Video 2: Confidence Intervals

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 20 ต.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 127

  • @katelala23
    @katelala23 6 ปีที่แล้ว +205

    why are free TH-cam videos more helpful and easier to understand than my professor?

    • @kites50
      @kites50 5 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Life is full of surprises. 55555

    • @Kartikay619
      @Kartikay619 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Exactly what I am thinking

    • @sallyjavidi
      @sallyjavidi 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      EXACTLY WHY :)

    • @d.a.macatangay7946
      @d.a.macatangay7946 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Agree.. Thanks for this info..

    • @MutterSalsa
      @MutterSalsa 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I would guess that a random sample of professional academic would get you a larger majority of people who is just in it for reserach, and maybe not too interested in teaching. All the while, a random sample of youtube turtoring accounts will produce a larger majority of people having the skill while simulatniusly being passioned about it. This discrepancy is not all that absurd when considering universities as only in second hand being all about teaching, and perhaps more of vassels of individual scientific attainment.

  • @nikolaykolin7384
    @nikolaykolin7384 7 ปีที่แล้ว +91

    Dear Teacher! You saved me from dropping my economics class. Because of you I can now say that I can do Linear Regression analysis on Economical data. I searched everywhere for a simple explanation and you provided it. I am forever subscribed to your channel. Thanks a lot! If you need support sharing your videos let me know. You are the best!

  • @Hari-cz3od
    @Hari-cz3od 7 ปีที่แล้ว +23

    Now I know that Econometrics itself is not too complicated to comprehend. It is the explanation method that matters. Thank you so much! I feel much more positive after watching just two of your videos.

  • @tz2014
    @tz2014 4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    I must say this is one of the best explanation about Linear regression, I started learning Machine Learning Last week it was kind of hard to grasp the concept but now it's like I was born to do this.

  • @dooglelgood
    @dooglelgood 8 ปีที่แล้ว +60

    Excellent video series! I encourage you to do more statistical topics (in English)...you are a gifted teacher.

    • @stephantinschert6744
      @stephantinschert6744 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      He is a prof at Incae (one of the top business school in LATAM)

    • @sallyjavidi
      @sallyjavidi 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      INDEED

  • @abelgebreegziabher6096
    @abelgebreegziabher6096 7 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    It is amazing that some people are just so gifted at explaining things. Well, Explanined!!

  • @Ayeza625
    @Ayeza625 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    you are the blessing for students i haven't seen such a comprehensive explanation ever in my life.God bless you.

  • @mehriazizi2856
    @mehriazizi2856 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    OMG, thank you for talking so practical. This video summarized one whole course of statistics I took.

  • @muhaiminulrahi513
    @muhaiminulrahi513 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Many many thanks! I can't express my gratitude in words. It was super helpful for me.

  • @swadeshibiden6912
    @swadeshibiden6912 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    just mindblowing. Thank very very much for this clarification of P value and CI.

  • @akhan9969
    @akhan9969 6 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Amazing indeed, particularly showing the population parameters and the sample parameters in the form of a simulation - it will stay in students' minds as long as they will work with samples. Thank you very much Sir!

  • @haideeawyan7759
    @haideeawyan7759 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I cant yet definitely internalized everything but I am so happy of knowing this youtube channel... God bless...

  • @sugavananv
    @sugavananv 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Why are you teaching like legend. Hats off..

  • @hodih370
    @hodih370 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    You're the godfather of statistics! Thanks for providing these useful videos

  • @afawkimartyr
    @afawkimartyr 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much. This is the best explanation I have seen so far. Thank you so much

  • @gkeconomics981
    @gkeconomics981 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you very much for explaining statistics in simplest possible way. You are great teacher!

  • @dhanashreeshelke1376
    @dhanashreeshelke1376 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I am here because of econometrics😭😭and i was finding it really tough and because of which I was tensed but somehow after watching your videos somehow my tension is relieved... Thank you

  • @shamsulhoquekhan933
    @shamsulhoquekhan933 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thank you so much for all the content. I can say that you are better teacher the my Bachelor and MSc professors. You saved me from dropping my courses. Can you please upload videos about time series?

