Unit 2: The Forecast is ‘Always’ wrong, Video 2: Demand Forecasts

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 ม.ค. 2025

ความคิดเห็น • 17

  • @PukeSkinwalker
    @PukeSkinwalker 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Forecasting is only as good as the variables that are being used. If you have water usage and you don't include the sales of low flow toilet seats then you will project yourself with a flawed forecast that doesn't take into consideration the consumer infrastructure improvement factor. If you neglect to include the factor of increased consumer cost or consumer conservation, then it will not effectively be in the forecasting data. There is average data but there is more or less conditional data that matters. The data and change outside of the behavior of an unexpectedly high bill and seeing the change between their prior usage and the change in their post usage gives a stronger projection in a financially squeezed environment. Same with someone who has changed their behavior to where they are more or less minimalistic and conservationalists. This results too in more accurate data for sales projections versus average data because the mean is not always the average and the average will tend to congregate towards the best solution. The outliers are the data to watch and should be used in the projections.

  • @strantheman
    @strantheman 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Forecasting is a good thing to do, but you have to consistently update the forecast.

  • @JC-qi5xc
    @JC-qi5xc 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Agree, things happened or not

  • @tomahawkmissile241
    @tomahawkmissile241 ปีที่แล้ว

    simple thoughts no forecast in time

  • @MuhFerdiansyahscience
    @MuhFerdiansyahscience 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Kmow it's projects in the very difficult, i don't know. And this anytime, what, and I think you very understand what i mean. Yeah, it's very statistic, we don't know. The and we cannot.

  • @Eduardo-cr8ri
    @Eduardo-cr8ri 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    very interesting

  • @tzachs_
    @tzachs_ 2 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    Dear MIT, please provide us with real classroom lecture videos rather than just presentation videos recorded during covid.

    • @warriordx5520
      @warriordx5520 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Bruh 2022 courses are still going like what r u talking about??

    • @tzachs_
      @tzachs_ 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@warriordx5520 They can upload lecture videos recorded before 2020.

    • @robocombo
      @robocombo 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      I think if you want the full experience you have to pay to go to MIT. I feel privileged just to get these little snippets

    • @tzachs_
      @tzachs_ 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@robocombo Bro, No one here argues for full experience , just old classroom lecture videos which they had already recorded.

    • @TheChupacabra
      @TheChupacabra 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      MIT thanks for whatever you have on hand, this is all cool to get to see