yet this is better than any show discovery channel did with their over reliance on using Neil De Grasse Tysona nd Michio Kakus trite simplification that disseminate incorrect information about how physics work.
A bunch of children reading pre written garbage science off of a teleprompter is only impressive to children who have been taught to listen , repeat, and that have not been taught any form of critical thinking whatsoever. Thanks for nothing Propaganda Broadcasting System.
@@AboveandBeyond44 yes, he sucks big time, doesn't understand what he's saying, speaks much too fast with big words and tries to fool us by accenting speech with hand gestures..
*+Skinnymarks* It really is one of the best, if not _the_ best among the science channels. Superb production quality, no ADHD jump-cuts and truly challenging content for the scientifically literate layman. I hope the host gets lots of praise aside from the TH-cam votes.
Adrian well, he is a PhD physicist. As for the content it's hard to say how many people's hands are in the production. But I'm loving PBS youtube programming.
+Skinnymarks Theoretical physicist! A mathemagician! Classical physics has nothing to do with computers being used to explain shit. Theoretical physics can prove that an elephant can hang from a cliff, with his tail tied to a daisy. Do you believe an elephant can do that just because math says so? Like black holes. Pure math. Explain how a theoretical object with an asymptotical curve, can interact with anything on the other side of the rubber spacetime sheet?...you know, the one that Michu uses gravity to explain gravity? If you want to embarrass a theoretical physicist, ask how a magnet works or how Einstein could remove the aether from Maxwell's equation without explaining? Have them explain what a point is. Fact is, kissing your professors ass while bowing to textbooks, doesn't make you smarter. It locks you into certainty and that is not science! It's culture. No wonder we've had only technological advances for the last 100 years.
Between cuts, he’s feverishly popping Claritin and sneezing. Poor man! Addiction is difficult, especially the “rubbing cats in my face, while having an allergy to cats” or “Meow” addiction. Just horrible.
@@mdbritton9424 The computer is doing all the work. Without the computer, this man will take probably another 2000 million years to come up with the same calculation Milankovitch did. Milankovitch discovered it, This guy simply copies it onto the computer.
i guess, but wouldn't it be funny if the term 'global warming' created a binary that never existed. Global.. it's implied that the globe is even the real plane we live upon. They've already got your mind at that point. I'm no flat earther, but the globe model is bs
Mankind has broken the earth. The natural cycles of ice is gone, probably forever and we are now heading in way of Venus. To paraphrase one of Mankind's famous saying... You break it. You buy it
Note that in the age when Dinosaurs roamed the Earth, there were no ice ages, and it lasted a LONG time. The current cycles of ice ages started when continental drift moved Antarctica to the south pole and isolated the North Pole from the oceans, allowing permanent ice to accumulate there and blocking ocean currents from moving warm water across the poles.
Most of your statement is correct a repeat of what he said until you get to the point of stating that the Continental drift allowed ice to form at the poles. The breaking up of Pangea did affect global temperatures but maybe you missed the part where Antarctica was a lush rainforest during the dinosaur era. The polar ice caps came later
@@nickisnyder3450 I didn't miss it. Antarctica was NOT at the South pole when it was a rainforest. Ever. It became an icecap when continental drift moved it from an equatorial latitude down to the south pole. Did I not make that part clear?
Use Feedly instead. RSS is the proper standard way to keep up-to-date on the internet, and Feedly lets you get youtube channel updates as it still supports RSS indirectly.
@@Rams495 fuck that. In winter you can just wear warmer clothes, what are you going to do in such warm Summers? When being nude doesn't help anymore? I prefer winter any time over summer
Good coverage of orbital cycles but not enough time spent on the key role of CO2 feedback. Yes, for over 800,000 years, the glacial interglacial cycles were triggered by orbital cycles. However, the forcing was due to the feedback of CO2 as it oscillated between 170 and 300 ppm. CO2 absorbs infrared radiation and therefore slows down the Sun's energy from leaving the atmosphere. As the video states the orbital cycles alone aren't enough to drive the glacial interglacial cycles. As the video states we should be in very slow and steady cooling phase for another 25,000 years. However, changes in land use and burning hydrocarbons has increased atmospheric CO2 to over 420 ppm and it's still rising. As a result there has been a rapid rise in surface temperatures, an increase in ocean heat content, a reduction in ocean pH, widespread glacial retreat, permafrost thaw, reduction in atmospheric oxygen, and changes in animal and plant distributions and phenology. Look up the National Academy of Sciences lecture by Professor Richard Alley and actual science publications by scientists such as Christopher Scotese, Benjamin Mills, Andrew Lacis, Benjamin Santer, and Jeremy Shakun.
Keep arguing about global warming...it's the "Food Supply" I'm concerned about...I just went for a walk w/ my dog by the Mystic River Medford, MA ...There are three--200 hundred year old Sycamore trees that don't seem to be coming back this year--it's May 20th...disturbing...
@@van1976 Start storing food, the winter of 2019 is going to be twice as bad as 2018, crop losses will be off the charts. Food inflation will be nothing like you've ever seen. It's the Grand Solar Minimum, solar cycle 25 a cooling cycle. We're going into a mini ice age.
They dont want the mass to know iv heard were in the 400 yr. Cycle, by 2030 full boom but each yr. Will get worse i think. Some1 predicted. Well get alot snow this winter n in spring much floods will happen.
Four years later and I'm now seeing videos predicting blue ocean events in the Artic region and Russian strengthening it's military in the Arctic for new trade routes.
probably just a coincidence, remember that these events occur on a dozen thousand year cadence, so there's no way you would notice any significant change in just 4 years.
@@Tom-oz7iy ...which still happens over decades, so doubtful you'd be able to personally notice any difference directly attributed to this effect in just 4 years.
Wow! This means things are always different. It also makes the whole “how will I end up in the right place while time traveling if the earths position in space is always changing” thing waaaay more complicated
@@jimmyshrimbe9361 if you could turn back time, you would "turn back" space too ... so you would end up in the same spot you started your time travel from
United Nations Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns, mainly caused by human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels. Which is why we must let those Marxist take over the world , we in the USA need to though them out and cut their funding!!!!
Strange we never hear of this on regular T.V. Then again there is very little actual science on T.V. as its purpose is entertainment. Yet people base life decisions based on what they hear on T.V.
United Nations Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns, mainly caused by human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels. Which is why we must let those Marxist take over the world , we in the USA need to though them out and cut their funding!!!!
@@scottferguson866 Yep. Everybody thinks CO2 is the only determining factor for climate because they would rather vote for somebody else to “solve” a “problem” they have no understanding of.
Congrats on a well produced video. It's worth noting that the Holocene climate has had ~9 warm / cool periods within the Holocene Maximum occurring during the stone age. The last major cooling (mini Ice Age) lasted for 500 years with the climate starting to warm early in the nineteenth century. Volcanic activity is believed to be a major contributor to these temperature variations.
lol hilarious. That said, there ARE folks who actually believe this... sigh. Truth is, there are VERY clear geological footprints (ie, solid evidence) of several recent ice ages - and ZERO evidence of a "biblical scale" flood. Myths of giant floods most probably stem from the huge local floods which occured while the most recent ice sheet was melting.. for example, one of these local floods may have refilled the Mediterranean Sea... VERY major flood, but very far from being worldwide.
And....not only that.. but allso...vulcans activitie.....and so much more.... We know something...but...it is so far for enough ore much.. So..all together, reminde me on tribes holy man....and shamans ...which know something....and far for all In short...we do not know enough...
@Nug U There are many cycles from short to long on the sun, we know of the 11 year minima and maxima, then there is the maunder minimums which happen about every 400 years, these bring substantial and dangerous cold, sunspots basically cease for about 30 years. Then there are large timescale cycles which are just discovering some solid evidence for, such as 12-14k years and even longer cycles of 27k or so where many things line up, such as earth pole reversals, possible large sun flaring which might be linked to earthquake activity and volcano eruption and many weather effects which are less understood but cause large scare cooling from cloud formation via increased cosmic ray nucleation in the atmosphere and other things. The science on this stuff is in it's very early stages but evidence is starting to stack up that the sun is one of the core drivers of weather and major natural disaster through history.
95TurboSol we and science like some degree of uniformity.if the meteorologists cant predict next weeks or even tomorows weather then surely they cant predict climate change.solar,vulcan,meteor impacts,earthquakes and effects on the ocean currents as well as chemicals that we inject into the air,all have an effect.so many different,well explained ideas on climate change.Randall Carlson seems quite sane and coherent and he believes that impact events throw things off so much and often that the other more constant and perhaps measureable factors influencing climate,just cant be depended upon to predict climate
Either I missed it or you did not mention another very important affecting climate. That being the Sun. Variations in solar output have significant impact on Earth's climate. And, then, there's the gaseous emissions of volcanoes, Yellow Stone super volcano...
Ok, not to be harsh, but the suns total energy output is very stable over any human conception of time. While it is a fact that its output has increased steadily from first fusion ignition, the change is imperceptible even one millennia to the next. The way earth absorbs the Sun's UV to radio frequencies (gamma and X-ray don't penetrate to the ground in any significant amount) and then re-emits it as infrared is the primary mechanism determining the energy input output balance on our planet. Reducing earth's albedo (reflective index) by melting ice, clearing forest, reducing cloud cover increases the energy not released back into space. How that energy then effects our atmosphere, oceans, and lands is very straightforward to understand: if more enters than leaves there is more energy in the system as time increases. The opposite is true too. The "volatility" of the sun is its ejecta of highly charged particles and plasmas when it's magnetic field becomes looped and twisted. This can have profound but very different consequences too.
@Fred brandon hehehe, probably not the best look to misspell "morons"! I'm not certain what you're objecting to, are you claiming the Sun has a variable energy output and that you can observations/measurements that demonstrate said b behavior? I see references to the Sun "getting brighter"/"It's energy is increasing"/"It can change over days/weeks/months" yet a mechanism or process and how much, how quickly, and who made these findings are NEVER offered in support. In order for such a thing to occur, the Sun would have to increase and decrease the rate at which hydrogen is fused into helium in its core. However, to be stable, a star must possess a balance, the explosive process of fusion is moderated by the immense gravity holding it together. We would, and have in other nearby stars (4-400 light years away) observed this, but in stars much more massive that are also bearing the end of their lives. I suggest the works of Carl Sagan (books not shows) on this and other topics, he is clear, concise and provides excellent visual aids as well as citations of the data used in analysis.
@Fred brandon Let me help you out: www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/sunearth/solar-events-news/Does-the-Solar-Cycle-Affect-Earths-Climate.html Between the marvel movie reference and "stable doesn't mean no change or variation" which I never wrote, you don't provide any basis for claiming that solar activity, or it's cycles are a contributor to any changes in climate. Your body has a "stable" temperature, as an example. The process of homeostasis allows target values to oscillate around a mean and keep the body in a "stable" range. There's an analogous process in many natural systems including the Sun. If you want to argue against NASA's conclusions it's on your head. I'm also willing to be made aware of ALL new discoveries, but claims don't do it alone, if you can show me solid evidence to support the Sun increasing in output and in turn effecting our climate I will give it a fair read.
I read recently that illumination of our sun is increasing. In the article it was predicted that at the current rate of increase the earth will become uninhabitable by humans in 1.1billion years. I was surprised that the article did not attribute climate change to the sun. I thought maybe the flares brought heat closer to earth, increasing temperatures. That idea was dismissed.
@@skipperx5116 Main sequence stars, or at least those in the Sun's mass range do appear to get hotter and brighter as they age. I remember Carl Sagan had a chapter in the book version of Cosmos titled something like "The last perfect day on Earth" and discussed how it could proceed. I've heard a range from 250 million to 3 billion, but it seems like the projections are tightening around the 1 to 2 billion range as we learn more. I'm excited to see what Webb's observations reveal about this@
TH-cam filters videos based on what it believes its viewers will like. Videos on unpopular or controversial topics (Such as climate change) will be automatically filtered out to avoid negative responses unless a viewer has shown a positive interest in that topic in the past. As such this video will not appear to in subscription boxes generally and will have to be sought out deliberately.
