Rising Oil Prices, US Treasuries & The Arab Oil Embargo | What Is The "PetroDollar Agreement"?

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 27 มิ.ย. 2024
  • Remember when you had to wait in long lines for gas as a kid/teenager? Ever wonder why? Watch on as we talk about rising oil prices, US Treasuries & the Arab oil embargo & take a walk down memory lane to explain the "petrodollar agreement" that really exists.
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ความคิดเห็น • 68

  • @DiamondNestEgg
    @DiamondNestEgg  19 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    📢 Our July 4th sale is on! Get 10% off our bond courses while bond yields are high. Use coupon code summer2024 through midnight ET on Sunday, July 7th!
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    Here is the overview for Bond Beginners:
    1. Bond Basics
    What A Bond Is & How A Bond Works
    Why Invest In Bonds
    New Issue vs Secondary Market Bonds
    Interest Rates & Bond Prices
    Current Yield & Yield To Maturity
    Always Remember This!
    Buying At Par, Above Par & Below Par
    Different Types Of Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    2. The Risks Of Bond Investing
    Seven Key Bond Risks
    Credit Risk
    Interest Rate Risk
    Reinvestment Risk/Call Risk
    Inflation Risk
    Liquidity Risk
    Currency Risk & Country Risk
    Bond Risk Mitigation Strategies
    Wrap-Up
    3. US Treasuries Overview
    What Are US Treasuries
    Why Invest In Treasuries
    Where Can You Buy Treasuries
    How Are Treasuries Taxed
    Wrap-Up
    4. Treasury Bills
    What Are Treasury Bills (T-Bills)
    When Do T-Bill Auctions Happen
    Where Should You Buy At Auction
    Auto-Roll When Buying At Auction
    Where To Find Recent Auction Results
    High Rate vs Investment Rate
    Reopening Auctions
    Cash Management Bills (CMBs)
    Buying & Selling On Secondary Market
    Wrap-Up
    5. Treasury Notes & Bonds
    What Are Treasury Notes & Bonds
    When Do Auctions Happen
    Buying Treasury Notes & Bonds
    Auction High Yield vs Interest Rate
    Floating Rate Notes (FRNs)
    Treasury Zeros (STRIPS)
    Wrap-Up
    6. TIPS (Inflation-Protected)
    What Are TIPS
    When Do TIPS Auctions Happen
    Nominal vs Real Yields
    Negative Yields
    How Do You Adjust TIPS For Inflation
    Taxes On Phantom Income
    Secondary Market Liquidity
    Wrap-Up
    7. I-Bonds (Inflation-Protected)
    What Are I-Bonds
    How Does I-Bond Interest Work
    I-Bonds vs TIPS
    The Annual I-Bond Limit
    Wrap-Up
    8. Agency Bonds
    The Universe Of Bonds
    What Are Agency Bonds
    How Are Agency Bonds Taxed
    Treasuries vs Agencies
    Who Might Want To Consider Agencies
    Yield-To-Call & Yield-To-Worst
    Where Can You Buy Agency Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    9. Municipal Bonds
    Our Bond Universe Gets More Complex
    What Are Municipal Bonds
    How Safe Are Munis
    How Are Munis Taxed
    The De Minimis Rule
    Social Security & Medicare Premiums
    Treasuries, Agencies & Munis
    Who Might Want To Consider Munis
    Wrap-Up
    10. Corporate Bonds
    Our Bond Universe Is Complete
    What Are Corporate Bonds
    How Safe Are Corporates
    Corporate Bond Hierarchies
    Five Key Features Of Corporate Bonds
    How Are Corporates Taxed
    Treasuries vs Corporates, Etc.
    Who Might Want To Buy Corporates
    Wrap-Up
    >>>>>>>>>>
    Here is the overview for Bond Masters:
    1. Stocks vs Bonds
    Historical Performance
    Are Bonds Really Less Volatile
    Why Invest In Bonds
    Accumulation vs Decumulation
    Allocation of Stocks vs Bonds
    Wrap-Up
    2. Which Bonds Might Be Right For You
    Treasuries & Other Types of Bonds
    Nominal vs Real Yields
    Inflation vs Non-Inflation-Protected
    Taxable vs Tax-Advantaged Accounts
    Wrap-Up
    3. Bond Ladders & Other Bond Strategies
    Normal vs Inverted Yield Curve
    What Is A Bond Ladder
    5 Important Bond Laddering Questions
    Laddering When Rates Are Rising
    Laddering When Rates Are Falling
    Laddering When Rates Are Uncertain
    What Is A Bullet
    What Is A Barbell
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    4. Holding to Maturity vs Selling Early
    Why Hold to Maturity
    When To Sell Early Before Maturity
    Tax Implications Of Selling Early
    Wrap-Up
    5. Individual Bonds, Bond Funds, Etc.
    Why Buy Individual Bonds
    Why Buy Bond Funds
    Bond Fund Considerations
    Key Bond Fund Concepts
    CDs vs Treasuries
    Other High-Yield Investments
    Wrap-Up
    6. Our B.E.S.T. Model Portfolios By Age
    Our B.E.S.T Model Portfolios By Age
    Model Portfolios In The Industry
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolio Difference
    How Much Do You Need To Retire?
    How I Use The Rules of 100, 110, & 120
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (20s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (30s & 40s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (50s & 60s)
    B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (70s+)
    Wrap-Up
    7. The Decumulation Phase
    What Is The Decumulation Phase?
    Bear Markets & Recessions
    What Can You Do In Bad/Bear Markets
    Decumulation Tax Considerations
    The 4% Rule
    The Bucket Strategy
    The Flooring Approach
    Jen’s Bucket Strategy With A Twist
    Wrap-Up
    >>>>>>>>>>
    SOURCES & FOLLOW-UP VIDEOS FOR TODAY'S VIDEO:
    Our Video On The Dominance Of The USD: th-cam.com/video/fOkrJfqM9kI/w-d-xo.html
    Daniel Yergin's The Prize
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis#/media/File:Crude_oil_prices_since_1861.png
    www.jstor.org/stable/4325256
    www.nytimes.com/1974/06/09/archives/milestone-pact-is-signed-by-us-and-saudi-arabia-acclaimed-by.html
    www.energyintel.com/00000184-15bf-df66-a797-ddffc2380000
    www.atlanticcouncil.org/programs/geoeconomics-center/dollar-dominance-monitor/#
    www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/the-international-role-of-the-us-dollar-post-covid-edition-20230623.html#:
    www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/the-international-role-of-the-us-dollar-post-covid-edition-20230623.html#
    finance.yahoo.com/
    >>>>>>>>>>
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  • @fallout187
    @fallout187 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +17

