I'll believe that when I see the rejuvenation shots/gene editing machine/nanobots etc. in front of me. Don't get me wrong I desperately want to live to see humanity, or its successor, colonize the stars and accomplish everything else one might dream of. But we're not out of the woods yet. I'm not just talking about poor funding for "life extension", I'm just taking about the chances of making it being much less certain than you think. I've had a lot of health problems strike me young that were statistically pretty unlikely for my age and sex. Are they necessarily going to kill me? Maybe not. I hope probably not. But given what's at stake it's enough to scare me. You never know what may strike you and no one, not you, not me, not anyone is immune. Sometimes we do have the technology to cure diseases and solve problems. Our modern medical system is hailed as a miracle. But it's actually held back by a lot of problems too. Sometimes accessibility is the only issue, but even that is also sometimes all that matters when you are desperate to get access to diagnostic equipment, early and agressive treatment for diseases, etc. That can make the difference between life and death. Not to mention the incompetence of many doctors when it comes to diagnosis. And long wait lists in many countries. People who can't afford it where health care isn't nationalized. AI doctors like watson and deep mind are welcomed. They must be miles above the human ones we have now, though that wouldn't be a hard benchmark to meet. It's a crime for anyone to die YOUNG now, much less die at all. But remember we're not yet out of the woods. Yet.
Also I'm addressing those who seem certain that young people today will live to see it. I wouldn't be despondent but I wouldn't be certain either. It can be crushing to find out you are about to lose what may have been a near-immortal life.
2:04. Why is the robot opening the door with its left arm? That makes no sense. Humans open that door setup with their right arm. And regardless of grip-strength, there is no way it could push the door open while being stationary. Humans can't even do that. We have to step forward to push the door open, while rotating the torso to provide leverage and move out of the way of the doorframe.. Go to a door and try to open it like the robot. You practically fall forward into the room. What are they doing? Of course it's falling over. There's no sense of balance... Am I crazy?
Part of me thinks back to when people imagined us driving flying cars everywhere by the year 2000 (70's...80's?) While another part thinks about how fast technology is advancing (computers and cellphones starting in the 90's and are everywhere now) Yes, we have no idea what the future holds in store for us, we could be annihilated at any moment, or prosper to span over the entire galaxy over thousands of years... Id love to have a perspective reminiscent of sim city or something like that where i could watch humanity evolve, strive, struggle and grow over generations... But, just like you, the person reading this, I'm a single human being in a world of billions, with my own interests, worries, passions, opinions and perspectives. I, as you, only have so much time on this planet. So thank you for spending some of yours, listening(so to say) to me ramble.
Based on our current knowledge, we should all live long and healthy lives even today. It does not stop people from smoking, drinking, eating unhealthy or ignoring fitness exercises. Having technology and knowledge and actually using them are two quite different things.
Imagine, someone could very possibly be watching this in 100 years. That's why this future is crazy. If we want to look back a hundreds years ago we would see black and white footage and rely on historic sources. But when they look back in 2119 they will be able to see countless video footage of every single historic event from 2015. They will be able to see countless footage of people doing average vlogs. Anyone will be able to get a very vivid idea of what exactly life was like in 2019.
***** In labs yes, but not in everyday life. Since 2000 only smartphones have made a radical difference. In 16 years, one device. In 29 ... maybe 2 or 3 revolutions of the size of smartphones. That's not... revolutionary enough.
***** You're making my point. "all the important stuff (communication stability and the likes) are hidden behind the flashy gimmicks."; "currently settling in"; "slowly making progress". Like I said. it's all in the labs. The average person is unaffected.
LOL What?? The very existence of 'the information age' has very dramatically changed human behavior. The dependence on phones, tablets, and computers in general is a huge reason why transhumanism is so likely. People are already thinking their phones and devices as an extension of themselves. Sure its not dramatic... but the changes are always subtle. In 2000 people would have balked at the thought of walking around with a supercomputer in your pocket or always in your hand. Now, people balk at the thought of *not* having that priveledge. In 2000, a couple thousand people had easy access to more information than they could ever consume in a lifetime. Now, over 3 Billion people have access to more information than they can ever consume in several lifetimes. Thanks to smart bands and such, people are far more likely and even desire to keep data on their health. We want for wireless devices, people are willing to wear HUDs as long as they're stylish or unseen, people are willing to wear smart clothes and to communicate virtually as if it was real life and to even treat virtual activities as real. All of this happened in just 16 years... its not overt.. because changes this massive only ever happen subtly, where its more likely to be accepted and absorbed. Pretty soon people are going to be ready, and even wanting, to have Mixed Reality devices as contacts. Then it wont be far at all to have them implanted. Pretty soon (already) people are going to be ready and wanting to produce power for their devices on their person. The Information Age (big data, home computers, mobile devices, automation) has greatly pushed humanity towards transhumanism. You wont see everybody all the sudden turn into robots or whatever. Its far more subtle and amazing than that.
Don't forget that we're living through 2000-today. We're not living through 1950-2000. Just like I can't notice my growth, and neither can my immediate family, but the farther from me you go, the better they'll notice my growth, our perception of advancement until today is warped.
Apemanwithcalculator Ehhhh... naw... Its important... but making sure people arent so stupid, violent, and greedy will be a bigger priority... dont want immortal idiots...
in 100 years dogs will have advanced so much that they will be keeping pet humans and they will all be woofing about the first dog to leave our solar system
The "Cybernetic Brain" has revealed "amplified thoughts" meaning we can feel, and hear another person's thoughts. This is likely the best attitude of preparing the population to think along these lines. Salute! I like the show! It is good to find media that influences "Forward Thinking" Oustanding job Jonathon Strickland!
