I think lance is correct. Historically during the “pause” stocks move up. In 2007 it took a year. When the fed pause was over is when stocks fell. I think it could be more like a 6 month pause because we moved rates up 2x as fast. Hiked 2 years to 5.25 vs 1 year to 5.25.
Adam I can answer why you are growing by leaps and bounds over these other media financial brands. At least from my perspective it's called TRUST! I am a 70 year old woman that did not know much about the financial world and yet, because of your channel, I now talk to so many people about what your channel has opened up for me in understanding what really makes the world go round. Having so much more in depth understanding of this new world for me has inspired me to hire a financial adviser with the philosophy of your brilliant hosts. Sadly I severed my account with Vanguard of many years since I no longer felt they were taking care of my managed portfolio after repeated conversations to keep my assets in more conservative holdings. You have no idea how many times I have had to go into Google to learn financial terms and their meanings so I could know what the hell you all were talking about. Thank you Adam and I am living proof that it is never too late to plunge into this exciting new school.
Agree 100%. This is one of 2 channels that I rarely miss an episode of. The weekly recap is a never miss. I will be retiring soon, and I will be looking into working with a financial advisor because of this channel. Adam is great, he is not to big to interact with us folks on Twitter, and I love Lance Roberts take on the markets. I just hope they don't start charging for these shows!!!
Always ready to hear what he has to say. Short term technicals win out but over the long term fundamentals count. A coming or continuing rally will be only a trade IMO.
By far, my most favorite weekly financial markets recap out of the channels I follow (including paid ones). Unbiased, realistic and enjoyable to watch all at the same time. You guys are doing a great job, keep it up 👍🏼
@@indianajones3315 since when is Tom lee bearish? And Lance was just talking about all the bullish signals he’s seeing and has talked about buys he’s initiated - You even listening ?
Adam! You have the most views because you also have the most up to date content! Keep it coming! A couple of questions that I would like to ask Lance, is how does he know that this current rally is driven by retail investors. Is that data found somewhere? Another question is where can we see the total volume of short positions? Is that public information and can it be found somewhere?
Lance is so genuine and also you Adam which is a rarity - great synergy. Adam you have excellent guests along with great technique in bringing out the best in the interviewee. I subscribed early on and return for the content and insight.
Did the same made some cash but this volatility might be plenty profitable trading monthly or by quarter for big bursts of 20% gains by the year have 4x in the year to make previous 1 year profits.. Traders are in heaven
Thanks for not fear mongering and talking through the market with minds open to any possibility. So tired of others being so sure of their theory and thesis.
"that guys gonna fall over" ... Instead of shots ! Shots shot shot shots .... Stocks! stocks stocks stocks.... Love the analogies Adam . Hoping for the best
Love Wealthion and Lance. Now that you've got over 50 million views in the past 30 days, is there a chance we could get Lance a higher quality mic? Please feel free to ignore this rather forward request! :)
Lance and Adam, Great content... A lot of folks have been going on about some said stocks that would be experiencing significant growth this season, any idea which stocks this may be? I want to start the year by investing in stock market before stocks rebound, is this a good time to buy or no?
Listen!!..... This video is a good breakdown. Incase it's flying over your head, you could find a financial adviser to help you. More so, tsla, transportation, e-commerce among other sectors are expected to experience growth, but who knows, the market has been a basket of surprises.
Such market uncertainties are the reason I don’t base my market judgements and decisions on rumors and hearsay, it got the best of me in 2020 and had me holding worthless positions in the market. I had to revamp my entire portfolio with the help of an advisor, before I started seeing significant results in my portfolio. With the help of this advisor, I have scaled up 750k since last year. Whether a bullish or down market, both makes for good profit, it all depends on where you’re looking.
You might want to look up Olivia Lyla Kennedy. I first listened to her on a podcast and she spoke very brilliantly, then I google searched her. So feel free to search her online. Her details are public. You can also get in touch with her on there too.
Excellent analysis gentlemen. Please mention the relationship between equities and the strength of the Dollar in future shows. Recent Dollar strength closed above major resistance.
