I agree that the property market will go up - but rates will stay the same until later this year when the RBA will cut. Interest rates are no longer effective at reducing inflation and the RBA wont do it to risk putting us in a recession. Jobs ads vs number of applications gap is getting bigger - which is a precursor to increased unemployment and the RBA are acutely aware of this.
@@InfinityIsland2203 Even with the changing of the portfolio ministers, there's no change to immigration. Over 1 million in the last 12 months. That's where our houses have gone to. The question that needs to be asked is: Are they skilled migrants that have come for jobs or are the "asylum seekers" and their rental properties are paid for by the tax payers. With the cost of living in Australia, most immigrants would leave and go back home because there's nothing in Australia to keep them here. Unless they're getting free money from the government. 1 million immigrants is the population of Adelaide. And I haven't seen a new capitol city pop up recently.
@@InfinityIsland2203 I read a story about a restaurant that was open for 299 days. They closed because they couldn't find a chef. 1 million immigrants into the country and not a single one of them is a chef? What type of workers are coming in?
I think we have all really underestimated the sheer amount of generational wealth that was remaining untapped. Parents helping their kids got into the market. People have now realised cash is no good if you just sit on it - combined with low supply and high demand = record house prices
Explain how getting rid of negative gearing would help. Since it's not rocket science it should be easy. We've had negative gearing since 1936, BUT NOW it's the problem. Lol.
@@84pintz Yes. EVERY company can write off losses against taxable income. YOU can do that if you take a $10,000 loan and invest in the stock market, the interest on the loan is a tax deduction, losses are deductible. Make a profit, you pay income tax on it. Why would people be a landlord if there is no incentive to be one? Without investment properties you either buy a house or live with your parents until you can. There would be NO rentals.
@@84pintz without investors 1/3 of the population would be living in caves. unless the government buys all the properties off investors and rents them out to 1/3 of the population for half
Without a doubt, this year will be worse than the last one. I lost a lot of money last year as a result of poor investing decisions that I would never have made if I hadn't been so concerned about my portfolio. I kept investing, but I wasn't sure whether I should start saving for a house. In the end, I sold everything I had, and the house required more maintenance than I had anticipated. I'm not sure how much longer I can go on like this
True. Together with the help of a financial planner, I was able to diversify my portfolio across several markets and produce a net profit of over one million dollars from high dividend yield bonds, ETFs, and stocks. It is essential that you have a variety of exposures, especially with businesses that are already profitable
Hallelujah!!! I’m blessed and favored with $60,000 every week! Now I can afford anything and support the work of God and the church. For Your glory, LORD! HALLELUJAH!
Absolutely! I have heard stories of people who started with little or no knowledge but managed to emerge victorious thanks to Ana Graciela Blackwelder.
We've been in a recession for 5 qtrs, federal government hid it by increasing immigration during a housing crisis. I'm hoping rates go up, those that overleveraged have no choice to sell. Supply won't level out until immigration is cut back to normal. I wouldn't be buying a house built in the last 5 years. As an inspector, they're all fcked and falling apart on handover day. Unfortunately those immigrating don't have a choice and get screwed millions for a Hebel piece of shit in leafy Brisbane 😂
I've got a note on my white board at work. "Intrest rates will not go down in 2024" which I posted last year. No one believed me. I still get scepticism. I'm holding my position. If I’m right, I want a job as an economist.
Generally you'll find a mix of corruption and stupidity as a causation. But I said the same thing, all the economists talking shit about soft landings etc Generally the rich and powerful need to move investments to safer assets classes prior to a crash/selloff
With trickle down economics and the minimum pay going up. The only offset is for everything to go up. Doesn't help when corpflation is stabbing us in the wallet.
The minimum wage at $24.10 seems crazy to me. When the economy shrinks, all companies can do is go bust. They can't lower peoples wages to suit economic condition because the law says you have to pay them a minimum wage. More corrupt unions with bad economic policies.
