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It's amazing how you can put 5 wrong statements in 1 comment.

Enjoy paying more money

in phoenix we actually only have level 2 autonomy, it was kind of dishonest to say its level 4 when in reality we don't have that yet.

Telsa would need to build new factories every single year for decades, all of it coming with extreme environmental costs in a world with 10 billion people it doesn't matter if its electric or autonomous its going to cause problems

The way I see it you can shout into the wind for 10 years that everyone must give up cars, planes and only buy locally and as the waves lap around your waist you can shout I told you this would happen or you can do this which has way less environmental impact and actually make a difference. Ok all technology impacts the environment but we're too far down the road now to expect it all to screech to a halt now. Maybe once the fossil fuel industry is put out to pasture we can go again and improve things further but this change has to come first.

@@robbiero368 at current projected rates we will have 1 billion cars in 2020 and 3 billion cars in 2050 only 1/3 will be electric. if you put a carbon tax then half will be electric (that's still an increase)

@@Lildizzle420 no idea where you get those projections from but are you saying it would be better if they all remained as ICE cars, don't see how that will help. Autonomous ones though definitely have a shot at reducing the numbers rather than increasing them.

@@robbiero368 we can't use ICE or EV cars, neither are sustainable or equitable in a world with 10 billion people. you can google how many cars by 2050 and read estimates. I've heard 2 billion by 2030 to 3 billion by 2050 all of it sounds like a total pollution and congestion nightmare

more and more solar I imagine

The Union of Concerned Scientist did a study. The US has lots of excess power Off Peak at night. 80% of the cars and trucks could be electric and not need 1 extra power plant. Solar pv and wind are growing super fast. Storage with advanced batteries. V2G Vehicle to GRID can also balance the GRID.

@@PhxElecAuto maybe based on current energy production fossil fuels being burned. batteries also increase pollution you need a batter in the car, plus one in your house and they have to be large enough to power both at all times

Invest in Tesla, NVIDIA, lithium and cobalt suppliers. Space X when they go public. For diversity look at Este Lauder EL and ULTA. Women will buy makeup to look good in a drought, famine etc

Heinrich Peter Maria Radojewski Schäfer Leverkusen Genau! Jeder der in Deutschland noch an der Braunkohle festhalten will, sollte sich den Vortrag anhören. Ich habe gerade nachgeschaut wie hoch der Netz-Anteil am deutschen Strompreis ist: 7.22 Cent pro kWh. Wieviel kostet inzwischen in Süddeutschland 1kwh Roof-Top-Solar? Etwas über 7.23 Cent. ;-) www.bundesnetzagentur.de/SharedDocs/FAQs/DE/Sachgebiete/Energie/Verbraucher/PreiseUndRechnungen/WieSetztSichDerStrompreisZusammen.html www.solarwatt.de/photovoltaikanlage/photovoltaikanlage-kaufen/photovoltaikanlage-kosten

@@sven5415 Ja, absolut. Diejenigen, die sich Jahrzente lang in der falschen Sonne der Kohle gebräunt haben, sollten das besser schnell begreifen.

What about trains that run on battery packs, which can be swapped out at the service depot for a freshly charged pack, and the depleted pack put on a charger?

Passenger trains will be made obsolete when robotic EVTOL skytaxis become cheap viable. They will give people the ability to fly point to point as the crow flies over 300kph on demand bettween any landing pad on the network unristricted by fixed bus routes or schedules.

@@zelekuther7938 Liverpool's Merseyrail is renewing its train stock. They are capable of running on 3rd rail, overhead wires and batteries by installing the relevant equipment. They will trial 3rd rail and battery hybrids to extend onto unelectrified track, to Preston and Helsby.

Agreed. Tesla has even shown their specs for their custom AI chips that will be significantly more powerful to perform Level 4 self driving. They even announced that they will not allow lease purchases in the future showing how serious they are as they want to own those leased vehicles to use for their robot-taxi fleet. I'm building a home in Nevada on 2 acres next year and I plan on having both solar and battery storage simply due to long term economic benefits. It's a great time for tech enthusiasts!

It's now past July 2022, and FSD ain't anywhere close yet, despite Musks absurd predictions, all of which have been wrong.

Just because there is a disruption it does not mean that an old technology has zero use or that it can't be used for other means. I mean, horses are still around now. You can go horseback riding, place a bet on a horse at the race track or go see some great show jumping. Tony's point is that none of us use horses to go work, pick up some milk or go on road trips today.

