I wasn't worried about climate change. Now I am.
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 ม.ค. 2024
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In this video I explain what climate sensitivity is and why it is important. Climate sensitivity is a number that roughly speaking tells us how fast climate change will get worse. A few years ago, after various software improvements, a bunch of climate models began having a much higher climate sensitivity than previously. Climate scientists have come up with reasons for why to ignore this. I think it's a bad idea to ignore this.
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#science #climate - วิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี
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They aren’t disliking it because the topic. They’re doing it because politics have made climate change red team versus blue team and sides have been chosen. And the extreme ends are where the two teams live on every topic.
Mostly in the USA where a large part of the people seem to have gone mad or stupid.
@@jimmyquigley7561I wouldn't say most. But the politics of my country have gone completely mad. You can't even speak solutions without it being called devisive
Also Sabine politics and views and climate change have been trash in the past years
I’m more so surprised that those types of people watch this video in the first place
@@OlmanWillo You are definitely not unique, that's for sure. But you are very visible regarding partisan politics. Quite bizarre.
Researching the issue is difficult because google does not have relevant results for "Hot Models".
Scholar dot Google
Been looking at hot models all day 😏
stop using Google.
Hehe...
@@HarryWHill-GAHe wrote one yt 😅
here in brasil an entire state is flooded thousands without home, and people still are denying climate change, humanity is just cringe at this point
I live on the Balkans and last year was the first time we had storms like ive never seen before, during summer, people died, children died and the temperature a few years ago never went over 33°C, but last year it was 40-42°C at times during summer season, and now we are experiencing up to 30°C in April and honestly idk what to expect
Climate the movie th-cam.com/video/bOAUsvVhgsU/w-d-xo.html
I live in Greece, and i came to this video exactly for this reason, after experiencing 32C 3 days ago and the situation only shows that this year's summer will be the hottest on the other hand, and on the other hand it will be the coldest that it is to come. Last year in Greece we reached 48C and probably this year we'll see 50, lots of people will die of heat, especially people who cant afford air conditioning (keep in mind that Greece has some of the most expensive electricity prices in the entirety of Europe)
@@darkforce6763 You should speak about "average monthy temp" , it was not as you say, wrong way to look at past summer, look greek statistics, south europe statistics, no sensible anomalies in 2023.
@@darkforce6763How come you have weather like that and in England it's like we never got out of February!
In New England, I didn’t even turn on my AC last summer.
I think the psychology of the lack of interest is that people will not preoccupy themselves with issues they feel powerless, as individuals, to change.
That’s true, but our individual psyches are created in part by our culture and history. Our current world is not setup for cooperation and we’ve allowed selfishness to thrive. The prosocial beliefs and behaviors necessary to change things are possible for humans to adopt, but it starts at the root. Maybe there’s something to the idea of a Capitalocene rather than an Anthropocene. I don’t think this is an innate problem of the human psyche, but of the psyche of the very Europeans whose worldviews spread around the world starting around the 16th century.
In principle it is a good thing we have this reflex. Because starting to panic or being depressed does not help.
We evolved to concentrate on the present, getting enough food for the next winter, having enough wood to heat, finding a partner and so on.
The most depressive thing to me is, that there are many things we can do quickly. We can build green energy fast, there is no physical limit in that. The technology is ready to cut down emissions by maybe 80% today.
We could build millions of wind turbines, solar cells, battery storage etc. in the next 5 years and shut of most of fossil fuel. Only after that we would neet technology that is not yet developed.
But why are we not doing it? Because of economical reasons. Nobody is willing to out down the mony to do this in the paste required. Many people would need to change their job from fossil to green energy really fast.
Fossil assets like fossil plants would lose most of their value.
We just do little to late right now and future generations are going to hate us for that.
The obscene wealth of algorithm-customized distractions does not help either. 🎪
That's because way back when we invented human society, we slowly stopped seeing ourselves as connected and started seeing individuals as powerful and independent. A proper perspective would be considerably more altruistic and ironically we would've been better equipped to handle current changes if we'd all had pre-social mindsets that view the family (in this case meaning the extended families of humanity and life on earth) as more important than its individual children.
Because it doesn't really matter how powerless an individual is, you see; in groups, we have power, so if every individual serves the group, the group becomes nigh-invincible. That's how both disease and multicellular life, teams and hive minds alike find success. Humans technically serve their group, but we spend way more time on ourselves and don't bother acting in ways that would benefit everybody if everybody acted that way. There's no money in it.
@@langohr9613ify I actually believe that capitalism is able to adapt relatively quickly. Like Sabine said just make carbon emission more expensive and energy providers will flock to renewable and nuclear energy to make money. There just need to be political will, which comes from the people, to make this choice which will affect them via the form of higher prices on almost everything.
The thing that I like most about this brilliant, humorous lady is that when she doesn't know something, she says so. That is a real scientist. Respect and thanks!
That is what scientists do. That is what they have to be pretty good at in order to Identity new research topics. If you have the feeling this isnt been done often enough i would probably change or at least check my source because typically this is a week spot of journalist, not the scientist.
Science lives off "don't know"'s. The whole point of a scientist it to ecxel in turning don't knows into knows. (The _exact_ reverse of religion BTW, that _exploit_ don't knows).
Journalist's tend to excel in misinterpreting science, trying to dumb it down for their readers, and screwing everything up in the process. Climate change is a great example of this, the term "global warming" is so _soft and fluffy_ that it just hasn't got the _real message_ over to the public. Messaging IS important, as _any_ politician will agree.
Weird. What I noticed was hackneyed superficial banter.
Hi Sabine, I was really surprised by the dramatic forecast you gave at the end. I have seen in my life several major themes that would or should have ended or disrupted civilization. Overpopulation, global warming, thermonuclear war, ozone depletion and rising sea levels are but a few. Your forecast sounded so much like that type of talk. It has made me lose some confidence in you as a scientific commentator. I have a mathematics and physics background and have always enjoyed listening to your commentary on the physics fields. I have always felt you are an expert on physics matters. When you see that you get the most dislikes on your videos regarding climate change, I suspect the answer could be that you do not come across as such an expert on this topic. I disliked this video and did so because I felt it was the case. It is a sad outcome and something you should look into. It is likely I am not the only one who has formed this view. Anyhoo, I wish you a great day and will remain subscribed. Kindest regards, Tony
Sure?
“Unvaccinated are a danger to themselves and others. Of course, they should not have the same rights and freedoms as vaccinated people. Anyone who intentionally puts others in danger has to live with the consequences.”
Sabine 🤡 Hossenfelder - 2021
"Now, I'm not asking you to like this video, I don't really like it myself" got me to like the video
bunch of wank. one person does something unexpected and you're like "WOW THAT WAS SO COOL" and like it
Too bad real climate scientists have been dunking on her since she put this laughable video up.
I liked that comment too.
@@nobodyimportant7804whom? link them
@@nobodyimportant7804 the only video I could find from a professed climate scientist responding directly to this video was by "ClimateAdam." He disagreed with a chunk of what this woman says, but also implicated that man-made global warming is a very real thing, and addressing it in the long run is important.
I live in Brazil, and recently we had the biggest climate catastrophe recorded in Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, one of the largest capitals in Brazil was completely flooded, thousands of people literally lost everything, diseases such as leptospirosis increased, dengue fever, which was previously a The problem in the north and central region now affects the south because it is hotter and this time practically all year round, not just in the summer. We are in very difficult times friends, hope that one day we can all agree on a solution, I'm counting on you too
Rain falls may be invoked by silver oxide in the higher atmosphere. Also in Europe we recently observed an increased ratio of sulfur dioxide, followed by a temperature drop. There seem to by undocumented experiments to control weather. From this it's not clear what the actual reason for your documented catastrophe is.
Why the single answer not displayed?
Equatorial countries will have it worse. Agreed: We are in very difficult times friends, hope that one day we can all agree on a solution.
Stay strong.
CO2 helps plants grow. Our planet is 5% greener than 20 years ago, thanks to CO2. We are still in an ice age let's get out of the ice age and melt this fucken ice. The dinosaurs had 3000 ppm of co2, and their temperature was only 27 Celsius. We have 430 ppm only 0.04 percent of our atmosphere. Our weakening magnetosphere is what is driving climate change, not CO2.
It has been my observation that there are a lot of people that vote to save the planet but almost none that will do anything if it involves actual change in their lifestyle. Thus, if the models are actually correct, then the situation can only be resolved with calamity.
Unfortunately I'm afraid that might be corredt
No one is willing to accept real sacrifices to benefit strangers.
This is true, but never forget that, for true change, an honest effort by government and industry is essential.
They create markets and mass consent on a regular basis. They must do that in regard to the climate crisis...or we are in for a lot of trouble...
2023 had most Carbon reductions . carbon dioxide blocks heat both ways. The molecule is to dense to hold much energy
Our modern society,as an overreaction to the socially conscious movements, is so individualized only personal trouble seems to motivate (and then, only individual action for the most part)
Thats not the "hot models" i was hyped for 😢
I needed a good laugh after watching this video. Thanks.
@@user-ki4ek9wn1l Yes b/c you clearly, a stranger online, know far better than a scientist how the world and systems work. And you know better than me, even though I studed economics at the doctoral level. But what do I know?
@@user-ki4ek9wn1l She obviously knows more about the topic than you. Here in Germany we are more aware about the problem. Island states or low lands like the Netherlands also... Just the ducking super powers think they can decide how ever they want... thanks for messing it up for everyone else.
@@opheliawild You're right, but your arguments are invalid. Being a scientist doesn't make her an expert in all scientific fields, and it turns out she did trigger a response from an actual climate scientist.
As for the economic doctorate level... well... only people who have studied economics think economy is a serious field of study :D !
if ppl dont know about the climate scam by now, they deserve to be robbed in taxes @@user-ki4ek9wn1l
I'm from Argentina, and even though we are far from the equator, we are having extremes temperatures every summer, with alternating big floods and droughts. This year we had a dengue epidemic, something that never happened before. With the rising temperatures, the aedes mosquitoes are now reaching the south of the country, and they are not likely to die in the winter, because winters are not that cold anymore. When I was young, freezing temperatures where something usual in the south of the Buenos Aires province, and now these are becoming less frequent every year.
Coordinated global action is needed to change our energy infrastructure. All the world should be relying on nuclear energy, but with the increasing geopolitical tensions, with so much hatred all around the world, the fear of nuclear energy being used in the wrong sense is prevailing over the climate crisis.
You could be skeptical of climate change 20 years ago. Today if you deny the global warming you are just someone totally incapable of seeing the world around you. This should be everyone's concern, but governments are making money with the war machine instead of investing those efforts in making world civilization sustainable. Civilization, what a word, every year that passes the world looks more like what Carl Sagan envisioned in The Demon Hunted World, with societies being drafted into magical thinking and obscurantism.
