advantages of 5G, it can work over many bands and bandwidths and it also has many modes to support low latency factory floor operations. I suspect all equipment including Tesla Bot will operate over the 5G factory network.
Rare to find a comment with actually good and useful information, Thanks for sharing that
why would you need 5G when you can just use wifi?
@@Withnail1969 A wider array of bands and bandwidths and much more control over QoS and beam forming to better control the signal. It also allows equipment to be mobile and use the same modem and backed controls.
@@FoamyDave you can just use wifi 6, massive bandwidth.
Thanks!
Fascinating content laying a new frontier. Outstanding!
"My hobby is my day job". It's great when things work out that way!
Scott is a genius! So insightful.
This was the best description of Optimus, the use cases for Optimus, and the potential financial impact of Optimus. I have seen to date. You guys are awesome! Thank you.
When they drop the body onto the skateboard they have people that line-up the front struts into the bolt holes this takes 2-4 people and only takes a 30 seconds but with a basic vision system and a robot this one task alone can save both time and people
I am impressed. They actually passed the chance for the number of servos to be 42.
Definitely eyes opener. Thank you both. I learned something today 👍
Fantastic interview. Thanks Scott and Herbert.
Top notch. Scott's insight and the things he's pieced together are very high-value information.
Gen3 - the slideshow showed 4 employees working around a section of a car… but if you look closely, the picture had 4 TeslaBots. Now, I don’t know if that would be ready for Giga Mexico, but if it would - they’d probably need more than a thousand for the factory… Elon might have setup a race between TeslaBot and Tom Zhu - who can build it faster - Tom building the factory or TeslaBot team making TeslaBot ready for gen3 by then 🤯🤯🤯
I seem to recall that Elon specifically mentioned at AI Day, that he expected TeslaBots to do routine/repetitive work in 2023 ... thus, they're on-track!!!
Lol what, AI Day?
Lot of people depend on those boring repetitive jobs 🤔💲💲💲
@@playpaltalk Who cares? We supposed to halt progress just so some wagies can waste their life away?
@@playpaltalk “my family have been digging ditches with our bare hands for generations but now shovels are invented and we’ve out of work”
Ban all new useful tools in case they threaten the livelihood of people unable to adapt!!!
Another key point is replaceability. If a normal manufacturing robot goes down it takes a lot more time, effort and money to replace. They are usually designed for a very narrow specific task. If a Tesla Bot breaks and you have hundreds or thousands of Tesla Bots in the factory, then you can just load the new program and replace the broken one with his buddy robot. Now there’s almost no down time, which in the manufacturing process, is everything!
Mind blown away. So many Easter eggs right there for all of us to see. Tesla bot isn't coming its here. The baby steps are happening right now and things will just get faster and more complex as they add work to the system.
I has 8 eyes the same as FSD. It uses the FSD to navigate as it would rotate on the spot to ensure there is nothing behind to bump into, providing minimize collisions. They also label the same as FSD for collision detection and motion pathway.
Absolutely agree with Scott. Optimus in a factory is easy compared to FSD and they’re really easy to make compared to cars. By Q4 automated assembly probably ramped up, so lots of working Optimus’s. The ‘street’ can’t see what’s coming because its never happened before. At $10k cost and $100k sell x 1 million PA = $90 Billion profit PA. At a PE of 20, that adds $1.8 Trillion to market cap in maybe five years. But there’ll be nearly infinite demand. So ramping production to 10M PA means order of $18 Trillion market cap, or $6,000 share price not including cars and energy … FFS!
tesla wont sell tell get every thing it needs , then sell it . after it sell it addon and sell updates.
So bots is a huge business opportunity?
Thanks for the tip about Barry Sanders. I am clueless about American football, so I watched some highlights on TH-cam. To quote one of the commentators: "I tell you what, that guy has moves on his moves!" If robots move like that, the Terminator movies would be very short. Awesome skills!
Very, very interesting, even for a layman and certainly for an investor. All strength to Optimus!
Scott Walker has extreme insight on robotics. . Maybe one day a bot can be my healthcare assistant. If we can teach Bot to do Martial Arts, I do need a partner to practice with. I just finished my 40 mins Chi standing exercise with arms straight out breathing deep and slowly moving Chi thru my body. The video helped me to do two things. Learn more about the Bot and getting entertained --=>Fantastic
I love scott he can get me passionate about anything
Great video. Thank you for nerding out and letting us watch. Would love more videos with this level indept explanation of tesla, space x, neurolink, and boring company machinery
This is a joy to watch. I’m learning so much.
