video explaining the WR alongside questions people may have th-cam.com/video/bdFtowm24kE/w-d-xo.html appreciate those who are pullin up to watch this, y'all are real 🤞🏼
@@DardanielProductions remember you should have a PhD in every subject before saying anything on the internet otherwise you leave yourself open to these embarrassing situations 💀
@@samueleikens4712 to be fair this aint master difficulty like poofesure does where they program it for the enemy miis to have perfect rolls and perfect games for example the skateboard one but this video is still insane
7:09 - 7:51 Luckiest roll ever in Wii Party sequence even though it isn't triple 6 for squares moved. Congrats, you might have won a 1 in 100.000 lottery with that luck, Josh! Honorable mention to 9:08 to 9:50 for the last hurrah
☝️🤓 Well actually Double 6 = 1/36 5 or 6 = 1/3 3+ = 2/3 5+ = 1/3 Multiplying everything together = 1/486 For the last move he had to move 8 spaces with gold die and hit a 6 Move 8+ = about 0.45 Hit the 6 = 1/6 Adding those up about 1/14 The mid-high dice rolls in the first 2 rounds = 1/12 Hitting the 4+ = 1/2 Hitting the blue statue = 1/8 So the start adds up to 1/192 Overall: 1 / 1.306.368 That is not taking into consideration the RNG for the quick and easy games which I'd take a wild guess for a 1/10, adding up to a 1 in 10M. The odds of hitting a straight flush is 1 in 72000. Imagine hitting a straight flush 140 times in a row. According to Wikipedia, Wii Party has sold 9.35M copies. Assuming every copy has been played by everyone exactly 10 times, only 9 people managed to have such luck. Now let's say 1 in 9 people is a speedrunner. You are that person. Congrats. Conclusion... Get your facts straight, man. 1 in 100.000? Too low for the whole game, too high for that specific turn. smh
From timestamp: 1/36 for double 6 1/6 for the additional 5 2/3 past the skull trap (3+ required, basically don't get 1 or 2) 1/3 past the ball trap on the first try (5+ required) Last turn: 1/36 for double 2 1/2 to reach the end (he was 4 spaces out)* 1/6 to win with just one 6 *Note: he had better chances to get 8 with a regular 2d6 roll (15/36), so he was either lucky or styling 1 in almost 420k. A run for the ages.
@@4P_sALT Some of this is bad logic though. 1/6 for the additional 5, but he also didn't get a 6, and it would also be 1/6 for an additional 1. This is only the odds of repeating what he did, not the odds of him winning that quickly.
The 17 roll I've calculated the chance he could get that lucky 1/36 chance of 2 6's 1/2 change of 3 or more 2/6 chance of 5 or more So the odds of rolling double 6, getting the perfect 5, passing the volcano part and beating that spike ball section is 1/1296 Or 0.08% chance of happening
@@jamesgraham6492 he got the best possible roll so the probability is 6^-3 which is equal to 1/216 and then he got a 2/3 chance roll followed by a 1/3 chance roll which is equal to 2/9 chance and the roll * the chance of succeeding at both challenges is equal to 1/972. including the rest of the luck in this game (2nd challenge, blue temple, high rolls, final challenge, no unlucky spots) makes it a *very* lucky run.
I love that you say at the start of the run that you're aiming for a sub-19 but end up getting a sub-10, which is a HUGE jump! I know this video is a few years old now, but the work paid off! Huge congrats on WR!
Huge congrats man, this is an absolutely insane run. The 2nd person ever to get sub 15, the first ever sub 10, and a 2 year old world record being broken. I gotta go follow your twitch holy crap
It's amazing to see both your run and Morphic's go the exact same way after the stone statue. Still waiting for a run that somehow gets this end game luck + stone statue in 2 turns.
