I just want to clarify, I’m not saying the Chiefs don’t deserve the wins they have, it’s just that they’ve had a few EXCEPTIONALLY close calls and it made me think “I bet we can calculate the total inches they’ve won by”. Don’t read too deep into it.
Plenty of shit calls against the chiefs too in many of these games. Have they been fortunate as hell and has luck been on their side? Sure. But play calls? Nah
If they didn't have the refs on their side so much they wouldn't have the score they have, so they DON'T deserve it. The Bills are a better team this year.
@@AimingWanderouslythe bills were a better team last year and still lost to the chiefs in the playoffs, and refs were pretty good in every chiefs playoff game last year, so you can’t blame the refs
Well, the Eagles were a worse team overall with a terrible D and they played mostly bad teams during that 10-1 start (with two good wins over Bills and a banged up Chiefs).
@@RecontramojadoAnd that’s different from the chiefs playing a banged up niners team and the ravens? Those are really the only good teams they have played
Yeah, I can see the similarities but the Chiefs have a pretty good defense. I’m not necessarily a chief hater, but I’m not really going for them. What worries me is I feel like at some point their offense is going to start to wake up.
@@danielconnelly4017 I don’t know, man I think you gotta be careful going with that narrative as it relates to NFL teams. I mean, yeah I could agree with you if I saw wins against like the Giants and the Panthers. But the bad teams they’ve beaten are not exactly seller dwellers.
And how they paid an equipment manager to convince Likely to move up a shoe size and use metal cleats before whipping out their magnets on that last play?
@@barryallen3225 Remember when the chiefs missed out on going to their first SB in 49 years because Dee Ford was lined up 4 inches offside? You guys always leave that out
@osareafallire No , because they then went on to win the Super Bowl, so it only had the effect that comes from a loss. This video is trying to say the CHIEFS are lucky and inches separate them from all the losers. They are WORLD CHAMPIONS.
I'd say the chiefs best off season move they made was using the franchise tag on the refs. Gives them an entire season to put together a long term deal.
Look I'm a Chiefs fan so i find this funny. But you have to realize the Chiefs win more than they "should" every year using the espn efficiency metric to measure a team's expected W% Chiefs: 2024: Expected: 65.6% Actual: 100.0% Difference: +34.4% 2023: Expected: 62.1% Actual: 71.4% Difference: +9.3% 2022: Expected: 68.1% Actual: 85.0% Difference: +16.9% 2021: Expected: 64.1% Actual: 70.0% Difference: +5.9% 2020 (this doesn't include the super bowl b/c ESPN forgot to update it afterwards): Expected: 67.5% Actual: 88.9% Difference: +21.4% 2019: Expected: 70.9% Actual: 78.9% Difference: +8.0% 2018: Expected: 70.0% Actual: 72.2% Difference: +2.2% That's 7 straight years of being "lucky". It just means they're a clutch team that performs best when it matters most. That's why Mahomes is a top 5 QB this year in QBR when the traditional stats say he's been bad: because he's elite on 3rd downs and 4th quarters while being a top 3 rushing QB in terms of EPA (only Hurts and Daniels are slightly ahead). Mahomes has been a better rushing QB than Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, and Lamar Jackson this year. Now going back to the Alex Smith era: 2017: Expected: 59.5% Actual: 58.8% Difference: -0.7% 2016: Expected: 63.9% Actual: 70.6% Difference: +6.7% 2015: Expected: 68.0% Actual: 66.7% Difference: -1.3% They were a good team that lacked the clutch factor (ESPN only goes back to 2015, so it doesn't show the massive choke vs the Colts in 2013) Btw thats why Mahomes is the GOAT. By ESPNs EPA metric. Mahomes has the 1st, 2nd, and 4th, best regular seasons (2020, 2022, 2018) and the 1st, 2nd, and 4th best playoff runs (2023, 2019, 2021). 3rd best regular season by EPA was 2020 Allen and 3rd best playoff run by EPA was 2009 Manning. This goes back to 2006 btw
Also, Mahomes already has 3 of the top 10 seasons for total offense in NFL history(1st, 5th, 9th) already as well which is ridiculous. Brady is the only other with more than one (4th & 6th) he did it a decade apart which is a testament to his longevity @ ages 34 + 44
In the Falcons game, wasn't there a terrible missed PI call on the Chief's ultimately game-winning TD? Maybe if that had been a few inches more egregious the refs would've noticed??
@BillyBob-wq9fl i am going to keep saying this to people that say the things you did here. There is a video that calculated all critical flags for and against the Chiefs. It was made right before the Broncos game, go find it. The Chiefs have 1 more call for them than against them in the first 9 weeks. It isn't as biased as it seems. It just feels oppresive because they keep winning.
@@JamesKennedy-t9h he literally ended the video with (to paraphrase) "I'm not hating on the Chiefs because good teams find ways to win in a game of inches"
Whilst not inches, there were 2 key moments in the SB rematch too: - Last drive before HT, pass on first down to Jacob Cowing goes 9 yards to the KC 5, to set up 2nd & 1. After an incompletion targeting Cowing again on 2nd down, and Jordan Mason being stopped behind the line on 3rd down, SF is forced to take the FG. POINTS DROPPED = 4 points - Midway through the 4th, SF has 3rd & Goal at the 5. Purdy gets hit as he releases the ball, impacting the ball trajectory, and meaning the pass intended for Chris Conley instead gets intercepted in the endzone by Jaden Hicks. POINTS DROPPED = 7 points With those 11 points, the score changes to SF 29, KC 28, Brock Purdy rushing in for the go ahead TD with 68 seconds left on the clock. SF likely still goes for 2 there to try and take a 3 point lead, and fails, so Mahomes is left with just over a minute and all 3 time outs to try and get into FG range as a result
For the Raiders one, we took the ball away and returned it all the way to the 2 yard line where we proceeded to do absolute jack and poop with it, so if you want you could call that a 72 inch loss since that would've tied the game score. (Actually 36, I think we did get to the 1 at one point.) That wasn't late 4th quarter though, so it's a bigger stretch than the rest of them.