As a Frenchman, I'm not used to hearing a German person recommending to "build nuclear, build nuclear, build nuclear". It's an unusual but pleasant feeling, and I hope it will finally be echoed more widely among the German population. Building nuclear power plants takes a long time, and the German government is not even at the stage of thinking about possibly building a new one... This policy error will be costly for everyone
Nuclear is way more expensive and time consuming to build and operate than renewable energy sources.
For now, renewables are a bigger focus, because it's just faster and cheaper, which is really important if we want to quickly get away from fossil fuels.
@@deusexmachina5769 Then why close down the existing nuclear plants and replace them by coal plants ? The government shouldn’t have closed the existing ones down before enough renewables had been built. That is counterproductive from a climate crisis point of view
@@damienpeladan481 Yes, it is. That's why most parties advocated for doing exactly that. First you build more renewables and then you shut down nuclear.
But the CDU is incredibly corrupt and was obviously bought by the coal lobby, so they decided to instead replace it with coal.
But now the question is what to do now and building new nuclear is just too expensive and time consuming, so they're focusing on renewables instead.
In The U.S., private insurance companies won't insure nuclear plants. Why do you think that is?
@@deusexmachina5769 The problem with renewables is their inconsistency. Oil, natural gas and nuclear plants have to be ready to go instantly when the wind doesn't blow or the sun doesn't shine, and they're more inefficient at startup, so the result is MORE energy loss than if there was just one conventional energy source.
"The problem is that we can't agree to implement the solutions we have." Loud standing ovation here.
Yep. And it's so. Fucking. Aggravating.
@@keiganblaise9878 what is aggravating? You have no idea how complex these things are! No idea whatsoever! What's actually aggravating is the shallow interpretations of people who think they understand such complex scientific domains and the extend of consequences of the offered solutions.
Video Tittle: Let them slave us with carbon taxes ASAP!!!!
@@C_R_O_M________what exactly is you alternative? Keep debating until there is 100% proof and evidence for exactly how some process is happening? Which by the way has pretty much never been reached in science, and is not the purpose of science.
So, what's you suggestion, just go on as usual not changing anything based on the understanding we now have, because it is too "complex"?
This woman is part of the problem. A smart person whoknows numbers is given a large set of fake numbers and is also given a reason for the fake numbers. Not knowing the area at all she is duped into thinking there is a problem.
Even many smart people dont know how to think for themselves.
I’m currently studying sustainable design Engineering. Everyone told me it’s not worth it, but listening to this video now I feel like I made the right decision.
it definItly is, keep it up!
You are doing a service, while things like going vegetarian/saving energy are good, this is a step toward large-scale change.
Within a capitalist society sustainability does not work eventually. Most people speaking of it just use it for marketing purposes. The idea is nice, but idealists are the people who end up getting abused by our society.
"Sustainable design engineering" done by humans will never be sustainable. You are marginally decreasing destruction, because your bosses will NOT PAY for actual sustainable development.
@@scepticalchymist ye you right so lets just keep rollin the way we used to till the great downfall of humanity
the last year my country has seen drouts, heat waves, rain for 3 weeks straight and floods, a MASSIVE mosquito infestation (open the window, 10 mosquitos immediatly come in) and subsequent worsening of the dengue epidemic. how people continue to deny what is right in front of their eyes baffles me
It you look at the last 2,300 years we have had benign warm periods with a stable climate based on lateral Jet Streams, equally we have periods which are NOT benign in fact disturbed weather based on Meridional Jet Streams. These periods we call Grand Solar Minimums and Gleissberg periods lasting 102 years. With NON of it due to Human induced Climate Change, but everything to do, with our major source of Heat or Cooling on this Earth, our UV Variable Star.
CO2 LAGS temperature following solar induced temperature changes. In fact, Insects adds more CO2 and Methane than all of human emissions including farming put together. For a link look at world famines and the time scales of the Disturbed 102 years weather periods of GSM & Gleissberg’s, for example the Vandal Minimum 585AD to 800AD and the LIA period 1285AD to 1880AD and the Medieval Solar Warm Period between them.
The other thought is, models cannot model the climate of the world and are NOT gospells or truth, they are staticical tools which lie at will.
I guess the point is that it doesn't really "happens in front of their eyes." They read the newspaper, the desensitization of reading bad things every day, and in the end climate change and what happens to the people who live in those places is just a text on paper, not a reality. If you add to that the political debates in certain countries and the cultural influence they have, boom, nobody would care.
tbh i havent seen the video yet, but i wanted to comment this
vast majority of developed world doesn't live near equator nor have expose themselves to the plight of these nations, some nations even stands to benefit from extremely fast climate change, such as the likes of Russia and Canada.
Some of my friend live in Singapore and Indonesia, I often tell them to be their own best advocate, don't just expect some outside savior when SHTF, have a plan B before panic hits.
Have you ever looked at a 120 year old photo of a beach side by side with the same beach today? Are you denying what is right in front of your eyes?
15-20 years ago Everything was fine. You really think this little bit of co2 accelerates things THIS MUCH, within 5 years or so?!
One needs to only look at the late Permian mass extinction to become extremely scared, the TLDR is that massive volcanism caused CO2 and other greenhouse gas levels to skyrocket, and 80% of marine species and 70% of terrestrial vertebrates went extinct. I don't think we're likely to go that far, but even just a fraction this bad is practically hell. But I don't even need to look that far back to be scared, even in my own area there isn't more than a few days of snow a year anymore, and summers are unbearable without AC. I feel like in my own surroundings, now that we see with our own eyes that things are getting really abnormal, we've entered a stage where nobody is denying reality anymore but just trying not to think too much about it, because we need to keep living our lives and can't afford to have all that burden and pain on our minds all the time. I don't know how bad things will be, but it's abundantly clear that we will not react thoroughly and quickly enough, so shit will definitely hit the fan, the only question is when and how hard.
Smh, its really sad that they got the kids scared to this point. Worry about more serious things like the jab for example.
@garremannen "it's really sad they got kids scared"
*is afraid of shots like a literal child*
??????
Yes. But for some reason most climate crisis advocates seem to ignore everything except man made CO2. If it was as bad as some say, why won't the governments of developed nations mandate reductions in CO2 output within the government itself instead of adding tens of thousands of government employee vehicles per year for example? And EV's have been shown to produce as much or more atmospheric CO2 as petroleum based vehicles when production and manufacturing ecological impacts are compared over the vehicles lifespan. Too many unknowns and variables at this point to say for sure what the actual causes (and solutions) are at this point.
@@garremannen Its really sad that right wing ideology and non-factism made idiots even more idiotic.
Why does the response need to be fear?
Why is fear mongering sooooooooo important?
What benefits are their to mass hysteria and fear versus systematic solutions, pivots and adjustments?
Why not use the data to propel innovation versus fear and trembling?
Fear and trembling are the tools of tyrants.
I'm from central South Africa and over the course of the last 10 years we haven't been able to trust expected weather patterns. We're used to wet summers in the 30-35 (Celsius) range and it's been going into drought temperatures (40-45) with little to no rain for a long period and a sudden flood-causing burst every season. Our national average temp has also increased twice as fast as the global temperatures since the early 90's so the impact of this is a very tangible non-debatable issue here, especially in the agricultural sector.
Yes, it would hit your region faster and harder than certain other parts of the world. I live in Cleveland Ohio (USA) and our change is milder. This does allow for more people in my region to remain ignorant and blind to the science.
@@user-qv6sn9xy9k Some parts of the US are very affected. Just think of the year-long drought and all the wildfires in California.
Maybe this is caused by the increased solar activity of the sun. We are near the end of an 11-year solar cycle. But nobody wants to say this as there's no money in it.
I'm from the Northern part of South Africa (pretoria)
I can honestly say that our weather patterns have not changed noticeably in the past 30 years (which is how far back I can remember)
45 year old from Johannesburg, can definitely say I’ve experienced a change in weather patterns over the years (anecdotal yes, but I count for at least one observer)
Sabine, I've always enjoyed your no bullshit presentations and I respect this one. I live in a rural area in a temperate zone on a piece of property that has been in my family for almost 70 years. I have seen the landscape change from as long as a person can remember. I have seen the first frost which used to occur in September move to late November and the ice on the nearby pond go from thin, but lasting for the month of January to becoming a rare and short lived event. I have seen the vegetation and the animal life change, mostly the insect life. I have seen the yellow pines wiped out by infestations of pine beetles and have observed that the white pines that used to thrive in this area are now barely hanging on and mostly dying. Fir and spruce used to grow here but they are all gone and the ones that I have planted in the last few years never last long. I will be trying to plant long leaf pines soon just to see what they do, the northern edge of their range used to be a couple hundred miles to the south but I suspect they will do better now if they aren't wiped out by some new infestation of insects. Every spring brings a new species of insect. We've gone from having one species of tick that was just a nuisance in the summer to having seven species of ticks, some of which are active all year round. I could go on by I'll spare you and your viewers. Just saying, if I had never seen a news article on climate change, I would be wondering what the hell has been going on and would be asking the scientists about it. I'm not optimistic, but I am observant. Thanks for scaring the hell out of me. I'm 66 years old and my health is not great so I might not see the worst of the coming effects but my children and grand children will. Thanks for scaring the hell out of me.
this one got spooky
We are in a pretty similar situation. My wife and I moved to southern NH 40+ years ago and have witnessed the changes that have occurred over that timeframe. Living in a rural area makes you acutely aware of how finely adjusted flora and fauna is to the micro- climate of the area.
I have a farm in New Zealand, ive been scared for a couple of years now. Winter, if we have one is 2 months later than it used to be and the sun is hotter than ever. I suspect we will have trouble growing traditional crops within a short time and that we will be too slow to change. The world wont miss us but i worry for my daughters lives.
I remember watching ice sailboat races on the rivers in New Jersey as a kid. The rivers don't freeze at all anymore
@@farmboypresents9977 - you are right to be worried. The younger generations are in for a world of hurt.😞
I tried having a conversation with someone about climate change once. Didn't know it was such a divisive topic. Everyone is offended by everything. We can't even have a discussion.
Suggestion to overcome this non-dicussion culture?
Were you actually trying to have a conversation that was leading anywhere, or where you just denying climate change and that its foolish to think that, and that it doesnt matter etc. Because there you have your answer. If you don't at least entertain the other persons perspective and throw them some bones. You are not trying to have a conversation, and youre definitely not respecting their pov. But you can disagree in a sympathetic way, and have patience and understanding and some self-critique, that you actually might be wrong, and that the other person actually might be right. I find that most people unless THEY are the problem will accept that. You might not change anyones mind, but you can carry on in good spirit and friendship and talk about other stuff and share smiles and laughs.
@@ComplexConfiguration "denying climate change" is a battle term and feeds division, rather than discussion.
Petition to rename nuclear energy to metal energy just so the average good citizen doesnt get scared over linking nuclear energy to nuclear bombs. Please, i think this is the main reason why people are against it 😅
I live in the Phoenix area, dotted with the Sonoran Saguaro cactus - which have a lifespan of up to 200 years. We had record breaking heat last summer, with over 30 consecutive days with highs of 110+, and the nighttime air was too hot for them, they lost a ton of moisture during their air exchange period when they open their pores after sundown. I went on a hike last sunday and the McDowell Sonoran preserve was littered with the bones of fallen giants, Saguaros decades+ old that has died over the summer. I've never seen anything like it.
