I look at common opponents and see what the scoring margins were. Point differential was real close. Going by that, this should be a one score difference.
It's been overlooked by many that Oregon's been very good against everyone's D-line with the exception of the first two games when Oregon was still figuring out the O-line and how to play together as a team. Oregon gave up 7 sacks in those two games, but they have given up only 5 sacks total for the following ten games. Say what you want about the caliber of those ten teams, they included some very good front 7s however bad they were in the rest of their rosters. Dillon Gabriel has excellent escape skills and the ability to throw accurately on the run in addition to a much improved O-line. And as Ohio St found out, if you can't get real pressure on Gabriel, he'll make you pay. On the flip side, Oregon has an awesome front 7 that has caused nightmares for opposing offenses. In the Washington game last Saturday, Oregon's D recorded 10 sacks and 16 tfl. In one game! Eight different players were in on those sacks, too, so it's not like you can just focus on blocking out a couple guys. I actually don't think that this game is going to be all that close, though I do respect this Penn St squad a lot.
I totally agree and im a oregon fan but i respect penn state they are very good and should have beat osu. The one thing i think thats gonna change this game is Dillon Gabriel and not bc of his throwing but the ability to run i think this game is gonna be end with dillon running for first downs and possibly a touchdown the same way justin Herbert did when he played Wisconsin and they let him run more. I see the same thing happening here and my score prediction is Oregon winning 31-21 drew throws a pick pick late in the game that gives oregon the 10 point lead
Duck fan here: Absolutely love your stats here!!.. Also, Love Penn St and the passion of their fans! On paper, this is a very evenly matched game.. My prediction is at the end of this overview. This game will be competitive in its beginning.
PENN STATE: I expect Penn St to have some success in the run game early (Oregon usually catches up and figures teams out by the 2nd and 3rd quarters, and will eventually shut down the run game). I also expect Penn St to pass often past Oregon’s secondary (there are some vulnerabilities there), this will be their best way to take down Oregon - and Penn St’s passing average is better than Oregon’s. Drew Allar: 207 passing completions @ 71% _Rank #37 (not bad) this means he relies on his long pass. Penn state does well defending against 6 game winning teams but struggles creating a point spread against opponents with 7 game wins and over.. [1 win and 1 loss against ranked teams] Penn St = 362 total tackles and 32 sacks for the season (Average 19.25 pt spreads on away games). Penn St’s defense is among the best, I’m not convinced they will be able to overcome the best Offensive line in the country and hence not stop the Oregon offense as the game carries into the second half. OREGON: I expect Oregon come out running the ball - and testing the defense’s discipline - they will test Penn with the war of attrition.. this is the Oregon way (no huddle, hurry up and uptempo offense) Oregon = 665 total tackles and 39 sacks for the season-[10 sacks came in the last game]. (Average home win spread = 23 pts). [3 wins against ranked opponents]. And Oregon's playing in a comfy stadium - AAAWWW Man - they'll love the add'l speed!! However, Tez Johnson (WR) is back .. But we now we now have a healthy Jordan Burch (DE), Terrence Ferguson (TE) as well as Tez - back and rested - they showed their style of truth against Washington. I don’t expect Jordan James not to be looking to crack someone in the mouth.. As long as Dillon Gabriel stays steady and rides the atmosphere - Oregon should win ‘handily’. Dillon Gabriel: 275 passing completions at 73.5%_Rank #10 (best completion % in the country) due to his vision/confidence. Let's not forget (easily dismissed by most commentators) - Oregon's Offensive line is top notch and Penn st needs to get to Dillon to be effective - This will not be as easy as Penn St thinks! CONCLUSION: Oregon's Dan Lanning will win the psychological war here and out coach Penn's coaches - He will be ready! Oregon’s ‘consistent’ defense has been phenomenal and will be the game changer.. Oregon’s defense will come after QB Drew Allar often and with ill intent to win this game - very likely leaving Penn St’s Drew Allar too shaken to be pertinent. Also, Penn St probably will not be able to stop the Oregon run game, and if left unchallenged - Oregon’s offense will run up the score. 16-38 Oregon
This will be Penn State’s 7th straight game. Oregon just had a bye before playing UW. I don’t think that’s being discussed enough. It should be a huge advantage for Oregon.
Oregon has had games where the've shot themselves in the foot with penalties that erased significant gains; I think penalties will be key to keep to a minimum, the most disciplined team will have an edge in this game. As a Duck fan, I compare the upcoming BIG championship game with last year's PAC12 championship game, PSU is in the same situation as Washington was last year who played for the Natty; the Ducks can't be their own worst enemy to win this. "Holding, offense, #77, 10 yard penalty, repeat 3rd down." The losing team may have an easier playoff schedule than the winner, as the winner will have to play the winner of #7-#8, Tennessee or Georgia, and the loser will play at home against @#11 Indiana (no disrespect,) then the winner of Miami-Boise St.
