Lecture by George Friedman "Beyond the European Union: Europe in the middle of the 21st Century"

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 ก.ย. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 282

  • @doNotForceChannel
    @doNotForceChannel 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I like his way of talking and arguing. You are great George!!!!

    • @tommyodonovan3883
      @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      He is the best geopolitical analyst alive.

  • @fohelmli
    @fohelmli ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Always enjoy Mr Friedman's lectures but fervently hope he is mistaken about the future of Europe. I was born in 1942 in Croatia of German ancestry. As Donauschwaben, we left and settle in Austria, Germany, France, USA and Canada. I love the children of my first cousins born in Germany, France and Austria and hope they live in a peaceful world. I'm grateful my parents brought me to the USA, a land bordered by two oceans, Mexico and Canada and wish peace and prosperity to all.

  • @alivolkanatay6686
    @alivolkanatay6686 11 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I am perplexed. This is the best analysis about Europe and its Future. Hail Dr.Friedman!

  • @Athenaikos
    @Athenaikos 11 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Well spoken and well articulated. For the first time I begin to warm up to George Friedman.

    • @tommyodonovan3883
      @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      GF is a great Historian & geopolitical analyst, maybe the best.

  • @tommyodonovan3883
    @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    What a great mind.
    *"What I want, and what you want, will come and go without notice."*

  • @krwawy5657
    @krwawy5657 11 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    I love listening to this guy!

  • @chairde
    @chairde 10 ปีที่แล้ว +26

    I always love his logical approach to analysis and predication.

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      +Gerald O'Hare He exudes an old world fatalism. For example, a questioner asks him what if Poland fails to lead, to which he replies, "20th Century, or maybe 19th Century"

    • @chairde
      @chairde 8 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Donald Clifford, Well he was born in Hungry I believe so that old world thinking does come into play.

    • @lurker1973
      @lurker1973 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I couldn't see any logic in his thoughts. He talks always about the collapse of europe and in special germany and the great power USA. In his mind the only force of good in the world.

    • @chairde
      @chairde 7 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      lurker1973 , Well the EU is not doing very well now is it. He does acknowledge the US as being the only superpower. If you read his books the. It all makes sense. He is considered the shadow CIA as far as analysts are concerned. Remember that the USA is considered to be unique among nations by many Americans. You can not compare other nations to the US because of some natural assets that he mentions in his book. For example the US has natural deep water ports on both the Atlantic and Pacific giving access to the entire globe. The US has more intercostal waterways than all of the other nations combined. This gives very cheap transportation of goods and services. The US has shale deposits that are untapped giving natural gas off as a by product to oil. The US has the largest mass of good farmland on earth with the Mississippi River basin in the center for transport of food to the world. These are things that other countries simply do not have in abundance like the US. I would suggest you also follow Peter Zeihan who has similar videos on TH-cam.

    • @tommyodonovan3883
      @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@chairde Peter Zeihan says that the population of earth will be reduced by 25% in 10 to 20yrs, that's *2b people* (mostly thirdworld, Africa), do to USA disengagement in world affairs (see: The end of Breton-Woods, breakdown of global seaboard trade) and the inevitable starvation/wars/conflicts that that will precipitate.
      It's a hellish future according to Peter Zeihan...I find his lack of faith *DISTURBING.*

  • @tommyodonovan3883
    @tommyodonovan3883 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    George Friedman is a real gentleman, he stays to answer questions for over an hr.

  • @arsadams
    @arsadams 3 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    As a European myself, i watched with lot´s of atention Dr Friedman´s points towards Europe´s fate while we do all recognize that all arguments made by him are well established, there´s a point that has escaped from his analysis, and that´s having to do with what new generations feel about European project, nationalism indeed exist in our continent, but the interesting think is that younger Europeans consider themselves primarily Europeans and secondly whatever their nationality might be, that´s because they travel freely ,establish relations, work , study in other countries plus a significant percentage is able to communicate easily in more than four languages,younger Europeans are quite educated sophisticated and see the future of their native land linked entirely into European project, we do know that in a world scene no European country alone can raise a loud enough voice inside a theater composed by actors as USA, China, India, Russia,Japan, Brazil, Indonesia,Mexico and so on....together we are a giant.....alone we are just a bunch of countries, at the end is not the only prediction in which Dr Friedman has failed....so far, as the one made for China some years ago, does not corresponds with today´s reality.Do we Europeans disagree one with other? of course we do,but we do not and especially the younger ones think of raising walls or going to war....... to give you an example : as you know during iiww almost all European families have suffered by some other European army, and while this is true for older generations to us younger such an incident represents a tragic moment in our common history, who in some strange way has contribute to the peace and thrive of Europe....yes we do not always agree with EU decisions, and that´s because we want Europe to mature and to act as a single entity......we are quite overconnected over here.....in every aspect: family,friends,work,studies,travel.....and so on, European project can´t be stopped because is moved by Europeans themselves.....Dr Friedman could not be more inaccurate....