I can answer that. Tony Seba did say that hydrogen is useless in ground based vehicles. But for airplanes, this could be somewhat different. The main advantage of hydrogen over batteries, is weight. Above all other things, weight is essential for a plane to get off the ground and stay there as long as possible. Maybe hydrogen could be that thing to revolutionize air transport. All short distance flights should be phased out, as soon as high speed trains could be the better alternative. Trains for short distances will eventually decline into extinction, because of self driving cars and taxi's. The railway has to invent itself again and go for the relative short distances for planes. As a traindriver myself I already sense the transition within the company I work for. They ordered high speed trains instead of trains that could hold many people. The shift is already happening.

@@meesterJos Harbour Air in Vancouver is switching its air fleet to electric, right now.

@@peterkratoska4524 www.harbourair.com/harbour-air-and-magnix-partner-to-build-worlds-first-all-electric-airline/

Easyjet thinks they will fly Electric planes up and down London-Amsterdam-Brussels-Paris... by 2030 edition.cnn.com/travel/article/electric-easyjet-planes-intl/index.html

Once the batteries/ technology will be able to increase to 7-10 kWh/kg, we will ride with electric air planes.

Dann empfehl ich Gerd Leonhard, Lars Thomsen oder Christoph Magnussen, das sind gute deutschsprachige Futuristen ;-)

Ihr Wort in Gottes Ohr. Nur: Der Mainstream ist daran nicht interessiert bzw. erfährt nichts davon, weil es nicht in den Öffentlich-rechtlichen kommt. Und die, die es interessiert, schauen es sich in englisch an.

Ride sharing and autonomous driving goes hand in hand.. That is what Mr. Seba tries to say. Cars will be used through the day transporting more people than only the owner, without the owner behind the wheel.. It will happen, but not to that extreme as Mr Seba thinks IMHO.. Time will tell.

@@MarcoNierop I understand that Marco. Glad you are following the disrutpion and moving the needle to renewable futures. Hopefully you have some money invested in the right places. Here's the issue that holds back the ride share. Many people in Metropolitan areas use the subway/bus. What happens when you don't have to be packed like a sardine to get home. You choosing to be 1 of 4 in a car with comfort or the madhouse rush ride? The number of people wishing to get door to door service will increase.

@@dwolff4127 Yes, that too, but those Subway passengers already have no car right now, so they will not contribute to the reduction of cars.

@@MarcoNierop I'm guessing you've never lived in a large metro area. most subway stops outside of the inner city (approx 40%) have parking lots where people from outside the city park and then jump on the subway.. People use the subway because it's faster travel then driving the mess. It isn't the poor and destitute riding the subway (though they do make up a %) and there are plenty of no vehicle row house yuppies. That isn't the majority. .

D Wolff I suspect by 2030 there will be a huge reduction in the number of new cars sold today. Why? Some Young people today don’t see the point in learning to drive let alone own cars - thats a big change EV vehicles drivetrains will last potentially 5x longer than ICE cars - so potentially 5x less need to get a new one (mechanically) The robotaxi industry will begin to dominate before 2030 - driving cars will become more like a hobby, just like owning a horse in 1930. Fun, but not in the majority anymore So, to your point about so many traffic jams and no parking available Well, with increasingly people working from home/anywhere (another disruption thats already happening/happened), less people will be commuting, say 1/2. And with robotaxis/ride sharing, cars will not be utilized 4% of the time, but 40%. So 10X less cars needed even though they run a lot of the time. So parking space requirements in city and at train stations reduces up to 90% - huge cost reduction and space saving. But also instead of 1 person/car with a steering wheel, you will likely have 2-4 people in these robotaxis. Why because it is 2-4x cheaper and people don’t waste money daily if there is a better solution. So, by 2030 or earlier, your commuting conundrum just won’t be a problem anymore. Disruption

So this is always a fear. What about the hundreds of thousands needed to install a renewable infrastructure? The fossil fuel industry and possibly the auto industry will shrink while jobs in grid scale wind and solar skyrocket. Todays grease monkey is tomorrows electrician. You see jobs lost. I see a jobs balance in industry shift and a freedom not seen since our great grandparents. Your vehicle fueled in your garage from a power plant that you own on your roof. All owned by you and powered by you on your own property. Not seen since our farming ancestors owned a horse for work and transportation fed on their land.