All the falcons had to do assuming all things were the same etc was take the points on their second to last drive and they win that game So now we're talking nano inches of electron firing in the brain of the Falcons headcoach
As nick would say, this team with the best qb, the best tight end, the best coach, the best def, and great players everywhere but half the oline is a total of a foot from barely having a winning record because they have played perfectly.
If I may counter some of your calculations, I would argue, had Cincinnati's Hamilton been four inches further away, that Rice catches that pass. It was a good pass, and not a prayer, as you said. I would also argue that the Chiefs missed some big plays by inches, too. Still, it was an interesting exercise.
Higher ups calling the Bronco kicker: "we know you could make that kick blindfolded, drunk and with a broken leg, you need to miss that kick because the Chiefs being 1 win away from a perfect season and first threepeat will make Vegas lose too much money, and Kamala's biggest supporter is already having a bad week as it is".
Ok so for the Raiders one though - the Raiders picked off Mahomes, and had the ball at like the ONE INCH LINE. They previously already had all the momentum, and if they get the TD, I believe they win the game. But they're the 2024 Raiders, so they failed. Four times. Spectacularly. So if you add another inch, maybe the Chiefs are 3-6? Idk, I feel like it's not that big of a stretch.
One could just as easily compile a video in which one small factor could have changed in the Chiefs favor to where the games weren't close at all and the Chiefs win by multiple scores..You either win or you lose. Your loss isnt minimized by suggesting the other team somehow didnt deserve the win 😅
Facts bc sometimes earlier in the game refs seem to favor the other team to keep the trash team in the game imo otherwise chiefs would have some dominate wins everyone seems to be so concerned about
The thing with luck is that it always balances out over time. No one gets on a lucky streak, and it just keeps going forever. You've got to be good with or without luck to win consistently.
Chiefs are lucky to be undefeated right now. They play a sloppy game or two and everyone gushes over them "good teams find ways to win". Any other team gets a ugly win, "i knew they are frauds"
The Kansas City Chiefs are not lucky, they are well prepared and coached for any situation. They also consider every second of the game as an opportunity to win. They utilize all three phases of the game (offense, Defense and Special Teams) and if they find your weakness they will expose it. GO CHIEFS!!!
So u saying none of these games were lucky? Look at the inches, look at the schedule, look at the missed calls, yall are nothing but lucky, chiefs are the last team that deserves luck
To the few people who read this, do you notice something? Unable to successfully make the case that the defender went "through" the receiver, rainfire9258 shifts the goal post. Now he argues that the defender prevented the receiver from reaching the full extent of his jump. But this also fails. The defender faced the ball, jumped straight in the air with both arms and hands up in order to play the ball. The defender didn't shove, pull or tug on the receiver in any way. So we went from... - "text book pass interference" "cut the cap" to.... - defender went through the receiver to... - defender prevented the receiver from reachng the full extent of his jump There are no more effective blinders than those of the desperate Kansas City Chiefs fans. The League use to be (xxx) AGAINST the Chiefs, and Chiefs fans rightfully recognized this. Now that it is (xxx) FOR the Chiefs, KC fans are in total denial.
"You find out life's this game of inches. So is football. Because in either game, life or football, the margin for error is so small -- I mean one-half a step too late, or too early, and you don't quite make it. One-half second too slow, too fast, you don't quite catch it. The inches we need are everywhere around us. They're in every break of the game, every minute, every second. On this team, we fight for that inch. On this team, we tear ourselves and everyone else around us to pieces for that inch. We claw with our fingernails for that inch, because we know when we add up all those inches that's gonna make the fuckin' difference between winning and losing! Between livin' and dyin'! I'll tell you this: In any fight, it's the guy who's willing to die who's gonna win that inch. And I know if I'm gonna have any life anymore, it's because I'm still willin' to fight and die for that inch. Because that's what livin' is! The six inches in front of your face!!"- Any Given Sunday - Coach Tony D'Amato
1) The toe is 0.5 wins _at best_ . Overtime is always at least 70% Chiefs favored. So Likely's toe is 0.3 wins at best. 2) Pat's pass to Rice was not a prayer, it was dotted on a line drive, no PAT = catch 3) Bucs game, see above, 0.3 wins at best 4) Karlaftis was there too, so this is at least 4 more inches. So its more like 18 inches to make the Chiefs 7.4 - 1.6
You should do the same analysis with the jaguars. Between Etienne's fumble, end of game INT a few weeks ago etc they are probably 12 inches away from 7-3. As you said good teams win close games so it makes for a great foil.
fun idea, but i think that most of these scenarios where you move things just a few inches, just give the other team a chance to win. The ravens were gonna go for two, against the best run defense in the league, the falcons still would've needed to get a touchdown, the bucs would've needed to score in overtime, which is not a guarantee. I also think that the blocked field goal was not a play of chance but of analysis. That guard for the broncos has been falling down on kick protection all year. I guarantee that Reid knew this, that's why he so heavily stacked the left side of that line.
3:00 That shouldn't have been DPI anyway. Anthony has a right to make a play on the ball, and had a better chance to make the catch. Rice ran into him. If anything, it was OPI.
It seems inexplicable that so many people, would do this AGAIN, but they are still saying Chiefs are overrated, don't deserve the ranking, and always lucky. Yeah, give Mahomes and team, bulletin board material.... _again_ Not a great plan.
To ease your confusion, the Chiefs and Raiders ALWAYS have a close game. It's a weird thing our teams have been doing since forever. No matter how good one team is, it's always a nail biter.
A lot would. Because of the salary cap the bad teams get extra help in the draft and one team can't buy all the best players. Makes for a tighter league. Now, orders given to the refs to push the 3-peat is another issue.....
It’s funny you say that, I was going to name the inches in the bengals one based off the length of the flag that should’ve stayed in the refs pocket, but figured that’d be too biased and I did want to make a good faith argument
@@EDECO79 😆 🤣 😂 your Chief Derangement Syndrome is popping up. You're low IQ, how do you know the answer to my question if the study hasn't been done....
