I have something to add to the cockpit confusion theory. You stated that they were cleared to 9000 feet, yet their altimeter was set to 4000 as I recall. Depending on their gauges and angles of viewing those instruments - I wonder if they accidentally set it to 4 instead of 9……and it looked like a 9 when viewed at an angle. Interesting crash which is not too far from where I live.
That was my thought too. It might be easy to confuse them if it was a 7 segment LED, but I'm pretty sure it would have been printed numerals on cylinders at that time and for some time after. But it's still a possibility if they were new to the aircraft.
As a note of correction here: One cannot set his altimeter to a "cleared to" altitude. One can only set (select) his altitude selector (or altitude alerter, if you will) to a newly desired or "cleared to" altitude. The two - altimeter and altitude selector - are closely related but are two completely different instruments. Correct nomenclature is vital.
My personal belief? Cockpit confusion seems the most likely scenario. With the DC-9 being a very new aircraft, and the crew's experience thus being on different aircraft, it's entirely possible that they accidentally carried out a procedure for an aircraft they were more familiar with, instead of the DC-9. The pilots may also have been distracted by something happening within the cockpit, and not noticed the altimetre passing their assigned altitude. Unfortunately... you're correct that we'll never know. With the CVR destroyed, we'll never know what was being said in that cockpit.
I completely agree with you. Pilots who are inexperienced in a new, unfamiliar aircraft often revert back to familiar procedures and habits that don’t work in their new plane. The DC-9 was state of the art at the time - new engines, new configuration of the tail (T-tail), new instruments - if the pilots got disoriented, it may have been very difficult for them to read the situation and recover.
Yeah I really don't buy his "jump the gun" theory. He says "it's the only explanation that makes sense", then proceed to refute every other one because there's no way an experienced and unfatigued crew could do that 🤷
I kind of agree, being unfamiliar with a brand new aircraft seems to be the most likely explanation. The only problem I have that is you that have to manually set the altitude in any aircraft. Setting it to 4,000 instead 9 seems very unlikely for an experienced crew. Alas, without the CVR....we will never know.
Maybe someone mistook a 4 for a 9 on the display panel, and set the automatic pilot to 4000. Seems unlikely, but I can't think of anything else. I would say cockpit confusion is likely.
The captain had a total of 17 flight hours in the DC-9, the check captain had only 50 flight hours in the DC-9, and the first officer had only 9 flight hours in the DC-9. They were an experienced crew... on other planes. I think Benjamin is correct, the most logical answer (to me) is that the crew in some way performed actions or was expecting the DC-9 to act like a different airplane.
I routinely fly with captains and first officers alike, we fly heavy jets and we do long haul flights, although not the same type of operations, I have witnessed some of these crewmembers place a wrong altitude in the altitude window, and call the wrong number as the correct number while pointing at the wrong number, what's worst, the other flying crewmember repeated the correct altitude number (value) while looking and pointing at the wrong number that was placed in the altitude window, only to be corrected by the other pilots or the same pilot that had placed the wrong number in the altitude window. The DC-9's of the 1960's had a "Drum Type Altimeter" and by design it was difficult to "read" the altitude and easy to make a mistake. I do not know the type of altimeter that this particular DC-9 had installed when they suffered the CFIT. I believe that it could have been a combination of these factors or both or just one of them, either way, it was a deadly result. RIP to all involved.
I was thinking the same thing initially but the airline business is the absolute gold standard for instrument clarity - posh cars and watches feature "aircraft-style dials"😏 I think it was something even simpler than confusing the "9" on the altimeter for a 4. Let's remember, these pilots were individually and collectively very experienced, in other words, each step involved in bringing the plane into land, is not going to trouble any of them very much. In fact, so effortless and second nature, that I can easily see within the dynamic of any such crew (so, not limited to this one), if not exactly a blasé attitude, or something approaching it - but just mere ease with very familiar tasks that would be carried out in quite a different way, psychologically, than how a junior pilot might - in other words, with very focussed, self-conscious and deliberate precision. So, think about how easy it would be, when you've got "14000" in your head, to translate that to "4000" as you new approach altitude when, in terms of how much "stress" thinking about the change would have caused any one of the flight crew. Unlike the hypothetical newbie referred to, I think it safe to say "zero to none" so with the best will in the world, the act of changing the flight level would be a barely conscious one. Bearing in mind the perfectly functioning aircraft, skilled and experienced crew, lack of tiredness, good weather and familiarity with the route and the terrain, the only plausible explanation for me, is that in many ways the combination of factors was almost too perfect! So, the complete opposite of a "perfect storm". With so little to "challenge" any of the pilots or the crew as a whole, even the most marginal, fractional loss of concentration, might see 4thou set instead of 9. By the way, we all know what reputation pilots had in the Sixties, so the above of course presupposes they hadn't each enjoyed 3 or 4 really stiff martinis beforehand with another couple delivered mid flight just because, well, they could.... 😉😎 I don't know if blood screens were done on the pilots but in future, especially where, as in this case, there arent many or any other possibilities, and even more so regarding the incidents of "yesteryear" when, how to phrase it(?)"things were different", it may be useful to have the fact the crew weren't pissed (in the British, rather than American, sense) confirmed. If we discount that for now (the fact it wasn't mentioned probably means that assumption can be made for my purpose here) I think simple familiarity, ironically, was what caused this incident. Is there any training which is given to seasoned crew, not, obviously, in terms of showing them how the controls work, but how to avoid exactly the "familiarity breeds contempt"-type possibilities which, even with something as critical as man-made flight, must creep in to the approach to the task by those who have been at it for decades?
@@mrkiplingreallywasanexceed8311 adding to your theme of "anything goes in the 60's" could it be that maybe there was some distraction from an attractive flight attendant(s)? Who knows...
Hopefully someone reading this has access to a plane of this type and can get pictures of the 4 and 9. Or knows someone they could contact to do it. Perhaps find the the maker of the plane or that instrument for help. Maybe even a simulation with an accurate representation of this instrument?
My guess: 4,000 was mistakenly selected as level-off because a 4 has some resemblance to a 9 (upside closed loop and right-hand-side vertical trait). If something was momentarily distracting the Captain who set it, he might not have looked at it long enough to see the difference.
Yep. 99.9% . And despite their experience there would have been a lot of mooching around at all the new toys that aircraft has so no checking was being done effectively.
I don't know if that would have been the case at this time, but ultimately it would depend on whether or not the pilots were completely focused. They didn't have a glass or electronic cockpit. Everything would have been done with the dials. If it was a dial that showed the number as it was going up or down, they would, or at least should, have noticed that the number before they set the dial was at a five or three. If it was a dial that went around like a clock, then they would be able to see at a glance that it was in the wrong position.
I knew Capt Aldrich, his son Kirk was my classmate in Boise. This the first I knew of his death this way. I'm abit in shock right now. I don't believe Don could have been at the controls cause he had been flying this area since the early 50's out of Boise. He flew with my Dad out of Boise on Empire Air which with Mohawk became West Coast. He was just too familiar with the area to have made a turn into the mtns. It must have one of the others. What was their flight experience in this area.
Like everyone else in the comments, I have to echo the "cockpit confusion" and "misread altimeter" theories. The Series 10 DC-9s use a drum-and-pointer altimeter that's been implicated in a number of other crashes in various planes, and this particular drum system was especially bad because of the small size of the actual numbers and the lack of showing the numbers above or below the displayed one except on the 100s drum. Later variants and many of the surviving examples of the Series 10 either came with, or were retrofitted with, a more modern digital drum or at least a drum with larger numbers, the altimeters are fairly inconsistent between photos simply due to how many of them were swapped over for other kinds. If the altimeter wasn't confusing, there wouldn't be so many retrofits of other altimeters in surviving or documented examples.
never knew of this crash, but, I have once had an eerily similar accident in a simulator (the plane was a derivative of a DC3 Cargo, so, somewhat different, but a vital part (the altimeter) I think was thesame) this is what happened... according to the scenario, we were flying a fire-crew from the fire-marshal base at "Roseburg Regional Airport" to Portland, conditions were scattered clouds and mist, considered IFR bellow 11 thousand, with smoke also further obscuring visibility... our approach was fairly well into the mountains to avoid nasty weather in the valley, with a plan of turning onto final just east of Dodson. our altimeter told us we had just come out of 9'000 feet (descending to 8000) when we saw a ridge of under 5000 (45.29, -122.04) rise up ahead of us... in the debrief afterwards it turned out, the difference in barometric pressure near the mountains compared to the airport had basically gave us a reading some 4000feet above where we were.... this is why when flying in these parts you need multiple methods of reading the altitude... not just barometric... these ridges do things to the air pressures...
@@sjb3460 prefacing that I am in no way Current & qualified on this... generally, you have to set your barometric altimeter to data you get from a certain broadcasting station (which you can Cue in to similar to an automated weather update)... in most airplanes that is the Job of the engineer or first officer, but it has to be checked by the captain. there is no compensation for local differences unless you have a very advanced type of equipment (usually reserved for military or Mountain Rescue)... but often you may proactively ask the pressure from airfields and other Meteo-centers enroute, but, they are not always available... also, like a microburst, such effects may be rather localized, and short lived, especially in fast moving weather... so, the best answer is, try to see where the danger might be and do not attempt going there (or have other non Barometric instrumentation to compensate)
@@sjb3460 my feeling is this (the input of the wrong Barometric pressure for location) is what might have been what happened, though, knowing that there were differences between the systems I know and the one they had, so, I am unwilling to say definitively "this is what happened" as for a malfunction, a single instrument will not do it. you have at least two, more usually three or four Barometric Altimeters... so, like with most instruments, you can compare, & it is unlikely that all of them will stop functioning simultaneously (unless you have calibrated them with the wrong pressure, or you fly into severe ice-rain or Ash from a volcano, since they all do depend on a functioning Pitot-static system)... icing will have given other signs of malfunctions, so a manual mistake of some sort linked to Pressure Values plugged into the FMS and systems is what must have happened... potentially, it could have also been just a typo that was then thoughtlessly copied to multiple places throughout the system, usually, the First Officer will do his side separate form the Commanding Officer for this reason, but such shortcuts were a known thing in some airlines...
