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Malibu Mike
เข้าร่วมเมื่อ 18 ก.ย. 2006
NTSB Prelim Report Analysis: Lake Placid 177RG Crash killing Richard McSpadden and Russ Francis
I provide an early analysis of the NTSB Preliminary Report on the crash of a Cessna Cardinal (177RG) that killed the beloved Richard McSpadden and former NFL star Russ Francis.
From the information in this early report, we see where the NTSB has initially investigated. We already knew that there was an element of engine power loss but that begs the question, why did the engine lose its power in the first place? We dig into that topic in detail and explore any possible lessons that could be learned here, even before we have the full results of the investigation which could take years to complete.
Based on the early information in the NTSB report, we can discuss the what-if's about engine failures and how we can detect early warning signs of possible engine failures. That's not to say with any certainty that any warning signs were apparent here to these pilots in this particular accident, because we still conclusively don't know what happened to the engine. But there are real dangers and real scenarios worth discussing to improve the safety of our future flights whose lessons we can take to heart now, immediately, as we comb through any of the possibilities that led to this tragic outcome.
From the information in this early report, we see where the NTSB has initially investigated. We already knew that there was an element of engine power loss but that begs the question, why did the engine lose its power in the first place? We dig into that topic in detail and explore any possible lessons that could be learned here, even before we have the full results of the investigation which could take years to complete.
Based on the early information in the NTSB report, we can discuss the what-if's about engine failures and how we can detect early warning signs of possible engine failures. That's not to say with any certainty that any warning signs were apparent here to these pilots in this particular accident, because we still conclusively don't know what happened to the engine. But there are real dangers and real scenarios worth discussing to improve the safety of our future flights whose lessons we can take to heart now, immediately, as we comb through any of the possibilities that led to this tragic outcome.
มุมมอง: 17 251
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New Data & ATC Audio: RV-8 Airplane Crash in Centerville Utah
มุมมอง 16Kปีที่แล้ว
On October 10th 2023, a Vans RV-8 crashed in Centerville, Utah, killing its pilot, 43 year old Donald Higgs. Newly-discovered flight track data of the accident airplane and newly-discovered ATC audio both reveal rich information about the nature and probable cause of the crash. It appears from the first look at this new information, that a partial or complete engine failure coupled with low-alt...
Early Analysis & New Data: Moab Utah Airplane Crash of N Dakota State Senator Doug Larsen and family
มุมมอง 58Kปีที่แล้ว
Early analysis of new ADS-B surveillance radar data that has a relatively clear depiction of the accident aircraft's flight track in the heartbreaking loss of North Dakota State Senator Doug Larsen, his wife Amy, and sons Christian and Everett. The aircraft was a Piper Cherokee PA28-140. This data was not initially tied to the accident aircraft but from inferences, especially concerning the hel...
PA46 Malibu Cross-Country Fun with the GTN 750, VNAV and Garmin Visual Approaches!
มุมมอง 6Kปีที่แล้ว
Join me for a fun cross-country in my Malibu on what otherwise could have been a boring VFR CAVU kind of day. Instead, we file IFR and use some complex features of the GTN 750 and have a lot of fun.
Piper Malibu Light Rime Ice Time Lapse w/G500 Txi
มุมมอง 398ปีที่แล้ว
I did some thorough treatments to my pneumatic deice boots with Agemaster and Ice X and I would say they did a tremendous job of shedding the ice well!
1-min Tip: Garmin 430W Airspace Information
มุมมอง 942ปีที่แล้ว
There's a wealth of airspace information hiding in plane sight pun intended! Stop messing with your iPads and get to know the power of your avionics! Enjoy! Mike Cardosa, CFII
1-min Tip: GTN 750 Chicago Skyline Tour
มุมมอง 152ปีที่แล้ว
Keep your eyes out the window and stay well clear of the airliners! Let's lighten our workload by using custom waypoints to steer us along the coastline and keep the stress level low. Enjoy! Mike Cardosa, CFII
1-min Tip: GTN 750 Class B Shelf Avoidance
มุมมอง 372ปีที่แล้ว
How to use the Garmin GTN 750 Xi GPS to avoid busting a Class B airspace. It's easy and rewarding to stay well ahead of the airplane. Enjoy! Mike Cardosa, CFII
1-minute Tip: Garmin 430W Textual Weather
มุมมอง 641ปีที่แล้ว
In this episode, we cover how easy it is to access METARs of airports along your route of flight using your Garmin 430W GPS. One day, your iPad will overheat or run out of battery; the time to learn your avionics is now!
Low IFR Emergency with Full ATC tapes!
มุมมอง 1.3K2 ปีที่แล้ว
What would you do? At 11:29, I ask you to pause and fill out this form before I reveal my decision and the exciting conclusion: forms.gle/GYdf6c3kezEEVmdK7
Aviation Weather Briefings: Icing
มุมมอง 3282 ปีที่แล้ว
Staying safe in the winter skies is usually either avoiding ice altogether or figuring out how to get through it quickly, depending on if your airplane is equipped for known ice. In this video I show you several forecasts and methods I use to minimize my icing risks.
Piper Malibu Low IFR w/Autopilot Failure
มุมมอง 1.2K3 ปีที่แล้ว
A few big lessons delivered in this memorable short low IFR flight I took a couple weeks ago with this approach down to minimums. Please send me your comments and feedback below; I look forward to the discussion! Chapters: 0:00 Intro: My new airplane! 0:25 Autopilot failure 2:43 Mistakes commentary 3:12 Mistake: circuit breaker 4:05 Mistake: needles 5:22 Summary 6:16 IFR clearance 7:24 Taxi cle...