1. Couldn’t you say they are a few inches away from winning every game by multiple scores…?? 2. Likely toe tap doesn’t mean the ravens win… But, I’m here watching! So I’ll leave a like❤
I swear, its as if, either the Heinz family, Andy Reid, Mahomes, or Travis Kelce (most likely, based on Swifty), made a deal with the Devil years. In which case, every NFL fan, both neutral and otherwise, hopes he comes calling soon....
The cumulative thousands of hours players and coaches from both teams pour into each of these games, and it literally comes down to inches in so many cases. In no small part, it's because the ball is oblong. The better team only wins probably 65-70% of the time. It's why you miss so many parlays.
Imagine being so racked with unbridled envy that you spend hours compiling meaningless evidence to try and somehow convince other jealous people that the reigning SB Champion undefeated team somehow doesn't deserve to be! That's what you call being all up in peoples heads. 💀💀💀💀
They're literally like the Steelers that went 10-0 then missed the playoffs. The luckiest and outright worst undefeated team I've seen in a long while. It's valid criticism to give this team when time and time again they conveniently win games with ticky-tacky calls and crazy last second plays. That isn't skill, it's the definition of luck. The lions and Ravens are much stronger and well rounded teams this year, but Dan Campbell's face, and a "in the trenches" nitty gritty ravens team doesn't get new fans to tune in weekly. T-swift and her cult garners more viewership just to help line these billionaire wallets. It's easy to discredit a team when they're on the forefront of officiating controversies every single week, right? Nobody but the own league is hypocritical of its own rule enforcement, do you not agree? We're to the point where a full-speed sport is being analyzed by milliseconds to determine if a defender arrived "too early" or if Mahomes "made an effort to step out of bounds" for the 15th time for a free 15 yards, as if he doesn't know he's gaming the purposefully ambiguous rule book left up to the interpretation of billionaire owners and senile line judges. I do agree the video above is pointless as the game is literally won by inches. However, it is not crazy to say the chiefs are a glorified team right now, heavily aided by the game's changed rules damn near rendering defense useless. Mahomes is still talked about like he's dominating this year, yet has no stats to corroborate that claim. A whopping 2208 yards, 12tds and 9ints isn't impressive. His performance is to the likes of P. Manning and his last year in Denver; riding the coattails of someone else's success. Balt, Det, Pittsburg, Minn, and Washington have been far more impressive to watch this year.
"You are what your record says you are" Bill Parcells EVERYTHING else is meaningless. MAKE THE PLAY. . I've seen entire 162 game MLB seasons come down to a ball falling foul by one inch, 300 feet from home plate. . for want of a nail "For want of a nail the shoe was lost for want of shoe the horse was lost for want of a horse the rider was lost for want of a rider the message was lost for want of a message the battle was lost for want of a battle the kingdom was lost all for the want of a horseshoe nail"
CB game: I think ya gotta add the 3 yds they needed after that as well. TB game: same, think you gotta add the 5-10 yrds you said they'd need to get in FG range. Poss distance of FG too? We know the Chiefs D are capable of not allowing the 3 & 5-10 yds needed. Even IF, who's to say they would've made the FG or not blocked? (Again, we know capable.) So, conservatively, 8 yds (or 13 if 10, not 5) need converted & added to total # inches. You were reasonably fair tho so, not a complaint & just an opinion.✌️
I don’t understand why everybody thinks chiefs would’ve lost if likely scored that td they were going for 2 which is far from guaranteed, succes rate on 2 pt conversions is like 53%
It is very much like the Vikings two years ago when they set a record for most 1 score wins in a season. Didn't work out for the Vikes in the playoffs. lol
Ya except the vikings aren't coming off back to back SB wins, they didn't have mahomes or kelce or Jones or coach Reid or Spagnula 😂😂😂 you Chief Derangement Syndrome is flaring up 😂😂
The inches we need are everywhere around us. They’re in every break of the game, every minute, every second. On this team, we fight for that inch. On this team, we tear ourselves and everyone else around us to pieces for that inch. We claw with our fingernails for that inch, because we know when we add up all those inches that’s gonna make the f***in' difference between winning and losing! Between livin' and dyin'! I’ll tell you this: In any fight, it’s the guy who’s willing to die who’s gonna win that inch. And I know if I’m gonna have any life anymore, it’s because I’m still willin' to fight and die for that inch. Because that’s what livin' is! The six inches in front of your face!! Now I can’t make you do it. You got to look at the guy next to you. Look into his eyes! Now I think you’re gonna see a guy who will go that inch with you. You're gonna see a guy who will sacrifice himself for this team because he knows, when it comes down to it, you’re gonna do the same for him! That’s a team, gentleman!
The thing about football is that in a lot of these games the Chiefs are only a few plays or “inches” from winning by multiple scores. Football is a game of inches. Also I’m sure this has been discussed but in the ravens game if they scored that last TD they still wouldn’t have the lead, they’d still have to go for 2. So to say it is 1 inch is disingenuous
i feel you could do the same thing but in reverse. if mahomes doesn't miss so many throws or turn the ball over a lot of these one score games are simply not one score. also worth mentioning how many injuries the chiefs are dealing with.
@ I totally understand what you’re saying, I get that there are some things that have gone their way more than other teams. Enough to make a whole video about it. However, they are making plays to win close games which is how championships are won. They play great situational football, and I think that their resume backs up the fact that they are a championship team and not merely lucky. Also if you want people to respond to your comments accurately you might want to be more precise with your words :)
You need luck in sports to win consistently. That's why perfect seasons are borderline impossible. No matter how much talent you have or if you're better than your opponent, a few plays here and there can be the difference. The 2013 Seahawks are remembered for being arguably the best defense ever and shutting down the best offense (statistically) ever led by Peyton Manning. HOWEVER Almost nobody talks about how we were literally the width of Richard Sherman's hand away from losing to San Francisco and not cementing our spot in history.
