The Emma Stone and Lily Gladstone situation reminds me of Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett last year in Best Actress. Emma Stone is like Cate Blanchett for Tar with everyone saying this is the performance of her career and Lily Gladstone is Michelle Yeoh for Everything Everywhere all at once. I think that Lily Gladstone is going to win best actress
I can definitely see the parallels! But there are some key differences too. Michelle Yeoh is much older and has a much larger body of work than Gladstone. And there was so much love for Everything Everywhere All At Once, it swept. That doesn't seem to be the case for Killers of the Flower Moon. Oppenheimer is more the film to beat overall (although obviously not in this category). There is definitely more support in different categories for Poor Things compared to Killers of the Flower Moon. Gladstone does have a good narrative though, and she did a great job (I just personally think Stone was better and just given more- Gladstone more of a supporting role), critics love Gladstone, and this seems to be the only place Killers of the Flower Moon will get something, and I can understand wanting to give it something.
Lily Gladstone will win, not because of the merit of the performance, but because of the historic nature of the win. Emma Stone clearly gave the better performance by far but will probably not win due to the color of her skin.
Here's an idea moving forward. In order to allow the best performances to win, not just those being pushed for virtue signaling or other reasons, there should also be a category based on strongest narrative. Andra Day's performance from The United States vs. Billie Holiday did get enough buzz a few years ago to pick up a Golden Globe, but nothing further - and her story (as with the Billie Holiday story) is worthy of being told in a way that KTOFM is getting exposure. Last season's push by small but numerous precursors to bring Michelle Yeoh into the forefront appears to have prompted the Lily Gladstone "campaign" - both good performances that were not, however, singularly responsible for the greatness of their films like Blanchette and Stone in Tar and Poor Things, respectively. Campaigning, even going back to Weinstein's time, has put a bad taste in many people's mouths; this has been cited as a reason why there is less trust in the process of picking a winner and perhaps a contributor to less attention and ratings. Adding a narrative category would allow for respect to return, while award winners from all backgrounds can also win. Just my two cents.
yes they both have the narrative to drive, yeoh being first asian to win best actress, and gladstone being first indigenous to win an oscar of any kind. both stone and blanchette had already won an oscar . however, gladstone has been sweeping the critic awards that yeoh didn't. my feeling is that gladstone will sweep critic choice, bafta, sag, and oscar. this year all the 4 acting categories are so much more predictable than last year which were the nail biter for actor, actress, and supporting actress down to the oscar.
I watched both of their films and I predict between Emma & Lily that Emma will win all major awards. I haven't watched a performance like what Emma did.
Emma great but lilly gladston make bistorical story and biopic.gladston make important role but two great as performance Lilly act in weak screenplay but accaptable
CCA are more of a joke. Most voters don't even watch the nominated movies. Grace Randolph did a heart breaking demonstration by streaming the voting process. They vote in categories where they haven't seen any movies, they vote for trailers, they vote to shape the future of the industry... Rarely the vote is legit based on merit. I follow all movie awards, love them, but for the CCA - boycott! As if it makes any difference 😔
I really don't get why people still insist on Danielle Brooks or even Emily Blunt being a threat to WIN. Da'Vine Joy Randolph has won EVERYTHING and will continue to do so after the Globes. Nobody has swept like this since Mo'Nique.
What about the British Oscar? Emily is British and Oppenheimer did very well in the UK and in the rest of the world. Emily may have a shot at the British Oscar awards.. Yeah, Mo'Nique won every award she was nominated for including the British Oscar.
Right because everyone thought Angela Bassett had this in the bag after winning the Globe and CC. No one was willing to accept JLC, was gonna win. I knew she was winning before globes happened and when she won SAG, EVERYONE dismissed it as a fluke. Until she sweeps SAG and bafta the Oscar is not hers. Monique won SAG and bafta, so u cannot compare Da'Vine Joy Randolph to Mo'Nique until she wins BOTH precursors
Becase danieal brocks good And the color purple lose critics and sag nom for best leading But danieal brocks take every nomnation for supporting. And academy award like musical in her category. But davine joy perfect. Davine joy when last night 2024 National Board of Review Awards Gala As supporting actross Two good
I also think Emma Stone gave the best performance of the year. She was on another level. Can't wait to see it again when Poor Things releases in my country next month!
Lilly glsdston make history biopic historical role The voter if will chooce her becase of historical role. Emma stone great acting but funny and fantazy They are fron runner The vote debond on the screenplay if voters love story of this actross role will vote for one
Brian, you must have recorded this prior to the SAG nominations and even perhaps prior to the BAFTA Longlist because Charles Melton missed at both. Also, I know it would've made for a long video but I would've liked to know your thoughts on the Best Young Actor category and others as well (on the film side). Other than that, keep up the great work!
My heart wants Giamatti to win but my head says Cillian Murphy. Shame. I absolutely LOVED The Holdovers. We all know that teacher we had in High school who had that sarcastic wit like Mr. Hunnam.
My heart and my soul said pual jiamatii✔ ...but i think votets will give colin mourphy becase the film big. The better pual jiamatii✔as acting of course. I dong think he act alot in film He was good no wrong..but he dont make oppinhimer story in film.
I’m really hoping to see Oppenheimer win big throughout award season. I know that Golden Globes aren’t always the best at showing who will win the Academy Award in the end, at least not like they used to, but the fact it won 5 of the 8 nominations at the Golden Globes as well as how well Oppenheimer has been received by critics definitely gives me hope the film will do well, especially for Nolan, RDJ and the score. I’m hoping Murphy will get more major Best Actor awards, but Bradley Cooper is there and likely will be throughout the entire season. Thanks for the video Brian, hope you’re doing well. Take care!
Barbie and American fiction are more of a threat because they have SAG ensemble noms. Whereas Poor Things and Holdovers got snubbed for best ensemble and thats a BIG issue
My heart really wants Emma Stone to take it but I feel that my head is telling me that Lily Gladstone will take it. I really do think that this will be a close race.