I do feel brighter more than ever after watching this video. Incredible job.
loved the content , very well laid and thought out ....blew my mind more times than I count. Definitely harder to be bearish on Optimus, close to impossible. Particularly enjoyed watching Herbert forcing himself back to "realistic expectations" every five minutes
I still don't understand why they didn't go with spider bots, but I guess it would be easier for a humanoid robot to get around in a humanoid world (factories) at first. I guess later heavy lift and swarm bots will follow the spider bot format.
This is like watching a scientist explain to a politician why you can't just nuke an asteroid.
actually Earth is flat
You guys sit back and smiling. Keep that good sense of humor when you see all your stuff ie robots, vehicles etc all bobbing up and down in the floodwaters!
I’m in the same boat as you, I just smile as this guy tells you all these things he sees in an image..!
Great research you have done Scott etal…. The distance between the competition will be light years away….
I can not believe all the paid commercials (interruptions)...
I really appreciate all the thought provoking content, this why I watch TH-cam
Thanks
I am an ASE Cert. Master Mechanic 25yrs. I am a factory trained Machinist, several years, specializing on making machines that make other machines. All in the Bay Area of California. Cool vid guys, I understand how it works but at 72, too old to work anymore.
Awesome Herbert! And great job to my friend, Scott!
A giant thank you Ellie! You were the one that recommended I speak to, meet and interview Scott. I am so indebted to your introduction and recommendation. Hopefully one day I can return your kindness.
Amazing information for me to better understand what Tesla is trying to accomplish and where they stand in the overall picture, Thank you!
2:16 Thanks so much, finally, for a adequate introduction to Dr. Walter! 51:25 Looking up: Analyze running back Barry Sanders’ injury-free running mechanics
Dang! I forgot to add that b roll. Would’ve been epic. Duh! Thanks Grace appreciate you
@@BrighterwithHerbert Interview Gary Schneider. He knows his gait inside and out.
24/7 work, no health benefits, no vacation. The ideal employee?
Give it time. Some woke organization will start a campaign for bot rights.
@@darylfoster7944 The original play from which the word robot arguably derives was about exactly that.
(R.U.R. by Karel Čapek, 1920).
Health benefits: another bot will service and repait it!
No lunchroom or toilet block. Build over redundant car parking. No training or induction..
They should put Scott on the Tesla Bot team, it's clear his understanding of the mechanisms is very deep.
Excellent program, thank you guys so much ! 👍🏻💯😘
We don't know yet, how precisely laid out these parcels have to be in order for Optimus to not fail.
If FSD can recognise a walking person at 50 metres (or even a dog), The same system applied to Optimus can recognise a static geometric shape at various angles then adjust for the angle and the size as it approaches.
@@rogerstarkey5390 no one is questioning what it may be able to do someday. I'm asking how much of this video is based on real training data?
I'm surprised I still haven't seen anyone mention that the bot made 3 attempts at screwing the bolt on the leg @44:43 of this video. The AI is actually using vision to learn how to aim the screwdriver and it was not preprogrammed with precise coordinates.
I really appreciate this video and better understand the potential for reducing cost thru automated robots. It supports what Elon Musk says and shows how humanity will be able to do more for less for all the mankind.
The robot is being remotely controlled by a human.
Very informative. Misleading by saying Boston Dynamics’s humanoid took 20+ clips to do parkour. It took that many times for the robot to complete the course in 1 take.
Thank you
I'm glad I watched, even if I first thought one hour and a half would be mostly speculative fluff. It wasn't! This episode is chock full of eyeopeners! Thank you.
appreciate you!
How can i like this more than once?!?
Thank you!
The robot becomes an efficiency multiplier not an additive expense.
Also the robot is very consistent, with a workforce you have people that partied on Sunday and are tired on Monday, or some that just do a bad job, or others become sick. So many advantages. Also Optimus is completely interchangeable, any Optimus can replace any Optimus on the work stations it is able to work on.