That's heartbreaking.
Why do all the elites buy sea front property if the ice caps are melting 😂😂 think about it
@mostlycloudy1738 they arnt thinking about 20 years from now. They are thinking "I want to live on the beach"
@@mostlycloudy1738 "Why do all the elites buy sea front property if the ice caps are melting 😂😂 think about it" There's nothing the think about--sea level rise is a terrible thing we have done to future generations--our emissions in the past and now have ripple effects for up to 150 years, but the serious effects won't happen for awhile for most places. Right now, sea level rise is only ~4.6 mm/yr, so there's no reason for elites to not buy beachfront property that sits 10 feet above the waves.
@@mostlycloudy1738 Using crying emojis in a smug way has to be a sing of very low IQ.
My anxiety is actually reduced by seeing people taking this seriously. Even though I've completely abandoned all hope, it's nice to not feel gaslighted about the problem :)
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Learn how to cook tofu, chia seeds in lemonade, bread, rice beans, low sodium plant-based and you will lower your carbon footprint.
Chia seeds are organic, have a complete protein and are 35% fiber for maintaining adequate moisture in the colon.
Weakling. Climate isn't spiraling out of control. Your mental health and rationality are.
If you desire information on climate history, please look at Tony Heller's work.
I hear you! It's madness hearing denial of facts in common conversations, especially about something as essential as our climate. Farmers have been worried for decades.
@@jaredkaye3669Thanks!
Models, data, models, data. And the consequence 100 years later. How can anyone not be skeptical? Has anyone taken a small sealed room, replicated some earth and water content, doubled the CO2 content under the same sunlight exposure, and measure what happens? Experiments can be done with no models. Where are they?
Hi Sabine. To be honest, I'm one of those whom has become fed up with climate change discussions, programmes, videos and expert opinions. But I can honestly say, your video is one of the most convincing arguments I have come across, to wake up my concern about climate change affects. Although, let's hope your doomsday predictions are wrong and others wake before its too late to stop the human misery that sounds inevitable unless we act. Thank you for the video.
"No I'm not asking you to like this video, I don't even like it myself" sent a chill up my spine
Abusing climate fear for 3 videos in a short period of times to generate clicks sent a chill up mine.
@@Hentai-Semite You don't fear climate change at all. Don't be disingenuous.
@@Hentai-Semite one person here spoke truth...and it wasn't you.
Chill that.
@@Hentai-Semite Keep looking for fair ways of comunicating unfair problems while the ones that don't care at all keep the bussiness as usual
You scare too easily...
For me, I'm tired of this topic not because I don't believe in it, but because knowing more about it actively makes my life more depressing and worse, while I can't really change my life in a way that solves this problem.
The climate has to change. It’s not a static thing. It can’t be static.
@@stormchaser9753 Look up dunning-kruger effect. Please try not to ignore facts.
@@stormchaser9753 What climate scientist have you seen saying that climate is static?
I’m tired of it specifically because I trust it, but because no matter how much more I learn about it, how much irrefutable evidence I see, I still know there are so plenty of potato brains in the world who prefer to live in denial, let propagandists tell them everything’s fine, and hinder efforts to do something about it.
I empathize with you, but I disagree that there's nothing you can do. You're right that you can't change your lifestyle to solve it because you're just one person. But what one person can do is stay engaged politically. Like it or not, politics is intrinsic to how we live our lives. It's literally us having a say in how things should be done.
Write to your reps, attend meetings, donate, sign petitions (or even make new ones), etc. There are plenty of ways to stay engaged and you're probably going to find one or two that work for you if you give it a try. (Forgive me if you already are - on the internet, context is hard)
I'm 25 years old, I'm Italian and I want a family but I'm very worried about the future of my hypothetical child, if I had a child now, what would the scenario be? Today here in northern Italy the temperature was 28°C, normally in April the temperature here is 15/17°C, this is really the saddest thing in my life, no child equals no future, no humanity, nothing special, Nothing. Yes, if I die, it was a pleasure to be here, but no, I don't want my son to have a life without dreams, without food, without water, without a real Welfare. Some tell me: terrible things have happened in the past too, and yet they had children anyway, well but in the past they had the hope that the planet would exist for years to come, now I'm not sure anymore
your correct, millions of humans have had children in terrible circumstances. if you really want children, you should have them.
anxiety and been afraid is what the politicians wants for us
dont be scared
let's make babies :)
If you allow (especially the political driven) fear dictate your life, then don't bother having babies. The vast majority of human abuses is due to fear mongering.
I choose to build a positive life, not fear based because the fear based are hate and fear cults, aka the chicken lickers..
You can always move to a different EU country. Somewhere north.
Become Catholic, make Italy great again. Having children in a catholic marriage is not wrong. Don’t listen to fear mongering that having children is bad for the planet. We are de populating. We should want people on this earth to help the planet
Thank you for this sober and calm analysis of a topic which gets ignored by most people. Please continue with your courage and balls!
Never stop talking about it, and don't apologise, Sabine. It's one of the most important subjects of modern times.
No it isn't
"Never stop talking about it, and don't apologise"
Show some FAITH! Believe!
@@paddleed6176 Just curious. How old are you and where do you live? I'm 54. Cochabamba, Bolivia.
Suggestiin: look up #JHAT, Just Have A Think.
@@thomasmaughan4798 Or, you know, do what Sabine does and show some evidence. That thing the Abrahamic religions never do for the supernatural.
These guys will deny any evidence shown to them but they'll wholeheartedly believe in supernatural beings without any evidence 😂
I'm Australian, spent the first half of my life growing fruit, 4th generation to do so. We started seeing measurable change in 1980s. Increased hail, higher temps burning fruit and higher minimum temperatures affecting fruit budding. The harvesting season has moved to earlier in year by about 3 weeks. Bush fire season can be up to 8 months or more now. Australia has always had extremes but now the extremes are extreme. As modelling and now reality shows we are one of the most affected countries with climate change. Already more sensitive crops are having to either move south or higher in altitude. This of course has limitations, especially altitude. Already a very dry continent with over use of irrigation growing the wrong crops the future doesn't fill me with delight. And that's not mentioning the affects on our ocean fisheries or our wonderful unique wildlife.
Also Australian, and have noticed the same. It is heart-breaking, and still we continue down the same stupid path.
Tomatoes here in Nz have become notoriously hard to grow because our UV levels atm are through the roof
😂😂 you don't "notice" climate change, it happens over time scales more vast than a humans life time or 2. What you are seeing is called the weather. Yes it can and does fluctuate. Its not global warming.
Weren't water rights in Australia also tradable like stocks?
The forecast depletion of 50% of the Globe's aquifers, by 2050, will force starvation and mass population migrations, decades before average temperatures are forecast to make the cultivation of the existing crops impossible, if there were only the goundwater. Places like Saudi have already banned the use of groundwater for agriculture, as for now they can sell oil to import food, and burn oil to desalinate water. Though Australia, China, Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Iran, Turkey, Mexico, Spain, USA, ..., aren't is the same position, and have 4bn bodies dependent on pumping ground water.
I'm Canadian. A "carbon price" or "carbon tax" is a very good suggestion in theory, since it would motivate the manufacturers to adopt more friendly production routines, but in practice they just increase the price of the goods they create and that price increase gets trickled down all the way to the end user. Manufacturers charge more money, pay off the tax, and continue producing as normal, with no change to their habits.
I agree with all points you mentioned. One thing at 17:30 where I would mildly disagree. I think, stuff will not just be much more expensive but whole markets will collapse. Markets are not naturally given, they are a set of regulations that require certain prerequisites (e.g. defence of property). Once food exporting nations will suffer from these huge droughts, the farmers there will no-longer export for some green paper - they will keep the food for themselves. Meaning that certain foods will not just be crazy expensive in the global north as well, but simply not available (e.g. exotic fruits like avocados, bananas, coffee etc. But also many meat products because there will not be enough soy for all the animals.)
I think, we in the global north, should (if we can afford it ofc) reduce our regular working time as much as possible (e.g. to 60%) and use the additional 40% time to create local, de-centralized agro-forst/permacultural systems. This would benefit us in at least three different ways at the same time.
1. We create resilient social and ecological systems in our neighborhood (which will be much needed once the crisis really kicks in). This increases the capabilities of our societies to react together towards crisis + the strength of ecosystems to have more time to adapt to new climatical circumstances.
2. We invest less time in the current dys-functional (economic) system and therefore reducing our carbon footprint + handprint AND produce less stuff that can be a threat in moments of conflict (e.g. weapons)
3. We increase our food security and reduce the induced stress for exporting regions as well (e.g. countries that suffer from droughts just to produce water-intensive fruits/crops for the global north)
4. Potentially, psychologically, we will be happier because we create something with our communities which leads to stronger social bonds and less climate anxiety (through meaningful action)
5. List to be continued - happy to hear your thoughts
what you'e listing i part of contingency plans being setup on national levels. did you read what your gov is building up?
I think climate anxiety is a bit of a buzzword blown out of proportions by Greta Thunberg and Co. extinction rebellion etc. political activism, that really is a very small minority of even "young people".. 90+ percent of ppl just worry responsibily about climate and knows that it is a serious matter due to the consequences of it.. and also just in general, because they care about nature and pollution etc. Which is obviously not a bad quality to have.
@@ComplexConfiguration didn't expect someone to actually read my whole thing. Glad you did, though and thank you for your perspective on this :-)
Actually, I agree with you - Climate Anxiety is not affecting a super large share of people (10 percent would already be a lot imo and is probably less as you indicated with your +). I didn't intend it to be my strongest argument (even if mentioned lastly), I just listed what came up in my mind.
However, I would still say that the effect of Climate Anxiety should be taken seriously. The problem that I see with it, is that people who actually invest mental capacity into reflecting and dealing with the Climate/Biodiversity/et.c crisis tend to be more affected by anxiety than those who don't. And as I see it, many people (including myself) are actively distancing themselves from the effects of the poly-crisis to protect their own mental health. This is perfectly normal and a healthy protection mechanism. But it also reduces the urge to actually change something in one's own circle and therefore presents in a way a paralyzing effect.
What I would like to add to my original last argument is that by acting and achieving positive change together, we create a positive resonance/feedback loop by feeling empowered and reduce the feeling of isolation/loneliness that many people suffer from. Loneliness has strong paralyzing effects to. I am happy to hear your opinion on it.
I'm 60 and have seen changes, one is the lack of flying insects, over 40 years ago, I'd return from a summer ride on my motorbike and would barely be able to see through the insect smeared visor, these days four or five insects over the whole visor.
You're probably thinking of the 1979 greenfly explosion. Like all these events, just one of those things that happens occasionally. Nothing to worry about. There is no man-made climate change.