Ultra Low IFR Approach: Fog, 1/4 mi visibility with SURPRISING lesson!
มุมมอง 42K6 ปีที่แล้ว
See how RVR isn't always accurate and how that might affect your flights and future decision making. Witness this fascinating approach from five captivating video feeds including ForeFlight Synthetic Vision, G1000 Glass Cockpit, and Geo-Referenced Approach Charts views. In the first 12 minutes of this this video I break down and critique my performance on this approach and explain some lessons ...
Night IFR + ForeFlight Synthetic Vision (Extended Cut)
มุมมอง 17K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Vectors around thunderstorms and a low-IFR ILS approach in a night cross country flight from Gary, IN to Madison, WI in a Piper Arrow. Multiple viewpoints include a view of the instruments, a view outside the cockpit, and a view from the synthetic vision on iPad. This extended cut version provides a detailed perspective of what an end-to-end night low-IFR experience looks and feels like from th...
Low IFR + ForeFlight Synthetic Vision (Extended Cut)
มุมมอง 107K9 ปีที่แล้ว
Low IFR ForeFlight Synthetic Vision (Extended Cut)
Approach Surveillance Radar (ASR) Approach RWY32 KMSN
มุมมอง 6K9 ปีที่แล้ว
Approach Surveillance Radar (ASR) Approach RWY32 KMSN
so Mike yur a CFII in Madison WI area ? what's yur bio or have a video on u ? couldn't find it How u get started ? where ? whats yur hrs TT now ? good channel nice vids pls do more
are u shooting to go to pt 121 like regional or airlines for job ? what do u do now for work ? are u also A&P ? know so much about ac engines!
so for yrs logbook.. is this actual IMC flgt or a vfr flt.?? 800 broken 3sm that's IFR i guess.. but i see lots of blue puffy clouds sun. so which is it ? how can do u log it ? who decides you pilot or who how ? honor system?
like why there no other zero other ac traffic talk w ATC exc you on vid ? is this a ILS instr appr landing ? never heard of ATC handflying talking to single ac alone for so long like 15-20 min like this ? don't get it. me just a Ppl not instr rated
@@phillp7777 It's a dedicated frequency and dedicated controller since there's so much direct communication with ATC.
@MalibuMikeCFII so is that normal for any ifr pilot ? never heard seen this ? how can atc afford to just talk to 1 pilot.. it's rly not bad imc either right ? what type atc service is this called ? airline guys don't even get this personal handling right ?
this is Madison WI ?
would the normal runup chking the L mag.. R mag Full mag chk be able to see find a stuck valve thing on a cylinder like yur talking about ? would u get a drop or big drop in rpm if there was a valve prob ? so sad too bad accident Rich McSpadden so so nice guy so unbelievable experience both top Thunderbird mil and civ experience. met him once shook hands w him.. he was doing FAA pilot annual mtg just months b4 this happened. very sad
@@phillp7777 No a mag check does not reveal an occasional stuck valve. A stuck valve essentially shuts down one cylinder and can have drastic effects on engine power or completely remove power.
@@MalibuMikeCFIIohh so thats bad.. not good if simple runup chk can't even catch this ? makes me even more nervous scared? flying '79 aeroclub piper warrior plane trying to learn get Ppl. so what can u rly do?
@@phillp7777 Early warning signs are a rough running engine right after startup and it sounds like that's what happened with this flight before they took off. They restarted the engine after they started to taxi. It's very hard to predict when you might lose power, but that's what we practice for. Running engines "brutally lean" on the ground is our best way to prevent this from happening. Study up from Mike Busch and his materials on the Savvy Aviation TH-cam channel.
Did Aopa issue an early analysis video of this accident?
@@Travis1Bickle I don't think so, especially because Richard was the one that made those videos for AOPA at the time and this one really impacted the pilot community a lot. 😥
I really appreciate the user entered waypoint function & graphically editing the flight plan video. You made it perfectly clear for me. This is a game changer for me. Thank you!!!
Great to hear it helped! Whereabouts will you use this technique to make your flying easier?
@@MalibuMikeCFII I'm currently based at KSNC. I frequently fly to Va Beach (KCPK) but I've been up and down the East Coast. In-flight TFR avoidance is a snap with ForeFlight, however making it happen with my GTN-750xi was another story. I JUST had a Garmin Flight-Stream 510 card installed last week, so between that AND your helpful video I think that it's going to make things in the cockpit a WHOLE lot better. Thanks again, Mike!! Jay - N52MJ
@@jaym.9587 Yeah I've found that using ForeFlight to create custom waypoints doesn't necessarily upload correctly to the GTN 750 Xi. Often though, if you can find a fix that's "close enough", that's the easiest way to get the job done. But cutting precise edges around a class bravo airspace almost demands the native 750 Xi custom waypoints features here in this video. Stay in touch!
@@MalibuMikeCFII Looks like you are no stranger to GTN 750 Xi / iPad ForeFlight interaction. It's good to know that I might not have precise coordinate transfer from ForeFlight to the 750, I'll keep that in mind when I initiate a transfer. I just assumed that detailed coordinates would simply re-write from one device to the next. Can I expect the same "close enough" transfer going in the other direction (from the 750 to ForeFlight) as well? Also, do you have any experience with Garmin Pilot? If so, what do you prefer, and is the back and forth transfer(s) better (more accurate) than between ForeFlight and the 750? Thank you very much for your time, Mike!!! Jay
@@jaym.9587 I think it's easier to copy the waypoints from the GTN to ForeFlight. You should give it a try! I have the flightstream 210 and yours might work slightly differently. Honestly though foreflight is so much better than Garmin Pilot that it isn't worth switching over.