    • @TorianTammas
      @TorianTammas 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      A lot of old man overlook the obvious, the younger generations that will shape the world when they are long dead. We are Europeans first and nationality is second

  • @maniplefringe
    @maniplefringe 5 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    I think that in 2018 Friedman, on these points, is being proved correct.

  • @animula8322
    @animula8322 8 ปีที่แล้ว +21

    Europe needs to find self confidence and believe in its own culture.

    • @zawiszaczarny7876
      @zawiszaczarny7876 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      Europe dear friend is made of many nations , some of them are stuck and blocked politicly , economicly and millitarily by bigger neighbours and Poland is no exeption , It is under German bullying policy for looong years , Russia is less of a problem .

    • @shydncrumph8119
      @shydncrumph8119 8 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      i don't see a "european" culture. and i don't see a history of it. i do see a whole bunch of individual states following their own agendas buying into the eu idea only as long as it's in line with their own individual goals.

    • @animula8322
      @animula8322 8 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      European cultures are much similar variations of a common European culture with the spiritual and material legacies of classical antiquity, middle ages, renaissance, age of enlightenment etc.

    • @trabrex7697
      @trabrex7697 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      As an American I don't have a culture, I have a constitution. And that's all I need.

    • @TorianTammas
      @TorianTammas 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@trabrex7697 This is correct

  • @ravindertalwar553
    @ravindertalwar553 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    LIFE IS TO LOVE AND TO BE LOVED 💖 LOVE ALONE CAN CONQUER THE WORLD

  • @Zenas521
    @Zenas521 10 ปีที่แล้ว +21

    Interesting, I think one of the points he was trying to make was, until the majority of Europeans see themselves as Europeans first then from whatever state they live in, don't try to imitate US. Until you gain this mentality of location you will only frustrate yourselves, fail after fail. As a citizen of the US, I think of myself as a US citizen first not a Californian or Texan or Floridian or Hawaiian or etc. I am a citizen of a country and a resident of a state.

    • @timleuther2857
      @timleuther2857 10 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Thats because our countrys are not arbetrary things betreen straigt lines painted with a ruler on a map.

    • @mihneagladiaver
      @mihneagladiaver 10 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      That's a stupid argument Zenas and as a person that's lived both in Europe and in the US I can tell you that the history of European countries will never compare to the history of US states (as US states haven't had much of a history). Also there have been so many conflicts and disputes in Europe that I personally cannot see a time ever when there will be a united Europe. I personally think that nationalism will rise again in the prominent countries of the EU such as Germany and France and the UK and they will choose to break from the EU where they are dragged down by other more lazy countries such as Hungary, Bulgaria, Romania.

    • @timleuther2857
      @timleuther2857 10 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      BullFrog Lazy Countrys. lol. Thats a qualified opineon.

    • @TiasAhlgreN
      @TiasAhlgreN 10 ปีที่แล้ว

      BullFrog This is without a doubt true, yes.
      These countries have a culture of a whole lot of backwardness, and lazy behavioural patterns no doubt.
      The rest of the civilized European countries wont tolerate their bullshit for ever.

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      +Zenas Starchild Even individual nations of Europe have strong divisions, e.g., Scotland, Catalonia, former Yugoslavia, etc.

  • @tommyodonovan3883
    @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    *"Don't Shoot me and steal my chicken"*
    -Mr Freidman Sr
    (in 7 languages)

  • @mogligondorff8700
    @mogligondorff8700 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    It's kind of hilarious to see an American talk about a shared sense of fate within a nation in 2018.

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    I've been living in England since I was 3 years old, here everyone is obsessed with EU skepticism and how it doesn't work.

    • @alstrehli9402
      @alstrehli9402 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Yes, we are so fortunate to have George Friedman. I am glad to have stayed a while in Poland and to have understood the long suffering and great spirit of her people. And then to have gone on to Ukraine yet coming free of the Iron Curtain. From Chopin to the Great Gate of Kiev, we Americans have not forgotten you. STAND UP FOR POLAND! And Friedman is right: "WOE to the weak when preyed upon by the weak" Eric Hoffer . Go for it! Alfred B. Strehli

    • @andrewlankford9634
      @andrewlankford9634 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      American political skepticism made America great. A lack of European skepticism has threatened its very existence at times.

