Update on Varda Space's first mission: The vehicle is still stuck in orbit. It gets worse. The U.S. Air Force denied a request from Varda Space to land its vehicle at a Utah test site. According to the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration, the company’s application for a commercial space license was also denied. According to Varda, “spacecraft is healthy across all systems,” and it can survive in orbit for up to 1 year. The company is now working on alternative ways of bringing the capsule back to Earth. Source: techcrunch.com/2023/09/15/varda-space-puts-off-orbital-factory-reentry-pending-air-force-and-faa-green-light/
We build a CERN in Low Earth Orbit We build a microchip factory in Low Earth Orbit using automation. People on Earth would use VR headgear to allow them to operate the robots in these Low Earth Orbit factories. We could build new styles of rockets/ space ships similar to that in Star Trek. We don't need Astronauts to physically be there thanks to VR and robots. We could build a different type of infrastructure in space then use a rocket to bring it back to earth to assemble, a car, a plane, a house, solar panels, wind generator, battery storage. The quality of the parts would be better than we can build on this planet. People would still have jobs. The product that you build just happens to be in Low Earth Orbit from the comfort of your home. Giving parents the much needed time with their children.
There are a large number of challenges to make this anything but extremely niche. Automated material extraction & manufacturing and dropping the cargo to Earth has to be chief among those. That said, all this remimds of the plot of Armored Core 4 where the Earth is dying, but too covered with space debris for any ships to escape to a new planet.
Yes, I agree we shouldn't trivialize the challenge. However, it's important to remember that most components of the infrastructure are developing simultaneously. This means that a conservative forecast that holds the progress in adjacent fields as a constant is probably off by a fair bit.
I would really like you to make a video about Immortality, It's social implications. Especially the possibility of an emergent gerontocracy and In general what is the "Post-Human" future you see.
We might have some construction available in space within this decade but it will be for use in space. I would say that short of raw materials that are in short supply here on earth, we will likely not source anything from space for at least another 15 years
Well, that depends on what we produce. We're certainly not going to manufacture anything consumer-facing there. However, making exotic materials for pharma or semiconductor R&D seems feasible.
@@Futureflux One of the other things that could happen to these materials is they can be bombarded by radiation. When you're talking about things that are so precise that you have to remove gravity from the equation, radiation becomes a big problem. And the cost would be exceedingly high. I don't know of anything that would be worth it to construct in space, we're pretty good at making nanomaterials here. It's mostly about figuring out how to configure them in the first place, which is driven by AI and expanding computational power. The impetus is low and the cost is high to do anything like that for more than just research. So I guess agree to disagree?
SO Tech corp wants to go from type 0 to type 1 Civ aye! It's about time we try to reach it I've been waiting for that for the last 20 years. We could have already been there if not for all of the corruption we have to deal with on earth.
The only sad part here is that none of these will become massive scale undustry for quite a while and not because we cant but because of the sheer amount of space junk currently in LEO. Yeah they can build and put a multi mile wide solar farm in orbit but the reality is that something that large and that fragile would be continously pelted by the billions of pieces of junk floating around and until we find a real solution to that problem. All it will take is one "factory" or one "farm" get smashed to pieces losing some company a few billion and then it will be another 50 years till a company wants to take that risk again. And honestly SpaceX is only exponentially making that issue worse with star link as before star link there was a total of only 6 thousand satalites, yet Musk and his idiotic ideas wants to put 45000... so please if 6 thousand plus crewed launches over some 40 years caused the space junk problem of today, what do you think adding 45000 more satalites to leo is going to do. Yes everyrhing in this video would be an incredible boon to humanity as a whole depending on how its used and who is making all the money. But at the end of the day none of it will ever happen if people like Musk are just free to continue to pollute with no care in the world and until we solve the ever growing issue of space junk....
Indeed, we don't yet have a robust solution to clean up the space junk. So, hitting the Kessler syndrome, a.k.a. runaway pollution of the low Earth Orbit with space junk, is possible. Note to self: Research recent developments and investment in space junk removal.
@Futureflux I've seen some, don't seem to effective and wasteful. I'll look into more, but they don't seem to counteract the smaller ones. There are better ways.
@@mr.ackermann807 Did you read my comment? Did you comprehend my comment? I just simply stated that SpaceX has shown interest in using SpaceShip. I didn't go in to if it was feasible. You are over thinking a simple statement.
Woah. That's cool man. It means that all of those new electric vehicles that has been made including Tesla can be directly linked to that power generating facilities in the space. Big development tho. 😮
In theory. In practice, our grid distribution needs a lot more work 😅 If you're interested in EV transition, IEEE Spectrum has a _fantastic_ series of easy-to-digest articles about this: spectrum.ieee.org/collections/the-ev-transition-explained/ Highly recommended!
I used to think this way, too. But the reality is that solar [talking about conventional solar here] is much easier and faster to deploy. You can literally ship the panels wherever people need them, including the remote island villages in the Pacific. So, we need a broad portfolio of energy-generating methods instead of investing in a single approach.
