Every Trader needs to Understand Probabilities

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 5 ก.พ. 2025
  • Excel Sheet for calculating your trade probability: arjo.io/tool/
    Join the MMT 👉 tradingmmt.com/
    Contact:
    Business/Mentorship Inquiries - info@tradingmmt.com
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    About Me:
    I'm a full-time daytrader using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) / ICT and my own concepts, sharing my knowledge and view on the financial markets
    Disclaimer:
    I am not an attorney, accountant or financial advisor, nor am I holding myself out to be, and the information contained in this video is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.

ความคิดเห็น • 231

  • @christianconsulta9198
    @christianconsulta9198 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +89

    The only TH-cam channel that i always wait for a new content. Bcos i want to learn more. After i watch and study all of videos base on his guidelines.😊💖

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

      Love that, thank you ❤️

    • @nakamhacker
      @nakamhacker 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Absolutely right you said my friend ❤

    • @eznahisaboke3087
      @eznahisaboke3087 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      that makes the two of us❤

    • @sandorvicentemasperdomo7626
      @sandorvicentemasperdomo7626 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@eznahisaboke3087 three of us

    • @marcinczytelnik3950
      @marcinczytelnik3950 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Confirm. Great job.

  • @makat2002
    @makat2002 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    ICT maybe did not intend to confuse a lot of people, but his insistence on always calling himself right and how his concepts trump everything else with certainty in his voice made a lot of his students including myself blind to the fact that trading truly is about stacking probabilities and nothing is set in stone. This video just reminded me to and most importantly taught me to be more particular as to the reasons why I want to enter a trade instead of delusional thinking that was passed on from years of confusion. Thank you mate.

  • @amdpet6261
    @amdpet6261 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +22

    Real teacher never disappoints his students. U r real.

  • @realrealwithkimmy1851
    @realrealwithkimmy1851 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    I just KNOW am gonna be able to trade one day properly & be consistent bcuz of these teachings. I can feel it in my bones. I am committed to these videos & checking the live charts at the same time. Thank u Arjo. I'm a stay at home mom commited to this process. ❤from Canada

    • @longnguytuan547
      @longnguytuan547 หลายเดือนก่อน

      how r u doing now

    • @besirbajrami503
      @besirbajrami503 7 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@longnguytuan547 he gave up 😂

  • @tsekomalawaneng1150
    @tsekomalawaneng1150 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

    at this point you are just feeding us like baby bird... Really appreciate your work man, thank you

  • @JUDAHNYAMEKYE
    @JUDAHNYAMEKYE 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    I found an edge watching your contents. I have improved drastically and I am starting to see consistency in my trading journey. I apprecite you Arjo. You always make trading easy and simple. Kuddos bruv!!!!

  • @martinmcnamee4362
    @martinmcnamee4362 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    I have learnt so much from Arjo, everytime I look at a chart I can see the things he has talked about, I am just so grateful for it, Thank you so much for everything!

  • @SergioCalderon-dj2oo
    @SergioCalderon-dj2oo 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    Thank you Arjo for taking the time and teaching us for free, it is appreciated

  • @jalendavis3264
    @jalendavis3264 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    ARJO I just want to say thank you for taking time out your day to teacher us this valuable information for Free you have made me a better trader every single video you drop thank you !

  • @angeleyez1943
    @angeleyez1943 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Arjo, I truly have no words to express my gratitude for your invaluable teachings, but simply to say, THANK YOU🙏🙏❤

  • @hart-coded
    @hart-coded 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    even after 3 master classes i can see enormous value in continuing to refine the process. always brilliant content

  • @phuoctran4236
    @phuoctran4236 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you Sir, I have learned a lot of valuable knowledge from you. From the bottom of my heart, you have my mentor

  • @Chidoz
    @Chidoz 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    The world needs to come together and pay this man.

  • @sohaibyousaf6149
    @sohaibyousaf6149 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I have seen yet more than half vedios of your TH-cam channel and still continue for the rest. I really appreciate to all of your vedios but this was a real 💎 for me. I have got a lot of answers of my questions.
    I want to say Thank you Arjo❤

  • @shamisosithole4691
    @shamisosithole4691 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Another fantastic video. Wow Arjo, your content is amazing. I recently found your content and I've learned so much from you. I love how DEFINE everything so clearly. No mess No fuss. So much life changing content. I truly appreciate all the videos and resources you're giving out for free. So very grateful. God bless 💫💫💫

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Love to hear that :)

  • @sangeetkumar-ind
    @sangeetkumar-ind 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    You know what @arjoio, you are simply the best man in this whole world man, you are just helping out the random people so that they can also earn some good money and get out of trap which were made by our government i.e to do job and pay taxes and simply die.
    Infinite thanks and keep doing this good work, lots of LOVE Buddy!