I don't know how I missed this episode of PBS Space Time until now; but, it might be my favourite of them all. I guess good things really are worth waiting for.
@Mark P. You don't know what you are talking about. There is nothing he said at the 11 minute mark (or near it) that could be considered leftist tripe. If he were into that nonsense he would not have even mentioned the Melankovich Cycles let alone handle them in depth and show how global temperatures have gone up and down like a sine curve for several hundred thousand years. The left on the other hand have been trying to hide that stuff for years trying to remove the Medieval Warm Period and the Roman Warm Period from the historical record. For quite some time, Tony Heller has been documenting attempts by NOAA and NASA to rewrite the data to 'cool' the Earth in these periods so that their fudged data for the 20th century shows a demonstrable upward trend.in temperatures. Matt O'Dowd is an astrophysicist and is at the top of his game in that field. That is why he has been brought to America to teach Astrophysics as an associate professor at City University of New York. Also, if he were a far left lunatic as you ridiculously claim; he would have told the viewer to trust the output of the climate models. He did not do that. In fact, he made it clear at time mark 11:30 ff that "there is no precedent in the climate record [of Anthropogenic Global Warming]. This makes modelling our influence a huge challenge." Essentially, he said we don't have the required data to construct a totally reliable climate model. This is NOT something someone who intends presenting the leftist argument would say. He has approached the issue as an Astrophysicist not as a 'climatologist'. That is exactly what he should have done. Pretty much he has followed in the footsteps of Milutin Milanković who among other endeavours was an astronomer.
Can the current time and earth itself get anymore perfect for us? The planet is in the habitable zone of a medium sized star on the outskirts of a galaxy safely away from black holes or stars going supernova. And it also happens that we r lucky to have the current warmer climates. Really fascinating.
Almost, but not quite :) seems to make more sense that in all that space chances are that this would happen somehow, somewhere. I'm certain is has happened again elsewhere, and will happen again somewhere else.
@@humbledb4jesus No, not really. The only reason we're actually even here is because of those conditions. There is no luck or mythological deity involved - these are only the conditions in which life and intelligent life could have started from without interruption or catastrophe and with stability. Like saying a popcorn kernel popped in a microwave because the heat was part of its destiny.
Given we evolved in this temperature range, it is probably about as good for us as it can be. Of course, if you are a Swedish farmer, you might want more heat, and Africa might like the Mediterranean rain belt moved South over the Sahara again, just like during 20,000 BC, which requires less heat, so it might need work but it can probably be improved on the average.
You were on the right track talking malankovich cycles, but it has way more to do with the sun & what it's doing. We're along for the ride, plain & simple
Only politicians put fear, drama and emotion into science… it’s a sales tactic. Don’t buy it! My dad was a scientist, and he never had any fear over human cause climate change, because there’s nothing to fear about it. Warm is overall good for us!
How did I miss this one?! As a geologist, I would like to complement you on the geologic history. Although you could have done a better job explaining the glacial cycles only apply to the Quaternary ice ages. Normally Earth is a warm planet and doesn't even have ice caps, let alone ice ages. Also, something had to trigger the Quaternary ice ages to begin with that had nothing to do with astronomical cycles. If you back 25 million years, we didn't even have ice caps. Geological reasons likely set the stage like the joining of North and South America. With each Quaternary glacial cycle, it has been getting colder but the glaciers aren't making it as far as they did 200,000 years ago.
I've heard that the Himalayas have contributed to an extent by helping to change wind patterns. We have had mountain ranges that high in the past with similar rock types that haven't caused cooling.
The general North-South alignment of the continents, the isolation of Antarctica, and the enclosure of the northern polar sea must have had something to do with it?
TheOneWhoMightBe we tend to get ice caps and ice ages when the continents are clustered in either the northern or Southern Hemispheres. The amount and position of mountains may play an important part. We didn’t get quaternary ice ages until the land bridge between north and South America formed.
Really interesting and very well explained for the ordinary person like me, who finds this really interesting but requires good explanation.... You tick the box... Thanks
Can we pause to appreciate that many supposedly “primitive” ancient cultures around the world had calendars depicting “the great year” which just so happen to coincide with the complexities of space time and ice age intervals? Many of which built giant megalithic structures that functioned as astronomy precision instruments to keep track of the sun and moon’s position. How did they figure this out? It’s as if they knew humanity’s long term survival depended on cosmic and planetary awareness.
The main reason these cultures tracked the sun, especially outside of the tropics, is they would have no idea if it would start to travel back up in to spring and summer and just continue downwards in to a perpetual winter perhaps still in folk lore from the ice ages. One of the most famous ones Stonehenge was a mixture of superstition and observation to ensure they had been good enough people to merit another year of survival and to rejoice when the sun did bounce back to renew life again. In those days the Sun was a reward giving life which had to be earned and was not guaranteed. I suppose in many ways Stonehenge was a Neolithic early warning system giving them time to expiate their sins before the big freeze came again.
@@Jc-ms5vv clearly you don't know about the cycles. Look up maunder minimum. Also a good book to read NOT on climate cycles but it opened my eyes is "collapse" you'd be surprised howamy civilizations through history collapsed due to climate change
@@UsernamerAlreadyTakn you clearly don't understand what a greenhouse gas is. Do some research on previous mass extinctions and compare them to this one
@@Jc-ms5vv also look up the ISO's in the ice of Greenland. They have drilled down 20+ miles showing that earth isn't even warm as it's ever been nor cold. How are ppl like you so stupid ??
I'd like to see this video redone and including the sun's cycles (Sun spots and activity), and the other green house gasses (water vapor, Methane, Nitrous Oxide, Ozone) included. a more in depth video. one that has some fun math equations.
This is a decent explanation of Millanchovich cycles, as do some of the IPCC models, but I didn't find any consideration of sunspot cycles and their inclusion into the models.John L. Casey's book"Dark Winter" does present a good argument for this data to be included in all future models. It bases its conclusions on sunspot numbers for the past 400 years and their correlation with climate changes. It's real data is available and I checked a single data point that I experienced in the 1986-89 time frame. Florida had a several freezes then and when I looked up the sunspot data, they were at a minimum. Being a long term systems engineering data analyst , my conclusion was the same as Casey's. Checking additional data samples provided more confirming data points. Higher sunspot counts gave higher temperatures. lower sunspot activity gave cooler/lower temperatures. If the IPCC uses this data/ methodology in their models, maybe we'll see different conclusions. So far, if you want grant money you must support the political payroll's position. Just wait a couple of years and see if we need to buy insulation stocks instead of carbon credits. Even Al Gore has changed his song. I don't know what his new title might be, but "baby it's cold outside" might be accurately appropriate. Follow the money, and what answer do you want are not good engineering procedures, although I have seen it done before. No examples due to legal vulnerability. Anyone who thinks this is valid or not, let me know in the comments. I am also posting this to my Facebook page
What they always fail to mention is how insanely powerful albedo feedback is. The total variation of CO2 (assuming we actually have the real variation in the ice cores) would lead to maybe 2 watts per square meter. Albedo feedback is about 20X stronger. Vast ice sheets extend all the way into what are now temperate zones while simultaneously more land is exposed for ice to form on because sea levels drop a hundred meters. Greens today whine about the loss of the trivial amounts of sea ice. But today's sea ice reflects less light than you think in summer (meltwater ponds) and it reflects NO light for about half the year. By comparison, the sea ice during the glacial period extends to within 50 degrees of the equator...which means it provided far more albedo feedback even in the depths of winter than the sea ice we have now does in the summer. And of course the problem with CO2 forcing is that you can't really prove that it does anything. As he described it you'll notice that, human interference or massive eruptions aside, CO2 is in fact a proxy of ocean temperature. Whenever someone says "see, CO2 and temperature match" that's because it's temperature DRIVEN. And the messed up thing is, it doesn't matter if CO2 is contributing or if it did the opposite and magically dampened the changes somehow...since it is temperature driven, so long as the temperature changed in the same way, the CO2 levels would look the same. And...side note...the event that appears to have triggered the unstable climate is the formation of the isthmus of panama, which racially changed ocean circulation.
@@Gobrech People who developed views based on what they want to think or what they think is appropriate to their political opinions, rather than ones who base their views on the best info available.
I'm starting to notice a rather Pavlovian response in my body to the mere introduction of these vids!😁 I hear the intro...my brain starts to water in anticipation of the intelligent nourishment abt 2b tossed my way. Thanks!😄
I took some historical geology classes back around 1992 and was told the opposite...we had come out of a mini ice age by 1980 and temps were spiking higher per year than at any time in "meteorological" history.
@@vchism712 Personally, I think everyone who thinks they know is full of sh*t. It's all so politically driven with so many variables, some of which don't even exist yet, that climate science is still more religion than data-driven. For example, climate is very much affected by life on Earth besides our own, and how species will evolve is one such factor. What people will invent. Will we get hit by an asteroid first? Will there be a major volcanic eruption? Will we have a massive nuclear war? Is the footage recently released of a UFO captured by the Navy actually aliens who plan to help a brother out? Or wipe him out? Guess we'll just have to wait and see.
Josef K we prolonged the warming time but i dont think it’s permenant. Although i highly doubt the next ice ages will be as cold as the ones in the past because the suns energy output is slowly increasing
Josef K You can’t say permenant, humans can easily be wiped out or thrown back into the paleolithic/neolithic eras if great disaster strikes and give a chance for carbon to reabsorb from the atmosphere and give us a ice age. It’s not likely going to happen anytime soon.
judy pelletier Nope, in 1 billion years the sun will be outputting 10% more energy, it’s going to slowly swell until its death in 5 billion years where it becomes a red giant and the whole earth is destroyed, complex life wont exist much longer in some hundreds of million years in the future, the habitable zone is slowly being pushed back. Now the earth is slowly moving away from the earth due to solar winds and the sun losing a small bit of its mass but it’s insignificant amounts, although the earth moving away is not fast enough to counter the sun’s expansion.
He touched on it in the end with the permanent greenhouse effect. But before that I was very curious about what it would mean for the planet as a whole to stop entering into periodic ice ages. Surely it's necessary to some degree?
Until about 2 - 3 million years ago, ice ages were not periodic. Ice ages only became periodic in the Pleistocene epoch. He touched on this at 0:32. You can also see it in the graph at 6:00, where after about 3 million years ago, the periodic fluctuations gradually increased in magnitude. Before that, the fluctuations, though still present, were rather minor, not significant enough to trigger periodic ice ages. When considering the entire history of the Earth, ice ages were the exception rather than the norm (only 15-20% of its history). The most recent ice age prior to the Cenozoic ended in the Permian period, 289 million years ago. EDIT: "Periodic ice age" is an incorrect term. "Glacial period" is the proper term, itself a characteristic feature of an "ice age" / "icehouse period". Icehouse periods consist of alternating glacial and interglacial periods. We are currently in the Holocene interglacial period (began ~11,700 years ago) within the Quaternary glaciation phase (began 2.58 million years ago) of the Late Cenozoic icehouse period (began 34 million years ago, when ice sheets appeared on Antarctica). See the following Wikipedia articles for more info: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_and_icehouse_Earth en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_glaciation
The next necessity step for the evolution of man is for the earth to not have a Atmosphere , Man would then have to survive more on using technologies and resources of the earth and would be good training for future colonization of space. A organism survives and adepts to overcomes challenges of the environment to survive and reproduce, to easy and the organism could devolve or become lesser. Man has been devolving for a long while.
It has been flagged as containing topics unlikely to appeal to general audience. (Climate change for one.) It thus gets automatically filtered from most user's lists as youtube assumes you don't want to see it.
Anything that goes against the global warming BS gets censored. This is even happening in school books in Portland. I encourage all Americans to look into the massive amount of low temperature records being registered in the US. The amount of global volcanic activity isn't a coincidence either, it's the ringing bell of an impending Ice Age and one of the effects of the Earth's magnetosphere shutting down. Our magnetosphere is generated by the solar winds...it's shutting down because the sun is 'going to sleep' for about 40/50 years, just like in the 17th century...
Let's just tell all future generations we were intentionally polluting as to stop the next glacial maxima and all future ice ages. "But it was predicted to come in 50 thousand years!?" they'll say. "Precisely, back in our day we were responsible about protecting, maintaining, and caring for our world. We were being proactive."
