Bonds To Buy Next: What’s Left To Invest In When Fed Cuts Rates?

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 18 ก.ย. 2024
  • As interest rates for fixed income products decrease, what will there be left to invest in? What other bonds & “bond-like” investments might you want to consider currently?
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ความคิดเห็น • 103

  • @DiamondNestEgg
    @DiamondNestEgg  3 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

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    Why Invest In Bonds
    New Issue vs Secondary Market Bonds
    Interest Rates & Bond Prices
    Current Yield & Yield To Maturity
    Always Remember This!
    Buying At Par, Above Par & Below Par
    Different Types Of Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    2. The Risks Of Bond Investing
    Seven Key Bond Risks
    Credit Risk
    Interest Rate Risk
    Reinvestment Risk/Call Risk
    Inflation Risk
    Liquidity Risk
    Currency Risk & Country Risk
    Bond Risk Mitigation Strategies
    Wrap-Up
    3. US Treasuries Overview
    What Are US Treasuries
    Why Invest In Treasuries
    Where Can You Buy Treasuries
    How Are Treasuries Taxed
    Wrap-Up
    4. Treasury Bills
    What Are Treasury Bills (T-Bills)
    When Do T-Bill Auctions Happen
    Where Should You Buy At Auction
    Auto-Roll When Buying At Auction
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    5. Treasury Notes & Bonds
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    When Do Auctions Happen
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    Floating Rate Notes (FRNs)
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    6. TIPS (Inflation-Protected)
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    Nominal vs Real Yields
    Negative Yields
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    Taxes On Phantom Income
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    7. I-Bonds (Inflation-Protected)
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    8. Agency Bonds
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    Treasuries vs Agencies
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    Yield-To-Call & Yield-To-Worst
    Where Can You Buy Agency Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    9. Municipal Bonds
    Our Bond Universe Gets More Complex
    What Are Municipal Bonds
    How Safe Are Munis
    How Are Munis Taxed
    The De Minimis Rule
    Social Security & Medicare Premiums
    Treasuries, Agencies & Munis
    Who Might Want To Consider Munis
    Wrap-Up
    10. Corporate Bonds
    Our Bond Universe Is Complete
    What Are Corporate Bonds
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    Corporate Bond Hierarchies
    Five Key Features Of Corporate Bonds
    How Are Corporates Taxed
    Treasuries vs Corporates, Etc.
    Who Might Want To Buy Corporates
    Wrap-Up
    >>>>>>>>>>
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    1. Stocks vs Bonds
    Historical Performance
    Are Bonds Really Less Volatile
    Why Invest In Bonds
    Accumulation vs Decumulation
    Allocation of Stocks vs Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    2. Which Bonds Might Be Right For You
    Treasuries & Other Types of Bonds
    Nominal vs Real Yields
    Inflation vs Non-Inflation-Protected
    Taxable vs Tax-Advantaged Accounts
    Wrap-Up
    3. Bond Ladders & Other Bond Strategies
    Normal vs Inverted Yield Curve
    What Is A Bond Ladder
    5 Important Bond Laddering Questions
    Laddering When Rates Are Rising
    Laddering When Rates Are Falling
    Laddering When Rates Are Uncertain
    What Is A Bullet
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    4. Holding to Maturity vs Selling Early
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    Wrap-Up
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    Our B.E.S.T Model Portfolios By Age
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    B.E.S.T Model Portfolio Difference
    How Much Do You Need To Retire?
    How I Use The Rules of 100, 110, & 120
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (20s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (30s & 40s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (50s & 60s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (70s+)
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    7. The Decumulation Phase
    What Is The Decumulation Phase?
    Bear Markets & Recessions
    What Can You Do In Bad/Bear Markets
    Decumulation Tax Considerations
    The 4% Rule
    The Bucket Strategy
    The Flooring Approach
    Jen’s Bucket Strategy With A Twist
    Wrap-Up
    >>>>>>>>>>
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  • @tommydesimone269
    @tommydesimone269 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    I dumped most of my money into 20 and 30 year treasury bonds at 4.75% earlier this year and never looked back. This channel helped me through the process of buying them, thanks again!