And just learning how to get into these inverted and straight up charts, there's been a few things that haven't happened since the 1929 Great Depression, is that true? and could you explain those charts and those parallels and comparison information? From what I've seen we're in for a big Depression, like no one's ever seen in their lifetime!
I love tuning in, great show. It's odd how excited I always am to find out about Lance's new house purchase!!😁 Have to echo the trust sentiment. Keep it up Adam.
I wss saying to a trader buddy exactly what Lance says around 37 minutes in: to paraphrase: we have all the conditions for a big drop in the markets, but where's the catalyst? Where's the equivalent of sub-prime implosion or pandemic? Until that occurs the drunk will stumble home and flop into his bed without falling in the road, to use your analogy, Adam. Another absorbing and though proviking discussion, guys. Thanks.
I have increasingly found these weekly market roundups unmissable. This is one of the best ever and I really appreciate Lance's candour in this episode on both the challenge of investing over the last year and having a conservative investment instinct. I live in the UK but this show has been both informative and entertaining for over a year now. Congratulations Adam for Wealthion's well deserved success, and many thanks to you both for providing an important (real-time) commentary on this bizarre time to be living and investing.
You are beating all these other media outlets because you are providing way more useful financial information. Congratulations!! I’m glad to see your success.
I think lance is correct. Historically during the “pause” stocks move up. In 2007 it took a year. When the fed pause was over is when stocks fell. I think it could be more like a 6 month pause because we moved rates up 2x as fast. Hiked 2 years to 5.25 vs 1 year to 5.25.
Mr. Taggart, thank you for your wonderful channel and congratulations on your recent channel metrics. Lance Roberts is fast becoming one of my favorite guests of any financial show out there. You rock!
Another fine program Mr. Taggart. IMO, there's a one line assessment: Technicals are now fully manipulate-able via HFTs while fundamentals not so much. So, following technicals is now betting against the dealers, like in a casino..
I couldn't care less about being a bear or bull and I'll ride whatever wave comes my way. However, I strongly disagree that the lows are in, soft landing thesis. I'll take money on whatever the current move is, but this is a technical move based on major imbalanced positions coming into 2023. One the imbalance is corrected, and then moves to the other extreme, new lows are coming.
Always look forward to this talk every week. I took 70% of my portfolio out on Thursday and Friday and made a little money short on Friday. I am getting nervous holding anything day to day it seems. Recently I have been selling every rip and keeping my positions about half my normal size. I feel like a cat on a hot tin roof over the last year or so.
Warren Buffet says go long, not all of us have the time to daytrade and guesstimate when to buy/sell. But whoever bought Bitcoin when it was over $60,000 is now stuck.
Your feeling and positioning seem completely appropriate to me given the circumstances. The air is thick with static... If the bull market is in fact here there will be by definition a long steady wave to ride. If it's not, things can get very bad quickly. This is the time to play defense.
These discussions are so valuable because of their candid nature. You get 2 really knowledgable people asking exactly the kinds of questions that a lot of serious investors are asking and then really digging in to the answers. Great stuff. I do have a humble opinion to offer about the reason for the confusing nature of these markets. I believe that it is due to excess liquidity. Very little of the money that has been created has been sopped up. M2 is down 2.5%, yes, but that's after growing 40.6%. Fed balance sheet down by 5.5% after growing 115%.. Still too many dollars chasing a finite number of financial assets.
In addition to the 517k jobs added this month there were an extra 71k added in revisions. So ~600k jobs unmasked in a lagging indicator. Keep an eye on the dollar index and watch the next inflation print for guidance. Technicals are going to be worthless if we get a whipsaw move in inflation metrics which I think is likely given the tight labor market and the overall volatility in those series.
You have had the perfect guest to explain what is happening on your show already - David Hunter. He's been explaining this for (at least) the past year.
Some truth there. Nothing wrong with being heavy in t bills, short and/or long maturity if want to stay liquid, keep 4-5% yield, and watch for opportunities to shift back into the market at a lower basis. That said, trickling in vs. waiting for a bottom also protects you from missing a run up
In all ramifications, this seems like the worst period. The markets are now very unpredictable. Started investing recently when the market prices were a bit high, today I am more than 60% down.