It really bs that 3 of 5 top teams are in the 1/4/5/8/9 seed side. wtf is that. Notre dame gets its own bracket and Texas and Georgia have their own. That’s is wrong. The 1 and 5 seed should be rewarded not have harder bracket.
Jordan Burch was on a snap count. Gabriel gets the ball out in an average of 2 seconds or less. Speed on the outside is an advantage for Oregon . Penn States linebackers have to be FAST so that the secondary doesn't have to crash. If not it could be ugly.
Name one game that Penn State was favorite and lost? Some say the path is easier if they lose..let's see? Play Ohio St if they win or Arizona State in happy valley? Which is better?
Here’s the spread 1 to 50 points. Bunch of fing idiots. You have a crystal ball? Bet ten grand on your spread and if you win tell us about it. Till then, just let them play the damn game!
Penn State at Wisconsin 28-13 Oregon 16-13 Penn State Wash 36-6 Oregon 49-21 Penn State Iilinois 21-7 Oregon 38-14 UCLA was same as well. Penn State OSU 7 pt Oregon won by 1 Overall very close same even. Oregon has a OFF like OSU and Oenn State has a better Defense then OSU Oregon. OSU only got 20 pts and 7 was gifted by terrible unsportsmanlike Oregon only got 16 pts on Wisconsin and they play similiar hard against t style Penn State defense does and Penn State only score 13 on OSU without pts twice inside five yd line that doesn’t happen let alone twice. What does mean it’s really close even. Oregon is a top OFF like OSU and Oenn State is a top defense. Based on other games agaisnt same teams Penn State 25 Oregon 20
third string in fourth buddy eight game winning streak if i remember we beat osu and u didn;t ducks win cause franklin chokes stop being stupid and delusional ok :)
Not saying we win, but the line isn’t going to 6/6.5 unless there’s an unknown major injury that will be revealed.
I look at common opponents and see what the scoring margins were. Point differential was real close. Going by that, this should be a one score difference.
GO DUCKSSSS
Hell yeah!!
Ducks defense is both too fast & too quick. 🦆🦆🏈 31-20
It's been overlooked by many that Oregon's been very good against everyone's D-line with the exception of the first two games when Oregon was still figuring out the O-line and how to play together as a team. Oregon gave up 7 sacks in those two games, but they have given up only 5 sacks total for the following ten games. Say what you want about the caliber of those ten teams, they included some very good front 7s however bad they were in the rest of their rosters. Dillon Gabriel has excellent escape skills and the ability to throw accurately on the run in addition to a much improved O-line. And as Ohio St found out, if you can't get real pressure on Gabriel, he'll make you pay. On the flip side, Oregon has an awesome front 7 that has caused nightmares for opposing offenses. In the Washington game last Saturday, Oregon's D recorded 10 sacks and 16 tfl. In one game! Eight different players were in on those sacks, too, so it's not like you can just focus on blocking out a couple guys. I actually don't think that this game is going to be all that close, though I do respect this Penn St squad a lot.
I totally agree and im a oregon fan but i respect penn state they are very good and should have beat osu. The one thing i think thats gonna change this game is Dillon Gabriel and not bc of his throwing but the ability to run i think this game is gonna be end with dillon running for first downs and possibly a touchdown the same way justin Herbert did when he played Wisconsin and they let him run more. I see the same thing happening here and my score prediction is Oregon winning 31-21 drew throws a pick pick late in the game that gives oregon the 10 point lead
It was Oregons overall speed , despite their size , that caught Ohio State off guard....
Duck fan here: Absolutely love your stats here!!.. Also, Love Penn St and the passion of their fans! On paper, this is a very evenly matched game.. My prediction is at the end of this overview. This game will be competitive in its beginning.
PENN STATE: I expect Penn St to have some success in the run game early (Oregon usually catches up and figures teams out by the 2nd and 3rd quarters, and will eventually shut down the run game). I also expect Penn St to pass often past Oregon’s secondary (there are some vulnerabilities there), this will be their best way to take down Oregon - and Penn St’s passing average is better than Oregon’s. Drew Allar: 207 passing completions @ 71% _Rank #37 (not bad) this means he relies on his long pass.
Penn state does well defending against 6 game winning teams but struggles creating a point spread against opponents with 7 game wins and over.. [1 win and 1 loss against ranked teams]
Penn St = 362 total tackles and 32 sacks for the season (Average 19.25 pt spreads on away games). Penn St’s defense is among the best, I’m not convinced they will be able to overcome the best Offensive line in the country and hence not stop the Oregon offense as the game carries into the second half.
OREGON: I expect Oregon come out running the ball - and testing the defense’s discipline - they will test Penn with the war of attrition.. this is the Oregon way (no huddle, hurry up and uptempo offense)
Oregon = 665 total tackles and 39 sacks for the season-[10 sacks came in the last game]. (Average home win spread = 23 pts). [3 wins against ranked opponents]. And Oregon's playing in a comfy stadium - AAAWWW Man - they'll love the add'l speed!!