  • @NavruzbekAzzamov
    @NavruzbekAzzamov 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Absolutely amazing explanation, Thank YOU professor.

  • @jitendranath4058
    @jitendranath4058 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    After watching this video lecture it seems so simple. Loved the way you explained.

  • @kobedierckx2918
    @kobedierckx2918 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great video and great example, you make it very intuitive and easy to understand!

  • @yoee8493
    @yoee8493 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you so much! Ur 18mins explanation is precise n better n easy to get the points than my 1.5hours lecture. I understand nothing from my professor haha

  • @tianyingguo2005
    @tianyingguo2005 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    It is much clearer than my lecturer! Brilliant!

  • @TheNacosta
    @TheNacosta 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Excellent video with a clear and straight to the point explanation. This is really helpful! Keep up the good work and congratulations!

  • @sasi0263
    @sasi0263 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    simply amazing. understood at 40 which was expected at 20

  • @siraratube
    @siraratube 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you now i can handle econometrics and found it very helpful. May God bless you.

  • @23561avatar
    @23561avatar 6 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    Apart from agreeing this is a very helpful video to many students, I would like to offer a correction to the rough explanation of the p-value, because it is unintentionally misleading for inexperienced people. *The p-value is NOT the probability there is no relationship*. It's very appealing to think the p-value can tell you this, because it sounds so understandable at first glance. Unfortunately, the problem is, you can't know the probability that there is no relationship.
    The correct way of interpreting the p-value (and this requires some careful reading):
    _Let's say there really is no relationship (which you can't know, but let's just assume), what is the probability that you will get the results you got in the sample of your study?_ I.e., how likely is it that your study could produce the results that it did, assuming there is no relationship in reality? That's the p-value. For instance, if your study produces sample results that really look like there is a relationship, and the p-value is 0.05, it means that if there happens to be no relationship in reality, you still have a 5% probability of getting those awesome sample results that suggest a relationship. However, when it's that unlikely to get those results if there is no relationship in reality, it's standard practice to assume the relationship in your study happened because there probably is a relationship in reality. Nevertheless, although the p-value may be very low, it's still possible there is no relationship in reality, and that your study just happened to have a fucked up sample of people (or plants, animals etc.) that randomly produced a data pattern that gave the impression of a relationship in your study.
    I only give this explanation to really interested students. Generally, however, I just say: "if the p-value is 0.05 or lower, you can assume you've PROBABLY found a relationship". I don't try to explain the p-value any further, because in my experience the concepts you need to understand it are very tricky to grasp for most inexperienced students.
    Here's a paper by Steven Goodman I found extremely helpful for understanding the misconceptions surrounding p-values: www.perfendo.org/docs/BayesProbability/twelvePvaluemisconceptions.pdf

    • @katiephung9101
      @katiephung9101 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Thank you for the comprehensive explanation of the p-value. I usually could not find any well-explained definition of p-value like this. Thank you again! it helps me a lot.

    • @lsneerg
      @lsneerg 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      So, can I say that the p-value represents the probability of ending up with my particular sample (with which I built a regression model) from a population that in fact exhibits no such pattern as my model suggests?
      I’m a bit confused between whether you are referring to the probability of building a model the wrong way, or the probability of being given with the wrong data to begin with (=building a wrong model the right way).
      I’m not a native speaker of the English language, so I would much appreciate if you could be patient and add on to your already very elaborate explanation.

    • @victor_peral
      @victor_peral 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thank you , grasping an intuitive explanation for p values for beginners is always tricky , I got a summary from khan academy that helped , the probability of the statistics assuming the null hypothesis is true, which is also the probability that determines whether you accept or reject the null hypothesis

  • @SAMAmUrl
    @SAMAmUrl 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Pédagogiquement corret.
    Right to the cross line. Thanks, you explanation is enough clear fro the mere mortal.

  • @rohanirohan9756
    @rohanirohan9756 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Excellent, logical, good examples, and easy explaination.

  • @yasithaweer
    @yasithaweer ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much for the excellent teaching stuff

  • @abhayanand1668
    @abhayanand1668 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    one among the best videos on statistics.

  • @uviep165
    @uviep165 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much. Your videos are awesome!