It's the market but 60% is huge!You should have opted for a robot platform or traded with Gary Joe Wilde, or any other certified pro. As a complete beginner myself, I have over 30K in less than 5 months with him.
Yes, the data doesn't add up. I'm in the trucking business and I've never seen it this bad. Mileage rates fell through the floor, small trucking companies going out of business, and independent operators such as myself now sit an average 3 days per week while working only 2 during a 5 day workweek because I won't, and can't run until I get the rate needed for me to make even a small profit. I'm also in the container business and the ports are absolutely dead. Nothing even close to what it was last year. At the same time we see jobs numbers like we did. That doesn't reflect anything I see around me including all of my colleges in the business. It just doesn't make sense.
Don't be surprised by your success. You put out a good quality material, you reap the rewards. Your content and guests are on point and no nonsense, hence why all of us keep coming back. Thanks for the hard work you and your team are putting into all of these videos. Cheers!
As much as there is a "reversion to the mean" in stock prices, I have to wonder why there isn't a reversion to the mean in the stock market, unless the mean for the market is the short term risk free rate of return. Right now the short term treasury rate at 4.75 is roughly the forward P/E if the S&P. If the market shoots up any more, its P/E would be less than the treasury rate. How is that supposed to work?
Be sure to lock in the lowest price discount for Wealthion's online conference on Sat, March 18th by registering soon at wealthion.com/conference
I think lance is correct. Historically during the “pause” stocks move up. In 2007 it took a year. When the fed pause was over is when stocks fell. I think it could be more like a 6 month pause because we moved rates up 2x as fast. Hiked 2 years to 5.25 vs 1 year to 5.25.
Adam I can answer why you are growing by leaps and bounds over these other media financial brands. At least from my perspective it's called TRUST! I am a 70 year old woman that did not know much about the financial world and yet, because of your channel, I now talk to so many people about what your channel has opened up for me in understanding what really makes the world go round. Having so much more in depth understanding of this new world for me has inspired me to hire a financial adviser with the philosophy of your brilliant hosts. Sadly I severed my account with Vanguard of many years since I no longer felt they were taking care of my managed portfolio after repeated conversations to keep my assets in more conservative holdings. You have no idea how many times I have had to go into Google to learn financial terms and their meanings so I could know what the hell you all were talking about. Thank you Adam and I am living proof that it is never too late to plunge into this exciting new school.
Agree 100%. This is one of 2 channels that I rarely miss an episode of. The weekly recap is a never miss. I will be retiring soon, and I will be looking into working with a financial advisor because of this channel. Adam is great, he is not to big to interact with us folks on Twitter, and I love Lance Roberts take on the markets. I just hope they don't start charging for these shows!!!
Amen sister!
@@SoSwoll what's the other channel?
@@bosschichi The Maverick of Wall Street. Lots of good technical info and market analysis. Of course, I also never miss a Peter Schiff show either.
Lance is so perfect for the weekly recap with his rare to find actual open mind.
Always ready to hear what he has to say. Short term technicals win out but over the long term fundamentals count. A coming or continuing rally will be only a trade IMO.
Absolutely even if he is from Texas!
Wealthion is my favorite financial market channel on TH-cam. Thank you
After discovering this channel 4 months, I have told everyone I know to follow these interviews to get the real scoop not media hype. Thanks
Adams and Lance, you guys always provide great contents in a crazy world. Thanks for spending your time educating.
These weekly videos are the only videos i never miss. Keep it coming🔥
By far, my most favorite weekly financial markets recap out of the channels I follow (including paid ones). Unbiased, realistic and enjoyable to watch all at the same time. You guys are doing a great job, keep it up 👍🏼
The best on TH-cam I learned so much from you !!!
Adam - it's always great to watch your videos/guests. Thank you.
First time have I watched 1,5 hour programme on economics and actually enjoyed it
I watch all your videos, but the weekly video with Lance is now a staple of my Saturday 😎
You guys are truly awesome! Really appreciate it.
Excellent weekly round up. Thank you Adam and Lance!
Possibly one of the best Lance /Adam weekly reports
Fascinating conversation. Thank you!