I have no doubt they are testing and iterating Optimus in a variety of scenarios. This is exactly what we'd expect from Tesla. But it's a very long stretch to say Optimus is already being used to help build actual production vehicles.
I guess that depends on your definition on "helping". If Optimus picks up some part and moves it a few inches closer to where it is supposed to be, it has helped. Kind of like how a child will help his father repair the roof by reaching him a hammer, or help his mother cook dinner by stirring in a pot for half a minute.
@@Will-be-free Exactly and a few years later the robot is cooking all by itself.
30:54 Wow, that is mindblowing!
Awesome to hear Scott mention Barry Sanders as the example for walking and running just as Naudi Aguilar has when developing the company Functional Patterns.
What Tesla should do is volunteer a group of Optimus robots to keep the local area clean. Deploy them each with a cart to push around and pick up trash. Escorted at first of course. Imagine the impact of people seeing Optimus out walking around town cleaning up after lazy humans, and the city would be visibly, tangibly cleaner. And no piece of litter would be inaccessible to Optimus, they would see it and be able to pick it up. There is not media of any kind that would not be showing that video or discussing it.
Terrific discussion/explanation! We are impressed by these early efforts but like toddlers these machines are going to master fine motor skills rapidly. It’s gonna get wild and much faster than most of us think.
The low hanging fruit expands considerably when it includes basic manual functions for other non-automotive products within Tesla. Then, the real savings multiplys exponentially once Optimus starts reaching for the prime fruit further up the tree!
Very exciting flavor for this video. Thank you Scott & Herb for such a great discussion loaded with fascinating detail.
Man, Scott is brilliant at explaining things
This is so exciting! Scott is really impressive.
Scott: I believe that Tesla may have iterated through 500 robots by the end of the year but they will have recycled 400 of them, this process will continue until the robots are advanced enough to be used in multiple area of the factory.
You are correct in they are testing on the shop floor as that is the only way to see the effects of interference from other processes especially welding which the robots will need to be armored against.
Plus Milan said as much on AI Day 2. They are testing in production cells. And they won't scrap the parts. So where are the parts now?
Herbert and Scott, you are absolutely amazing! Love the passionate and open discussion, sharing of insights, thanks for allowing me to feel like kid again :)
i've seen this video for more than 1 hour about how the bot will do small complex operations on Tesla factories to build cars, in the near future... but the vehicles will be much easy to build on the next generations, probably won't need the bot to do most of these tasks. Bot won't be that useful to tesla, but probably will be amazing for other companies.
Excellent video, very informative, thank you.
Scott is very knowledgeable a lot of good information . I remember lots of people on the internet saying that the Tesla video was a animation or was fake and that it was not really robots doing it. Nice to know that’s not true. Amazing progress. Another year and it will be wow!
Thank you Scott and Herbert learnt so much.
Thanks, although I have watched the day to day operations of SpaceX I haven't really paid any attention to the Tesla bot thinking that since it has taken Boston Dynamics the last 20 to 30 years to accomplish what they have as one of the front runners in cool robot tech, I didn't think that in a couple of years would make much of a difference in capabilities. I'm not sure why I decided to watch this video to start with, but I'm completely convinced that what Scott said is that these robots will completely evolutionize manufacturing. I just turned 63 and all I want is to see is Elon/SpaceX land on Mars. Even better if a hundred robots land on Mars to set up camp. Even if they crash they can search the crash site and salvage themselves for spare parts. Now I'm thinking these robots could easily clear and prep land for Tesla Bot mega factory since like Scott said the bots won't need bathrooms, breakrooms, parking lots, cafeterias, HR reps, they could probably make cold calls and drive to potential clients take meetings and sell themselves and if the client doesn't pay they can break legs also.
Scott's excitement and enthusiasm is infectious and terrific! I love this man! Optimus will be incredible - Tesla is king of the hill.
This is great original material Herbert.
cool video, nice intro, subscribed and liked in first minute. here we go!
As you apply a nut onto a bolt you counter rotate the nut to sense the proper seating of the nut onto the threads before rotating and tightening the bolt assembly to prevent cross threading.
Not if the bolts are specifically designed to avoid cross threading.
(Which was pointed out by Sandy in one of his Munro Live videos).
This is true of spark plugs as I discovered as a 16 y/o working my first summer job for a boat maintenance business back when Johnson Outboards from OMC were king. Steel spark plugs and aluminum motors required just such a technique! Never have made that mistake again.