  • @rodneyhenchliffe754
    @rodneyhenchliffe754 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Hitler didn't know his 'limits' and didn't recognize the 'impossible' either; his "Jewish solution" didn't take account of 'push back'. Hitler didn't know his limits, he failed and went away (no choice). An impressive analysis by Friedman again.

  • @KR-us9pj
    @KR-us9pj 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The best summary of the EU I have seen - and why I voted to leave. Small nations trade independence for money, large nations are angry subsidising everyone else. Corrrupt nations want someone else to run things. The EU has no agreed identity.

  • @stefankamenski8285
    @stefankamenski8285 8 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    He is like the better twin of Bush

    • @bobmcgee1202
      @bobmcgee1202 8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      +Stefan Kamenski Sid Meier's Civilization V Galactic Champion

    • @araunapalm
      @araunapalm 5 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Smarter.

    • @tommyodonovan3883
      @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Bush looks like a buzzard, where as GF looks, and acts, like a wise old owl.

  • @DatsWhatXiSaid
    @DatsWhatXiSaid 11 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Interesting lecture. Poland used to be the regional leader in Eastern Europe before it was defeated and partitioned. Part of the reluctance of any one European country to be the main power in Central and Eastern Europe comes from the fact that any country to get to this powerful status ends up strategically in peril. It happened to Poland in the 17th and 18th centuries and happened to Germany after unification which ended disastrously in 1945. Hence the appeal of broad coalitions such as the EU.

  • @mogligondorff8700
    @mogligondorff8700 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I love when he talks about Poland as a rising power. Poland has been chosen by the Americans as a wedge to be driven between Europe and Russia.

  • @jakepelter4045
    @jakepelter4045 11 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    A tripartite pact is not likely. Poland is directly inbetween German and Russia on the Northern European Plain.
    Germany and Russia have a buffer between them. Poland would have nowhere to grow whereas Germany and Russia could share Poland as they tried during WWII.
    So Poland could rely on the US.

  • @raym1231
    @raym1231 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks for the video!

  • @francoluissotomayor3123
    @francoluissotomayor3123 หลายเดือนก่อน

    24:28 and like Lenin, G8 is dead. Sir, we need a new updated talk on these topics

  • @geoeconomics3067
    @geoeconomics3067 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Why is British empire 2.0 opsesed with Europe ?

  • @atailee820
    @atailee820 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Reality is according to perception.
    People often use flattering language to humanize barbaric deeds.
    Europe didn't conquer but rather terrorized all the populations they came in contact with.
    Technology allowed them that advantage.
    That couldn't last forever.
    The only constant is Change.

  • @ThisNinjaSays_
    @ThisNinjaSays_ ปีที่แล้ว

    49:08 "Poland must become too much trouble."
    Isn't that the point of NATO and US nuclear umbrella?

  • @remkow5650
    @remkow5650 8 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Well half of Poles live abroad . Since Poland joined Eu mass migration started so the questions about decline of populance is just lame since it did not drop , just more pepole escaped poverty .

  • @folgejesus3057
    @folgejesus3057 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Gibt es das auch in deutscher Übersetzung ?

  • @Jindy2
    @Jindy2 10 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I quite like George Friedman, and his books have some great insights. But I did think his treatment of the GFC, particularly concerning Greece was a bit disingenuous, as though he thought the whole responsibility for that crisis rested with Germany.

    • @gustano123
      @gustano123 7 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      He said that who was to blame is meaningless, and it is! Because due to that crisis national identities, that were suspended, were reactivated because "europeans" realized that their experiences inside their "peninsula" are quite different. I think he used that example to illustrate that the claim that there is a Paneuropean identity is just a myth.

  • @eliasath
    @eliasath 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    The only why to survive as humans is through peace and love. That should be the vision for the future for every one of us. And if is needed, i can guide you on how to fulfill the peace and love vision.

    • @tommyodonovan3883
      @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I wanna a unicorn and I wanna rainbow and I wanna *A pot of gold....*

  • @BerndGSchneider
    @BerndGSchneider 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Poland needs a protector and that should be the USA? If you see the interest of the USA to get Turkey into the EU to destabelize it you can see the interest of the USA in Poland is simply a functional one. Or just probe the following thesis: The catholic Poland is a promotor of the turkish EÙ membership. What else interest should have the USA in Poland?

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      +Bernd Schneider I think after WW1 , WW2, and the Cold War, the US has an interest in winning the peace.

    • @BerndGSchneider
      @BerndGSchneider 8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      +Donald Clifford "winning the peace" is nothing but a nice euphemism for strengthen the hegemony. By the way there is always war everywhere with different weapons on different levels of Maslows pyramid of needs. A state has no friends only interests!

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      +Bernd Schneider Different terms express different levels of cynicism. As for the US, peace and stability after a century of war would seem to be in our interest.