@@sjb3460 as to what difference it can cause, due to the extreme terrain near that area, with a wind blowing over the ridges, in most places would have caused maybe 500ft to a 1000ft change, but it quite easily could have made a 4000ft - 5000ft difference in a series of small areas in direct lee of the mountain (only a few hundred yards, maybe half a Kilometer wide by 20km long triangular area but... enough to crash you if you fly straight down it)
The captains set 4 instead of 9. they look similar on appearance in analogue systems used back then. The pilot turning the knob didn't pay much attention so he saw a 9 but it was actually 4. So he ended choosing 4000 instead of 9000.
I have a theory about this. They responded “Roger descend to nine, leaving one four.” This is non-standard phraseology and probably caused the accident. Usually you would say “Leaving one four thousand, descending niner thousand”, and then you would reach up and set the altitude, which would be the same number stated at the end of the read back. They reached up and set 4,000 in the altitude selector because “4” was the last number in his read back, and he was distracted enough to dial in 4,000 with neither pilot catching the mistake. In summary, they accidentally set the wrong altitude, didn’t catch the mistake, and it all stemmed from a non-standard read back. Thoughts?
Great analysis-I am a mountain guide in the area and was hired by an aircraft crash hunter into the crash site in 2007. We found the crash site but also found a downed military helicopter on the same ridge. We also found a downed weather Balloon transponder on the same ridge. My theory is severe downdrafts in that area. I researched the internet and could find no reports of a military crash in that area.
If they tried to set the auto-pilot to descend down to 9,000 it's entirely possible that they simply set it to 4,000 by mistake. 4's and 9's look extremely similar on older style displays. Anyone who's owned an old alarm clock with the 8:88 style display has probably made a similar mistake at least once.
Chain of events that went wrong. Have you ever looked at united airlines 409? It's an older accident but interesting. The Merrill family was on it. There's still wreckage of it in the Medicine Bow mountains. Wasn't even supposed to be in that area. Thanks Mini! As always another great video.
Your last theory makes sense plus the difference in panels of DC9. I don’t recall hearing if these pilots had flown into Portland from Eugene on a regular basis which would be informative. I’m another Oregonian and may query folks. Thanks for your great production!’
With a new aircraft, familiar results to certain inputs could vary. For example, the pilot knows without thinking that turning the altitude knob a certain amount will result in a ~5000' decrease in altitude so he spins the knob, glances at the readout and see what he expects to see - a decrease in the setting from 14,000' to 9,000'. But on this new plane, when you spin that knob the same amount as before, the result is nearly double that of the earlier model, so instead of ~5k' change there's a ~10k' change. When the pilot glances at the readout he mistakes a 4 for a 9 as that is what he expects. The attempt to level off at the end testifies to their realization of continued descent and the start of corrections. Why didn't the voice recorder function? Was it damaged in the crash or was it simply not working?
@@BSDKllr Descent clearances are never given that way. No ATC will ever tell you to descend BY xxx feet. They will always state the altitude you're supposed to descend TO.
This is a little bit before my time but I had an uncle who was waiting for this aircraft in Portland. We are from Yakima and he was heading home via Seattle. This was still remembered years later after West Coast became Airwest. Unfortunately although I remember the grown-ups talking about the crash I don't remember hearing any cause except it flying into a mountain.
It is 1960s technology without a radio altimeter so they are relying on barometric pressure for altitude and the air pressure may not be what was expected. In which case they may well have been according to their instruments dead on 9000 feet. Normal air pressure at 4000 feet is 656 mmHg and at 9000 feet is 543mmHg it is not that big a difference weather and mountains could possibly cause that much pressure change. Presumably the altimeter is calibrated to the air pressure / altitude at the departure airport which may be very different.
Theory no.4 - I worked at the PDX airport for another airline, and I heard that it discussed, previous to this crash, the following. This was a brand new airplane and it was West Coast first jet. The company was very proud of this step into the jet age, and I heard ( I cannot recall where ) that on previous flights the cockpit door had been left open in order to allow company employees and others to inspect the cockpit while in flight. I recall that it was said that it was kind of a festive occasion for employees and others ( and maybe the crew ?) I have wondered for years if distraction might have played a part.
Hi, I agree with the "misreading the altimeter" theory. This one sounds to be the most plausible one. A silly mistake, which noone bothered to cross check and then it proved fatal.
I had that once myselve... it happens. Though LvL changes are done using the AP and LvL-Change mode. Having no RadAlt, I can't just assume they had an advance AP system able to do level-changes automaticly. Cockpit confusion is something that might considdered, after all highly experienced does not mean that can't make mistakes. btw, you are talking about 14000 Ft, That is indeed posible, but are you sure it was not Fl140 (which is not the same)
Did the “Altitude Select” instrument use a seven segment display? Imagine that the top segment was defective and the crew was reluctant to ground the airplane for such an insignificant defect. “Let’s just go and remember that 4 really means 9.” So later on in the flight someone dials in 4000 thinking that they dialled in 9000. The airplane just follows the descent to 4000.
The vertical speed indicator and the altimeter on the DC-9 are directly above and below each other with similar designs and fonts on the lettering, they likely saw the dropping altitude and assumed it was the vertical speed dropping because they were unfamiliar with the cockpit layout. Definitely cockpit confusion
I was around in 1966, I was in high school at the time. A few years later I was working with a commuter airline that had a working relationship with Hughes Airwest. In July of 1968 West Coast Airlines merged with Pacific Airlines and Bonanza Airlines to form Air West. In 1970 Howard Hughes bought the airline and it became Hughes Airwest. The crash of flight 956 was still fresh in the minds of my friends working for Hughes Airwest and they had definite opinions on what caused the crash. They felt that when ATC told the pilots to turn right to 3 0 0 it caused confusion because normally going into PDX they usually made a turn to the left to stay clear of Mt Hood and then turned right after they were clear of the mountain. The flight was in IMC during the approach into PDX. Radar altimeters were not in widespread use in DC9s at the time. As you noted the DC9 was a new aircraft type for West Coast Airlines at the time. The DC9 had just entered airline service in the U.S. in December of 1965 (with Delta). Before the DC9 West Coast Airlines was flying DC3s and Fairchild (not Fokker) F27s. It was the F27 pilots who were transitioned to the DC9. So up until the arrival of the DC9 these pilots were flying the F27. When the DC9s entered service the DC3s were retired and the airline flew a fleet of F27s, DC9s and Piper Navajos (from 1967).
I think it's in your description...the pilot said back to the controller, "9,000 ft...leaving one four thousand feet". When he said out loud (one) "four thousand feet", he input 4,000 ft. He probably made that mistake in that moment and was onto his next task. The autopilot levelled off at 4,000 ft, which he had mistakenly set the altitude at.
I really appreciate the way you're not afraid to end on a "here are the theories and evidence for and against, but we just don't know". That honesty and courage to not sensationalise these incidents makes your videos feel very trustworthy.
Well, in my view, cockpit confusion might be the reason. As you told, plane was nose up means tried to save the accodent, experienced crew will not make such a mistake of keep decending without contacting tower so, only thing left is theory no. 3.
Flying in 1966 wasn't what it is now. It is quite possible that the crew believed they were on the approach and thus could descend to the IAP (3700'). This was a common assumption in those days. Terrain was not shown on approach plates then. There were no moving map displays, GPS, GPWS, and much more. The accident that changed the thinking on this, along with the phraseology of approach clearances controllers issue, was TWA 514, which crashed on Mt. Weather in Virginia, USA, on December 1, 1974.
The only jet at West Coast Airlines was the DC 9. They were mostly flying TURBOPROPS (Fairchild F-27s ). I don't know enough about the technical differences. But we should really be reading the crews 17, 50 or 9 hours in a DC-9 as max *50 hours in a jet.*
I did some checking on this flight.. while the pilots had thousands of hours flying, in total they had only 76 hours on this plane. I would think they'd have at least one pilot with more hours. A side note, 3 of the 15 passengers were employees of the same airline.
My first thought is they were confident to the point they "knew" where they were that double checking wasn't even a thought. They probably had the flight path memorized.
If this was a check flight, there’s a good possibility that it was being hand flown. If they were casually chatting about stuff (very common back then), it would be easy to lose track of the descent.
Maybe it's because I was born in Portland that makes it seem incredible to me that anybody could have been oblivious to the significance of Mt Hood. As it's such an awesome mountain.
If you're from the Pacific Northwest, as I am, running into one of the majestic volcanos would be very strange. They are prominent features of life in the region. I suspect cockpit confusion related to the newness of the aircraft.
I have been to this crash site a few times, the wreckage is still there, as well as the small clearing it made. It's sad to think of the lives that were lost there.
Hello Dave. I’d love to know more about going to the crash site. Im a family member of a crew member on this flight. How can I contact you for more info. Thanks
@@bradalldredge5894 It's best to hike in from the South. The trail head is on road NF 4610, just before Plaza Lake. GPS 45 deg 15' 34.57" N 121 deg 59' 42.74" W. about 3 miles in. You're related to the Captain?
Yes, I’m a grandson. I’ve been interested in seeing the crash site for a while now but have conflicting gps coordinates. Thanks for the info, hopefully I can get there this fall before the snow falls.
Thanks. Just a few more questions. How is cell service in the area? Do I need a high clearance vehicle for NF 4610? The road looks pretty good from google maps but not sure?