Great host, guest speakers, up to date relevant information equals success. Keep it simple.
Thanks!
Thank you very much!!
Really like these weekly wrap-ups the most.
You and Lance work so well breaking down the market in tandem! Loved the basketball story and analogy.
Being also raised by a Great Depression father, I totally understand Lances inclination towards conservative investments.
Awesome guests and commentary for longer term investors who have the ability to process and act on this information. Watch every episode.
Guys you are so great. Adam please talk more about those Gold notes, I think that is a brilliant idea.
What an accomplishment Adam, congrats. I look forward to your show daily. Please continue to maintain the variety you have on the show
What variety? It’s almost always bearish into and during a huge run.
@@indianajones3315 since when is Tom lee bearish? And Lance was just talking about all the bullish signals he’s seeing and has talked about buys he’s initiated - You even listening ?
Adam! You have the most views because you also have the most up to date content! Keep it coming! A couple of questions that I would like to ask Lance, is how does he know that this current rally is driven by retail investors. Is that data found somewhere? Another question is where can we see the total volume of short positions? Is that public information and can it be found somewhere?
I’m starting to write down Adam’s idioms and analogies. I love them!
Great discussion as always. PLEASS SEND LANCE A MICROPHONE FOR HIS BDAY! Would love it if his audio quality was better.
Echo chamber sounding, straining to listen too!
Outstanding interview, as I've come to expect from this really great channel. Thank you. Please keep up the great work.
Lance is so genuine and also you Adam which is a rarity - great synergy. Adam you have excellent guests along with great technique in bringing out the best in the interviewee. I subscribed early on and return for the content and insight.
Love these weekly videos. Thanks guys 🙏🏼
It's great that you have the same questions for Lance that I would have. Thanks Adam!
Thank you, Adam and Lance, for this insights. Sending all the love, peace and harmony from Malaysia.
Best financial channel out there and it's not even close.
Cashed out of the market Friday , bought a small short , putting most into my savings account
Did the same made some cash but this volatility might be plenty profitable trading monthly or by quarter for big bursts of 20% gains by the year have 4x in the year to make previous 1 year profits.. Traders are in heaven
@@BiiYAAAA exactly ! I regained my 2022 losses in 1 month , so many ways to make money right now !!
Great episode. Thanks again!
Thanks Lance and Adam!!
Thanks for not fear mongering and talking through the market with minds open to any possibility. So tired of others being so sure of their theory and thesis.
"that guys gonna fall over" ... Instead of shots ! Shots shot shot shots .... Stocks! stocks stocks stocks.... Love the analogies Adam . Hoping for the best
Great summary/updates- thanks guys 😊
Love Wealthion and Lance. Now that you've got over 50 million views in the past 30 days, is there a chance we could get Lance a higher quality mic?
Please feel free to ignore this rather forward request! :)
Congratulations on your numbers. It demonstrates the value you are providing your audience.
just started watching a few weeks ago. great stuff for sure.
I really appreciate the honesty of Lance when he talked about his losing trade on Meta.
Well deserved success
Thanks mate
Lance and Adam, Great content... A lot of folks have been going on about some said stocks that would be experiencing significant growth this season, any idea which stocks this may be? I want to start the year by investing in stock market before stocks rebound, is this a good time to buy or no?
Listen!!..... This video is a good breakdown. Incase it's flying over your head, you could find a financial adviser to help you.
More so, tsla, transportation, e-commerce among other sectors are expected to experience growth, but who knows, the market has been a basket of surprises.
Such market uncertainties are the reason I don’t base my market judgements and decisions on rumors and hearsay, it got the best of me in 2020 and had me holding worthless positions in the market. I had to revamp my entire portfolio with the help of an advisor, before I started seeing significant results in my portfolio. With the help of this advisor, I have scaled up 750k since last year.
Whether a bullish or down market, both makes for good profit, it all depends on where you’re looking.
@@SusanFuller. That's impressive. How can one find an advisor on here?
You might want to look up Olivia Lyla Kennedy. I first listened to her on a podcast and she spoke very brilliantly, then I google searched her. So feel free to search her online. Her details are public. You can also get in touch with her on there too.
