This is how you SHOULD bet football!
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 13 พ.ค. 2024
- You're betting football (soccer) wrong! 99% of people bet on favourites and bet on who they think will win instead of on odds that are good value!
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Great video 🎉
I love MMA , I love football....... that's why we have Celtic v Rangers 😂😂😂
He speaks the truth. I'm up six figures lifetime from sports betting and am pretty ignorant about almost everything to do with it. In fact you kind of have to be as it is very time-consuming to gain an in-depth understanding of a sport - time which could be spent better looking for wacky lines.
Thanks for sharing. You are a million miles ahead of me but the principle is the same. I make a lot more profit than my friends who live and breathe the game becasue they don't understand odds and always back who they think will win instead of backing good odds.
This is why it feels like you just can't make money despite winning a lot of bets and its why so many cappers are not profitable despite having good win/loss ratios too.
Lovely work 👏
Thanks brother! 🙏
Interesting Video Mate!:)
Have been searching the internet lookimg for a specific strategy to make atleast some extra cash every month on sports betting.
Any advices you could give me ? ? :)
advice? I had a few, but then again, too few to mention.
Join my telegram mate - t.me/blacksmithbets
I started it becasue I couldn't find any information about how to learn the principles of sports betting. I learned by messaging loads of cappers (the good ones) until a couple replied and were kind enough to school me so I leave a lot of advice and voice notes in the group explaining the same.
How can i get the link for the free group?
Here it is mate - t.me/blacksmithbets
I've added it to the description as it should have been in from the start but wasn't due to issues with uploading.
The empty room sound is a bit off putting, but good video. I'd have liked more of an explanation of how you come up with the implied odds. Mbappe should have been 1.70 or 1.60, you say, but how did you calculate that? Without an explanation it sounds like gut feeling, which is sort of what you said people are doing wrong at the beginning, even if they are going 1.30 on Man City, it would be fine to do so if they think the odds should be 1.10, right?
Thanks for the feedback, I'm very new to this. I just bought a camera and started recording so I hope the sound isn't too bad. The 'real' odds is always an analysis we have to make ourselves so its a mix of just looking at the data and looking at the specific matchup.
In this case I would consider how often he scores (search online for the average goals per game) factor in the fact he did not score in the previous game which increases the likelihood and then the fact that the game should have a lot of goals due to a favourable stylistic matchup between two teams. Finally consider intangibles which in this case was the fact Mbappe will be leaving PSG so may want to show what he can do to win favour with those who want him.
You are correct about the odds, any odds can be profitable but if 90% of people are betting on a selection the bookies aren't silly enough to give 90% of people a +EV number so you can bet that it will almost always be a -EV play. Sometimes they will get it wrong sure but they make money from the 90% so if you copy them you almost certainly are not getting good value.
@@BlacksmithMMA thanks for the awesome reply. Many good points. Keep it up and I am sure you will do well in this new direction.