I loved your video You’re really in the groove now. I admire how you and your channel have grown. (Not time to switch on your auto pilot just yet however you’re doing really nice investigations so good ) Stay VFR for now Your future look s good 👍 This video 10 out of 5 stars ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ Best wishes always from Las Vegas Craig Bravo 👏🏻
Reportable there is still some wreckage up on mount hood but it is advised to not disturb it because the park service says that could be considered as a grave site for the victims
Just an observation @ about 4:35 you say that they were directed to turn Rt1 to 300deg - should be rt turn to 030 degrees… great video though, always love your stuff
I go with misread altimeter theory. One year previous to this crash, a United Airlines plane ( idk aircraft type or flight number), crashed into Lake Michigan mere miles from the Chicago shore. It was due to land at OHare only 15 minutes later. It was determined the pilot misread the altitude of 500 feet to be 1500 feet. It was night, so no visual view could be made of the lake. This flight is very similar.
My guess is they mistook the 4 for a 9 when setting the autopilot. Depending on the font used I can see them looking similar enough. And if they hit turbulence or were just distracted by The beauty of the PNW it could’ve been that simple. Sad. Thanks for your report!
I had the opportunity to sit in a real DC-9 cockpit a while ago and I talked with a (now former) DC-9 Pilot. My theory: They dialed in 4,000 instead of 9,000 ft in the Altitude warning of the Autopilot since 4 looks strikingly similar to 9 when seen from a distance. The DC-9 autopilot is slightly different to a modern autopilot. It doesn't level off automatically at a preselected altitude. Basically you put the Autopilot into vertical speed and the airplane climbs/descends at that vertical speed until the DC-9 either stalls or until it crashes into the ground. It doesn't level off on it's own. The altitude selection window is only for the warning sound. So you would set it to the altitude you're climbing/descending to. Before you reach that altitude a warning tone will sound to remind you to manually adjust the vertical speed on the small vertical speed wheel of the Autopilot or the DC-9 will bust right thru the altitude you wanted it to climb/descend to. So how does it come that both pilots (all three to be exact) seemingly overlooked the altimeters right in front of them ? Quite easy. Depending on what type of altimeter was installed on that particular DC-9 misreading the older style altimeters is something that has happened in the past (not just in DC-9.) There were three different types of altimeters that could possibly have been installed in that DC-9. If it was that kind of altimeter, that I think it was, The drum type altimeter then i could absolutely understand that the pilots misread the altimeter and didn't notice that the were descending to 4000 ft, the whole time until the plane leveled off and they looked closely at their altimeters. If the DC-9 was really fitted with that two digit Drum type altimeter I believe was fitted or even worse the three pointer altimeters (if they were ever fitted in the DC-9 ??)then I can imagine what happened. I think that they didn't realize something was wrong until it was way to late to prevent the disaster. So my theory is the following: -The Pilot monitoring correctly Undestands the 9,000 ft altitude limit. He intends to put that altitude in the altitude selecting window for the altitude warning. But inadvertently puts in 4,000 instead of 9,000, since the small altitude window is on the F/0 side, below the engine instruments and next to the F/O's knee. So it's harder to reach (compared to today's autopilot panels) and it's definitely harder to see. So thinking 4 is 9 is not to far fetched. -the airplane starts descending like it's supposed to, so nothing would warn them that they dialed in the wrong altitude for the warning tone. -the two drum type altimeter is hard to read (compared to other altimeter designs) and it's In fact the most prone to misread altimeter design of all possible altimeter designs. An altimeter, like it's used today, could be ready by a 5 year old. 32680 is 32,680 feet. Easy. But a very tiny #9 for indicating 9,000ft could be overlooked when the drum is slowly turning, in a dark cockpit. It was October so it was already dark outside. So except the panel and instrument lights a dark cockpit. The dimly lit #9 for 9,000ft comes and passes. The plane keeps descending. The pilots had no reasons to look more closely than normal to their altimeters. They thought they had set the warning to 9,000ft ! So they expected the warning to sound, telling them that they were nearing 9,000ft, while in Reality they were already descending well below that clearance limit. -both pilots talk about the approach, about the new airplane, they glance at their altimeters every once in a while. But none of them is looking closely enough and long enough at the small number in the small rotating drum to 100% identify the real number the altimeter is actually indicating. -finally the altitude warning sounds, signalling that they are nearing their selected altitude. -one of them turns the small vertical speed wheel to slowly decrease the rate of descent to level off at the altitude, so that the airplane is perfectly level at 0ft vertical speed when the large needle of the altimeter hits the 0. -once again they concentrate on something (but not the right thing), this time it's n the big needle of the altimeter indicating the hundreds of feet. Not on the small and difficult to read drum that indicates the thousands of feet. -the plane levels off and the pilots continue to prepare the approach, still trying to get familiar with their brand new flagship. While simultaneously talking to ATC. The autopilot of the DC-9 is reliable. Why shouldn't they trust their new brand new airplane that's just 15 days old ?!? They had no reason not to trust their new airplane. -suddently one of them sees something out of the cockpit Windows, something like the shadowy and Dark outline of the mountains in front of them and he looks at his altimeter. But this time more closely and concentrated or by pure coincidence he just looks this time closely at the altimeter for whatever reason. -the answer of the altimeter is simple: 4,000 feet and not 9,000 ft is Indicated as #4 on the small drum. The pilot seeing this is shocked. All of them know about the terrain. Just 4,000 ft altitude in an airplane in that part of Oregon is asking for big trouble. A quick glance at the radio altimeter is even more frightening. The needle of the radio altimeter is not just already visible (it's already well below 2,500 radio altitude above the ground where the needle becomes visible. Infact the needle is fast turning towards 0 feet above the ground. -a fast and violent pitch up is made, the throttles are firewalled, all in a last attempt to prevent the inevitable. But it's already to late. In those two remaining seconds will the airplane neither climb significantly nor will the engines spool up fast enough to produce the power needed for a terrain escape maneuver. Personally I normally don't like speculation. But having had the opportunity to fly the DC-9 in a simulator, talk with a real DC-9 pilot and while training to get my own PPL, this is the only reasonable conclusion that would explain every detail of that accident. Why they descended so far below the altitude they we're cleared to, Why they we're totally oblivious about it and talking the whole time with ATC as if everything was fine and why the airplane leveled of at 4,000ft. In my opinion, This is what really happened on West Coast 956 on that fateful evening. The captain had just 17 hours experience in the DC-9. The Check captain sitting next to him just 50 hrs. And the F/O in the jumpseat behind them just 9hrs. All three of them were extremely new on the DC-9. So making such an easy mistake doesn't sound to far fetched, especially if all of them are new on the type. Remember GPWS came in 1974. EGPWS only in 1998. So there was nothing that would have warned them in time to realise their mistake before they impacted the mountain.
The cockpit confusion theory has some merits. Most likely many of those thousands of flight hours were accumulated over years of flying prop and turboprop airplanes which many at the time had a flight engineer to manage the systems, and things in a jet are a bit more complex and things happen faster. Additionally, this DC9 may have been a "baby 9" (-10 series) which was a little bullet, lacked slats, and anti-ice systems worked much different than deice boots, for example. We owe the many safety improvements of today, with radio altimeter, TWAS, EGPWS, to the many crews and passengers lost in those early days of jet aviation, which in some ways were really pioneers. RIP.
This is simular to the AA accident in 1959 with the brand new Electra with FC DeWitt in command in to LGA. The same type of CFIT was the accident of BU239 23rd dec 1972 from AES-FBU. It was the first leathal crash with the Fokker F-28. Great vlog as always!
My theory about what happened is this, the pilot monitoring read back the ATC as one four thousand, instead of FL140. Perhaps they knew roughly where they were, but the pilot flying, preoccupied with slowing the aircraft and setting up the turn to 300 degrees, only heard the four thousand part, and set the auto pilot to that altitude. I honestly cant think of anything beyond that being the cause of this crash
There are some parallels between this and the TWA flight 514 accident in 1974. TWA 514 descended below cleared altitude, likely due to confusion between the crew and ATC. Fortunately, 514 had a CVR so there's a better understanding of what took place. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TWA_Flight_514
I wonder if the parts to the cockpit voice recorder still exist in some storage site somewhere. Maybe use modern technology in an attempt to rebuild it.
A DC-9 does not have an autopilot that can automatically level off the aircraft once it reaches it's commanded altitude. The next best thing was to put in your desired altitude to the 'altitude alerter,' which would beep and flash to alert you when you were approaching your target altitude. Then the pilot would have to level the aircraft off manually. I've never flown a DC-9, so I can't speak to how loud or bright that system was, but if it malfunctioned or wasn't noticed for some reason, I could certainly see distraction or an over reliance on new technology contributing to the accident.
A thought. After controllers gave directions to descend to 9K, potentially it was written down and then when it was time to descend, the written 9K was mis-read as "4K". When written, 9's and 4's can be misinterpreted depending on how they are written.
Excellent Work, bordering on Scholarship! (As an aside, MyBeloved Father, and some of his close associations, told me, more than once, of their low opinion, of the DC-9! Soooo many problems! And always,the same 'story', blame the pilots and/or the maintenence-crew. Yet, when finally, it came 'down-to-it', in subsequent investigations, it turned out, that the DC-9, had massive design-flaws! Remarkably, even with much corrobrating evidence, some will STILL defend it! Much like the Airbus of today, despite its many crashes and failings and recalls! Amazing!) Again, Well-Done!
The DC-9, even the Dash 10's, were decent airplanes but had to be flown by the rules. They were not as forgiving as older Douglas airplanes such as the DC-3. Ignore the rules, pay the price, pretty much like life itself.
There is one crucial piece of equipment this aircraft did not have which was not even mandated to be put in aircraft until the early 1970s and that is the Ground Proximity Warning System. GPWS
Is it possible that you can set the altitude to 4000 instead of 9000 since I sometimes do get confused from far away, especially when the numbers are formed by straight lines?