Was it sabotage? Very 😔
The engine trouble on the taxiing should have ended the flight before ever getting off the ground. So sad. RIP Rich
Hey, Have enjoyed your content. Do you still fly the Malibu? Am exploring purchasing one. Would very much like to get thoughts from you, both (+)s & (-)s. Possible we can connect over emails/texts?
@@Beggaps Sure, maybe just put your email address in a comment and I'll copy it and then delete it?
No, why the engine failed isn't the main question, numbnuts. The question is why they tried to make that dumb impossible turn back to the runway. Engines fail. Every pilot, every moment of the flight, should be ready for that to happen. And your entire video here is completely speculative and unsupported by the evidence in the NTSB preliminary report. It is, basically, storytelling. You aren't even being internally consistent. You tell us how it's a BRAND NEW ENGINE, and STILL BREAKING IN, yet claim this is an issue of particulate buildup accumulated on the valve stems and seats. How idiotic.
When I had my IO 360. The mechanic told me to run to fuel rich and full throttle for the break in time. The engine runs absolutely perfect.
That's correct, for the first 2-3 hours you want the engine to be run hard, so for one long flight or two short flights you want to run it really hard to seat the compression rings well. It shouldn't take any more time than that. I'm not sure how that relates to this video though.
Was it possible to land ahead.?. this is basic training not to turn back without sufficient altitude.
This senator talked about the shots, that we needed more research... And now he's gone.... Guess why!?
my dream life quite literally
Good job my guy! Been flying for 14 years but I'd never attempt this (maybe in my home airport). Not worth the risk.
It appears as though to preserve the bird and put it on its wheels may have killed them: partially extended gear tells the tale; and that causes significantly more drag than cowl flaps.. glider pilot talking. We only extend one small wheel and you can feel the difference
The Cardinal has Fowler flaps. The first 10 degrees is required for takeoff, and adds lift and very little drag. I have about 200 hours in the 177RG. I would not touch the flaps in this situation.
why no vids in 7 months?
Thanks for the encouragement!
Just getting back into flying, I can’t believe how the synthetic vision gives you such a lower workload. I think it’s amazing. Good flight.
That’s a flat spin. The debris field is not consistent with “nose down”. Rip
Bonanza actual real engine fail turnback from 1k agl. April 2024. th-cam.com/video/Z0f-04vUJMc/w-d-xo.html&lc=UgxBn0meQUCfEIl--_94AaABAg.A2671L3lt7MA2IuAMAA-Vg
Good Job Sir. Boy two great guys. just found out. Watched Russ Francis growing up in MA. I learned from this report. Im a backyard mechanic. Thanks Malibu Mike. Could be anyone out there flying. Thanks too all involved for a safer future. RIP Men. Loved by so many. Will not be forgotton. Thanks Russ and Richard ,love doesnt end. Wish it didnt happen also. Tuff loss. Too much too say. Good times with Russ Francis and The NE Patriots and the NFL , Aviation, specialists, and the World. Too a safer Future !!! For the common good.
82ND AIRBORNE Listen up!! I'm only going to say this once... MURPHY... Killed these Men. Maintenance?? Did you say Maintenance?? There are 2 kinds of Aviation Maintenance... 1. US Military Maintenance SOP's. 2. Bullshit Civilian Maintenance SOP'S. ( " Hey!! Ain't these here bolts belong to that Door Plug on that there Airplane that's disappearing over that dad gum Horizon??" Seriously...it was not long ago that I chose to Subscribe to Mr. McFadden. I'm sad...and Pissed.
Wtih GPS and maps everything should be direct. F localizers
My thoughts Not a pilot...They're running a rich mixture for a faster run-in ? That seems fraught with problems. There are other ways to do it. Royal Enfield Motorcycles (I think) use thinner oil for the run in to accelerate wear. New or re-bored Motorcycle and car engines have the luxury of not needing full power straight away. Do they not bench run in these aviation engines at all? 36 hours ...should be run in? 36@50mph(equivalent for cars) is 1,800 miles These engines sound behind the times. From the mid 90s motorcycle engine can be thrashed straight out of the crate. They don't last as long without the careful run in but they're ready to go immediately and don't really overheat. And they're high performance- my suzuki is 1000cc and 160ish bhp. Sad loss. Apparently engine failure on take off is the worst.
Sound band is miserable and annoying to listen to, so much so that I flushed the vid although the title and was anxious to hear something new abiyt ,,naving'' niner nier niner OVER & OUT
Amen to that.
Could he have thought that was a lake? Since he might have had oil on his windscreen
Good video. Btw, your greenscreen is super clean, how do you do that and make it look so good?
Where have you been? I enjoyed watching the videos that you were making. Hope all is well
I don’t think you should be criticising a pilot who’s passed away when you don’t know what actually happened. Loads of speculative know it all comments, if the the Pilot was a friend of mine I wouldn’t have been happy. Be more respectful.