Couldn’t be the huge increase in telecom masts & the 1000s 3:42 & 1000s of low orbiting telecom satellites.
There’s a rumour that insects, birds etc may be sensitive to emf environments
Even us!
& there has been a huge increase in the incidence of a once rare brain cancer glioblastoma as well as an increase in heart & brain conditions among young & middle age adults
& an explosion in dementia in older adults
Must be climate change!
Which explains the dramatic collapse in amphibian populations, in particular frogs and toads. I’m in my 60s too and have observed that the world of my youth and the world we live in now aren’t the same - and I don’t like it. I blame humans. We’re the cause of climate change and I have little faith in our willingness to address the crises that lies ahead. God help us…
I've been a truck driver for about 35 years and I've noticed the same. Vehicles used to be caked in bugs. There's a highway that goes through Toronto and 30 years ago I'd have to constantly clean my windscreen. Now, no matter where I drive there are hardly any insects. I emailed a Monarch researcher in Michigan mentioning that on my drives, on average, I would count between 70 to 90 Monarchs hitting my truck every day not counting the possible near hits or the ones I didn't see. During peak migration I've counted 120 to 140. She wasn't impressed which blew my mind. I don't hear bird song anymore, and this is the first year I haven't had any mice getting into my house. Things are bad
I'm also 60 and noticed this too. It's one of the scariest examples of baseline shift. Young people see this as normal and don't know how different and rich our world used to be.
the fact that this video is only a day old and has over 14k comments already, with over half a million views, pretty much says it all. it doesn't matter what stance a body takes on the topic, it drives people to engage with the topic. i feel bad for whoever Sabine's community manager is (especially if it's herself) 'cause those comments are going to range from the rage cage murder threat comments to the supportive thanks for the information comments.
Climate change is real. Both sides can agree. The problem for me and alot of us is, WE are doing ALOT more than anyone else. And it gets used to push “The Green New Deal” ala AOC. Why don’t Greta and AOC go to China and get them to make changes? They want us to give them trillions of dollars for solar panels that they don’t bother to invest in themselves. They have more than quadrupled their emissions since 2000. They’ve built more coal power plants than the rest of the world combined last year… which they also managed to accomplish the year before that as well. We’ll build better sustainable housing and China will keep building ghost cities of skyscrapers. Dumping trash into the ocean. And creating so much air pollution that 2 million people die a year in their country from it.
The 1% know which videos to push, bc they're part of the agenda. I would question videos high in popularity, & not automatically think there's something valid in it.
@@NE0Nwhip I assume you dont get your head checked only because psychiatrists are also part of the agenda? :D
@@NE0Nwhipso I see you’re in the first camp huh
. *Was the Garden of Eden supercharged with atmospheric CO2?*
Fact... *All human activity = only 4% of Global CO2 production today.*
Volcanoes alone, are dumping more CO2 into the atmosphere in a matter of weeks than humans do in a year.
Fact... Colorless, odorless atmospheric CO2 is the exact opposite of air pollution, and actually stimulates healthy plant and animal growth..
Fact... During the Age of Dinosaurs, atmospheric CO2 was well over 5,000 ppm.
Fact... The 500,000,000 year average for atmospheric CO2 is well over 1,000 ppm.
Since the last Ice Age 12,000 years ago, atmospheric CO2 has doubled to 420 ppm.
. *Can you see how far from "normal" CO2 levels we still are today?*
. *Stop feeling guilty about human activity creating CO2.*
As long as the trends are towards a warmer climate, we all have to stop being afraid of our naturally changing climate over time, and enjoy the ride (my opinion).
Who disagrees with any of these facts?... Anyone?
All of these facts are easy to prove true, so, who/what is promoting Global Fear of Climate Change, and why are they doing it?
*Answer:... If you have not personally investigated the World Ecinomic Forum
Great Reset 2030 Agenda yet, now's the time.*
Most plants are not climate zone locked as you suggest. I'm in zone 7. Most plants that I would ordinarily grow usually would do well from like zone five or so all the way up to zone 9 or 10 depending on the plant. It's not like all the zone 7 plants die as soon as it gets hot enough to be zone 8.
True there are always microclimates like the one in the mountains of Western North Carlins mountains where they had 4 citrus trees growing with no problem because it never got down to freezing in that spot even back in the 1980s.
Just discovered thus channel and I love finding academic and well presented information on my feed like this!
I find it so hard to understand why everyone with eyes, ears, and a normally functioning brain isn't terrified of what is happening.
Climate Change is not necessarily an intuitive topic. To fully appreciate it you need to not only know a bit of climate science but also have an understanding of thermodynamics, predictive modelling, hysteris in systems, and a half dozen other STEM concepts that most people are never educated on.
It's also an issue where the prescription given to ordinary people sucks. Eat less meat, ride the bus, use paper straws, stop flying in airplanes, and be willing to pay more for consumer goods. Oh and if you do all that we're all still probably doomed because your individual consumer habits dont make a dent.
We shouldn't pretend that climate denial, as an emotional response, is difficult to understand. The question still needs to be how do you cut through that and convince people to sacrifice and feel fear about something that to those not scientifically educated can feel like bullshit.
🤔 Probably cos, most societies worldwide have been based in having "faith" in God magic (as in "trust me bro" ) & say it's a virtue to trust in "faith" that a "god" is looking after us / will fix it..
( or is MEANT to bring the "end of times", saving them 🤦♀️)
This has been a dangerous slippery slope into self-blinding from the obvious reality around us, & excusing them from thinking they need to do anything to help..
🤔 Can't blame peeps centuries+ ago cos they had no way to know better..
But now we DO have the tools to see/ measure the reality we really live in, & the physical ability to help fix what we've been doing wrong ..
🤦♀️☮️🌏
Because we have been fear mongered for two decades and beraly anything have happened? Just the predictions and threats are ramping up. At least that's what my eyes and ears have been observing. This video slightly worried me, as a first, in a long time.
Because it’s bad for your mental health. There’s nothing we can bloody do about it except vote. In a republic, you depend on your representatives to act.
@rpals5412 climate change scares me because from my understanding by the time it starts effecting us it will be too late to turn it around and I don't trust institutions to take climate change seriously until it starts effecting their profits.
50 years ago, hitting 100° was a big deal where I live. It rarely happened. Last summer we hit 100° for 30 days straight. We suffered drought and farmers lost crops. It's been really hot for about a decade now.
It’s crazy
Where I live, in SE PA, USA, it feels like the opposite. This is anecdotal, but I’d say summers tend to be cooler and wetter than they used to. But winters are way warmer. Snow is becoming rare.
@chmd22 NJ here. Snow is far from rare. We haven't been slammed in a few years, mid-90s and late 2000's were the last time I remember blizzards that dropped several feet of snow. In the mid 2010's we had those "polar vortexes" those winters were brutally cold. The last few winters have been relatively mild.
It's a natural occurrence. Ever hear of the dust bowl? Nature does stuff. The sun, the earth, the sky... Everything is in flux. It always has been.
A few years ago in July or so, it snowed in both hemispheres. When it snows in summer in North America--that's climate change.
The recorded temperature history is too short a time to be considered entirely useful in climate determinations such as what is "natural" variability?
CO-2 is plant food, so what do they do? Biofuels--cut down and burn forests. When normally green trees would absorb and thereby sink carbon from the atmosphere, idiots are paid to destroy forests--that makes no sense. Who paid them?
Where I am a few years ago they had the coldest day on record in over a century, but that lasted only a day or so, and then the temperature went back up high again.
Naysayers. They always seem to be wrong.
What is to say that Dr. Helmut Fluhrer's precipitation-influencing ionic atmospheric layer devices have not been deployed and used to promote globalism? In 2010 his company was known as Metro Systems and his company made artificial rainstorms in Abu Dhabi UAE for about 50 of 60 days when normally there is no precipitation at all.
Now his company is named Weathertec. Born in Germany, and living in Switzerland, Fluhrer's critics are naysayers who base their criticisms on absolutely nothing. That's like saying that there is no causal link between smoking cigarettes and lung cancer--also known as tobacco science.
Thick rainstorm clouds in the daytime cast very dark shadows that block the sun's rays from reaching the surface and heating it. What if clouds at nighttime were eliminated to let surface-level heat disperse into outer space. What is the capacity of outer space to dissipate such radiation? Thereby, any daytime accumulated heat can be cast into outer space by clearing the skies at night.
The ionic polarization of the atmosphere can be altered by throwing a polarity switch on such atmospheric layer ionization machines.
Wikipedia used to have a citation of Metro Systems weather modification experiments of 2010. The article had the information excized. Who would have that be done? Hmmm?
reference: business journal artificial rainstorms abu dhabi uae
In this case, climate change can be compelled by the constant operation of such equipment to whatever purpose is desired--heating or cooling. Energy saving or energy-wasting on heating or cooling.
The people with huge amounts of money pay hired goons to enforce their will on the rest of us. Some guy invents a 100 mpg v-8 carburetor in the 1920s. What happens? Lead is added to gas as an anti-knock agent that just happens to clog such carburetor designs--coincidence--I think NOT! Some video on TH-cam explains that the addition of lead to gas ended up killing a lot of people with this additive. Lead and other heavy metals are known causes of brain damage.
Experiments were done with WW1 battleship hull painters to get rid of their lead poisoning. Those who had heart conditions said that the treatment made their heart condition disappear. Later that treatment was banned so that heart surgeons would not lose any business. Fake studies were done to pooh-pooh the entire finding. Science is for sale--a corrupt business you could find anywhere in our corrupted world where love of money motivates the masses to do immoral things that damage themselves and their loved ones. Seems that the rich want to get richer and lord over the rest of us. Some schemes should be invented, not Marxism, that counteracts the evils of Marxism such as central banking and control of financial systems by constantly changing monetary policies and encouraging people not to work by giving more people handouts whenever they vote for them.
How to undo corruption? Advanced lie detection systems, truth serums, and a list of pointed questions to unearth corruption and its network of influencers and financial supporters. Punish the guilty rather than the innocent.
The Permafrost in the northern hemisphere is melting for the first time in 2 million years. And it's not only melting, it's melting from the bottom up because there's enough biomass in there for the bacteria to produce enough heat to melt adjacent permafrost. That's a lotta methane.
thats not true. we are in an ice age period and in the fourth warm period in that ice age cycle. our temperature will rise for quite some time yet and the shorter intervalls will peak between 2030-2040 than we'll have about 60 years of cooling, less than last time but still cooling. After that it turns again.
@@user-zp6xd1pc5z So why is permafrost with woolly mammoth tusks in it suddenly melting? That is not short-term cycles, they've been gone for 10,000 years.
Can you say the phrase "Milankovitch Cycles"? By all historic cycles we should be going into an ice age right now, not warming up.
So you admit the climate always changes.
@@limerickman8512 Usually there's a pretty definite reason.