How to control inflation 1. Increase interest 2. Rents of homes and offices space get effected 3. Service running under those office building increases their price again 4. Repeat step 1😂😂
I had a proposal once. Remove interest rates as the way to control inflation as it only affects mortgage holders (35% private homes, 30% investment properties). But employment is at 95.9% of the population. So make the superannuation rate what controls inflation. Inflation too high, 20% supper contribution. Economy struggling, 7% super contribution. Remove the super employer contribution cap and make super salary sacrifice a max of $15,000. Then mortgages will be fought between the banks at around 2%-3% when they finish colluding. Mortgage repayments to the banks, principal disappears as it was created in existence by the banks, but the interest is pure profit. So instead of all you money going to the banks profit, it's still your money, it's just locked away until your retirement earning returns. The only downside would be if Labor get's their $3 million dollar super tax in.
@@aron.gortman I have pre-approval, will buy a single bed within a few months. 10percent home loans will push away investors from hoarding all homes. Eventually they will invest in productive assets or investments. Investment in real estate will never help a country to grow their net productivity.
35% of Australians don't have a mortgage on their home, so interest rates don't affect them. 35% do have a mortgage for a private home. 30% of people rent, interest rates will hurt them as investors will just pass it on in higher rents.
@@Hunty49 It's easy for someone to be smug and matter of fact when larger interest rates have no effect upon their situation at all beyond potentially enabling them to buy a cheaper home down the line. Everyone's opinion is completely guided by how their personal situation would stand to gain or lose based on a rise or drop in rates.
@@aron.gortman Not being smug. They're just facts. How it makes you feel is irrelevant. I'm doing $2,500 a fortnight repayments. I'm losing weight because I only eat 1 meal a day. I buy a 3 pack of rump steak for $15 and have 1 a day. It's all I can afford. I'm back on instant coffee because I can't even afford pods any more. But this is what I have to do for my situation. It is what it is.
People should stay in tents and stop using electricity, don’t go to hospital and reduce water usage to control inflation because demand is causing inflation 😂😂
Nugget news segment on Aus housing was interesting. Mortgage stresses are rising…they need to hike harder and faster rather than slow grind otherwise it will all happen at the same time.
Ya, the RBA needs to tread carefully. Trying to manage inflation without causing a housing market crash is a delicate balance. Let’s see if they will manage it!
@@MortgageBrokerAustralia My mate purchased his third home last month. He has bought 3 over 3 years. 1st doubled from 280k, he leveraged that to buy a second. 2nd home went up 50%, and bought another. He has $1m debt. His real investment was 280k. The value of the homes are ~$1m. Rental hikes helped cover the gearing on interest. Debt creation creates wealth...but for who. Inflation debt destruction only occurs for those with debt in the long run is my observation, and at the cost of those who cannot afford to take it.
paid off my home just in case after selling investment unit, which I wouldve loved to keep because it was one of those awesome brick and mortar with concrete walls, low body corp rates
QLD land tax changes now effective! This should chase out a few investors and let property return to its intended purpose: homes. With the Fed Gov to pocket $2 billion by wiping national investor concessions, and redirect it into fixing the housing shortage, these should be next.
rates wont crash the economy, unemployment will, then there will be a massive supply of homes for sale, no one will buy and watch the price plummet, inflation is caused by the people with money not the ones with loans so raising rates wont drop inflation, less jobs available now but more people in Australia due to immigration, let the crash begin
35% of Australians own their home outright. Interest rates don't affect them. They're the ones you see at all the coffee shops in the malls acting like everything isn't expensive. Inflation is caused by the banks and their money printer oversupplying the economy with money which devalues it.