I couldn't disagree with you more. I think it's totally possible to balance respect to those that have passed away and their families and to simultaneously discuss any possible lessons we can learn right now to prevent the same thing from happening to anyone else. There are gobs and gobs of data available right now so the lessons to other pilots can begin now. We should not throw up a roadblock to learning just because someone passed away in an accident. If it were me that had passed away in an accident, I would hope others would immediately learn from my potential mistakes and bad decisions and not repeat them. Not only can we learn lessons immediately from accidents but we can also provide closure to people that are desperately seeking relevant and valid information about an accident. There is an extreme shortage of useful information in the media after these crashes. Being tactful about these events means not making hard assumptions or throwing blame anywhere, but having a careful balance of ranking the possible causes of the accident and thinking about how we can mitigate these circumstances or make different decisions in the future.
@@MalibuMikeCFII I agree its possible to do what you said in the first paragraph of your reply above. I just don't think Mike did it. He needs to think on how listening to what he says lands with those involved. You then said: Being tactful about these events means not making hard assumptions or throwing blame anywhere, but having a careful balance of ranking the possible causes of the accident and thinking about how we can mitigate these circumstances or make different decisions in the future Which is exactly my point, again Mike failed in this regard. Regards, Clive
@@englishclive This is me, I made the video. I disagree with your opinion. I have personally heard from people who are friends and family of the pilot and they appreciated and commented on my video thanking me for this. So yes, there are many conclusions we can make, and lessons we can learn right away, and closure we can have. If you want to be critical of any of my assertions, please call them out specifically instead of name-calling (e.g. "know-it-all remarks").
Flaps are so misunderstood. Most pilots think of them as high lift devices that reduce stall speed. While that's true, you can also think of them as camber modification devices. Wings with higher camber shift all speeds lower - Vx, Vy, best glide, best endurance, and best range. Even if they add drag, there may be performance benefits utilizing small amounts of flaps. It's really hard to tell without doing analysis of the modified drag polar or flight testing. And manufacturers of light GA aircraft simply aren't going to do flight testing with partial flap settings except where it's normal like flying for best angle-of-climb. Also, giving something else for pilots to think about in an emergency is probably counterproductive. When I used to fly C152s in my much younger days, on one high DA day I decided to experiment with partial flaps in a climb. I found that adding 5°-10° of flaps improved my climb rate significantly. But anything compared to nothing was an infinite improvement :-) As a pilot and instructor, maybe it's proper to complain about their use of flaps when the POH doesn't call for it. However, as an engineer with a background in aerodynamics, flight mechanics, and aircraft design, I can't fault them without knowing more information. There's a chance they would have fallen even more short had they not used partial flaps, for example. With the engine making partial power, you could make an argument to fly at a speed where less power is required. This is obviously at lower speeds, and partial flaps makes the wing more efficient in terms of power required at lower speeds even with increases in drag up to a point. My advice is, if you're a student, follow the book. If all you do is chase $100 hamburgers, follow the book. But if you're in a constant learning mode like me, go up to a safe altitude and experiment some to understand the true capabilities of your aircraft and also learn your capabilities and limitations as a pilot. Just my $0.02.
I know of no other pilot besides myself, who never departs straight out on departure over inhospitable terrain. For me, this accident is the result of bad decision making. My home airport is located with the city to the east, and surrounded by forest on the three other sides. I climb up to 3,000 feet before exiting the airport environment, and circle down into the pattern upon return. We are supposed to fly as if we EXPECT an engine failure at any time! 99% do not fly with that mindset, and will suffer the same result if this happens to them in the future. I climb until I can assure making an open area in my chosen direction, and will only depart the airport when I know it is safe to do so. Staying in the pattern for just one minute more for an extra 1,000 feet of altitude does not cost that much, and is the cheapest insurance you can buy with one gallon of fuel. Your decision decides the fate of everyone on board! Choose wisely! I have been flying for 40 years, and have had two engine failures. The first one resulted in a restart at 3,000 agl. The altitude gave me plenty of time to go through the checklist. The second one found me having to shed altitude in order to make the runway.
Allow me to play devil's advocate for a moment. For many airports, and/or many airplanes, there is typically going to be a vulnerable minute or two for departures simply because the area might be heavily congested or as Richard himself demonstrated in his video publications (e.g. for high performant aircraft), the impossible turn is truly impossible. To make a blanket statement that unless people fly the way you do, they will suffer an off-airport landing, is a little far-reaching. For GA, the fatality rate in the U.S. has been hovering around 1 in 100,000 hours the past couple of decades. I tend to believe the bottom 5% of pilots weighs that statistic down; I want to be in the top 5% to be a couple more orders of magnitude safe. You are striving for the same thing. However, with modern-day engine monitors and subsequent data analysis capabilities, oil filters, and oil spectral analysis, under most circumstances, the engine will begin to show warning signs long before a catastrophic engine-out event occurs. It's up to the pilot/owner to make sure they are listening. Back 30 years ago, they would put a single EGT and single CHT (both analog and with no data recording) into an airplane engine -- insanely insufficient to catch any troublesome patterns. We now have oil analysis that will find microscopic wear particles that hint towards possible issues. If we find a super tiny shaving of ferrous metal in oil filters we can find out where it came from. We now have boroscopy that allows us to easily inspect the condition of cylinders, pistons and valves in ways we couldn't 30 years ago. We also know more about these engines now than we did 75 years ago. Good pilots will operate their engines to not exceed certain temperature standards to prevent stacking the deck against themselves and their engine. Engines will usually give warning signs before they go kaput, and we just need to listen. Further, the new Advisory Circular 90-66C recommends to exit and enter the pattern AT traffic pattern altitude since otherwise it's too easy to descend and collide with another airplane in the pattern. Did you ever consider that maybe you are replacing engine-out risk with mid-air collision risk by enacting these practices? You certainly can't claim it's non-zero for hanging out right above an airport near the traffic pattern altitude for an extra amount of time! How many near misses have you had in 40 years?