Polluting is a strong word to use. We are not certain of the extent of warming from CO2, net feedbacks are likely to be fairly low given recent temperature data. (This will depend on the la Nina coming up) and if that is the case, CO2 is actually a positive for humans due to increased planet greening and crop yields. Climate science is fascinating and monstrously complex. Try not to get swept up in political zeal either way.
+UnknownXV I appreciate the concern over my use of the word "polluting" in a joke scenario. It's unnecessary though as I've actually studied this material.
I will agree that climate science is fascinating and monstrously complex. However, these so-called recent temperature data show that average global temperature increase is actually accelerating, so political zeal is not at all the only impetus for being incredibly worried about climate change. We can say with a high degree of certainty that human activity is contributing to this increase in temperature, and that CO2 is one of the factors. The definition of pollution is pretty simple, and I think CO2 output by humans fits comfortably within its umbrella.
If you all insist on fighting the the climate change denier, please use proper referencing. For 1-3 authors: Author A, Author B, Author C (YEAR) For 3+ authors: Author A, et al. (YEAR)
Bongo Brandy If you understood what he said Bongo, why would you call repeating cycles; 'perturbations'? Milankovitch cycles are normal and predictable but perturbations are: ' a disturbance of the regular and usually elliptical course of motion of a celestial body that is produced by some force additional to that which causes its regular motion'. So a passing body or impact would cause perturbations in the cycles, but the cycles themselves are regular (if random seeming since they all have different individual periodicity).
Recently watched a documentary, narrated by Leonard Nimoy, filmed in 1978, about the eminent onset of a new ice age, and record low temperatures, snowfalls and glaciation. Got a lot of comments to this, actually I just thought it was funny, or ironic, or short slighted, given the reality of today’s climate. Not pushing this old video as accurate.
@@akossandor469 it's how the data is interpreted. Sea ice today is melting more than twice as fast as was predicted in 2010, how large would the error be at 40 years? That's the point.
@Srewolf wow, are you confused! The data is the data, no one is disputing that. What you are displaying is denial. 98% of world climate scientists agree that man caused climate change is happening and will get worse. Stay in your safe place. When the whole world says you're wrong, maybe you need to rethink your position.
@Srewolf keep digging, denier. You just look really stooopid now. Run along, and let adults deal with what you can't even understand. Sorry you're angry. Ok, no I'm not.
Did anyone notice, or, better, did anyone know that in that chart he showed around 11:00 you can fairly clearly see that the temperature rise actually preceeds the CO2 rise by a few hundred years? Think about it.
I have to say that I'm not an expert, just someone that has done a lot of research, if anyone knows better or has an explanation, you're welcome to explain
thats false, CO2 followed temperature in the past by about couple of hundred years. because first the ocean heated and than they exhaled CO2. if we really stopped the next ice age it would be the best we did in human history. next ice age die 6 billion people because of cold and starvation
@Richard Porter OMG WILL YOU GO AWAY DENIER?!? You know damned well we only have 37 days left until we meet global disaster of epic proportions that we will never return from!!!! We know this because 97 percent of scientists AGREED in our shitty survey along time ago.
@@henrikgiese6316 Nope, they are not accounted for, along with other variables. 2 years ago, new data sets have been published which take into account EVERYTHING, and to this day, no study has confirmed man made global warming, using those new criteria. Media chooses not to talk about this, but its happening and they cant run from the truth forever. Check out suspiciousObserver and see for yourself. He links sources in his vid and talks about the subject in great detail and understanding. The subject is far more complex that what the medias simplified, dumb down junk science explanation would lead you to believe.
@@korosensei4384 Checked out the video you appear to reference, looked over the papers. Nothing new there, the papers don't actually support the video. As I expected, given that I've read articles about the effect of solar and interstellar radiation on climate since the '90s. Maybe there is some specific paper you want me to look at? Please provide a link.
Glad to see there are not many climate change deniers here, but that's somewhat expected considering the content PBP Space Time delivers. Not going to be many people who deny science. Congratulations; you're audience is not totally inept, it took me scrolling down two hole pages before I saw a anthropogenic climate change denier, and even then they were not flat out denying that humans play a role.
Give a me a break, I have been drinking and I recently been at work for 10 hours. I think you can forgive someone who is dyslexic for a single typo under those circumstances. Although It does seem like I'm trying to lay it on too think there... But it's all true so w.e.
Booooring... nobody "denies" climate change, or that humans have some effect. Just that humans have an effect worth worrying about. This video actually supports the skeptics case without even trying to (climate change is almost entirely due to natural effects). It even shows the two graphs that indicate CO2 lags behind temperature changes (graphs that warming alarmists don't seem to use so much any more for some strange reason). Maybe you should stop treating science as a religious belief? Might be a start.
I doubt this will be only episode on the subject. This episode might have covered the natural aspect, but it wouldn't surprise me if next week's episode covers the human aspect
Don't count on it. Even without taking any human influence into account, things will only worse over the next 55 - 60 years, while the Sun shifts from a grand solar minimum to a maximum (cycle is roughly 115 years).
@@col2959 First topic: wether 3% human contribution and then of that 1.3 to 1.5% being Australian can be considered "negligible". Karoly says it can't. The host says otherwise, but offers no scientific refutation. It's just incredulity of a layman. Second topic: All satellite data shows it's around 3.1 - 3.3 mm annually but Mörner argues it's just 1 mm. Here's a rebuttal to that. sciencedirect.com/sdfe/pdf/download/eid/1-s2.0-S0921818106002049/first-page-pdf Mörner loved the actual field work, and assumedly was very good at it (but it's only a very limited dataset), clearly something as modern as satellite data was not his thing. And he's definitely not an authority on CO2. Third: why ask a geofysicist about solar cycles? Oh that's right, because he tells you what you want to hear! There's plenty of data online, showing we're right in between two 115-year solar cycles. And we only just entered the "modern maximum" of a yet bigger cycle that appears to last over a millennium, so no cooling there. And that was my original point. Even if you pretend humans don't contribute at all (without offering any valid alternative of course) there's still the fact that the Sun will hit a new activity peak in about 55 years.
My understanding of the Younger-Drayus is that it defines a sudden period of increased cooling that occurred as the last ice age was ending. The effect was to reverse the meltdown that had already begun, and extend the ice age 1to 2,000 years longer. Some speculate that it was the result of a cosmic impact event that plunged the Earth into a global winter, but that's just theoretical. But no other theory of it's cause seems to be better. Some think this was the actual cause of most of North America"s mega mammals at the end of the last ice age, as the return to bitter cold collapsed the ecology. But again, this is only a proposed theory and isn't accepted. And of course, I could be wrong about all of this!! ☺️😉😁
@@mobiusII As I understand it, a proposed theory is a hypo - thesis. Consider the Greek root of theory, hypo thesis, and hypo thetical. A Younger-Drayus impact is a theory as it has been presented with supporting evidences. That this caused the extinction of the N. American mega mammals is a hypothesis, as it is speculative and lacks supporting evidences. But one again
And, once again, I could be wrong about all of this. Also, it's been stated that the southern extension of the Hudson Bay is a n impact crater. But I have no idea how old it is. Does anyone have a reference on that? I have also heard that there's supposed to be an impact crater under the ice sheet on Greenland. But I have no reference's, or idea on what this claim is based. Anyone??
B B64 It started out very interesting, then got SOO BORING! I dont know what his point was! Was he trying to say that human's .0000000045 addition of CO2 into the atmosphere is actually stopping an ice age? Or we are not due for one? Jupiter+Saturn? I didnt learn anything.
If we're naturally steadily cooling and heading toward another icing in ~11k years, then isn't global warming just extending this Goldie locks time period we're living in? Don't get me wrong...we NEED to clean up the pollution we've created and get the earth pristine again, but the alarmist articles about climate change coupled with industry's lagging efforts is making me think that we only have to worry about pollution. The extreme weather is being enhanced by geo-engineering, but they need to stop that, too.
The mountains aren't getting smaller, and the plates move slow, it takes some time for a water planet change temps, solar intensity has a larger than apparent effect within evaporation zones, so it will start to show localization then spread, the ice age will return, but we might be able to slow it even more. The planet gets cold now, you can see it in Asia's topography.
You should have given credits to Dr. Valentina Zharkova for her excellent work She has been explaining this with increasingly accurate data for over a decade
Cycles in climate change that last thousands to hundreds of thousands of years.Yet only in the last 30 years have we collected truly accurate satellite information measuring temp and gases on a global scale.Pretty much nothing for the previous hundred years before that,except from a few scattered weather stations.Before that a few ice and seabed samples that take data from only a couple of specific points on the globe.How can you possibly say man is destroying the climate with such massive margins of error due to timescales involved astronomically, and the way we collect data.
are you suggesting that satellite's didn't exist prior to 1990? or that the data collected was flawed in some way? i agree that human activity can't possibly prevent the next ice age. i'm sceptical if we are even able to slow it down..
@@sixmax11 I think that it is very likely that the next age could be delayed, but given that the narrator states that it may be a 10,000 years at least for two of the three M Cycles to align it may be a moot point. With CO2 rapidly approaching 450ppm and even the possibiility of methane taking off from a massive release from the methane hydrates it would be hundreds of years before a peak level was reached then hundreds if not thousands more years before it cools down. That could still be before those two M Cycles align. Personally I can't wait to see how it plays out!
Dude sounds like you want a frozen world where everything dies instead of a greenhouse world where you could grow plenty of food world wide.. People build small greenhouses in frigid enviorments imagine if they didnt have too. There was tropical forests full of life world wide way back in the day.. But i get it global warming fanatics want the world to freeze and die like their hearts and souls...
Bill Bryson spoke about this in his famous book: "A Short History of Nearly Everything". His book is over 20 years old and nothing has changed except he is more right now than he was back then.
Space time for an update I reckon. This time do some comparisons about how fast the co2 rise is now compared to the Mesozoic and how hot the Mesozoic got. It would also be good to get some facts about the time it takes for evolution to adapt to the changing climate and rhe extinction events associated with the inability to adapt fast enough.
Are we coming into a period of a Grand Solar Minimum plus the effects of Milankovitch Cycle? 2024 Milankovitch center point and then the GSM MIGHT start around 2030? The combined effects leading, not necessarily to ice age glaciation, but to REALLY cold Winters in the Northern Hemisphere. As well as more storms because of the temperature differential between Northern and Southern Hemispheres.
Here are the main influencer in climate: (you got it right focusing on Solar!) #1 Sunlight and that light actually reaching the ground also(not reflected by clouds or dust like from volcanoes or worse) #2 Water Vapor - Primary greenhouse gas forcing warming of tens of degrees next warming #3 Thickness of atmosphere making the surface temperature livable due to pressure and dry adiabatic lapse rate being just right.
Let's just ignore those who do climate shit for a living and put our trust towards the Holy fossil fuel empires and their Madison Avenue spinsters. Hey, have a smoke! For your health! :p
@@b1aflatoxin yes believe everything your science gods tell you and you will be just fine because they are never wrong or and they don't get paid to tell you that.
@@jakedavid557 Wow ok, so you're talking "conspiracy" now? A grand conspiracy where scientist lash their whips at the largest cash rich industries on Earth, ...for research grant money. Because people only get into science because of cushy grants, and not for the "data" or the advancement of human knowledge. Because those corporations WOULD NEVER bend data, or put Dark Money into politics for the sake of their corporate or national enrichment. DERRP! :p
Venus also has high amounts of Sulfur Dioxide, which we know from numerous volcanic eruptions on earth causes temperatures to drop. That's the ENTIRE premise of a Volcanic Winter. SO2 acts like tiny mirrors, reflecting solar radiation(light and heat). Given that sulfur dioxide has been proven to cause a reduction in global temperatures, there must be other processes at work causing the greenhouse like conditions on Venus.