The flawed logic here is that the NFL generally has close games. So you could look at any crucial play here or there that the losing team didn't make where they could say "if we just would have made this one play, we would have won."... Yes! Exactly. Welcome to the NFL. Got to execute. This is easy to do. Lets look at just last week between the Lions vs Texans. Two good teams and was the most hyped matchup of the week. End result was 26-23. Now I'm sure any Texan fan could say "if we make that 58 yard FG attempt with 1:56, we either win with the pressure Det would have or go into OT as Det kicked a FG." Or "if Stroud could have just picked up that 3rd & 4 just before the FG, they could have wasted more time, been closer, milk the clock and then kick the easier FG." See how easy this is? Most games come down to a play here or there and who makes them & who doesn't.
I love the analysis, but the pass interference one is extremely suspect. The point of that penalty is that without the interference, the receiver might have caught the ball, so you can't fairly assume it would have been an incomplete pass. So I'd say it would be more accurate to state that if not for 8 inches, they might have been 6 and 3.
I made no attempts to hide the fact that this video is based on a lot of assumptions. But the DB was in great position to break up the pass, I don't think it's a huge stretch to assume that had he been a few inches back and made contact when the ball was touching the receiver and not a half second before he could've broken it up. Obviously, it could've gone the other way, but what's the fun in that.
I just want to clarify, I’m not saying the Chiefs don’t deserve the wins they have, it’s just that they’ve had a few EXCEPTIONALLY close calls and it made me think “I bet we can calculate the total inches they’ve won by”. Don’t read too deep into it.
Plenty of shit calls against the chiefs too in many of these games. Have they been fortunate as hell and has luck been on their side? Sure. But play calls? Nah
"Don't read too deep into it," - The guy measuring inches on a 100 yd field
If they didn't have the refs on their side so much they wouldn't have the score they have, so they DON'T deserve it. The Bills are a better team this year.
@@AimingWanderouslythe bills were a better team last year and still lost to the chiefs in the playoffs, and refs were pretty good in every chiefs playoff game last year, so you can’t blame the refs
@@lucasyoder22the refs were absolutely terrible in the AFC championship last year
I knew it. 3 to 5 inches does seem big when it matters.
Lmao
lol brooooo
That's not what she said.
@@marcusking332 I love how I can imagine like 100 different tones for this
Sounds like a personal problem
Showing this to every girl who says 3 inches isn't "enough"
Yea, no, I don't think that's a "good" plan.
@@paulc254it’s a GREAT plan
nah💀
Yearly super bowl donators 💀
SAVAGE
I wonder what that makes the Bucs in 2020 and bengals in 2021
@@BearKuma707well bucs yes but bengals naw RAMS BABY!!
😭😭😭
@@DioBrando-zj2ukrams should’ve lost against the bengals since they couldn’t get the job done until the refs pulled that bullshit flag
The chiefs this year have a very similar vibe to the Eagles last year. The Eagles were getting SO lucky with that 10-1 start last year.
Here's hoping it ends the same way too
Well, the Eagles were a worse team overall with a terrible D and they played mostly bad teams during that 10-1 start (with two good wins over Bills and a banged up Chiefs).
@@RecontramojadoAnd that’s different from the chiefs playing a banged up niners team and the ravens? Those are really the only good teams they have played
Yeah, I can see the similarities but the Chiefs have a pretty good defense. I’m not necessarily a chief hater, but I’m not really going for them. What worries me is I feel like at some point their offense is going to start to wake up.
@@danielconnelly4017 I don’t know, man I think you gotta be careful going with that narrative as it relates to NFL teams. I mean, yeah I could agree with you if I saw wins against like the Giants and the Panthers. But the bad teams they’ve beaten are not exactly seller dwellers.
Did everyone see how the Refs. helped grab Leo, and hold him up to block that kick?
😂😅
And how they paid an equipment manager to convince Likely to move up a shoe size and use metal cleats before whipping out their magnets on that last play?
At what point was he grabbed though? Now you’re just making it up
@@allthingssports4957it’s a joke
@@allthingssports4957I sure hope you're like 12 years old or autistic
Rams: Greatest show on turf
Chiefs: Most stressful show on turf
As a chiefs fan I am so stressed out whenever they are playing like why can’t we go back to when we were beating the crap out of everyone
@@Stahlworld They're 9-0. Whole games don't need to be stressful at this point. 17-0 or 15-2 is still gonna get them the #1 seed.
@@Stahlworld Being stressed that your team doesn't win _comfortable enough_ is literally the most spoiled by success thing ever
How? If you're the Chiefs you know that 99 times out of 100 there's gonna be a critical penalty late in the 4th to give you the win.
@ nope 😂
Tis but a game of inches
Game of refs
A song of inches and flags
Shut up haters😂😂😂🖕🏾🖕🏾🖕🏾🖕🏾
@@barryallen3225 Remember when the chiefs missed out on going to their first SB in 49 years because Dee Ford was lined up 4 inches offside? You guys always leave that out
To be fair, last season, they lost 5 gms. In 4 of them, a dropped pass in the final seconds would have won the gm.
Would they have MORE won the Superbowl with those 4 extra wins?
@osareafallire No , because they then went on to win the Super Bowl, so it only had the effect that comes from a loss. This video is trying to say the CHIEFS are lucky and inches separate them from all the losers. They are WORLD CHAMPIONS.
@@osareafallire Yes, if you read the rules, a team with multiple wins in a single season may be awarded up to 2 Superbowls per season
@@osareafallire Most likely 1 more but bro didn’t calculate how many inches Dee Ford was lined up offside
@@scarecrow6741 not WORLD champions. They are champions of the United states which last time i checked was not the one and only country on the planet
I love when I calculate the inches the chiefs from a losing record
It’s almost as many inches as I am downstairs
Your name is Caleb and you didn't do this. Isaac did. This comment is trash
NPC ahh comment
It's a game of inches. This gives me an idea for a power ranking where you rank teams by how many inches away from beating the Chiefs they are.
I'd say the chiefs best off season move they made was using the franchise tag on the refs. Gives them an entire season to put together a long term deal.