  • @NagaVenkateshgavini
    @NagaVenkateshgavini ปีที่แล้ว

    Very well explained sir, The best video I ever came across

  • @rnsbakhietrm5914
    @rnsbakhietrm5914 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wow...Cristal clear. Thanks 👍

  • @chukybaby
    @chukybaby 8 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Can you provide a link to the Excel spreadsheet in 2:12?. Thanks

  • @Skuljor
    @Skuljor 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Your videos are fantastic, absolutely nailing the questions I have an explaining in a very thorough and understandable manner. Thanks!

  • @milliekim5072
    @milliekim5072 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This is a wonderful video! Thank you, sir!

  • @youcefyahiaoui1465
    @youcefyahiaoui1465 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I minute 10:23 of the video, I wish you explained the reason why you add and substract 2 x standard error on the slope...

  • @hedwigfonjong960
    @hedwigfonjong960 9 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    You are the best teacher everrrrr

  • @farahstanakzai2071
    @farahstanakzai2071 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Amazing... You explained everything so well... love it

  • @theharrisonlee
    @theharrisonlee 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    best explanation by far

  • @ShaileshTumma
    @ShaileshTumma 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks for making this video. It helped me a great deal understanding linear regression

  • @alicekamanga505
    @alicekamanga505 ปีที่แล้ว

    i cannot thank you enough for this.

  • @silulekomkhize7839
    @silulekomkhize7839 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wooow you are amazing! Nipped it by the bud! straight to the point and nice clear explanations!!!

  • @promisejoshua7878
    @promisejoshua7878 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    you are an amazing teacher!!

  • @mirandachapman5477
    @mirandachapman5477 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks for the video. Your explanation was very detailed and easily understood.

  • @tz2014
    @tz2014 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you sir! you are a great teacher

  • @celebchizoka7445
    @celebchizoka7445 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    @datamining where can I find the excel sheet you're using?

  • @YourTechGerman
    @YourTechGerman 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very well explained, a good addition to my lectures!

  • @halimtj3597
    @halimtj3597 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very Excellent. Thanks

  • @Lets_learnit
    @Lets_learnit 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sorry, What’s the course site that I can download files from ?

  • @Abdessamad1337
    @Abdessamad1337 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    You are a great Teacher
    Thank you sir.

  • @shekharkaul
    @shekharkaul 8 ปีที่แล้ว

    Marvelous. Great job done. The concepts are so finely described and are understandable in just one go.. Keep going.. *Thums Up*

  • @michmarino
    @michmarino 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    can anyone send the link to the course website? I would like this data the dataset to practice

  • @РахматуллаевКаюмходжа
    @РахматуллаевКаюмходжа 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    but we are using coefficient 0.85 to set the intervals. what if we used different sample with different coefficient, would we get the same interval because the error is also gonna be different?

  • @ujjwalverma976
    @ujjwalverma976 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Please provide link for dataset and thank you for your efforts.

  • @foozieakbar
    @foozieakbar 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi there, if you check at 13:44 , isnt that supposed to be 0.853 +- 2x0.051?

  • @chalafufa5100
    @chalafufa5100 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    thank you so much, how can i get a not for this video?

  • @priyankadoiphode5
    @priyankadoiphode5 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Mind-boggling 😀😀🔥

  • @barnabasbol6441
    @barnabasbol6441 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    this is a very interesting lesson

  • @alvarosacristangonzalez5465
    @alvarosacristangonzalez5465 ปีที่แล้ว

    14:45 But thte p value isnt the probability that being the null hypotesis sustained, the probability of getting the observed values or more extreme ones (unlikely)?

  • @thodorispseftelis144
    @thodorispseftelis144 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Amazing playlist!!

  • @jamesnjau9457
    @jamesnjau9457 ปีที่แล้ว

    How do we fit the intercept to reduce error?

  • @codephil
    @codephil 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Why does he highlight 1.96 standard deviation in graph instead of 2?