Nordic NIGHTMARE. Very funny but you will probably be able to buy a diary in time for the start of another Mini Ice Age, a VERY few years hence, if the current Sunspot Minimum of Cycle 24 which we entered somewhere between 2017 and 2018 , turns out to be a Grand Minimum ie. the complete failure of Cycle 25 to start up. If it doesn't emerge, temps. won't drop like a stone there and then but severe winters will be approaching for a long while and to an alarming degree. Look up Mini Ice age and The Maunder Minimum Real Science and SOUND Global historical evidence is a better bet than half baked, self-appointed, IPCC bribed dabblers with their the programmes and projections. The computer formula for performance is GARBAGE IN = GARBAGE OUT. Asshole Gore predicted the elimination of al polar ice and massive rises in sea level within 7 years..................16years ago. I'm still waiting. He's quite happy to build one of his energy guzzling mansions on the edge of the ocean at sea-level. He knows it's a bloody hoax! He's one nasty piece of work.
MauriatOttolink Hey to you and go check out a channel in here called "Adapt2020"...they are saying essentially what you just said abput the new/modern Maunder Minimum... Also check out the main thread comment I just made right above the comment you replied to in here about the present orbits of all the other planets in the solar system now (I think ALL of the planets have been in the same quadrant for about the last 2 months and it's supposed to continue for the next 2 months or so)...and...hmmm...with all of this gravity coming from just the one quadrant in the sky now...AND how it's been setting this alignment up for however long before about 2 months ago...we've been hearing about a LOT of volcanic activity in the last year or so too hmmm...? Oh and...p.s.: the way you ragged on the "pop star idol" of tree huggers everywhere (Al Gore...ugh)...let me guess...you also agree with how I sometimes like to end my comments and replies with "MAGA 2020"...?
archive.org/details/changeinclimatei00marrrich The change in the climate and its cause, giving the date of the last ice age based on a recent astronomical discovery and geological research : Marriott, R. A. (Reginald Adams), 1857. | we will get warmer winters from now (1857) from 2295 we go to over minimum to next ice age, depending on axis tilt. And they (green maffia) wants us to forget all science & research before they declared CO2 the culprit.
It's happened many, many times that CO2 has rapidly risen. He just conveniently ignores all of those times and hopes we don't know about it. The peak reached 7,000 ppm during the Cambrian, but hey let's pretend that didn't happen.
@@joevenuti1201 that was half a billion years ago and you cant really compare it to todays co2 levels easily because the sun was also a lot less intense back then. Co2 concentration didnt even get close to that in the last 500million years.
The most recent climate pattern is evidenced in the Vostok Ice Core data covering the last 420k years. If we take this pattern and extend it (a reasonable assumption), the current warm period is due to end, and we'll be thrust into another 90k-year-long ice age. Land suitable for agriculture will be limited to areas nearer the equator, and control of those areas and whatever produces energy could mean wars and would most certainly mean the death of millions or even billions of persons. Recognition of this might soften the misery in the coming centuries, but I rather doubt that will occur. Power will be the dominate goal of those who lack compassion, humility, and vision for our future.
Thank you excellent video I'll have to watch a few more times to try to understand all the different Cycles and shifts that our planet goes through best video thank you so much have a nice day.
deathpony698 Yep, in this case the issue seems to be 'climate change' which is a contentious issue. TH-cam's filtering is a bit rough, some people will miss out on things they might like, but the idea is that the average' viewer will see things they like most. In this case it seems youtube figured most people wouldn't want to see this. (Certainly it's had far more negative comments than recent PBS videos, so they're probably at least a little right.)
I regularly burn piles of old tires, this thick black smoke has helped make it cooler here. If everyone were to do this we could drastically cool the planet.
There is much incertainity, that period is between 25750 years and 25920 years. Astrologically it is 12 x 2150 years, as calculated several millenia ago.
Remarkable how the same people have no problem with this guy informing us about black holes and event horizons, but the moment he points out AGW is real that consider him wrong and foolish.... A very inconvenient truth....
@G N Natural caused CO2 accounts for 97% of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere. 3% is due to human activity. So if 8% is due to USA human activity, then less than one-third of one percent of all CO2 going into the atmosphere is caused by human activity in the USA. These are facts. Look it up.
The discovery channel style shows of my youth have found new life on TH-cam and I'm so into it.
Iuui8i8uui7i7ii8888878887887878888uj8
yet this is better than any show discovery channel did with their over reliance on using Neil De Grasse Tysona nd Michio Kakus trite simplification that disseminate incorrect information about how physics work.
I miss “beyond 2000”
PBS.....always has quality accurate science shows. Not everything on the Discovery Channel was the quality of p b s
I'm glad PBS adapted where other networks refuse to
Spoiler: When winter coming, it will only last 3 episodes.
A bunch of children reading pre written garbage science off of a teleprompter is only impressive to children who have been taught to listen , repeat, and that have not been taught any form of critical thinking whatsoever. Thanks for nothing Propaganda Broadcasting System.
3 episodes is 66,000 years
@@AboveandBeyond44 well shiiit nigga
@@AboveandBeyond44 yes, he sucks big time, doesn't understand what he's saying, speaks much too fast with big words and tries to fool us by accenting speech with hand gestures..
Meh. Most world Cities would be buried under 800 meters of solid Ice, so it's not like anyone will be around there to worry about it.
I've never had Ice Ages and Milankovitch cycles described so interestingly before. Space Time is amazing.
Yes! I love this channel so much.
Like Wise. Climate science meets Astro physics. Very cool.
*+Skinnymarks* It really is one of the best, if not _the_ best among the science channels. Superb production quality, no ADHD jump-cuts and truly challenging content for the scientifically literate layman. I hope the host gets lots of praise aside from the TH-cam votes.
Adrian well, he is a PhD physicist. As for the content it's hard to say how many people's hands are in the production.
But I'm loving PBS youtube programming.
+Skinnymarks
Theoretical physicist! A mathemagician!
Classical physics has nothing to do with computers being used to explain shit. Theoretical physics can prove that an elephant can hang from a cliff, with his tail tied to a daisy.
Do you believe an elephant can do that just because math says so?
Like black holes. Pure math. Explain how a theoretical object with an asymptotical curve, can interact with anything on the other side of the rubber spacetime sheet?...you know, the one that Michu uses gravity to explain gravity?
If you want to embarrass a theoretical physicist, ask how a magnet works or how Einstein could remove the aether from Maxwell's equation without explaining? Have them explain what a point is.
Fact is, kissing your professors ass while bowing to textbooks, doesn't make you smarter. It locks you into certainty and that is not science!
It's culture. No wonder we've had only technological advances for the last 100 years.
He always has the look of “I’m allergic to cats, I Can’t stop rubbing cats in my face”
Between cuts, he’s feverishly popping Claritin and sneezing. Poor man! Addiction is difficult, especially the “rubbing cats in my face, while having an allergy to cats” or “Meow” addiction.
Just horrible.
Milankovitch spent THOUSANDS OF HOURS doing his calculations by hand. I could duplicate his calculations in a few minutes on my computer. Amazing!
@Chris Manzi When he did his calculations, there was NOT ONE SINGLE COMPUTER ANYWHERE on Planet Earth. His achievement was truly remarkable.
So happy for you
@@mdbritton9424 The computer is doing all the work. Without the computer, this man will take probably another 2000 million years to come up with the same calculation Milankovitch did. Milankovitch discovered it, This guy simply copies it onto the computer.
Try to explain this to someone who has never spent any time in academic pursuit, or tell your cat.
Milankovic cycles mean the Southern Hemisphere is in it's Ice Age presently.
Oops!
wouldn't it be funny if in the future we promote global warming to fight off an ice age
We do. It’s called stratospheric arisol injections it’s just said sparsely and half assed. So no one noticed the Un-natural clouds above their heads.
"aerosol"
Altair thank you! Feel like a dip stick. I tried to spell it 4 different ways and it didn’t look ok.
i guess, but wouldn't it be funny if the term 'global warming' created a binary that never existed. Global.. it's implied that the globe is even the real plane we live upon. They've already got your mind at that point. I'm no flat earther, but the globe model is bs
now I'm imagining people in the future protesting in support of snowball earth because "It's natural"
And this gets recommended now. What a great timing.
You should look up John Casey
It happens coz a lot of people in your state must be searching for it. Are you in Texas?
@Aura Daraba Oh dear, they know! They just want to slowly prepare us for the hard times that are upon us. And ofc, they want to stay in power.
@@mowgli5837 Im from Europe :D
Mankind has broken the earth. The natural cycles of ice is gone, probably forever and we are now heading in way of Venus. To paraphrase one of Mankind's famous saying... You break it. You buy it
11:41: "Our influence is certainly enormous"
Note that in the age when Dinosaurs roamed the Earth, there were no ice ages, and it lasted a LONG time. The current cycles of ice ages started when continental drift moved Antarctica to the south pole and isolated the North Pole from the oceans, allowing permanent ice to accumulate there and blocking ocean currents from moving warm water across the poles.
There's been lots of "ice ages" long ones and short ones , check your geology history !! They usually run after periods of high sun activity !!
Most of your statement is correct a repeat of what he said until you get to the point of stating that the Continental drift allowed ice to form at the poles. The breaking up of Pangea did affect global temperatures but maybe you missed the part where Antarctica was a lush rainforest during the dinosaur era. The polar ice caps came later
@@nickisnyder3450 I didn't miss it. Antarctica was NOT at the South pole when it was a rainforest. Ever. It became an icecap when continental drift moved it from an equatorial latitude down to the south pole. Did I not make that part clear?
@@lildeli3rddimention Maybe half a dozen at most. The last one was 300 000 000 years ago.
@Oh My Oh my Care to document that? I'm pretty sure Amerigo Vespucci (After whom North America was named) Wasn't born yet.
Did not appear in my subscription box. Thanks youtube. Thankfully it appeared in my recommended videos!
same here. YT is crap. most recommended videos are ones I've already watched. o0
Use Feedly instead. RSS is the proper standard way to keep up-to-date on the internet, and Feedly lets you get youtube channel updates as it still supports RSS indirectly.
Yup same, happening to loads of my vids
yeap, confirm. YT does not really do its best to refresh the recommendation list.
+biohazara thanks for the advice. I'll give it a try
During the dinosaur Jurassic period (200 million to 145 million years ago) the CO2 level was 5 times higher than it is now.
Toasty ! and very very green
@@SeaJay_Oceans and big ass insects..
Yeah exactly! I think that would be preferable to 2 miles of ice on Manhattan.
@@Rams495 I've been to Manhattan a few times and I'm not so sure I agree.
@@Rams495 fuck that. In winter you can just wear warmer clothes, what are you going to do in such warm Summers? When being nude doesn't help anymore?
I prefer winter any time over summer
Good coverage of orbital cycles but not enough time spent on the key role of CO2 feedback. Yes, for over 800,000 years, the glacial interglacial cycles were triggered by orbital cycles. However, the forcing was due to the feedback of CO2 as it oscillated between 170 and 300 ppm. CO2 absorbs infrared radiation and therefore slows down the Sun's energy from leaving the atmosphere. As the video states the orbital cycles alone aren't enough to drive the glacial interglacial cycles. As the video states we should be in very slow and steady cooling phase for another 25,000 years. However, changes in land use and burning hydrocarbons has increased atmospheric CO2 to over 420 ppm and it's still rising. As a result there has been a rapid rise in surface temperatures, an increase in ocean heat content, a reduction in ocean pH, widespread glacial retreat, permafrost thaw, reduction in atmospheric oxygen, and changes in animal and plant distributions and phenology. Look up the National Academy of Sciences lecture by Professor Richard Alley and actual science publications by scientists such as Christopher Scotese, Benjamin Mills, Andrew Lacis, Benjamin Santer, and Jeremy Shakun.
Richard Alley is a legend.
Fry: What happened to global warming?
Leela: Nuclear winter canceled it out.
Hey, that's a smart human.
They just took out the "M" it's now global warning.
Keep arguing about global warming...it's the "Food Supply" I'm concerned about...I just went for a walk w/ my dog by the Mystic River Medford, MA ...There are three--200 hundred year old Sycamore trees that don't seem to be coming back this year--it's May 20th...disturbing...
@@van1976 Start storing food, the winter of 2019 is going to be twice as bad as 2018, crop losses will be off the charts. Food inflation will be nothing like you've ever seen. It's the Grand Solar Minimum, solar cycle 25 a cooling cycle. We're going into a mini ice age.
