tell them that 3 weeks ago (Februray ~25th) Italy only had 3 confirmed cases of Covid19, 3 weeks later (March 15th) Italy has more than 20,000 cases!! that's right TWENTY THOUSANDS!!
Geoffrey's cartoon example is unfair because the values are so far from reality. If bacteria were to double every second, after four hours there would be more than 10^4334 bacteria (it is estimated that the there are between 10^78 to 10^82 atoms in the known, observable universe).
The doubling rate for commonly used laboratory bacteria in a lab culture is once every 20 minutes. His example isn't "unfair", it's just an example. Any rate of doubling works fine as an example. He could have used a rate of every millisecond and the example would be fine. Or he could have used every 100 years.
@@pfaurs The point is that he emphasizes that the experiment began at 8 a.m. This fact defines a time scale, therefore a doubling time of one second is not the same as twenty minutes or 100 years. The surprising thing about his story is that after waiting almost four hours (defined time scale) the test tube fills the remaining 99% in the last few seconds. That would be the surprising or counterintuitive thing about exponential behavior, but it is only possible to that extent in a mathematical abstraction, not in the real case.
@@LucasUzal if u were strapped in a waterproof football stadium all the way at the top at noon, and a droplet of water doubles every second, at what time would you drown from the water? only 50 minutes later. its just an example.
Hello, I like your video very much, but I would like to share it with French friends who dont understand English. Would you be interested in uploading the French translation I will provide -- the automated translation has several problems -- or could I copy your video and provide the translation myself and refer to your video here? I already cleaned up the English automated translation. I am in Quebec, Canada, but the French would work for all French speakers. I am as interested as you to make this understood. The lastest exemple of this lack of understanding are officials waiting more than a month to do something about monkeypox where it was clearly growing exponentially, letting it expand to more than 50 countries with thousands of cases.
@@tuckerbugeater Yes, but the translation is not good at several places. There is a reason why translation firms still exist despite automated translation tools : the systems can't tell when they are way off. I have seen an automated translation of a Cisco router 'control plane' translated in French as a 'control airplane'. :)
Hi, I'm sorry I took this long to reply. I haven't checked the comments on here for years. Take this video and do whatever you like. Download it, change it, no problem. The message is more important.
This explains the exponential growth, but the part about a population problem isn't true. The situation with population is different because the number of borned children decrease with economic growth. That means that the population will increase, but only for some time, because every children born increases the economic situation. That is why in africa there is that big number of born babies (In africa is bad economic situation, so the families need more people for work.). And when the absolute poverty will disapper, the number of born babies will decrease and problem will resolve itself.
I'm starting to think people don't "get" exponentials and big numbers in the same way they don't "get" small numbers. If you told someone that entering a room meant there was a 0.1% chance they'd instantly catch fire and burn to death then everyone who isn't suicidal would stay the fuck away from that room. But when you tell someone Coronavirus has a ~0.3% IFR then they're like "lol it's harmless."
"to understand it from an intuitive level" ??!!! What is your understanding of this "intuitive level". "Science" has been corrupted by greed. I think this intuitive level contains a deeper hidden understanding, hidden and veiled. But we are now becoming aware of your veiled communications. We see you. We know what's going on. Don't forget kuru disease. Don't forget the judgements of a higher power. You will be held accountable
![กี่หมื่นฟ้า | Your Sky Series EP.1 [1/4]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/vLGjxFL6U_I/mqdefault.jpg)
Who’s watching this for an assignment?✋
For exams this side 😊
Me🖐🏾
Are you environmental science student
How's watching this at the beginning of March 2020?
Pretty scary .....🤮
And on the seventh day God made hell and God made Hell exponential.
the graph looks a bit covid.....wtf
well our economy is about to crash and corona virus exists but other than that its fine
Ivan Hanák April buddy
Hey,
I always show this video to my class when doing a unit on sustainability. Its very good. Thanks
This really helped me to understand exponential growth in investing.. thank u!
This video is so much more haunting now. It bothers me because most of my family and friends still believe the Virus is just the flu
tell them that 3 weeks ago (Februray ~25th) Italy only had 3 confirmed cases of Covid19, 3 weeks later (March 15th) Italy has more than 20,000 cases!! that's right TWENTY THOUSANDS!!
@@alaslipknot and our US numbers just went from 3,552 to over 11,000 today!
or A hoax.
the growth rate of the virus in US was NEVER exponential and is actually falling drastically now
@@CarnevalOne how is it falling drastically? we had 25,000 new cases yesterday. Also thats only because we aren't testing enough people
exponential growth 2024!!!
Thank you for the simplistic explanation. :)
Best ever explanation for decision makers to understand that they could be the 1 second before decision-maker !!!
Hey. Can you elaborate on this ? I'm interested in knowing what you meant ! Thanks man :)
Professor Bart Bartlett was the early visionary in this field and should be acknowledged.
