Why does the sequence of returns risk matter when there are periodic withdrawals I Ft Ravi Saraogi

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 10 ก.พ. 2025

ความคิดเห็น • 51

  • @varsitybyzerodha
    @varsitybyzerodha  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    The sequence of returns will not impact the final value when there are no contributions or withdrawals from the portfolio.
    The table shown at 2:19 in this video considers withdrawals from the portfolio, represented as 'Expenses'. The withdrawal amount considered for each year is 5% of the initial investment of Rs 100, which is Rs 5 each year. Since there is a withdrawal from the corpus each year, the sequence of returns impacts the final value of the portfolio.

    • @dineshbalu711
      @dineshbalu711 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      This is valid when you consider withdrawal at fixed cost only, not valid when considering 5%.
      Because, when you consider 5% expense on capital, you can subtract this 5% from nominal return, to get net or effective return every year, so no difference between withdrawal / non withdrawal.

    • @akshaynaik1719
      @akshaynaik1719 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Not able to understand who is more aware about finance, those making videos or those watching videos. Comment section tells something else

  • @dineshs2398
    @dineshs2398 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    No one does average of yearly returns.. it’s basic math.. compounding has its own impact

    • @akshaynaik1719
      @akshaynaik1719 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Can you explain more ?

    • @mapa5497
      @mapa5497 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yup

  • @cmrdecc6516
    @cmrdecc6516 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you kind gentleman

  • @MaadhavanTJ
    @MaadhavanTJ 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very nice point

  • @manorakhee
    @manorakhee 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I’m doing a sip in low vol 30 and momentum 30 equally since 6-8 months. Let’s see the outcome after 5 years. I plan to rebalance yearly.

  • @hgmurty
    @hgmurty 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    what about xirr? thats everyone look at rather yearly return.

  • @JohnMiddleston
    @JohnMiddleston 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    With around $250k to invest, I was able to jump on GameStop as early as three weeks ago…. Damn this feels so good

    • @RoseBalerus
      @RoseBalerus 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Consider diversifying your portfolio with a mix of stocks and stable assets. Seeking professional advice now could provide valuable insights and strategies to navigate market uncertainties and protect your investments.

    • @GibsonJames-gr3on
      @GibsonJames-gr3on 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@RoseBalerus Agreed, my portfolio is well matched for every market season yielding 60% from early last year till date. I and my advisor are working on a 7 figure ball park

    • @cherylhills3227
      @cherylhills3227 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Your financial advisor must be really good, I hope it's okay to inquire if you're still working with the same Advisor and how can I get in touch with them?

    • @GibsonJames-gr3on
      @GibsonJames-gr3on 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@cherylhills3227 That would be ERIC PAUL ELMER

    • @GibsonJames-gr3on
      @GibsonJames-gr3on 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      He is a CFA whose approach combines technical and fundamentally essential analysis, and his platform has been the key to my financial success.

  • @market_learner27
    @market_learner27 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    the reason for different number is bcoz of expenditure column .....not bcoz of return......you are giving double impact......if everything remain same ......without expenditure column only on purely return ...it will not have any impact on the ending number....its simple math.......thats why CAGR return is mentioned.....

    • @kironjoy8996
      @kironjoy8996 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      But the expenditure column is the same in his assumption... -5, check the table again...

  • @manojsuri007
    @manojsuri007 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thats why sip mode is considered best.

  • @geeta59
    @geeta59 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The key to success is get average returns for above average of time.

  • @deveshmaheshwari6598
    @deveshmaheshwari6598 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    excellent vdo

  • @ashishty65
    @ashishty65 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    if you make expenditure 0% means no withdrawals sequence will not matter or impact final outcome

    • @acmtravels7214
      @acmtravels7214 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Mutual funds have a expense ratio

  • @SaiKumar-kd5yz
    @SaiKumar-kd5yz 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    When will you upload more videos on charlie munger

  • @PosaVenkatasubbaiah
    @PosaVenkatasubbaiah 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I bought Dixon @7154 (103 days ago) now it's LTP 11242 should i buy more are not?

    • @changingmyindia
      @changingmyindia 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      look at PE. If it is low than previous buy you can make your decision

  • @akshaynaik1719
    @akshaynaik1719 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    It was so confusing to see this video, average returns will have the same final value unless you make the withdrawal.

  • @deepak123tandon8
    @deepak123tandon8 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I understand Hindi

  • @bolcobaba
    @bolcobaba 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    RIP to those calculate yearly returns 😂

  • @kalichamarket5177
    @kalichamarket5177 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    No one is here going to see returns annually, everyone sees compounded interest, I think you have wrong knowledge😂
    I have wasted 10 minutes 😢.

    • @akshaykothari93
      @akshaykothari93 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      No offense, but you need to understand risk adjusted returns and other stuff.

  • @myfamilybypete6579
    @myfamilybypete6579 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Where is astha gone 🙃

  • @market_learner27
    @market_learner27 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    no logic.....if the return % are same for both portfolio irrespective of the year and sequence it will have same value........

    • @SaptarshiRoySRoyPC
      @SaptarshiRoySRoyPC 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Try doing a time deposit with different principal amounts but with the same rate of interest. You will discover that the maturity amount is different.

    • @market_learner27
      @market_learner27 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@SaptarshiRoySRoyPC if starting amount is same ending amount will be same
      That’s how CaGR is calculated
      This will only make sense if you have compulsion of withdrawal

  • @ayushmanbiswari6223
    @ayushmanbiswari6223 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It's one of the dumbest video's seen. You have just taken the average returns which is nonsensical, as we take the CAGR(geometric mean of the returns over the years). If this video was made by a noobie, I may have neglected this mistake, but surely he's a CFA, and talking on such topics by a qualified professional really makes me doubt on his skills.

  • @uttiosaha4692
    @uttiosaha4692 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Now got it..
    Never lose money.
    Never forget rule no 1.
    Paisa kam bare chalega, khone ka nehi..

  • @dineshbalu711
    @dineshbalu711 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Why don't you do the math, before making video?
    Sequence of Return-Risk is a mere calculation mistake!

  • @JishnuChatterjee
    @JishnuChatterjee 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    same irritating "ah", "um" and "you know"

  • @deepak123tandon8
    @deepak123tandon8 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I understand Hindi.not English

  • @raidraven4189
    @raidraven4189 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This is not flaw of averaging😂

  • @arunmoola
    @arunmoola 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very poor education! I hope people don’t learn from such junk! Sequence of returns don’t matter (see Rajeev Thakkar’s video on this from PPFAS) A = p*(1+r1)*(1+r2)*….(1*rn) and multiplication is commutative last time I checked!

  • @deepak123tandon8
    @deepak123tandon8 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Kya tuma hindi nahi aati kya.😂😂😂😂. English ati ha to US jao.

  • @pg4098
    @pg4098 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    What a dumb logic....!

  • @deepak123tandon8
    @deepak123tandon8 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I understand Hindi

  • @deepak123tandon8
    @deepak123tandon8 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I understand Hindi.not English