@@thesquatchdoctor3356 especially when the doom and the chicken lickens gloomers keep cherry picking dataset and leave out inconvenient facts. Also they change their narratives from "global warming " to "climate change" which is a devious shift in language, especially when the climate was never stable in earth history. In the 70s the major superpowers thought there was going to be an ice age. The fear was so real that the Americans/British subs and scientists paired up with the Soviets subs and scientists to measure the volume of ice in the Arctic. This was during the height of nuclear war fears.
Yet today we are told there was no cooling which contradicts with past datasets. Also when they published the dataset each year. The old historical dataset get tweaked and does not match old published dataset. That is fraud.
The reason these numbers are off is because it will take hundreds to thousands of years before all of the changes stabalize.
She was for sure not kidding when she mentioned "...it will be quite depressing" :(
Nope, because u aren't OPPRESSED like me: We should welcome Global Warming because Africans are used to WARM climate & get "ashey" in cold weather... THEREFORE... Trying to reverse Global Warming IS RACIST!!!😅😂😊
If new materials are discovered by AI that are 100X better at absorbing atmospheric C02 and turn it into inert, solid C02, then that will allow us to solve this in a novel way.
The challenge is not the absorbing material alone, but the energy you need to pass all the air through the material. Ok if installed with a Carbon dioxide producing power plant, but to forget for processing ambient air.
I don't find it depressing, I find it energizing to have a problem laid out that we have to do something about. Depressing would be if things would improve if we did nothing.
As a layman, I appreciate your videos Doctor Hossenfelder, and the time and effort you and your team put into breaking down the most complex of topics into easily digestible bite-sized pieces. Thank you Doctor!
I think the best way for us layman to talk about climate change, it to be informed, but not use it as a tool, because we can't explain it as well as communicators.
instead, we should talk about climate change as a humanitarian crisis, its not whether or not, or who did it, but why aren't we helping people who are in need, especially when it'll damage us as well
I wonder if it has occurred to Sabine that companies and other vested interests might be using bots to mass downvote her climate videos? They only need to convince her that it’s an unpopular topic, if they hope to stop her from making them. At least that’s what they will be gambling on, if they hope to influence her at all? So, it won’t matter to them that others can’t see the numbers as you can.
I’m more afraid of gravity change. Since the widespread availability of backyard trampolines started in the late 60s the earth’s rotation has slowly been knocked out of kilter. It is now becoming critical, countless billions are being spent of so called ‘climate change” yet this more pressing pending disaster is largely ignored. I can solve this problem once and for all using strategically placed counter weights on springs at strategic gravity hotspots ( namely my backyard) and I can do all this for a cool 2.5 billion dollars. Don’t wait for the world to end with us all either shooting off into space of being crushed into the ground. Send your tax deductible donation to the “Harvest the gullible fools Institute”. We are also hiring the services of Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny to solve Climate Change. Santa is going to fly his slay around during his off season and the Easter Bunny will accompany him sprinkling the clouds with left over chocolate which has been finely powdered. This will stain the clouds brown and block the sun ending the dreaded warming that we are assured will one day cause sea levels to rise somehow. This can be done for the bargain price of 1.25 ! So what are you waiting for Send your tax deductible donation to the “Harvest the gullible fools Institute” NOW or they may be no tomorrow !
@@acasccseea4434 it isn’t a crisis when the historical average temperature is higher than the current. 150 years of data on a 4.5 billion year old planet isn’t enough data. Ice core samples say the average temp is higher in virtually all times. We are in a cold age right now and coming out of it.
@@UnlinkedCashews You're missing the point. Nobody is saying the climate is different to historical times, they are saying the climate is becoming different to what we need today for our survival. When you say the climate was this warm billions of years ago, remember that there weren't any humans alive back then either which is what everyone's concern is. If you don't consider the potential loss of your food supply as a crisis, perhaps you'll at least be concerned about having millions of refugees suddenly invading your country looking for food and a place to live.
For me it is very hard to listen to these kinds of messages. Because I KNOW that horrible things will happen in the near future and because I have a small daughter who I don’t, really really don’t want to suffer and I feel so sorry for her and feel so deeply helpless. Also my everyday life is so exhausting trying to survive as it is, that I don’t have the capacity to actively try to change anything. I do what I can but I don’t feel that anything I do has any kind if impact because everyone around me seems so deeply ignorant…
I am already depressed…so I find myself in the weird situation that I myself start to ignore everything that has to do with climate change because I can’t bare it anymore…
What they're not telling you is the seasons are blending together, Winters are getting warmer, and summers are literally disappearing in the Northeast. You don't need to be a scientist, all you need is a thermometer and a window.
What worries me most is that the Keeling curve doesn't show any change from its exponential growth the last 10 years. Only in 1991-1992 there was a tiny, tiny dip, arguably due to Mount Pinatubo eruption, or collapse of the Sovjet Union. So, CO2 reductions have not been registered...
th-cam.com/video/ErftVFXSRso/w-d-xo.html
Dec 3rd 1972
50 top scientists met at Brown University to write an open letter to Nixon to save us from the coming ice age by melting the arctic by covering it with soot.
Jan 5th 1978 NYT
International team of spspecialist finds no end in sight of 30 year cooling trend in noerthern hemisphere.
The same year a world Meteorologist meeting was held in Geneva to counter global cooling
China.
@@beskydyk And then wait for India and else
@@beskydyk China has increased his carbon emissions but also because most countries are externalising its production, which means that we're mostly buying things that were made there (and so polluted there). It's unfair to say that Europe is a "clean" region when that comes at the price of polluting in the other side of the globe.
13:16
Hearing you curse is such a weird surprise. I felt that frustration
All else aside, it kind of turns me on when she swears. 😍
It's very hard to feel anyone is serious when we aren't switching to nuclear power. Especially if China and India don't switch first. We share 1 atmosphere.
@@jr7853nuclear power isn't a panacea. It isn't going to cleanse the environment of micro plastics andnforever chemicals, it isn't going to reverse the greenhouse gas feedback loop, it isn't going to regrow the forests, it isn't going to restock global fisheries. Nuclear power is a piece of the puzzle, and only a piece that's meant to replace the fuel that our civilization runs on not ensure it's sustainability, even though it is less of a carbon footprint I believe it would only keep the status quo, i.e. capitalism.
@@jr7853 : Who is "anyone" in that scenario? The public doesn't decide these things. The people who want nuclear have to get investors and they tend to be big money losers. China invests more in nuclear and renewables than any other country. India is still a distant 3rd to the US in carbon emissions.
you know what? too late: "experts" have been telling us the end of the world is near for at least 50 years. I don't blame anyone for not believing "scientists"
It doesn't matter how much clouds affect climate change models. All the models say climate change is real. So we still need to take action regardless of whether clouds have a big effect or a minor effect.
Defending pumping billions of metric tons of pollutants per year into the atmosphere and saying “prove beyond all of my doubts (reasonable and unreasonable) that I’m doing harm” is to me somewhere akin to stabbing someone repeatedly and saying “it’s up to you to prove I’m hurting this person so I’ll stop”.
What about water? Virtually unlimited resource that has secretly been used as an energy source in the past allegedly. The government and corporations didn't want it interfering with profit and taxation elements. Green energy at the end of the day is still created with profit margins and the ability for it to be taxable. None of the alternative energy solutions that have been created are designed to help the environment first , it's always profits first and then help . That's why we'll never truly see a substantial change made.
@@murrproductions9654 I feel this way about EV's.. like the environmental damage making a tesla and the insane toxic pollution an exploding battery causes should put things into perspective. Yes we subsidize them and pretend we're doing something.
I retired in 1993 to Washington near Puget Sound, 47.1854° N. As a lay person attentive to the natural world (climate) I had encountered in my life up to then, I figured Washington State would have the weather of San Francisco in 50 years. Robins leave the area for the winter. It heralds spring when they return. I saw my first Robin on 25 January 2024. In 1993 it was March before I saw any. There are buds on the bush in the yard. I have been studying my yard and things are changing.
I'm in victoria BC just north and i was shocked to see the Robin's so early as well.
DR RICHARD LINDZEN? TH-cam I LOOK FOR AT LEAST 2 OPINIONS DR LINDZEN HAS BEEN IN CLIMATE OVER 40 YRS AND STATES WHAT THIS IS IS POLITICS
I am in Oregon, here for 20 years. Oregon weather is very close to what northern CA used to be in the seventies, and northern CA appears to be drying and warming. And yes, the robins are here all year long now.
Lindzen gets money from the coal industry. You have to know who you are getting your information from these days. @@PeachesCourage
Oh darn. There's more life in your yard. How terrible, the world might end that you saw a sparrow in January.
I waited until the "Stop watching if you have anxiety" warning to give a thumbs up.
I think I might need a similar trigger warning for this year's elections, nearly half of world's population will be electing leaders this year and there has never been more misinformation and hate online.
Go watch some videos from real climate scientists that reacted to this video and you will realize that Sabine is out of her depth.
All the green NGO and their supporters in the media live from such fantasy to freighten the poeple.
@@nobodyimportant7804 a comment like this is useless without a reference to the other videos that you prefer
@@nobodyimportant7804
Who do you mean by "real climate scientist"? Name at least three of them.
The real threat to human life, with or without hot model accuracy-is dogmatists of any angle seizing political power. What I’m really happy to see here, if almost nowhere else, is intelligent, critical discussion of important topics. I greatly appreciate that no one’s echo chambers seem comfortable with you. Thank you for that.
Simple, I'm researching today, where to live tomorrow.
I don't need to be in any one city, one town, or out in the country. I've moved around my whole life. If I don't like the climate, I'll get up and move to a climate I do like.
The thing that worries me is that every IPCC report includes a phrase to the effect of "things are accelerating faster than previously supposed". If we keep adjusting the model to accommodate "faster than supposed" growth, and the next year comes out even more faster than supposed, I dunno, seems like a problem.
This is only true if you look at recent years. There was an entire decade(2005-2015) where the global average temperature didn’t move much at all and the predictions were much worse than reality. They’re quick to say that THAT was an outlier decade, but when we have a massive unusual global heatwave of a summer in 2023, which is the definition of an outlier, they will say that’s indicative of an accelerating temperature change. It’s not. There’s not enough data yet so it, by definition, is an outlier & just a weirdly hot year, which more aligns with the solar cycle than anything else.
They fake the data. They are constantly "adjusting" past temperatures based on a number of excuses to make them cooler. They claim stuff like temperature gauges weren't accurate enough etc, and then adjust the data to the numbers that meet their agenda.
Then their models are constantly wrong. And as the saying goes, if the predictions are wrong, it's because the hypothesis was incorrect. That's how real science works.
They also assume that heat exchange with the interior of the Earth can't change on the order of a human life span while there is no measurement to support that since most of the Earth's surface is covered in water and we know more about Mars than we do about the Ocean floor.
The model isn't causing the warming. Even if we adjust model to accommodate faster warming (not really how it works), there's no causal loop that that then makes Earth warm even faster. Just means we keep under estimating it.
@@mirfjc Oh, thank goodness this poster was around to inform us that observational data doesn't cause the observational data that is observed when taking observational data.