@@MalibuMikeCFII As for near misses, I have had several. Descending down into the pattern is not illegal, and was actually done during my training. My instructor learned to fly in WW2, when engines were not so reliable and he taught me many things you will not find in the manuals. As for mid air in the traffic pattern, have you ever done an overhead entry? From 3,000 agl, you can see the entire pattern and who is in it. I myself, had rather take my chances with my overhead entry, than an engine failure over a congested city at low altitude.I also prefer climbing to 3,000 agl before turning downwind on windy days to ensure I can get back if the engine quits. If you are one of those who take an immediate turn to course, you may very well have given up any chance of return. On my first engine failure, had I been downwind of the airport when it occurred, I would not have made it back as the wind was gusting to 20 that day.
@@ConvairDart106 I strongly recommend following the new Advisory Circular 90-66C (www.faa.gov/documentLibrary/media/Advisory_Circular/AC_90-66C.pdf) which advises entry at the pattern altitude. The FAA has apparently done a lot of research over the past 30 years and is trying to put a stop to mid-air collisions with this new advice. It's easier to see airplanes at your same altitude than it is to see them 1000 feet below your altitude. Also, it seems like you are quite fixated on returning to the airport. There are many successful off-field landings all the time that we don't hear about because they don't become a statistic, as long as they don't stall the airplane before landing. I am suggesting there's a strong chance that your techniques are over-correcting out of fear of landing in a field somewhere. We all should prepare for where to put the airplane down if we have an engine failure at 400' AGL, and nearly every airplane needs to strategize for that, since it's likely too high to land on the remaining portions of most runways but too low to complete a turn back to the airport. The techniques I like to employ are keeping the airplane continuously within glide distance from the airport while flying a pattern wherever possible, and keeping sharp on my power-off 180 precision landings.
@@MalibuMikeCFII No, you misunderstood my first post. I said I climb until I know I can make the next suitable landing area, and am always looking around for the next suitable area as I go. Also, I am now flying an experimental airplane with a non certificated engine, which has made me even more wary than ever. Take an ILS for instance, or pomola. If you are using either for approach and the engine quits, you are unlikely to make the threshold. I live in western Washington which is heavily forested, and my father was killed flying into trees spotting salmon in Alaska back in 1967. I refuse to let the FAA force me into flying low over trees, or any other dangerous terrain. We would not even be having this conversation had Mr. McSpadden not departed the airport environment at 400 feet! Had he waited until reaching 1,000 feet, he would still be alive. He was betting everything on his engine! He and I have had our disagreements on other subjects before, but had he survived, he would most likely agree, that altitude is life! I had rather have to shed excess altitude, than be forced to stretch a glide!
@@ConvairDart106 I personally don't know of any CFI that recommends you always assume an engine failure is coming and VCOA until at a safe distance to glide somewhere. That seems like a severe overreaction and introduces more mid-air collision risks (mid-airs are almost always fatal) whereas landing on a road or a field is rarely fatal. Like you pointed out, ILS procedures with a 3 degree glideslope assume you have power otherwise you will definitely not make the airport. There are many tradeoffs regarding risks in aviation that we have to learn to live with. Often the least risky thing to do is stay at home and not travel anywhere because you could get into a fatal car accident even at 30 mph. We can't live like that, though! Humans are inherently terrible at estimating risk. Some will happily cross mountains but be very sheepish thinking about crossing Lake Michigan. What about relatively flat places in PA for example that don't have roads anywhere nearby, and the clouds force you to fly at 3,000? Again, if all we did was waited for clear skies, unlimited visibilities, and climbed to 5,000 feet above an airport before going anywhere, that's no way to fly in my opinion.
Can you show where you came up with 355fpm? The POH shows, even with the 140hp engine, it should have been able to climb at 550fpm. I understand it had the 180hp engine. Either way, none of it matters because the crash has nothing to do with density altitude. Almost guaranteed this is spatial disorientation. The increase in speed before CFIT is pretty telling. I’ve flown singles out of CNY, you’re really really harping on DA but that plane should have had absolutely zero problem out climbing the terrain. It wasn’t high DA.
Feet per minute is not the same as feet per nautical mile. If you're climbing at 600 feet per minute but flying 180 knots over the ground, that's only 200 feet per nautical mile. Climb gradients are specified in feet per nautical mile because that's directly convertible to the climb angle whereas FPM isn't, since then you also need to know the ground speed. Feet per nautical mile is the climb rate (in feet per minute) multiplied by 60 then divided by the ground speed in knots.
@@MalibuMikeCFII I must have misheard. I thought you said 355 FPM. I understand the difference. Either way, my math says the plane was capable of flying the departure procedure. He needed 456 fpnm to 6700. Vx for a 140 is 68kts, Vy is 78 knots. At Vx, he should have been able to achieve pretty close to 500fpnm. Even at Vy, he would likely have cleared any obstacles. I just don’t see anything in the data given that shows climb performance has any bearing on what happened. It was not high DA. The plane was capable of flying the DP, even though there was no legal requirement to do so. This was spatial disorientation. You can see the signature descending spiral starting…
Sorry for the confusion. 355 FPM when flying approx 80 knots (IAS) and then adjusted for ground speed at a relatively high density airport is like doing almost 90 knots (TAS) so roughly you're traveling 1.5 miles per minute so divide 355 by 1.5 to get 236 feet per nautical mile. That is just over half of the requirement (456' per NM) to make an IFR departure from runway 21. Definitely severely risky business. However if the airplane had the engine upgrade as many are speculating, it would have made it less severe of a risk but still a moderately risky departure and that's only if everything goes exactly as planned. Unfortunately in these types of accidents there are often multiple links in the casual chain of events that doom a flight; spatial disorientation via somatogravic illusion was the dagger here as you said.