A rough estimate (not really accounting for conditional probabilities as much, math might be incorrect) of probabilities (assuming winning every mini-game and calculating all results or better): First roll: rolling a 7 or above, or rolling a 1 (gives +6) guarantees the rope swing: 21/36=7/12 Rope Swing: rolling a 3 (gives +6) or 5 (gives +4) results in the farthest: 2/6=1/3 Second roll: rolling a 3 (gives +4), 7, or 9 and higher: 18/36=1/2 Third roll: rolling an 8 (absolute best since it gives the blue statue boost): 5/36 Dragon roll: rolling a 4 or higher: 1/2 Avoiding the move backwards: 2/3 Fourth roll: double 6's: 1/36 "Fifth roll": rolling 5: 1/6 (rolling 6 is excluded b.c. triple 6 wouldn't give the +4 boost) Volcano or not: rolling a 3 or higher: 4/6=2/3 Spike Ball: rolling 5 or higher: 2/6=1/3 Sixth roll: rolling 8 or higher: 15/36+1/36*5/6+1/36*1/2+1/36*1/6=99/216=11/24 (accounting for doubles) Seventh roll: rolling 6: 1/6 Total probability: 385/1,088,391,168 or roughly 1 in every 2,826,990 games. Wow.
Yeah it is pretty crazy, I think it is still legit, feels like anyone could have easily compared his camera with the gameplay to see any anomaly, like in the reaction game, then again idk if there is people that care that know enough about the game to compare it. Still the sus behavior is when he got double 2, he was calling out a 6, and instead of worrying about not making it to 8, so 4 or more after double 2, he is instead worrying about slight time lose with a jump, when a 1 or a 3 would be much worse for the run, so he might have called out 2 after initially saying 6 to hide that, which is pretty sus. Another thing that could be looked at is if he also called the numbers on every roll as the breakpoint in other streams, for example at 7:22 he is calling a three, not a three or more, and it is the first time that he does it, to me if he is cheating that would indicate that he started calling out numbers from that point onwards cause he got self conscious about calling out the exact number. It could still be legit tho, not accusing anybody btw third roll a 8 is 4/36 cause double 4 would make him do another roll, it actually would be 4/36+ 1/36(3*1/6) so 9/72 And first three rolls you can actually just use a calculator to say likeliness to get 25 on 6 dices rolls, since the orders of these rolls arent important (for the most part), the only important thing is the golem space you end up. Likeliness of first 3 rolls = 25 is 6.12%, the rest is correct so 257/500.000.000 roughly, which is 1 in 1.872.659, so it is a bit more likely that it seems, but still not that likely.
This has to be the world record with the lowest amount of live watchers I’ve seen 😂 Dude had three people who witnessed history with him. Glad TH-cam recommended this to me. Well done my guy.
@@scammerexposer7140 I'm wishing him good luck okay I know he won't be the next Pewdiepie or anything huge I'm just saying he's underrated and he should have more subscribers. No need to play Mr. Smartass.
such a shame this run was done on an emulator; would have not been hidden without filters on the speedrun website if it were on the actual wii :( this is insane luck
*YOU ARE A FRIGGING CHAMPION!!!!* You are the champion, my friend And you’ll keep on fighting till the end You are the champion You are the champion No time for losers 'Cause you are the champion of the World
video explaining the WR alongside questions people may have th-cam.com/video/bdFtowm24kE/w-d-xo.html
appreciate those who are pullin up to watch this, y'all are real 🤞🏼
This is not the wr for all time but for tax it’s 6 min but technically this is the wr for humans
When Wii play tells you “About 45 Min”
They probably mean the entire game in about 45 minutes
@@littleaquabi no they dont
@@damianovich1512 Did you understand the word "joke"?
Wii Party*
@@littleaquabi no they dont
"The sub-19 is gonna happen"
*Actually gets sub-10 like a boss*
Alt title: Eminem gets Dream luck on a 14 year old game
Edit: still not a 14 year old game
14 years old, bruh the Wii is barely 15 years old. This game came out in 2010
@@noahhenderson3164 didn't do my research
@@DardanielProductions change it then
@@DardanielProductions remember you should have a PhD in every subject before saying anything on the internet otherwise you leave yourself open to these embarrassing situations 💀
@@noahhenderson3164 lmao true I guess
Poofesure wishes he could have this kind of luck 🤣
He just Speedrun this ,😂
@@sixtycargothefightinggameg569 that was likd 5 weeks ago
@@littlechop8043 talking about poofesure
Lol yes
@@samueleikens4712 to be fair this aint master difficulty like poofesure does where they program it for the enemy miis to have perfect rolls and perfect games for example the skateboard one but this video is still insane
came here from poofesure’s newest video
Ha me too
Is this run on the LB? Poof said it was the 10:12 but this is sub 10
Lol me 2
Me too
Same lmfao
still unbeaten after almost 3 years, goated video
Bro didn't even play hardest difficulty
@@jdj8168u can't be fr
@@jdj8168and? you can do any difficulty in the speedrun i think
@@jdj8168do it yourself then.