I'm Colombian and in the particular area where i live, it hasn't rain in like 2 months and counting. Water is running out, Heat is reaching peak highs, i know it because i work construction and the sun it's unbearable compared to previous years. Mind you the place i live has abundant water, but two to three months without a single drop of water dries anything including crops plus the wildfire crisis. Farmers are concerned, everyone is.😢
i live in south brazil... the cut down of amazon forest changed the rains here too... now the rains that should go to colombia and other western latam countries go to here... and a lot of floods are happening
@@fete0 It's really problematic how drastic it can be, most people here don't even own a car or heavy industry. Somehow we get affected 😔.
It's called HAARP.
climate is variable and there are 10 20 50 100 200 1000 years cycle
Buy carbon credits, and everything will be fine.
It's not tiresome, it's worrisome. Ignoring it won't make it go away!
So many ppl have so little understanding of where their food comes from. They dont understand that this effects food too. My boss thinks because he can melt an ice cube in a glass of water that climate change doesn't exist.
I think I may have met him on line ; ) Had to tell him when the ice melts overall salinity is lowered in the ocean. It's a fact the lower the salinity, the lower density yet the larger volume. Melting of sea ice doesn’t increase the mass but it increases the volume and therefore causes the water level to rise, but that is not the only cause of rise.
I just wanted to say, thank you so much for the warning for people with anxiety. Most creators would use that part of the video to really suck people in, and instead you encourage to stop watching. I have severe panic attacks about existential topics, and often I don't have the sense to stop consuming things that I know will stoke that in me. Having you advise to leave the video was so helpful.
My son taught me to embrace insufficient action. Look into it. It may seem like a waste but it really can help.
Also anxious, but I watched and I was gratified to hear someone state out loud every single painfully obvious result of climate change. So didn't make me more anxious made me feel...finally it's not me it's reality.
I agree, it was a strange kind of relief to just hear someone say it all. @@debrabarnhardt1103
That's what the left do, induce fear to more easily control the people.
"Those poor people who dont conveniently die right away." Sabine you are a rockstar
Her sardonic comment is the official policy the the American Republican Party it its MAGA Christians.
A rabid eugenicist. A predator trapped in a gilded cage plotting the death of everything moving freely. Evil itself is what I take from the presentation.
What people miss about the climate migration crisis is that nation states do not simply lay down and die. Northern nations are regressing politically, turning more to ethnonationalism, halting immigration, and turning their borders into armed fortresses. The plan the first world is converging to is to raise the drawbridge and shoot anyone who shows up at the gates. While this technique can keep out a loose flood of disorganized migrants, it fails when actual nation states are involved. Border patrols aren't going to stop armies.
And the real scary thing about this is we're talking massive heavily armed nation states with nothing to lose. What will the leaders of India do if they're told that in ten years, 95% of their population will be dead due to lethal heatwaves? If history teaches us anything, it's that those leaders will start demanding a place for their people to migrate to. They won't just want us to let immigrants in, they will want us to hand over some of the increasingly habitable high latitude territories as land for entire nations to relocate to.
And these governments really will have nothing to lose. We have been spoiled in the post-1945 world in that nuclear weapons, for all their terror, have meant that the big nation states don't fight total wars against each other anymore. There's literally no reason to; anything you would hope to gain from attacking another nuclear power would be more than cancelled out by the apocalyptic destruction a nuclear conflict would unleash.
But if your nation is already facing annihilation, if doing nothing will result in the certain doom of your people, what do you have to lose? If the Indian subcontinent becomes completely uninhabitable, the people living there, in the most populace nation on Earth, literally have nothing to lose by throwing their entire society into a total war effort to capture more habitable lands. Even if that conflict results in a nuclear war, it's still a rational strategy for them to pursue. If you're facing a changing climate that will kill 95% of your people, a nuclear war, even one that kills 75% of your people, is a good move. Vast regions of the globe being rendered uninhabitable is one of the few scenarios where a nuclear exchange may actually be a sane choice to a sufficiently desperate country.
And the reason I mention nukes is to break through Western chauvinism and beliefs about the absolute military superiority of Western countries. Even if you believe that the northern countries, by din of their vastly superior military acumen, will somehow resist an entire Indian subcontinent thrown into a total war economy, nukes put the lie to that idea. We're engineering a situation where even nuclear war is a rational option for nations of sufficient desperation. And most people are in complete denial about it, thinking that the worst that will happen through climate change is a few coastal vacation homes get flooded.
I wish it was funny.
nice synchronicity, five seconds before I called her a “rockstar” too! 😎
I live in south Louisiana. A very humid area. Last summer we had a drought. It went 2 months without rain when normally, the summer is full of rain. The plants died. The first drought even in my 80 year old grandad’s memory.
Thunderstorms used to be a summer thing in my childhood. Last year, after the drought, the rain was much worse than normal. Its like it came late. By fall and continuing into this spring, everytime it rains here, it floods. It rains until cars are underwater. If there is going to be rain, everyone is staying home. Why was covid lockdown such a big deal, but the “economy “ isnt concerned with all the missed work days due to climate change?
because "covid" kills people immediately...
Your great grandmother did know and experience about the great dust bowel.
I’m just trying to keep my head above water; figuratively and literally.
I've noticed that whenever something troubling emerges, it always seems to the tip of a way bigger iceberg than we realized.
I agree, I think; (you've omitted a word or two, between "always" and "bigger".)
Thank you!
Because people keep burying their heads in the sand until it cannot be ignored.
The entire religion of global warming or climate change is based upon one fundamental misapprehension which, if you remove it, causes the entire theory or religion to collapse, and the fundamental misapprehension is that there either is or can be, any such thing as a Global temperature.
It is impossible to talk about a single temperature for something as complicated as the climate of Earth.
A temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system. Furthermore, the climate is not governed by a single temperature. Rather, differences of temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc. which make up the climate.
Planet Earth doesn’t have ‘a temperature’, one figure that says it all. There are oceans, landmasses, ice, the atmosphere, day and night, and seasons. Also, the temperature of Earth never gets to equilibrium: just as it’s starting to warm up on the sunny-side, the sun gets ‘turned off’; and just as it’s starting to cool down on the night-side, the sun gets ‘turned on’. The ‘temperature of Earth’ is therefore as much of a contrived statistic as the GDP of a country. (If the Earth was in equilibrium, that is, if it absorbed and re-emitted the Sun’s radiation perfectly, as a ‘blackbody’, then its rotation would be irrelevant, and the temperature would be a constant 6 ⁰C. Mocking up the effects of Earth’s albedo brings the ‘blackbody’ temperature down to -18 ⁰C, and including greenhouse warming brings it back up to around 15 ⁰C.)
‘The climate’ is difficult to define: is it a trend over one decade, century, or millennium? For what sized region is it defined ? Weather is very variable - how can we go from weather to climate? Furthermore, climate change on human timescales is a very small effect, and the empirical data needed for climate models have large ‘error’ bars.
If you cannot define what is changing, you cannot say it is changing; It is essential to understand that no man apprehend or experience the entire plant -the whole-thing all-at-once. You cannot even sense apprehend experience yourself - he-whole-thing, all-at-once, so how could you possibly experience something as gigantic as the planet on which you live, other than piecemeal and seriatim - little bit after little bit.
If you remove the fallacy that there either is or can be, any such thing as a “Global Temperature” , the entire edifice of climate change and/or global warming, collapses, because it is contingent on the idea that there can be , or is, a “ Global Temperature, which is a thermodynamic and mathematical
impossibility. While it is possible to treat temperature statistically locally, it is meaningless to talk about a global temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a huge number of components which one cannot just add up and average. That would correspond to calculating the average phone number in the phone book. That is meaningless. Or talking about economics, it does make sense to compare the currency exchange rate of two countries, whereas there is no point in talking about an average 'global exchange rate'.
If temperature decreases at one point and it increases at another, the average will remain the same as before, but it will give rise to an entirely different thermodynamics and thus a different climate. If, for example, it is 10 degrees at one point and 40 degrees at another, the average is 25 degrees. But if instead there is 25 degrees both places, the average is still 25 degrees. These two cases would give rise to two entirely different types of climate, because in the former case one would have pressure differences and strong winds, while in the latter there would be no wind.
I live in Northern Europe and love my local forest. Last summer which was unusually long, dry and hot I've found out that one of my favourite spots in the forest that also had some very rare plants was being quickly destroyed by bark beetles. It was like a warzone! Huge old spruce trees were dying quickly, falling and the sound of the beetles chewing on the bark was eerie. I literally cried in shock. They were always there but never in such quanitites and destroying the forest so quickly! It came to my mind that sooner or later our forest may be completely gone if this continues. I don't know what I'm gonna do if it happens. The forest has been my best friend, therapist and also a provider of nutrient-rich food. It will be so stressful to see it dying that i may have to move elsewhere. I believe, the bark beetles propagated due to the favourable conditions, like the extremely dry, hot and long summer. I really hope it will not be like this every year, but looks like science doesn't support it.
Tonga volcano 2022. Why aren't climate scientists talking more about that event that lofted huge amounts of IR-absorbing water vapor into the normally dry stratosphere where it is especially well-placed to absorb IR and affect the climate?
I just returned from Iceland. Had a great time hiking over glaciers that will be gone in 10 years. Real tragedy.
But is it a win or loss for life ? Forest lost, beetles won. Sometimes it feels that climate examples are very human egoistic, but phrased as an issue of life itself. Or more specificly, we are worried for our life to be exactly as it is now and not different,, like old people want the life to be as when they were young. Should we be looking forward to changes, rather than grasping at the past ?
@@dmitripogosian5084 To me, a selfish anthropocentric nordic woman who loves forest, it is my own personal tragedy and it matters to me the most. Of course, mentally I can empathize with the creatures who will gain something with the loss of the forest (but I'm pretty sure those who lose will be in much greater numbers), and I respect the dynamics of nature and its power over us. But emotionally I cannot accept it and will fight until I lose.
@@ChaviChoffChop That is understandable and valid position. But perhaps when we are talking about policies for the whole human population, it makes sense to point out that we often mean preservation of life very literally as it is now. For instance, it is probably far less important than in 100 years Manhattan will be underwater than some other things, and actually it is easier to relocate Manhattan than to change climate. So are we trying to protect not exactly the most relevant things ?
I can't believe it.
I'm watching it now, 2 months since publishing, and there's still no 200 people subbed to the cause after 1.6M views, cause I subbed now with sabina code and got my free month :(
This is also pretty consistent with the anecdotal observation that we seem to be hitting negative effects at lower levels of heating than previously thought
I live in Brazil. And in these models, there is still no room for unexpected effects that we don't yet know about. For example, for some time we did not know about the possibility of savannaization of the Amazon forest, nor about the aerial rivers that flow over the forest. And we still don't know if this phenomenon stops, what will happen to the climate on a global scale. We have many variables. And they all seem to point to the worst.
The amazon really is a huge part of the global ecosystem… it can't be allowed to die!!