  • @tamimakbary6611
    @tamimakbary6611 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    For the first time after seeing everyone's videos I can clearly say that your teaching method is far ahead from others you absolutely are one step ahead of others sir thanks alot for the video appreciate your efforts alot ❤🙏

  • @IrfanKhan-im7yw
    @IrfanKhan-im7yw 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The best thing I like about you is the sequence of steps you provide in the lecture for best understanding that an average trader can also learn from theses concepts. Thank you Arjo sir.

  • @arnelmateo4099
    @arnelmateo4099 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    My price action Teachnical analysis was improved since I study your mechanical strategies all of your videos. to be honest. thank you so much sir! highly appreciated.. keep on posting significant videos. from Philippines!!!

    • @remy5624
      @remy5624 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Where are you in the Philippines ? I’m in Cebu City.

  • @TangeniFX
    @TangeniFX 6 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    The first channel to make me fully understand FVG

  • @ziggysarena3866
    @ziggysarena3866 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Hey arjo thank you for making the easy way of being profitable! After 1 year everything is clicking in my brain after seeing your video's! Thanks man❤️

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Love to hear that!

  • @illuminatefx
    @illuminatefx 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    The master in the game. Thank you so much. I have improved drastically because of your teachings God bless you abundantly 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

  • @eriquemuziq6218
    @eriquemuziq6218 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks for all the great content bro...any trader thats seriously learning through your videos, has no excuse for failing in the markets...thanks

  • @Tremor777
    @Tremor777 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Your videos are gold just like you are gold 💙

  • @akhamisable
    @akhamisable 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wow my mind is blown, after watching this and the previous video back to back. Just opened my mind to a totally new way of thinking. Thank you Arjo

  • @chukwudibasil6763
    @chukwudibasil6763 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    I have gotten a mentor in you. So much ❤ my dear

  • @ImranKhan-zx3en
    @ImranKhan-zx3en 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great information as always! Arjo is the final boss!

  • @eznahisaboke3087
    @eznahisaboke3087 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Thank you so much for the educative video and a free excel sheet♥

  • @joechew1412
    @joechew1412 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you so much. Love the last part , risking on high probability or low probability. I always look at 1 hr to 5 min TF. Now I know more works needed.

  • @NgọcĐoàn-u1s
    @NgọcĐoàn-u1s 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You are absolutely right. Trading in my view is a combination of Probablility and news / events. Any trader must understand these concepts and put them to best use. Using my account with Market101 is really helping me with earning some additional bucks. Well done Arjo to place such complicated topic in a simple way.

  • @guineotrader2567
    @guineotrader2567 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Bro the quality of your videos is just insane! Love all the details

  • @truongquangduy6090
    @truongquangduy6090 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Yes I love your video man. Still learning and trading. Thank you for teaching me how to filter out those bad day, 50/50 area, consilidation time. And focus on the high probability one. :D

  • @WirepipsFXAcademy
    @WirepipsFXAcademy 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You teach so well that even a kid will understand, you are super good bro keep doing the good work. much love from here ❤❤❤

  • @nakamhacker
    @nakamhacker 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    My Mentor ❤ Depply Respect 🎉

  • @mr_ashu_01
    @mr_ashu_01 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very soon 500k bro i wish ❤
    U r my fev teacher nd trader❤

  • @santoshgulve1421
    @santoshgulve1421 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thanks brother, when i watch your videos my knowledge growing.

  • @famrodriguez8109
    @famrodriguez8109 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Grateful as always Sir Arjo,
    On all your thoughtfulness in the game to us.
    Blessings!

  • @Nik-uk5pf
    @Nik-uk5pf 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Bro it seems so logic of course. At the end of all your videos, I feel motivated.😂 Then weekdays come and feel shit after taking bad trades. Thank you for the template.

  • @cesuryurektr3596
    @cesuryurektr3596 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I took a cola and a snack and I'm watching your video. I dream of being rich. This dream is thanks to your videos, my friend. Thank you very much for your efforts.

  • @rajatgoyal97
    @rajatgoyal97 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you Arjo this video is extremely precious to be here, everything on point here thank you 😄

  • @ronaldraymon9297
    @ronaldraymon9297 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you sir, for sharing your experience, It helped me to correct and upgrade my knowledge.

