In my opinion, no song this year compares anywhere close to how amazing Portugal’s song is. I think that JESC needs to go back to requiring the singer(s) to have to write the song too. However, I think Spain is going to win this year. Last year, I was hearing Cœur all over TikTok and it won and this year, I keep hearing Como la Lola all over TikTok. I wouldn’t mind if it won though, Chloe is such a cute kid and she has a very catchy song.
It have to be between Estonia, Ukraine and Portugal, they are my top 3 and the 3 songs I think have the best chance of winning and my top 3 order with the countrys is like this: 🇺🇦🥇, 🇵🇹🥈, 🇪🇪🥉
This!!! Unfortunately I'm not sure how well Estonia will do with going second in the order but that's my top 3 (Ukraine, Portugal, Estonia) and I think Ukraine and Portugal both have a big chance of taking home the win!
My opinion on your prediction(please excuse that my English is not perfect): The Netherlands: I don't know... I mean, the song is catchy, it's of few bands this year, but it doesn't really stand out and the Netherlands definitely sent stronger entries the last two years, that both just got 7th.😭 I actually have the feeling that the Junior Eurovision juries dislike the Netherlands. They underrate the country over and over and over again(just look at 2017 - that's absolutely ridiculous). I don't really think, that the Netherlands have realistic chances to win. Estonia: The song definitely has potential and seems to be very popular in the Eurovision online community, but I'm not sure if the whole audience of Junior Eurovision will like this and I really worry about the juries. The running order spot is also very unlucky, but as we saw with Spain last year this doesn't have the same impact as in the adult version. At least I think 5% winning chances are very accurate. France: The song does not stand out very much, but come on: It's France! A big part of the Junior Eurovision Song Contest is French(I guess😂) and many of them probably think "Hey, why not voting for my own country, because it is my own country." If you look at the four countries with the most points in the televoting last year, you'll see: France, Spain, UK and Germany are also the four countries where the most people live.(of the participating countries) And I don't think we don't have to talk about the juries. I mean: France literally won the jury voting four times in a row! Armenia: To be honest: I have absolutely no idea how this will do in Madrid.😅 Portugal: Good song, amazing vocals and I'm very sure the staging will not ruin anything. Especially the juries will like this. In my opinion Portugal has the best chances to win this edition. Spain: I think this is comparable to Kvitka last year. I'm not sure about the juries, but the televoting... It's Spain and a big part of the audience are kids(I guess), so it has very good chances to win the televoting. Ukraine: This could be a possible winner, but it could also be this kind of fan favorite ending up surprisingly bad(I just say Kazi Mi, Kazi Mi Koj and To The Moon). But it definitely has potential to end up good in both jury and televoting. But there is one thing in this video I COMPLETELY DISAGREE with: If you add up the winning chances of the entries in the video you get 100%. That means all the other entries have absolutely no winning chances? Even if you add the winning chances of all the other ten entries up you don't get 1%? A surprise can definitely happen I believe it is much more likely that the winner is a suprise.(and would entries like Cyprus or Albania really but such a surprise?) I mean, who expected Lissandro to win in 2022? Congratulations for reading this long comment!😅
I don’t think juries hate the Netherlands. 2021 was a strong year, I found la fiesta very cute but the staging was a bit messy, last year was the same. If you look how insane the staging and acts were. Also the boy was vocally not on point while other countries nailed it. I think 7th place was a fair result and after all it isn’t bad. This year I don’t see them ending up higher than a 7th place, the song is okay but not great.
I honestly don’t see it happening. The song is okay but not great. I think 7th place again at best, but this year is so unpredictable that it would will come down to the live performance and act.
@@ylixlix1548 think like this, theres an underrated song by fans before the contest but during the final the song performs very well or gets an unexpected good result. this is what dark horse means
For me Germany and Albania are the dark horses with Portugal, France, Spain, Armenia and Ukraine having most chances to win. The Dutch song is just okay but not great, it feels a bit dated.
When small, not well-known country has a catchy and great song it still doesn't feel like a winner beacause of country, that's really sad for example if France, Spain etc. had Estonia's song they would probably win😐
I feel like estonia has a good chance bc you can vote for your top 3 and many people have estonia on their top 3 but just not on their first place so....