7:09 - 7:51 Luckiest roll ever in Wii Party sequence even though it isn't triple 6 for squares moved. Congrats, you might have won a 1 in 100.000 lottery with that luck, Josh!
Honorable mention to 9:08 to 9:50 for the last hurrah
☝️🤓 Well actually
Double 6 = 1/36
5 or 6 = 1/3
3+ = 2/3
5+ = 1/3
Multiplying everything together = 1/486
For the last move he had to move 8 spaces with gold die and hit a 6
Move 8+ = about 0.45
Hit the 6 = 1/6
Adding those up about 1/14
The mid-high dice rolls in the first 2 rounds = 1/12
Hitting the 4+ = 1/2
Hitting the blue statue = 1/8
So the start adds up to 1/192
Overall: 1 / 1.306.368
That is not taking into consideration the RNG for the quick and easy games which I'd take a wild guess for a 1/10, adding up to a 1 in 10M.
The odds of hitting a straight flush is 1 in 72000. Imagine hitting a straight flush 140 times in a row.
According to Wikipedia, Wii Party has sold 9.35M copies. Assuming every copy has been played by everyone exactly 10 times, only 9 people managed to have such luck.
Now let's say 1 in 9 people is a speedrunner. You are that person. Congrats.
Conclusion... Get your facts straight, man. 1 in 100.000?
Too low for the whole game, too high for that specific turn. smh
@@tudorstancu8238Double six isnt 1/36, the 2nd dice only has 4/5/6 on it
@@butter838 Incorrect. The golden die rolls 1-6. As explained by the game host at 1:00.
@@tudorstancu8238 my whole life has been a lie
英語全く分からんけど、驚いてるし嬉しそうなのは伝わってくる
The amount of luck from 7:08 to the end is crazy
From timestamp:
1/36 for double 6
1/6 for the additional 5
2/3 past the skull trap (3+ required, basically don't get 1 or 2)
1/3 past the ball trap on the first try (5+ required)
Last turn:
1/36 for double 2
1/2 to reach the end (he was 4 spaces out)*
1/6 to win with just one 6
*Note: he had better chances to get 8 with a regular 2d6 roll (15/36), so he was either lucky or styling
1 in almost 420k. A run for the ages.
@@4P_sALT Some of this is bad logic though. 1/6 for the additional 5, but he also didn't get a 6, and it would also be 1/6 for an additional 1. This is only the odds of repeating what he did, not the odds of him winning that quickly.
it was an injustice that i waited to watch this. absolutely insane run. very very nice job
appreciate you ☝🏼
@@JoshPlays1 yeah i have that game so what about Wii Party U speedrun
He is not lucky he just has a good gaming chair.
Props to u my man. Basically Poofesure minus the rage!!! 👏
I just watched him Speedrun this
And minus a whollleee lot of fat
And minus a whole lot of NYAAAAAWWW!
@@serberus5233 and no toad wii remotes with wiimotion plus inside broken either
Minus the bad luck
“I got a surprise for the stream today”
Yes, yes you do
Notable Moments:
2:27 4 3s. (1/81 Chance)
3:09 Red goes back to start.
7:08 17 Roll
The chances of getting no CPU challenges, beating dice challenges first try and other variables have such a low chance playing in the same match
The 17 roll I've calculated the chance he could get that lucky
1/36 chance of 2 6's
1/2 change of 3 or more
2/6 chance of 5 or more
So the odds of rolling double 6, getting the perfect 5, passing the volcano part and beating that spike ball section is 1/1296
Or 0.08% chance of happening
@@jamesgraham6492 he got the best possible roll so the probability is 6^-3 which is equal to 1/216 and then he got a 2/3 chance roll followed by a 1/3 chance roll which is equal to 2/9 chance and the roll * the chance of succeeding at both challenges is equal to 1/972.
including the rest of the luck in this game (2nd challenge, blue temple, high rolls, final challenge, no unlucky spots) makes it a *very* lucky run.