Agree with all your predictions Brian. I hope Cillian Murphy, Robert Downey Jr, Chris Nolan & Oppenheimer wins!!!!! I also loved seeing Saltburn pop up here for a nom. And All Of Us Strangers. I think the Best Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor & Actress that won GG might sweep the season. I hope they do. Murphy, Gladstone, Randolph & Downey Jr. 👏 🏆
The writers strike really hurt so many of the smaller movies. American Fiction fading? Where is the studio push? I still can't even find it at a theatre near me, it isnt even streaming. A damn shame
I would love it if Emma Stone or Sandra Huller won. They were phenomenal. Lily Gladstone was great, but that really felt more like a supporting role. It didn't stay with me quite the way that these other two did. EDIT- SO excited that Emma won!!
I don’t really get why people, including Brian himself, are trying to somehow connect all the critics groups and Critics’ Choice Awards. Like, the work “critics” in their names is the only thing uniting them, as I fell. Critics’ Choice is actually some kind of gathering of people calling themselves Critics.
im pretty sure one acting category, i believe supporting actor, will be a tie many always complain about Golden Globes wanting stars on their ceremony, but Critics Choice is the same. they always do the tie to have big famous people onstage (IE Lady Gaga/Glenn Close) and what better would be that Gosling and RDJ, which is probably the most competitive category Lily and Da'Vine have won pretty much all the awards, they have the support and its a big movie, people root for them. i think Cillian has also won too much to not win; so the one category thats more divided is sup actor, and they will probably split it
It’s a tie when the votes are actually even I believe. I don’t think they just decide to split it between two famous people. I could be wrong about the system though
I hate awards when they make it ( tie)must give it to one Pual jiamatii or colin murphy To me pual jiamatii he act more than colin.murphy performe less
Just watched Saltburn… surprised no one is talking about Alison Oliver. She definitely outshined Rosamund Pike throughout the movie. It could be because i kept hearing you praise Pike and i had expectations from her. But Oliver has two very impressive scenes which were the highlight of the film for me
I've been trying to see American Fiction for months and they just aren't playing it anywhere near me and I live in a major metropolitan area. I don't know what the deal is.
Let’s be honest Fraser won the popularity contest just like Jamie Lee Curtis. The actors branch loved his comeback story and especially him crying everytime he could. If the Oscar voting was before the sag was announced Butler would have won. But Cillian has the narrative and the popularity contest, everyone thinks he’s overdue. No matter how much we audience love Giamatti, he isn’t as popular.
We have no clue what the academy thinks of Cillian. He's never been nominated, doesn't do fake charm, and handshaking. I think RDJ might pull a JLC and advocate on Cillians' behalf and hype the Oppenheimer team.
Brenden fraser was the best He make tragedy role. Buttler but make up and dance And wining of brenden was amazing his wining video now 7 milion The academy regrate about angella basset becase peale love she win so the applolgize to audiance in ohnrary oscar
The "Critics'" Choice Awards isn't an award given by actual critics. They should rename to Oscar Pundits' Choice Awards since they just try to predict the Oscars
Noooo bad screenplay The original story so strong But they make shallow screenplay and the distroy original story..thry dont make crime so strong. And they repeat scences Espisially the bed sceance
At least "Margaret" got SOME recognition, although it will probably never be the iconic girl-coming-of-age movie it deserves to be. I guess live-action films centering on girls' coming of age don't get to be iconic, however good they are. (How many people have heard of The World of Henry Orient?) Where development of and interest in female characters are concerned, Greta Gerwig and Christopher Nolan are polar opposites. Nolan will win this year; that's close to a certainty. But Gerwig's time will come, and I hope I'll be there to see it.
I haven’t seen the holdovers yet but Danielle Brooks was so damn good. Best performance of the whole movie imo, she shows so much range and not a second on screen felt disingenuous. Plus dancing and singing, I just loved her. It’s crazy you mentioned Margot Robbie for best actress and not Carey Mulligan. I just watched maestro and her performance was staggering. She was so good.
Hear me out, I think there is pretty strong evidence against Lily Gladstone winning Best Actress at Critics Choice. This mimics, almost exactly, last year’s Actress race. If last year, Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett were pretty much tied for critics wins and the Critics Choice absolutely loved Everything Everywhere and still didn’t give the award to the actress who had the stronger narrative - both with the representational and star power factors. Then, why am I to believe that this year they’ll give it Gladstone for a performance that has failed to get much traction with film goers, in a film less loved, who might be the only award the film gets, that doesn’t have that strong of a narrative and is still nearly tied with Emma Stone’s critics wins? Just doesn’t seem to work for me. I think an acting and screenplay win for Poor Things seems quite logical, and a good package for a phenomenal film! What do you think?
@@jurney3478I never said she doesn’t have a narrative, I said she has a WEAKER narrative than the one of Michelle Yeoh last year. That is true, since Michelle Yeoh had three qualities to her campaign. Number 1: representational - first Asian best actress winner. Number 2: resonance with the public. Number 3: overdue factor - a person who’s been doing great work is finally being recognized. Lily Gladstone, great as she is, only has one of those atributes working in her favour - the representational one. She’s very young, so it rules out the overdue factor. And, sadly, her work isn’t being talked about as much as Yeoh’s last year. And yet, with all of Yeoh’s qualities, she still lost Critics Choice to Blanchett. So why predict Gladstone if she has a weaker narrative in a film which isn’t stirring that much conversation with audiences? Though you are right Stone doesn’t have a narrative, neither did Blanchett, but that didn’t stop her from winning, did it?
Listen, we all love Emily Blunt. She needss to not win this season, especially at the Oscars. She was in the background until 1 great scene where Da'vine was phenomenon from A to Z. Its like pulling a Jamie Lee Curtis from last year where she rode the coat tails of EEOAO. Lets not please.
Davine joy randolf she was every time in film..and her story great fitnam son dead in war and she miss him in chrismas and she work in school alone.emely blant wash the dress in film.just wife
I love when Brian laughs at scenarios in his head that no one thinks is funny. Plus what does “I’m not hearing about them…” Who are you listening too? Is there a secret podcast I’m missing? Or you just talking to your friends? American Fiction just got a PGA award and 3 SAGs and 1 DGA!