Ukraine has a really huge potentisl to win, Artem is very charismatic and he has a lot of talent. I believe he's got it. Estonia's song is lovely, I'm not sure it will win, but it could be their best result . I like France, but they have enough wins for now, if they'll win again... I think that Portugal will bring a good result if they put some effort in the preformance Also, unpopular opinion: I don't like Spain's entry, it's not my type right now
I almost thought it would be Lisbon 2025, and then an 🇦🇲 mind-blowing bop come out from nowhere. For me, 🇫🇷🇬🇪🇵🇹 will fared well with juryvote, while 🇳🇱🇪🇸🇺🇦 will scored high in public vote.
I swear if France wins again... Titouan isn't a bad singer and the song is good, but with the grip France and their you-can-change-the-world kiddie-pop has had on the juries for the past few years, I think it's time something more mature like Portugal or Estonia gets a chance. Also, I'm tired of entries that are closer to their country's culture getting ignored for the radio stuff. Ireland last year was an absolute scandal, Jessica sang really well and was just outshined by the other, more eye-catching entries like France. That's not to say that France shouldn't place well, as it no doubt will do, just that I'd like to see songs with more cultural influences being appreciated.
Ukraine 🇺🇦 Armenia 🇦🇲 Portugal 🇵🇹 Cyprus 🇨🇾 And Maybe Ireland. I think Cyprus is Flying under the radar this year. The song Live will be so much better than the studio version. That and it will be elevated further. I dont know why people dont consider this Winning Potential. I dont think France is winning Potential but Ive seen lots of people say it is so maybe I am missing something. Ireland i'm on the fence on. I am a Fan of the Netherlands, its even my favorite this year. However I havnt seen many other people put them in there Top 3 so I dont know if its going to do well but Hopefully Im wrong and it does well I think The Juries are more important in JESC then the Televote despite a 50/50 split. I have crunched the numbers and since 2017 when this system was introduced The Gap between the Jury winner and Last place in the Juries has been bigger than the Gap between the Televote winner and The Televote Last Place every year except 2020 when France won both the Jury and the Televote anyway. However the 2019 Jury difference was 148 Points and the Televote Difference 140 and Poland won the Televote but not the Jury vote and still won so it isnt the deciding Factor however Since 2021 the difference between the Jury First and Last place and the Televote First and Last Place has gotten bigger
So according your calculations other countries have 0 chance of winning the contest? Because all the percentages you have written there add up to 100%.
everybody has own tastes, so it's not your problem. but the fact that Ukraine and Portugal always taking leader positions in tops... Isn't saying you something?
Portugal, Estonia, Spain or Cyprus. Yes PLEASE. not boring ew ah goofy France, and not Ukraine bc of the war, i know that Ukraine won't represent it and if JESC will be again in random country than the winner then i won't watch eurovision again
because of the war... and what about Artem's strong vocals and just good music with strong message, and good stage? Taking ESC: Ukraine has always qualified to finals, and there are only three years while my country is on war (Ukraine is participating since 2004). So, maybe, Ukrainian organisators are taking seriously the contest? also, we can't know if Ukraine will be able to host JESC 2025 next year, so I can't understand your proof. I saw your comments on other videos, you are pretending like Ukraine has done something to you. I don't know who will win, but if Artem does, that will be deserved. you just need to notice that France, Ukraine, Armenia etc usually have good songs. stop saying this nonsense
@@ДенисЧесноков-ж7ъ good message? Girl it's about war or home everytime, this is a s"it message. It's like Come ci Come ca in france songs every year, there is nothing special, The only thing that is good abt this song is a "Bridge" and the start of the song.
Junior Eurovision doesn't have the rule that the winning country has to host the next one. The winning country gets right of first refusal meaning if they want it they get it and if they don't some other country does. They used to decide somewhat independently of the winner and sometimes they would sometimes select the next host country and city before the current contest had happened. It's only recently that they've been pretty consistent with the winning country hosting.