Excellent analysis gentlemen. Please mention the relationship between equities and the strength of the Dollar in future shows. Recent Dollar strength closed above major resistance.
Lance - if the market is forward looking by 6 months - what was the SPY predicting 1/3/22
Congrats Adam to your succes but it does not wonder me because you do extremely good job on your channel. I love it !
in case i cannot attend the wealthion confrence due to work will i able to watcg later in the day or week
thanks
Yes, replay videos of the entire event will be sent to everyone who registers for the conference
Do you believe the pre-SOTU jobs report accurately reflects current economic conditions?
Wow, 3 days? I am impressed. This was great.
Lance is top notch trader!
And just learning how to get into these inverted and straight up charts, there's been a few things that haven't happened since the 1929 Great Depression, is that true? and could you explain those charts and those parallels and comparison information? From what I've seen we're in for a big Depression, like no one's ever seen in their lifetime!
I love tuning in, great show. It's odd how excited I always am to find out about Lance's new house purchase!!😁
Have to echo the trust sentiment. Keep it up Adam.
Very honest questions and a talk show . The market is confusing .
I watch weekly recap every Sunday. I love it, thank you .
I wss saying to a trader buddy exactly what Lance says around 37 minutes in: to paraphrase: we have all the conditions for a big drop in the markets, but where's the catalyst? Where's the equivalent of sub-prime implosion or pandemic? Until that occurs the drunk will stumble home and flop into his bed without falling in the road, to use your analogy, Adam. Another absorbing and though proviking discussion, guys. Thanks.
Teaching charts, bear flags, bull flags, upward sloping triangle, basics. Every self investor needs this please
thanks adam= great work enjoy your discussion
GREAT SHOW, THANKS
Hi Adam. Question for Lance when you have him next week. Jim Cramer is telling people to buy stocks and not miss the rally. Is it time to sell ?😊
VERY good recap this week! Love it!!! Thank you, I think this is one of both of your bests! :)
Keep up the great content, thank you! (no pressure! 😂)
I have increasingly found these weekly market roundups unmissable. This is one of the best ever and I really appreciate Lance's candour in this episode on both the challenge of investing over the last year and having a conservative investment instinct. I live in the UK but this show has been both informative and entertaining for over a year now. Congratulations Adam for Wealthion's well deserved success, and many thanks to you both for providing an important (real-time) commentary on this bizarre time to be living and investing.
I love that you guys are ahead of some of those names. Great content.
You are beating all these other media outlets because you are providing way more useful financial information. Congratulations!! I’m glad to see your success.
Yes, the Granny Shot!
I think lance is correct. Historically during the “pause” stocks move up. In 2007 it took a year. When the fed pause was over is when stocks fell. I think it could be more like a 6 month pause because we moved rates up 2x as fast. Hiked 2 years to 5.25 vs 1 year to 5.25.
congrats on the great work...!
Thanks. I really enjoyed this and learned a lot!
Mr. Taggart, thank you for your wonderful channel and congratulations on your recent channel metrics. Lance Roberts is fast becoming one of my favorite guests of any financial show out there. You rock!
Another fine program Mr. Taggart.
IMO, there's a one line assessment: Technicals are now fully manipulate-able via HFTs while fundamentals not so much. So, following technicals is now betting against the dealers, like in a casino..
I couldn't care less about being a bear or bull and I'll ride whatever wave comes my way. However, I strongly disagree that the lows are in, soft landing thesis. I'll take money on whatever the current move is, but this is a technical move based on major imbalanced positions coming into 2023. One the imbalance is corrected, and then moves to the other extreme, new lows are coming.
Always look forward to this talk every week. I took 70% of my portfolio out on Thursday and Friday and made a little money short on Friday. I am getting nervous holding anything day to day it seems. Recently I have been selling every rip and keeping my positions about half my normal size. I feel like a cat on a hot tin roof over the last year or so.
Warren Buffet says go long, not all of us have the time to daytrade and guesstimate when to buy/sell. But whoever bought Bitcoin when it was over $60,000 is now stuck.