It happens many times in critics choice awards that actress who wins golden globe for motion picture drama, also wins critics choice for best actress. So i think lily gladstone will win critics choice awards. But cant predict anything because exception is reese witherspoon who won golden globe comedy musical and critics choice for walk the line.
Someone pointed out that Barbie’s CC nominations are sort of padded by categories that Oppenheimer isn’t eligible for like Best Song, Young Performer, Best Comedy etc In terms of major award noms it’s actually pretty even with Oppenheimer. I personally found Barbie to be extremely overrated so outside of the technical categories I’m hoping it doesn’t win too much
Robert downy j and his diroctor they win becase they make oppnhimer drama and searies and tragedy So they sweap golden globe Leanardo de caprioo and rebert scirsazy and martin scorsazy lose every thing becase they make film light funny joke so they lose
EEAAO didn't have an Oppy level threat competing against it. It's winning more here than it did at Globes but I'm not anticipating anything above the line except maybe screenplay
I dont care who wins anything else as long as pedro pascal wins. Sidenote….holdovers is good but i dont think davine gave such a stand-out performance, i dont understand why she is winning.
Great and very entertaining video. Your'e a natural at this. Interesting your views on Saltburn. The Guardian has an interesting piece on why it is the most talked about movie. The fact though that it is so divisive and talked about I think is in itself a sign that it is a great film.
Hi Brian, I agree with your predictions! If "Barbie" doesn't win big it will win for Ryan Gosling and I hold a little more hope than you for America Ferrara. Also, why have you been wearing that black coat for your last few videos? What part of the country do you live? Is it cold where you are? From your past comments I thought you lived in California.
Not likely, Oppenheimers universal campaign is literally drowning everything out. They just did a concert with Cillian doing the intro, and they organized a massive party with the EEAAO crew, and other influential people in attendance (including some bafta members)
Agree. After this ceremony, the season is going to take shape and I suspect most nominees and eventual winners are going to align. This is a bit boring for me. I prefer when the diff awards bodies and ceremonies spread the love given the amazing work that is done
Iam so exiting to Critics awards Becase the winner in comedy and drama winers In golden globe will face each others in critics. Pual jiamatii face colin murphy And emma stone face lilly gladstone
He must've recorded this before seeing the SAG nominations and the BAFTA Longlist? 😬 But those latter ones were a while ago so I just don't know what happened there. 🤔
Charles Melton is not winning here and they do not award the most critically acclaimed performance they go with what they think will win the Oscar-Gosling or Downey.
You don't have to like Maestro it's clearly not for everyone but Bradley was incredible in both acting and directing. He deserves this more than anyone as he's been giving oscar worthy performances for the past 15 years.
Best Original Screenplay: Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach - Barbie Best Adapted Screenplay: Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer or Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon Best Young Actor/ Actress: Ariana Greenblatt- Barbie Best Comedy: Barbie Best Actress: Lily Gladstone- Killers of the Flower Moon Best Actor: Cillian Murphy- Oppenheimer Best Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer as Lewis Strauss or Ryan Gosling - Barbie as Ken Best Supporting Actress: Danielle Brooks - The Color Purple as Sofia or America Ferreira- Barbie as Gloria Best Director: Christopher Nolan- Oppenheimer or Greta Gerwig- Barbie Best Picture: Oppenheimer Best Cast Ensemble: Barbie Best Song: I’m Just Ken- Barbie Best Visual Effects: Guardians of the Galaxy vol 3 Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse Best Hair & Makeup: Barbie or The Color Purple
I really like Oppenheimer but don't overdo it, because the Oscars are different, they will award the Oscar for best director to Martin Scorsese and best film to Killers of the Flower Moon
Why did you hate it? Just curious 😊 I loved Barbie but I know it’s not a movie for everyone. I just like that type of comedy and I love Ryan Gosling and Margot Robbie.
@@jennatandy6272 I've never been a fan of Ryan Gosling. For one, I wish they would have done more with the discontinued dolls who live in the shadows. I thought the musical numbers were way too long. I didn't think the usually hilarious Will Ferrell was funny at all. It seemed that they were trying to throw everything (messaging, comedy) at the screen at all once. Michael Cera as Alan and Rea Perlman to me were the best parts of the whole film for me. I seem to be in a very small minority.
If Poor Things is so great why has not made any money. It is another EELAO. It should not have one the Oscar!!! Oppenheimer should win it all. Or Barbie.
It hasn't even fully released yet. I'm pretty sure it will make a profit in the end. Though it obviously won't be doing anything near Barbie/Oppenheimer.
We are on the edge of a nuclear war between USA and Russia, it is obiously that Hollywood will give all the awards they can to the movie that talks about that, even if it doesn't deserve them. Let's be honest the best picture of the year is Killers Of The Flower Moon. There are a lot of movies better than Oppenheimer but sadly it is winning everything.