New unfamiliar cockpit but mostly complacency with the route evidenced by the questioning of the instruction to turn to 300* which they didn't expect. Then they simply dialed in the next altitude as they were used to doing on the previous trips and began descent. They didn't know the mountain was there, but saw it at the last moment and tried to avoid.
My late father flew Dizzy-9 for American Airlines, and I wish he were here to comment on this event. Being completely unfamiliar with the navigational instrumentation of this plane (and the era, for that matter), one wonders if the flight elevation for the autopilot was “dialed in” to a specific setting using analog technology, or was it a digital display, where the numbers 4 and 9 are “box” numbers and can be misread. Regardless, these were top-notch pilots with very little “time on type” experience of this brand-new aircraft. It only takes so-many steps before you fall into an irreversible disaster. We can only hope that the airline industry learned from this tragedy.
The theory that makes the most sense to me is the cockpit confusion one. I initially thought that it could have been fatigue, but as mentioned, they crew had adequate rest. The intentional act theory makes no sense to me either. Let's fast forward about 42 years to the Aeroflot 821 disaster in September of 2008. Neither pilot of Flight 821 were highly familiar with the 737 as they had both had much more experience on Soviet planes. Also, let's explore the AIRES Flight 5280 case, where those pilots went from turboprops to a 737 quickly, and although it was an illusion that caused that disaster, I am sure that the different cockpit fueled the confusion. Going back to the deliberate act theory, as you said, why would one pull up if they wanted to crash on purpose? Looking at LAM Mozambique Flight 470 and Germanwings Flight 9525, once the pilots of those planes were alone, they saw the chance to leave the controls alone and intentionally let the plane impact terrain. With those cases in mind, cockpit confusion is very likely.
my theory is that something distracted them or they put 9000 ft in the autopilot but never selected the "hold altitude" botton or like someone said accidently selected 4000 instead of 9000 and so they began carrying out the pre-landing checklist, and when the plane leveled off at 4000 and they saw the mountain coming closer, they turned and tried to go full power but as we all know engines dont react immediatly from idle to full power, it takes time. but it was already too late when they pulled the nose up bleeding precious speed and the plane then impacted the mountain
Just a point for your consideration, as well as mentioning the total time for pilot experience, you should mention the pilot's time in type, and what aircraft the bulk of their experience was in. As is obvious from the statement of how new the DC-9 was, it is highly likely that the crew had almost no time on the aircraft, and all their experience was in older types.
under certain conditions figure four can look like figure nine - from the corner of your eye (e.g.) new aircraft, the unfamiliar layout of the cockpit! so put that with Benjamin Finlay's equation. we have a very plausible explanation.
One possibility I considered is that the numeral 4 and 9 can look similar on blocky displays. If they weren't familiar with the instruments they may have made this mistake.
Well, I don't believe it was deliberate. Sometimes, "too many cooks spoil the brew".... The other day I had four guys in the cockpit each checing each other. This made me nervous, a distraction from the normal flow of duties, and each might have assumed one of the others had performed a specific task. I think it is like you say, confusion with the latest cockpit updates/changes on the new plane led to not knowing the actual altitude. May they all rest in peace
This is a likely scenario. They didn't have CRM back then. And the two pilots flying were very experienced. Maybe over-confident pilots but unfamiliar with the new plane.
Unfortunately, having technical issues with individual aircraft new into service, rather than aircraft types new into service, is far from unusual, even today, and was probably more common back in the '60s, so it could be that the pilots were somewhat involved in handling a technical issue and, with the aircraft making its' descent in a desolate area with a lack of visual clues to their position, lost spatial awareness of their position until, unfortunately, the mountain became visually apparent, by which time the crash was probably unavoidable, even though the pilots appear to have continued to fly the aircraft right into the impact. It could, however, be argued that the decision by West Coast Airlines not to specify their aircraft with radar altimeters, particularly when they operate routinely in areas of high terrain, could be said to be a causal factor in this incident... I have to wonder if the, at the time unusable, CVR was retained after the investigation was completed, as it might be possible to forensically recover data from it now that would not have been possible at the time. If, and it's a big if, all these things aligned, and if someone was prepared to put the time and money into reading the CVR then it might be possible to find something that does shed more light on the situation at the time. It does, however, seem unlikely that the federal government would be inclined to do anything regarding a crash that happened in the mid-'60s now, so it's probably going to remain uncertain...
Blowing an altitude is something that's happened more than a few times. Couple that with an unfalisr airplane and I would guess that's what happened. Also, the altimeter installed can, and does create confusion...Pan American, Caracas, 1989.
One thing that confuses me is this - if they mistaken the 4 for a 9 isn't it a huge visible difference if they were flying twice lower than they should? I mean were they really in full lack of ground visibility? Otherwise 3 experienced pilots couldn't distinguish 4000 feet from 9000 feet ground distance?
I think when they read back descending to 9000 from 0ne four thousand, they confused it as four thousand. Sometimes what I read and what I write down are not the same.
I agree with the misread altimeter theory. It may not have been the number on the gauge, though, as much as possible confusion with altitude above the ground versus altitude above sea level. 4000 feet may have actually been the altitude above the land surface, but 9000 was the altitude above sea level that the ATC gave them, and they got the two confused. This confusion appears to have been a major contributor to the crash of a Polish plane in Russia that was carrying diplomats. Just my guess anyway, as of course we will never know.
Hey, look forward to your vids always 🎉🎉 So, without long explanations etc. , logic suggests your last theory of the plane being new and the pilots not fully aware of their new instruments .... cheers to you 👍
Dumb question. When they enter an altitude in the system, is it digital, or is it a dial? If they were having any confusion, or fumbling with the system, and it's digital, a "9" and a "4" can look very similar. Add glare, or an obstruction, and maybe an error could occur?
You missed 3 major things: 1. DC-9's autopilot didn't change altitude. The pilot had to do that. 2. The 3 pilots were NOT trained. The captain had 17 hours experience flying a DC-9. First officer? 9. Check captain? Only 50 hours. They should not have been flying yet. 3. This was the company's first ever jet. What I think happened is something like this: 1. The pilot-in-command (PIC) likely had the other pilot set his altimeter alert. It was the only thing they had to tell them they were too low. 2. The person doing it put it to 4,000 feet. Maybe they couldn't see (I believe it was one of the only kind of LED thing on the control unit) due to a glare, and thought 4,000 was 9,000. It was also only a single dial you spun - maybe leaving 14,000, the other pilot just blanked and put 4,000 due to being preoccupied with other stuff. 3. PIC trusts his other pilots so he descends. It's the company's first jet (all other planes were prop), so they likely descended far faster than they were used to and didn't even realize. 4. Altitude alert goes off making them level at 4,000, before they realize their mistake. The engines weren't idle so I imagine it was full power to try and avoid it. Sadly, it takes something like 8 seconds for a plane to respond to inputs. And that's it. The DC-9 was advanced but it wasn't perfect. It held an altitude and speed like a car's cruise control, but you had to get there. There wasn't a ground proximity alert system yet - it took a ton of these controlled flights into terrain in the 60s to develop it. So if no pilot flying really understood how a jet responded and they relied too much on autopilot, then... this.
I really love how you always end the video with the intended landing approach of the flight it's about, it always gives me mixed feelings
It’s poetic in a way don’t you think?
@@MiniAirCrashInvestigation Definitely
@@MiniAirCrashInvestigation What could have happened
@@MiniAirCrashInvestigation It's rueful, poignant and shows a better alternative reality in which everybody went home. It's a really nice touch.
@@MiniAirCrashInvestigation In an alternate universe, they made it & that’s how it looked 😢
I have something to add to the cockpit confusion theory. You stated that they were cleared to 9000 feet, yet their altimeter was set to 4000 as I recall. Depending on their gauges and angles of viewing those instruments - I wonder if they accidentally set it to 4 instead of 9……and it looked like a 9 when viewed at an angle. Interesting crash which is not too far from where I live.
9 and 4 might look the same at a quick glance.
My thought as well
That was my thought too. It might be easy to confuse them if it was a 7 segment LED, but I'm pretty sure it would have been printed numerals on cylinders at that time and for some time after. But it's still a possibility if they were new to the aircraft.
First thing I thought of as well.
As a note of correction here: One cannot set his altimeter to a "cleared to" altitude. One can only set (select) his altitude selector (or altitude alerter, if you will) to a newly desired or "cleared to" altitude. The two - altimeter and altitude selector - are closely related but are two completely different instruments. Correct nomenclature is vital.
My personal belief? Cockpit confusion seems the most likely scenario. With the DC-9 being a very new aircraft, and the crew's experience thus being on different aircraft, it's entirely possible that they accidentally carried out a procedure for an aircraft they were more familiar with, instead of the DC-9.
The pilots may also have been distracted by something happening within the cockpit, and not noticed the altimetre passing their assigned altitude.
Unfortunately... you're correct that we'll never know. With the CVR destroyed, we'll never know what was being said in that cockpit.
I completely agree with you. Pilots who are inexperienced in a new, unfamiliar aircraft often revert back to familiar procedures and habits that don’t work in their new plane. The DC-9 was state of the art at the time - new engines, new configuration of the tail (T-tail), new instruments - if the pilots got disoriented, it may have been very difficult for them to read the situation and recover.
Yeah I really don't buy his "jump the gun" theory. He says "it's the only explanation that makes sense", then proceed to refute every other one because there's no way an experienced and unfatigued crew could do that 🤷
I kind of agree, being unfamiliar with a brand new aircraft seems to be the most likely explanation. The only problem I have that is you that have to manually set the altitude in any aircraft. Setting it to 4,000 instead 9 seems very unlikely for an experienced crew. Alas, without the CVR....we will never know.
Maybe someone mistook a 4 for a 9 on the display panel, and set the automatic pilot to 4000. Seems unlikely, but I can't think of anything else. I would say cockpit confusion is likely.