  • @saadalmissallaty90saad64
    @saadalmissallaty90saad64 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wow,that was sooooo informative 👌

  • @dazdoozz3070
    @dazdoozz3070 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You are awesome ❤

  • @Taddius4zindagi
    @Taddius4zindagi 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Amazing video! Really liked the intuitive explanation of p-value (that its the probability that the null hypothesis is true). Just one suggestion - maybe at the end of the video, two disclaimers / caveats would be appropriate - (1) some rules of thumb need to be modified for one-tailed tests (in stead of the described two-tailed test) and (2) 5% level of significance is not considered sacrosanct by all

  • @lomofatboy
    @lomofatboy 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    God blessed you

  • @ibukunajadi
    @ibukunajadi 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you for helping me not fail 😭

  • @anirudhkothari
    @anirudhkothari 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great work , I appreciate it !!

  • @rutujabavadekar898
    @rutujabavadekar898 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you so much sir.

  • @palashrathore6277
    @palashrathore6277 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    is this the voice of Andrew ng?

  • @irynajanke7056
    @irynajanke7056 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    AMAZING!!! Thank you!

  • @VanessaKlinger
    @VanessaKlinger 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    can you please provide the link to this worksheet which has the formula? Thank you!

  • @rolling_happiness5768
    @rolling_happiness5768 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You are awesome 👌

  • @WzRDxDiamond
    @WzRDxDiamond 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    just awesome! really good video!

  • @husseinel-sayed64
    @husseinel-sayed64 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi... Great video.. appreciate if you let me know the reference book that you are using. Thnks

  • @Manas2
    @Manas2 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nicely described thanks :)

  • @geoffreyvasquez1
    @geoffreyvasquez1 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    amazingly explained!

  • @ernestakpaku756
    @ernestakpaku756 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    please I need the url for the data set used in this video to follow Sir. Thank you so much

  • @mariocailotto9497
    @mariocailotto9497 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great work!

  • @mn2361
    @mn2361 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    thanks for the video

  • @SuperKhushab
    @SuperKhushab 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    very good, what about course website ?

  • @eggegshiglen1663
    @eggegshiglen1663 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you so much!

  • @maredelioglu8624
    @maredelioglu8624 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Really amazing...

  • @datalearningsihan
    @datalearningsihan ปีที่แล้ว

    You teach better than these university teachers at yale :D

  • @emmascoplex
    @emmascoplex 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wheres the data set please

  • @frikhatomar6426
    @frikhatomar6426 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank You very Much =D

  • @netsimese
    @netsimese 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Amazing video!

  • @woshiwangxuting
    @woshiwangxuting 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    A+ TEACHER

  • @1975fadel
    @1975fadel 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    very good video

  • @abhidcooldude6819
    @abhidcooldude6819 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    hi sir
    i have a doubt in 1 part
    0.853+- 2* 0.051 --> (0.751 , 0.954) where this range came from ?

    • @stephaniegomez6259
      @stephaniegomez6259 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      He basically multiplied the std error by 2 and from the results of that answer, he added first and got the 751. Then, he subtracted that same number and got 954. Hope this helps.

  • @trucomment
    @trucomment 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    well i failed statistics 2 terms in a row, now i feel like i can teach it...

  • @sunildigala4961
    @sunildigala4961 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you Sir

  • @hariharamoorthythennetipan2190
    @hariharamoorthythennetipan2190 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice explanation

  • @silvesterstudio8579
    @silvesterstudio8579 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Good

  • @CG-sw3mq
    @CG-sw3mq 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    I thought, according to my professor, we can never accept a hypothesis. We can only choose to reject or choose not reject, is this true?

    • @jonathanronaldmullereghan2263
      @jonathanronaldmullereghan2263 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      You can ... We have a null hypothesis and an alternate hypothesis so if for example if you reject your null hypothesis if your p value is below the 5% significance level(alpha = 0,05), then you accept the alternate hypothesis. Howeve, you can accept the null hypothesis if the p value is greater than alpha which means you will reject the alternate hypothesis. So one way or the other, rejecting one hypothesis means accepting the other.Hope it helped

  • @ShakilAhmedecho
    @ShakilAhmedecho 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Make more videos pls.

  • @sarahbardeskar2269
    @sarahbardeskar2269 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    best best best!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • @kalinannonimous5878
    @kalinannonimous5878 ปีที่แล้ว

    HUGE