Cry 😢
shadafakup
Please go play gtav online in a public lobby 😂😂😂
Best comment in a long time
@@EDECO79 cry harder 😆
Look I'm a Chiefs fan so i find this funny.
But you have to realize the Chiefs win more than they "should" every year
using the espn efficiency metric to measure a team's expected W%
Chiefs:
2024:
Expected: 65.6%
Actual: 100.0%
Difference: +34.4%
2023:
Expected: 62.1%
Actual: 71.4%
Difference: +9.3%
2022:
Expected: 68.1%
Actual: 85.0%
Difference: +16.9%
2021:
Expected: 64.1%
Actual: 70.0%
Difference: +5.9%
2020 (this doesn't include the super bowl b/c ESPN forgot to update it afterwards):
Expected: 67.5%
Actual: 88.9%
Difference: +21.4%
2019:
Expected: 70.9%
Actual: 78.9%
Difference: +8.0%
2018:
Expected: 70.0%
Actual: 72.2%
Difference: +2.2%
That's 7 straight years of being "lucky". It just means they're a clutch team that performs best when it matters most. That's why Mahomes is a top 5 QB this year in QBR when the traditional stats say he's been bad: because he's elite on 3rd downs and 4th quarters while being a top 3 rushing QB in terms of EPA (only Hurts and Daniels are slightly ahead). Mahomes has been a better rushing QB than Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, and Lamar Jackson this year.
Now going back to the Alex Smith era:
2017:
Expected: 59.5%
Actual: 58.8%
Difference: -0.7%
2016:
Expected: 63.9%
Actual: 70.6%
Difference: +6.7%
2015:
Expected: 68.0%
Actual: 66.7%
Difference: -1.3%
They were a good team that lacked the clutch factor (ESPN only goes back to 2015, so it doesn't show the massive choke vs the Colts in 2013)
Btw thats why Mahomes is the GOAT.
By ESPNs EPA metric.
Mahomes has the 1st, 2nd, and 4th, best regular seasons (2020, 2022, 2018) and the 1st, 2nd, and 4th best playoff runs (2023, 2019, 2021).
3rd best regular season by EPA was 2020 Allen and 3rd best playoff run by EPA was 2009 Manning.
This goes back to 2006 btw
Also, Mahomes already has 3 of the top 10 seasons for total offense in NFL history(1st, 5th, 9th) already as well which is ridiculous.
Brady is the only other with more than one (4th & 6th) he did it a decade apart which is a testament to his longevity @ ages 34 + 44
Great stuff 🎉
I haven't seen calculations like this since Reaganomics.
Bruh
love it!
In the Falcons game, wasn't there a terrible missed PI call on the Chief's ultimately game-winning TD? Maybe if that had been a few inches more egregious the refs would've noticed??
Yep. Was egregious enough. Should’ve just calculated the distance from ref hand to the flag
Exactly. But its every game they need a few calls and some no calls to win..
That is the difference between them winning and losing these games..
@BillyBob-wq9fl i am going to keep saying this to people that say the things you did here. There is a video that calculated all critical flags for and against the Chiefs. It was made right before the Broncos game, go find it. The Chiefs have 1 more call for them than against them in the first 9 weeks. It isn't as biased as it seems. It just feels oppresive because they keep winning.
@ in last 2 minutes of games? Bc that’s the only thing that matters
@@WhitePillManthe missed call in the falcons game wasn’t even in the last 2 minutes lol. There was 4 minutes left to play
As a Chiefs fan every game feels like a struggle but this kind of reminded me that they haven't literally won by inches every single time
You do not get to say this when you've won back-to-back super bowls bro.
@joystical1193 I can say whatever I want, my team has won back to back super bowls
Real* answer is 2.25 inches (width of the stripes on the NFL refs)
Cry more
The Chiefs Derangement syndrom is going crazy.
😂😂 facts, hopefully they don't have TDS too. Very painful time if so 😂😂
My old coach said many times "I'd rather have a lucky team than a good one any day"
Nah, thats fools logic. Its good to be lucky and lucky to be good, but luck is the far worse half of that statement.
That thinking is for people who aren’t good and Gypsy’s . Luck runs out being good is an identity
Lucky and good often go hand in hand unfortunately
“Luck is when preparation meets opportunity”
This is going to blow up
Calculating the gallons of Tears shed by the fan of the other 31 teams not named Kansas City Chiefs... = Infinite
Its not tears.. its spit..
We all spit on those trophies..
This whole video is just one big whine fest from butt hurt fans of the other 31 teams 😅
@@BillyBob-wq9fl😢
@@JamesKennedy-t9h he literally ended the video with (to paraphrase) "I'm not hating on the Chiefs because good teams find ways to win in a game of inches"
😂😂😂 facts. Life as a Chiefs fan and Trump supporter has led to an overdose of tears the past 8 days 😂😂😂
Whilst not inches, there were 2 key moments in the SB rematch too:
- Last drive before HT, pass on first down to Jacob Cowing goes 9 yards to the KC 5, to set up 2nd & 1. After an incompletion targeting Cowing again on 2nd down, and Jordan Mason being stopped behind the line on 3rd down, SF is forced to take the FG. POINTS DROPPED = 4 points
- Midway through the 4th, SF has 3rd & Goal at the 5. Purdy gets hit as he releases the ball, impacting the ball trajectory, and meaning the pass intended for Chris Conley instead gets intercepted in the endzone by Jaden Hicks. POINTS DROPPED = 7 points
With those 11 points, the score changes to SF 29, KC 28, Brock Purdy rushing in for the go ahead TD with 68 seconds left on the clock. SF likely still goes for 2 there to try and take a 3 point lead, and fails, so Mahomes is left with just over a minute and all 3 time outs to try and get into FG range as a result
Can’t wait to see who is going to ELI > TYREE them this year.
For the Raiders one, we took the ball away and returned it all the way to the 2 yard line where we proceeded to do absolute jack and poop with it, so if you want you could call that a 72 inch loss since that would've tied the game score. (Actually 36, I think we did get to the 1 at one point.)