They dont want the mass to know iv heard were in the 400 yr. Cycle, by 2030 full boom but each yr. Will get worse i think. Some1 predicted. Well get alot snow this winter n in spring much floods will happen.
Four years later and I'm now seeing videos predicting blue ocean events in the Artic region and Russian strengthening it's military in the Arctic for new trade routes.
Imagine all the natural resources the elite are eyeing 🧐
Yep, unfortunately that’s what an sea ice free Arctic would do
probably just a coincidence, remember that these events occur on a dozen thousand year cadence, so there's no way you would notice any significant change in just 4 years.
@@BattousaiHBr You are skipping over the affect of CO2 on the entire cycle.
@@Tom-oz7iy ...which still happens over decades, so doubtful you'd be able to personally notice any difference directly attributed to this effect in just 4 years.
I don't understand majority of the videos from PBS in depth, don't know much about science, i love the videos and enjoy listening them.
...like leaving the radio on for a dog.
Arf!
Wow! This means things are always different. It also makes the whole “how will I end up in the right place while time traveling if the earths position in space is always changing” thing waaaay more complicated
space and time are inseparable, no worries
@@ejpmooB how does that fix the problem? Unless you're saying time travel is impossible?
@@jimmyshrimbe9361 if you could turn back time, you would "turn back" space too ... so you would end up in the same spot you started your time travel from
United Nations
Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns, mainly caused by human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels. Which is why we must let those Marxist take over the world , we in the USA need to though them out and cut their funding!!!!
In other words, fossil fuels are postponing and reducing the inevitable destruction of the next ice age!
Burn baby, burn!
Very informative video! I had no idea there were so many complex cycles affecting the climate. Thank you for explaining it so well.
Strange we never hear of this on regular T.V. Then again there is very little actual science on T.V. as its purpose is entertainment. Yet people base life decisions based on what they hear on T.V.
@@scottferguson866 What the hell is TV? Is that something like my streaming service?
@@Jonbug1 TV is that mind numbing crap, to numb crappy minds;)
United Nations
Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns, mainly caused by human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels. Which is why we must let those Marxist take over the world , we in the USA need to though them out and cut their funding!!!!
@@scottferguson866 Yep. Everybody thinks CO2 is the only determining factor for climate because they would rather vote for somebody else to “solve” a “problem” they have no understanding of.
...in Saskatchewan Canada, it feels like the ice age 7 months of the year.
Not much time to play Golf there then
Same in new Zealand
@@DALKINION ha ha ha
@@johnbroomhead1039 new Zealand is warm lol.
@@johonanandrewgomes7593 well one month of the year it is
Whew! I was worried until I found out I had 10-12 thousand years before I need to keep my winter clothes out all year.
Congrats on a well produced video. It's worth noting that the Holocene climate has had ~9 warm / cool periods within the Holocene Maximum occurring during the stone age. The last major cooling (mini Ice Age) lasted for 500 years with the climate starting to warm early in the nineteenth century. Volcanic activity is believed to be a major contributor to these temperature variations.
How does this help ? Can it stop the criminal activities of Big Pharma?
It started in Europe around 1345-50.
WINTER IS COMING!!
You know nothing Jon Snow.
you beat me to it
This explains everything, how the seasons work in ASOIAF OH MY GOD
Hold the door!
Hold the door!
Of course its coming! Its coming this year!
I can't wait to watch Ice Age 5: Collision Course!!!
Are you excited as well?
😂😂👏👏
😂😂😂
ahahahahahahhaha!!! CRAZY PERSON!!!!
Brookie idiot
lol hilarious. That said, there ARE folks who actually believe this... sigh. Truth is, there are VERY clear geological footprints (ie, solid evidence) of several recent ice ages - and ZERO evidence of a "biblical scale" flood. Myths of giant floods most probably stem from the huge local floods which occured while the most recent ice sheet was melting.. for example, one of these local floods may have refilled the Mediterranean Sea... VERY major flood, but very far from being worldwide.
They left out the effects of sun activity.
That would upset their carefully planned running of our lives.
EXACTLY
And....not only that.. but allso...vulcans activitie.....and so much more....
We know something...but...it is so far for enough ore much..
So..all together, reminde me on tribes holy man....and shamans ...which know something....and far for all
In short...we do not know enough...
@Nug U There are many cycles from short to long on the sun, we know of the 11 year minima and maxima, then there is the maunder minimums which happen about every 400 years, these bring substantial and dangerous cold, sunspots basically cease for about 30 years. Then there are large timescale cycles which are just discovering some solid evidence for, such as 12-14k years and even longer cycles of 27k or so where many things line up, such as earth pole reversals, possible large sun flaring which might be linked to earthquake activity and volcano eruption and many weather effects which are less understood but cause large scare cooling from cloud formation via increased cosmic ray nucleation in the atmosphere and other things. The science on this stuff is in it's very early stages but evidence is starting to stack up that the sun is one of the core drivers of weather and major natural disaster through history.
95TurboSol we and science like some degree of uniformity.if the meteorologists cant predict next weeks or even tomorows weather then surely they cant predict climate change.solar,vulcan,meteor impacts,earthquakes and effects on the ocean currents as well as chemicals that we inject into the air,all have an effect.so many different,well explained ideas on climate change.Randall Carlson seems quite sane and coherent and he believes that impact events throw things off so much and often that the other more constant and perhaps measureable factors influencing climate,just cant be depended upon to predict climate
Either I missed it or you did not mention another very important affecting climate. That being the Sun. Variations in solar output have significant impact on Earth's climate. And, then, there's the gaseous emissions of volcanoes, Yellow Stone super volcano...
Ok, not to be harsh, but the suns total energy output is very stable over any human conception of time. While it is a fact that its output has increased steadily from first fusion ignition, the change is imperceptible even one millennia to the next. The way earth absorbs the Sun's UV to radio frequencies (gamma and X-ray don't penetrate to the ground in any significant amount) and then re-emits it as infrared is the primary mechanism determining the energy input output balance on our planet. Reducing earth's albedo (reflective index) by melting ice, clearing forest, reducing cloud cover increases the energy not released back into space. How that energy then effects our atmosphere, oceans, and lands is very straightforward to understand: if more enters than leaves there is more energy in the system as time increases. The opposite is true too. The "volatility" of the sun is its ejecta of highly charged particles and plasmas when it's magnetic field becomes looped and twisted. This can have profound but very different consequences too.
@Fred brandon hehehe, probably not the best look to misspell "morons"! I'm not certain what you're objecting to, are you claiming the Sun has a variable energy output and that you can observations/measurements that demonstrate said b behavior? I see references to the Sun "getting brighter"/"It's energy is increasing"/"It can change over days/weeks/months" yet a mechanism or process and how much, how quickly, and who made these findings are NEVER offered in support. In order for such a thing to occur, the Sun would have to increase and decrease the rate at which hydrogen is fused into helium in its core. However, to be stable, a star must possess a balance, the explosive process of fusion is moderated by the immense gravity holding it together. We would, and have in other nearby stars (4-400 light years away) observed this, but in stars much more massive that are also bearing the end of their lives. I suggest the works of Carl Sagan (books not shows) on this and other topics, he is clear, concise and provides excellent visual aids as well as citations of the data used in analysis.
@Fred brandon Let me help you out: www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/sunearth/solar-events-news/Does-the-Solar-Cycle-Affect-Earths-Climate.html
Between the marvel movie reference and "stable doesn't mean no change or variation" which I never wrote, you don't provide any basis for claiming that solar activity, or it's cycles are a contributor to any changes in climate. Your body has a "stable" temperature, as an example. The process of homeostasis allows target values to oscillate around a mean and keep the body in a "stable" range. There's an analogous process in many natural systems including the Sun. If you want to argue against NASA's conclusions it's on your head. I'm also willing to be made aware of ALL new discoveries, but claims don't do it alone, if you can show me solid evidence to support the Sun increasing in output and in turn effecting our climate I will give it a fair read.
I read recently that illumination of our sun is increasing. In the article it was predicted that at the current rate of increase the earth will become uninhabitable by humans in 1.1billion years. I was surprised that the article did not attribute climate change to the sun. I thought maybe the flares brought heat closer to earth, increasing temperatures. That idea was dismissed.
@@skipperx5116 Main sequence stars, or at least those in the Sun's mass range do appear to get hotter and brighter as they age. I remember Carl Sagan had a chapter in the book version of Cosmos titled something like "The last perfect day on Earth" and discussed how it could proceed. I've heard a range from 250 million to 3 billion, but it seems like the projections are tightening around the 1 to 2 billion range as we learn more. I'm excited to see what Webb's observations reveal about this@
A clear and detailed account of a very complex topic in geology. Hats off to you.
Lol, this hasn't appeared in my subscription list but I accidentally clicked on it in the recommended list
same here, quite strange.
ditto
same here aswell..idk why it hasn't shown yrtt
TH-cam filters videos based on what it believes its viewers will like.
Videos on unpopular or controversial topics (Such as climate change)
will be automatically filtered out to avoid negative responses unless a
viewer has shown a positive interest in that topic in the past. As such
this video will not appear to in subscription boxes generally and will
have to be sought out deliberately.
They might have accidently unchecked the norify subscribers box. it happened to me too.
I don't know how I missed this episode of PBS Space Time until now; but, it might be my favourite of them all. I guess good things really are worth waiting for.
@Mark P. You don't know what you are talking about. There is nothing he said at the 11 minute mark (or near it) that could be considered leftist tripe. If he were into that nonsense he would not have even mentioned the Melankovich Cycles let alone handle them in depth and show how global temperatures have gone up and down like a sine curve for several hundred thousand years. The left on the other hand have been trying to hide that stuff for years trying to remove the Medieval Warm Period and the Roman Warm Period from the historical record. For quite some time, Tony Heller has been documenting attempts by NOAA and NASA to rewrite the data to 'cool' the Earth in these periods so that their fudged data for the 20th century shows a demonstrable upward trend.in temperatures. Matt O'Dowd is an astrophysicist and is at the top of his game in that field. That is why he has been brought to America to teach Astrophysics as an associate professor at City University of New York.
Also, if he were a far left lunatic as you ridiculously claim; he would have told the viewer to trust the output of the climate models. He did not do that. In fact, he made it clear at time mark 11:30 ff that "there is no precedent in the climate record [of Anthropogenic Global Warming]. This makes modelling our influence a huge challenge." Essentially, he said we don't have the required data to construct a totally reliable climate model. This is NOT something someone who intends presenting the leftist argument would say.
He has approached the issue as an Astrophysicist not as a 'climatologist'. That is exactly what he should have done. Pretty much he has followed in the footsteps of Milutin Milanković who among other endeavours was an astronomer.
Can the current time and earth itself get anymore perfect for us? The planet is in the habitable zone of a medium sized star on the outskirts of a galaxy safely away from black holes or stars going supernova. And it also happens that we r lucky to have the current warmer climates. Really fascinating.
Almost, but not quite :) seems to make more sense that in all that space chances are that this would happen somehow, somewhere. I'm certain is has happened again elsewhere, and will happen again somewhere else.
@@das_schnitzel great rational answer
@@humbledb4jesus more like we became because of it
@@humbledb4jesus No, not really. The only reason we're actually even here is because of those conditions. There is no luck or mythological deity involved - these are only the conditions in which life and intelligent life could have started from without interruption or catastrophe and with stability. Like saying a popcorn kernel popped in a microwave because the heat was part of its destiny.
Given we evolved in this temperature range, it is probably about as good for us as it can be. Of course, if you are a Swedish farmer, you might want more heat, and Africa might like the Mediterranean rain belt moved South over the Sahara again, just like during 20,000 BC, which requires less heat, so it might need work but it can probably be improved on the average.
‘’How dare you! I should be across the ocean, in school!!!”
Yes curtisgreta, you should. You're better than this D- You really are.
Are you paid to spread this kind of stuff, or did you miss the part where he says human influence on the climate is enormous?
Well hop in a canoe and paddle back across the pond. BTW, watch out for icebergs, you would not want a titanic disaster. Lol.☺
The environmental religion does not allow humor.