    • @user-gp8yq
      @user-gp8yq 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Nice.

  • @Thisishard2333
    @Thisishard2333 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +41

    Sticking with my T-bills. consolidating everything into four week T-bills.5.053 This week still pretty good.

    • @noydbwia
      @noydbwia 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      the 4&8w both are down .01 each and the longer the t-bill is, the more significant the decrease is. Your money is safer that way though, so there's that...

    • @sondersrn8061
      @sondersrn8061 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      I live in CA sticking with T bills 💸

    • @HODIUSDUDE
      @HODIUSDUDE 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      Same. I've been in 4-week T-Bills since April. Once the they drop into the low 4% range, I will probably be looking at muni's and corporates. Expecting the stock market to bottom by Spring 2026.

  • @pauljoseph2400
    @pauljoseph2400 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +13

    I started buying the 20 and 30 yr bonds in Nov 2023 through May 2024. My effective interest rate 4.6%, and 4.74% (state taxable equivalent). Now I just have to seek the highest return for reinvesting my annual interest.

    • @JamesBlazen
      @JamesBlazen 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      You can sell those bonds, cash in the capital gains and re-invest at 5%.

    • @pauljoseph2400
      @pauljoseph2400 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@JamesBlazen I'm retired, with a defined benefit (inflation adjusted) pension, plus a couple of additional annuities. I don't need the interest right now, so I'll be rolling it over until sometime in the future.

    • @davidtvedte1337
      @davidtvedte1337 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      I also bought 20 year bonds last spring at 4.5%. Currently already have a built in capital gain of nearly 6%. Even though short term rates are still currently higher, I am am correct and the Fed drops rates 2% over the upcoming years my bonds will look even better then. At that time I can continue with the 4.5% rate of return which will be better than the marker OR I can take significant capital gains.

  • @beaverish
    @beaverish 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    T-bills are still attractive even at 4%. What I do is take the remaining proceeds after buying T-bills and invest that into index funds. So instead of getting 4-5% annual return, I get like 6-7%.

  • @eliseleblanc740
    @eliseleblanc740 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Have you thought of doing a video on preferred stocks? Yes more risk than bonds but higher dividends than common stock. I hold some PFF (iShares Preferred ETF) and get a nice monthly dividend. Not for everyone but worth considering.

    • @morrismonet3554
      @morrismonet3554 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I like PFXF Preferred stocks minus the financials. Over 7% dividend, too.

    • @g.t.richardson6311
      @g.t.richardson6311 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      True .. nice monthly income
      Also some preferred stocks in my Schwab account, All of them purchased in the $20-$21 range when markets were way down over the years
      So some of them, I still show a loss, But they keep paying me 5% dividends, And they will keep paying because none of the companies that I have them with are gonna cut their regular dividend on their common stock
      TFC, COF, PSA

  • @TheLucasFamily4
    @TheLucasFamily4 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    When do you plan to cover i-bond fixed rate projections for October? Do you expect they will be lower?

  • @thereelphil
    @thereelphil 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

    I'm going to start putting my extra savings into Lottery scratch offs.

    • @g.t.richardson6311
      @g.t.richardson6311 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Smart
      T Rowe price has a nice lottery balanced fund that puts 25% in mega millions, 25% in daily numbers, 25% in 10/20$ scratch offs, 25% in the 1/2/5 scratch offs

    • @acilirp
      @acilirp 8 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Irrelevant comment.

    • @user-oh8jj8ht1s
      @user-oh8jj8ht1s ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@acilirp Humor is as always relevant. The world needs more humor.

  • @clays7741
    @clays7741 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    The GSE’s are in the 5’s. Jenny Mae , and Fannie Mae mortgage backed securities were trading every day last week between 5.1% - 5.8%

  • @johnrac3302
    @johnrac3302 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Thanks for the Sunday eve wrap & ideas Jen! Rates aren’t terrible (yet) in my universe. Btw - nice red crock ;)

  • @morrismonet3554
    @morrismonet3554 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    I doubled my allocation to my Preferred Stock ETF las Friday.