I think that it will be a bit of both, that you're being optimistic and conservative. The main factor we have to understand, is that we can't fully predict what will happen in a century, though we can look at today and the past to draw some inferences that will be fairly accurate on the general aspects. Social: Already people are coming to grips with the fact that things like privacy are an illusion, much like it has been for most of human history. Instead of it simply being everyone living in the same house however, it's because we're willingly sending information about ourselves. The illusion of privacy that was once enjoyed for close to a century is being shattered and things are returning to a historical norm, if in a new manner. The fact of the matter is, the culture a century from now is one that we will be able to somewhat understand, but it will still be wildly different enough that it will be like being in a foreign country that is similar enough on the general aspects, but different in the specifics. Take a look at what some futurists predicted a century ago around the turn of the 20th century, and you might have an idea of how accurate or inaccurate any predictions we make can be. Some will be frighteningly accurate on the generalities, even predicting some developments. Some will be like today, but with a futuristic flair, and highly inaccurate. Technology: Many of the technologies that will exist in a century already exist now in some form, or at least their required precursors do. In many ways, some new technologies will be developed, but we will see refinements and combinations that aren't considered practical today. However, things like AR/VR, space travel in some form, and cybernetics will see increased development. AR is already here, though it isn't a cheap technology right now, but in about 10 - 20 years? It will. At the same time, it will compete with full immersion VR, probably within the same time period. The difference between the two will be how one ties in with the Real World, and the other will still allow the imagination to REALLY fly. Space travel, ah, space travel. I doubt we will break the FTL barrier in that time (at best we _might_ manage it in 500 years), mostly due to energy requirements. We know of _one_ way would work in line with current knowledge of physics, and it has insane requirements, or at least insane material requirements, by our standards, though those requirements are relatively feasible. What will happen, is that we will be able to more reliably go into space in a "safer" manner. Still highly dangerous, it's space, but again, most of the technologies and requirements are know, have been/will soon be met, so it's only a matter of engineering a solution. Then again, we might pull it off sooner due to sci-fi actually inspiring lines of research down the road... again. Honestly, if I live that long, I look forward to it. I can reasonably expect to live to at least the 2050/2060s, but by then, I might be able to live longer than that.
The part I agree with the least was the last part where a man was shown with his family. I think the way human being is getting more and more individualistic, the whole concept of family will not exist in the future.
I've been debating the timelines of these types of technologies. I fully recognize and admit I want this exciting future and so am utterly biased. Having said that, I have been listening to lots of TED talks, been joining forums to learn more, viewing interviews of scientists and researchers, reading lots of articles...etc. I'm sorry to say I think you are being far too pessimistic. I believe we will have extended lifetimes and full health, certainly in 50 years. Social norms I do agree, will slow many of the transhumanism changes. In 100 years, man who knows! I think we will probably be living on Mars and the Moon by then. I think we will pretty much have whatever tech we could possibly need to achieve the types of things we currently dream up. I am leaning on the optimistic side for two reasons. 1. It just seems like we are so very close to major breakthroughs on several science fronts including medicine and biology, computing power/AI potential, alternative energies such as solar and fusion, and I've been noticing talk about testing applications of quantum theory. Hell didn't scientists just create a crystal that impossibly breaks the laws of physics? The computing power potential of that could be the thing needed to achieve quantum level computing, so I read. 2. If we can achieve AI, (and I wouldn't be surprised to learn it's already been done), aren't we practically there now? Everyday I'm just waiting for some huge special announcement.
I believe Elon Musk recently said that "demographic decline" will be one of the biggest challenges we as a species will face in the next 50 years as the number of engineers in America is almost halving every generation due to engineers having only one child per couple on average.
total peace isn't necessarily a good thing since less violence is a good thing but competition is needed for human's to stay motivated to achieve goals
All we need to do is focus on developing AGI with human values, and then all other technologies will likely come soon after. However that is a difficult and potentially dangerous task.
the reason that Ray Kurzweil is right so often (86%) is because he researches exactly how the progress of each technology is coming along and then he models the future progression. that's how he came to his 2045 date. most of what you said will be around even before 2030, there is a pill that will increase life expectancy by 15% expected in the next 2 years and people already mentioned the CRISPR method. the social stigma argument is a good one but it'll only last as long as a generation or 2, as Isaac Asimov said, if a technology is around before you're born it's just completely normal, if it comes around during your 15 -30s then it's new and exciting, if it comes out after your 30 then it's abnormal and unnatural. so in a few generations genetic or mechanical modifications will be normal and even cool.
so no more exams needed as we are all known to ultimate physics even beyond quantum physics and anyone using their biophysical brains to connect to the central brain.
I think that the social norms thing won't be that big because of practicality. If you can have your biological arms replaced with superior robotic arms, there will be so many people doing it that the social norms will change pretty quickly.
Most cybernetics 100 years from now will be nanotechnology based and either intercellular or intracellular. You also won't buy them. You'll inherit them from your parents. (However many of them you have) and they will upgrade their own hardware through software updates. Kurzweil isn't the lead on transhumanist thinking and I don't think he ever was, but I don't think you've understood his position. Mostly 2045 is the date he gives for artificial superintelligence, which will change the game for every other field. He *does* talk about other important fields (he likes the acronym GNR for genetics, nanotechnology and robotics) but unless I'm mistaken they don't factor into his 2045 prediction. Once an ASI exists though, it will be able to apply itself to those fields which means that our current rate of increase is no longer applicable.
I think there will be status in body enhancement like futuristic body parts. But an extremely high resolution digital contact lens that works as a screen would/should be a thing that most everyone would want to have. Just turn on the lenses instead of the TV, phone or computer.
Dryued Ease is very important to people, and carrying tech with you (phone, glasses) is not easy enough if it could be made even easier. Perhaps an alternative would be a cyborg eye with a built in display for the brain instead of a real eye if contact lenses is too unpleasant to use. Sure, it might be something completely different, perhaps something like the automatic glasses in Deus Ex, but I personally don't find that "easy" enough for people as they are gadgets that take space outside of the body.
I think being conservative is not bad, it means we underestimate and when things jump forward, we are glad about it. All this said, I don't think you are too far off, I've been trying to figure out how to develop an advanced prosthetic, and have been able to figure out the logistics of it, but it is still a long way out, and even farther out to being affordable. If it works it will work better then other ideas on the market, but in 20 to 30 years of development, it will only be comparable to a natural human limb in movement, and then possible double that to see neural/sensor technology be able to reach comparable levels. So, the future is bright, but it will take its time getting to us.