You were on the right track talking malankovich cycles, but it has way more to do with the sun & what it's doing. We're along for the ride, plain & simple
Well, technically, we're actually in an Ice Age but in an interglacial period called an Interstadial.
I think they mean a glacial period. And the answer is not anytime soon. And that’s without humans.
Correct
@Ke Ge thank you lol
Too bad Alex Trebek is dead, you could become a champion and claim to know something relevant!
As he said in the beginning we're always in an ice age. Exactly which one changes. And it's interglacial
your theory/summary does justice when you include the Milanovich cycle; thank you for not putting drama or emotion in this!
Only politicians put fear, drama and emotion into science… it’s a sales tactic. Don’t buy it! My dad was a scientist, and he never had any fear over human cause climate change, because there’s nothing to fear about it. Warm is overall good for us!
how dare you, you stole my childhood
WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!
Just give me one of those mall style maps that says "you are here".
😂
How did I miss this one?! As a geologist, I would like to complement you on the geologic history.
Although you could have done a better job explaining the glacial cycles only apply to the Quaternary ice ages. Normally Earth is a warm planet and doesn't even have ice caps, let alone ice ages.
Also, something had to trigger the Quaternary ice ages to begin with that had nothing to do with astronomical cycles. If you back 25 million years, we didn't even have ice caps.
Geological reasons likely set the stage like the joining of North and South America.
With each Quaternary glacial cycle, it has been getting colder but the glaciers aren't making it as far as they did 200,000 years ago.
I've heard that the Himalayas have contributed to an extent by helping to change wind patterns. We have had mountain ranges that high in the past with similar rock types that haven't caused cooling.
Bertie Blue the connecting of north and South America, retreat of inland seas, and change in other factors all contribute.
The general North-South alignment of the continents, the isolation of Antarctica, and the enclosure of the northern polar sea must have had something to do with it?
TheOneWhoMightBe we tend to get ice caps and ice ages when the continents are clustered in either the northern or Southern Hemispheres. The amount and position of mountains may play an important part. We didn’t get quaternary ice ages until the land bridge between north and South America formed.
well a scientist from northumbria univ & nasa scientist were saying about the next upcoming mini ice age
Yes a mini ice age is inevitable.
not for a long while though
..and people translate this to "there is no global warming, there is global cooling". So bad.
Really interesting and very well explained for the ordinary person like me, who finds this really interesting but requires good explanation.... You tick the box... Thanks
A meteor strike can ruin everything.
Or fix everything, depending on one's viewpoint.
SafeSpace2018 edgy
Meteor? Nah... do you like a bat soup?
Can ruin everything? It has... many times.
Zardoz4441 Not at least the Soufflee
You really held the door for GoT references here
Hodor
ayyyyy
i think could have used a hand there.
A Cold hand?
Facepalm
Can we pause to appreciate that many supposedly “primitive” ancient cultures around the world had calendars depicting “the great year” which just so happen to coincide with the complexities of space time and ice age intervals? Many of which built giant megalithic structures that functioned as astronomy precision instruments to keep track of the sun and moon’s position. How did they figure this out? It’s as if they knew humanity’s long term survival depended on cosmic and planetary awareness.
The main reason these cultures tracked the sun, especially outside of the tropics, is they would have no idea if it would start to travel back up in to spring and summer and just continue downwards in to a perpetual winter perhaps still in folk lore from the ice ages. One of the most famous ones Stonehenge was a mixture of superstition and observation to ensure they had been good enough people to merit another year of survival and to rejoice when the sun did bounce back to renew life again. In those days the Sun was a reward giving life which had to be earned and was not guaranteed. I suppose in many ways Stonehenge was a Neolithic early warning system giving them time to expiate their sins before the big freeze came again.
God told them.
what about the primitave culture we live in right now?
We can fix all this by banning plastic straws right?
I hate those paper straws. They always end up soggy and slimy. Yuk.
no, its the whales we must ban...esp if they wont pay for 2 seats at the theater or on an airline
@Mark P. So if someone lives "off the grid", they have less rights and freedom than you?? Now your thinkin.. lol
Na use plastic straws to test drinks for roofies
@@leweezo33 - Your comment makes no sense, and is totally irrelevant to the comment you replied to.
Can you say micro nova? Sun cycles? Magnetic fields? Polar shift? Cyclical cataclysm?
Dumpster Dan - Those words are not a part of his vocabulary.
Elliptical orbit
Congratulations to PBS on this excellent web program.
And allowing comments unlike most PBS videos.
The sound effects you use sure says a lot about one of your interest!
That Bright thing in the sky is in control of our weather... GSM coming soon!
Still won't cool the earth
@@Jc-ms5vv clearly you don't know about the cycles. Look up maunder minimum. Also a good book to read NOT on climate cycles but it opened my eyes is "collapse" you'd be surprised howamy civilizations through history collapsed due to climate change
@@UsernamerAlreadyTakn you clearly don't understand what a greenhouse gas is. Do some research on previous mass extinctions and compare them to this one
@@Jc-ms5vv also look up the ISO's in the ice of Greenland. They have drilled down 20+ miles showing that earth isn't even warm as it's ever been nor cold. How are ppl like you so stupid ??
I'd like to see this video redone and including the sun's cycles (Sun spots and activity), and the other green house gasses (water vapor, Methane, Nitrous Oxide, Ozone) included.
a more in depth video. one that has some fun math equations.
This is a decent explanation of Millanchovich cycles, as do some of the IPCC models, but I didn't find any consideration of sunspot cycles and their inclusion into the models.John L. Casey's book"Dark Winter" does present a good argument for this data to be included in all future models. It bases its conclusions on sunspot numbers for the past 400 years and their correlation with climate changes. It's real data is available and I checked a single data point that I experienced in the 1986-89 time frame. Florida had a several freezes then and when I looked up the sunspot data, they were at a minimum. Being a long term systems engineering data analyst , my conclusion was the same as Casey's. Checking additional data samples provided more confirming data points. Higher sunspot counts gave higher temperatures. lower sunspot activity gave cooler/lower temperatures. If the IPCC uses this data/ methodology in their models, maybe we'll see different conclusions. So far, if you want grant money you must support the political payroll's position. Just wait a couple of years and see if we need to buy insulation stocks instead of carbon credits. Even Al Gore has changed his song. I don't know what his new title might be, but "baby it's cold outside" might be accurately appropriate.
Follow the money, and what answer do you want are not good engineering procedures, although I have seen it done before. No examples due to legal vulnerability.
Anyone who thinks this is valid or not, let me know in the comments. I am also posting this to my Facebook page
I would like to add polarity flipping and the weakening of the magnetosphere
What they always fail to mention is how insanely powerful albedo feedback is. The total variation of CO2 (assuming we actually have the real variation in the ice cores) would lead to maybe 2 watts per square meter. Albedo feedback is about 20X stronger. Vast ice sheets extend all the way into what are now temperate zones while simultaneously more land is exposed for ice to form on because sea levels drop a hundred meters. Greens today whine about the loss of the trivial amounts of sea ice. But today's sea ice reflects less light than you think in summer (meltwater ponds) and it reflects NO light for about half the year. By comparison, the sea ice during the glacial period extends to within 50 degrees of the equator...which means it provided far more albedo feedback even in the depths of winter than the sea ice we have now does in the summer.
And of course the problem with CO2 forcing is that you can't really prove that it does anything. As he described it you'll notice that, human interference or massive eruptions aside, CO2 is in fact a proxy of ocean temperature. Whenever someone says "see, CO2 and temperature match" that's because it's temperature DRIVEN. And the messed up thing is, it doesn't matter if CO2 is contributing or if it did the opposite and magically dampened the changes somehow...since it is temperature driven, so long as the temperature changed in the same way, the CO2 levels would look the same.
And...side note...the event that appears to have triggered the unstable climate is the formation of the isthmus of panama, which racially changed ocean circulation.
@@poitsplace What does race have to do with the isthmus of Panama?
OMG! Only 10,000 years until the next ice age? I need to start stocking up on water, food, camping gas and medical supplies.
Don't forget socks
Concise scientific explanation that will go right over the heads or be ignored by the people who need to hear it most.
@@Gobrech People who developed views based on what they want to think or what they think is appropriate to their political opinions, rather than ones who base their views on the best info available.
I'm starting to notice a rather Pavlovian response in my body to the mere introduction of these vids!😁 I hear the intro...my brain starts to water in anticipation of the intelligent nourishment abt 2b tossed my way. Thanks!😄
Are you a member of Suspicious 0bservers?
I took a lot of geology and meteorology classes and we were told we were heading right into an ice age. And that was 20 years ago!
That may as well have been 1 second ago on the time scales we're seeing in this video.
I took some historical geology classes back around 1992 and was told the opposite...we had come out of a mini ice age by 1980 and temps were spiking higher per year than at any time in "meteorological" history.
@@vchism712 Personally, I think everyone who thinks they know is full of sh*t. It's all so politically driven with so many variables, some of which don't even exist yet, that climate science is still more religion than data-driven. For example, climate is very much affected by life on Earth besides our own, and how species will evolve is one such factor. What people will invent. Will we get hit by an asteroid first? Will there be a major volcanic eruption? Will we have a massive nuclear war? Is the footage recently released of a UFO captured by the Navy actually aliens who plan to help a brother out? Or wipe him out? Guess we'll just have to wait and see.
Earth has been in an ice age for millions of years. Currently it is in an interglacial which is defined by warmer than average temperature.
@@keyofg2020 ; 20 years means nothing in Earth climate cycles
is there an ice age or warming coming? answer: yes always.
Josef K we prolonged the warming time but i dont think it’s permenant. Although i highly doubt the next ice ages will be as cold as the ones in the past because the suns energy output is slowly increasing
Josef K You can’t say permenant, humans can easily be wiped out or thrown back into the paleolithic/neolithic eras if great disaster strikes and give a chance for carbon to reabsorb from the atmosphere and give us a ice age. It’s not likely going to happen anytime soon.
Sun's energy is not increasing- it's decreasing.
judy pelletier Nope, in 1 billion years the sun will be outputting 10% more energy, it’s going to slowly swell until its death in 5 billion years where it becomes a red giant and the whole earth is destroyed, complex life wont exist much longer in some hundreds of million years in the future, the habitable zone is slowly being pushed back. Now the earth is slowly moving away from the earth due to solar winds and the sun losing a small bit of its mass but it’s insignificant amounts, although the earth moving away is not fast enough to counter the sun’s expansion.
@@Tatusiek_1 decreasing for the next 50-250 yrs.
He touched on it in the end with the permanent greenhouse effect. But before that I was very curious about what it would mean for the planet as a whole to stop entering into periodic ice ages. Surely it's necessary to some degree?
The age of dinosaurs didn't have ice ages. Antarctica didn't get an ice sheet until about 30 million years ago.
Until about 2 - 3 million years ago, ice ages were not periodic. Ice ages only became periodic in the Pleistocene epoch. He touched on this at 0:32. You can also see it in the graph at 6:00, where after about 3 million years ago, the periodic fluctuations gradually increased in magnitude. Before that, the fluctuations, though still present, were rather minor, not significant enough to trigger periodic ice ages.
When considering the entire history of the Earth, ice ages were the exception rather than the norm (only 15-20% of its history). The most recent ice age prior to the Cenozoic ended in the Permian period, 289 million years ago.
EDIT: "Periodic ice age" is an incorrect term. "Glacial period" is the proper term, itself a characteristic feature of an "ice age" / "icehouse period". Icehouse periods consist of alternating glacial and interglacial periods. We are currently in the Holocene interglacial period (began ~11,700 years ago) within the Quaternary glaciation phase (began 2.58 million years ago) of the Late Cenozoic icehouse period (began 34 million years ago, when ice sheets appeared on Antarctica).
See the following Wikipedia articles for more info:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_and_icehouse_Earth
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_glaciation
This is very worrying, what happens if the bees freeze
The next necessity step for the evolution of man is for the earth to not have a Atmosphere , Man would then have to survive more on using technologies and resources of the earth and would be good training for future colonization of space. A organism survives and adepts to overcomes challenges of the environment to survive and reproduce, to easy and the organism could devolve or become lesser. Man has been devolving for a long while.