The captain had a total of 17 flight hours in the DC-9, the check captain had only 50 flight hours in the DC-9, and the first officer had only 9 flight hours in the DC-9. They were an experienced crew... on other planes. I think Benjamin is correct, the most logical answer (to me) is that the crew in some way performed actions or was expecting the DC-9 to act like a different airplane.
I routinely fly with captains and first officers alike, we fly heavy jets and we do long haul flights, although not the same type of operations, I have witnessed some of these crewmembers place a wrong altitude in the altitude window, and call the wrong number as the correct number while pointing at the wrong number, what's worst, the other flying crewmember repeated the correct altitude number (value) while looking and pointing at the wrong number that was placed in the altitude window, only to be corrected by the other pilots or the same pilot that had placed the wrong number in the altitude window.
The DC-9's of the 1960's had a "Drum Type Altimeter" and by design it was difficult to "read" the altitude and easy to make a mistake. I do not know the type of altimeter that this particular DC-9 had installed when they suffered the CFIT.
I believe that it could have been a combination of these factors or both or just one of them, either way, it was a deadly result. RIP to all involved.
@Humberto Montes Yes yes I routinely fly with captains and first officers as well.How marvellous
@@BenDover-wu7ed yes, you can never be so careful, especially after a very long day in bad weather.
I really love these explorations of older, lesser known, regional airline incidents.
An old maritime saying: "The ship with two captains always goes down." I wonder if the 4 0n the altitude select was confused as a 9.
That's the first thing I thought of too.
I was thinking the same thing initially but the airline business is the absolute gold standard for instrument clarity - posh cars and watches feature "aircraft-style dials"😏 I think it was something even simpler than confusing the "9" on the altimeter for a 4. Let's remember, these pilots were individually and collectively very experienced, in other words, each step involved in bringing the plane into land, is not going to trouble any of them very much. In fact, so effortless and second nature, that I can easily see within the dynamic of any such crew (so, not limited to this one), if not exactly a blasé attitude, or something approaching it - but just mere ease with very familiar tasks that would be carried out in quite a different way, psychologically, than how a junior pilot might - in other words, with very focussed, self-conscious and deliberate precision. So, think about how easy it would be, when you've got "14000" in your head, to translate that to "4000" as you new approach altitude when, in terms of how much "stress" thinking about the change would have caused any one of the flight crew. Unlike the hypothetical newbie referred to, I think it safe to say "zero to none" so with the best will in the world, the act of changing the flight level would be a barely conscious one. Bearing in mind the perfectly functioning aircraft, skilled and experienced crew, lack of tiredness, good weather and familiarity with the route and the terrain, the only plausible explanation for me, is that in many ways the combination of factors was almost too perfect! So, the complete opposite of a "perfect storm". With so little to "challenge" any of the pilots or the crew as a whole, even the most marginal, fractional loss of concentration, might see 4thou set instead of 9.
By the way, we all know what reputation pilots had in the Sixties, so the above of course presupposes they hadn't each enjoyed 3 or 4 really stiff martinis beforehand with another couple delivered mid flight just because, well, they could.... 😉😎 I don't know if blood screens were done on the pilots but in future, especially where, as in this case, there arent many or any other possibilities, and even more so regarding the incidents of "yesteryear" when, how to phrase it(?)"things were different", it may be useful to have the fact the crew weren't pissed (in the British, rather than American, sense) confirmed.
If we discount that for now (the fact it wasn't mentioned probably means that assumption can be made for my purpose here) I think simple familiarity, ironically, was what caused this incident. Is there any training which is given to seasoned crew, not, obviously, in terms of showing them how the controls work, but how to avoid exactly the "familiarity breeds contempt"-type possibilities which, even with something as critical as man-made flight, must creep in to the approach to the task by those who have been at it for decades?
@@mrkiplingreallywasanexceed8311 adding to your theme of "anything goes in the 60's" could it be that maybe there was some distraction from an attractive flight attendant(s)? Who knows...
Hopefully someone reading this has access to a plane of this type and can get pictures of the 4 and 9. Or knows someone they could contact to do it. Perhaps find the the maker of the plane or that instrument for help. Maybe even a simulation with an accurate representation of this instrument?
There is no altitude select on the DC-9.
My guess: 4,000 was mistakenly selected as level-off because a 4 has some resemblance to a 9 (upside closed loop and right-hand-side vertical trait). If something was momentarily distracting the Captain who set it, he might not have looked at it long enough to see the difference.
Add in some confusion due to flying an unfamiliar plane, could be.
Yep. 99.9% . And despite their experience there would have been a lot of mooching around at all the new toys that aircraft has so no checking was being done effectively.
I don't know if that would have been the case at this time, but ultimately it would depend on whether or not the pilots were completely focused. They didn't have a glass or electronic cockpit. Everything would have been done with the dials. If it was a dial that showed the number as it was going up or down, they would, or at least should, have noticed that the number before they set the dial was at a five or three. If it was a dial that went around like a clock, then they would be able to see at a glance that it was in the wrong position.
He said "leaving one four thousand", maybe the other pilot misheard it as the clearance to descent to four thousand.
@@TheLastPhoen1x Seems the most likely.
I knew Capt Aldrich, his son Kirk was my classmate in Boise. This the first I knew of his death this way. I'm abit in shock right now. I don't believe Don could have been at the controls cause he had been flying this area since the early 50's out of Boise. He flew with my Dad out of Boise on Empire Air which with Mohawk became West Coast. He was just too familiar with the area to have made a turn into the mtns. It must have one of the others. What was their flight experience in this area.
🙏✈️😢
John, that must have been a shocking event for you. It’s important to remember the people we know as we go through life.
Like everyone else in the comments, I have to echo the "cockpit confusion" and "misread altimeter" theories. The Series 10 DC-9s use a drum-and-pointer altimeter that's been implicated in a number of other crashes in various planes, and this particular drum system was especially bad because of the small size of the actual numbers and the lack of showing the numbers above or below the displayed one except on the 100s drum. Later variants and many of the surviving examples of the Series 10 either came with, or were retrofitted with, a more modern digital drum or at least a drum with larger numbers, the altimeters are fairly inconsistent between photos simply due to how many of them were swapped over for other kinds. If the altimeter wasn't confusing, there wouldn't be so many retrofits of other altimeters in surviving or documented examples.
Yup, confusing altimeter readout, new type of aircraft, bad combination.
never knew of this crash, but, I have once had an eerily similar accident in a simulator (the plane was a derivative of a DC3 Cargo, so, somewhat different, but a vital part (the altimeter) I think was thesame) this is what happened...
according to the scenario, we were flying a fire-crew from the fire-marshal base at "Roseburg Regional Airport" to Portland, conditions were scattered clouds and mist, considered IFR bellow 11 thousand, with smoke also further obscuring visibility... our approach was fairly well into the mountains to avoid nasty weather in the valley, with a plan of turning onto final just east of Dodson. our altimeter told us we had just come out of 9'000 feet (descending to 8000) when we saw a ridge of under 5000 (45.29, -122.04) rise up ahead of us... in the debrief afterwards it turned out, the difference in barometric pressure near the mountains compared to the airport had basically gave us a reading some 4000feet above where we were.... this is why when flying in these parts you need multiple methods of reading the altitude... not just barometric... these ridges do things to the air pressures...
hmmmmmm....interesting.
@@sjb3460 prefacing that I am in no way Current & qualified on this...
generally, you have to set your barometric altimeter to data you get from a certain broadcasting station (which you can Cue in to similar to an automated weather update)... in most airplanes that is the Job of the engineer or first officer, but it has to be checked by the captain.
there is no compensation for local differences unless you have a very advanced type of equipment (usually reserved for military or Mountain Rescue)... but often you may proactively ask the pressure from airfields and other Meteo-centers enroute, but, they are not always available... also, like a microburst, such effects may be rather localized, and short lived, especially in fast moving weather... so, the best answer is, try to see where the danger might be and do not attempt going there (or have other non Barometric instrumentation to compensate)
@@sjb3460
my feeling is this (the input of the wrong Barometric pressure for location) is what might have been what happened, though, knowing that there were differences between the systems I know and the one they had, so, I am unwilling to say definitively "this is what happened"
as for a malfunction, a single instrument will not do it. you have at least two, more usually three or four Barometric Altimeters... so, like with most instruments, you can compare, & it is unlikely that all of them will stop functioning simultaneously (unless you have calibrated them with the wrong pressure, or you fly into severe ice-rain or Ash from a volcano, since they all do depend on a functioning Pitot-static system)... icing will have given other signs of malfunctions, so a manual mistake of some sort linked to Pressure Values plugged into the FMS and systems is what must have happened... potentially, it could have also been just a typo that was then thoughtlessly copied to multiple places throughout the system, usually, the First Officer will do his side separate form the Commanding Officer for this reason, but such shortcuts were a known thing in some airlines...
@@sjb3460 as to what difference it can cause, due to the extreme terrain near that area, with a wind blowing over the ridges, in most places would have caused maybe 500ft to a 1000ft change, but it quite easily could have made a 4000ft - 5000ft difference in a series of small areas in direct lee of the mountain (only a few hundred yards, maybe half a Kilometer wide by 20km long triangular area but... enough to crash you if you fly straight down it)
The captains set 4 instead of 9. they look similar on appearance in analogue systems used back then. The pilot turning the knob didn't pay much attention so he saw a 9 but it was actually 4. So he ended choosing 4000 instead of 9000.
I have a theory about this. They responded “Roger descend to nine, leaving one four.” This is non-standard phraseology and probably caused the accident. Usually you would say “Leaving one four thousand, descending niner thousand”, and then you would reach up and set the altitude, which would be the same number stated at the end of the read back. They reached up and set 4,000 in the altitude selector because “4” was the last number in his read back, and he was distracted enough to dial in 4,000 with neither pilot catching the mistake. In summary, they accidentally set the wrong altitude, didn’t catch the mistake, and it all stemmed from a non-standard read back. Thoughts?