What about the effects of intense space radiation on microgravity fabrication, and would it be better to optimize space solar panels to take advantage of all that same prodigious radiation ?? Finally, when will we have miners that go get the resources to do all this from out in the System, rather than having to lift them up out of Earth's steep gravity well ... a possibly greater breakthrough ?
Re: Radiation Unfortunately, radiovoltaic devices [that convert ionizing radiation into electricity] are remarkably inefficient. A typical conversion rate here is ~1%, compared to 35% with the most advanced photovoltaics or even 15-20% with conventional solar panels. Re: Space mining A bunch of research and engineering groups are working on in-situ resource utilization and mining the Moon and asteroids for resources, but the engineering here hasn't moved beyond Earth-bound prototype devices just yet.
@@Futureflux Like I said AI will give us the answers. Meaning AI will show us the best way to design something at a price that is affordable. The AI is our engineer. Look at the AI that designed a sports car. Every piece was designed for a purpose. For best weight to functionality. AI will change our world drastically
@@doctorcrafts You have the right to think what you want. AI has already designed high end sports cars and have made them lighter and stronger. All because of AI.
Not exactly. Microgravity, vacuum, and access to near-absolute zero temperatures without extra cooling equipment are certainly the advantages of space manufacturing. But reducing the topic to just those three things would be limiting. Therefore, I'm giving viewers a glimpse into this field's history and recent progress in this video, with a sprinkle of future-looking ideas.
Update on Varda Space's first mission:
The vehicle is still stuck in orbit. It gets worse.
The U.S. Air Force denied a request from Varda Space to land its vehicle at a Utah test site. According to the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration, the company’s application for a commercial space license was also denied.
According to Varda, “spacecraft is healthy across all systems,” and it can survive in orbit for up to 1 year. The company is now working on alternative ways of bringing the capsule back to Earth.
Source: techcrunch.com/2023/09/15/varda-space-puts-off-orbital-factory-reentry-pending-air-force-and-faa-green-light/
This should have way more views.
Thank you for the kind words! :)
We build a CERN in Low Earth Orbit
We build a microchip factory in Low Earth Orbit using automation. People on Earth would use VR headgear to allow them to operate the robots in these Low Earth Orbit factories.
We could build new styles of rockets/ space ships similar to that in Star Trek.
We don't need Astronauts to physically be there thanks to VR and robots.
We could build a different type of infrastructure in space then use a rocket to bring it back to earth to assemble, a car, a plane, a house, solar panels, wind generator, battery storage. The quality of the parts would be better than we can build on this planet.
People would still have jobs. The product that you build just happens to be in Low Earth Orbit from the comfort of your home. Giving parents the much needed time with their children.
I subbed cos you are not a tabloid bot. You actually provide information.
Thank you kindly! 🤓
you did well to raise awareness of the problem of getting fragile space-made items safely back on earth
Great job man! Let's get you the visibility you deserve, this was very informative and well-cut!
Thank you kindly! 🥰
You've got a highly informed point of view. For such a name you don't seem to have much of a past. Enjoy your expression. Keep working
Fascinating AND educational. Can’t wait for your upcoming takes!!
Thank you for the kind words! It means a lot! 🙏
There are a large number of challenges to make this anything but extremely niche. Automated material extraction & manufacturing and dropping the cargo to Earth has to be chief among those. That said, all this remimds of the plot of Armored Core 4 where the Earth is dying, but too covered with space debris for any ships to escape to a new planet.
Yes, I agree we shouldn't trivialize the challenge. However, it's important to remember that most components of the infrastructure are developing simultaneously.
This means that a conservative forecast that holds the progress in adjacent fields as a constant is probably off by a fair bit.
I would really like you to make a video about Immortality, It's social implications. Especially the possibility of an emergent gerontocracy and In general what is the "Post-Human" future you see.
Love it! Thank you for the idea 🤓
Thank you kindly for your in depth research
Thank you for watching! 🙇♂️
Well researched & nicely presented. I think I better subscribe for more .
Thank you for the positive feedback! :)
Fascinating! Great edition 🔥
Thank you! :D
We might have some construction available in space within this decade but it will be for use in space. I would say that short of raw materials that are in short supply here on earth, we will likely not source anything from space for at least another 15 years
Well, that depends on what we produce. We're certainly not going to manufacture anything consumer-facing there. However, making exotic materials for pharma or semiconductor R&D seems feasible.
@@Futureflux One of the other things that could happen to these materials is they can be bombarded by radiation. When you're talking about things that are so precise that you have to remove gravity from the equation, radiation becomes a big problem.
And the cost would be exceedingly high.
I don't know of anything that would be worth it to construct in space, we're pretty good at making nanomaterials here. It's mostly about figuring out how to configure them in the first place, which is driven by AI and expanding computational power. The impetus is low and the cost is high to do anything like that for more than just research.
So I guess agree to disagree?
Wirklich hoch interessant, danke dafür!
You're most welcome!
Man, your content is amazing. Could we make a collaboration to bring such content for portuguese speaking audience?
Thank you for the kind words! What do you have in mind? :)
Learned so much from this 😲 Thanks for sharing!!