That wasn't late 4th quarter though, so it's a bigger stretch than the rest of them.
can you do how meny inches the bangels are from being like the number 2 seed cus I'm starting to get depressed at how the keep losing
We need to send this video to Nick Wright 😂
All the falcons had to do assuming all things were the same etc was take the points on their second to last drive and they win that game
So now we're talking nano inches of electron firing in the brain of the Falcons headcoach
As nick would say, this team with the best qb, the best tight end, the best coach, the best def, and great players everywhere but half the oline is a total of a foot from barely having a winning record because they have played perfectly.
If I may counter some of your calculations, I would argue, had Cincinnati's Hamilton been four inches further away, that Rice catches that pass. It was a good pass, and not a prayer, as you said. I would also argue that the Chiefs missed some big plays by inches, too. Still, it was an interesting exercise.
Higher ups calling the Bronco kicker: "we know you could make that kick blindfolded, drunk and with a broken leg, you need to miss that kick because the Chiefs being 1 win away from a perfect season and first threepeat will make Vegas lose too much money, and Kamala's biggest supporter is already having a bad week as it is".
He didn't miss the kick, so there's that.
If there's any play in football that has no luck involved, it's a blocked field goal.
Ok so for the Raiders one though - the Raiders picked off Mahomes, and had the ball at like the ONE INCH LINE. They previously already had all the momentum, and if they get the TD, I believe they win the game.
But they're the 2024 Raiders, so they failed. Four times. Spectacularly.
So if you add another inch, maybe the Chiefs are 3-6? Idk, I feel like it's not that big of a stretch.
Anybody wanna tell him? I'll do it. The NFL, wait for it. "is a game of inches." You can apply this critique to every team.
Anybody wanna tell him its almost exactly what was said to end the video.
@@SharonMcinstry1970nah. Better he just looks stupid
I don’t know about you guys but 12 inches is absolutely massive. I mean that’s huge. Not something to scoff at.
Dare I say it might be too much!
One could just as easily compile a video in which one small factor could have changed in the Chiefs favor to where the games weren't close at all and the Chiefs win by multiple scores..You either win or you lose. Your loss isnt minimized by suggesting the other team somehow didnt deserve the win 😅
EXACTLY !!!
Nah it is minimized actually
Facts bc sometimes earlier in the game refs seem to favor the other team to keep the trash team in the game imo otherwise chiefs would have some dominate wins everyone seems to be so concerned about
The thing with luck is that it always balances out over time. No one gets on a lucky streak, and it just keeps going forever. You've got to be good with or without luck to win consistently.
You see their actual record is 9-0, but their adjusted record, or T.M.I., is 5-4
The falcons one is wrong 😑 the refs missed a clear DPI call on the chiefs which the falcons could’ve won the game
It wasn't missed just wrong team
Watch that whole 4th quarter again, the falcons got a drives worth of makeup calls on their last possession and still couldn't punch it in
@@matthewhowie1220 go away. Facts are not welcome here in the land of delusion.
awesome idea for a video and great video. hope you can get to 100k soon.
yearly super bowl donators 🤣💀
The follow-up to this should be “If Quicksilver attended every Chiefs game.”
Chiefs are lucky to be undefeated right now. They play a sloppy game or two and everyone gushes over them "good teams find ways to win". Any other team gets a ugly win, "i knew they are frauds"
The Kansas City Chiefs are not lucky, they are well prepared and coached for any situation. They also consider every second of the game as an opportunity to win. They utilize all three phases of the game (offense, Defense and Special Teams) and if they find your weakness they will expose it. GO CHIEFS!!!
Go back to work man
So u saying none of these games were lucky? Look at the inches, look at the schedule, look at the missed calls, yall are nothing but lucky, chiefs are the last team that deserves luck
In any game, life or football, it's the man who's willing to FIGHT and DIE for that inch
To the few people who read this, do you notice something? Unable to successfully make the case that the defender went "through" the receiver, rainfire9258 shifts the goal post. Now he argues that the defender prevented the receiver from reaching the full extent of his jump. But this also fails. The defender faced the ball, jumped straight in the air with both arms and hands up in order to play the ball. The defender didn't shove, pull or tug on the receiver in any way.
So we went from...
- "text book pass interference" "cut the cap"
to....
- defender went through the receiver
to...
- defender prevented the receiver from reachng the full extent of his jump
There are no more effective blinders than those of the desperate Kansas City Chiefs fans. The League use to be (xxx) AGAINST the Chiefs, and Chiefs fans rightfully recognized this. Now that it is (xxx) FOR the Chiefs, KC fans are in total denial.
"You find out life's this game of inches. So is football. Because in either game, life or football, the margin for error is so small -- I mean one-half a step too late, or too early, and you don't quite make it. One-half second too slow, too fast, you don't quite catch it. The inches we need are everywhere around us. They're in every break of the game, every minute, every second. On this team, we fight for that inch. On this team, we tear ourselves and everyone else around us to pieces for that inch. We claw with our fingernails for that inch, because we know when we add up all those inches that's gonna make the fuckin' difference between winning and losing! Between livin' and dyin'! I'll tell you this: In any fight, it's the guy who's willing to die who's gonna win that inch. And I know if I'm gonna have any life anymore, it's because I'm still willin' to fight and die for that inch. Because that's what livin' is! The six inches in front of your face!!"- Any Given Sunday - Coach Tony D'Amato
They’re the luckiest team in the league but somehow I feel like their luck will run out in the playoffs
Very creative video, good job man!
Would like to see ur calculations on how close the Colts are to having a winning record. Most of our games were one score away
Man the Chiefs are so screwed in hypothetical land
1) The toe is 0.5 wins _at best_ . Overtime is always at least 70% Chiefs favored. So Likely's toe is 0.3 wins at best.
2) Pat's pass to Rice was not a prayer, it was dotted on a line drive, no PAT = catch
3) Bucs game, see above, 0.3 wins at best
4) Karlaftis was there too, so this is at least 4 more inches.