    • @BerndGSchneider
      @BerndGSchneider 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      +Donald Clifford You seem to define war as a pentagons job. But as i said above there are different levels. There is a also economic war. The witch hunt against VW, The TTIP and TISA campaign. There is a religiious war. Look at the campaign of evangelical missionaries all over the world, even in the christian part of the world. That is the fight for hegemony.

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      +Bernd Schneider I envision a US grand strategy towards E. Europe. This strategy is the big picture that subsumes all general areas of national interest. The hegemony I think rests in the Russian dream of a reconstituted empire. US policy would be a preemptive counter to this would be Russian hegemony.

  • @walter0bz
    @walter0bz 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    1:11:20 completely agree, high TFR is a problem, not a benefit. low TFR is a benefit in the information age. you need more resources per person for mass production etc for a high quality of life

  • @sugarkang
    @sugarkang 8 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Brexit landed the first giant crack in Europe's disintegration. With Obama committing troops and military resources in Poland via NATO, we see just how prescient George Friedman was four years ago giving this speech.

    • @zawiszaczarny7876
      @zawiszaczarny7876 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      Brexit changes nothing lol , European elite classes needs to be taken out of power and immigrants gona flood uk no matter if you are in or out as they mostly for last 2 years are illegals . Pathetic leadership is pathetic in or out .

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    You dont get it.
    France invented the concept to give up Souvereignity to Europe. And they will like Germany be giving up Souvereignity to Europe. Not to Germany.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    I said at the time. Not the Borders.
    I could also say at the time of the small Ice-Age if that confuses you less.

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    You see a pattern ? T'blisi is one of the rarest cities in the world where a mosque is a few feet away from a church and a synagogue.

  • @expansionone
    @expansionone 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    That guy has it wrong in so many ways. I would even say he’s out to lunch

    • @tommyodonovan3883
      @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      The EU is at its end, the Englanders have left taking their $50b with them and the U.S. is no longer interested in saving you from yourselves....or from your new BFF Energy Rich Russia.
      The USA is going home....Back to N.A., Central, S.A. & the Caribbean....that will keep U.S. busy for the next 100yrs or so....good luck....you're gonna need it!

  • @drPiotrNapieraa
    @drPiotrNapieraa 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    he is suffering from asthma? there ar two concepst one is German (cut spendings) and one French (stimulating fund) that's a problem

  • @fritzchcocal
    @fritzchcocal 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    true, germany, russia and poland should be friends and only rivals to each other on economic level. this divide and conquer of America is based on old rivalry who caused nothing but trouble.

  • @houshangacademy4211
    @houshangacademy4211 7 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I would love to see a United Europe

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    25:00 Georgia is in Asia.

    • @BardChords
      @BardChords 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      What's the difference?

  • @andrewlankford9634
    @andrewlankford9634 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    8:00 American (or European) entrepreneurial spirit and armed conflict are not one and the same.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nobody would say that in Perm, Russia the Lifestyle is "western". But its without question in Europe.

  • @mided2119
    @mided2119 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Anyone else think this dude looks like George W. Bush?

  • @helenadavidova5516
    @helenadavidova5516 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Scary man.

  • @ClarksonsinUSA
    @ClarksonsinUSA 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    George has the world view,based in reality...

  • @fifothebot
    @fifothebot 8 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Ad common values:
    - USA: Some have capital punishment.
    - Europe (including non-EU-countries): No capital punishment. Same for torture.
    Same for many, many laws, making interests, etc. more similar.
    The EU is the the economic (capitalist) partnership. On the the level of interests, values, etc., you have Europe's bigger, more pragmatic, saner brother, the Council of Europe.
    If you think the EU is Europe in any way then you haven't done your homework.
    Also that US Americans (over the whole country) feel with each other and
    care for each other, more than for example German and French (who used
    to be enemies) is a complete myth. You see that in GINI, you see that in
    homicide rates, you see that the southern/northern state conflict, you
    see that in many others. Yeah they can live with each other, but that
    was never the big problem.
    And yes last two centuries weren't the best. But if you actually take a look at history you see strong opposing. For example take the long history of the middle ages, vs the enlightenment.
    The idea that the US was tabula rasa and people mixed up is also wrong (aside from metropolises, but you have that for hundreds of years in Europe too). You can still see which cities and areas are dominated by which kind of settles, Germans, Brits, Spanish people, etc. There is also always times of sentiments growing and shrinking. Yeah, you don't see that in a bigger city, but that's because you are in that "traveling between countries" class.
    It's always easier to look at others and act like you know everything about them. It's the same ting that people do, while being drunk in the bar - not that this is bad, but it's just a very human thing to do. Just like tat when you join one group of people and leave another behind you usually think bad about the old one. People are ashamed of what they were in school, college, with what people they ad to do and what became out of them - unless they stayed friends and in contact.
    All too human. Yeah, I called Friedman a human. ;)

  • @hansgruber1686
    @hansgruber1686 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    Europe never had that peace thats true but that also was what made europe so strong.....because of constant war they were strong enough to conquer the world.