Another comment said "There is no altitude select on the DC-9."
Great analysis-I am a mountain guide in the area and was hired by an aircraft crash hunter into the crash site in 2007. We found the crash site but also found a downed military helicopter on the same ridge. We also found a downed weather Balloon transponder on the same ridge. My theory is severe downdrafts in that area. I researched the internet and could find no reports of a military crash in that area.
If they tried to set the auto-pilot to descend down to 9,000 it's entirely possible that they simply set it to 4,000 by mistake. 4's and 9's look extremely similar on older style displays.
Anyone who's owned an old alarm clock with the 8:88 style display has probably made a similar mistake at least once.
Damn. I knew I should have read the comments first before posting. 🤣
Chain of events that went wrong. Have you ever looked at united airlines 409? It's an older accident but interesting. The Merrill family was on it. There's still wreckage of it in the Medicine Bow mountains. Wasn't even supposed to be in that area. Thanks Mini! As always another great video.
Your last theory makes sense plus the difference in panels of DC9. I don’t recall hearing if these pilots had flown into Portland from Eugene on a regular basis which would be informative.
I’m another Oregonian and may query folks.
Thanks for your great production!’
With a new aircraft, familiar results to certain inputs could vary. For example, the pilot knows without thinking that turning the altitude knob a certain amount will result in a ~5000' decrease in altitude so he spins the knob, glances at the readout and see what he expects to see - a decrease in the setting from 14,000' to 9,000'. But on this new plane, when you spin that knob the same amount as before, the result is nearly double that of the earlier model, so instead of ~5k' change there's a ~10k' change. When the pilot glances at the readout he mistakes a 4 for a 9 as that is what he expects. The attempt to level off at the end testifies to their realization of continued descent and the start of corrections.
Why didn't the voice recorder function? Was it damaged in the crash or was it simply not working?
Okay, now you bring up a case for the other theory, that it was done on purpose, as unlikely as it may be. Someone shut the voice recorder off? 😳
i was thinking that the pilots miss under stood and lowered by 9000ft (14000 - 9000 = ~5000ft) instead of going to 9000ft
@@BSDKllr Descent clearances are never given that way. No ATC will ever tell you to descend BY xxx feet. They will always state the altitude you're supposed to descend TO.
@@BSDKllr, but it would be funny out of three experienced pilots, that none of them would catch that. 😳 ... unless they were chatting?
@Terp Did you watch the video..? It clearly says - the voice recorder during the crash was damaged beyond repair.
This is a little bit before my time but I had an uncle who was waiting for this aircraft in Portland. We are from Yakima and he was heading home via Seattle.
This was still remembered years later after West Coast became Airwest.
Unfortunately although I remember the grown-ups talking about the crash I don't remember hearing any cause except it flying into a mountain.
It is 1960s technology without a radio altimeter so they are relying on barometric pressure for altitude and the air pressure may not be what was expected. In which case they may well have been according to their instruments dead on 9000 feet. Normal air pressure at 4000 feet is 656 mmHg and at 9000 feet is 543mmHg it is not that big a difference weather and mountains could possibly cause that much pressure change. Presumably the altimeter is calibrated to the air pressure / altitude at the departure airport which may be very different.
Theory no.4 - I worked at the PDX airport for another airline, and I heard that it discussed, previous to this crash, the following. This was a brand new airplane and it was West Coast first jet. The company was very proud of this step into the jet age, and I heard ( I cannot recall where ) that on previous flights the cockpit door had been left open in order to allow company employees and others to inspect the cockpit while in flight. I recall that it was said that it was kind of a festive occasion for employees and others ( and maybe the crew ?) I have wondered for years if distraction might have played a part.
Hi, I agree with the "misreading the altimeter" theory. This one sounds to be the most plausible one. A silly mistake, which noone bothered to cross check and then it proved fatal.
I had that once myselve... it happens.
Though LvL changes are done using the AP and LvL-Change mode.
Having no RadAlt, I can't just assume they had an advance AP system able to do level-changes automaticly.
Cockpit confusion is something that might considdered, after all highly experienced does not mean that can't make mistakes.
btw, you are talking about 14000 Ft, That is indeed posible, but are you sure it was not Fl140 (which is not the same)
I would agree. Depending on what font you use, a "4" is either a slightly squashed "9," or a 9 without a top on it.
Did the “Altitude Select” instrument use a seven segment display? Imagine that the top segment was defective and the crew was reluctant to ground the airplane for such an insignificant defect. “Let’s just go and remember that 4 really means 9.” So later on in the flight someone dials in 4000 thinking that they dialled in 9000. The airplane just follows the descent to 4000.
Yes, sadly one thing that goes along with a lot of experience is diminishing eyesight.
The vertical speed indicator and the altimeter on the DC-9 are directly above and below each other with similar designs and fonts on the lettering, they likely saw the dropping altitude and assumed it was the vertical speed dropping because they were unfamiliar with the cockpit layout. Definitely cockpit confusion
I was around in 1966, I was in high school at the time. A few years later I was working with a commuter airline that had a working relationship with Hughes Airwest. In July of 1968 West Coast Airlines merged with Pacific Airlines and Bonanza Airlines to form Air West. In 1970 Howard Hughes bought the airline and it became Hughes Airwest. The crash of flight 956 was still fresh in the minds of my friends working for Hughes Airwest and they had definite opinions on what caused the crash. They felt that when ATC told the pilots to turn right to 3 0 0 it caused confusion because normally going into PDX they usually made a turn to the left to stay clear of Mt Hood and then turned right after they were clear of the mountain. The flight was in IMC during the approach into PDX. Radar altimeters were not in widespread use in DC9s at the time. As you noted the DC9 was a new aircraft type for West Coast Airlines at the time. The DC9 had just entered airline service in the U.S. in December of 1965 (with Delta). Before the DC9 West Coast Airlines was flying DC3s and Fairchild (not Fokker) F27s. It was the F27 pilots who were transitioned to the DC9. So up until the arrival of the DC9 these pilots were flying the F27. When the DC9s entered service the DC3s were retired and the airline flew a fleet of F27s, DC9s and Piper Navajos (from 1967).
i love your videos, as I don't have time for long videos. Gr8 job.
I remember the old, noisy helicopters flying over my school bringing the bodies down to PDX. I was in elementary school. Second grade. Spooky. Sad.
I think it's in your description...the pilot said back to the controller, "9,000 ft...leaving one four thousand feet". When he said out loud (one) "four thousand feet", he input 4,000 ft. He probably made that mistake in that moment and was onto his next task. The autopilot levelled off at 4,000 ft, which he had mistakenly set the altitude at.
I was 7 years old. Great video friend.
Really good videos! Do you fly? Keep these coming? I’d love to see your take on the 1950s Grand Canuon collision!
I really appreciate the way you're not afraid to end on a "here are the theories and evidence for and against, but we just don't know". That honesty and courage to not sensationalise these incidents makes your videos feel very trustworthy.
Excellent observation
Well, in my view, cockpit confusion might be the reason. As you told, plane was nose up means tried to save the accodent, experienced crew will not make such a mistake of keep decending without contacting tower so, only thing left is theory no. 3.
Theory number three is my uneducated guess, thank you for another excellent episode Sir!!!🙏✈️😢
Flying in 1966 wasn't what it is now. It is quite possible that the crew believed they were on the approach and thus could descend to the IAP (3700'). This was a common assumption in those days. Terrain was not shown on approach plates then. There were no moving map displays, GPS, GPWS, and much more. The accident that changed the thinking on this, along with the phraseology of approach clearances controllers issue, was TWA 514, which crashed on Mt. Weather in Virginia, USA, on December 1, 1974.
I really enjoy your videos
The only jet at West Coast Airlines was the DC 9. They were mostly flying TURBOPROPS (Fairchild F-27s ). I don't know enough about the technical differences. But we should really be reading the crews 17, 50 or 9 hours in a DC-9 as max *50 hours in a jet.*
I did some checking on this flight.. while the pilots had thousands of hours flying, in total they had only 76 hours on this plane. I would think they'd have at least one pilot with more hours. A side note, 3 of the 15 passengers were employees of the same airline.
Thank you for these videos. My guess is they set the auto pilot to 4000 from 14000 by accident on a new airplane?
My first thought is they were confident to the point they "knew" where they were that double checking wasn't even a thought. They probably had the flight path memorized.
If this was a check flight, there’s a good possibility that it was being hand flown.
If they were casually chatting about stuff (very common back then), it would be easy to lose track of the descent.
Maybe it's because I was born in Portland that makes it seem incredible to me that anybody could have been oblivious to the significance of Mt Hood.
As it's such an awesome mountain.
Misread altimeter was a very common problem with the 3 pointer unit.
If you're from the Pacific Northwest, as I am, running into one of the majestic volcanos would be very strange. They are prominent features of life in the region. I suspect cockpit confusion related to the newness of the aircraft.
Very sad loss of life and experience, even a simple oversight can take the most experienced of us. Rip to all.
I have been to this crash site a few times, the wreckage is still there, as well as the small clearing it made. It's sad to think of the lives that were lost there.
Hello Dave. I’d love to know more about going to the crash site. Im a family member of a crew member on this flight. How can I contact you for more info. Thanks
@@bradalldredge5894 It's best to hike in from the South. The trail head is on road NF 4610, just before Plaza Lake.
GPS 45 deg 15' 34.57" N 121 deg 59' 42.74" W. about 3 miles in. You're related to the Captain?
Yes, I’m a grandson. I’ve been interested in seeing the crash site for a while now but have conflicting gps coordinates. Thanks for the info, hopefully I can get there this fall before the snow falls.
@@bradalldredge5894 There has been a lot of fire damage in the area, out of Estacada. Hopefully, the roads will be open for you to get to the trail.