@@Hunty49 yes i did say the same about those people not being effected, inflation is also caused by business raising prices as they see lots of people have the money to spend, just like those people who own homes also raise prices for rent because people will pay=inflation, its not just about printing money, wait until unemployment booms and we will see how the inflation will drop by magic even tho they printed allot
@@g-funk484 A lot of it is. If the currency is devalued, then it costs the farmer more for fuel, fertiliser, because we have to import those goods. Even fuel for transportation of the goods from the farm to the shop. So it costs more to create the product. Which then increases the price of the good. The fastest way for a country to decrease inflation, decrease the price of energy. Electricity, fuel, gas. If the price of diesel dropped to $1/litre, transport costs would be slashed. Electricity in WA is 31.5c/kW hour. China is 9.3c/kW hour. China has hydro and they built around 36 coal fired power plants in 2023. Cut the costs of manufacture and transport.
@@Hunty49 i understand mate i own a business also, dont forget how fuel dropped under $1 when covid hit yet money was being printed and devalued at the same time, that should show you prices can be lowered, its all supply and demand, if people need your farm products like milk,fruit and veg or anything again it can all be purchased direct from farms with no mark up from coles or woolworths, everything we purchase has a middle man, people can chose less profit and sell more but they wont because demand is high so they over charge and collect profits just like housing now and rentals, do you think 700k for a crap house is realistic because they print money or is it because the demand, printing money is not as bad as charging interest which does not exist in the system thats how they create money but there is never enough for everyone to pay of there loans at one time, wait until employment sky rockets we will see the true value for all products because no one will be buying
@@wapphigh5250 not quite the case mate, unfortunately inflation is still way too high, which means theres still some people spending like drunken sailors, the issue is interest rates are only affect a third of the population. As for a recession we are in a deep per capita recession, where the workers are getting smashed whilst nig corporates keep making big profits, hence the markets up near all time highs. Would of been better having a technical recession earlier and taken the yucky medicine.
The RBA will pause because Labor put the governor in and it's almost election time at the end of the year. A rate rise will kill Labor at the election as it proves they can't run an economy, like every year they're in charge.
Thanks for your comment! True, a cautious approach is essential during these uncertain times. Pausing rates can indeed be a good move to prevent further strain on the economy.
@@MortgageBrokerAustralia Inflation is still above 3% (3.8% July 2024). We've had the interest rates at 4.35% since Dec 2023 and hasn't impacted inflation. They need to go to 4.5%. Doing nothing will make it worse.
I hope & pray this falsified system is based on absolutely nothing absolutely nose dives... People will get wiped out... Although we'll recover... But first things first we'll go through a reverse market crash, interest rates will rise, house prices will rise again, assets will be unaffordable for most... The only thing that's going down is ours & the global economy... We won't be as lucky as we were in 2008.
It's based on something. Fractional Reserve. During Covid they dropped interest rates to 0.2% making borrowing money cheap. So the banks printed money and lent it out earning huge profits. All that free money cooked the economy and devalued the currency. Every dollar paid back on principal disappears from the nothing it came from and the interest is pure profit for banks. Supply and Demand. Once enough money has been removed from the economy, it gains value again.
📚 My Free Resource Hub & Education Community 👉 go.huntergalloway.com.au/hub
My bet is, rates go up, Australian property market goes even higher.... because nothing makes sense anymore... interesting times
Definitely interesting times!🙃
Housing is political, the government will do everything in its power to keep the housing market popped up!
I agree that the property market will go up - but rates will stay the same until later this year when the RBA will cut. Interest rates are no longer effective at reducing inflation and the RBA wont do it to risk putting us in a recession. Jobs ads vs number of applications gap is getting bigger - which is a precursor to increased unemployment and the RBA are acutely aware of this.
@@InfinityIsland2203 Even with the changing of the portfolio ministers, there's no change to immigration. Over 1 million in the last 12 months. That's where our houses have gone to. The question that needs to be asked is: Are they skilled migrants that have come for jobs or are the "asylum seekers" and their rental properties are paid for by the tax payers. With the cost of living in Australia, most immigrants would leave and go back home because there's nothing in Australia to keep them here. Unless they're getting free money from the government. 1 million immigrants is the population of Adelaide. And I haven't seen a new capitol city pop up recently.
@@InfinityIsland2203 I read a story about a restaurant that was open for 299 days. They closed because they couldn't find a chef. 1 million immigrants into the country and not a single one of them is a chef? What type of workers are coming in?