@@MalibuMikeCFII you’re getting pretty deep in the weeds. Of course, if he ignored the POH and flew different speeds, or there was a big tailwind, or whatever - he couldn’t make the DP fpnm. But, the plane was likely capable of doing so. Given the actual weather that day, the DA was about 5300’ and at 68 indicated, TAS about 75. Winds were 11kts from 320. So he was turning into a tailwind. Yet again, his climb performance had zero bearing on this accident. The plane, if configured within POH parameters, was 100% capable of out climbing the terrain. The DP isn’t relevant. Thousands upon thousands of planes depart safely every day from airports where they couldn’t possibly meet the DP requirements. If he had smacked a cliff 5 miles away, I think it would be relevant to discuss, but he didn’t. He entered a descending spiral at the turn to down wind. Climb performance just has nothing to do with this one
@@ragedracer1977 VFR at night into a black hole is, for all intents and purposes, IFR. If you can't see the terrain to avoid, you should be following the departure procedure. Could he have pulled this off in the day? Like I said in my video it would probably be a nail biter. At max gross, 355fpm at almost 90 KTAS is very sluggish performance. If it hadn't been so heavily loaded (keep in mind we don't know if it's overloaded for sure yet) and it had better climb performance, the accident might not have happened. So the sluggish performance of the climb at night was certainly a contributing factor to him being so close to the ground in the first place.
Being local to the area, I am not sure how he thought he would make the trip back to the runway at such a low altitude. It's about 13-14 miles from where he lost power back to the departure airport. Experienced or not, this stuff can humble anyone. Rest easy pilot. Thank you for your analysis on this. Very detailed and informative.
Most engine fails on take off are partial power. Good to practice them. Specially the difficult one of 500 AGL LOTOT. You have to decide after troubleshooting to Turnback or Turnaround the airport. Do the "500 agl LOTOT TURNAROUND" first. Then the "500 agl LOTOT TURNBACK" later on.
Having read the preliminary report myself, I was also wondering about it being a stuck valve scenario. And as you pointed out there is often no physical evidence of the condition after the fact. I also experienced a stuck valve situation with a Millenium-rebuilt Lycoming O-360 while working for an aerial imaging company years ago, but I had the benefit of an altitude surplus for the nearest airport KBUF. It was my first flight in this particular aircraft since the rebuild several months prior. Onsite FBO maintenance didn't find anything wrong, so my boss asked me to fly it back to base. I refused. So another pilot was sent out to fly it back. He got 10 miles from KSYR night IFR when cylinder 4 detached from the block. I have a video of the destruction somewhere.
Did the valve stick open far enough this time where the piston snapped it in half?
That was our company A&P's assessment. I forgot to mention the other pilot did manage a safe dead-stick landing in night IFR (well above approach minimums for the ILS 10, but still impressive). Apparently no one told him before accepting the assignment that an emergency landing under partial power had been made only 12 hours prior. I really think your suggestion of stuck valve scenario seems the most likely given the information currently available.
I had a similar experience with a freshly overhauled engine in my Comanche where on take off it would occasionally start losing power when I was 2 to 300 feet above the ground. I had about four different engine shops, checked the engine out, and none of them could find anything wrong with the engine. There were times it would do this and they were times it would be normal and take off. I eventually found out that if I adjusted the RPMs back to climb position instead of takeoff position with the engine, running a little slower on the RPMs at full power that the engine would run. Normally it was only at high rpm that the engine occasionally would do this. I then took it back to the original shop that did the overhaul and told them the story. They found that on one of the cylinders there was an exhaust valve spring that would work normally, except occasionally on a high rpm it would not work. At high rpm, there was a weak spring that was cracked, and would not close the valve properly, thus injecting exhaust back into the induction system, which took power away from the other cylinders. They replaced that exhaust valve spring, and after that, I never had a problem. It sounds very likely that this is what killed McSpadden and his friend.
Why the engine failed is fairly irrelevant. Turning back increased their kinetic energy relative to the ground. Strong guy pulled back on the yoke trying to make the runway. The plane fell. No mystery here.
Yeah, but that doesn't make for a provocative YT analysis video does it? Gotta pimp the mystery. This stuck valve nonsense is just laughably speculative and unsupported with ANY evidence.
I was flying an extra 300 straight and level well inside maneuvering speed (around 130kts), and turned to fight another extra and the aircraft just stalled and fell. Knife edge and 5gs is all it took. I learned so much from that. We hear so much about accelerated stalls but until we experience and recover from one , we don't intuitively know where that edge is. I now have much more respect for my turn rate, at any speed. If I had my own airplane (doesn't matter what it is) I would practice that at a safe altitude. It might just save your life one day.
Great data point. Thanks for sharing!