@@acmhfmggru if u can't see the amazon dying you're willfully ignorant.
Great video! The "problem is that people can't agree to implement known solutions" is why I'm utterly hopeless. I'm sitting in Berlin, watching the government celebrating LNG contracts with Norway after shutting down working, amortized nuclear power plants. And Germans are supposed to be the rational ones. We are lost.
Leftist and greens are terrorists.
Rubbish, you can't expect a sudden change excluding fossil fuels. But things are changing, look at the reduction of coal usage in developed countries. Look at the shift to electric vehicles. By 2050 demand for fossil fuels will be dead.
It's finally completed: th-cam.com/video/ErftVFXSRso/w-d-xo.html
Germans never were rational. Germans are extremists. So, if you have a rational German, he is extremely rational. If you have a german fool, he is extremely foolish. And so on. What is not done wholheartedly is not done at all. Any known German in the last 400 yrs.
"Germany, you were the chosen one. It was said you would destroy climate change, not contribute to it!"
A jedi somewher
I wasn't worried about climate change either.
And I'm still not.
We have made the colossal mistake of wielding technology like a club, when we should have been wielding it like a scalpel.
One of the problems with Humans is that we tend to think that reality behaves like pop-sci quantum physics - that our beliefs alter the outcome.
Regardless of whether people like climate change videos or get their modelling data right, reality will continue to exist, no matter how wrong or right about it we are. Neither denying nor overstating will change the actual temperature.
True; in the same fashion, regardless of whether regular people in the west take the bus more often, sort trash into recycling bins, or donate a dollar to "plant a tree", or take the climate issue more seriously (or not), the building and use of coal power plants in china and india will continue, the wars in the middle east and around russia will continue, and the large corporations will continue to drive business for quarterly and at most annual profit targets.
Regardless of what we see happening in the reality, there is no reasonable pathway to meaningful action at a global level, because most of the globe is not interested in anything above talking.
@@ElijsDimaThis is the best comment here.
@@ElijsDima so, just keep destroying our environment and pray that god or some other miracle will save us ? Or prepare technologies that can help for the time even the stupid and the ignorant (and the poor) can't deny the problem anymore?
@@AdrieKooijman the consensus in the scientific community is that the climate changes. If the climate did not change, more credulity would be lent to the quantum simulation theory.
@@ElijsDima that's kind of the opposite of my point, it doesn't matter how you feel about recycling or about coal plants, or even about marine shipping; doomsaying will change the environment just as much as climate denial.
My point is more that people are trying to be eco to appease their fears, the same as people denying.
The warming from 1 tonne of CO2e is the same whether from making eco plastics or from a Russian nuclear centrifuge.
Cutting your personal emissions will help, regardless of how it feels. +3.5C and +2.5C both sound horrible, but giving up on the least bad one because you didn't get +1.5C is silly
I don't watch for the humor. I watch for the educational content. From what I can tell, the worst-case scenarios tend to be more accurate to date. And since no one wants to be seen as an alarmist, those predictions get rolled back to something more palatable. Politics in science communication. Keep it up, Sabine.
Exactly, the only thing we've learned is that we've practically exceeded every worse case scenario in the previous global warming models so far. I don't know why they'd decide to now die on the climate sensitivity hill for why global warming couldn't be happening even faster still.
I feel like a nutcase when I talk about it to friends. Don't want to sound like an alarmist, but we kinda...need to do something about this.
Don't smoke please. You are contributing for the worst-case scenario.
@Hei, I have read comments by scientists to the effect that they sometimes downplay the risk so as not to be seen as lunatic alarmists and also in fear that people will decide it´s hopeless and give up all efforts. In my opinion things are going to get very bad, that is inevitable at this stage, but we can still prevent them from getting truly horrible.
Been seeing alarmists for over 30 years man. Those paper straws are truly saving us all
The lives of people on this planet depend on us consuming MUCH LESS.
What I liked most of this and prevous video where you shared your frustration on your career path is your calm voice under the stress situation and not that hysterical attempt to put physics in the brain of genZ. Weiter so!
Ty for science truth. Texas weather patterns are changing from my 50 years of observing. Even dad a chem engineer, saw it in the 1970s. Keep teaching for our future children, a few are listening. Truth is never dishonorable, TY.
Were supposed to have a foot of snow and 10 degree temps up here in Minnesota but its getting up to the 50s for over week straight.
It’s so noticeable in the middle as well. In Ky we went from regular several inches of snow all winter even a decade ago, remember when 21• was noteworthy. Now it’s rain and 20sto 50s all winter with a few dry arctic blasts at near zero. My oldest kids played in the snow regularly and their younger brother barely remembers. The plants have been so confused earlier and earlier.
My husband wants to move south for the weather and I’m saying the south is coming to us!
Scotland is seeing temps over 19C. Should be under 10C.
When I moved to the UK, over 35years ago, it was normal to get 30cm of snow (that's in Yorkshire). Now, it is surprising if we get 2, 3 cm.
yeah, 50 years in millions, and YOU "know" climate is changing and the world will end in fire or ice or whatever is the panic hype of the moment.
You’re right, that was a bit depressing. Thanking you for sharing.
Not really... For Mankind... Not for Earth.
Even if you wiped out half of humanity. It isn't the only Fate being played on the table.
The Earth will inevitably end. Expand or face a later date of extinction.
Ending animal agriculture is the most important first step to solving climate collapse. Then we need an economy that rewards cooperation and mutual aid instead of exploitation and extraction.
I am worried about the ocean currents slowing to a halt. I am most worried about all of our children.
Sabine, Never apologise for making hard truth videos, you are an inspiration to all of youtube
Yes, never apologize for all the stone age people driving suv's that caused the earth's glaciers to recede , twice. Yes, its a hard truth that climate change didnt exist until humans came along. I mean just ask a dinosaur. Oh, wait..climate change a million years before man killed them before man created climate change.
When she starts making them, let us know.
Here isnt a shred of truth in this entire video.
Thats because neither of you know how to evaluate "truth" of reality. All you're doing is announcing your scientific illiteracy
@@wolfgangdali1036 unlike you basically anouncing nothing 🤣🤣🤣
Go Nuclear, Go Nuclear, Go Nuclear... I've been screaming this for two decades now... It's too good a source of energy to ignore when the alternatives are burning fossil fuels. Thank you for the deep dive Sabine!!!
We are far too stupid to steward the mass use of nuclear energy. We will inevitably spread radioactive waste everywhere.
NoOoOoOo wE CaN'T HaVe NuClEaR It's So ScAwy :(
unfortunately it is so expense and time consuming to build compared to renewables even though it could help in the medium term
In the meantime, we need some alternate source as we move far, far away from fossil fuel and natural gases. Nuclear plants can't be built fast enough before catastrophe strikes, but if we concentrate time, funding, and construction fast enough, we might have a chance.
@@smefourbs... the only reason it takes time is red tape.. when sweden built their first nuclear plants it took 6-8 yrs. And u can build several at one time, it's actually cheaper. And the cost has also been heavily overstated today compared to what it was in the 60-70s.
I can use example from sweden.. 1 kwh from forsmark nuclear cost 0.23sek while prices from our windfarms are 0.47-49sek (depending on what farm).
So it's half the price... doesn't really match with nuclear expensive!
The thing is that EU has inflated the price for new nuclear by regulating things so it will become more expensive than windfarms. Why? Bcoz Germany run eu and they hate nuclear... they are not the smartest ppl as we all saw in 2022 when Russia turned off the gas.
They’re not disliking it because they think it’s not important. They are disliking it because they can’t do anything about it. As a normal person, all you can do right now is vote for the right people and protest. That’s it. Our society needs to be changed completely for us to divert the worst outcomes and currently, 30-50% of our population doesn’t even believe in climate change. That’s why right now, lots of people just turn their heads away from climate change. Because we are helpless.
When you learn that the US is oil drilling in the Arctic Circle, it is pretty difficult to ignore our nose dive towards climate change and how dismissing the idea of climate change benefits those doing the oil drilling
We have investors in fossil fuels, with trillions of dollars at stake. Their fortunes depend on the continuing expectation that they will be able to sell through the known reserves. Every month they can delay rational public policy toward waste CO2 is worth billions of dollars. The half a billion or so they spend each year on "conservative think tanks" and related lobbying and public relations projects to undermine public confidence in science is a good investment.
We needs scientists like you, pls hang around and keep doing what you are doing.
absolutely!
I recommend Tony Heller, he exposes the climate scam. They have been manipulating climate data, erasing the heat of the 1930's and 40's, and the cooling of the 50's -70's. the big winners are China, who use 50% of the world's coal. There's no penalty for China.
We already have too many "scientists" that don't know what they're talking about spreading bad information. She isn't even getting the physics right, her climate misinformation is next level.
I came to the conclusion a while ago that global warming is not a science problem, but a political one. By that, I mean that scientists figured out how to stop climate change quite some time ago. The problem isn't that we don't know what to do. The problem is that society as a whole has been unwilling to do it.
Most of us pre-gen Z all grew up thinking the world would only get better as time went on, we were wrong and that is a very uncomfortable truth.
maybe not the whole society is unwilling - but that part of it who made the most profit out of the economic system as it is. And those are the ones who have the money and the influence to make the majority think that we shound not change it
Science: Eat your vegetables.
Politicians: No!
⛽🔥🌎
Climate change is going to take care of the human virus.
This is a broader problem that affects more topics than just climate change: we know the solutions, but how can we implement a policy that will please everyone? Are all supporters of a carbon tax also willing to support nuclear power, and vice versa?
The fundamental problem may be that we rely way too much on models. History has proven that our models are often wrong, specially when their purpose is to predict the future.
The scariest thing to me is that my body seems to be adjusting to the warmer temperatures. A few years ago we got the first 60F degree day in February and I walked out in a t-shirt because I was so hot from the weather, since it used to be about -5F for a lot of February. This year we had almost a whole week of that temperature in February and I only noticed it because it looks very wrong to have such warm temperatures before early April around here. I tried wearing a t-shirt like I had when it first happened. I couldn’t do it, I still needed a jacket.
My home in the south of India used to have really cool and pleasant winters. ❄️
I remember my childhood days snuggling under a thick blanket and telling stories to my younger sister.
Or the cool nights in December, waiting for the Christmas carol to come to our home and sing for us 🎄🎅
Now, just 20 years later, there is no coolness left. Winters are sweltering hot.
The only luck we have is the monsoon during the peak summer months, which cools us down.
But this is not the case for our neighboring states, and frankly, I am afraid how long even the monsoons will last because they have become very unpredictable.
Yes, our country isn't doing the best right now, but we are picking ourselves up after 2 centuries of colonialism.
There are a multitude of social issues that makes people, especially women want to migrate west. But good changes are happening.
I am wishing with all my heart that people and all governments take this matter of climate change seriously, provide solutions and bring about results.
Our state, Kerala, is beautiful. We want to live here. It is home 🏡
Yeah, it's the colonialism that holds you back. Wow.
@AA-yc8yr What you say is true.