So its more like 18 inches to make the Chiefs 7.4 - 1.6
You should do the same analysis with the jaguars. Between Etienne's fumble, end of game INT a few weeks ago etc they are probably 12 inches away from 7-3. As you said good teams win close games so it makes for a great foil.
What team doesn't have exceptionally close calls?
fun idea, but i think that most of these scenarios where you move things just a few inches, just give the other team a chance to win. The ravens were gonna go for two, against the best run defense in the league, the falcons still would've needed to get a touchdown, the bucs would've needed to score in overtime, which is not a guarantee. I also think that the blocked field goal was not a play of chance but of analysis. That guard for the broncos has been falling down on kick protection all year. I guarantee that Reid knew this, that's why he so heavily stacked the left side of that line.
3:00 That shouldn't have been DPI anyway. Anthony has a right to make a play on the ball, and had a better chance to make the catch. Rice ran into him. If anything, it was OPI.
Bro, lay off the copium. In what world is that OPI?
It's never gonna be called opi but he's right, Anthony is jumping straight up and playing the ball. He's allowed to be there
Are u a retard?
Lmao yea no… he’s definitely sprinting forward and jumping into him before the ball is there…
😂😂😂 the defender can't run through the receivers body, the arms sure, but not the whole back, do you have Chief Derangement Syndrome??
It seems inexplicable that so many people, would do this AGAIN, but they are still saying Chiefs are overrated, don't deserve the ranking, and always lucky. Yeah, give Mahomes and team, bulletin board material.... _again_
Not a great plan.
2:29 This PI on 4th down was a huge turning point in the season
To ease your confusion, the Chiefs and Raiders ALWAYS have a close game. It's a weird thing our teams have been doing since forever. No matter how good one team is, it's always a nail biter.
This man does what he says
Goes to show you how narrow the margins are in the NFL. Seems like 90% of games would have a different winner by flipping one extremely close play.
A lot would. Because of the salary cap the bad teams get extra help in the draft and one team can't buy all the best players. Makes for a tighter league. Now, orders given to the refs to push the 3-peat is another issue.....
@ spoken like somebody who never leaves their house without their tinfoil hat. Cry harder.
Literally every game except the chargers and broncos against teams without a winning record.
Good video. I’m curious how this would look if the measurements were in flags instead of inches
It’s funny you say that, I was going to name the inches in the bengals one based off the length of the flag that should’ve stayed in the refs pocket, but figured that’d be too biased and I did want to make a good faith argument
It would probably show the refs are horrible across the board, the chiefs just tend to overcome the refs more than other teams
@@YuckFouTube2 quite the opposite. KC fans are so unbelievable clueless.
@@EDECO79 😆 🤣 😂 your Chief Derangement Syndrome is popping up. You're low IQ, how do you know the answer to my question if the study hasn't been done....
the ravens chiefs ending could have been an overspray. The line defines the bounds..
1. Couldn’t you say they are a few inches away from winning every game by multiple scores…??
2. Likely toe tap doesn’t mean the ravens win…
But, I’m here watching! So I’ll leave a like❤
Now we need one for the Bengals
I swear, its as if, either the Heinz family, Andy Reid, Mahomes, or Travis Kelce (most likely, based on Swifty), made a deal with the Devil years. In which case, every NFL fan, both neutral and otherwise, hopes he comes calling soon....
The cumulative thousands of hours players and coaches from both teams pour into each of these games, and it literally comes down to inches in so many cases. In no small part, it's because the ball is oblong. The better team only wins probably 65-70% of the time. It's why you miss so many parlays.
Imagine being so racked with unbridled envy that you spend hours compiling meaningless evidence to try and somehow convince other jealous people that the reigning SB Champion undefeated team somehow doesn't deserve to be! That's what you call being all up in peoples heads. 💀💀💀💀
CDS. Chiefs Derangement Syndrome.
Chiefs are changing colors to black and white to match their other teammates on the field
How many inches does 1 referee equal??
No idea, but at least 4 wins
@EDECO79 🤣 fax
If things weren't the way they were things wouldn't be the way they are.
By an inch or by a mile, winning is winning.
People will do anything to discredit the chiefs
They're literally like the Steelers that went 10-0 then missed the playoffs. The luckiest and outright worst undefeated team I've seen in a long while. It's valid criticism to give this team when time and time again they conveniently win games with ticky-tacky calls and crazy last second plays. That isn't skill, it's the definition of luck. The lions and Ravens are much stronger and well rounded teams this year, but Dan Campbell's face, and a "in the trenches" nitty gritty ravens team doesn't get new fans to tune in weekly. T-swift and her cult garners more viewership just to help line these billionaire wallets.
It's easy to discredit a team when they're on the forefront of officiating controversies every single week, right? Nobody but the own league is hypocritical of its own rule enforcement, do you not agree? We're to the point where a full-speed sport is being analyzed by milliseconds to determine if a defender arrived "too early" or if Mahomes "made an effort to step out of bounds" for the 15th time for a free 15 yards, as if he doesn't know he's gaming the purposefully ambiguous rule book left up to the interpretation of billionaire owners and senile line judges.
I do agree the video above is pointless as the game is literally won by inches. However, it is not crazy to say the chiefs are a glorified team right now, heavily aided by the game's changed rules damn near rendering defense useless. Mahomes is still talked about like he's dominating this year, yet has no stats to corroborate that claim. A whopping 2208 yards, 12tds and 9ints isn't impressive. His performance is to the likes of P. Manning and his last year in Denver; riding the coattails of someone else's success. Balt, Det, Pittsburg, Minn, and Washington have been far more impressive to watch this year.
But the total number of tears cried by the fans of opposing teams? Incalculable.
Not as much tears as when the refs finally gave a good call against toney last year, even mahomes was crying
We'll see. The Chiefs are good at snatching victory from the jaws of defeat.
They don't call it "a game of inches" for nothing.
"You are what your record says you are"
Bill Parcells
EVERYTHING else is meaningless.
MAKE THE PLAY.
.
I've seen entire 162 game MLB seasons come down to a ball falling foul by one inch, 300 feet from home plate.