Drove by this accident. Front of plane was facing north east. The freeway has one lane reactions due to bridge construction just about a mile or so north of where plane landed. Less tha a quarter mile is a bridge that laps over for about Half a mile elevated and is surround by buildings and turns. Unfortunately i saw this pilots body sitting in the plane still, lifeless before police put up a barrier. The field he chose is very flat relative to natures sake. I see why he chose it but wouldnt have much stopping room before running into a tree line. Facing south is close to no runway before bridge and buildings .. i would have probably given the spot a good consideration given then terrain. Not much options. The front of the plane did appear to be very black. I could not tell was the paint scheme or oil splatter. Didn't appear to be charing from a fire just do to lack of smoke. I think we fail to remember these are humans from time to time. My father was a private pilot and this struck home forsure. Very sad. Edit: i am not a pilot. Just local observer.
Sorry to hear this impacted you personally so much from directly observing this. It pains me to see so many crashes where pilots overlook easier places to land while hoping they can make it back to the airport without a scratch on the airplane. A life is worth so much more than an airplane!
@MalibuMikeCFII in your experience what is the general rate of speed/altitude in an engine failure? Was he over estimating the plane glide ability or was his decrease rate considered abnormal? 60 mph in 10 seconds doesn't give you much problem solving time. The wasatch front is grossly populated.. he really only had a couple options and. A short amount of time to decide it seems. Hard to judge a man's ability to perform under panic/stress as well as computer his options at such a decrease of air speed. Hind sight is 20/20 so to speak. None the less tragic.
@@Alixxusa it's almost impossible to say and varies based on how much power is lost and whether the propeller is windmilling or stopped, and also if it's a constant speed prop if the lever is full aft which can increase glide performance by 20-40%. By the looks of this accident it looks like partial power was still available at least at some point.
Good analysis and sad loss is about all I want to say. I'll add that with a four banger, losing a cylinder means a twenty five percent power loss. Given there altitude of 2000 msl or so that became a thirty percent power loss. So, an IO360 that could develop 180hp at sea level is down to 120hp with loss of a cylinder at 2000 msl. 70 percent power means the airplane is flying like it's at 10,000 feet. Now, we have two big guys and I'm assuming full fuel in a turn back to the airport with gear in transit. I've seen the satellite photos for that airport. The options taking off from RWY 32 aren't great with neighborhoods and wooded areas. As well, a pilot with an engine still running is always going to choose an airport. I think any of us could have found ourselves in this situation. Again, this is a sad loss for both of these gentlemen and to the aviation community.
Losing one cylinder is absolutely not a 25% power loss. This is not a mathematics equation. In a 4 cylinder it means you have almost no power at all. This is primarily because there is now a gap and asymmetry in the power production of the engine that the other 3 cylinders cannot overcome. You don't have to look far into examples of valve failures in 4 cylinder engines to verify this. In a normally operating 4 cylinder 4 stroke (suck, squeeze, boom, blow) engine, the cylinders take turns making power. When one cylinder takes a vacation, imagine a tug of war rope where nobody's holding the rope for 1/4th of the time. It's not hard to imagine the other team winning no matter how strong the other 3 people are.
I'm not an engineer and don't pretend to be. I'm not convinced you are either. I had a dead cylinder on an O320 from a broken ring and oil fouled plug. It flew although not great. I'm sure you're going to say the plug was still firing. I had a dead cylinder on a R985 which still put out power. Yeah, I had eight others. I'm not going any further with this. cheers! @@MalibuMikeCFII
A broken ring is a problem but is probably not going to severely affect cylinder compression unless it shatters. An oil fouled plug might cause the engine to run rough during a mag check (when the fouled plug is selected) but you still have one other good spark plug in the cylinder (there are 2 per cylinder). I encourage you to watch webinars from Mike Busch (most respected A&P/IA in the world AFAIK) on the Savvy Aviation youtube channel to help form a better foundational base of your theory of engines. There you will uncover a popular quote of Mike's that if you lose a cylinder in a 4-cylinder engine, you'll have to put it down in a field, but if you lose a cylinder in a 6-cylinder engine, you'll just have to change your underwear after making it to the nearest airport.@@scottw5315
The POH for the Piper Cherokee shows takeoff data for 25 degrees of flap. I routinely fly a Cherokee 160 out of Carson City NV (4700’ altitude, 6100’ runway) using no flaps for takeoff so I am in best rate of climb configuration at liftoff. WIth a similar altitude and longer runway at Canyonlands, Col Larsen I think would have been better off with a clean wing on that 7000’+ runway. Less to contend with, climb straight ahead until 74 knots, then turn. These old POHs… over 50 years old in this case… have not been refined or improved and do not provide the degree of guidance one is used to in more modern aircraft, or mililtary aircraft that this pilot was used to. Just my opinion. As Mike implies, this was almost an impossible flight with no margin of safety on a takeoff & climb performance aspect alone.
No margin-of-safety in this incident. 1) Fatigue. 3 hour flight from Scottsdale, likely at high cabin altitudes around 8000 feet or more. 6 hour flight ahead to Bismarck, with even higher altitudes possibly required. Was there supplemental oxygen on board? AIM recommends supp O2 above 5000’. 2). Night, single piloted, single engine over terrain and very forbidding country. Where do you go with an engine failure? Even, say, a voltage regulator failure? You have 30 minutes at night to get it down before your battery goes. 3) Inadequate climb performance at this DA with this load. No margin of safety. 4) Pilot may have been instrument rated, but did he have instrument currency or recency of experience? 5). The Black Hole scenario for this takeoff is an extreme challenge for an instrument rated, instrument current pilot. 5) The POH numbers from 1966 in this case are demonstrated on a brand new airplane with a test pilot at the controls. What will YOUR 57 year old airplane do? Do you know? Have you test flown it against the POH numbers? 6). As Mike mentioned, the aircraft has probably slipping through the air, requiring right rudder, at the departure end of the runway. Out-of-balanced flight kills climb performance. Again, Martin of Safety. If you don’t have a 25% to 50% margin above the POH performance numbers, reconsider. Yes, if flown at all, this flight should have been a daytime flight with a very fresh pilot. Very sad, my condolences to the family and friends. Margin of safety, people, margin of safety.