What holds us back is the lack of money and resources, which oddly started somewhere around the 1800s. 🤔
Most of us hold no grudges, the past is past.
We are bettering us in the best way possible with the given situation, and we will continue to do so. Indians are tough that way.
Religion and politics may be slowing our progress, but most major countries have gone through that at one point in time.
All the Western countries seem to have come out of it, somewhat unharmed ✝️⚔️🛡
We are holding out hope too, for a better tomorrow.
@@AA-yc8yr he/she didn't say that
@@ra7e Oh, I see. All those 'resources' vanished, with 19c. tech no less, and India became a barren, resource-less place, did it? And same for the 'money', which of course is precisely why India ranks 5th richest country in the world nowadays, ahead of the UK, and - let me think - 70 years after independence? That's mirculous, no? Having been left resourceless and pennyless, it's now one of the richest, even if it hasn't developed that much socially. Peculiar that all former British colonies do better economically than other countries' former colonies, as well as many states that we never colonised. It's almost as if there's a common denominator for doing that well. But then, also, one can only wonder if a) India would have even existed its current state, and size, had it not been for colonisation, given as it was a 100 or so little kindgoms at the time of British invasion; and b) even if it had managed to unify - and do so non-violently, no less (I mean, one needs only. go back to the 50s and the Hindu-Muslim pogroms, after all, to test the 'non-violence' hypothesis) - what it would have looked like, e.g., would it have been a democracy? 'cause, there really is little by way of example in the whole region to suggest natural propensity for equality and human development, unless it was brought in from outside. And before you show off your hypocricy yet again on the subject of equality, given your colonial history, do consider that nowadays India is considered among the most racist countries worldwide - far more racist that its coloniser, and the country with the highest number of modern slaves. I doubt you can give that to colonialism, or 'stolen' resources and money, when the country that colonised yours is nowhere near as racist, for example, and was the first country in human history to outlaw slavery.
@@cmonofficial Yes, they did. I hate to point it out, but you clearly cannot read with understanding.
I watched this after returning from my birthday party (*gulp*) and it depressed and scared the hell out of me. And I liked it, Sabine, to be honest because we desperately need to understand clearly what the possible consequences of our actions are and we need communicators like you out there explaining things in ways that bring the data down to real life scenarios that we may well be living in our lifetimes. Do I like the message? No, I hate the message. But do I like the messaging? Yes, I love that. Thanks for sharing, sincerely.
Happy Birthday!!
🤣 Thank you!!!!@@loungelizard3922
Welp… happy birthday i guess
If this scared you, you were not listening at all🙄 Choosing to ignore things, makes them not going away.
@@goiterlanternbase bro ur assuming sooooo much about the commenter. Literally sabine herself said she did not like this news and is stressed
The glacier at Columbia Ice Field in Banf National Park in Canada is retreating since 1840.
The CO2 emissions from combusting engines are blamed for climate warming.
Gottlieb Daimler, Karl Banz and Rudolf Diesel invented the combusting engines about 50 years later.
QUESTION How can this be explained??:
Imagine you are a physicist that left physics because it was a paper writing mill and then deciding that climate change science isn’t doing the same thing and is also outside your discipline.
Civilization is cracking up at a much faster rate than the climate. That’s a whole lot more concerning to me.
And yet climate change will increase the rate at which civilisation 'cracks up'.
Can you say "perfect storm"?
No you can't say perfect storm. It's more like "6 ways till Sunday." We push every boundary of everything until we get consequences.
We are clever primates...not particularly smart however🤔
No, the climate is pushing civilisation to crack up, it's like Sabine says, some people see the connections and some don't.
Thank you for repeatedly addressing this topic, even if it is unpopular. We need to act.
Would you change your mind if you discovered that the people who present the data and make arguments based on that data actually manipulated that data to favor a profitable agenda they're pushing?
Some of the most nuanced coverage of this topic I have seen from any source.
Like Sabine has actually made me think about my own feelings on this topic in the context of how it is politicized vs how to actually think about it methodically/critically.
Imo she desrves my sub just for that, never mind all the other great content she puts out.
Carbon neutralise yourself then.
You mean, act out!
@@anaveragehuman2937
If your basis for making this claim is bc researchers are incentivised by money.
Then this will be more of tautology than an inditement of any of the evidence.
But congrats I guess, scientific research is also motivated by monetary incentives...Captain Obvious saves the day again.
and one thing makes it weird, policy dictates to scrap my 2011 Audi A3 and buy a 2024 Dacia Logan witch in term makes the equation worste. But this crisis is so good when it makes people buy new stuff
Ms.Hossenfelder says nothing about one of the most important systemic changes that has been needed for many centuries: the public capture of the potential annual rental value of all land (whether rural, urban, or natural resource laden), all other natural assets (e.g., frequencies on the broadcast spectrum or take-off and landing slots at airports -- natural assets with an inelastic supply). As Henry George argued in the late 19th century and many others have continue to argue, this change in public policy changes everything related to human behavior and our planet. Owners of land and natural assets will have a strong financial incentive to bring whatever land is held to its highest, best use or sell to someone who will. The hoarding of nature and speculation for profit will be eliminated.
Unusually emotional video from Sabine. She does a great job at breaking this very complex topic down for us "normies" to really understand it and its implications. Of course it is easier to just ignore everything and to hope it goes away, and this is exactly what I fear will happen. The future is going to be interesting for sure.
Reminds me a bit of the movie don't look up.
There is no way humanity will solve this problem. We are lazy and callous species that had a growth spurt and biosphere reaching new equilibrium will wipe away many of us. Like a dog shakes off water.
Humanity's perception of change has a low limit relative to the speed of change. Climate change is an intergenerational change too slow to be perceived by the humanity as a whole.
The problem is the cure is worse than the symptom for human life. And that's on purpose by the way, cuz politicians don't care about climate change. They care about power gained by pushing climate change. Otherwise they'd solve it with nuclear power plants.
DR RICHARD LINDZEN ON TH-cam ALSO
What bothers me most is why western countries are not massively investing in nuclear energy. It’s clean, makes independent and we know it works.
competency crisis
You can thank the leftist ”green” parties for that. For instance Germany ramped down nuclear power and switched to much worse options.
What bothers me most are the people insisting there is a crisis and sea levels are rising keep buying up ocean front property they claim will soon be underwater and buying these properties at a premium price. Nancy Pelosi bought a $20 million mansion in South Florida right on the beach last year. Barack Obama has a $50 million compound on Martha's Vinyard, ocean front and about to be underwater if the crisis is real. Give me a break already!
The typo in the wishlist , no 3, irritates the importance of this topic : nucear nucear nucear . Solving the repository issue must be point 2!!
Beacause the term “nuclear” can hardly be pronounced in western speaking countries, let alone be depoliticized for long enough that anyone can reasonably appreciate its scientific impact
The connection has been made between climate change and global authoritarianism, and it’s not an wrong connection. We need to deal with the environment, but we can’t destroy ourselves in the process.
The problem is also how the paleo temperature models were originally made. They are indirect and are comparing data of a very short period to reach a long period prediction. Then these models are used to predict temperature based on various gas levels in the ice and rocks. This means that there is potentially a large margin of errors in the predictions and unfortunately it looks like we have a circulatory presumption. Furthermore we have actually dropped the error margin in the paleo temperature data in our reporting which could explain why we try to dismiss the hot models. Yes the dinos forgot to hand over to us the temperature data.
The movie "Don't look up" was thought to be satire but the more I learn about people's unwillingness to acknowledge that we are royally fu***d when it comes to climate change, the more I see it as a documentary about human stupidity.
Satire often shines a light on something everyone knows but doesn't want to talk about. It's the "taboo" uncomfortable truth. The writers of Don't Look Up weren't exaggerating. They were addressing a very real, very serious existential threat - climate change and our capacity as human's to drown ourselves in denial (a comfortable lie) in order to avoid facing the real truth and consequences. But the consequences always come. The movie is a warning and a prediction. And we ought to pay it attention.
@@opheliawild true! I am also flabbergasted that the writers even dialed the satire up because reality was more ridiculous than what they wrote at first... we live in interesting and frightening times.
@@AlexanderLeister Agreed. Take great care friend!
@@AlexanderLeister The world cant be comparable to any form of satire, if you actually believe that people literally behave like those in the movie, you are literally deluded, if you think people behave even worse, I dont even know what to tell you.
Climate change is a real concern that is already been adressed, I cant ever see humanity ending or any global catastrophe because of it, and if it does, it was meant to be all the time, it wouldnt be our fault, since the act of blaming is declaring ignorance towards how others think, it makes sense for them, and no, they arent comical meme characters if you actually know the complexities of the world.
Doomerism is almost aways wrong and irrational, how many times in history, like the pandemic recently, it happened and it was nothing ever true. You can be aware of climate change as a concern currently, it is true, but this doesnt justify scaring everyone, announcing the end of times and judging anyone who decided to have children because of it.
Part of why it's a great movie is that it's basically what's happening right now with climate change, except reality is a bit more in slow motion. Emotions make people do dumb things.
First I want to say thank you. Thank you so much for talking about this. Still bringing it up, not giving up… I’m a biologist and I’ve been spiralling deeper into depression and desperation for the past 6 years. Everytime I work I am reminded of the ongoing mass extinction we are heading towards. A lot of my colleagues have given up hope, say that it’s irresponsible and cruel to put children into the world with the prospects for the future they will experience. We joke about most of us humans dying, becoming an endangered species of a few rich survivors. But when I get home and look at my partner and think about our future I despair. Hearing people denying man made climate change even exists or that we need to act makes my stomach turn and almost gives me a sense of panic. People don’t take it seriously anymore, somehow it became an ideological issue, or even an identity issue, instead of the approaching threat for all we know, for humanity as a whole. I feel like this extremely real threat has become a topic too “controversial” to discuss, an annoyance, a nag. While it’s threatening our very existence.
I’m not a biologist but I’m with you on everything you and your colleagues are feeling and saying. I’ve come to dissociate a bit. It’s hard to believe that the world I grew up in that was full of possibility is going to crumble before our very eyes and nobody seems to care. It’s good to know others out there do.
I feel the same and only being a casual in the subject. But at the end i do not want to be depressed, i'm just gonna watch it all unfold and try to do my best.
As an environmental Scientist I Just have to say I have given Up. Try to Not have children and consider the possibility of Last Exit in about 20 years (If we dont get the climate wars more early).
Climate conscious types should have kids at the same rate as everyone else, because climate science dismissives (to use Katharine Hayhoe's term) aren't going to stop having them. Therefore not having kids on eco grounds actually has non-linear anti-eco consequences.
There's no "somehow" we know exactly what happened: right ringers, Republicans, are anti science fascists, In the last overwhelming majority of the wealthiest people in the planet align with them because those people have been changed and corrupted by their wealth and deregulation is great for them. That's what "happened"
So in summary, it is irreversible
Brace yourself for drought, heat, starvation
The key problem with climate change is that science has taken a back seat to politics and funding.