@@dwolff4127 i hope you are right and this are the mayor outcomings, other idea, we have to be aware that we dont kill the public transport or we will have more than less cars,

The issue with this is that yes we will need construction jobs to install the new systems. However once installed the man hours to maintain and manage is minimal. Think of 90% of transportation jobs gone in 5 to 10 years. Thats over 10 million unemployed basically overnight. I assume that most of these employees have minimal education. I am concerned of what will happen to society when this happens. The only two ways I see out of this issue is 1 we implement laws restricting automation. Or 2 we implement something similar to guaranteed minimum income.

@@GMike2000 The money from jobs/industry disrupted...does not disappear. it simply moves to a different venue. . The solar industry alone is growing at a ludicrous pace.

@@dwolff4127 I agree that the industry is growing. The issue is how many jobs are being created verse jobs being lost. Also the education level needed for the new jobs verse the education of the people loosing theirs. I don't foresee anything near the jobs created vs jobs lost though. I hope some new labor intensive job market sprouts up but I am pessimistic about it.

Tino Gruchmius nope, EV maintenance is almost 10X less than ICE, whether it’s Audi, tesla or any other company

How so?

I'm not sure what your point is. Of course the total number of cars will go down. The cars used for all of these free trips will be cars that are today sitting idle in parking lots. Supply and demand will assure that the number of cars will match their true need, unlike today where we clearly have way too many vehicles.

Marco Nierop - owning a car is debt, what status does debt create to a person. If Autonomous 4 is approved in CA, I am no longer driving and selling my cars

@@krishnay2965 I never pay for my car putting myself in debt. I simply save one up in 5-10 years, imagine how much money I have saved myself by NOT paying any interest to the banks. Good that you do not see your car as a status symbol, but for many people around the world it is a way to show off how wealthy they are. I have other reasons to hold on to my car, because I use it quite extensively to go on holiday in Europe during summer, hauling a glider trailer. And I enjoy driving!

Marco Nierop not everyone is like you. Many millennials don’t give a care to own a car. They would rather spend their money on experiences. I gather you’re not a millennial nor do you think like one. Times are changing.

@@stephenzungi6140 You are right about that.. I am not a millennial 😁.. and I am aware that this generation is less interested in owning things.. But they are not the only ones... And many millennials will make the choice to own a car, just because it is more practical in many cases. But, for getting around town and short trips.. wonderful! Even me as an old fart see the advantages of that. Imagine how the city environment will improve!

People still love to own and ride horses, 100 years after the first great transport disruption, but very few, usually the rich and enthusiastic. Also how many caravans just sit in the driveway 11 months of the year? That looks like a market right for disruption.

Needs 5 years of batteries getting denser to start being any good.

we already have short duration flying electric planes. EVITIATION Electric Planes and Electric Trainer Planes are already there so is BlackFly electric flying car and other Hybrid Hydrogen/Fuel cell planes. Also Solid State Batteries which has much higher energy densities are just around the corner .

With a reduction of 80% of cars on the road there is no need for flying cars. This will not mean there will be no flying cars in the future, but it simply does not cause the disruption where this video is about. Regulations in the flying business makes it very hard to introduce autonomous flying cars

Flying cars won't exist anytime soon and is not because of the energy density of batteries and even not because of the human risk ,because you can mitigate it with automation. Flying cars won't happen anytime soon because they are inefficient from a movement generation point of view. They either have to be something like a drone, a plane or a helicopter. There is no other possibility. The problem with this three is that they make a lot of noise and wind currents. They cannot be used anywhere in cities (or at least not in numbers big enough to make them viable).

not sure where you are getting all these information from? are you making up these or just assuming? For a start you might want to start reading up on Electric Planes like 'EVIATION Electric Plane' and the other planes in development from Airbus and the trainer Electric Planes already flying. Not to mention that these are with current battery densities and can only get better with higher battery densities. Even Elon Musk predicted that with a doubling of battery density about 3 years ago. Hope you understand that energy density increases every year in batteries by about 15%.

Listening is very hard. Sounds like my wife trying to make me understand the same language I already know. Reminds me of some jack talking about heat pumps like he invented them when actually they were invented in Japan etc decades ago. The we have to listen to the pauses like our minds can't comprehend his massive intelligence. Could take a nap between pauses and wait for the tech/disruption in real life instead.

ya se jaja