People need to start looking at the Bears’ offensive situation as unique. You’re going to miss out if you look at historical data and make it a 1+1=2 situation. Never had a rookie with this level of support paired with a “generational” pedigree. Let the past temper your expectations but I think it’s safe to say that expecting Caleb to perform on the above average side of rookie QBs is a lock.
i definitely agree, im not just focusing on one factor when setting expectations. Historical data is just 1 piece of a very large puzzle BUT it is still a part of that puzzle.
Appreciate all of the content!
Question - do you all have/plan on making a video for starter dynasty draft strategy? First year playing in one and most content out there is around rookie drafts, but curious how you all would try to find balance between just trying to win year 1 vs have sustained success from the starter draft.
I bought d smith this off-season for the 1.10 and 2.10 in this last draft, then sold him for a late 2025 1st, late 2026 1st, mid 2025 2nd and demario Douglas
16 team 1qb rookie draft. I got Ladd at 1.09, BTJ at 1.10, Roman Wilson at 2.02, and Polk at 2.03…. Looking to get Maye/McCarthy at 2.07. I’m so pumped about my draft class
I have a feeling DK should go in a higher tier or atleast towards the top of his tier over odunze minimum
I also think if odunze was the first WR taken off the board at 9 it would change a lot of conversations you guys are having about him
My team is so young at wr. Collins, reed, wicks, roman wilson with 3 firsts next year. This vid has me very confident!
I can't understand why people put Chase over St.Brown
I have Amon ra, puka, g Wilson, nabers , dell, Franklin, Corley, m Wilson, cooks, m Williams. 10 team 1qb league. Pleased with this group.
Been offered a 2025 and 2026 2nd for Franklin. Thoughts
I appreciate the Nico respect. ✊️ I'm still gunna politic for him begin above a Nabers at least.. and in that tier 2. Don Wicks aka BABA YAGA made the graphic is exciting
I have stroud and collins, tank is getting waved in my face for low. Should I take the bait?
That Olave Fade gonna make people look straight foolish
Stroud and tank dell is more of a comp for caleb and odunze. Texans had nico as “#1”, bears have Dj.
How was Pickens better per target when ayiuk had the same amount of targets but ayiuk had 200 more yard and more receptions and touchdowns
1st question we need to ask is: what are the quality of those targets?
Starting QB Pass Grades:
Purdy - 81.5
Pickett - 68.8
Starting QB ADJ COMP %:
Purdy - 76.6%
Pickett - 71.8%
Catchable Target Rate:
Aiyuk - 78.7%
Pickens - 72.4%
2nd question we need to ask is: what did the defense need to focus on for each player on each play?
SF:
- CMC, Deebo, Kittle
PIT:
Diontae, maybe a RB?
3rd question we need to ask is: which player had more opportunities to score TDs?
Team PPG:
SF - 28.6 (2nd)
PIT - 17.8 (28th)
I think when you consider the entire context, both had incredible seasons but Pickens imo overcame much more to produce.
Feel the same way about Watson. If he can stay healthy! What about Pop Douglas?!?😂
You forgot to put Johan Datsun in there even though you said his name his picture is not there
10 team SF
Herbert + Godwin + D. Douglas
Nabers + Collins + 25 2nd
THANK YOU FOR FINALLY INCLUDING AMONRA IN TIER ONE IVE BEEN SCREAMING IT FROM THE ROOFTOPS ALL OFFSEASON
I still feel like amon-ra goes in a tier by himself under those top 3
His best year is better than Chase’s best year. There’s no reason to view AmonRa as less than these other guys in any meaningful way
Chase has finished outside top 10 2 years in a row (versus amon ra inside top 10 past 2 years). Combine that with the fact his qb is made of glass behind a crappy o line and I think it’s only fair Amon ra is in tier 1.
Josh Downs for PPR is likely out producing Pittman. He is AR's dude. Had a better rookie season and a better season than half your list. Adonai should be the high ceiling flyer in tier 7.
So the guy who Shane Steichen just schemed up 150+ targets for & signed to a long term deal is gonna get out produced by the Slot WR? Fair enough my man 🙏🏼
Amon Ra should be #2. JJ has no QB, And Chase has Burrow which that tendon damage in his hand scares me!
Yall Sleep on Pittman he was just 4th in receptions last year him and Aiyuk are the same age
I have amon ra marv jr nabors dell kirk douglas shakir curtis samuel pearsall dotson and lagette in the 2nd stage of a rebuild. 14 team 1qb. Brooks moss vidal. House money team with next years rb class. 200 dollar buyin dynasty
practically wrapped up my rookie draft, 4th round starting (unlimited timer for draft picks), got MHJ at 1.02, Jonathan Brooks at 1.09, BTJ at 2.02, Bo Nix at 2.09, Javon Baker at 3.09. 10 Team SF
My argument is Stafford makes Puka great and Wilson IS great. Wilson has a higher ceiling for a longer period of time.