Orginal screenplay: The holdovers✔ I think if they give best supporting actross and best actor to cast of the holdovers. Must give the holdovers...best screenplay. Becase that mean the film big contender...so they must give it chance in seasion to contunue combation. Past live... right screenplay...but the story old fashion. May december..great story..bad screenplay. Barbi..feminst story. Air..they dont make succsus. Maystroa..bad story and bad screenplay.✖✖✖ I conceder maystro the badest screenplay..in all seasion..the film have no story. Best supporting actross: Devine joy randlof✔ Her acting so right. She supporting but her role with parsional story. And she act drama in comedy film. And het coustume so righ. + Dneail brocks✔... she good. She in comption with her. In color purple. Emely blant... Good acting but small short role..if she win will be surprise. But i prefer to watch Davine joy randolf or daneal brocks win... becase they make good acting and the role have story. When emely she dont show us story in her role. Jullian role.. Nothing new in her performance. And she act in bad screenplay...and they write her role wrong..she must be leading role...and she act it...but they let her support when all the story about her. Sooo wrong...they make nattaly leading role...she ask about het story..dont show us. The film combletly wrong. Jodi foster... Good acting...but funny. If she was in film or not nothing will be defrent. Davine ✔and brocks✔ more important role. Best actor: Between ( pual jiammatii)✔ and ( colin marphy ) ✔ They win golden globe...for comedy and drama. And i think they face each others..in critics. That will make us know bow will win when they mix it in same category. Who will win. Leanardo de caprioo Was funnh in tragedy film. So he dont be drama actor and not be comedy actor. So he dont get careness. Bradly cooper: Bad..bad..bad..✖✖✖ Whre the story... He lost in role Bacase he all film dont find story to act it...he make good make up and fisical change...and he try to make effort in performance...but useless with weak role. If he win will be suprise. But maybe win. Best supporting actor: Robert downy j✔✔✔ And Charles milton ✔ Best actross: Lilly gladston✔...and emma stone✔ They win golden globe..in comedy and drama. So they will mix it in same category. What i like it in lilly gladsone.. She only one make right performance in film She make tragedy acting..in tragedy acting. The actor and best supporting actor and diroction. Make comedy style...they try to be funny in acting and picture...that wrong..so they ignor them. Emma stone She leading role... More gladstone.. Gladstone look like supporting. But gladston role more important than emma... Becase she make real biopic historical story. So gladston ✔ Carry moligan... Same bradly cooper She dont get role. She just try to make performance to make film have something. No role..no story.✖ Past live and anatomy of fall... No surprise if one if they win Past live great acting..but story from black and white. Anatomy of all... The story same crime programe...but with weak resion to crime. Barbi...just funny for teenger. No sense she win. Best diroctor Christover in oppinhimer✔ And alxander nollan in the holdover✔ Becase the diroctir of oppnhimer so searies. And the holdovers ✔✔✔diroctor Show us the place naturaly and so honest...and he mix drama with comedy in good way and he direct the performance so right. The killer of flower moon Bad color and so fake places and so bad embody historical places...and the diroctor make film light...that wrong. Maystroa I like diroctor He make film so classic. But the story... Make diroction...foucus just about in beaty...of places snd make up...and face and fashion of this era. Barbi...funny and bad color and same old diroction..they use the tiqnical wrong. Poor thing... Fantazy fake diroction. When watch the film...they use computer in it. The story and acting better. Best picture Oppinhimer✔and poor thing✔ This my opinion I agree with you brian ✔👏
Sterling K Brown really? Never believed he was Jeffrey Wrights brother - never believed he was gay... Cant believe he's in these same category with Robert Deniro.
@@ClassicalMusic2002 Emma: “Lookit me! I studied at the Meryl Streep human-mimicking school of soulless acting! Gimme Oscar! Movies are still a thing!”
@@ClassicalMusic2002 Emma: “Watch me pretend to have fun bein’ quirky and wohnderfuhl! While you consume calories in the dark and wish you were having fun! Love me!”
The Emma Stone and Lily Gladstone situation reminds me of Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett last year in Best Actress. Emma Stone is like Cate Blanchett for Tar with everyone saying this is the performance of her career and Lily Gladstone is Michelle Yeoh for Everything Everywhere all at once. I think that Lily Gladstone is going to win best actress
I can definitely see the parallels! But there are some key differences too. Michelle Yeoh is much older and has a much larger body of work than Gladstone. And there was so much love for Everything Everywhere All At Once, it swept. That doesn't seem to be the case for Killers of the Flower Moon. Oppenheimer is more the film to beat overall (although obviously not in this category). There is definitely more support in different categories for Poor Things compared to Killers of the Flower Moon.
Gladstone does have a good narrative though, and she did a great job (I just personally think Stone was better and just given more- Gladstone more of a supporting role), critics love Gladstone, and this seems to be the only place Killers of the Flower Moon will get something, and I can understand wanting to give it something.
Lily Gladstone will win, not because of the merit of the performance, but because of the historic nature of the win. Emma Stone clearly gave the better performance by far but will probably not win due to the color of her skin.
Here's an idea moving forward. In order to allow the best performances to win, not just those being pushed for virtue signaling or other reasons, there should also be a category based on strongest narrative. Andra Day's performance from The United States vs. Billie Holiday did get enough buzz a few years ago to pick up a Golden Globe, but nothing further - and her story (as with the Billie Holiday story) is worthy of being told in a way that KTOFM is getting exposure. Last season's push by small but numerous precursors to bring Michelle Yeoh into the forefront appears to have prompted the Lily Gladstone "campaign" - both good performances that were not, however, singularly responsible for the greatness of their films like Blanchette and Stone in Tar and Poor Things, respectively. Campaigning, even going back to Weinstein's time, has put a bad taste in many people's mouths; this has been cited as a reason why there is less trust in the process of picking a winner and perhaps a contributor to less attention and ratings. Adding a narrative category would allow for respect to return, while award winners from all backgrounds can also win. Just my two cents.
yes they both have the narrative to drive, yeoh being first asian to win best actress, and gladstone being first indigenous to win an oscar of any kind. both stone and blanchette had already won an oscar . however, gladstone has been sweeping the critic awards that yeoh didn't. my feeling is that gladstone will sweep critic choice, bafta, sag, and oscar. this year all the 4 acting categories are so much more predictable than last year which were the nail biter for actor, actress, and supporting actress down to the oscar.
Cate Blanchett in Tar is one of the greatest performances ever put on fil. Clearly better than Yeoh but.....
Let's go Cillian
this year has had many great movies but god I want Past Lives to win something. And Emma Stone is just on another level as Bella Baxter.
I watched both of their films and I predict between Emma & Lily that Emma will win all major awards. I haven't watched a performance like what Emma did.
Emma great but lilly gladston make bistorical story and biopic.gladston make important role but two great as performance
Lilly act in weak screenplay but accaptable
🤔 Oppenheimer - Poor things Sweep! 😊✊👊😆👍👌🍁
Don’t know why people are picking Bradley. Before globes Bradley only won one critic award. And cillian Murphy swept
Pual jiamatii must win if they dont give colin murphy the award
CCA are more of a joke. Most voters don't even watch the nominated movies. Grace Randolph did a heart breaking demonstration by streaming the voting process. They vote in categories where they haven't seen any movies, they vote for trailers, they vote to shape the future of the industry... Rarely the vote is legit based on merit.
I follow all movie awards, love them, but for the CCA - boycott! As if it makes any difference 😔
I really don't get why people still insist on Danielle Brooks or even Emily Blunt being a threat to WIN. Da'Vine Joy Randolph has won EVERYTHING and will continue to do so after the Globes. Nobody has swept like this since Mo'Nique.