In 100 years from now there will be a complete spectrum of people from indigenous cultures who stuck to their origins, all the way to immortal super humans, cyborgs and hive minds, traversing space and time at leisure. The question is really an individual one. Where do you want to be on the spectrum and how much time do you want to experience in any specific pattern> Further more are you a person who says "I try anything once and if I like it i'll do it again!"? Are you committed to "Till death do us part?" Or are you a person who wants to jump through all the messy bits to become a Timelord? Everything is possible except not ever existing once you have come into existence..
When our host questions whether or not humans will give up being human (as he shows the subtle dexterity of his hands and fingers), I think his view is significantly shortsighted. Like most people, perhaps he views becoming transhuman as becoming more robotic in function and form--more metallic and less supple. Again, this is a shortsighted view. Already, scientific labs at various places around the world have already engineered the beginnings of synthetic tissues--skin, bones, cartilage, vascular tubing, muscles, nerve-like fibers, etc.--that eventually will be more resilient with better, stronger, longer-lived functioning than their biological counterparts while looking and functioning similarly. Transhumanism does not mean "recognizably different than human"; it simply means "enhanced human". In fact, while robots 100 years from now will come in MANY shapes and sizes (including synthetic pets; like cats, dogs, haha... spiders, on and on and on), humanoid robots intended to look and operate like humans will be indistinguishable in appearance from humans.
Can you make a video about the teleporting technology they're studying in China and Canada? I found that that've teleported a few fotons in some place in the world, or something like that, can you focus this news?
Would love to live in a totally secular world, all nonsensical stone age notions laid to rest, send my children to school and for them not to be filled with unsubstantiated teachings of Chinese whispers at best, child abuse in it's reality. Alas I am too old to see this through to fruition.
What about those who would use genetic engineering to achieve the opposite effect? What about those (such as deaf people) who would want to pass on their disabilities to their children?
I agree with you; 2045 is too soon. So many futurists in the 60s/70s made wild predictions of 2000. Some thought we would have flying cars. It is now 2018 and STILL no flying cars, and I don’t think there ever will be lmao.
b flying cars became famous during that time because of the Jetsons. Flying cars aren’t even needed, what we do need and what will happen soon for sure are self-driving cars.
The whole thing sounds amazing, but I don't believe it'll equally affect the whole world. Richer countries will have it first, then the poor countries will have it later, and probably in an inferior quality or available only to people who've got money. The marjority though, will see this change through other realities, like how this technology will blend with things that are part of our daily life, starting for example, with our fridge or something that's essential to all of us, no matter the age, personality or whatever. The amount of elderly people is also increasing in general, so I guess we'll see more things that make their life more comfortable and bound them to technology in a better way (since I believe a lot grandmas and grandpas around the world still don't get how to deal with a cellphone).
I think your projections are a bit conservative. The reason is that there are multiple technologies on exponential growth curves, the biggest one being AI. Already reaching the point of regularly beating humans at their own professions, beating us in mind games, and air combat to name a few. I think if the technologies progressed linearly you would be more accurate. Our idea of what normal is will be vastly different than it is today.
I think the world-peace-through-the-Internet thing is unlikely. Most people interact with the Internet through major sites, most all of which use content-selecting feedback loops that make the human side of the web more of a series of bubbles than a network.
Lmao, the people in this comment section sound like the nuts at r/futurology . This isn't to sway predicting to or welcome the future is silly, but y'all have such STRONG predictions about the far future and are so confident in yourselves, when no one in all of history has been able to accurately predict the future in such a way
Blast that is very accurate statement they're confident in themselves and these new technologies and its Concepts because they're optimistic it will improve their lifes extend their lifespan I must admit it's very tempting but perhaps it is best to take a neutral position in terms of protecting the far future we do not know what will happen unless of course you have the abnormal ability to see into the future which I doubt of course not you never know I could be mistaken
Hmmm it's interesting scrolling through the comments, personally I believe our progression over the next few decades won't be massive. Just look at the predictions people made 50 years ago, they're just too ambitious.
We will all live in a giant advanced utopian city and then use high speed trains to transport people to certain parts of the planet to perform jobs that maintain the giant city and create an abundance of resources for the city
It sounds like a rosie future but I hope it would be my hope that people in all countries could benefit from such technology. Not sure how that will happen considering the reality of the present.
My instincts tell me even 100 years is too optimistic for anything like singularity style transhumanism. The barrier isn't necessarily technological (although the challenges are immense) but cultural. Despite a handful of visionaries, people as a collective whole have a strong investment in the status quo. And that's being optimistic and assuming economic collapse doesn't actually regress civilization instead of permitting its continued advancement.
I think looking at political situation, our current life pattern we are continuing and so many other stories should be concerned, as wee=ll as only focusing on how high technology reaches as if there would be no limitation to allow this high speed development.
I'm afraid we can hardly predict the future beyond general artificial intelligence, if at all. If that alone could be achieved in the next 30 years (or a lot sooner, or a lot later), then I don't think there's such a thing as "far-fetched optimism" (or damnation, who knowns). General AI can mean that everything we hold as reasonable regarding the pace of progress will become obsolete. But maybe we don't want to speculate on top of a speculation right now. So, considering the pace of progress on every field appart from a hypothetical intelligence explosion, I do think your terms make sense. And they're kind of conservative, you know better how to not speculate about the future naively.
