Shopify Stock (SHOP) Analysis: WINNING SHARE! Cheap?

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 16 พ.ค. 2024
  • Is Shopify stock (SHOP) finally cheap? SHOP stock is down 30% in the last few months yet their underlying fundamentals continue to improve. In this video I discuss Shopify's latest results, why the stock may have sold off, and the structural thesis behind Shopify's historic growth.
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ความคิดเห็น • 46

  • @gford9988
    @gford9988 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    as always, high quality info. I've been a paying member for about a year. VERY happy with the guidance/analysis that Daniel provides

    • @unrivaled
      @unrivaled  21 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Thank you! It's the paying members of the UNRIVALED NATION that keeps this channel going!

  • @RenewableEnergyInvestmen-it5jl
    @RenewableEnergyInvestmen-it5jl 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +19

    I don't think asking whether a company in a secular growth industry is "cheap" is the right question. This is how people miss fantastic companies. What is far more important is whether it is a fantastic secular growth business, with an indefinite moat and great management. With secular growers, it is far more important to be correct on the business, then for the stock to be cheap.

    • @msaw504
      @msaw504 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Do you think Shopify could be a secular grower in the future based on its business model and challenges it faces?

    • @RenewableEnergyInvestmen-it5jl
      @RenewableEnergyInvestmen-it5jl 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@msaw504 Im not personally invested enough in this stock so I haven’t done the DD to be confident. But for most growth stocks the bulls vs bears battle ultimately is decided by the durability of growth. Bears project growth tapers off. Bulls project ongoing or accelerating growth. Typically the outcome of this debate has far greater impact on stock price than the current price.

    • @opencase9903
      @opencase9903 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Shopify has no moat.

    • @amostageer
      @amostageer 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@opencase9903what?! Literally no other company does what Shopify does!

    • @TheParamike
      @TheParamike 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I’m DCA’ing in heavily now. Should see huge growth as more and more brands shift over to their platform.

  • @iakobkv271
    @iakobkv271 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +16

    when Daniel posts youtube video, I am sure stock is expensive and NOT a buy, in advance :D

    • @unrivaled
      @unrivaled  21 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      I'm picky! th-cam.com/video/nsxGizwLTd8/w-d-xo.html

    • @johno1104
      @johno1104 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Because he usually has a very similar but better stock behind the paywall

    • @iakobkv271
      @iakobkv271 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@TwitterVerifeddont be silly, no 100 Daniels will pump a stock with billions of market cap

  • @mechannel7046
    @mechannel7046 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

    9:20 cash flow chart 12:20 SHOP still not cheap

  • @johnmcquaid7524
    @johnmcquaid7524 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Excellent video.
    Thank-you for your channel!

  • @cianle-ginger802
    @cianle-ginger802 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Is it possible to get a hold of your valuation model spreadsheet?

  • @nguyendat6714
    @nguyendat6714 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    For your base case scenario, if SHOP grows at 17.5%, why would you only give the company a 30x multiple? The SP500 on average grows about 5-10% but its currently trading at 25 PE. IF SHOP grows 2x faster than the SP500, it should deserve at least a 40PE, right? Did I miss something here?

  • @Hestayeating
    @Hestayeating 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I love the new thumb nails!🔥

  • @FKAS8410
    @FKAS8410 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Hi Daniel. Just a thought, why not bundle AI ticker chat as part of your premium services?

  • @TechPeeves
    @TechPeeves วันที่ผ่านมา

    Perfect coverage, exactly what I needed :)
    Can you make one for CLS? Thanks

  • @GoldfishLiberty
    @GoldfishLiberty 11 วันที่ผ่านมา

    What would your buy price be for this stock then?

  • @IM-gc1vp
    @IM-gc1vp 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Shopify is a great product but the stock is still very EXPENSIVE!

  • @JuanBattaglia45
    @JuanBattaglia45 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    At 35 BN I'll start to think about it.

  • @mattanonysaurousrex
    @mattanonysaurousrex 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Just because the stock price drops, doesn't mean it's cheap. However, if lots of retail investors think the drop means it's a sale, and if traders are going to take advantage of the volatility, the price will go up in the short term. My metrics show I should consider it at $45. If you really believe in the company, I don't think it's a bad opportunity.

  • @karldoring9887
    @karldoring9887 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    More than half of their FCF is stock based compensation ...

  • @trollheim-bavaria
    @trollheim-bavaria 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    smart money is different

  • @howardpratt7962
    @howardpratt7962 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I have 1000 shares

  • @johno1104
    @johno1104 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    I have $12k invested at an average of $25..... Just can't but at current price

    • @cxns155
      @cxns155 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Don’t get price anchored my G

  • @TheParamike
    @TheParamike 12 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Buy and Hold this one. I see no end in my lifetime to the growth of this secular play.

  • @Martin_Gark
    @Martin_Gark 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Second!!

  • @Mr3ek
    @Mr3ek 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Why touch SHOP when you have likes of BABA

    • @svladylen
      @svladylen 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      They completely uncomparable, Chinese vs Can, light assets vs heavy assets, growth vs decline

    • @Zizook
      @Zizook 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Because everyone’s scared to buy it. That’s why

    • @raidtheairwaves42
      @raidtheairwaves42 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Yea but why SHOP when WMT?

    • @frankydiamond5589
      @frankydiamond5589 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thats like comparing tesla and Nio

    • @Chris-vz2kv
      @Chris-vz2kv 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Because one is Chinese the other isn’t