    The structure of your videos has me clicking every time I get a notification. Keep up the great work.

  • @waynekellam8100
    @waynekellam8100 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    I remember the gas rationing as others noted but honestly never really knew why.
    The real story on the petrodollar was great and you made it very clear.
    Thanks for your continued work educating people in financial planning.
    I find it hard to believe you don’t have more followers. There are lots of people missing out.

  • @joeflorida4454
    @joeflorida4454 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    I remember waiting on long lines to get gas for my car back then…thanks for the explanation!

  • @ladycoder2095
    @ladycoder2095 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    Amazingly thorough Jennifer, thanks for all the in depth research and sharing, you are exceptional 👏👏👏!

  • @gilbellamy7713
    @gilbellamy7713 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Thank you for your excellent explanation! I feel better now because I saw some of those fake videos.

  • @pault6554
    @pault6554 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Fantastic educational video, Jen. I clearly remember the 1973 oil embargo and to this day, it is in my mind whenever I gas up. Fake news is very, very dangerous. We need people like you to keep us educated.

  • @williamconquest5066
    @williamconquest5066 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Incredibly informative.. I clearly remember the oil embargo of 1973 and the odd and even license plate number of days for gasoline with lines 3 miles long..

  • @esterwang1856
    @esterwang1856 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    I really like your videos because you always start with the conclusion.

  • @artdesignfashion
    @artdesignfashion 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Excellent job! Intellectually clear and morally brave: most on economic youtube do doom and gloom videos with zero logic. Please post more!!

  • @nancyforcey7454
    @nancyforcey7454 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you so much for this video.

  • @hexy55
    @hexy55 16 วันที่ผ่านมา

    So clear and useful. Thank you!

  • @joeblow1688
    @joeblow1688 16 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Brilliant analysis. Too many TH-cam channels fall very short of any real digging to find the true facts and details, but just go with sensationalism. You are the true exception and this is why I have subscribed, long ago to your channel. Well done.

  • @heatherilse4510
    @heatherilse4510 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

    Jennifer, you are the best. The. Best. Your stable sanity, lack of hype, and absence of fearmongering are so refreshing.

  • @lpr1212
    @lpr1212 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Excellent video and information Jennifer. Very helpful. Thank you!

  • @josephshaddix6119
    @josephshaddix6119 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Outstanding presentation! Great job.

  • @joelh5445
    @joelh5445 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Excellent video. Thank you for your integrity

  • @james-kh7oi
    @james-kh7oi 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Dynamic post. Great economic and history lessons. thanks.