  • @CATS_AND_DOGS123
    @CATS_AND_DOGS123 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thankyou arjo. On this Tuesday I was having a bearish direction but the whole day gone consolidated with bullish sentiments. I was analysing why this happened. Then I looked your video and got back in the charts then I realised how much importance the arguments part hold in itself

  • @leaderco0
    @leaderco0 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I think It's the best way to read the price action ,thanks❤

  • @favordennis9681
    @favordennis9681 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you so much, Arjo.
    You're a genius 👏 🙌 ❤

  • @DeNguyen-d1o
    @DeNguyen-d1o 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you sir finally i understand now, and thank you for the email that you are invited me to join the MMT, I will ! as soon as I get myself situated , currently I’m living on a fishing boat and my internet using is limited, I will quit my job and getting back on land.
    I moved on to a fishing vessel to get away from (COVID) LoL and now I’m ready to move back on lands and follow you to trade full time.

  • @drkhaled13
    @drkhaled13 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Whatever I say ,I coudn,t Express my gratitude to you.
    Thanks alot❤❤❤ 😊

  • @whitneymorris2544
    @whitneymorris2544 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    This might well be the only video one needs to trade ever.

  • @Brando_Yancey
    @Brando_Yancey 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Man I love this channel

  • @黃總-q8y
    @黃總-q8y 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You are the best teacher!!!

  • @devverma_
    @devverma_ หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great teacher ❤❤

  • @Ephisia
    @Ephisia 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    haaaai, Arjo is a genius. thank you for the gift my Brother

  • @rafakochanski2558
    @rafakochanski2558 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    That was great. Deepness and clarity of content 10/10 ❤

  • @francoisjunior.
    @francoisjunior. 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    you are good teacher man. thanks so for all your videos

  • @muute_fvgtraders
    @muute_fvgtraders 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This what I have waiting for, thank you arjo 🎯⛳️🏆

  • @arshadnawaz5174
    @arshadnawaz5174 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I really love the way you teach, ❤

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thank you :) ❤

  • @johnaart
    @johnaart 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Hey Arjo..can u make a video explaining the best way to enter, because sometimes price will hit a PD array, give an ST but would continue higher and take out previous high then finally drop

    • @TrueSmctrading
      @TrueSmctrading 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Same problem that i facing

    • @dellodem
      @dellodem 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Not every trade or PD array work. Have a SL to protect your account

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

      I think it might be a good idea to create a video on how much confirmation you need
      The ST is the minimum for a very High Probability PD Array, but often times you’re going to need more confirmation than that
      I’ll work on it!

    • @nazmulsohag
      @nazmulsohag 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​Please make a video on it. Let us clear how much or which confirmation do I need to place a trade. ​@@Arjoio

    • @filipposstergiou9834
      @filipposstergiou9834 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      May I ask what ST stands for?

  • @AbdulRaaziqMathews
    @AbdulRaaziqMathews 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    feeling so guilty watching this video bro, FOMC week. I was so focused on that 4HR BISI that I did not even notice 4HR SIBI for price to continue lower. Journaled and downloaded your sheet, hopefully this week will be a profitable one the same like this past week. I enjoy the content very simplistic compared to ICT but give credit where credit is due definately improved my understanding of FVG's.

  • @IsraelMonday123
    @IsraelMonday123 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you Arjo.
    Your Crystal ball is actually rotating..😮😮
    We're getting a Fortune in this weekly forecast..😂🎉🎉🎉

  • @7bel666
    @7bel666 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Awesome video that remove alot of confusion

  • @chartxs
    @chartxs 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Happy to see you again ✨

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Likewise my friend

  • @MarcosReyesMD
    @MarcosReyesMD 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great teaching. Can you cover targets? When to cover?

  • @danielakintola8000
    @danielakintola8000 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you for the video Arjo. I believe you should do more videos on entry. For example I can sometimes predict the market direction but I sometimes get the entry wrong before I get it right which reduces my profit since I'm aiming for 2:1 RR. If I can eliminate bad entries, I believe i will be profitable. Thanks

  • @goodnesssaby1398
    @goodnesssaby1398 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you mentor❤

  • @Yasirmehmood-jt8sy
    @Yasirmehmood-jt8sy 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    VERY NICE SIR ARJO...! ITS YOUR TRADE MARK AS ALWYAS DETAILED INFORMATIVE LECTURE ABOUT MARKET STURCTURE,
    RESPECT FROM PAKISTAN.

  • @theslayerdz
    @theslayerdz 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Good work bro keep going 💪

  • @andualem-i5o
    @andualem-i5o 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    No words ...... God bless you brother

  • @LemonFX
    @LemonFX 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Professor! Thank you. 🙏

  • @piemo221
    @piemo221 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Super content!! Can you explain one of best methods to entry? A sort of check list?

  • @dailyquote2786
    @dailyquote2786 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you been waiting for this video 😢

  • @dariyaeditz4692
    @dariyaeditz4692 หลายเดือนก่อน

    wonderful explaination... I need it so far.