Photosynthesis is a mechanism by which organic matter obtains energy from ultra-violet radiation... uv radiation is not healthy for humans. I don't understand why everyone wants humans to become semi-robotic, utilising robotic organs etc just because of technological advancement. When the internal combustion engines replaced horsepower we didn't suddenly think "ooh we could have internal combustion engines in us!" in the film Bicentennial Man, Robin Williams demonstrates the qualities necessary to make one human. If we replace our biological heart with a robotic heart/brain/organ etc then we become less human and more machine. We lose our Id, definition, character of species. positronic chips, neural network enhancements etc might be helpful in some cases but we are human. Imperfect, flawed yet still capable of automatic assisting technologies which help us do things faster and better. You would end up with a class system of "pure organic humans" and 'part mechanised humans" one would not tolerate the other. Which could lead to war/conflict/inequality. In the future we will simply be more advanced than we are now. The future would be more reliant upon automation/robotics... robots will replace most workers in manual work, construction/healthcare/farming/army/police/transport etc etc. apart from the people who fix/update the robots and networks until that also becomes automated. war will become obsolete as the ability to outmanoeuvre/outnumber an enemy with/without technology would cease. The threat of retaliation/extinction/colonisation would adequately deter implied action. The resources available to our species will face depletion, food/water/accommodation would reach its limits. If we can not feed/house/treat/help 7 + or - billion people with today's resources.... Hoe would we cater for an explosion in global population? It will reach a point of collapse whereby colonisation of another planet/moon would become necessary. I'm glad to be living in 2017 because of our achievements/losses, our history and what it has taught us. The future is quite scary really. Not that it will matter to any of us! Our future will also be the past in the distant future. The native Indians believe; 'Only when the last fish is caught... The last tree cut down, the last river dries up, only then will we realise... You can't eat money'
Kinda wish they could make a super drug that would make age slower, like for an example; I could be 89 but feel,act, and look like a 19 year old. I just really want to live on and see what our world becomes.
If we continual on our emotional & spiritual evolution as we are going. I say not much by 2116. All those other thing would be great. But greed & power & ego would get in the way.
I think it should take more than 100 years for something a like to come true...like every innovation it takes a while for prices to come down and the masses to have access... But all that can be all wonderful if "only" the population reduce its size. There will be no future if the number of humans continue to go up and resources down...
I think that robot limbs will have to look close to or exactly like their human counterparts for people to gibe them up. This is simply because people might find robotic limbs ugly or weird.
I think any prediction will be way far from the outcome. As it always happens. Some aspects of reality, that influence the development, arise on the go. I don't doubt the progress. I just hope that people will strive to be more and more humane and educated and lead concious lives.
I feel like your predictions are fairly sound, assuming of course that civilization as we know it survives that long. Over the next 100 years or so, humanity will need to overcome some of the most intense obstacles it's ever had to deal with - overpopulation, climate change, resource depletion... not to mention the very real possibility of another major war. But assuming it's all rainbows and sunshine.. hell yeah to Google-ing things with a thought by 2116 ;)
It depends on how fast the digital revolution happens as to how and when things could end up. No its not over, it just now is in conception. The machines will eventually reach some sort of consciousness. Friend or foe depends upon our own adaptivity.
I'm afraid of humans' evil side. We are too greedy, i think we (humans) will not go for something unless it's profitable. Sorry for being pessimistic! On the other hand, personally, I'm looking forward to all the new toys we are gonna get! GREAT JOB man, great video!
No that's happening now. - if I have the resources then I can upgrade myself indefinitly(continuously), I have several plans/ideas, "lose schematics". - I bet everyone else does too.
By 2116
I'll be dead
Pooping Person maybe not you never know
Because of the antibiotics and vaccines and other biological backgrounds we have now, there is a slight chance you may still live.
You will live.I will quit my sleep for that
Hey no one knows that
Rip
Too bad I won't live to see it :(
who knows, there are quite a lot of research extend our lifespan, so we may still be able to see it.
You will.
Anyone with the name "Star King" will probably live long enough to see it and then some. Just hope Snow White is with you.
I'll believe that when I see the rejuvenation shots/gene editing machine/nanobots etc. in front of me.
Don't get me wrong I desperately want to live to see humanity, or its successor, colonize the stars and accomplish everything else one might dream of. But we're not out of the woods yet.
I'm not just talking about poor funding for "life extension", I'm just taking about the chances of making it being much less certain than you think. I've had a lot of health problems strike me young that were statistically pretty unlikely for my age and sex.
Are they necessarily going to kill me? Maybe not. I hope probably not. But given what's at stake it's enough to scare me. You never know what may strike you and no one, not you, not me, not anyone is immune.
Sometimes we do have the technology to cure diseases and solve problems. Our modern medical system is hailed as a miracle. But it's actually held back by a lot of problems too. Sometimes accessibility is the only issue, but even that is also sometimes all that matters when you are desperate to get access to diagnostic equipment, early and agressive treatment for diseases, etc.
That can make the difference between life and death.
Not to mention the incompetence of many doctors when it comes to diagnosis. And long wait lists in many countries. People who can't afford it where health care isn't nationalized.
AI doctors like watson and deep mind are welcomed. They must be miles above the human ones we have now, though that wouldn't be a hard benchmark to meet. It's a crime for anyone to die YOUNG now, much less die at all.
But remember we're not yet out of the woods. Yet.
Also I'm addressing those who seem certain that young people today will live to see it. I wouldn't be despondent but I wouldn't be certain either. It can be crushing to find out you are about to lose what may have been a near-immortal life.
2:04. Why is the robot opening the door with its left arm? That makes no sense. Humans open that door setup with their right arm. And regardless of grip-strength, there is no way it could push the door open while being stationary. Humans can't even do that. We have to step forward to push the door open, while rotating the torso to provide leverage and move out of the way of the doorframe.. Go to a door and try to open it like the robot. You practically fall forward into the room. What are they doing? Of course it's falling over. There's no sense of balance... Am I crazy?
If we don't lose too much ground during WWIII, then yeah, by 2116 things might be not too bad.
trust me i will revolutionize this world my friends
BlackStar Both of us will
BlackStar revolutionize this world in ways never thought possible before and certainly Beyond people's wildest dreams
lol why did these comments spook me
We are partners in crime
I bet you will when you find out your gender haha
Part of me thinks back to when people imagined us driving flying cars everywhere by the year 2000 (70's...80's?) While another part thinks about how fast technology is advancing (computers and cellphones starting in the 90's and are everywhere now)
Yes, we have no idea what the future holds in store for us, we could be annihilated at any moment, or prosper to span over the entire galaxy over thousands of years... Id love to have a perspective reminiscent of sim city or something like that where i could watch humanity evolve, strive, struggle and grow over generations... But, just like you, the person reading this, I'm a single human being in a world of billions, with my own interests, worries, passions, opinions and perspectives. I, as you, only have so much time on this planet. So thank you for spending some of yours, listening(so to say) to me ramble.
