A Game You Can Never Win

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 6 ก.ย. 2024
  • This is a thought experiment, not a real offer. If someone offers to sell you a $100 dollar bill for $5, you’d take that deal instantly, right? Of course! But suddenly your friend jumps in and offers $10 for the $100 and now you’re in a bidding war.
    Here’s the catch: the seller says that the losing bidder has to pay him their unsuccessful bid. So, the bids escalate. $20! $50! $100 for a $100 bill -- and now you and your friend are both in trouble.
    Martin Shubik’s Dollar Auction Game shows us that escalation based on rational decision-making can lead to disastrous results and trick you into playing a game you can never win… and it happens in real life way more often than we realize.
    ** LINKS **
    Get Vsauce's favorite science and math toys delivered to your door!
    www.curiosityb...
    2018 Currency Budget
    www.federalres...
    The Fed - How Much Does It Cost To Produce Currency And Coin?
    www.federalres...
    New $100 Bill Costs 60% More To Produce (Article from 2013)
    www.marketwatc...
    Prop Movie Money
    propmoviemoney...
    Hasbro Monopoly Money
    www.amazon.com...
    Tullock Auctions
    blogs.cornell....
    Knee-Deep In The Big Muddy: A Study Of Escalating Commitment to a Chosen Course of Action
    citeseerx.ist.p...
    The Dollar Auction Game: A Paradox in Noncooperative Behavior and Escalation by Martin Shubik
    www.math.toront...
    Backward Induction
    vknight.org/Ye...
    ***********************************
    Vsauce2 Links
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    Hosted, Produced, And Edited by Kevin Lieber
    Instagram: / kevlieber
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    Website: kevinlieber.com
    Research And Writing by Matthew Tabor
    / matthewktabor
    VFX By Eric Langlay
    / ericlanglay
    Huge Thanks Paula Lieber
    www.etsy.com/s...
    Select Music By Jake Chudnow: / jakechudnow

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