.
for want of a nail
"For want of a nail the shoe was lost
for want of shoe the horse was lost
for want of a horse the rider was lost
for want of a rider the message was lost
for want of a message the battle was lost
for want of a battle the kingdom was lost
all for the want of a horseshoe nail"
CB game: I think ya gotta add the 3 yds they needed after that as well.
TB game: same, think you gotta add the 5-10 yrds you said they'd need to get in FG range. Poss distance of FG too?
We know the Chiefs D are capable of not allowing the 3 & 5-10 yds needed. Even IF, who's to say they would've made the FG or not blocked? (Again, we know capable.) So, conservatively, 8 yds (or 13 if 10, not 5) need converted & added to total # inches. You were reasonably fair tho so, not a complaint & just an opinion.✌️
I don’t understand why everybody thinks chiefs would’ve lost if likely scored that td they were going for 2 which is far from guaranteed, succes rate on 2 pt conversions is like 53%
Also, if every team scored more touchdowns, they would also win more games.
Come on, be realistic. The refs weren't letting the Chiefs lose any of those games.
Your Chief Derangement Syndrome is flaring up 😂😂😂
This is brilliant. But you need a control: average measurement of all similar situations in other games.
To be fair, we could do the same for their near playoff seasons in reverse, how many inches were they away from good season with Alex Smith
It really goes to show how football is "a game of inches"
It is very much like the Vikings two years ago when they set a record for most 1 score wins in a season. Didn't work out for the Vikes in the playoffs. lol
Ya except the vikings aren't coming off back to back SB wins, they didn't have mahomes or kelce or Jones or coach Reid or Spagnula 😂😂😂 you Chief Derangement Syndrome is flaring up 😂😂
The inches we need are everywhere around us.
They’re in every break of the game, every minute, every second.
On this team, we fight for that inch. On this team, we tear ourselves and everyone else around us to pieces for that inch. We claw with our fingernails for that inch, because we know when we add up all those inches that’s gonna make the f***in' difference between winning and losing! Between livin' and dyin'!
I’ll tell you this: In any fight, it’s the guy who’s willing to die who’s gonna win that inch. And I know if I’m gonna have any life anymore, it’s because I’m still willin' to fight and die for that inch. Because that’s what livin' is! The six inches in front of your face!!
Now I can’t make you do it. You got to look at the guy next to you. Look into his eyes! Now I think you’re gonna see a guy who will go that inch with you. You're gonna see a guy who will sacrifice himself for this team because he knows, when it comes down to it, you’re gonna do the same for him!
That’s a team, gentleman!
The thing about football is that in a lot of these games the Chiefs are only a few plays or “inches” from winning by multiple scores. Football is a game of inches.
Also I’m sure this has been discussed but in the ravens game if they scored that last TD they still wouldn’t have the lead, they’d still have to go for 2. So to say it is 1 inch is disingenuous
i feel you could do the same thing but in reverse. if mahomes doesn't miss so many throws or turn the ball over a lot of these one score games are simply not one score. also worth mentioning how many injuries the chiefs are dealing with.
The hate is absolutely wild😂
Right, the amount of views and tears in the comments is glorious 😂😂
Its not hate, its actual calculations
@ Last time I checked “inches from losing” is not a stat.
@@caelmccullah2867 should’ve known u wouldnt get what i meant, i meant to say calculations
@ I totally understand what you’re saying, I get that there are some things that have gone their way more than other teams. Enough to make a whole video about it. However, they are making plays to win close games which is how championships are won. They play great situational football, and I think that their resume backs up the fact that they are a championship team and not merely lucky. Also if you want people to respond to your comments accurately you might want to be more precise with your words :)
You need luck in sports to win consistently. That's why perfect seasons are borderline impossible. No matter how much talent you have or if you're better than your opponent, a few plays here and there can be the difference.
The 2013 Seahawks are remembered for being arguably the best defense ever and shutting down the best offense (statistically) ever led by Peyton Manning.
HOWEVER
Almost nobody talks about how we were literally the width of Richard Sherman's hand away from losing to San Francisco and not cementing our spot in history.
Taking "a game of inches" very literally here
Now do the Lions. ;-)
Maybe the Vikings and definitely the Texans games, don't know if you could get any others. Maybe Cardinals? Maybe Rams?
"yearly super bowl donator" .....thats evil 😂
I guess she was wrong, 1 inch can make a difference!
They have dark magic which is unbeatable
It really is a game of inches.
The flawed logic here is that the NFL generally has close games. So you could look at any crucial play here or there that the losing team didn't make where they could say "if we just would have made this one play, we would have won."... Yes! Exactly. Welcome to the NFL. Got to execute.
This is easy to do. Lets look at just last week between the Lions vs Texans. Two good teams and was the most hyped matchup of the week. End result was 26-23. Now I'm sure any Texan fan could say "if we make that 58 yard FG attempt with 1:56, we either win with the pressure Det would have or go into OT as Det kicked a FG." Or "if Stroud could have just picked up that 3rd & 4 just before the FG, they could have wasted more time, been closer, milk the clock and then kick the easier FG." See how easy this is? Most games come down to a play here or there and who makes them & who doesn't.
the bengals are 0 inches from a losing record since their defense sucks
They moved 0 inches against the Ravens before their 50-yard fail in overtime.
Another banger video
What about the non pass interference call on Pitts in the end zone at the end of the game for the Falcons?
Not to mention Likely was in before he was out.
I love the analysis, but the pass interference one is extremely suspect. The point of that penalty is that without the interference, the receiver might have caught the ball, so you can't fairly assume it would have been an incomplete pass. So I'd say it would be more accurate to state that if not for 8 inches, they might have been 6 and 3.
I made no attempts to hide the fact that this video is based on a lot of assumptions. But the DB was in great position to break up the pass, I don't think it's a huge stretch to assume that had he been a few inches back and made contact when the ball was touching the receiver and not a half second before he could've broken it up. Obviously, it could've gone the other way, but what's the fun in that.