YOU ALREADY GIVE UP YOUR SOCIAL LIFE FOR A MOBILE PHONE. WTF DOES THAT CHANGE?
Based on our current knowledge, we should all live long and healthy lives even today. It does not stop people from smoking, drinking, eating unhealthy or ignoring fitness exercises. Having technology and knowledge and actually using them are two quite different things.
Woo hoo, bring on my jet pack mobile phone and my robotic arms and I will try to take over the world - Ren and Stimpy style!
Imagine, someone could very possibly be watching this in 100 years. That's why this future is crazy. If we want to look back a hundreds years ago we would see black and white footage and rely on historic sources. But when they look back in 2119 they will be able to see countless video footage of every single historic event from 2015. They will be able to see countless footage of people doing average vlogs. Anyone will be able to get a very vivid idea of what exactly life was like in 2019.
after seeing how little humanity has evolved from 2000 to today, becoming transhuman in just 29 years is unlikely. 22nd century maybe.
***** In labs yes, but not in everyday life. Since 2000 only smartphones have made a radical difference. In 16 years, one device. In 29 ... maybe 2 or 3 revolutions of the size of smartphones. That's not... revolutionary enough.
***** You're making my point. "all the important stuff (communication stability and the likes) are hidden behind the flashy gimmicks."; "currently settling in"; "slowly making progress". Like I said. it's all in the labs. The average person is unaffected.
LOL What?? The very existence of 'the information age' has very dramatically changed human behavior.
The dependence on phones, tablets, and computers in general is a huge reason why transhumanism is so likely.
People are already thinking their phones and devices as an extension of themselves. Sure its not dramatic... but the changes are always subtle.
In 2000 people would have balked at the thought of walking around with a supercomputer in your pocket or always in your hand.
Now, people balk at the thought of *not* having that priveledge.
In 2000, a couple thousand people had easy access to more information than they could ever consume in a lifetime.
Now, over 3 Billion people have access to more information than they can ever consume in several lifetimes.
Thanks to smart bands and such, people are far more likely and even desire to keep data on their health.
We want for wireless devices, people are willing to wear HUDs as long as they're stylish or unseen, people are willing to wear smart clothes and to communicate virtually as if it was real life and to even treat virtual activities as real.
All of this happened in just 16 years... its not overt.. because changes this massive only ever happen subtly, where its more likely to be accepted and absorbed.
Pretty soon people are going to be ready, and even wanting, to have Mixed Reality devices as contacts. Then it wont be far at all to have them implanted.
Pretty soon (already) people are going to be ready and wanting to produce power for their devices on their person.
The Information Age (big data, home computers, mobile devices, automation) has greatly pushed humanity towards transhumanism. You wont see everybody all the sudden turn into robots or whatever. Its far more subtle and amazing than that.
Don't forget that we're living through 2000-today. We're not living through 1950-2000.
Just like I can't notice my growth, and neither can my immediate family, but the farther from me you go, the better they'll notice my growth, our perception of advancement until today is warped.
Apemanwithcalculator Ehhhh... naw... Its important... but making sure people arent so stupid, violent, and greedy will be a bigger priority... dont want immortal idiots...
I am ready for the cyborg future. Human augmentation all the way!
the fact that i can make it to 2100 scares me..
This guy dont know the law of accelerating returns ...
Marcio Pineda the laws of physics will put a limit on how far we can push eny technology we may not have found them yet but find them we will.
in 100 years dogs will have advanced so much that they will be keeping pet humans and they will all be woofing about the first dog to leave our solar system
*MY NAME IS SNOWBALL!*
SeaDoggoMeme, i kid you not, seadoggo he turns himself into a pickle; He calls himself “Pickle Rick”, funniest shit I’ve ever seen.
I love this channel,it's so relaxing
Not sure why biotics wouldn't be a social norm? They already are in the shape of prosthetics for people with disabilities 💁♂️
why haven't you uploaded anything for so long?
The "Cybernetic Brain" has revealed "amplified thoughts" meaning we can feel, and hear another person's thoughts. This is likely the best attitude of preparing the population to think along these lines. Salute! I like the show! It is good to find media that influences "Forward Thinking"
Oustanding job Jonathon Strickland!
Really hope the world dosen't come to this...idk I just can't imagine life being like this :0
NOPE. NOPE. SCREW THAT. I AINT PUTTING ANY TECHNOLOGY IN ME BECAUSE IM HUMAN. FLESH AND BLOOD. SCREW THAT.
I'd love bionic implants or replacements on my body, would make me healthier and more advanced..
@Gruntzy lol dont get it then, Your loss.
why is he not posting anymore videos?
it’s scary to think of that maybe in a million years the universe won’t be the same at all and planet earth might not even exist anymore
I think that it will be a bit of both, that you're being optimistic and conservative.
The main factor we have to understand, is that we can't fully predict what will happen in a century, though we can look at today and the past to draw some inferences that will be fairly accurate on the general aspects.
Social: Already people are coming to grips with the fact that things like privacy are an illusion, much like it has been for most of human history. Instead of it simply being everyone living in the same house however, it's because we're willingly sending information about ourselves. The illusion of privacy that was once enjoyed for close to a century is being shattered and things are returning to a historical norm, if in a new manner.
The fact of the matter is, the culture a century from now is one that we will be able to somewhat understand, but it will still be wildly different enough that it will be like being in a foreign country that is similar enough on the general aspects, but different in the specifics. Take a look at what some futurists predicted a century ago around the turn of the 20th century, and you might have an idea of how accurate or inaccurate any predictions we make can be. Some will be frighteningly accurate on the generalities, even predicting some developments. Some will be like today, but with a futuristic flair, and highly inaccurate.