Thanks. Just a few more questions. How is cell service in the area? Do I need a high clearance vehicle for NF 4610? The road looks pretty good from google maps but not sure?
I loved your video
You’re really in the groove now.
I admire how you and your channel have grown.
(Not time to switch on your auto pilot just yet however you’re doing really nice investigations so good )
Stay VFR for now
Your future look s good 👍
This video 10 out of 5 stars
⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Best wishes always from Las Vegas Craig
Bravo 👏🏻
Fantastic video! I’m going to say the most likely theory is someone just messed up with such a new cockpit, it makes the most sense to me!😸
As I'm from Switzerland, I'm aware of the Alitalia Crash in 1990 near Zurich, where misreading the altimeter was a major factor
Reportable there is still some wreckage up on mount hood but it is advised to not disturb it because the park service says that could be considered as a grave site for the victims
Just an observation @ about 4:35 you say that they were directed to turn Rt1 to 300deg - should be rt turn to 030 degrees… great video though, always love your stuff
I go with misread altimeter theory. One year previous to this crash, a United Airlines plane ( idk aircraft type or flight number), crashed into Lake Michigan mere miles from the Chicago shore. It was due to land at OHare only 15 minutes later. It was determined the pilot misread the altitude of 500 feet to be 1500 feet. It was night, so no visual view could be made of the lake. This flight is very similar.
"It probably wasn't a sterile cockpit."
TWSS
Another excellent video.
Hello buddy greetings from Andrew Sydney Australia , looking forward to watching this after this long add,
My guess is they mistook the 4 for a 9 when setting the autopilot. Depending on the font used I can see them looking similar enough. And if they hit turbulence or were just distracted by The beauty of the PNW it could’ve been that simple. Sad. Thanks for your report!
The first dc-9 crash had a stop over in Eugene why i am I just learning this now
I had the opportunity to sit in a real DC-9 cockpit a while ago and I talked with a (now former) DC-9 Pilot.
My theory:
They dialed in 4,000 instead of 9,000 ft in the Altitude warning of the Autopilot since 4 looks strikingly similar to 9 when seen from a distance.
The DC-9 autopilot is slightly different to a modern autopilot.
It doesn't level off automatically at a preselected altitude. Basically you put the Autopilot into vertical speed and the airplane climbs/descends at that vertical speed until the DC-9 either stalls or until it crashes into the ground.
It doesn't level off on it's own.
The altitude selection window is only for the warning sound.
So you would set it to the altitude you're climbing/descending to.
Before you reach that altitude a warning tone will sound to remind you to manually adjust the vertical speed on the small vertical speed wheel of the Autopilot or the DC-9 will bust right thru the altitude you wanted it to climb/descend to.
So how does it come that both pilots (all three to be exact) seemingly overlooked the altimeters right in front of them ?
Quite easy.
Depending on what type of altimeter was installed on that particular DC-9 misreading the older style altimeters is something that has happened in the past (not just in DC-9.)
There were three different types of altimeters that could possibly have been installed in that DC-9.
If it was that kind of altimeter, that I think it was, The drum type altimeter
then i could absolutely understand that the pilots misread the altimeter and didn't notice that the were descending to 4000 ft, the whole time until the plane leveled off and they looked closely at their altimeters.
If the DC-9 was really fitted with that two digit Drum type altimeter I believe was fitted or even worse the three pointer altimeters (if they were ever fitted in the DC-9 ??)then I can imagine what happened.
I think that they didn't realize something was wrong until it was way to late to prevent the disaster.
So my theory is the following:
-The Pilot monitoring correctly Undestands the 9,000 ft altitude limit.
He intends to put that altitude in the altitude selecting window for the altitude warning. But inadvertently puts in 4,000 instead of 9,000, since the small altitude window is on the F/0 side, below the engine instruments and next to the F/O's knee. So it's harder to reach (compared to today's autopilot panels) and it's definitely harder to see.
So thinking 4 is 9 is not to far fetched.
-the airplane starts descending like it's supposed to, so nothing would warn them that they dialed in the wrong altitude for the warning tone.
-the two drum type altimeter is hard to read (compared to other altimeter designs) and it's In fact the most prone to misread altimeter design of all possible altimeter designs.
An altimeter, like it's used today, could be ready by a 5 year old.
32680 is 32,680 feet. Easy.
But a very tiny #9 for indicating 9,000ft could be overlooked when the drum is slowly turning, in a dark cockpit.
It was October so it was already dark outside. So except the panel and instrument lights a dark cockpit. The dimly lit #9 for 9,000ft comes and passes. The plane keeps descending.
The pilots had no reasons to look more closely than normal to their altimeters. They thought they had set the warning to 9,000ft ! So they expected the warning to sound, telling them that they were nearing 9,000ft, while in Reality they were already descending well below that clearance limit.
-both pilots talk about the approach, about the new airplane, they glance at their altimeters every once in a while. But none of them is looking closely enough and long enough at the small number in the small rotating drum to 100% identify the real number the altimeter is actually indicating.
-finally the altitude warning sounds, signalling that they are nearing their selected altitude.
-one of them turns the small vertical speed wheel to slowly decrease the rate of descent to level off at the altitude, so that the airplane is perfectly level at 0ft vertical speed when the large needle of the altimeter hits the 0.
-once again they concentrate on something (but not the right thing), this time it's n the big needle of the altimeter indicating the hundreds of feet. Not on the small and difficult to read drum that indicates the thousands of feet.
-the plane levels off and the pilots continue to prepare the approach, still trying to get familiar with their brand new flagship. While simultaneously talking to ATC.
The autopilot of the DC-9 is reliable. Why shouldn't they trust their new brand new airplane that's just 15 days old ?!? They had no reason not to trust their new airplane.
-suddently one of them sees something out of the cockpit Windows, something like the shadowy and Dark outline of the mountains in front of them and he looks at his altimeter. But this time more closely and concentrated or by pure coincidence he just looks this time closely at the altimeter for whatever reason.
-the answer of the altimeter is simple:
4,000 feet and not 9,000 ft is Indicated as #4 on the small drum.
The pilot seeing this is shocked.
All of them know about the terrain. Just 4,000 ft altitude in an airplane in that part of Oregon is asking for big trouble.
A quick glance at the radio altimeter is even more frightening. The needle of the radio altimeter is not just already visible (it's already well below 2,500 radio altitude above the ground where the needle becomes visible. Infact the needle is fast turning towards 0 feet above the ground.
-a fast and violent pitch up is made, the throttles are firewalled, all in a last attempt to prevent the inevitable. But it's already to late.
In those two remaining seconds will the airplane neither climb significantly nor will the engines spool up fast enough to produce the power needed for a terrain escape maneuver.
Personally I normally don't like speculation. But having had the opportunity to fly the DC-9 in a simulator, talk with a real DC-9 pilot and while training to get my own PPL, this is the only reasonable conclusion that would explain every detail of that accident.
Why they descended so far below the altitude they we're cleared to, Why they we're totally oblivious about it and talking the whole time with ATC as if everything was fine and why the airplane leveled of at 4,000ft.
In my opinion, This is what really happened on West Coast 956 on that fateful evening. The captain had just 17 hours experience in the DC-9.
The Check captain sitting next to him just 50 hrs. And the F/O in the jumpseat behind them just 9hrs.
All three of them were extremely new on the DC-9. So making such an easy mistake doesn't sound to far fetched, especially if all of them are new on the type.
Remember GPWS came in 1974. EGPWS only in 1998.
So there was nothing that would have warned them in time to realise their mistake before they impacted the mountain.
The cockpit confusion theory has some merits. Most likely many of those thousands of flight hours were accumulated over years of flying prop and turboprop airplanes which many at the time had a flight engineer to manage the systems, and things in a jet are a bit more complex and things happen faster. Additionally, this DC9 may have been a "baby 9" (-10 series) which was a little bullet, lacked slats, and anti-ice systems worked much different than deice boots, for example. We owe the many safety improvements of today, with radio altimeter, TWAS, EGPWS, to the many crews and passengers lost in those early days of jet aviation, which in some ways were really pioneers. RIP.
This is simular to the AA accident in 1959 with the brand new Electra with FC DeWitt in command in to LGA. The same type of CFIT was the accident of BU239 23rd dec 1972 from AES-FBU. It was the first leathal crash with the Fokker F-28. Great vlog as always!
The Electra, Flaming Cylinder of DEATH.
My theory about what happened is this, the pilot monitoring read back the ATC as one four thousand, instead of FL140. Perhaps they knew roughly where they were, but the pilot flying, preoccupied with slowing the aircraft and setting up the turn to 300 degrees, only heard the four thousand part, and set the auto pilot to that altitude. I honestly cant think of anything beyond that being the cause of this crash
There are some parallels between this and the TWA flight 514 accident in 1974. TWA 514 descended below cleared altitude, likely due to confusion between the crew and ATC. Fortunately, 514 had a CVR so there's a better understanding of what took place. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TWA_Flight_514
I wonder if the parts to the cockpit voice recorder still exist in some storage site somewhere. Maybe use modern technology in an attempt to rebuild it.
A DC-9 does not have an autopilot that can automatically level off the aircraft once it reaches it's commanded altitude. The next best thing was to put in your desired altitude to the 'altitude alerter,' which would beep and flash to alert you when you were approaching your target altitude. Then the pilot would have to level the aircraft off manually. I've never flown a DC-9, so I can't speak to how loud or bright that system was, but if it malfunctioned or wasn't noticed for some reason, I could certainly see distraction or an over reliance on new technology contributing to the accident.
A thought. After controllers gave directions to descend to 9K, potentially it was written down and then when it was time to descend, the written 9K was mis-read as "4K". When written, 9's and 4's can be misinterpreted depending on how they are written.
Mt Hood peak sits at just over 11k feet. Hood river/ white salmon gets intense fog, so I see what you mean. Overall another great video!