  • @lilblackduc7312
    @lilblackduc7312 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Thank you for citing examples for the "Risk Adverse"! Good show...🇺🇸 👍☕

  • @Vacationtime247
    @Vacationtime247 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    'Nicky Leaks' (Nick Timiraos at the Wall Street Journal) wrote a piece saying how the Fed was considering a 75 BP cut to begin. As of Friday 9/13 the Fed Futures had a 50% odds of both a 25 and 50 BP cut. The Fed is in their black out window and used their favorite outlet to relay the information before their FOMC meeting this coming Wednesday.

  • @StevenV-xh1bc
    @StevenV-xh1bc 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Please recommend international bonds, to protect from dollar devaluation, thanks.

  • @FunTimePlaying
    @FunTimePlaying 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    I was thrilled when 6 month t-bills hit 4.7%+ in Nov 2022. Now, almost 2 years later they're back and I've been capturing yield for income generation before they drop even further. Last week's 4.7% 6 month t-bill isn't as good as 5.3%, but looks a whole lot better than if rates drop to 3.X%.
    But, what to do with the money when the t-bills mature? Not knowing where t-bill rates will be in 6 months I'm starting to slowly get into some (hopefully stable) dividend paying stocks. Not looking forward to the volatility, but after 35 years of investing all I have to say is "here we go again".

  • @dogegamer3288
    @dogegamer3288 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I made most my wealth in TLT, TMF and BND at this exact juncture back in 2018-2020. The ETFs for bond indexes did extremely well during rate cuts.

  • @JamesBlazen
    @JamesBlazen 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    90 day and less t-bills and wait for credit spreads to blow out.

  • @paulseidel5819
    @paulseidel5819 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Personally, i am comfortable with agency and corporate debt. However, i am now getting some first hand experience with having bonds called, so I will look into the non callable bonds and CDs on secondary market for that portion of portfolio.

  • @sunlover5150
    @sunlover5150 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    My Agency bonds are being called at a rapid pace. Part of the game. Generally reinvesting in short term (13 weeks or less) Tbills, with the occasional Corporate bond when risk/reward feels worthwhile.

    • @mr.j2776
      @mr.j2776 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I've got several agency bonds. Three of them hit the "callable" window in April. They have not called them so far, but I am sure the will get to mine.

    • @Trust_but_Verify
      @Trust_but_Verify 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      I guess instead of short term notes 3-6 months just use Agency bonds for higher yield and expect them to get called in 6 months.

    • @mr.j2776
      @mr.j2776 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@Trust_but_Verify I think a lot of us are doing that. And I am slowly reinvesting into my equity funds.

  • @davidwarner6657
    @davidwarner6657 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    T-bills are still attractive even at 4%

  • @toddc3135
    @toddc3135 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I've been buying up bonds for the past few months to lock in the rate its paying now. Why shop later?

  • @Someone-lc6dc
    @Someone-lc6dc 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I've got a question... I have an ETF with 20+ US bonds. The thing is that I was buying it at various times and at different prices. How can I figure out what my yield is? And... how can I find out how much potential this ETF has given the fact that some rate cuts are already baked in?

  • @Xfactor926
    @Xfactor926 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I am considering more I-Bonds based on the premise the fixed rate was determined by where the 5 year T-Note was several months ago. If you buy before Nov 1st you get 1.3% plus variable inflation rate which at worst should be Fed target inflation rate of 2.5% - thus 3.8% total which is greater than the 10 yr plus more liquid and more tax efficient plus upside protection against high inflation is better than the risk of low inflation as floor is 1.3% (ok zero % if we have 1.3% of deflation.
    Hope you can cover this option in a future video or maybe if you update your projected fixed ibond rate for bonds issued November 1st.
    To be fair I already have a bunch of 20 year bonds at above 4.5% that are in the money so ibonds feel like a nice between option as a mid duration play.

  • @colinstalley8386
    @colinstalley8386 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Would you do a video on buying t bills on secondary market on E*Trade? I don’t understand buy at price vs yield.