Technology: Many of the technologies that will exist in a century already exist now in some form, or at least their required precursors do. In many ways, some new technologies will be developed, but we will see refinements and combinations that aren't considered practical today.
However, things like AR/VR, space travel in some form, and cybernetics will see increased development. AR is already here, though it isn't a cheap technology right now, but in about 10 - 20 years? It will. At the same time, it will compete with full immersion VR, probably within the same time period. The difference between the two will be how one ties in with the Real World, and the other will still allow the imagination to REALLY fly.
Space travel, ah, space travel. I doubt we will break the FTL barrier in that time (at best we _might_ manage it in 500 years), mostly due to energy requirements. We know of _one_ way would work in line with current knowledge of physics, and it has insane requirements, or at least insane material requirements, by our standards, though those requirements are relatively feasible. What will happen, is that we will be able to more reliably go into space in a "safer" manner. Still highly dangerous, it's space, but again, most of the technologies and requirements are know, have been/will soon be met, so it's only a matter of engineering a solution.
Then again, we might pull it off sooner due to sci-fi actually inspiring lines of research down the road... again.
Honestly, if I live that long, I look forward to it. I can reasonably expect to live to at least the 2050/2060s, but by then, I might be able to live longer than that.
The part I agree with the least was the last part where a man was shown with his family. I think the way human being is getting more and more individualistic, the whole concept of family will not exist in the future.
This is all assuming we don't blow ourselves up before we get there.
What's the song at 0:10? Please
Thanks
I hope it does happen in the 2040's. I'll still be around and possibly still working then. That is, if I'm able to work on this like I would like to.
I've been debating the timelines of these types of technologies. I fully recognize and admit I want this exciting future and so am utterly biased. Having said that, I have been listening to lots of TED talks, been joining forums to learn more, viewing interviews of scientists and researchers, reading lots of articles...etc. I'm sorry to say I think you are being far too pessimistic. I believe we will have extended lifetimes and full health, certainly in 50 years. Social norms I do agree, will slow many of the transhumanism changes. In 100 years, man who knows! I think we will probably be living on Mars and the Moon by then. I think we will pretty much have whatever tech we could possibly need to achieve the types of things we currently dream up. I am leaning on the optimistic side for two reasons. 1. It just seems like we are so very close to major breakthroughs on several science fronts including medicine and biology, computing power/AI potential, alternative energies such as solar and fusion, and I've been noticing talk about testing applications of quantum theory. Hell didn't scientists just create a crystal that impossibly breaks the laws of physics? The computing power potential of that could be the thing needed to achieve quantum level computing, so I read. 2. If we can achieve AI, (and I wouldn't be surprised to learn it's already been done), aren't we practically there now? Everyday I'm just waiting for some huge special announcement.
I believe Elon Musk recently said that "demographic decline" will be one of the biggest challenges we as a species will face in the next 50 years as the number of engineers in America is almost halving every generation due to engineers having only one child per couple on average.
Scientist:Ok you are now bionic
Me:Ooh cool
Scientist:Waste glass of water on me
Me:💀
total peace isn't necessarily a good thing since less violence is a good thing but competition is needed for human's to stay motivated to achieve goals
All we need to do is focus on developing AGI with human values, and then all other technologies will likely come soon after. However that is a difficult and potentially dangerous task.
Why is no one pointing out how hilarious the robot falling because the doorknob is?
the reason that Ray Kurzweil is right so often (86%) is because he researches exactly how the progress of each technology is coming along and then he models the future progression. that's how he came to his 2045 date.
most of what you said will be around even before 2030, there is a pill that will increase life expectancy by 15% expected in the next 2 years and people already mentioned the CRISPR method.
the social stigma argument is a good one but it'll only last as long as a generation or 2, as Isaac Asimov said, if a technology is around before you're born it's just completely normal, if it comes around during your 15 -30s then it's new and exciting, if it comes out after your 30 then it's abnormal and unnatural. so in a few generations genetic or mechanical modifications will be normal and even cool.
so no more exams needed as we are all known to ultimate physics even beyond quantum physics and anyone using their biophysical brains to connect to the central brain.
I was born in 2004 I will be 112 in 2116 I pray I will be alive to see this
I think that the social norms thing won't be that big because of practicality. If you can have your biological arms replaced with superior robotic arms, there will be so many people doing it that the social norms will change pretty quickly.
the moment we are able to upload memories and knowledge into our brains, the human race with advance 1000 years in a single night
This was a perfectly nice video, of course.
But, did anybody else have their computer freeze with loud buzzing at around 2:53, while watching this?
Most cybernetics 100 years from now will be nanotechnology based and either intercellular or intracellular. You also won't buy them. You'll inherit them from your parents. (However many of them you have) and they will upgrade their own hardware through software updates.
Kurzweil isn't the lead on transhumanist thinking and I don't think he ever was, but I don't think you've understood his position. Mostly 2045 is the date he gives for artificial superintelligence, which will change the game for every other field. He *does* talk about other important fields (he likes the acronym GNR for genetics, nanotechnology and robotics) but unless I'm mistaken they don't factor into his 2045 prediction. Once an ASI exists though, it will be able to apply itself to those fields which means that our current rate of increase is no longer applicable.
Michael Spence I love your ideas
I think there will be status in body enhancement like futuristic body parts.
But an extremely high resolution digital contact lens that works as a screen would/should be a thing that most everyone would want to have. Just turn on the lenses instead of the TV, phone or computer.
You clearly haven't worn contact lenses. The people are going to ditch them for something more convenient at the first chance they get.
Dryued
Ease is very important to people, and carrying tech with you (phone, glasses) is not easy enough if it could be made even easier.
Perhaps an alternative would be a cyborg eye with a built in display for the brain instead of a real eye if contact lenses is too unpleasant to use.