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Anyway whatever you say doesn't make any sense because in the Caucasus nobody thinks that the Caucasus is Europe or Aisa simply because it's a micro continent on it's own surrounded by the beautiful Caucasus mountains.
    Whether you are a Russian or a German just pay a visit to Georgia and you'll be amazingly surprised how much hospitable and guest loving people there are.
    My Russian friend was amazed by the warm reception in Georgia because he had a very wrong information. Just go there and see

  • @edwardhartman5568
    @edwardhartman5568 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    George Friedman’s prognostications and more importantly, strategies aged well (2023)

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    And? That has nothing to do with a EU Membership

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Its not my English. Its that Georgia is in Asia. If you like it or not.
    Georgia is without question in Euroasia. And because its not in Europe (on the south side of the Ridge of the Caucasus Mountain), its in Asia. Case closesd.
    That my formulation in past-tense was incorrect dont make Georgia less asian.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    In the few words of german you wrote where aswell a lot wrong.
    It began with that you dont know on which continent you was born.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Who will lead Canada? Ontario or Quebec?

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    I ment:
    The EU is more a country like Georgia is a country. I can go to the most City in the most North-East in the EU. Live and work there. Buy a House, vote for the Mayor. Study with the same conditions like locals. You cant. that in your country.
    I can study for free in Scotland like Scotish people, Englishman cant. In that Europe is even more a country like the UK is.

  • @aodhfinn
    @aodhfinn 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The ' European ' is a construct , recently created , just as is an ' American ' or an Australian... That the term can be used first and ahead of one's national identity is impossible because it simply is a denial of one's heritage . Heritage is something the ' market ' has little interest in , the squaring of the interests of the market is in alignment with the dilution of constructs of identity and value of heritage .

    • @TorianTammas
      @TorianTammas 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Really why? I have the impression that only a very insecure person could not hold one heritage and several identities.

    • @aodhfinn
      @aodhfinn 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@TorianTammas there must be alot of insecure people then , and alot who have fragmented identities

    • @ThisNinjaSays_
      @ThisNinjaSays_ ปีที่แล้ว

      @@TorianTammas Friedman is appealing to Polish fears of their nation being eliminated by Germany and Russia.
      When faced with such fears, that also have historical reality the Pole has no choice but to cling to their heritage and Polish identity.
      Friedman cannot sell this fear to Hungary because the Hungarians don't have such national trauma to exploit.
      This fear of German and Russian power now being used fragment the EU and NATO, with Poland being offered the juicy stake.
      The US/UK Goal: Keep the Russians out and the Germans down.
      French ambitions of European strategic autonomy have spooked the Americans.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    I dont doubt that the Russians supported the Abkazians. Doesent change that they dont like the Georgians.
    And because thats not only a case with the Abbkazians, but with South-Ossetians and in some extend with Adscharies too, and how you mentioned with "moslems in general", well because of that I see a pattern.
    Maybe the underlying Problem is the Georgians.

  • @mogligondorff8700
    @mogligondorff8700 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I see an American empire in decline.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    There are thousands of such cities.
    But there are not very much capitals which only control a part of the country.
    Ok, in Asia thats more common.

  • @bartkogut2335
    @bartkogut2335 10 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I belive it, Poland world Power by 2025

    • @timleuther2857
      @timleuther2857 10 ปีที่แล้ว

      Will they have the rotating Presidency of the Council of the European Union in 2025? ;-)

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      +mateusz kogucik I think more like continental power, but who knows?

    • @plendafuture7451
      @plendafuture7451 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      2050

    • @tommyodonovan3883
      @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Poland is a buffer state feared by Germany (economics) and coveted by Russia.

  • @ebp1234
    @ebp1234 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    This guy looks like GW Bush, facial expressions and all.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Well, on my TH-cam-Page is a link on my blog.
    Its completly in German. And 30-60% of the topics is about german interior policy. Thats said to your 100% "sure".
    Ich wünsche Ihnen auch einen schönen Tag und ein erfülltes Leben.
    Tim

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    No matter how friendly the australians are, i would never say that australia is europe. It doesent change where the mountains are. Thats why georgia is not in europe, thats why the war did not took place in europe.
    And every single squaremeter of eurasia wich is not in europe, is in asia. Georgia too.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Malta is in Europe.
    The Canary Islanda are not in Europe. Neither French Guyanne. But both are Part of a european Country. Cyprus is not part of a european Country. But it helps to avoid a mostly asian country to join the EU.
    Its not up the people to decide on which contient or subcontinent their Country is. If its south of the Ridge of the Greater Caucasus, its in Asia.