However, Tez Johnson (WR) is back .. But we now we now have a healthy Jordan Burch (DE), Terrence Ferguson (TE) as well as Tez - back and rested - they showed their style of truth against Washington. I don’t expect Jordan James not to be looking to crack someone in the mouth.. As long as Dillon Gabriel stays steady and rides the atmosphere - Oregon should win ‘handily’. Dillon Gabriel: 275 passing completions at 73.5%_Rank #10 (best completion % in the country) due to his vision/confidence.
Let's not forget (easily dismissed by most commentators) - Oregon's Offensive line is top notch and Penn st needs to get to Dillon to be effective - This will not be as easy as Penn St thinks!
CONCLUSION: Oregon's Dan Lanning will win the psychological war here and out coach Penn's coaches - He will be ready!
Oregon’s ‘consistent’ defense has been phenomenal and will be the game changer.. Oregon’s defense will come after QB Drew Allar often and with ill intent to win this game - very likely leaving Penn St’s Drew Allar too shaken to be pertinent. Also, Penn St probably will not be able to stop the Oregon run game, and if left unchallenged - Oregon’s offense will run up the score.
16-38 Oregon
Yep. PSU has never seen such a team before 🙄
We Are ... PENN STATE !!
oregon future son :)
This will be Penn State’s 7th straight game. Oregon just had a bye before playing UW. I don’t think that’s being discussed enough. It should be a huge advantage for Oregon.
Similar team stats and a 3.5 spread. My guess is that it will be close.
not close, Oregon by 10
Incorrect: "Me and Bob talked...Me and Max talked..."
Correct: "Bob and I talked...Max and I talked..."
Oregon has had games where the've shot themselves in the foot with penalties that erased significant gains; I think penalties will be key to keep to a minimum, the most disciplined team will have an edge in this game. As a Duck fan, I compare the upcoming BIG championship game with last year's PAC12 championship game, PSU is in the same situation as Washington was last year who played for the Natty; the Ducks can't be their own worst enemy to win this. "Holding, offense, #77, 10 yard penalty, repeat 3rd down."
The losing team may have an easier playoff schedule than the winner, as the winner will have to play the winner of #7-#8, Tennessee or Georgia, and the loser will play at home against @#11 Indiana (no disrespect,) then the winner of Miami-Boise St.
It really bs that 3 of 5 top teams are in the 1/4/5/8/9 seed side. wtf is that. Notre dame gets its own bracket and Texas and Georgia have their own. That’s is wrong.
The 1 and 5 seed should be rewarded not have harder bracket.
The winner of this gets a first round bye. You want to win to get the bye.
Jordan Burch was on a snap count.
Gabriel gets the ball out in an average of 2 seconds or less. Speed on the outside is an advantage for Oregon . Penn States linebackers have to be FAST so that the secondary doesn't have to crash. If not it could be ugly.
yes,you r
If Penn State can’t score it might get ugly
Sorry Ducks 42-21... too much offense.
🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆
Might be close for the first half, but Oregon will blow this open in the second half and winning g away. 42-17
They will show up/make a game of it...but in the end..Franklin/staff will blow another one vs a top opponent.
3-19
Name one game that Penn State was favorite and lost? Some say the path is easier if they lose..let's see? Play Ohio St if they win or Arizona State in happy valley? Which is better?
Here’s the spread 1 to 50 points. Bunch of fing idiots. You have a crystal ball? Bet ten grand on your spread and if you win tell us about it. Till then, just let them play the damn game!
Dude, come on, you write for a living. “Me and Max,”…”Me and Bob…”?
I’m not trying to be negative, but the way y’all talk idk how we’re even gonna score a point
dw ur still in the playoffa would have been better for yall if osu won maybe?
it's great to see Bobby the Alcoholic is not on this Video 👍👍
Booooo.
Lmmfao U 🤡 😂 😅 😂@@whofan1967
poor form
Penn State at Wisconsin 28-13 Oregon 16-13
Penn State Wash 36-6 Oregon 49-21
Penn State Iilinois 21-7 Oregon 38-14
UCLA was same as well.
Penn State OSU 7 pt Oregon won by 1
Overall very close same even. Oregon has a OFF like OSU and Oenn State has a better Defense then OSU Oregon.
OSU only got 20 pts and 7 was gifted by terrible unsportsmanlike Oregon only got 16 pts on Wisconsin and they play similiar hard against t style Penn State defense does and Penn State only score 13 on OSU without pts twice inside five yd line that doesn’t happen let alone twice. What does mean it’s really close even. Oregon is a top OFF like OSU and Oenn State is a top defense.
Based on other games agaisnt same teams
Penn State 25 Oregon 20
This sounds like pregame cope to be honest. The game isn't played on paper, my guy.
third string in fourth buddy eight game winning streak if i remember we beat osu and u didn;t ducks win cause franklin chokes stop being stupid and delusional ok :)
That's about right. Heard the same noise from the Utah crowd a few years ago.