What about the British Oscar? Emily is British and Oppenheimer did very well in the UK and in the rest of the world. Emily may have a shot at the British Oscar awards.. Yeah, Mo'Nique won every award she was nominated for including the British Oscar.
Right because everyone thought Angela Bassett had this in the bag after winning the Globe and CC. No one was willing to accept JLC, was gonna win. I knew she was winning before globes happened and when she won SAG, EVERYONE dismissed it as a fluke. Until she sweeps SAG and bafta the Oscar is not hers. Monique won SAG and bafta, so u cannot compare Da'Vine Joy Randolph to Mo'Nique until she wins BOTH precursors
Becase danieal brocks good
And the color purple lose critics and sag nom for best leading
But danieal brocks take every nomnation for supporting.
And academy award like musical in her category.
But davine joy perfect.
Davine joy when last night 2024 National Board of Review Awards Gala
As supporting actross
Two good
@@mamadouaziza2536 i agree with you bafta so british..last year angella baseet and jimy lee curtis lose bafta..they win in amrican awards
I also think Emma Stone gave the best performance of the year. She was on another level. Can't wait to see it again when Poor Things releases in my country next month!
Lilly glsdston
make history biopic historical role
The voter if will chooce her becase of historical role.
Emma stone great acting but funny and fantazy
They are fron runner
The vote debond on the screenplay
if voters love story of this actross role will vote for one
Robert Downey Jr is winning. Critics love him.
which is sad because they should love the performance, I wish they would give it to Melton or anyone else.
@@Jose-sx4qlwhy? RDJ was phenomenal it’s deserved.
Brian, you must have recorded this prior to the SAG nominations and even perhaps prior to the BAFTA Longlist because Charles Melton missed at both.
Also, I know it would've made for a long video but I would've liked to know your thoughts on the Best Young Actor category and others as well (on the film side).
Other than that, keep up the great work!
My heart wants Giamatti to win but my head says Cillian Murphy. Shame. I absolutely LOVED The Holdovers. We all know that teacher we had in High school who had that sarcastic wit like Mr. Hunnam.
I want Paul to win too tbh
My heart and my soul
said pual jiamatii✔
...but i think votets will give colin mourphy becase the film big.
The better pual jiamatii✔as acting of course.
I dong think he act alot in film
He was good no wrong..but he dont make oppinhimer story in film.
Cillian Murphy performance is on a total different level. I do not see the Fraser factors for others outdoing him.
I’m really hoping to see Oppenheimer win big throughout award season. I know that Golden Globes aren’t always the best at showing who will win the Academy Award in the end, at least not like they used to, but the fact it won 5 of the 8 nominations at the Golden Globes as well as how well Oppenheimer has been received by critics definitely gives me hope the film will do well, especially for Nolan, RDJ and the score. I’m hoping Murphy will get more major Best Actor awards, but Bradley Cooper is there and likely will be throughout the entire season. Thanks for the video Brian, hope you’re doing well. Take care!
Oppinhimer and the holdovers and poor thing
The horses of seasion
And front runner..in every category
Barbie and American fiction are more of a threat because they have SAG ensemble noms. Whereas Poor Things and Holdovers got snubbed for best ensemble and thats a BIG issue
My heart really wants Emma Stone to take it but I feel that my head is telling me that Lily Gladstone will take it. I really do think that this will be a close race.
Agree with all your predictions Brian.
I hope Cillian Murphy, Robert Downey Jr, Chris Nolan & Oppenheimer wins!!!!!
I also loved seeing Saltburn pop up here for a nom. And All Of Us Strangers.
I think the Best Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor & Actress that won GG might sweep the season. I hope they do. Murphy, Gladstone, Randolph & Downey Jr. 👏 🏆
The writers strike really hurt so many of the smaller movies. American Fiction fading? Where is the studio push? I still can't even find it at a theatre near me, it isnt even streaming. A damn shame
Paul Giamatti is the best actor of the year for “The Holdovers”
He so great..deserve win.he in comption with colin murphy
I wish emma going to win😘🥰❤️❤️
I would love it if Emma Stone or Sandra Huller won. They were phenomenal. Lily Gladstone was great, but that really felt more like a supporting role. It didn't stay with me quite the way that these other two did. EDIT- SO excited that Emma won!!
Great take, I feel similarly.
Yessss, for me its between Emma or Sandra. I saw Lily's performance but for me its weaker than 2 ladies' performances. I watched all these films.
@@sphmoran28 I have seen all of these films and I would also want Emma or Sandra.
Me, too. Emma extraordinary . Sandra mesmerising. Lily short screen time makes it #3. She should have stayed in supporting.
@@mgariepy42 Completely agree!
Lol the CC have never been "Critics." They're even more industry focused than Baftas and the Globes.
This is Da'Vine's year to win every time
Lily might win the Oscar but , in the end , I feel confident that Emma will get her second one !
May the best win , Ladies ...
I don’t really get why people, including Brian himself, are trying to somehow connect all the critics groups and Critics’ Choice Awards. Like, the work “critics” in their names is the only thing uniting them, as I fell. Critics’ Choice is actually some kind of gathering of people calling themselves Critics.
Why not..they are drama experts
So they know who good and bad
Brian said the right
@@marrmart7690The Critics Choice is a misnomer. They’re not real critics.
I think Emily Blunt could win at SAG or BAFTA, just a feeling based on how much they love her
Espially bafta
I had thought you were going to predict all categories so I could hear you say you're predicting Milo Machado Graner to win best young actor
I think that’s between Milo and Dominic
@@freja201 dominic sessa amazing in the holdover
Cillian, Cillian, Cillian 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
Still don’t understand the Rachel McAdams snub given this is an alleged critics group.
So sad
It’s not a critics group. It’s bunch of journalists and TH-camrs.
@@myytchanneldinakoha8498 they really need to change their name then.