One very important technical piece: the speeds on the ADS-B track are GROUND speeds. Note at around the 14 minute mark when Mike zooms in, the adsbexchange software actually adds “ground” to the speed annotation. This means, since winds were basically calm, that these are TRUE Airspeed numbers on the ground track readout. Indicated Air Speed, which is what drives aircraft performance through the air, is about 8%, or 6 knots LESS, than each of the numbers presented on the ground track. Vy, or best-rate-of-climb speed for this aircraft, is 85 mph per the POH, or 74 knots, with a CLEAN wing. In my opinion, the IAS of the aircraft at the departure end of the runway associated with the 68 kt and 72 kt readouts of the ground track is therefore 62 kts and 66kts, respectively. For this Piper Cherokee, this is compatible with struggling in ground effect with 25 degrees of flap still out. Likely Col Larsen retracted the flaps after the turn. To get best performance for climb, an IAS of 74 kts should have been maintained, or GS/TAS (assuming no wind) of 80 kts.
Water in the fuel.
Contrary to evidence in the NTSB report.
Not a chance. That plane was seeing basically continuous use, so it wasn't accumulating condensation in the tanks. And no other aircraft seem to have experienced any fuel-related issues. Did you just spit out the first random thought that came into your head?
Here are all the facts of the crash: th-cam.com/video/Y54Uq472EeA/w-d-xo.html
Your words are very informative, but I respectfully wonder if you care to comment as to whether YOU would have made a takeoff from that airport after experiencing an engine outage on the ground while taxing out as a witness supposedly described. Or, would you have taxied back to h15:40 15:46 😅
We're not sure why they restarted their engine. If I had experienced engine roughness right after starting up, depending on the severity and assuming I noticed it, I would have cancelled. We do need to raise awareness of what morning sickness is for engines and ensure people are aware of how it's an early warning sign. But again, we don't know if this is what they experienced in the flight that prompted them to restart their engine on the ground. I hope the NTSB can definitively figure it out.
Mike, I feel honored you answered my comment. After many years of Flying little airplanes , I feel so confident that if I were taxing an airplane to the run up area and the engine quit through no fault of my own. I would have run the airplane back. to the FBO and I would not fly it until they figured out what was wrong with it, and could assure me that it would not happen again. Most of the time it’s so easy to do armchair quarterbacking, but in this case, I hope you and I know that airplane in our hands would not have been flown on that day. Thank you for all your good work. Mort.
@@mortonrobinson6408 Again, we don't even know if the engine quit on them. They might have been spooked by something, maybe a rough running symptom, and decided to see if it would replicate if they shut it down and restarted it. Hard to say though.
It is indeed hard to say. The unnecessary loss of two very kind beautiful men makes me weep. My heart breaks for the misery. Their families are going through. “😊What to do”.
Mike, excellent video and debrief. I too had several alternator failures in my C177B but every time I could cycle the alternator switch and it would come back on with no further issues. I reported the incident to my A&P and because it was an intermittent problem he could only suggest replacing the alternator or voltage regulator and see if that cured the problem. I wasn't interested in his shot gun approach so I continued to fly the plane. The last time it happened was on an Angel Flight mission with 1 pax and as luck would have it I was over my home airport about half way through the mission and cycling the alternator switch did not bring it back on. I was VMC at the time so, without declaring an emergency I told ATC I had an alternator problem and diverted to my home airport. After arranging alternate transportation for my pax I walked down to my A&P's shop and he was still in the shot gun mode as far as troubleshooting. Long story short, I did some trouble shooting and found a loose connection at the voltage regulator. Problem solved! With regard to your decision to declare an emergency, who would find fault in that. Declare and use all the resources available to you. Personally, I would not have chosen to fly a low instrument approach back into the departure airport. If I was on top in VMC with plenty of fuel and VMC airports nearby, I would have headed for it. Just my 2 cents. Nice job in managing the situation and landing safely. New subscriber looking forward to the next videos!
The report didn't seem to indicated any abnormalities with the spark plugs or the cylinders. From the report: "The top sparkplugs were all found intact, undamaged, and tightly installed in each cylinder. The top sparkplugs were removed, and a lighted borescope examination was conducted on each cylinder. No abnormalities were noted within the cylinders. The engine crankshaft was rotated by the propeller in its normal direction of rotation, and suction and compression were noted on all cylinders through the top spark plug holes, with movement of all rocker arms noted during rotation. All 8 sparkplugs were removed and compared to a Champion Aerospace AV-27 “Check-A-Plug” Chart. Coloration across the plugs was from normal to black carbon fouled, with normal wear to the electrodes. No mechanical electrode damage was noted or observed on any of the sparkplugs. The bottom sparkplugs for cylinders No. 1 and No. 3 were oil soaked, consistent with orientation of the engine at the accident site and oil within the cylinders"
I explained this in the video. A stuck valve doesn't necessarily result in a damaged cylinder nor permanent loss of compression. It can un-stick after the engine cools off. There are ways, though, to ascertain the probability of a stuck valve by performing the Lycoming wobble test that the manufacturer outlines.