@@lee7701 Goodbye food.
i believe this video isn't getting sent to the sub boxes.
Yeah same issue, I saw it pop up in the recommended section though nothing in my sub list.
It has been flagged as containing topics unlikely to appeal to general audience. (Climate change for one.) It thus gets automatically filtered from most user's lists as youtube assumes you don't want to see it.
Anything that goes against the global warming BS gets censored. This is even happening in school books in Portland. I encourage all Americans to look into the massive amount of low temperature records being registered in the US. The amount of global volcanic activity isn't a coincidence either, it's the ringing bell of an impending Ice Age and one of the effects of the Earth's magnetosphere shutting down. Our magnetosphere is generated by the solar winds...it's shutting down because the sun is 'going to sleep' for about 40/50 years, just like in the 17th century...
***** weird, why is that though? i mean, it's science, not opinions...
iota-09 if you wanted the truth you'd look for it. I guess some people are just lazy, like your reply.
Let's just tell all future generations we were intentionally polluting as to stop the next glacial maxima and all future ice ages. "But it was predicted to come in 50 thousand years!?" they'll say. "Precisely, back in our day we were responsible about protecting, maintaining, and caring for our world. We were being proactive."
Polluting is a strong word to use. We are not certain of the extent of warming from CO2, net feedbacks are likely to be fairly low given recent temperature data. (This will depend on the la Nina coming up) and if that is the case, CO2 is actually a positive for humans due to increased planet greening and crop yields.
Climate science is fascinating and monstrously complex. Try not to get swept up in political zeal either way.
+UnknownXV I appreciate the concern over my use of the word "polluting" in a joke scenario. It's unnecessary though as I've actually studied this material.
+UnknownXV So... you don't believe humans are the main cause for global warming?
I will agree that climate science is fascinating and monstrously complex.
However, these so-called recent temperature data show that average global temperature increase is actually accelerating, so political zeal is not at all the only impetus for being incredibly worried about climate change. We can say with a high degree of certainty that human activity is contributing to this increase in temperature, and that CO2 is one of the factors. The definition of pollution is pretty simple, and I think CO2 output by humans fits comfortably within its umbrella.
If you all insist on fighting the the climate change denier, please use proper referencing.
For 1-3 authors: Author A, Author B, Author C (YEAR)
For 3+ authors: Author A, et al. (YEAR)
thank you for the excellent and concise explanation of Milankovitch perturbations.
Bongo Brandy If you understood what he said Bongo, why would you call repeating cycles; 'perturbations'? Milankovitch cycles are normal and predictable but perturbations are: ' a disturbance of the regular and usually elliptical course of motion of a celestial body that is produced by some force additional to that which causes its regular motion'. So a passing body or impact would cause perturbations in the cycles, but the cycles themselves are regular (if random seeming since they all have different individual periodicity).
Bongo Brandy. Don't you meam 'permutations'?
Love the Wikipedia blurb at the start. We all know how reliable Wikipedia is, that’s why teachers say never use it as a reference.
It would only make it warmer here in Finland.
www.helsinkitimes.fi/finland/finland-news/domestic/16562-finnish-scientists-effect-of-human-activity-on-climate-change-insignificant.html
Lol
Recently watched a documentary, narrated by Leonard Nimoy, filmed in 1978, about the eminent onset of a new ice age, and record low temperatures, snowfalls and glaciation. Got a lot of comments to this, actually I just thought it was funny, or ironic, or short slighted, given the reality of today’s climate. Not pushing this old video as accurate.
Now, that's modern science, 1978... VHS tapes, cars with carbereutors, asbestos insulation, commodore 64 computers...
Seen the video I guess the Ice core samples and sea floor core samples are all wrong because they only had comodore 64'and vhs back ?
@@akossandor469 it's how the data is interpreted. Sea ice today is melting more than twice as fast as was predicted in 2010, how large would the error be at 40 years?
That's the point.
@Srewolf wow, are you confused! The data is the data, no one is disputing that. What you are displaying is denial. 98% of world climate scientists agree that man caused climate change is happening and will get worse. Stay in your safe place. When the whole world says you're wrong, maybe you need to rethink your position.
@Srewolf keep digging, denier. You just look really stooopid now. Run along, and let adults deal with what you can't even understand.
Sorry you're angry. Ok, no I'm not.
Did anyone notice, or, better, did anyone know that in that chart he showed around 11:00 you can fairly clearly see that the temperature rise actually preceeds the CO2 rise by a few hundred years? Think about it.
I have to say that I'm not an expert, just someone that has done a lot of research, if anyone knows better or has an explanation, you're welcome to explain
Well spotted sir😁 that's exactly as we should expect. I also am no scientist but very interested in this subject and the general global alarmism.
thats false, CO2 followed temperature in the past by about couple of hundred years. because first the ocean heated and than they exhaled CO2. if we really stopped the next ice age it would be the best we did in human history. next ice age die 6 billion people because of cold and starvation
@@panikaffe what? Could you write in a proper way? Are you even supporting or not my thesis?
Thanks. One of the best Science video on TH-cam.
why not mention grand solar minimum with extended low energy out put from our sun and how that affects climate also
Because it's largely inconsequential. The variability is low and any variations are relatively short compared to the Milankovitch Cycle.
@Richard Porter OMG WILL YOU GO AWAY DENIER?!? You know damned well we only have 37 days left until we meet global disaster of epic proportions that we will never return from!!!! We know this because 97 percent of scientists AGREED in our shitty survey along time ago.
@Richard Porter The effects last, at most, a few years. They are completely expected and accounted for in all serious models.
@@henrikgiese6316 Nope, they are not accounted for, along with other variables. 2 years ago, new data sets have been published which take into account EVERYTHING, and to this day, no study has confirmed man made global warming, using those new criteria. Media chooses not to talk about this, but its happening and they cant run from the truth forever.
Check out suspiciousObserver and see for yourself. He links sources in his vid and talks about the subject in great detail and understanding. The subject is far more complex that what the medias simplified, dumb down junk science explanation would lead you to believe.
@@korosensei4384 Checked out the video you appear to reference, looked over the papers. Nothing new there, the papers don't actually support the video. As I expected, given that I've read articles about the effect of solar and interstellar radiation on climate since the '90s.
Maybe there is some specific paper you want me to look at? Please provide a link.
Don't forget about the inevitable earth magnetic pole flip.
Glad to see there are not many climate change deniers here, but that's somewhat expected considering the content PBP Space Time delivers. Not going to be many people who deny science.
Congratulations; you're audience is not totally inept, it took me scrolling down two hole pages before I saw a anthropogenic climate change denier, and even then they were not flat out denying that humans play a role.
By "climate change denier" I think what you really mean is "global warming Al Gore doomsday denier" ...
Etheoma, you had a great point, but then you ruined it by using "roll" instead of "role"
Give a me a break, I have been drinking and I recently been at work for 10 hours. I think you can forgive someone who is dyslexic for a single typo under those circumstances.
Although It does seem like I'm trying to lay it on too think there... But it's all true so w.e.
Booooring... nobody "denies" climate change, or that humans have some effect. Just that humans have an effect worth worrying about.
This video actually supports the skeptics case without even trying to (climate change is almost entirely due to natural effects). It even shows the two graphs that indicate CO2 lags behind temperature changes (graphs that warming alarmists don't seem to use so much any more for some strange reason). Maybe you should stop treating science as a religious belief? Might be a start.
I doubt this will be only episode on the subject. This episode might have covered the natural aspect, but it wouldn't surprise me if next week's episode covers the human aspect
Lotta experts in here. Y'all need to be fixing the problem since everyone here has all the answers 😂😂
Legalize weed, which cures cancer and once nobody dies anymore they will all vote for Biden forever
I hope there is an ice age coming. I left Texas to get away from the boiling hell of summer thank you!
Careful what you wish for
Don't count on it. Even without taking any human influence into account, things will only worse over the next 55 - 60 years, while the Sun shifts from a grand solar minimum to a maximum (cycle is roughly 115 years).
Good news we are heading into another cooling period
MrMezmerized oh poppycock
th-cam.com/video/ViY2J3LPgN4/w-d-xo.html
@@col2959 First topic: wether 3% human contribution and then of that 1.3 to 1.5% being Australian can be considered "negligible". Karoly says it can't. The host says otherwise, but offers no scientific refutation. It's just incredulity of a layman.
Second topic: All satellite data shows it's around 3.1 - 3.3 mm annually but Mörner argues it's just 1 mm. Here's a rebuttal to that.
sciencedirect.com/sdfe/pdf/download/eid/1-s2.0-S0921818106002049/first-page-pdf
Mörner loved the actual field work, and assumedly was very good at it (but it's only a very limited dataset), clearly something as modern as satellite data was not his thing. And he's definitely not an authority on CO2.
Third: why ask a geofysicist about solar cycles? Oh that's right, because he tells you what you want to hear! There's plenty of data online, showing we're right in between two 115-year solar cycles. And we only just entered the "modern maximum" of a yet bigger cycle that appears to last over a millennium, so no cooling there.
And that was my original point. Even if you pretend humans don't contribute at all (without offering any valid alternative of course) there's still the fact that the Sun will hit a new activity peak in about 55 years.
This video needs an update with more geological facts of the Younger Dryas/Bølling-Allerød periods that have recently come to light.
Boiling allerod?
@@piereb1748 Mu bad, mispelled that. I meant Bølling-Allerød.
Did the younger Dryas impact event stop last ice age and give us the window of prosperity we have now?
My understanding of the Younger-Drayus is that it defines a sudden period of increased cooling that occurred as the last ice age was ending. The effect was to reverse the meltdown that had already begun, and extend the ice age 1to 2,000 years longer. Some speculate that it was the result of a cosmic impact event that plunged the Earth into a global winter, but that's just theoretical. But no other theory of it's cause seems to be better. Some think this was the actual cause of most of North America"s mega mammals at the end of the last ice age, as the return to bitter cold collapsed the ecology. But again, this is only a proposed theory and isn't accepted.
And of course, I could be wrong about all of this!! ☺️😉😁
P.S.
I meant mega mammals Going Extinct. My bad.
@@jackreisewitz7219 If it isn't accepted, it's a hypothesis, not a theory. The evidence supporting that hypothesis is growing each year.
@@mobiusII As I understand it, a proposed theory is a hypo - thesis. Consider the Greek root of theory, hypo thesis, and hypo thetical.
A Younger-Drayus impact is a theory as it has been presented with supporting evidences. That this caused the extinction of the N. American mega mammals is a hypothesis, as it is speculative and lacks supporting evidences. But one again
And, once again, I could be wrong about all of this.
Also, it's been stated that the southern extension of the Hudson Bay is a n impact crater. But I have no idea how old it is. Does anyone have a reference on that?
I have also heard that there's supposed to be an impact crater under the ice sheet on Greenland. But I have no reference's, or idea on what this claim is based. Anyone??
This was silly, informative, and brilliantly chaotic.
based on low sunspots it should be colder for a bit - a mini maunder minimum might be happening.
I'm a geologist. That was the coolest f*cking thing I have ever seen.
geology major, this is the research i want to do in grad school. i love paleoclimatology!
B B64 It started out very interesting, then got SOO BORING! I dont know what his point was! Was he trying to say that human's .0000000045 addition of CO2 into the atmosphere is actually stopping an ice age? Or we are not due for one? Jupiter+Saturn? I didnt learn anything.
You didn't learn this in school?
NibiruLives at 8 or 9 billion humans on earth (by then), we'll just eat Solent green.
@Brad Viviviyal Bollo@ks to that - eat the rich...:)
6 seasons and the winter has still not come.
911gp come in canada where we got some -35 and come say after that winter is not coming goofy
If we're naturally steadily cooling and heading toward another icing in ~11k years, then isn't global warming just extending this Goldie locks time period we're living in? Don't get me wrong...we NEED to clean up the pollution we've created and get the earth pristine again, but the alarmist articles about climate change coupled with industry's lagging efforts is making me think that we only have to worry about pollution. The extreme weather is being enhanced by geo-engineering, but they need to stop that, too.
4:29 I love how the Northern hemisphere is on fire for half the year
Sounds like Alabama
I don't
I never knew Tyrion Scienster was so tall. Good presentations.