Your feeling and positioning seem completely appropriate to me given the circumstances. The air is thick with static... If the bull market is in fact here there will be by definition a long steady wave to ride. If it's not, things can get very bad quickly. This is the time to play defense.
@@okinawanah3463 Buffet is also sitting on more cash than all of us combined. He's not saying "take your last dollar and gamble it"...
These discussions are so valuable because of their candid nature. You get 2 really knowledgable people asking exactly the kinds of questions that a lot of serious investors are asking and then really digging in to the answers. Great stuff.
I do have a humble opinion to offer about the reason for the confusing nature of these markets. I believe that it is due to excess liquidity. Very little of the money that has been created has been sopped up. M2 is down 2.5%, yes, but that's after growing 40.6%. Fed balance sheet down by 5.5% after growing 115%.. Still too many dollars chasing a finite number of financial assets.
Honest, how can I invest in Wealthion?
Excellent.
In addition to the 517k jobs added this month there were an extra 71k added in revisions. So ~600k jobs unmasked in a lagging indicator. Keep an eye on the dollar index and watch the next inflation print for guidance. Technicals are going to be worthless if we get a whipsaw move in inflation metrics which I think is likely given the tight labor market and the overall volatility in those series.
😶🌫️watching
What happened to your microphone Lance?
Congratulations Adam and Wealthion's team and guests! I have a subscription with The Economist and I barely read it now. Excellent channel!
Congratulations!
Clear
Concise
Pragmatic
Thanks for the informative and useful content.
Thanks again.
I crave those technicals. Please let lance run with technicals
Congratulations. Well deserved and thank you.
Those jobs numbers will be revised down later this year just wait.
Big difference In job figures last week.
i want to see a pull up contest between you two !!
You have had the perfect guest to explain what is happening on your show already - David Hunter. He's been explaining this for (at least) the past year.
Ready for 5% t bills. Less stressful than chasing the market
Mature and repeat
Some truth there. Nothing wrong with being heavy in t bills, short and/or long maturity if want to stay liquid, keep 4-5% yield, and watch for opportunities to shift back into the market at a lower basis. That said, trickling in vs. waiting for a bottom also protects you from missing a run up
True. I sleep better knowing I will make a reasonable amount with no chance of losing.
Simply put: Fundamentals vs Price action. MOMENTUM reigns over fundamentals The machines are running the show. CTA's are an example of the above.
New Subscriber here! 🙏
Maybe it makes the most sense to sit in 4.5% T bill.
In all ramifications, this seems like the worst period. The markets are now very unpredictable. Started investing recently when the market prices were a bit high, today I am more than 60% down.
It's the market but 60% is huge!You should have opted for a robot platform or traded with Gary Joe Wilde, or any other certified pro. As a complete beginner myself, I have over 30K in less than 5 months with him.
@higson Lol. I am one of them. Not a pro though... Started last year in all honesty, wish I had known about him earlier.
Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia 🇦🇺 still watching this informative content cheers Frank
Yes, the data doesn't add up. I'm in the trucking business and I've never seen it this bad. Mileage rates fell through the floor, small trucking companies going out of business, and independent operators such as myself now sit an average 3 days per week while working only 2 during a 5 day workweek because I won't, and can't run until I get the rate needed for me to make even a small profit. I'm also in the container business and the ports are absolutely dead. Nothing even close to what it was last year.
At the same time we see jobs numbers like we did. That doesn't reflect anything I see around me including all of my colleges in the business. It just doesn't make sense.
According to Lance a whole new bull market has started. He is suddenly more bullish than David Hunter 🤡🤡🤡🤡.
Lance & Adam offer pearls of wisdom if you listen.
Don't be surprised by your success. You put out a good quality material, you reap the rewards. Your content and guests are on point and no nonsense, hence why all of us keep coming back. Thanks for the hard work you and your team are putting into all of these videos. Cheers!
As much as there is a "reversion to the mean" in stock prices, I have to wonder why there isn't a reversion to the mean in the stock market, unless the mean for the market is the short term risk free rate of return.
Right now the short term treasury rate at 4.75 is roughly the forward P/E if the S&P. If the market shoots up any more, its P/E would be less than the treasury rate. How is that supposed to work?