Thank you for supporting! 🙇♂️
You are completely wrong. VARDA's reentry & delivery system is *Rocket Lab.* VARDA uses photon reentry capaules for their deliveries.
Ahem, I talk about their partnership in the video 🤷♂️
Good video. Subbed.
Appreciate it! 🙇♂️
banger content great research
Thank you! 🤓
SO Tech corp wants to go from type 0 to type 1 Civ aye! It's about time we try to reach it I've been waiting for that for the last 20 years. We could have already been there if not for all of the corruption we have to deal with on earth.
The only sad part here is that none of these will become massive scale undustry for quite a while and not because we cant but because of the sheer amount of space junk currently in LEO. Yeah they can build and put a multi mile wide solar farm in orbit but the reality is that something that large and that fragile would be continously pelted by the billions of pieces of junk floating around and until we find a real solution to that problem. All it will take is one "factory" or one "farm" get smashed to pieces losing some company a few billion and then it will be another 50 years till a company wants to take that risk again. And honestly SpaceX is only exponentially making that issue worse with star link as before star link there was a total of only 6 thousand satalites, yet Musk and his idiotic ideas wants to put 45000... so please if 6 thousand plus crewed launches over some 40 years caused the space junk problem of today, what do you think adding 45000 more satalites to leo is going to do. Yes everyrhing in this video would be an incredible boon to humanity as a whole depending on how its used and who is making all the money. But at the end of the day none of it will ever happen if people like Musk are just free to continue to pollute with no care in the world and until we solve the ever growing issue of space junk....
Indeed, we don't yet have a robust solution to clean up the space junk. So, hitting the Kessler syndrome, a.k.a. runaway pollution of the low Earth Orbit with space junk, is possible.
Note to self: Research recent developments and investment in space junk removal.
@Futureflux I've seen some, don't seem to effective and wasteful. I'll look into more, but they don't seem to counteract the smaller ones. There are better ways.
Even SpaceX has shown interest in using Starship as a way of collecting space junk.
@@mr.ackermann807
Did you read my comment?
Did you comprehend my comment?
I just simply stated that SpaceX has shown interest in using SpaceShip. I didn't go in to if it was feasible.
You are over thinking a simple statement.
@@mr.ackermann807
Thumbs down
Woah. That's cool man. It means that all of those new electric vehicles that has been made including Tesla can be directly linked to that power generating facilities in the space. Big development tho. 😮
In theory. In practice, our grid distribution needs a lot more work 😅
If you're interested in EV transition, IEEE Spectrum has a _fantastic_ series of easy-to-digest articles about this: spectrum.ieee.org/collections/the-ev-transition-explained/
Highly recommended!
I'm ready for space jobs, man. I want work with a view lmao
+1 🤣
Solar power is a waste of time and money other than for niche applications. Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors hold far more promise.
I used to think this way, too. But the reality is that solar [talking about conventional solar here] is much easier and faster to deploy.
You can literally ship the panels wherever people need them, including the remote island villages in the Pacific.
So, we need a broad portfolio of energy-generating methods instead of investing in a single approach.
@lujiez Off the grid with government credit?
@lujiez Off the grid with government credit?
What about the effects of intense space radiation on microgravity fabrication, and would it be better to optimize space solar panels to take advantage of all that same prodigious radiation ??
Finally, when will we have miners that go get the resources to do all this from out in the System, rather than having to lift them up out of Earth's steep gravity well ... a possibly greater breakthrough ?
Re: Radiation
Unfortunately, radiovoltaic devices [that convert ionizing radiation into electricity] are remarkably inefficient. A typical conversion rate here is ~1%, compared to 35% with the most advanced photovoltaics or even 15-20% with conventional solar panels.
Re: Space mining
A bunch of research and engineering groups are working on in-situ resource utilization and mining the Moon and asteroids for resources, but the engineering here hasn't moved beyond Earth-bound prototype devices just yet.
Varda's cargo is stuck in jn orbit due to idiots at the FAA.
By 2050, advancement in AI will give us the awnser of cleaning up low earth orbit junk if humans haven't figured it out yet.
Well, I think we know how to do it. It's the engineering and the cost that are problematic :)
@@Futureflux
Like I said AI will give us the answers.
Meaning AI will show us the best way to design something at a price that is affordable.
The AI is our engineer.
Look at the AI that designed a sports car. Every piece was designed for a purpose. For best weight to functionality.
AI will change our world drastically
@@doctorcrafts
You have the right to think what you want.
AI has already designed high end sports cars and have made them lighter and stronger. All because of AI.
The topic is really micro-gravity but the title does not reflect that.
Not exactly. Microgravity, vacuum, and access to near-absolute zero temperatures without extra cooling equipment are certainly the advantages of space manufacturing.
But reducing the topic to just those three things would be limiting. Therefore, I'm giving viewers a glimpse into this field's history and recent progress in this video, with a sprinkle of future-looking ideas.
The USA-G7 would love to hire Chinese coolies to build this for them, just like the 19th century railroads 😮
On God… those Chinese coolies are some great workers!!
They were building all the way up into the 20th century immigrants are cheap labor and political pawns
0:25 Technology is only boring to the idiots.
🤭