I sit and watch your videos at work with my colleage and we wondering....do you hold Oscar parties? And if so..how do we obtain an invitation 😅😅
im pretty sure one acting category, i believe supporting actor, will be a tie
many always complain about Golden Globes wanting stars on their ceremony, but Critics Choice is the same. they always do the tie to have big famous people onstage (IE Lady Gaga/Glenn Close) and what better would be that Gosling and RDJ, which is probably the most competitive category
Lily and Da'Vine have won pretty much all the awards, they have the support and its a big movie, people root for them. i think Cillian has also won too much to not win; so the one category thats more divided is sup actor, and they will probably split it
It’s a tie when the votes are actually even I believe. I don’t think they just decide to split it between two famous people. I could be wrong about the system though
I hate awards when they make it ( tie)must give it to one
Pual jiamatii or colin murphy
To me pual jiamatii he act more than colin.murphy performe less
Solid predictions, Brian. They'll either follow the Globes or the GoldDerby frontrunners. I'd be heavily surprised at a curveball here.
Just watched Saltburn… surprised no one is talking about Alison Oliver. She definitely outshined Rosamund Pike throughout the movie. It could be because i kept hearing you praise Pike and i had expectations from her. But Oliver has two very impressive scenes which were the highlight of the film for me
I'd love to see Christina Ricci winning for Yellowjackets 😁
I think you got it right! Thanks for your channel!
I've been trying to see American Fiction for months and they just aren't playing it anywhere near me and I live in a major metropolitan area. I don't know what the deal is.
Have been looking forward to this all week! ❤
Yeah emma stone won best actrsss in critics choice and i hope she also win for Bafta and SAG and grab the second oscar for best actress.
Let’s be honest Fraser won the popularity contest just like Jamie Lee Curtis. The actors branch loved his comeback story and especially him crying everytime he could. If the Oscar voting was before the sag was announced Butler would have won. But Cillian has the narrative and the popularity contest, everyone thinks he’s overdue. No matter how much we audience love Giamatti, he isn’t as popular.
We have no clue what the academy thinks of Cillian. He's never been nominated, doesn't do fake charm, and handshaking. I think RDJ might pull a JLC and advocate on Cillians' behalf and hype the Oppenheimer team.
Brenden fraser was the best
He make tragedy role.
Buttler but make up and dance
And wining of brenden was amazing his wining video now 7 milion
The academy regrate about angella basset becase peale love she win so the applolgize to audiance in ohnrary oscar
The "Critics'" Choice Awards isn't an award given by actual critics. They should rename to Oscar Pundits' Choice Awards since they just try to predict the Oscars
Adapted screenplay =killers of the flower moon
Noooo bad screenplay
The original story so strong
But they make shallow screenplay and the distroy original story..thry dont make crime so strong.
And they repeat scences
Espisially the bed sceance
At least "Margaret" got SOME recognition, although it will probably never be the iconic girl-coming-of-age movie it deserves to be. I guess live-action films centering on girls' coming of age don't get to be iconic, however good they are. (How many people have heard of The World of Henry Orient?)
Where development of and interest in female characters are concerned, Greta Gerwig and Christopher Nolan are polar opposites. Nolan will win this year; that's close to a certainty. But Gerwig's time will come, and I hope I'll be there to see it.
Excellent analysis as usual! What did you think about the winners?
C'mon Critics Choice - let's get some surprises. Vote with your hearts and not predictive.
Lol, most of them just try and predict the oscar winners
I haven’t seen the holdovers yet but Danielle Brooks was so damn good. Best performance of the whole movie imo, she shows so much range and not a second on screen felt disingenuous. Plus dancing and singing, I just loved her.
It’s crazy you mentioned Margot Robbie for best actress and not Carey Mulligan. I just watched maestro and her performance was staggering. She was so good.
Hear me out, I think there is pretty strong evidence against Lily Gladstone winning Best Actress at Critics Choice. This mimics, almost exactly, last year’s Actress race.
If last year, Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett were pretty much tied for critics wins and the Critics Choice absolutely loved Everything Everywhere and still didn’t give the award to the actress who had the stronger narrative - both with the representational and star power factors. Then, why am I to believe that this year they’ll give it Gladstone for a performance that has failed to get much traction with film goers, in a film less loved, who might be the only award the film gets, that doesn’t have that strong of a narrative and is still nearly tied with Emma Stone’s critics wins?
Just doesn’t seem to work for me. I think an acting and screenplay win for Poor Things seems quite logical, and a good package for a phenomenal film!
What do you think?
She doesn't have narrative??? Do you remember the key narrative for Michelle Yeoh last year? Lily has much stronger narrative than Emma Stone.
@@jurney3478I never said she doesn’t have a narrative, I said she has a WEAKER narrative than the one of Michelle Yeoh last year. That is true, since Michelle Yeoh had three qualities to her campaign. Number 1: representational - first Asian best actress winner. Number 2: resonance with the public. Number 3: overdue factor - a person who’s been doing great work is finally being recognized.
Lily Gladstone, great as she is, only has one of those atributes working in her favour - the representational one. She’s very young, so it rules out the overdue factor. And, sadly, her work isn’t being talked about as much as Yeoh’s last year.
And yet, with all of Yeoh’s qualities, she still lost Critics Choice to Blanchett. So why predict Gladstone if she has a weaker narrative in a film which isn’t stirring that much conversation with audiences? Though you are right Stone doesn’t have a narrative, neither did Blanchett, but that didn’t stop her from winning, did it?
Well said and I totally agree with you.
Two desearve win
Emma win oscar before
Lilly first native amrican
Lilly make role based on real story
And good acting
Listen, we all love Emily Blunt. She needss to not win this season, especially at the Oscars. She was in the background until 1 great scene where Da'vine was phenomenon from A to Z. Its like pulling a Jamie Lee Curtis from last year where she rode the coat tails of EEOAO. Lets not please.
same for RDJ.
Davine joy randolf she was every time in film..and her story great fitnam son dead in war and she miss him in chrismas and she work in school alone.emely blant wash the dress in film.just wife
I love when Brian laughs at scenarios in his head that no one thinks is funny.
Plus what does “I’m not hearing about them…” Who are you listening too? Is there a secret podcast I’m missing? Or you just talking to your friends?
American Fiction just got a PGA award and 3 SAGs and 1 DGA!