@@NickMackenzieMD Aluminum is terrible in that regard!
Great lecture, Scott. 👍🏼👍🏼👍🏼
I think the robot knows where the fingers are because of computer vison. Hand gesture tracking with computer vision is already possible today. And the robot has plenty processing power to do that.
TY Herbert!
I've seen all the ai days, investor days, etc ... I know nothing about robotics, but to see the expertise and excitement from an expert, it makes me sooooo excited to see Optimus develop into a reality! Tesla is a ridiculously innovative company!
Wow! Best thing I've watched for years. Thank you.
Cool, cool video! Fascinating!! Thank you both :)
One thing I remember from childhood, that my cousin lost his Little toe in a tricycle accident, and had to learn balance all over again to walk again without his little toe.
Very interesting interview, thank you.
The guy running this show is amazing. Def subscribed! He did his job flawlessly. Crazy patients and just let the guy go. Sometimes that's the best way to host! Amazing job.
Awesome discussion and content, thank you!
I think I saw Herbert's mind blown several times in the video. Nice one Herbert and Scott, that was a great video. As the Two Minute Papers channel is fond of saying, "Research is a process, do not look where we are, but where we will be two more papers down the line". Between A.I day 1 and A.I. Day 2 Tesla added more than "2 papers". Between A.I. Day 2 and Investor Day, even more progress. What will the end of the year bring?
I think Tesla has planned to integrate Optimus already in the Mexico plant, if Optimus is not skilled enough till the end of the year, a human will do the task; that is the advantage of a humanoid robot 😎they are interchangeable with humans.
❤thank you you called it GAME OVER😊
Very good video. The backflip is just an example of a highly dextrous ability. Some other similarly dextrous abilities will likely be valuable for a robot to be able to do.
Very insightful! Thanks!
What would trip my trigger is if Walter designed a small modular molten salt thorium reactor. It would fit his qualifications very well.
Thanks, it is always a pleasure to listen to intelligent people, who understand how amazing it is, what Tesla is doing and how much it makes sense, when looking at the overall picture. One reason behind Optimus not having a super human motion range could be, that Optimus then can always be replaced by a human worker, if necessary. Having the head in a fix position helps a lot with the coordination between vision and calculation of orientation in space.
From where will they get the huge amounts of training data? Strapping cameras onto Tesla workers?
Wow good idea
It's easy compared to FSD.
FAR fewer parameters in a limited area.
Virtual training in dojo
virtual training in dojo is VERY effective in this instance, just think... all the parameters for a single job are known and dont have to change, its not like a car driving on a road... will be effective much faster than anyone thinks
Workers have nearly always had to train their replacements.🤔
Scott totally rocking it!
So wise , Thank You. So much to think about
Herbert, You have an incredible archivist. How did you find that old footage? I hadn't seen those videos for years, I thought they were lost with the Library of Alexandria.
You’re more famous than you realize! Good looking and super smart dude
I wonder if, similar to Tesla's network of FSD testers, the 'bots might share and accumulate experience, coordinated by Dojo. Can and will they, like Alpha Zero, learn from efforts at problem solving,
with the processing speed and capabilities of computers?
Love the belt buckle 33:30
great show..thank you
Thank you too!
Bring Scott more often 👍👍
It's beautiful to see how fast we're working on trying to make ourselves irrelevant and obsolete...
30 seconds in, and I already hit the like button! 👍
Thank you Brian! Much appreciated 😊
@@BrighterwithHerbert And thank you!
The entire thing was excellent.
Let's talk about how Nueral link can merge with Teslabot. I'm sure 40 actuators can be linked/learned in short order. Even as a prosthetic. Seems reasonable that the connection is inevitable. Think about the possibility for 5min, and the implications are huge. A human with a neural link to the bot will be able to take over the bot when needed, and also train the bot. Like having 2 steering wheels in a driver's Ed car. Haven't heard anyone discussing this. I feel master plan 3 is too much for them to reveal.
Production of at least 500 by end of this year is feasible, especially if you consider that these machines can manufacture themselves. Taking that approach, growth is exponential, one bot turns into two, two into four, four into eight etc. depending upon time to manufacture, 500 is definitely a minimum number.