  • @-SabarinathanS
    @-SabarinathanS 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great valuable content ✅

  • @eznahisaboke3087
    @eznahisaboke3087 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    @Arjo last week forecast you mentioned something on EURUSD about the second fvg on 4H being high probability to sell from than the first one, please can you expound more thank you❤

  • @josemourmourinho9949
    @josemourmourinho9949 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Nice job Arjo! Wich order do you sugest to watch your playlists?

  • @Deisyvivianaa
    @Deisyvivianaa 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    amazing video! How can we apply this to scalping 100 pips ? What should the highest timeframe be when scouting out the PD arrays/ arguments?

  • @ChristopherKMEtou
    @ChristopherKMEtou 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Question. Can a swing high be a bearish candle and a swing low and bullish candle stick?

  • @TheWinghochui
    @TheWinghochui 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks for your shairng!

  • @OG_Pharaoh_Blaq
    @OG_Pharaoh_Blaq 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I missed watching your videos im getting some knowledge for real

  • @abhaybajpai675
    @abhaybajpai675 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Hey Arjo, At minute 8:52, you mention about the counter argument of Daily down candles being "bullish". I am pretty sure you meant to say "bearish" FVGs and not bullish FVG since the FVG is created by 3 down candles.

  • @Rideme123
    @Rideme123 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks Man ❤

  • @jimohibrahim656
    @jimohibrahim656 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You are a best teacher

  • @TUFFAN744
    @TUFFAN744 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Love U alot arjo sirrrr ❤ love from pakistan
    GREAT TEACHER ARJO SIR❤

  • @aryantamang229
    @aryantamang229 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    THANKS ARJO

  • @vimukthidharshana3324
    @vimukthidharshana3324 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    17K have been watched . only 1.5k thumbs up??? Oh Come on Folks! This guy deserves a lot more than that !

  • @ICT-Trader-AdamJ
    @ICT-Trader-AdamJ 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great video as always but I was wondering if more weight should be given to HTF PDAs ie a Monthly FVG being respected compared to a H4 FVG being respected?

  • @frankl473
    @frankl473 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Awesome content as always!!!

  • @HashtagCerif
    @HashtagCerif 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Always happy to see you, man. Can you make a video on OTE

  • @siskor9467
    @siskor9467 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    do you recommed some literature, books etc. on this topic ? I mean technical analysis, candlesticks types etc.

  • @ZealbillionzFX
    @ZealbillionzFX 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    I miss you arjo

  • @Rovix-q6w
    @Rovix-q6w 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thank you Brather ❤️

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ❤️

  • @giellecomte79
    @giellecomte79 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great video as always Arjo. Just a quick question, is this applicable to a FLOW trading plan as well? And if so, do i need to take other things into account? Thanks for the reply!

  • @chiragparmar3603
    @chiragparmar3603 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    15:02 your are talking abour sharp turn....in it there is no fvg for upside movement in 15 min which you call manipulation leg....fvg is only in bearish movement....isnt that violation of sharp turn rule?

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Great question and you’re completely correct, the fact that we don’t have an FVG in the same leg doesn’t violate the full ST though. It’s something we discuss in the MMT
      It also has to do with probabilities

  • @AliKhan-t8n4r
    @AliKhan-t8n4r 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    All day I dream about is fvg, cause of this guy 😂

  • @abiodunadediran70
    @abiodunadediran70 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    @arjo please how do master the use of the xcel attched sheet

  • @ireshnote3414
    @ireshnote3414 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    wow... Amazing explaination 😍

  • @chrischris915
    @chrischris915 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You have a lot of knowledge. Unfortunately not all the films are clear to me, I have to watch them several times and still I do not understand and I look for explanations on other channels. I understood this film because you speak slower and support your explanations with graphics.

  • @AlwaysPositiveRam
    @AlwaysPositiveRam 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Pure Gold ❤❤❤

  • @Filkos146
    @Filkos146 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    @Arjo great video man! you rock it! 🙂

    • @Arjoio
      @Arjoio  7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thank you :)

  • @bikkhan-bhar
    @bikkhan-bhar 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    for 7:56 we are considering PCH being respected (Monthly timeframe) on a candle which is yet-to-close
    for 11:11 we are yet again respecting PCH (Monthly timeframe) on a candle which has closed but not taking that into argument list
    then how come the first scenario is included in the list, will it not be in still-not-clear stage ??
    Thanks in advance

  • @Salim_Yushau
    @Salim_Yushau 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    As always waiting for new content from this channel. But my biggest hope ever is join the MMT

  • @ZealbillionzFX
    @ZealbillionzFX 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    My mentor