It happens many times in critics choice awards that actress who wins golden globe for motion picture drama, also wins critics choice for best actress. So i think lily gladstone will win critics choice awards. But cant predict anything because exception is reese witherspoon who won golden globe comedy musical and critics choice for walk the line.
Someone pointed out that Barbie’s CC nominations are sort of padded by categories that Oppenheimer isn’t eligible for like Best Song, Young Performer, Best Comedy etc
In terms of major award noms it’s actually pretty even with Oppenheimer. I personally found Barbie to be extremely overrated so outside of the technical categories I’m hoping it doesn’t win too much
I can see that
If you only count Oscar-eligible CC nominations, Barbie received 14 while Oppenheimer received 12.
@@ryanleclair1023this is what they don’t seem to get lol😂
I second that
Charles melton is out of the conversation. He missed SAG and bafta.
True, that was weird.
How bafta?
And who in bafta
I’m still praying for a surprise De Niro win in supporting actor but seems a bit hopeless atm 😂
Robert downy j
and his diroctor
they win becase they make oppnhimer drama and searies and tragedy
So they sweap golden globe
Leanardo de caprioo and rebert scirsazy and martin scorsazy lose every thing becase they make film light funny joke so they lose
I love the idea of Gerwig winning for director here! She should!
I totally can’t find where to watch American Fiction!
Yep! Those are my predictions too
I feel like Barbie will bounce back at CC just like EEAAO did last year.
EEAAO didn't have an Oppy level threat competing against it. It's winning more here than it did at Globes but I'm not anticipating anything above the line except maybe screenplay
I dont care who wins anything else as long as pedro pascal wins. Sidenote….holdovers is good but i dont think davine gave such a stand-out performance, i dont understand why she is winning.
Great and very entertaining video. Your'e a natural at this. Interesting your views on Saltburn. The Guardian has an interesting piece on why it is the most talked about movie. The fact though that it is so divisive and talked about I think is in itself a sign that it is a great film.
Hi Brian, I agree with your predictions! If "Barbie" doesn't win big it will win for Ryan Gosling and I hold a little more hope than you for America Ferrara. Also, why have you been wearing that black coat for your last few videos? What part of the country do you live? Is it cold where you are? From your past comments I thought you lived in California.
Let’s just have Paul Giamatti sweep everything from here!
Not likely, Oppenheimers universal campaign is literally drowning everything out. They just did a concert with Cillian doing the intro, and they organized a massive party with the EEAAO crew, and other influential people in attendance (including some bafta members)
Agree. After this ceremony, the season is going to take shape and I suspect most nominees and eventual winners are going to align. This is a bit boring for me. I prefer when the diff awards bodies and ceremonies spread the love given the amazing work that is done
Iam so exiting to Critics awards
Becase the winner in comedy and drama winers
In golden globe will face each others in critics.
Pual jiamatii face colin murphy
And emma stone face lilly gladstone
They couldn’t give it to Cillian Murphy!
😢
I’m glad Oppenheimer won best picture!!
That sucked how they didn’t let everyone give a thank you speech.
America Ferrara only had one good scene with that monologue otherwise she had a 2 dimensional character.......No wonder she was snubbed at SAG and GG.
I am just mad that Fantasia is not among the nominees. I really hope she still get another nomination.
4 out of 8
Charles Melton wasn’t even nominated at SAG or BAFTA. Did you forget Brian? lol😂
BAFTAs have not been announced yet. They announce them only on the 18 Jan.
@@StefaroohBut Melton did not appear on the shortlist so he will not be nominated.
@@Stefaroohhe didn’t make the long list, so he’s ineligible for a nomination.
He must've recorded this before seeing the SAG nominations and the BAFTA Longlist? 😬
But those latter ones were a while ago so I just don't know what happened there. 🤔
I have a feeling Emma Stone is going to win here.
Charles Melton is not winning here and they do not award the most critically acclaimed performance they go with what they think will win the Oscar-Gosling or Downey.
Team Saltburn!!!
Jodie Foster should win! She is great!
She get oscar two time in her life
I’m probably in the very very very minority but I kinda want a tie in best director between greta Gerwig and Christopher Nolan
No...the holdovers✔ and oppinhimer ✔
but i hate tie.must go for 1
Cooper ain't winning shi. No one liked Maestro they just felt like they had to...
You don't have to like Maestro it's clearly not for everyone but Bradley was incredible in both acting and directing. He deserves this more than anyone as he's been giving oscar worthy performances for the past 15 years.
@@maysamftouni3280 I disagree personally that’s why I said what I said.
@@maysamftouni3280Facts
Best Original Screenplay: Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach - Barbie
Best Adapted Screenplay: Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer
or
Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Young Actor/ Actress:
Ariana Greenblatt- Barbie
Best Comedy:
Barbie
Best Actress:
Lily Gladstone- Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Actor:
Cillian Murphy- Oppenheimer
Best Supporting Actor:
Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer as Lewis Strauss
or
Ryan Gosling - Barbie as Ken
Best Supporting Actress:
Danielle Brooks - The Color Purple as Sofia
or America Ferreira- Barbie as Gloria
Best Director:
Christopher Nolan- Oppenheimer
or
Greta Gerwig- Barbie
Best Picture: Oppenheimer
Best Cast Ensemble:
Barbie
Best Song:
I’m Just Ken- Barbie
Best Visual Effects:
Guardians of the Galaxy vol 3
Best Animated Feature:
Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse
Best Hair & Makeup:
Barbie or The Color Purple
Come on Brian!
I disagree with you!!
I like it when my favorite actor wins!!!
I really wanted Cillian Murphy to be a lock for Oppenheimer!
I really like Oppenheimer but don't overdo it, because the Oscars are different, they will award the Oscar for best director to Martin Scorsese and best film to Killers of the Flower Moon
ugh that will be boring and we all know that movie isn't that good. even leonardo dicaprio was awful
@@disierra-amado5596 at the oscars you will be surprised
Any Best Actress without Sanda Huller isnt a complete race. Sorry
No Martin Scorsese and Killers Of The Flower Moon win
I HATED Barbie, and I'm a bleeding heart lib...LOL
Why did you hate it? Just curious 😊
I loved Barbie but I know it’s not a movie for everyone. I just like that type of comedy and I love Ryan Gosling and Margot Robbie.