I can respect the take! I just think we’ve seen more than enough to say Puka is also great. Would easily be a 1st Round pick if you redrafted that class 😅
Nico Collins is the X...Dell and Diggs will swap in and out of the slot on the other side. Nico is the no1
Why London over Olave?
Love both of them as prospects, both have great DC, both have had a high target share in their 1st 2 years BUT London has a QB that can produce top level fantasy assets 🙏🏼
@@DynastyLandFootball That's fair, especially with how JJ produced with Kirk. Here's an interesting hypothetical then: if the Saints had gotten Kirk, where would you rank Olave on this list?
keon coleman?!
Give me BTJ over Rome, Devonta smith, Pickens, metcalf easily
@@jcmphreek I’m very high on BTJ, I think he can develop into an absolute monster
I don’t understand why Kirk is so low. He’s the #1 with tlaw and in his prime he should be right around 30 imo
I can respect it! We feel like BTJR will become the 1 at some point this season 🙏🏼
Yall sleeping wayyyy to hard on Devante Adams wtf that’s crazyyyy
Will be 32 in season, all analytics and fantasy finishes have decreased in each of the last 3 years.
The only teams who should want Adam’s are win now teams. HOF player but not someone you’re going to be able to build around long term.
I have Justin Jefferson, AJ Brown, Puka Nacua, Garrett Wilson, Dontayvion Wicks, Jahan Dotson and Demario Douglas in our 10-Man Dynasty League
I can one up that in one of my 10 man leagues. Prioritized building around WR infinity stones. WR factories unite! 🤝
Mines better I have jj,chase ,Amon , Puka ,olave ,dj-Moore , Brian Thomas jr, Christian Watson, jsn , Jameson Williams, Demario Douglas, Jalynn Polk, Michael Wilson , Xavier legette , Ricky Pearsall & Malachi Corley
I think waddle is to high still. Give me Moore Pittman and smith over him especially with the extra value you get by making the move “down”
I can respect it! We talked about that in a video a couple weeks ago as well. Definitely want to explore the market on him.
@@DynastyLandFootball I just don’t see him being that much more productive. I’d buy tank and get a possible first on top right now? That’s crazy considering tanks production last year
No way bro said Devonta Smith isn’t as good of a prospect as Rome Odunze like Smith ain’t break college records and won a Heisman
Yes way, yes way bro said it. If Smith & Odunze are in the same draft class, Odunze gets drafted 1st 9 out of 10 times.
@@DynastyLandFootball Smith was better in college so highly doubt that. The Rome truther running out of narratives, Brian Thomas Jr had a better season than Rome.
If you’re purely looking at statistics sure, but that’s about 10% of what goes into scouting a player my friend 🤝
@@DynastyLandFootball Scouting would tell you Smith was a better prospect. Rome played in the Pac12 he’s not on Smitty’s level.
I can respect your opinion but you keep giving answers that include 1 piece of a VERY BIG puzzle. Amon-Ra St Brown came out of the PAC-12, that’s an argument that has no legs to stand on. As we always say, scout the player not the helmet or the conference.
Don’t take my word for, go listen to every NFL Draft analyst on Rome Odunze. He has no flaws my dude!
Like I said, I can respect your opinion but I don’t agree and it isn’t downplaying Smith to say Odunze is the better prospect. It’s just giving Odunze the respect he deserves.
QJ Tier 14. 😂
Not a fan of this one fellas. I understand the youth aspect, but ranking some of these guys above Evans and Cooper! That's criminal.
How is Wandale not on here loll
Love WanDale, have him higher than all consensus sites in my rankings 👍🏼
I can't understand why people put Chase over St.Brown
Agree wholeheartedly. It’s a prove it year for Chase.. came out firing as a rookie and finished outside top 10 two straight years. Give me the guy who is insanely consistent and is healthy along with his qb in Goff. If Puka put up the two seasons Chase has following breaking the rookie record he would drop in rankings but somehow Chase is bulletproof
Chase was a higher draft pick, is tied to a better QB, and arguably more talented. But if Burrow keeps getting hurt then yeah Amon Ra is much better in dynasty
@@aab5425tt draft cap doesn’t matter once they are paid / proven, best ability is availability so i trust Goff behind a top o line versus injury prone Burrow behind an awful line. For PPR Amon ra dominates in the slot and gets peppered along with his ability to stay on the field. Amon ra also has produced the better seasons for two straight years.. gimme amon ra ALL DAY
@@lincolnchiller1274 also Tyler Boyd is gone and Tee Higgins may be gone too, so Chase has a lot less competition going forward than Amon Ra does. I don’t think Burrow is injury prone, but a bad luck stretch. This year will be very definitive in that though.
I can't understand why people put Chase over St.Brown
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