Excellent Work, bordering on Scholarship! (As an aside, MyBeloved Father, and some of his close associations, told me, more than once, of their low opinion, of the DC-9! Soooo many problems! And always,the same 'story', blame the pilots and/or the maintenence-crew. Yet, when finally, it came 'down-to-it', in subsequent investigations, it turned out, that the DC-9, had massive design-flaws! Remarkably, even with much corrobrating evidence, some will STILL defend it! Much like the Airbus of today, despite its many crashes and failings and recalls! Amazing!) Again, Well-Done!
The DC-9, even the Dash 10's, were decent airplanes but had to be flown by the rules. They were not as forgiving as older Douglas airplanes such as the DC-3. Ignore the rules, pay the price, pretty much like life itself.
There is one crucial piece of equipment this aircraft did not have which was not even mandated to be put in aircraft until the early 1970s and that is the Ground Proximity Warning System. GPWS
Is it possible that you can set the altitude to 4000 instead of 9000 since I sometimes do get confused from far away, especially when the numbers are formed by straight lines?
Please make a video on the Ariana Afgan flight 701 which crashed on approach to London Gatwick
That one’s interesting 👀
@@MiniAirCrashInvestigation yes so if you can do a video on that flight please .
this sounds like a miss read of the altimeter, it sadly happens, especially near mountens
First thing I thought of was the altimeter display a 4 and a 9 can be very similar
I agree with Joel Brown below. I think they inadvertently set the altimeter to 4000 ft vice 9000 ft.
Nice job on your vids very good work ..
Im going with door # 3
New unfamiliar cockpit but mostly complacency with the route evidenced by the questioning of the instruction to turn to 300* which they didn't expect. Then they simply dialed in the next altitude as they were used to doing on the previous trips and began descent. They didn't know the mountain was there, but saw it at the last moment and tried to avoid.
Is there not an "Audible Reading" of the Altimeter each time it us changed manually?
My late father flew Dizzy-9 for American Airlines, and I wish he were here to comment on this event.
Being completely unfamiliar with the navigational instrumentation of this plane (and the era, for that matter), one wonders if the flight elevation for the autopilot was “dialed in” to a specific setting using analog technology, or was it a digital display, where the numbers 4 and 9 are “box” numbers and can be misread.
Regardless, these were top-notch pilots with very little “time on type” experience of this brand-new aircraft.
It only takes so-many steps before you fall into an irreversible disaster. We can only hope that the airline industry learned from this tragedy.
The theory that makes the most sense to me is the cockpit confusion one. I initially thought that it could have been fatigue, but as mentioned, they crew had adequate rest. The intentional act theory makes no sense to me either. Let's fast forward about 42 years to the Aeroflot 821 disaster in September of 2008. Neither pilot of Flight 821 were highly familiar with the 737 as they had both had much more experience on Soviet planes. Also, let's explore the AIRES Flight 5280 case, where those pilots went from turboprops to a 737 quickly, and although it was an illusion that caused that disaster, I am sure that the different cockpit fueled the confusion. Going back to the deliberate act theory, as you said, why would one pull up if they wanted to crash on purpose? Looking at LAM Mozambique Flight 470 and Germanwings Flight 9525, once the pilots of those planes were alone, they saw the chance to leave the controls alone and intentionally let the plane impact terrain. With those cases in mind, cockpit confusion is very likely.
my theory is that something distracted them or they put 9000 ft in the autopilot but never selected the "hold altitude" botton or like someone said accidently selected 4000 instead of 9000 and so they began carrying out the pre-landing checklist, and when the plane leveled off at 4000 and they saw the mountain coming closer, they turned and tried to go full power but as we all know engines dont react immediatly from idle to full power, it takes time. but it was already too late when they pulled the nose up bleeding precious speed and the plane then impacted the mountain
Excellent 🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏
Just a point for your consideration, as well as mentioning the total time for pilot experience, you should mention the pilot's time in type, and what aircraft the bulk of their experience was in. As is obvious from the statement of how new the DC-9 was, it is highly likely that the crew had almost no time on the aircraft, and all their experience was in older types.
under certain conditions figure four can look like figure nine - from the corner of your eye (e.g.) new aircraft, the unfamiliar layout of the cockpit! so put that with Benjamin Finlay's equation. we have a very plausible explanation.
One possibility I considered is that the numeral 4 and 9 can look similar on blocky displays. If they weren't familiar with the instruments they may have made this mistake.
Thanks for your work
Here in Argentina there is a legendary rock band (Los Redondos) which has a song called Flight 956, but the lyrics have no relation with this crash...
4 looked like 9 on the altitude preselect in a dim cockpit.
Pitot tubes are for speed, not altitude, no?
A very difficult question to theorise on what May have caused this crash given the choice of reasons as to what or why this tragedy occurred?
Well, I don't believe it was deliberate. Sometimes, "too many cooks spoil the brew".... The other day I had four guys in the cockpit each checing each other. This made me nervous, a distraction from the normal flow of duties, and each might have assumed one of the others had performed a specific task. I think it is like you say, confusion with the latest cockpit updates/changes on the new plane led to not knowing the actual altitude. May they all rest in peace
This is a likely scenario. They didn't have CRM back then. And the two pilots flying were very experienced. Maybe over-confident pilots but unfamiliar with the new plane.
@@Yosetime As my Mom always said: "by the grace of God go I..."
Can you a video on 2018 Horizon Air Q400 incident
Legend has it that Angry Gremlins were at the controls of this plane.........Damn them little critters !!!!!
Unfortunately, having technical issues with individual aircraft new into service, rather than aircraft types new into service, is far from unusual, even today, and was probably more common back in the '60s, so it could be that the pilots were somewhat involved in handling a technical issue and, with the aircraft making its' descent in a desolate area with a lack of visual clues to their position, lost spatial awareness of their position until, unfortunately, the mountain became visually apparent, by which time the crash was probably unavoidable, even though the pilots appear to have continued to fly the aircraft right into the impact. It could, however, be argued that the decision by West Coast Airlines not to specify their aircraft with radar altimeters, particularly when they operate routinely in areas of high terrain, could be said to be a causal factor in this incident...
I have to wonder if the, at the time unusable, CVR was retained after the investigation was completed, as it might be possible to forensically recover data from it now that would not have been possible at the time. If, and it's a big if, all these things aligned, and if someone was prepared to put the time and money into reading the CVR then it might be possible to find something that does shed more light on the situation at the time. It does, however, seem unlikely that the federal government would be inclined to do anything regarding a crash that happened in the mid-'60s now, so it's probably going to remain uncertain...
Blowing an altitude is something that's happened more than a few times. Couple that with an unfalisr airplane and I would guess that's what happened. Also, the altimeter installed can, and does create confusion...Pan American, Caracas, 1989.
One thing that confuses me is this - if they mistaken the 4 for a 9 isn't it a huge visible difference if they were flying twice lower than they should? I mean were they really in full lack of ground visibility? Otherwise 3 experienced pilots couldn't distinguish 4000 feet from 9000 feet ground distance?
Is the audio really quiet on this video? I barely hear this audio watching on my phone.
I think when they read back descending to 9000 from 0ne four thousand, they confused it as four thousand. Sometimes what I read and what I write down are not the same.
Why was there no ground proximity warning?
I wonder if they kept the remains of the cockpit voice recorder. What was impossible to recover in the 1960s may be recoverable today.
I agree with the misread altimeter theory. It may not have been the number on the gauge, though, as much as possible confusion with altitude above the ground versus altitude above sea level. 4000 feet may have actually been the altitude above the land surface, but 9000 was the altitude above sea level that the ATC gave them, and they got the two confused. This confusion appears to have been a major contributor to the crash of a Polish plane in Russia that was carrying diplomats. Just my guess anyway, as of course we will never know.
It was probably an entry error with the autopilot. 4 and 9 are similar looking numbers at a glance. They probably entered 4000 instead of 9000.
Hey, look forward to your vids always 🎉🎉
So, without long explanations etc. , logic suggests your last theory of the plane being new and the pilots not fully aware of their new instruments .... cheers to you 👍
Dumb question. When they enter an altitude in the system, is it digital, or is it a dial? If they were having any confusion, or fumbling with the system, and it's digital, a "9" and a "4" can look very similar. Add glare, or an obstruction, and maybe an error could occur?
Isn't it amazing that the most experienced crews are involved in so many air incidents.
I have noticed that too! It seems that years of experience may lead to overconfidence in one's skills and abilities to handle any situation.
You missed 3 major things:
1. DC-9's autopilot didn't change altitude. The pilot had to do that.
2. The 3 pilots were NOT trained. The captain had 17 hours experience flying a DC-9. First officer? 9. Check captain? Only 50 hours. They should not have been flying yet.
3. This was the company's first ever jet.
What I think happened is something like this:
1. The pilot-in-command (PIC) likely had the other pilot set his altimeter alert. It was the only thing they had to tell them they were too low.
2. The person doing it put it to 4,000 feet. Maybe they couldn't see (I believe it was one of the only kind of LED thing on the control unit) due to a glare, and thought 4,000 was 9,000. It was also only a single dial you spun - maybe leaving 14,000, the other pilot just blanked and put 4,000 due to being preoccupied with other stuff.
3. PIC trusts his other pilots so he descends. It's the company's first jet (all other planes were prop), so they likely descended far faster than they were used to and didn't even realize.
4. Altitude alert goes off making them level at 4,000, before they realize their mistake. The engines weren't idle so I imagine it was full power to try and avoid it. Sadly, it takes something like 8 seconds for a plane to respond to inputs.
And that's it. The DC-9 was advanced but it wasn't perfect. It held an altitude and speed like a car's cruise control, but you had to get there. There wasn't a ground proximity alert system yet - it took a ton of these controlled flights into terrain in the 60s to develop it. So if no pilot flying really understood how a jet responded and they relied too much on autopilot, then... this.