@@h-man4828 a friend of mine, while playing at his house with us, won in f-in 6 rounds. It lasted about 10 mins and it was crazy
@@natlus_ shouldn't we take to account he needed a 5 to get that +4 so the odds would be even higher 🤔 i think anyone
Thanks Poofesure, now we have someone new to check out
Your reaction at 9:28 to the world record is priceless!
I love that you say at the start of the run that you're aiming for a sub-19 but end up getting a sub-10, which is a HUGE jump!
I know this video is a few years old now, but the work paid off! Huge congrats on WR!
I know that most of this run is just rng, but you deserve this WR bro 👑🐐
Thanks poofesure for making this vid show up in my recommended 😂
The RNG that day was incredible gg man
Bro this deserves way more views
70k is a lot
@@ryanamburgy2791 not enough for this
This is a decent run I can imagine poofesure getting this good
Huge congrats man, this is an absolutely insane run. The 2nd person ever to get sub 15, the first ever sub 10, and a 2 year old world record being broken. I gotta go follow your twitch holy crap
I can never unhear Poofesure screaming about how rigged it is and I ain't complaining.
It's amazing to see both your run and Morphic's go the exact same way after the stone statue.
Still waiting for a run that somehow gets this end game luck + stone statue in 2 turns.
this is deff the most impressive thing ive seen in a while damn
Not only did you get perfect rolls, perfect checkpoints, and perfect mini games… even the coms landed on empty spaces to save additional seconds
hey bro congratulations for this speedrun you did it gg !!!!! 🥳
The fact he rolled a 5 instead of a 6 on that 17 roll to land on the blue +4 space makes it even luckier
I’m so glad TH-cam recommended this to me. Congrats on your WR! That was the most insane run I’ve ever seen of any speedrun of any game loool
Nice! That really was such a amazing run, getting double 6 and not failing everytime.
Love the positivity!
I have a feeling you’ll be having more viewers in your streams after this one. Congrats bro!
Amazing run. Incredible reaction too.
Totally earned it! Working hard and constant for those records 🤜🏽🤛🏽
A rough estimate (not really accounting for conditional probabilities as much, math might be incorrect) of probabilities (assuming winning every mini-game and calculating all results or better):
First roll: rolling a 7 or above, or rolling a 1 (gives +6) guarantees the rope swing: 21/36=7/12
Rope Swing: rolling a 3 (gives +6) or 5 (gives +4) results in the farthest: 2/6=1/3
Second roll: rolling a 3 (gives +4), 7, or 9 and higher: 18/36=1/2
Third roll: rolling an 8 (absolute best since it gives the blue statue boost): 5/36
Dragon roll: rolling a 4 or higher: 1/2
Avoiding the move backwards: 2/3
Fourth roll: double 6's: 1/36
"Fifth roll": rolling 5: 1/6 (rolling 6 is excluded b.c. triple 6 wouldn't give the +4 boost)
Volcano or not: rolling a 3 or higher: 4/6=2/3
Spike Ball: rolling 5 or higher: 2/6=1/3
Sixth roll: rolling 8 or higher: 15/36+1/36*5/6+1/36*1/2+1/36*1/6=99/216=11/24 (accounting for doubles)
Seventh roll: rolling 6: 1/6
Total probability: 385/1,088,391,168 or roughly 1 in every 2,826,990 games. Wow.
Yeah it is pretty crazy, I think it is still legit, feels like anyone could have easily compared his camera with the gameplay to see any anomaly, like in the reaction game, then again idk if there is people that care that know enough about the game to compare it.
Still the sus behavior is when he got double 2, he was calling out a 6, and instead of worrying about not making it to 8, so 4 or more after double 2, he is instead worrying about slight time lose with a jump, when a 1 or a 3 would be much worse for the run, so he might have called out 2 after initially saying 6 to hide that, which is pretty sus.
Another thing that could be looked at is if he also called the numbers on every roll as the breakpoint in other streams, for example at 7:22 he is calling a three, not a three or more, and it is the first time that he does it, to me if he is cheating that would indicate that he started calling out numbers from that point onwards cause he got self conscious about calling out the exact number.
It could still be legit tho, not accusing anybody
btw third roll a 8 is 4/36 cause double 4 would make him do another roll, it actually would be 4/36+ 1/36(3*1/6) so 9/72
And first three rolls you can actually just use a calculator to say likeliness to get 25 on 6 dices rolls, since the orders of these rolls arent important (for the most part), the only important thing is the golem space you end up.