  • @user-yk5by3uc2b
    @user-yk5by3uc2b 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Thank you someone finally said it

  • @geraldf.1222
    @geraldf.1222 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    That was a GREAT "Real News" video!

  • @Seniormexico1968
    @Seniormexico1968 16 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I remember as a child during the Arab oil embargo having to wait inline for only 5$ worth of gas!

  • @makeyourlifeeasier5794
    @makeyourlifeeasier5794 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great info...problem is what you said at the end Jennifer. Unfortunately no politician wants to tell the public what they need to hear...NO MORE FREEBIES!

  • @MeltingRubberZ28
    @MeltingRubberZ28 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Great video! Thank you!

  • @tomhenderson434
    @tomhenderson434 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you Jennifer for the history lesson and trip down memory lane. I was 22 in 1973 and remember gas rationing and "no gas" signs in some stations. However, I don't recall it being catastrophic. I was always able to get enough gas to drive to work, etc. I do remember, however, that implementation of the 55 mph speed limit made the drive from Miami to Detroit seem much longer!

  • @LionmightOfficial
    @LionmightOfficial 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Great in-depth explanation! Thank you for debunking those fakers.

  • @rondrake3720
    @rondrake3720 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    Have Israel and Ukraine buy some US debt

  • @mannyg923
    @mannyg923 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    EXCELLENT ANALYSIS!!

  • @lesliem2041
    @lesliem2041 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +9

    Thank you for this excellent video…it should be shown in American high school history classes! I remember, as a very little kid, waiting in long lines for gas and only being able to go when our license plate ended in an even number.

  • @BorisLikesBonds
    @BorisLikesBonds 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Ahh, this was great! I really liked how you put this story together by tying together the Yom Kippur war, Nixon's troubles with Watergate, and Saudi Arabia putting the squeeze on oil exports to the US. The disruption in oil sent shock waves through the US economy and played a part in America's economic stagnation during this time. High cost of energy translates to higher cost of manufacturing and higher cost of goods. All of this translated to higher inflation. I'm not saying this was the sole cause of inflation but it certainly didn't help!
    All of this started to set up the move toward globalization. The world, and America, needed an advantaged country where the cost of labor and energy was lower than before. This country would receive a massive influx of foreign investment to set up factories filled with low cost labor pumping out commodity materials from steel to tube socks to toys. Can we guess the name of the country?
    China.
    China was extremely advantaged when it came to energy and labor costs. The resulting lower cost of goods basically sucked inflation out of the US and around the world. Yes, Paul Volcker did his bit with interest rates but without China the world would not have seen the immense growth it has had over the past 40 years. We would have come out of a high inflationary setting dazed and confused, like from a really bad hang over, not knowing what to do. In this case, it wouldn't be a stretch to say China saved the world.
    And to think that China's unexpected rise all began with a war far away from its borders!
    Just like Saudi Arabia is in the "dollar game" with oil, so too is China in the same "dollar game" when it comes to imports/exports. The network effect you mentioned that was solidified with the Saudis in the 1970s took hold of China in the 80s and 90s. If anyone wants to play with America then the game will be played in US dollars, whether its for oil, commodities, or high tech goodies like GPU chips, software services, or advanced chip manufacturing equipment.
    The network effect doesn't stop there. Think of all the countries in South America and Africa that have "dollarized". Knock yourself out with this list!
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currency_substitution#United_States_dollar
    The dollar is huge!

  • @prashantshah4503
    @prashantshah4503 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    This has got to be one of the best video in international finance. Excellent content and delivery. Would love to see you discuss the network effect of US$ in depth. That would certainly put an end to the rumors about the death of US$.

  • @petrao8669
    @petrao8669 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I never saw any of those fake videos. Thank you for the history lesson and your in-depth analysis on this subject.

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I guess you're watching the right channels then Petra :-)

    • @petrao8669
      @petrao8669 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@DiamondNestEgg I give it my best shot !

  • @ronjr831
    @ronjr831 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Very well done. Thanks

  • @jeffseven328
    @jeffseven328 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Wow what a powerful and enlightening video of the dollar;

  • @anildsouza985
    @anildsouza985 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    can u pls do a video on why the US went against the GOLD standard

  • @fredycorea4901
    @fredycorea4901 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Excellent!

  • @TKrakowski1
    @TKrakowski1 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I’m old enough to remember gas rationing.

  • @bapam2
    @bapam2 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I always thought it had something to do with going off the gold standard. I did learn something new.

  • @g.t.richardson6311
    @g.t.richardson6311 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you for more in depth investigation into the spreading of bs
    I questioned this in my mind 2 weeks ago, and had lengthy discussion with a 12 year younger former colleague this week while working on a side job this week
    Thank you for confirming
    You are far more trusted than stupid influencers or cnbc

  • @h.jnguyen2939
    @h.jnguyen2939 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Thanks!