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Cyprus, the Canary Islands, Malta etc. aren't quite in Europe but are still in the EU, it doesn't mean anything !
    Caucasus in either Europe or in Asia or in Eurasia is up to Caucasian people to decide. Just like the Brits decided their identity different from the Europeans

  • @drPiotrNapieraa
    @drPiotrNapieraa 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    he just takes guesses - he is more SF writer than a politologist :) For sure he doesn't like UE like all the Jewish scientist who had some problems in Europe.

  • @confabulator99
    @confabulator99 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    I think he's just nervous in this setting, he's not trying to be mocking. Many of the smartest people aren't the most socially adept.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    There is no Germany-Led Europe. The French invented this Souverngty-giving-up-european-model. If the Maltesians want to leave, they can do it. It will change nothing. It would change more if San Marino joined.

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Yes, North Africa was a part of Roman empire it doesn't make it Europe, does it ?

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    OK, who will be leading EU from the two France or Germany ?
    and what will be the official language of EU French or German ?

    • @TorianTammas
      @TorianTammas 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      27 nations lead the EU as they are all member countries.

  • @ClarksonsinUSA
    @ClarksonsinUSA 11 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Some believe there will be a movement to Poland from other European nations that have large Muslim minority's,white so to speak... And that will help fuel,Poland's rise...

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    I dont care what the british vote. Or the british without Scotland. I am even not sure if the election will come anyway. 2017 - Thats a lot of time.
    And if you mean by "The Caucasians decide if there are europeans" the EU Membership. Than dont forget that every EU Memberstate will decide too. And thats more part for Science Fiction.

  • @ibghor
    @ibghor 7 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Another American jew working towards the division of the EU

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Most of the Scots don't support independence whereas most of the English don't even need Scotland in the UK, according to the latest surveys.
    EU has already decided to include Georgia in Eastern Partnership along with Ukraine and Moldova. The free trade deal between EU and Georgia is already signed and will be validated at the end of this year, while visa free deal will be achieved in 2014. Free trade and visa free access is what we want from Europe.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    But still, Malta is was and will be always a european Island. It was in the time of the Roman Empire, and it is now.

  • @aon10003
    @aon10003 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    If you cross the Carpatians and then the Balkans and then the longest route over the largest inland sea of the World, then you end up in Georgien, that has nothing to do with Europé.
    Why cant the World let Europe work on Europes problem, when we got no interest in the rest of the World, exept as tradepartners.
    Were not interested to fight war for oligarchs that start war to get rich themselfes.

  • @aodhfinn
    @aodhfinn 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    ' at the end of the process' you should have gone on to say ....after. pause ..there was environmental collapse.

  • @joseflowe1056
    @joseflowe1056 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    Mr Friedman's point of view is very very interesting, but I think some people here in Europe might misunderstand him badly. The consequence of the lack of prosperity in many parts of Europe cannot be the falling apart of the EU or the new nationalistic approach of some countries or the separation trends of various regions but even more a new approach to economic justice an even more enforced political power to the unification work in Europe to improve the common fundamental interests of life conditions like saving peace, energy supply, education, cultural christian boundaries and universal natural conditions. Europe surely needs a sense and a feeling for its united power. The Euro is not the solution, some countries would do better without it that's my opinion. And I (as a German) do think we depend too much on our exaggerated export and of course the increasing German export surplus is in the long run a danger for the countries that are gliding into deep debts. What Friedman is to blame for is that he tries to rise fear and resentments of east European Countries for the American interests and aiming at the American influence along the Russian border. Friedman also seems to forget that Poland benefitted a lot of European money transfers the last years. Poland can also do a lot for changing its energy supplly by using new techniques that will make it more independant. The effect of this speach is mostly a propaganda trick that wants to rise new Polish nationalism which serves American global strategy. What is undoutbtedly necessary in Europe is a great reform of EU institutions a clear reduction of completely exaggerated regulations and numbers of senseless laws. The nation still has to be important, only very few want a full political union. But what by no means we don't want to see is a primitive competitive nationalism. Mr Friedman seems to be traumatized by his own personal history. But shall we construct our common European future on backward looking historical sights or shall we not better look forward in a rational and hopeful manner, exactly knowing that we can have a good common future with the intent of balanced interests and a kind of partnership also with Russia which is the largest geographic region and has not only a demographic problem but offers a market for improving life for ordinary people paying with oil, gas and other precious goods, not falling into debts through that kind of balanced commerce. Ordinary Russian people who had to suffer a lot after the decline of their dictatory system and where the so called oligarchs robbed big parts of the country for their immense greed for luxury deserve an improvement as well as Spaniards Greeks or South Italians. Thank God, Europe after having payed an overwhelming cruel price of lives through its history, it should be mad to be led into crucial separating wars or even into treating one or the other country as the utmost evil of the world. Respect for national differences, dealing with various interests, seeking for compromises on a basic institutional platform, that's what clever and good willing European politicians and NGOs are hopefully working for. And what more can we ask for, Mr Friedman?