  • @davidv.2050
    @davidv.2050 15 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Waiting to see how TLT would react to the first rate cut today 9/18. It actually fell 1.7%. I think most people thought it was “off to the races” with TLT but have been disappointed at just 1.3% YTD.

  • @zhenzhen2577
    @zhenzhen2577 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    I do the same thing

  • @chrisp3913
    @chrisp3913 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Do agencies usually get called? I have had 3 CD’s called in the last month?

  • @Velacreations
    @Velacreations 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    CLO debt ETFs look pretty good, especially the AAA and AA tranches

    • @MrDboydeluxe
      @MrDboydeluxe 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Been riding CLO's for over 18 months now (JAAA, PAAA, CLOA) take your pick, same with floating rate etfs, those I will be trimming soon.

    • @Velacreations
      @Velacreations 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@MrDboydeluxe ICLO is another one

  • @josephruocco7571
    @josephruocco7571 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    as yields go down, prices should go up. Are you considering buying bonds for the price appreciation?

    • @pdouglas3866
      @pdouglas3866 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Yields go down because prices DO go up. Like a teeter totter.

  • @JosephDickson
    @JosephDickson 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It's relative, I use T-Bills for my emergency fund and short term cash equivalent. Seems I'll continue to get a better yield than CDs from my credit union.

  • @AuddreyKelleigh
    @AuddreyKelleigh 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    Very professional, great video.

  • @DavidLitman-ph9lu
    @DavidLitman-ph9lu 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    For those with higher risk tolerance, BSJR is paying a 30 day yield of 6.77%. This bond ETF has high yield corporate bonds that all mature in 2027. There is some safety in numbers, in terms of default risk, and principal is returned at end of 2027, similar to a single bond.

  • @Userllmaa
    @Userllmaa 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    There are a lot to learn about bond investment. Too old to invest in bond?

  • @tomsoltess6636
    @tomsoltess6636 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    TLT

  • @cryptog3509
    @cryptog3509 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    We still bullish on tlt and tmf?

  • @KevinDennehy-i1n
    @KevinDennehy-i1n 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Where does investing in Mortgage Back Securities fit into overall bond plan.?Inquiring minds want to know. Thanks

  • @edmalin9485
    @edmalin9485 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Still getting 5% plus 8 week t-bills

  • @agsmith001
    @agsmith001 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks for the great content ! Q:how do you feel about CLO's?

  • @ScottScott-b4h
    @ScottScott-b4h 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Picked up a block of 8 wk T-bills at 4.9% this morning. I'm ok with ST Treasuries until they fall below 3.5. But I don't need coupon payments. My equity side is crushing it with FXAIX right now. If the market takes another big plunge like last month I'll pick up some more of that index fund.

  • @kellylee514
    @kellylee514 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I should know this but the 20 year coupon is 4.125. Is that the rate I will get tomorrow if I buy?

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  2 วันที่ผ่านมา

      That is the coupon/interest rate. The price/high yield is still to be determined. I think you are in Bond Beginners? If yes, you can refer to Module 5, Video D for more details.

    • @kellylee514
      @kellylee514 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@DiamondNestEgg thank you. I just haven’t had time to open up the course & go through it all. Hoping someone can tell me what interest rate a 20 year bond with a 4.125 coupon , unit price 101.15982 equates to please? Thank you 😊

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@kellylee514 the 4.125% coupon is the interest rate. The auction high yield (which incorporates the price you paid) is 4.039%.

    • @kellylee514
      @kellylee514 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@DiamondNestEgg thank you. It just came over on my email confirmation. 😉

  • @chrisp3913
    @chrisp3913 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Bond ETFs in a decreasing interest rate world or corporates. Pros and Cons?

  • @chuckawalla
    @chuckawalla 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Buying longer dated high grade Muni’s

  • @Caldwell-c1n
    @Caldwell-c1n 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I presently reside in a rural area of Kansas and officially retired at the end of October. I say retired because I left my job without having another one and I had no intention of returning to work a full-time job. I do have a small amount of side income from investments, but that is all I need to live on. My savings is smaller than most retirees', but I am not touching that money and I am watching it grow.