  • @ptioxon
    @ptioxon 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    This happened in the final 2 years of my high school time. You can not even imagine the mortal hit to the US economy politics and culture. Gas was rationed on alternating days, by odd and even last numbers on license plates, and still, cars lined up for the rationed amount for blocks leading to gas pumps. Heat was turned off in moth balled buildings on college campuses until spring of 1975. Stagflation was cemented into the decade as aresult. It is referred to as The Arab Oil Shock, the first of 2.

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Thanks for sharing

    • @g.t.richardson6311
      @g.t.richardson6311 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Over hyped memory of 45 years ago
      This lasted about 10 - 14 days
      My dads regular fill up station filled us up whenever we wanted , odd or even didn’t matter , “I take care of my regular customers, not government rules”
      The way it should be

    • @ldubya4612
      @ldubya4612 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

      @@g.t.richardson6311 Did you even watch the video? The first oil embargo occured in 1973 and lasted several months. Prices doubled and tripled almost immediately and supplies were very limited. Rationing was the national norm and caused a lot of social disruption everywhere.

  • @sampetrie340
    @sampetrie340 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I remember, @ptioxon. The gas stations that were open often limited purchases to 2-3 gallons. I remember traveling with my family and never knowing if there would be gasoline enough to get home.😮 It definitely affected my world view.

    • @DiamondNestEgg
      @DiamondNestEgg  19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      🥲

    • @g.t.richardson6311
      @g.t.richardson6311 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Ah I was a newer driver in 1978-1979 and also remember taking vacations those summers 6-8 hours to the beach ,,, never had that worry or saw it to that extreme
      That was 45 years ago and peoples memories are over inflating this
      I remember some stations limiting purchases but never as low as you mentioned
      Maybe 10 gallons
      I remember my dads amico station guy telling him “my regular customers can always fill up”
      It was a very brief inconvenience

    • @sampetrie340
      @sampetrie340 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@g.t.richardson6311 do you mean 73-74? Because there really wasn’t a disruption in oil supply in 78-79.
      I have clear memories of what I describe in 73-74. Maybe there was regional variation. Although I too remember gas stations limiting sales to just their regular customers. I have wondered how such an arrangement would work today. My guess is that it wouldn’t.

    • @g.t.richardson6311
      @g.t.richardson6311 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@sampetrie340 maybe I’m wrong and I’m 5 years off ?
      But quite frankly I dont remember any great disruption where i lived
      My dad took public transportation to work, so that wasn’t an issue .. I can assure you there was NO crisis driving from pgh to Erie borough pgh to va beach in 1973-1974

  • @artmus421
    @artmus421 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Wow! Great job!

  • @MsTubbytube
    @MsTubbytube 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    this was particularly fun and educational

  • @Kno222
    @Kno222 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    So tired of this narrative there was an agreement! Did anyone not read Henry Kissingers books!

    • @daw7773
      @daw7773 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I would not believe anything Henry Kissinger said relating to the Saudi Arabia oil “agreements”.

  • @ccos3302
    @ccos3302 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Super informative! As always, thanks Jen for your insight and analysis!! ❤

  • @Daimajin696
    @Daimajin696 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Nicely done!

  • @oppenheim2
    @oppenheim2 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    What if the rating agencies downgraded the dollar so that none rated it AAA?

    • @brianglas7768
      @brianglas7768 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Do you mean US Treasury Bonds? Who cares what rating they give them. Our government can't default by law.

    • @oppenheim2
      @oppenheim2 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@brianglas7768 As I understand, T-Bills, Notes and Bonds are rated as follows…
      Moody's: Aaa rating with a negative outlook
      Fitch: Aa+ rating with a stable outlook
      Standard & Poor's: Aa+ rating with a stable outlook
      Many funds, pension, etc can only hold AAA rated debt. Moodys is the only agency which still rates US Treasuries at AAA. If they downgrade it, there would likely be massive selling of Treasuries. People who need not worry are this who plan to hold the debt to maturity.

  • @brianglas7768
    @brianglas7768 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Absolutely correct Jennifer. Our debt is the #1 problem we have.

  • @jimd907
    @jimd907 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Who tends to spread fake news on this topic - previous metals fans?

  • @chrishardin7183
    @chrishardin7183 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Good tutorial

  • @ebrahimhabib477
    @ebrahimhabib477 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    So professional video

  • @azulsimmons1040
    @azulsimmons1040 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Interesting. This sucked in a lot of people. Good to know it was false.