I think we have all really underestimated the sheer amount of generational wealth that was remaining untapped. Parents helping their kids got into the market. People have now realised cash is no good if you just sit on it - combined with low supply and high demand = record house prices
Very interesting insight! We have definitely seen an increase in parents helping their kids buy houses.
The only solution is to be rid of negative gearing. It’s not rocket science
Explain how getting rid of negative gearing would help. Since it's not rocket science it should be easy. We've had negative gearing since 1936, BUT NOW it's the problem. Lol.
@Hunty49 it's helping the investor with a investment not producing enough profit, do you see that in the stock market???
@@Hunty49Australia is the only country in the OECD with negative gearing
@@84pintz Yes. EVERY company can write off losses against taxable income. YOU can do that if you take a $10,000 loan and invest in the stock market, the interest on the loan is a tax deduction, losses are deductible. Make a profit, you pay income tax on it.
Why would people be a landlord if there is no incentive to be one? Without investment properties you either buy a house or live with your parents until you can. There would be NO rentals.
@@84pintz without investors 1/3 of the population would be living in caves. unless the government buys all the properties off investors and rents them out to 1/3 of the population for half
Without a doubt, this year will be worse than the last one. I lost a lot of money last year as a result of poor investing decisions that I would never have made if I hadn't been so concerned about my portfolio. I kept investing, but I wasn't sure whether I should start saving for a house. In the end, I sold everything I had, and the house required more maintenance than I had anticipated. I'm not sure how much longer I can go on like this
Every one of us has made mistakes at some point
True. Together with the help of a financial planner, I was able to diversify my portfolio across several markets and produce a net profit of over one million dollars from high dividend yield bonds, ETFs, and stocks. It is essential that you have a variety of exposures, especially with businesses that are already profitable
Would you mind telling me about your financial planner?
Leah Foster Alderman
You are most likely to find more info when you look her up online
Melbourne prices have crashed. 30% down since 2021 peak. Media are too afraid to call it. Do you guys have the courage to call it?
Hallelujah!!! I’m blessed and favored with $60,000 every week! Now I can afford anything and support the work of God and the church. For Your glory, LORD! HALLELUJAH!
Oh really? Tell me more!
This is what Ana Graciela Blackwelder does, she has changed my life.
After raising up to 60k trading with her, I bought a new house and car here in the US and also paid for my son’s (Oscar) surgery. Glory to God.shalom.
I know Ana Graciela Blackwelder, and I have also had success...
Absolutely! I have heard stories of people who started with little or no knowledge but managed to emerge victorious thanks to Ana Graciela Blackwelder.
We've been in a recession for 5 qtrs, federal government hid it by increasing immigration during a housing crisis. I'm hoping rates go up, those that overleveraged have no choice to sell. Supply won't level out until immigration is cut back to normal. I wouldn't be buying a house built in the last 5 years. As an inspector, they're all fcked and falling apart on handover day. Unfortunately those immigrating don't have a choice and get screwed millions for a Hebel piece of shit in leafy Brisbane 😂
its definitely a rollercoaster ride, isn’t it?! Especially with the construction industry in shambles right now. Crazy times!
I've got a note on my white board at work. "Intrest rates will not go down in 2024" which I posted last year. No one believed me. I still get scepticism. I'm holding my position. If I’m right, I want a job as an economist.
Hahahaha! True, if your whiteboard’s predictions pan out, we’ll have to create a new position just for you: Chief Whiteboard Economist!
@MortgageBrokerAustralia What, has Carmen Lawrence finally retired. (That's a very niche joke 😃)
Generally you'll find a mix of corruption and stupidity as a causation. But I said the same thing, all the economists talking shit about soft landings etc Generally the rich and powerful need to move investments to safer assets classes prior to a crash/selloff
With trickle down economics and the minimum pay going up. The only offset is for everything to go up. Doesn't help when corpflation is stabbing us in the wallet.