Great explanation of the cycles!
The mountains aren't getting smaller, and the plates move slow, it takes some time for a water planet change temps, solar intensity has a larger than apparent effect within evaporation zones, so it will start to show localization then spread, the ice age will return, but we might be able to slow it even more. The planet gets cold now, you can see it in Asia's topography.
You should have given credits to Dr. Valentina Zharkova for her excellent work
She has been explaining this with increasingly accurate data for over a decade
See "Why Zharkova is Wrong" th-cam.com/video/NYN0meLWJLg/w-d-xo.html
I'm sure it was only done to pander to the toxic masculine suppressive movement going on in America right now
Cycles in climate change that last thousands to hundreds of thousands of years.Yet only in the last 30 years have we collected truly accurate satellite information measuring temp and gases on a global scale.Pretty much nothing for the previous hundred years before that,except from a few scattered weather stations.Before that a few ice and seabed samples that take data from only a couple of specific points on the globe.How can you possibly say man is destroying the climate with such massive margins of error due to timescales involved astronomically, and the way we collect data.
William Noah-Mates th-cam.com/video/hC3VTgIPoGU/w-d-xo.html
William Noah-Mates th-cam.com/video/v67nPTG3Pno/w-d-xo.html we can also make storms :/
are you suggesting that satellite's didn't exist prior to 1990? or that the data collected was flawed in some way?
i agree that human activity can't possibly prevent the next ice age. i'm sceptical if we are even able to slow it down..
Look up the thermodynamic law of mixing. That's what affects the whole earth's atmosphere and climate.
@@sixmax11 I think that it is very likely that the next age could be delayed, but given that the narrator states that it may be a 10,000 years at least for two of the three M Cycles to align it may be a moot point. With CO2 rapidly approaching 450ppm and even the possibiility of methane taking off from a massive release from the methane hydrates it would be hundreds of years before a peak level was reached then hundreds if not thousands more years before it cools down. That could still be before those two M Cycles align. Personally I can't wait to see how it plays out!
PBS Space Time: Is another ice age coming?
Global warming: am I a joke to you
Global warming has been disproven since at least 2013. Wake up.
@@favourites144 don't be an idiot.
Dude sounds like you want a frozen world where everything dies instead of a greenhouse world where you could grow plenty of food world wide.. People build small greenhouses in frigid enviorments imagine if they didnt have too. There was tropical forests full of life world wide way back in the day.. But i get it global warming fanatics want the world to freeze and die like their hearts and souls...
@@c-rock3659 it was a joke but okay
@@basicroots8278 ha! I know im just trying to trigger some global warming people.
🤔 Palm trees surrounding Lake Michigan?
I vote YES!
He's talking about an 'imminent' frozen death but his voice is so relaxing I found my inner peace.
hypothermia is a painless way to go lol
@@robnoregon Unlikely to happen. If it's that cold people will be fighting over food and possibly even resorting to cannibalism. Keep your powder dry.
Bill Bryson spoke about this in his famous book: "A Short History of Nearly Everything". His book is over 20 years old and nothing has changed except he is more right now than he was back then.
when you show temperatures like the "Obliquiy 22.1°" around 9:10, can you please write down if you mean °C or °F? or just always use °C :P
That was 22.1° as angles. Not temperature.
👏
I honestly can't tell if you're being serious or not. You are either a genius or incredibly ignorant.
nice bait
Not temperature degrees, geometric degrees, like how 360 degrees is a circle.
Space time for an update I reckon. This time do some comparisons about how fast the co2 rise is now compared to the Mesozoic and how hot the Mesozoic got. It would also be good to get some facts about the time it takes for evolution to adapt to the changing climate and rhe extinction events associated with the inability to adapt fast enough.
Are we coming into a period of a Grand Solar Minimum plus the effects of Milankovitch Cycle? 2024 Milankovitch center point and then the GSM MIGHT start around 2030? The combined effects leading, not necessarily to ice age glaciation, but to REALLY cold Winters in the Northern Hemisphere. As well as more storms because of the temperature differential between Northern and Southern Hemispheres.
Here are the main influencer in climate: (you got it right focusing on Solar!)
#1 Sunlight and that light actually reaching the ground also(not reflected by clouds or dust like from volcanoes or worse)
#2 Water Vapor - Primary greenhouse gas forcing warming of tens of degrees next warming
#3 Thickness of atmosphere making the surface temperature livable due to pressure and dry adiabatic lapse rate being just right.
Let's just ignore those who do climate shit for a living and put our trust towards the Holy fossil fuel empires and their Madison Avenue spinsters.
Hey, have a smoke! For your health! :p
@@b1aflatoxin yes believe everything your science gods tell you and you will be just fine because they are never wrong or and they don't get paid to tell you that.
Gsm is an 11 year cycle. The Milankovitch cycle would state we should already be in a process of cooling.
Save your pseudointellectual bs.
@@jakedavid557 Wow ok, so you're talking "conspiracy" now? A grand conspiracy where scientist lash their whips at the largest cash rich industries on Earth, ...for research grant money. Because people only get into science because of cushy grants, and not for the "data" or the advancement of human knowledge.
Because those corporations WOULD NEVER bend data, or put Dark Money into politics for the sake of their corporate or national enrichment.
DERRP! :p
Venus also had an atmosphere 90 times denser than Earth. A little more than high CO2.
Shush, gotta keep the propaganda going.
Venus didn't have oceans to absorb the CO2 that was released by volcanoes, so that result is the atmosphere is much thicker
Venus also has high amounts of Sulfur Dioxide, which we know from numerous volcanic eruptions on earth causes temperatures to drop. That's the ENTIRE premise of a Volcanic Winter. SO2 acts like tiny mirrors, reflecting solar radiation(light and heat). Given that sulfur dioxide has been proven to cause a reduction in global temperatures, there must be other processes at work causing the greenhouse like conditions on Venus.
And a rotation very very slow.
Uuu ikzp p p
So what i got out of that is ice age in 10,000 years?
Ill have to mark it on my callendar.
Lol
Nordic NIGHTMARE.
Very funny but you will probably be able to buy a diary in time for the start of another Mini Ice Age, a VERY few years hence, if the current Sunspot Minimum of Cycle 24 which we entered somewhere between 2017 and 2018 , turns out to be a Grand Minimum ie. the complete failure of Cycle 25 to start up.
If it doesn't emerge, temps. won't drop like a stone there and then but severe winters will be approaching for a long while and to an alarming degree.
Look up Mini Ice age and The Maunder Minimum
Real Science and SOUND Global historical evidence is a better bet than half baked, self-appointed, IPCC bribed dabblers with their the programmes and projections.
The computer formula for performance is GARBAGE IN = GARBAGE OUT.
Asshole Gore predicted the elimination of al polar ice and massive rises in sea level within 7 years..................16years ago. I'm still waiting.
He's quite happy to build one of his energy guzzling mansions on the edge of the ocean at sea-level. He knows it's a bloody hoax!
He's one nasty piece of work.
no the tipping point will be in 2295 based on axis tilt the minimum and then we go to maxium and that can be reached in 1500 years after
MauriatOttolink Hey to you and go check out a channel in here called "Adapt2020"...they are saying essentially what you just said abput the new/modern Maunder Minimum...
Also check out the main thread comment I just made right above the comment you replied to in here about the present orbits of all the other planets in the solar system now (I think ALL of the planets have been in the same quadrant for about the last 2 months and it's supposed to continue for the next 2 months or so)...and...hmmm...with all of this gravity coming from just the one quadrant in the sky now...AND how it's been setting this alignment up for however long before about 2 months ago...we've been hearing about a LOT of volcanic activity in the last year or so too hmmm...?
Oh and...p.s.: the way you ragged on the "pop star idol" of tree huggers everywhere (Al Gore...ugh)...let me guess...you also agree with how I sometimes like to end my comments and replies with "MAGA 2020"...?
archive.org/details/changeinclimatei00marrrich The change in the climate and its cause, giving the date of the last ice age based on a recent astronomical discovery and geological research : Marriott, R. A. (Reginald Adams), 1857. | we will get warmer winters from now (1857) from 2295 we go to over minimum to next ice age, depending on axis tilt. And they (green maffia) wants us to forget all science & research before they declared CO2 the culprit.
10:04 "We MAY have dodged a bullet"
...and also launched an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile at ourselves
winter is coming!
Winter will come but it will be warmer every year. Last year’s winter in Japan, it didn’t even snow where I live. Usually it does.
Winter is coming! th-cam.com/video/5Y6TqxLmxIo/w-d-xo.html
Ya...Except no not at all.. which is apparent if you watched the video...
Its a Game of Thrones reference ya bozos.
You know nothing Dave W th-cam.com/video/yLisM2KPDIA/w-d-xo.html
Never had co2 levels this fast? What, I'd say it's happened thousands of times with volcanoes.
look for the graphs, it isnt close in speed not by chance
It's happened many, many times that CO2 has rapidly risen. He just conveniently ignores all of those times and hopes we don't know about it. The peak reached 7,000 ppm during the Cambrian, but hey let's pretend that didn't happen.
@@joevenuti1201 that was half a billion years ago and you cant really compare it to todays co2 levels easily because the sun was also a lot less intense back then. Co2 concentration didnt even get close to that in the last 500million years.
@@joevenuti1201 Cambrian climate, huh? Sounds fun.
The most recent climate pattern is evidenced in the Vostok Ice Core data covering the last 420k years. If we take this pattern and extend it (a reasonable assumption), the current warm period is due to end, and we'll be thrust into another 90k-year-long ice age. Land suitable for agriculture will be limited to areas nearer the equator, and control of those areas and whatever produces energy could mean wars and would most certainly mean the death of millions or even billions of persons. Recognition of this might soften the misery in the coming centuries, but I rather doubt that will occur. Power will be the dominate goal of those who lack compassion, humility, and vision for our future.
you missed part of the lecture .. 10k years before the big cooling.
We are still technically in an ice age
Thaw cycle or Glacier Lakes would still be glaciers & so on
The best channel for this information is called The Oppenheimer Ranch Project. He is a paleoclimitologist
also ice age farmer and adapt2030
Thank you excellent video I'll have to watch a few more times to try to understand all the different Cycles and shifts that our planet goes through best video thank you so much have a nice day.
why didn't this show up in my sub box? GOD DAMMIT TH-cam
It is tagged with things youtube as found people tend not to like, so it left it out so you wouldn't get upset.
Gareth Dean yet I'm subscribed to allot of the big science and math channels...
deathpony698
Yep, in this case the issue seems to be 'climate change' which is a contentious issue. TH-cam's filtering is a bit rough, some people will miss out on things they might like, but the idea is that the average' viewer will see things they like most. In this case it seems youtube figured most people wouldn't want to see this. (Certainly it's had far more negative comments than recent PBS videos, so they're probably at least a little right.)
I'm subscribed to this channel. i should receive all content from this channel. TH-cam should not censor my subscriptions.
I regularly burn piles of old tires, this thick black smoke has helped make it cooler here. If everyone were to do this we could drastically cool the planet.
3:58 Precession of the Equinoxes is 25,920 years, not a 21,000 year cycle.
There is much incertainity, that period is between 25750 years and 25920 years.
Astrologically it is 12 x 2150 years, as calculated several millenia ago.
Remarkable how the same people have no problem with this guy informing us about black holes and event horizons, but the moment he points out AGW is real that consider him wrong and foolish....
A very inconvenient truth....
You should have a look at "Inconvenient Facts" by Gregory Wrightstone. The current level of CO2 is lower than it's been for thousands of years.
he is an astronomer. not better qualified to opine on climate than you or I
He lies when he says that currents CO2 levels are the highest ever seen. Even a kid would realize that's a big big lie.
Mqybe because he dosen't know what hes talking about. Hes repeating university bullshit that is factually wrong.
@G N Natural caused CO2 accounts for 97% of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere. 3% is due to human activity. So if 8% is due to USA human activity, then less than one-third of one percent of all CO2 going into the atmosphere is caused by human activity in the USA. These are facts. Look it up.
TH-cam algorithm there you go, I hope the Texans are ok
Really interesting. Another one I need to watch twice.