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      +josef löwe George Friedman addresses your concerns when he explains that certain things are just not possible, however desired they be.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Like the Texans. And they will be continuing to be obsessed how it dont works. And it will continue to work.

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wrong, Georgia is in the Caucasus which is neither Europe nor Asia !!!
    It's a region on it's own, just like Great Britain isn't Europe !!!

  • @araunapalm
    @araunapalm 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This Italian /polish businessman is living in la-laland. He has closed his eyes to the present reality. The past few years have been good in Europe....and movement has been easy...... but he still referred to himself as Italian-polish. The majority rule in future will be totally different and European culture /identity is waning. With a migrant crisis in the future of Europe, the identity that unites people is going to change and the freedoms with moving around will change. The future is not bright. Christian religion in Germany, France, Sweden is already secular and even Christian's are in name only. Immigrant culture taking over.... so the unity will come from another source - the UN will impose their ideas and morality.

    • @TorianTammas
      @TorianTammas 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Tell me more about the UN. So where do you get these ideas from?

    • @araunapalm
      @araunapalm 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      TorianTammas Agenda 2030 is the UN plan for the year 2030. (193 out of 196 countries of the world are part of the deal. The WEF (world economic forum) is promoting these UN plans. The WEF comprises the richest people and corporations on the planet. They found ways to bypass the governments of countries and have been using NGOs to push through their laws locally in every country . They think they can bring "peace and security" to the earth by forcing their form of rule on everyone. They are using this lockdown to "reset" the world economy according to agenda 2030 goals. All people will eventually be on a digital money system from the central banks with surveillance - so they know exactly what all people are thinking and doing. Those who do not comply will not be able to "buy or sell". Since these organizations are atheist they are pushing a form of neo-marxism - a "cultural revolution" onto all of us. This means they will turn against all religion and against all christian moral values. Go to WEF website and study their (DAVOS) plans and also look at the 4th industrial revolution. It is frightening what these world leaders and the technocrat- billionaires are planning for the future of the earth.
      Their plans will fail. It will look like peace is coming but it will be a false peace. I watch world events closely to see how bible prophecy is going into fulfillment. It is going spot on as predicted. Many people still hope in a good future for the earth because they still hope that human institutions have the power and legal morality to fix things..... everything is now corrupt . The grip on the world by these technocrats since Corona is now locked in...... no-one can escape. We are on our way to Armageddon.....

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Its about Turkey, if you dont got it.
    And I dont care what a Georgian think if europe is a country or not or stuff.
    You seem to be obsessed with that the EU dont works. Your Obsession is a sign of a inferiorety complex. The EU is more a Country like Georgia.

  • @alexr6470
    @alexr6470 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    His words are stuffed with poison. He pretends talking about better fate for everyone but he is a liar.

    • @tommyodonovan3883
      @tommyodonovan3883 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      *"The man that speak truths is hated above all others"*
      -Plato

  • @leightonjulye
    @leightonjulye 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    USA just dodged the bullet; you just don't know

  • @DanielleTinkov
    @DanielleTinkov 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    He predicted US-Japanese war in the 2050s, fragmentation of Russia & China in 2020s-2030s. There are still time to see if he's right.

  • @hansgruber1686
    @hansgruber1686 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Constraining Germany is constraining the biggest hope Europe has, Germany was extremly strong before the 1. World War and now has the chance to become as strong again and thats something europe needs if it wants to restore power because neither France nor England have that chance. Constraining Germany is interesting for the US, France and England but not for Europe as a whole.

    • @hanshass3199
      @hanshass3199 10 ปีที่แล้ว

      do not forget the new intelligentsia within germany, we lost the jews and got the turks, with the brains of millions of turks and their will to work there is no other possiblitly than becomming the leading global player.

    • @FrancisJoa
      @FrancisJoa 10 ปีที่แล้ว

      hans hass be happy that we lost the Jews because they sold us out in WW1 to get their Palestine. Watch BENJAMIN FREEDMAN EIN INSIDER WARNT AMERICA.