Brilliant explanation. Thank you
Like the video Arithmetic, Population and Energy by Alfred Bartlett.
aka "the most important video you'll ever see" -- seriously, that's what I google when I want to find that video to share with someone. So good. :)
Most scary explanation of exponential growth ... 😥😟😰😨😱
Brilliantly put together explanation, thank you
2:20 that’s a lot of Australians !
Here to better understand Ethereum's growth, most definitely understand exponential growth better now
My takeaway is that growth seems independent of substrate which is why humans can’t seem to wrap their head around.
Homework anyone?
yup haha
2023?
I watched this video again 😂 I have a really bad memory 😂
Geoffrey's cartoon example is unfair because the values are so far from reality. If bacteria were to double every second, after four hours there would be more than 10^4334 bacteria (it is estimated that the there are between 10^78 to 10^82 atoms in the known, observable universe).
The doubling rate for commonly used laboratory bacteria in a lab culture is once every 20 minutes. His example isn't "unfair", it's just an example. Any rate of doubling works fine as an example. He could have used a rate of every millisecond and the example would be fine. Or he could have used every 100 years.
@@pfaurs The point is that he emphasizes that the experiment began at 8 a.m. This fact defines a time scale, therefore a doubling time of one second is not the same as twenty minutes or 100 years. The surprising thing about his story is that after waiting almost four hours (defined time scale) the test tube fills the remaining 99% in the last few seconds. That would be the surprising or counterintuitive thing about exponential behavior, but it is only possible to that extent in a mathematical abstraction, not in the real case.
@@LucasUzal if u were strapped in a waterproof football stadium all the way at the top at noon, and a droplet of water doubles every second, at what time would you drown from the water? only 50 minutes later. its just an example.
Thanos: *sweats profusely* Shit...
Thanks for creating this :)
Thanks. But why did you put the values on the left in increasing order 1:32. I would love to visualize those as y-axis values.
Fascinating.
AI general AI we are halfway in time
Wow, very prescient!
Great video
I was one day off on the pond
I did the verification process but balked at the $25 USD fee because I am homeless American and have no way to pay the fee.sorry
Behind the scenes: Binance CEO shares insights into future developments in an exclusive interview
Thank you!
Ooga booga
Nice video
Hello, I like your video very much, but I would like to share it with French friends who dont understand English. Would you be interested in uploading the French translation I will provide -- the automated translation has several problems -- or could I copy your video and provide the translation myself and refer to your video here? I already cleaned up the English automated translation. I am in Quebec, Canada, but the French would work for all French speakers. I am as interested as you to make this understood. The lastest exemple of this lack of understanding are officials waiting more than a month to do something about monkeypox where it was clearly growing exponentially, letting it expand to more than 50 countries with thousands of cases.
youtube has auto translate for every language
@@tuckerbugeater Yes, but the translation is not good at several places. There is a reason why translation firms still exist despite automated translation tools : the systems can't tell when they are way off. I have seen an automated translation of a Cisco router 'control plane' translated in French as a 'control airplane'. :)
Hi, I'm sorry I took this long to reply. I haven't checked the comments on here for years.
Take this video and do whatever you like. Download it, change it, no problem. The message is more important.
This is how the adoption of EV-s take place. Few understand.
Hey papa
good
makes sense
This explains the exponential growth, but the part about a population problem isn't true. The situation with population is different because the number of borned children decrease with economic growth. That means that the population will increase, but only for some time, because every children born increases the economic situation. That is why in africa there is that big number of born babies (In africa is bad economic situation, so the families need more people for work.). And when the absolute poverty will disapper, the number of born babies will decrease and problem will resolve itself.
they have many children because the chances of one making it financially to support the family is increased. simple
It's carona time
🇨🇳🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🇪🇺🇫🇰🇪🇸🇳🇦🇪🇸🇳🇬🇬🇧🇱🇷🇬🇶🇲🇨🇬🇪🇲🇳🇬🇩🇱🇾🇲🇲🇬🇩🇬🇧🇳🇬🇪🇸🇪🇺🇬🇳🇬🇳
999 Likes!
2:00
Your representation is good but u r fast
You’re not suggesting a mass genocide? Are you...
I'm starting to think people don't "get" exponentials and big numbers in the same way they don't "get" small numbers. If you told someone that entering a room meant there was a 0.1% chance they'd instantly catch fire and burn to death then everyone who isn't suicidal would stay the fuck away from that room. But when you tell someone Coronavirus has a ~0.3% IFR then they're like "lol it's harmless."
Lol
الدحيح 😂
"to understand it from an intuitive level" ??!!! What is your understanding of this "intuitive level". "Science" has been corrupted by greed. I think this intuitive level contains a deeper hidden understanding, hidden and veiled. But we are now becoming aware of your veiled communications. We see you. We know what's going on. Don't forget kuru disease. Don't forget the judgements of a higher power. You will be held accountable
This does NOT really count as exponential growth!