Incredibly frustrating at the moment.
The minimum wage at $24.10 seems crazy to me. When the economy shrinks, all companies can do is go bust. They can't lower peoples wages to suit economic condition because the law says you have to pay them a minimum wage. More corrupt unions with bad economic policies.
How to control inflation
1. Increase interest
2. Rents of homes and offices space get effected
3. Service running under those office building increases their price again
4. Repeat step 1😂😂
Yep, its a tough balancing act!
I had a proposal once. Remove interest rates as the way to control inflation as it only affects mortgage holders (35% private homes, 30% investment properties). But employment is at 95.9% of the population. So make the superannuation rate what controls inflation. Inflation too high, 20% supper contribution. Economy struggling, 7% super contribution. Remove the super employer contribution cap and make super salary sacrifice a max of $15,000. Then mortgages will be fought between the banks at around 2%-3% when they finish colluding. Mortgage repayments to the banks, principal disappears as it was created in existence by the banks, but the interest is pure profit. So instead of all you money going to the banks profit, it's still your money, it's just locked away until your retirement earning returns. The only downside would be if Labor get's their $3 million dollar super tax in.
I want home loan to be around 10 percent and overall cash rate around 6 percent.
You don't have a mortgage, thats why.
@@aron.gortman I have pre-approval, will buy a single bed within a few months.
10percent home loans will push away investors from hoarding all homes.
Eventually they will invest in productive assets or investments. Investment in real estate will never help a country to grow their net productivity.
35% of Australians don't have a mortgage on their home, so interest rates don't affect them. 35% do have a mortgage for a private home. 30% of people rent, interest rates will hurt them as investors will just pass it on in higher rents.
@@Hunty49 It's easy for someone to be smug and matter of fact when larger interest rates have no effect upon their situation at all beyond potentially enabling them to buy a cheaper home down the line. Everyone's opinion is completely guided by how their personal situation would stand to gain or lose based on a rise or drop in rates.
@@aron.gortman Not being smug. They're just facts. How it makes you feel is irrelevant.
I'm doing $2,500 a fortnight repayments. I'm losing weight because I only eat 1 meal a day. I buy a 3 pack of rump steak for $15 and have 1 a day. It's all I can afford. I'm back on instant coffee because I can't even afford pods any more. But this is what I have to do for my situation. It is what it is.
People should stay in tents and stop using electricity, don’t go to hospital and reduce water usage to control inflation because demand is causing inflation 😂😂
😅 definitely!
Nugget news segment on Aus housing was interesting. Mortgage stresses are rising…they need to hike harder and faster rather than slow grind otherwise it will all happen at the same time.
Ya, the RBA needs to tread carefully. Trying to manage inflation without causing a housing market crash is a delicate balance. Let’s see if they will manage it!
@@MortgageBrokerAustralia My mate purchased his third home last month. He has bought 3 over 3 years. 1st doubled from 280k, he leveraged that to buy a second. 2nd home went up 50%, and bought another. He has $1m debt. His real investment was 280k. The value of the homes are ~$1m. Rental hikes helped cover the gearing on interest. Debt creation creates wealth...but for who. Inflation debt destruction only occurs for those with debt in the long run is my observation, and at the cost of those who cannot afford to take it.
Property spruikers keeping the bubble alive. Good luck
paid off my home just in case after selling investment unit, which I wouldve loved to keep because it was one of those awesome brick and mortar with concrete walls, low body corp rates
Yeah sometimes we have to make the tough decisions. But well done on paying off your home!
Spoke to bank they reckon rates will drop.
That is what most people are hoping! Best case scenario, they go down or at least hold steady. We'll see...
QLD land tax changes now effective! This should chase out a few investors and let property return to its intended purpose: homes. With the Fed Gov to pocket $2 billion by wiping national investor concessions, and redirect it into fixing the housing shortage, these should be next.
rates wont crash the economy, unemployment will, then there will be a massive supply of homes for sale, no one will buy and watch the price plummet, inflation is caused by the people with money not the ones with loans so raising rates wont drop inflation, less jobs available now but more people in Australia due to immigration, let the crash begin
35% of Australians own their home outright. Interest rates don't affect them. They're the ones you see at all the coffee shops in the malls acting like everything isn't expensive. Inflation is caused by the banks and their money printer oversupplying the economy with money which devalues it.