Sure, it might be something completely different, perhaps something like the automatic glasses in Deus Ex, but I personally don't find that "easy" enough for people as they are gadgets that take space outside of the body.
I think being conservative is not bad, it means we underestimate and when things jump forward, we are glad about it. All this said, I don't think you are too far off, I've been trying to figure out how to develop an advanced prosthetic, and have been able to figure out the logistics of it, but it is still a long way out, and even farther out to being affordable. If it works it will work better then other ideas on the market, but in 20 to 30 years of development, it will only be comparable to a natural human limb in movement, and then possible double that to see neural/sensor technology be able to reach comparable levels. So, the future is bright, but it will take its time getting to us.
In 100 years from now there will be a complete spectrum of people from indigenous cultures who stuck to their origins, all the way to immortal super humans, cyborgs and hive minds, traversing space and time at leisure. The question is really an individual one. Where do you want to be on the spectrum and how much time do you want to experience in any specific pattern> Further more are you a person who says "I try anything once and if I like it i'll do it again!"? Are you committed to "Till death do us part?" Or are you a person who wants to jump through all the messy bits to become a Timelord?
Everything is possible except not ever existing once you have come into existence..
My dream technology is a world of VR... imagine we can live in another virtual world -similar to Accel world or Sword art online :'3
Whatever the future will look like, humanity won't get better.
I agree with you.
Kurzweil's prediction is way too optimistic for 2045. I think the singularity will happen closer to 2065-70.
When our host questions whether or not humans will give up being human (as he shows the subtle dexterity of his hands and fingers), I think his view is significantly shortsighted. Like most people, perhaps he views becoming transhuman as becoming more robotic in function and form--more metallic and less supple. Again, this is a shortsighted view. Already, scientific labs at various places around the world have already engineered the beginnings of synthetic tissues--skin, bones, cartilage, vascular tubing, muscles, nerve-like fibers, etc.--that eventually will be more resilient with better, stronger, longer-lived functioning than their biological counterparts while looking and functioning similarly. Transhumanism does not mean "recognizably different than human"; it simply means "enhanced human". In fact, while robots 100 years from now will come in MANY shapes and sizes (including synthetic pets; like cats, dogs, haha... spiders, on and on and on), humanoid robots intended to look and operate like humans will be indistinguishable in appearance from humans.
I think we'll be farther ahead than you think.
The average life span in the middle age was 30 ages, now it is 75.
Can you make a video about the teleporting technology they're studying in China and Canada? I found that that've teleported a few fotons in some place in the world, or something like that, can you focus this news?
A brave new world? We need to ditch religion in favour of science first.
Richard H it's slowly happening
Would love to live in a totally secular world, all nonsensical stone age notions laid to rest, send my children to school and for them not to be filled with unsubstantiated teachings of Chinese whispers at best, child abuse in it's reality. Alas I am too old to see this through to fruition.
Actually Islam religion is associated with science, but mostly Astronomy....
Science will fail
Trillions in debt the matrix will crash
What about those who would use genetic engineering to achieve the opposite effect? What about those (such as deaf people) who would want to pass on their disabilities to their children?
I agree with you; 2045 is too soon. So many futurists in the 60s/70s made wild predictions of 2000. Some thought we would have flying cars. It is now 2018 and STILL no flying cars, and I don’t think there ever will be lmao.
b flying cars became famous during that time because of the Jetsons. Flying cars aren’t even needed, what we do need and what will happen soon for sure are self-driving cars.
The whole thing sounds amazing, but I don't believe it'll equally affect the whole world.
Richer countries will have it first, then the poor countries will have it later, and probably in an inferior quality or available only to people who've got money.
The marjority though, will see this change through other realities, like how this technology will blend with things that are part of our daily life, starting for example, with our fridge or something that's essential to all of us, no matter the age, personality or whatever.
The amount of elderly people is also increasing in general, so I guess we'll see more things that make their life more comfortable and bound them to technology in a better way (since I believe a lot grandmas and grandpas around the world still don't get how to deal with a cellphone).
Can you start to add links to the music used in the video? Thanks.
I think your projections are a bit conservative. The reason is that there are multiple technologies on exponential growth curves, the biggest one being AI. Already reaching the point of regularly beating humans at their own professions, beating us in mind games, and air combat to name a few. I think if the technologies progressed linearly you would be more accurate. Our idea of what normal is will be vastly different than it is today.
Great video!:)
Is it normal to laugh when the robot fell? Cuz I FRICKING did lol 😂
You guy's just might call me crazy but I'm hoping for a reality beyond our physical form.
I think the world-peace-through-the-Internet thing is unlikely. Most people interact with the Internet through major sites, most all of which use content-selecting feedback loops that make the human side of the web more of a series of bubbles than a network.
Lmao, the people in this comment section sound like the nuts at r/futurology . This isn't to sway predicting to or welcome the future is silly, but y'all have such STRONG predictions about the far future and are so confident in yourselves, when no one in all of history has been able to accurately predict the future in such a way
Blast that is very accurate statement they're confident in themselves and these new technologies and its Concepts because they're optimistic it will improve their lifes extend their lifespan I must admit it's very tempting but perhaps it is best to take a neutral position in terms of protecting the far future we do not know what will happen unless of course you have the abnormal ability to see into the future which I doubt of course not you never know I could be mistaken
Can someone invent a Lifespan already!? I wanna have all of my loved ones with me 🤧🙏🏽
There is next to no actual information here....
Hmmm it's interesting scrolling through the comments, personally I believe our progression over the next few decades won't be massive. Just look at the predictions people made 50 years ago, they're just too ambitious.
We will all live in a giant advanced utopian city and then use high speed trains to transport people to certain parts of the planet to perform jobs that maintain the giant city and create an abundance of resources for the city
Writing this comment so I would look on to it in 💯 years
God will come by then.
We already use robotics when we fall apart and don't really judge, compared to cosmetic treatments people get for the fun of it.
I feel like TV gives us a stereotype of the future
It sounds like a rosie future but I hope it would be my hope that people in all countries could benefit from such technology. Not sure how that will happen considering the reality of the present.