    • @Sar-u6d
      @Sar-u6d 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Those of you who are newer are paying your dues, gaining experience, and trying to lock up some profit, but I encourage you to put some away for the long term. If you can use a Roth IRA, put some away tax-free to save for your retirement and benefit from you know growth in the overall market and compound interest as it um as it starts to gain. I worked hard in 2019 2020 21 22 and put some money into the market long term sitting in a pretty nice spot.

    • @HarrisKmorreti
      @HarrisKmorreti 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I started off slowly and built up my initial investment at $6. I made a small profit at the top of the candle, which now dips and I added back. This was my first trade, and I made $1,000 on it. After that, I increased the size of my position, becoming more aggressive and capping it at about 10,000 shares. Looking back, this was a nice move from 650 up to 750 all the way up to $8, and we peaked at $8.30 before pulling back.

    • @MyOpinionNow2024
      @MyOpinionNow2024 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@HarrisKmorreti congrats

  • @ebrahimhabib477
    @ebrahimhabib477 2 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Very professional video

  • @Mr.Switchy
    @Mr.Switchy 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    FDLXX & SGOV

  • @Bubba-q2b
    @Bubba-q2b 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    My money market fund still pays 5%.

    • @morrismonet3554
      @morrismonet3554 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      Not for long if fed cuts rates.

  • @bryansmith307
    @bryansmith307 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Baby bonds are still yielding 7%+

  • @josephblake8167
    @josephblake8167 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Great show, thank you

  • @elkcircle7245
    @elkcircle7245 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    We've had a portion of our assets in treasuries during the higher yield period, but plan to move more funds across into a batch of PIMCO-managed high yield funds that have been much more beneficial over the last 2 years; PDI, PCN, PTY. They are moderately higher risk than treasuries of course, but the counter to that is PIMCO's highly professional management.

    • @melissajackson2537
      @melissajackson2537 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Does Vanguard have equivalent funds?

  • @fabiang46
    @fabiang46 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Awesome video. Great question/ perfect answer

  • @Rollochrome
    @Rollochrome 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    I think Jennifer is single handedly keeping Izod afloat

    • @elileichter5395
      @elileichter5395 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Now that is very funny (in a very cute way)

    • @pauljoseph2400
      @pauljoseph2400 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@elileichter5395 Looking sharp in the red Izod polo.

    • @hkraytai
      @hkraytai 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      High quality products are sound investment.

  • @ThrowBackZone
    @ThrowBackZone 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Does anyone else feel like the bond market is turning into a game of musical chairs? With all these rate cuts, it's anyone's guess where the next high-yield opportunity will pop up! 🎶💰

  • @pk4459
    @pk4459 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Until we dip under 4% still a good investment all things considered. Given the political environment in the US Tbills are the safest refuge until we understand exactly what is going to happen in Jan 25. If everything goes smoothly with transfer of power expect a relief rally in equities.

  • @gregh7457
    @gregh7457 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    just got my 5.3% 1 year cd called in.Its a small one only $1k but i sure hope that not going to happen too much as rates go down because i unfortunately have all callable cd's

    • @morrismonet3554
      @morrismonet3554 3 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      They will all be called.

    • @gregh7457
      @gregh7457 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@morrismonet3554 is that from personal experience or a hunch?

    • @g.t.richardson6311
      @g.t.richardson6311 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@morrismonet3554 I have many locked in at 5%+ that are not callable
      Of course next year I won’t be getting that

  • @shabpnd481
    @shabpnd481 3 วันที่ผ่านมา

    lets see how fast the fed takes this to under 1% yet again

    • @MyOpinionNow2024
      @MyOpinionNow2024 วันที่ผ่านมา

      lol, this is going to be an interesting ride.

  • @ClaudiaKuzounetsova
    @ClaudiaKuzounetsova 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    TLT all day

  • @fredadaflatcher4065
    @fredadaflatcher4065 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Fantastic video, very professional.

  • @steve-on3234
    @steve-on3234 2 วันที่ผ่านมา

    TLT