Likeliness of first 3 rolls = 25 is 6.12%, the rest is correct so 257/500.000.000 roughly, which is 1 in 1.872.659, so it is a bit more likely that it seems, but still not that likely.
This dude is as epic as he looks.
9:26 I can see The happines un your face. Congratulations !!!
This has to be the world record with the lowest amount of live watchers I’ve seen 😂
Dude had three people who witnessed history with him.
Glad TH-cam recommended this to me. Well done my guy.
He got that feeling, inside his bones. It went electric when he got that world record.
That's Imposseble. I can't believe it. You are A legend.
this is impressive, i dont think i've ever done a run of this game where i didn't get screwed by rolling at least one 3
Congrats on world record. I can't wait for this to blow up.
That thumbnail is pure gold right there.
This guy has all the potential in the world if he keeps it up. You're doing great man!
did you just say he has "potential" for beating a game in under 10 minutes with RNG? thats a real lowball comment bro
@@scammerexposer7140 I'm wishing him good luck okay I know he won't be the next Pewdiepie or anything huge I'm just saying he's underrated and he should have more subscribers. No need to play Mr. Smartass.
@@scammerexposer7140 someone’s salty
I respect this alot.
"I am never playing this game again"
Me: 😥
U know the grind was worth it when you say "im never playing this game again" :DDDDD
I am a Japanese viewer.
It was a great run.congratulations.
Saw the time, never thought about running this game or it is even possible. Holy shit, that’s so awesome :D
GG!
this made my day. congrats dude :D
I wonder if Poofesure has seen this and cried at how good you did? This is amazing lol Great job.
even to this day it is the best run i have ever seen now we have to see you and nicro face off
Remember playing this when I was younger, great job!
"I'm never playing this game again!!!!" I laughed SO HARD
What an absolute banger of a run gg man, this will stay for a while
Poof is crying, shitting, and pissing
Everything in this run was perfect except for 1 thing: 3 viewers? C’mon guys, we can do better! He diserves thousands!🎉
That was so hype! Congrats man
That luck was insane. No one could ever beat this. GGS!
So this is the cool dude poofesure talked about! I wonder if he asked you how to be that great
Absolutely huge, congrats
That’s incredibly lucky
7:11 this dice roll sequence was NUTS
I've never seen such happiness from a wii game.... Congrats man :D
Congratulation
Never thought I would be exited from Wii part nice run bro
The luck gods were truly with you! What an insane run! I really dig your vibe, you’ve gained yourself a sub🙂
Amazing dude
such a shame this run was done on an emulator; would have not been hidden without filters on the speedrun website if it were on the actual wii :( this is insane luck
Amazing run! You are so lucky! I wanna play this game with you someday. Congratulations on the world record. This has to be the best day of your life.
That is awesome!
The stars aligned for you holy hell
Just watched this with my brother absolutely insane video, I love it
That run is so good to watch
I almost saw it live but I was just like a minute late because of my own stream
No way. Great job!!!
9:36.467
"I am never playing this game ever again"
*s t i l l continues to speedrun in Oct/Nov 2021*
The Wii Party gods are on your side!
Damn those were some ungodly rolls! 21 spaces in a single turn is almost unheard of!
Congratulations dude it’s amazing 🔥
Yippee you got very lucky with that run
How do you speedrun luck 💀
YOU GOT SO LUCKY
This is amazing!
missed the stream but josh the goat fr ☝️
*YOU ARE A FRIGGING CHAMPION!!!!*
You are the champion, my friend
And you’ll keep on fighting till the end
You are the champion
You are the champion
No time for losers
'Cause you are the champion of the World
bro said he would never play this game again, fast forward 2 years and hes back on his grind
The amount of luck in this run makes it almost unbeatable
game length: about 45 min
josh: 9:36
First off congrats, I subbed! But after watching this, I’m convinced Poof just has consistent bad luck in this game💀
Bro this is my childhood game and I still play this😭
Gratulations! I thought that you are lying but I was wrong. 💯🔥
Congrats man, insane time haha
9:26 The epic reaction , you achieved the impossible
the legend starts at 7:08
That’s actually impressive
It is 4 am and i am watching this this is cool as hell haha
Good job bro
I love so much this game it is crazy u play it in 2021
our guy daniel_ deserves everything
Congrats🎉
congrats man