@@Hunty49 yes i did say the same about those people not being effected, inflation is also caused by business raising prices as they see lots of people have the money to spend, just like those people who own homes also raise prices for rent because people will pay=inflation, its not just about printing money, wait until unemployment booms and we will see how the inflation will drop by magic even tho they printed allot
@@g-funk484 A lot of it is. If the currency is devalued, then it costs the farmer more for fuel, fertiliser, because we have to import those goods. Even fuel for transportation of the goods from the farm to the shop. So it costs more to create the product. Which then increases the price of the good. The fastest way for a country to decrease inflation, decrease the price of energy. Electricity, fuel, gas. If the price of diesel dropped to $1/litre, transport costs would be slashed. Electricity in WA is 31.5c/kW hour. China is 9.3c/kW hour. China has hydro and they built around 36 coal fired power plants in 2023. Cut the costs of manufacture and transport.
@@Hunty49 i understand mate i own a business also, dont forget how fuel dropped under $1 when covid hit yet money was being printed and devalued at the same time, that should show you prices can be lowered, its all supply and demand, if people need your farm products like milk,fruit and veg or anything again it can all be purchased direct from farms with no mark up from coles or woolworths, everything we purchase has a middle man, people can chose less profit and sell more but they wont because demand is high so they over charge and collect profits just like housing now and rentals, do you think 700k for a crap house is realistic because they print money or is it because the demand, printing money is not as bad as charging interest which does not exist in the system thats how they create money but there is never enough for everyone to pay of there loans at one time, wait until employment sky rockets we will see the true value for all products because no one will be buying
I they raise rates it will be an economic catastrophe - we are *already* in recession. Are the RBA absolutely bonkers?!
@@wapphigh5250 not quite the case mate, unfortunately inflation is still way too high, which means theres still some people spending like drunken sailors, the issue is interest rates are only affect a third of the population. As for a recession we are in a deep per capita recession, where the workers are getting smashed whilst nig corporates keep making big profits, hence the markets up near all time highs. Would of been better having a technical recession earlier and taken the yucky medicine.
It needs to go up mate
Yeah, its a very tricky situation!
Pause rates again will be the best outcome, no point crashing the economy any more than it already is. Too early to start cutting the cash rate.
The RBA will pause because Labor put the governor in and it's almost election time at the end of the year. A rate rise will kill Labor at the election as it proves they can't run an economy, like every year they're in charge.
Thanks for your comment! True, a cautious approach is essential during these uncertain times. Pausing rates can indeed be a good move to prevent further strain on the economy.
@@MortgageBrokerAustralia Inflation is still above 3% (3.8% July 2024). We've had the interest rates at 4.35% since Dec 2023 and hasn't impacted inflation. They need to go to 4.5%. Doing nothing will make it worse.
I hope & pray this falsified system is based on absolutely nothing absolutely nose dives... People will get wiped out... Although we'll recover... But first things first we'll go through a reverse market crash, interest rates will rise, house prices will rise again, assets will be unaffordable for most... The only thing that's going down is ours & the global economy... We won't be as lucky as we were in 2008.
It's based on something. Fractional Reserve. During Covid they dropped interest rates to 0.2% making borrowing money cheap. So the banks printed money and lent it out earning huge profits. All that free money cooked the economy and devalued the currency. Every dollar paid back on principal disappears from the nothing it came from and the interest is pure profit for banks. Supply and Demand. Once enough money has been removed from the economy, it gains value again.
Dooms dayer
Thanks for watching
Covid made me rich thank fk i keeped my 4 Rental property's here in Adelaide
LION FORCE VOLTRON!!!!!!!
Hahah literally the best Lego set ever.