(EViews10): Forecasting GARCH Volatility

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 44

  • @yahayamuhammad9104
    @yahayamuhammad9104 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thank you so much prof. honestly your video is an eye opener to most of econometric topics. Really appreciate it.

  • @blessingamosa.4529
    @blessingamosa.4529 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thank you for the good work you are doing. You can add a donation link to your site. Some of us would like to show an appreciation for the wonderful work.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      That's a great idea! But TH-cam is yet to enable my Channel. Hopefully, I will get there. Thanks a lot for the support and encouragement...grateful!

  • @pepe_the_frog-123
    @pepe_the_frog-123 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you very much, very helpful content

  • @CrunchEconometrix
    @CrunchEconometrix  5 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I want to appreciate all my subscribers from across the globe (Africa, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, The Americas, and The Pacific). Thank you all for your support. I am encouraged by your comments, questions, likes and critiques. They keep me focussed and poised to do better. I will continue to contribute my little quota such that every student and researcher will independently analyse his/her data. My teaching approach is very practical. I adopt a do-as-I-do style. Many thanks to those who have supported me by telling others. Once again, CrunchEconometrix loves to teach, support my Channel with your subscription, likes, feedbacks and sharing my videos with your cohorts. Please do not keep me to yourself (lol) inform your friends, students and academic networks about my Channel. Tell them CrunchEconometrix breaks down the econometric jargons and teaches with simplicity. Follow me on Facebook, Twitter and Reddit. Love you all, greatly!!! 

    • @adedoyinsolamiolajumokemis3460
      @adedoyinsolamiolajumokemis3460 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Thanks ma. Despite I don't have Economics background, I give it to you ...you are best of your kind. Ma please do a video on NARDL and its interpretation. Thanks ma.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  5 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@adedoyinsolamiolajumokemis3460 I'm encouraged by your commendation and kind words. I'll do my best to understand the NARDL procedure and create videos on it. Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @adedoyinsolamiolajumokemis3460
      @adedoyinsolamiolajumokemis3460 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@CrunchEconometrix From Ogun State. Can I pchat u ma?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  5 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@adedoyinsolamiolajumokemis3460 Awesome! You can always post your comments here and I'll surely respond. I'll appreciate it if you can share the link to my TH-cam Channel with your friends and academic community. They will find the content helpful. Thanks! ❤️ 🙏

    • @davidkalima8881
      @davidkalima8881 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Good day professor. May I please enquire? What software are you using? Is it Microsoft Excell.

  • @rosierui8119
    @rosierui8119 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you for the awesome tutorial. I'd love to learn how to do out-of-sample forecast with GARCH in EVIEWS?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Great suggestion Rosie! I have noted it, thanks.

  • @mohammedalnour318
    @mohammedalnour318 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you so much for your professional explanation. If i am to ask, how can I test the convergence of the series in EViews and by which model?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks for the encouraging feedback, Mohammed. Not sure what that means.

  • @viniciussimoes3923
    @viniciussimoes3923 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Hi Professor. Thank you for the helpful video. If I want to predict 4 or 5 steps ahead, how could I do in Eviews?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hi Vinicius, you can watch this video and adapt the guide shown.

  • @__DeaMelindaSimamora
    @__DeaMelindaSimamora 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    hai professor, thank u so much for this helpful video
    i wanna ask you, if we want to forecast data with static forecast, do we have to predict them one by one?
    and for the manual method, for the ar(1) model, how to determine the price difference that will be used for forecasting, because for forecasting the next few days there is definitely no original data? thank you for your help🙏🏻

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      To the 1st question, you don't have to predict them one by one. Follow the guide shown in the video. I have no answer to the 2nd question, at the moment.

  • @ighenry_ys1239
    @ighenry_ys1239 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you very much, very helpful content. I have 20 data, and I used GARCH model to predict 5 data for the future (by using static forecast) and want to see the percentage error of my prediction. Because in Eviews, I must do the same thing until 5 times to predict the data. I was confused at my percentage error (MAPE) was different when I predict for 5 times. Is it take from the average percentage error (MAPE) of 5 times or I just take my last error percentage? Thank you

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  ปีที่แล้ว

      Hi Henry, pick the forecast with the lowest: RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. Read more about this from any econometrics textbook. Thanks.

    • @ighenry_ys1239
      @ighenry_ys1239 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hi Prof, Thank u for replying my message. Did you have the latest and most complete econometrics textbook to read beside of reference in video?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  ปีที่แล้ว

      Henry, there are several econometrics textbooks out there that you can pick from.

  • @michaelbaah7162
    @michaelbaah7162 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    hello mummy God bless you for your good works. please I want kindly request if you can make a video on using the partial sum of process to generate positive and negative volatility of exchange rate...thanks Michael from ghana

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  5 ปีที่แล้ว

      Ok Michael, though I don't know what that is I'll do some findings. Thanks for the support, grateful! ❤️ 🙏

  • @mohapatraful
    @mohapatraful 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Dear professor please make a video on multi garch model in eviews

  • @swarnachari2703
    @swarnachari2703 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you professor for the nice video....my question is how to say this model is good for forecasting.......

    • @swarnachari2703
      @swarnachari2703 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Plz reply ma'am ..it means a lot to me ..I followed same steps in you videoa for my analysis

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hi Swana, thanks for the encouraging feedback. Deeply appreciated! It is the same guide as laid out in my ARCH videos. You may need to watch them.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  4 ปีที่แล้ว

      I have responded, Swana.

  • @ahlemouhibi3582
    @ahlemouhibi3582 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    i want to get volatility series by using GARCH model, i should follow all this steps or whta? i'm really so confused

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Ahlem, I will advise you to watch all the videos on ARCH and GARCH modeling to fully understand and know what you need to do. Thanks 😊

  • @AtinafAbdi
    @AtinafAbdi 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Dear Professor, How to interpret EGARCH MODEL coefficients output?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Abdi, I have always encouraged readings to complement my video tutorials. You can either my interpretation or get articles on EGARCH and adapt theirs.

  • @imdatkoksal6187
    @imdatkoksal6187 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Dear Professor, how can we forecast the price at t time of assets in a confidence interval. Can we?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      No idea. You may want to check out other online resources. Thanks.

  • @azahsyafinazazhar4505
    @azahsyafinazazhar4505 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi professor! Can I know how to forecast future volatility that is not in the sample using this method?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      You may need to check other online resources for that, Azah.

  • @Amal-galos
    @Amal-galos 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you very much