My instincts tell me even 100 years is too optimistic for anything like singularity style transhumanism. The barrier isn't necessarily technological (although the challenges are immense) but cultural. Despite a handful of visionaries, people as a collective whole have a strong investment in the status quo. And that's being optimistic and assuming economic collapse doesn't actually regress civilization instead of permitting its continued advancement.
Dude, where are you??? New videos please :)
Meanwhile the people in 2116 make a video on "what the past thought we'll be by now"
Hopefully in 100 years humans will have realised what they've done to the Earth and use technology to save it rather than bring people apart
Ik denk dat mensen de komende honderd jaar nog altijd hetzelfde blijven❤️
I think looking at political situation, our current life pattern we are continuing and so many other stories should be concerned, as wee=ll as only focusing on how high technology reaches as if there would be no limitation to allow this high speed development.
Kinda worried about the lack of new videos
i look up in a world where robots do everything while we sit in our chair eating doritos
Gaming in 100 years will be amazing
I'm afraid we can hardly predict the future beyond general artificial intelligence, if at all. If that alone could be achieved in the next 30 years (or a lot sooner, or a lot later), then I don't think there's such a thing as "far-fetched optimism" (or damnation, who knowns).
General AI can mean that everything we hold as reasonable regarding the pace of progress will become obsolete.
But maybe we don't want to speculate on top of a speculation right now. So, considering the pace of progress on every field appart from a hypothetical intelligence explosion, I do think your terms make sense. And they're kind of conservative, you know better how to not speculate about the future naively.
Photosynthesis is a mechanism by which organic matter obtains energy from ultra-violet radiation...
uv radiation is not healthy for humans.
I don't understand why everyone wants humans to become semi-robotic, utilising robotic organs etc just because of technological advancement.
When the internal combustion engines replaced horsepower we didn't suddenly think "ooh we could have internal combustion engines in us!"
in the film Bicentennial Man, Robin Williams demonstrates the qualities necessary to make one human.
If we replace our biological heart with a robotic heart/brain/organ etc then we become less human and more machine. We lose our Id, definition, character of species.
positronic chips, neural network enhancements etc might be helpful in some cases but we are human. Imperfect, flawed yet still capable of automatic assisting technologies which help us do things faster and better.
You would end up with a class system of "pure organic humans" and 'part mechanised humans"
one would not tolerate the other.
Which could lead to war/conflict/inequality.
In the future we will simply be more advanced than we are now.
The future would be more reliant upon automation/robotics...
robots will replace most workers in manual work, construction/healthcare/farming/army/police/transport etc etc.
apart from the people who fix/update the robots and networks until that also becomes automated.
war will become obsolete as the ability to outmanoeuvre/outnumber an enemy with/without technology would cease.
The threat of retaliation/extinction/colonisation would adequately deter implied action.
The resources available to our species will face depletion, food/water/accommodation would reach its limits.
If we can not feed/house/treat/help 7 + or - billion people with today's resources.... Hoe would we cater for an explosion in global population?
It will reach a point of collapse whereby colonisation of another planet/moon would become necessary.
I'm glad to be living in 2017 because of our achievements/losses, our history and what it has taught us.
The future is quite scary really.
Not that it will matter to any of us! Our future will also be the past in the distant future.
The native Indians believe;
'Only when the last fish is caught... The last tree cut down, the last river dries up, only then will we realise... You can't eat money'
Kinda wish they could make a super drug that would make age slower, like for an example; I could be 89 but feel,act, and look like a 19 year old. I just really want to live on and see what our world becomes.
Reminds me of the Outer Limits episode "Stream of Consciousness"
So avoiding death is possibly possible?
If we continual on our emotional & spiritual evolution as we are going. I say not much by 2116. All those other thing would be great. But greed & power & ego would get in the way.
I think it should take more than 100 years for something a like to come true...like every innovation it takes a while for prices to come down and the masses to have access... But all that can be all wonderful if "only" the population reduce its size. There will be no future if the number of humans continue to go up and resources down...
0:35 Sign me in!
At 2:05, that robot took a spill!!!!!
I think that robot limbs will have to look close to or exactly like their human counterparts for people to gibe them up. This is simply because people might find robotic limbs ugly or weird.
Julian Turner Not true. If they are like the ones in Deus Ex most people will choose them over biological limbs
Julian Turner Not true. If they are like the ones in Deus Ex most people will choose them over biological limbs
I'm 17 hope I'll live until there
Yuval harari says that in 200 years we'll be a different specie.
I think any prediction will be way far from the outcome. As it always happens.
Some aspects of reality, that influence the development, arise on the go.
I don't doubt the progress.
I just hope that people will strive to be more and more humane and educated and lead concious lives.
Imagine TH-cam a hundred years from now
I feel like your predictions are fairly sound, assuming of course that civilization as we know it survives that long. Over the next 100 years or so, humanity will need to overcome some of the most intense obstacles it's ever had to deal with - overpopulation, climate change, resource depletion... not to mention the very real possibility of another major war. But assuming it's all rainbows and sunshine.. hell yeah to Google-ing things with a thought by 2116 ;)
We miss youuuuuuuu
It depends on how fast the digital revolution happens as to how and when things could end up. No its not over, it just now is in conception. The machines will eventually reach some sort of consciousness. Friend or foe depends upon our own adaptivity.
I'm afraid of humans' evil side. We are too greedy, i think we (humans) will not go for something unless it's profitable. Sorry for being pessimistic! On the other hand, personally, I'm looking forward to all the new toys we are gonna get! GREAT JOB man, great video!
No that's happening now. - if I have the resources then I can upgrade myself indefinitly(continuously), I have several plans/ideas, "lose schematics". - I bet everyone else does too.
take a look at prostetics and consider if you were to make parts yourself. - then implants wouldn't be downgraded/handicapped.
the reason robots look like shit is commerce.
it is profitable to make shit as long as it is better than the prior shit
id replace my arms for robotic arms because i wouldnt need to work out anymore lol but wouldnt there be threats of hacking ?