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      +Hans Gruber I don't think George advocates restraining Germany. His theme seems to be that Eadst Europe can't rely on Germany, the EU, or even NATO. The intermarium principle is a way to stabilize East Europe while helping them realize the prosperity the hope for.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    I dont care about race-theories. Here in Europe we mostly got rid of this. The most Australians you may consider as "Caucasians" too, but their continent is still not Europe.
    And the Caucasus is one of Europes borders, ans Georgia is on the Asian side.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Haha, now that you revealed that you lived in UK since your 3; Your complains about my english became really poor. I was slightly impressed about a Georgian who can write in a good english. But now, its not really impressive.

  • @codingstrong
    @codingstrong 9 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    In every single video of his, he describes his childhood with Hungary and all. Damn stop talking about the same shit all over again man, please!!!

    • @mihailnikoloff2554
      @mihailnikoloff2554 9 ปีที่แล้ว

      +bastard231 i noticed that too

    • @shannonyoung4626
      @shannonyoung4626 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      Perhaps it's because it was his life story that sparked his interest in geopolitics, which is the foundation of all his analyses.

    • @gagagagagagagaism
      @gagagagagagagaism 8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      +bastard231 Or perphaps it's the fact that his speech is 1.5 hours long and he wants an intro which catches the audience?

    • @donaldclifford5763
      @donaldclifford5763 8 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      +bastard231 His personal story is very relevant.

    • @Synochra
      @Synochra 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      It's because these are different speeches, given in different places, to different audiences. Those people aren't sitting at home listening to three of his speeches in a row.

  • @dluck999
    @dluck999 ปีที่แล้ว

    George Friedman is a well-known geopolitical analyst what a joke.

    • @ThisNinjaSays_
      @ThisNinjaSays_ ปีที่แล้ว

      He works for a think tank that influences US foreign policy. Ignore him at your peril.

  • @rodneyhenchliffe754
    @rodneyhenchliffe754 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    The EU promises 'PROSPERITY' ... Greeks facing an impoverished existence say: "why should we suffer a generational loss in order to stabilize the German banking system?" ... The Germans say: "Because we lent you money" ... The Greeks say: "you lent us money to maintain growth and demand within the Euro-zone by which you profit and prosper greatly from, whilst others endure austerity, higher unemployment and long-term poverty". There is no shared fate here, and everyone is reminded about "who they share their fate with". And who is the EU being RUN for? We can only expect to see the rise of the European Nation State once again, which brings another set of problems altogether.

  • @inter3684
    @inter3684 10 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Religion must be the force to unite European nations. that's the only thing that all of them have in common.

    • @timleuther2857
      @timleuther2857 10 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      We have in common that we are less religios than all the other places of the world.

    • @ClarksonsinUSA
      @ClarksonsinUSA 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Force is an empire,not a republic...All empires fail...

    • @Lukeeiiee
      @Lukeeiiee 10 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      Poland is catholic, Britain is protestant, Russia is orthodox, Estonia is atheist and Albania is muslim. How exactly would that work?

    • @inter3684
      @inter3684 10 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Lukeeiiee yes it is impossible. Russia and Europe can't get along with each other.

    • @Lukeeiiee
      @Lukeeiiee 10 ปีที่แล้ว

      *****
      orthodox christianity and islam existed in Europe way before that

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    That's the problem, France won't give up their sovereignty to Germany and Germany won't give up theirs to France

  • @mogligondorff8700
    @mogligondorff8700 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    The global markets = Anglo-American financial system

    • @TorianTammas
      @TorianTammas 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      The pound becomes more and more irrelevant and the same happens to the country the pound comes from.

  • @timleuther2857
    @timleuther2857 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hä?
    The motherlaguage of the majority of europeans is not english. The majority of first-language-english-speakers is not european. And the one who are both, live in EU-Texas.

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Don't be so surprised, the American trained young Georgian students can be better than you and me :-)

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Whatever mate, whatever !
    I'm more than 100% sure that neither you are a German. Even though it doesn't really matter to me.
    I wish you all the best, get a good life and enjoy while it lasts. Good bye

  • @gelagiga
    @gelagiga 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Oh Tim I don't want to insult you in any manner but your English is terrible 1) I said quite clearly that Caucasus is neither Europe nor Asia but you don't understand English! 2) you've made a grammatical mistake in English because it is "war did not take place" not "war did not took place" OK ? 3)your ignorance of the Geography as a subject! Eurasia is the combined continental landmass of Europe and Asia together ! 4) Australia is considered as part of West because of their life style !!!

  • @MontyGumby
    @MontyGumby 8 ปีที่แล้ว

    Russia is not Europe