@@jennatandy6272 I've never been a fan of Ryan Gosling. For one, I wish they would have done more with the discontinued dolls who live in the shadows. I thought the musical numbers were way too long. I didn't think the usually hilarious Will Ferrell was funny at all. It seemed that they were trying to throw everything (messaging, comedy) at the screen at all once. Michael Cera as Alan and Rea Perlman to me were the best parts of the whole film for me. I seem to be in a very small minority.
2nd comment! I've always wanted to be 2nd!
Brian, why do you keep wearing that coat - are you cold or something? Do you need a hug?
😂😂😂yes he feel all the time and you write that all the time too
Maestro was boring
Becase if have not story in it
When film mean story at first
Gosling Vs Downey Jr here imo, both would be highly deserving!!!
If Poor Things is so great why has not made any money. It is another EELAO. It should not have one the Oscar!!! Oppenheimer should win it all. Or Barbie.
Are you joking? EEAAO is a box office success. Stay pressed cos EEAAO won 7 Oscars!
It hasn't even fully released yet. I'm pretty sure it will make a profit in the end. Though it obviously won't be doing anything near Barbie/Oppenheimer.
We are on the edge of a nuclear war between USA and Russia, it is obiously that Hollywood will give all the awards they can to the movie that talks about that, even if it doesn't deserve them. Let's be honest the best picture of the year is Killers Of The Flower Moon. There are a lot of movies better than Oppenheimer but sadly it is winning everything.
oppenheimer better
Orginal screenplay:
The holdovers✔
I think if they give best supporting actross and best actor to cast of the holdovers.
Must give the holdovers...best screenplay.
Becase that mean the film big contender...so they must give it chance in seasion to contunue combation.
Past live... right screenplay...but the story old fashion.
May december..great story..bad screenplay.
Barbi..feminst story.
Air..they dont make succsus.
Maystroa..bad story and bad screenplay.✖✖✖
I conceder maystro the badest screenplay..in all seasion..the film have no story.
Best supporting actross:
Devine joy randlof✔
Her acting so right.
She supporting but her role with parsional story.
And she act drama in comedy film.
And het coustume so righ.
+
Dneail brocks✔... she good.
She in comption with her.
In color purple.
Emely blant...
Good acting but small short role..if she win will be surprise.
But i prefer to watch
Davine joy randolf or daneal brocks win... becase they make good acting and the role have story.
When emely she dont show us story in her role.
Jullian role..
Nothing new in her performance.
And she act in bad screenplay...and they write her role wrong..she must be leading role...and she act it...but they let her support when all the story about her.
Sooo wrong...they make nattaly leading role...she ask about het story..dont show us.
The film combletly wrong.
Jodi foster...
Good acting...but funny.
If she was in film or not nothing will be defrent.
Davine ✔and brocks✔ more important role.
Best actor:
Between ( pual jiammatii)✔ and ( colin marphy ) ✔
They win golden globe...for comedy and drama.
And i think they face each others..in critics.
That will make us know bow will win when they mix it in same category.
Who will win.
Leanardo de caprioo
Was funnh in tragedy film.
So he dont be drama actor and not be comedy actor.
So he dont get careness.
Bradly cooper:
Bad..bad..bad..✖✖✖
Whre the story...
He lost in role
Bacase he all film dont find story to act it...he make good make up and fisical change...and he try to make effort in performance...but useless with weak role.
If he win will be suprise.
But maybe win.
Best supporting actor:
Robert downy j✔✔✔
And
Charles milton ✔
Best actross:
Lilly gladston✔...and emma stone✔
They win golden globe..in comedy and drama.
So they will mix it in same category.
What i like it in lilly gladsone..
She only one make right performance in film
She make tragedy acting..in tragedy acting.
The actor and best supporting actor and diroction.
Make comedy style...they try to be funny in acting and picture...that wrong..so they ignor them.
Emma stone
She leading role...
More gladstone..
Gladstone look like supporting.
But gladston role more important than emma...
Becase she make real biopic historical story.
So gladston ✔
Carry moligan...
Same bradly cooper
She dont get role.
She just try to make performance to make film have something.
No role..no story.✖
Past live and anatomy of fall...
No surprise if one if they win
Past live great acting..but story from black and white.
Anatomy of all...
The story same crime programe...but with weak resion to crime.
Barbi...just funny for teenger.
No sense she win.
Best diroctor
Christover in oppinhimer✔
And alxander nollan in the holdover✔
Becase the diroctir of oppnhimer so searies.
And the holdovers ✔✔✔diroctor
Show us the place naturaly and so honest...and he mix drama with comedy in good way and he direct the performance so right.
The killer of flower moon
Bad color and so fake places and so bad embody historical places...and the diroctor make film light...that wrong.
Maystroa
I like diroctor
He make film so classic.
But the story...
Make diroction...foucus just about in beaty...of places snd make up...and face and fashion of this era.
Barbi...funny and bad color and same old diroction..they use the tiqnical wrong.
Poor thing...
Fantazy fake diroction.
When watch the film...they use computer in it.
The story and acting better.
Best picture
Oppinhimer✔and poor thing✔
This my opinion
I agree with you brian ✔👏
Sterling K Brown really? Never believed he was Jeffrey Wrights brother - never believed he was gay... Cant believe he's in these same category with Robert Deniro.
1st comment here!!
Emma: “Lookit me! My eyebrows and hair are quirky! Gimme award! Love me!”
Have you even seen Poor Things?
@@ClassicalMusic2002 Emma: “Lookit me! I studied at the Meryl Streep human-mimicking school of soulless acting! Gimme Oscar! Movies are still a thing!”
@@wrh41 thank you for not answering the question. I’m assuming that you haven’t seen poor things
@@ClassicalMusic2002 Emma: “Ya! You better sit 2 hrs getting fatter and uglier and take yur medicine! Damm u! But love me! Haha!”
@@ClassicalMusic2002 Emma: “Watch me pretend to have fun bein’ quirky and wohnderfuhl! While you consume calories in the dark and wish you were having fun! Love me!”