@@Amezye 1. I'm male, don't use specialized words for one gender if you don't know who is speaking to you. 2. If you are going to translate "Kvitka" and "Hear Me Now", you'll understand that they have completely different meanings. 3. There are millions of Ukrainian refugees in the world, and this song is sent to them. So why this message is a sh*t? Ah, yes. Because if someone doesn't have these problems, they won't understand. Stop hating Artem. We are proud of him, and this is, in my opinion, our best song on JESC in like ten years. If your country doesn't have good results, this is not the fault of Ukraine, but maybe of your organisators. P. S. If you are from Germany, I'm going to notice you that Bjarne is on my top 5, it's just a question of taste
@@ДенисЧесноков-ж7ъ First of all i can't know what's your geneder bc you didn't said anything abt it, second Kvitka is about going back to home wich means Ukraine, Hear Me now, Hear me now, theres no better place then home. I'm the one that's not from ukraine and know better meaning of this song? Lol😭, i'm not hating on artem i'm hating ukraine, they changed name of the song 4 times wich makes no diffrenes first of all second if they can't host next eurovision then why other delecation is chosen to be? Like spain this year, they said that they will host eurovision only if they win but still hosting? Weird isn't? And i'm not from germany but Bjarne is also in my Top 5 so good point man.
In 2021 and 2023 the winners were obvious. Armenia and France had by far the best songs. This year will be like 2022 and it will come down to the live performance and act. For me and I am not French but Italian, France is my obvious winner again. It’s very unlikely to happen as they won already 2 years in a row. For me countries with most chances to win are: France, Portugal, Spain, Armenia, Ukraine, (Germany and Albania as my dark horses, I think if some countries could surprise its them) Some of these could be top or flop because it will come down to the live performances. Some countries you added I can’t picture them competing for victory because the songs are okay but not great. I don’t see juries ranking them high enough to be able to compete for victory.
![Junior Eurovision 2024: MY TOP 17 (ALL SONGS!) [NEW🇦🇲]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/zwEqzY5u5G4/mqdefault.jpg)
![Junior Eurovision 2024: MY TOP 17 (ALL SONGS!) [NEW🇦🇲]](/img/tr.png)
![เปิดใจ “ต้นหอม ศกุนตลา” หลังโดนพาดพิงธุรกิจที่เคยทำ และผลกระทบทำถูกปลดฟ้าผ่า! | แฉ 24 ต.ค.67 [2/3]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/vCi5OIqlxaE/mqdefault.jpg)
In my opinion, no song this year compares anywhere close to how amazing Portugal’s song is. I think that JESC needs to go back to requiring the singer(s) to have to write the song too.
However, I think Spain is going to win this year. Last year, I was hearing Cœur all over TikTok and it won and this year, I keep hearing Como la Lola all over TikTok. I wouldn’t mind if it won though, Chloe is such a cute kid and she has a very catchy song.
😅😊I think the same 😅😊
I’ve heard more Cœur than the other songs in the video 😭😭
Subliminal advertising hahah
Maybe Cœur wight win 2 years in a row haha
Lmaoo frr
I would most likely call Ukraine 40% and Portugal 40% and Spain 20%
Rather France then.
Ukraine 40%, Spain 40%, Portugal 5%, France 5%, Armenia 10%. There is no way Portugal could beat JESC pros like Spain, Armenia and France
I would say Spain 25%, Ukraine 20%, France 20%, Portugal 20%, Estonia 10%, the other 5% for a surprise from the other 13
I think it's
1 Spain
2 Ukraine
3 Portugal
4 France
5 Armenia
Don’t exclude France and Armenia. Germany and Albania could be dark horses.
It have to be between Estonia, Ukraine and Portugal, they are my top 3 and the 3 songs I think have the best chance of winning and my top 3 order with the countrys is like this: 🇺🇦🥇, 🇵🇹🥈, 🇪🇪🥉
Finnaly someone spoke it
P❤RTUGAL winner ❤
Portugal, Estonia, or Cyprus might win. If Ukraine wins, I reckon the next JESC will be in Liverpool.
we don't know the future, who knows where will it be🤫
Liverpool?😅
I hope for Portugal!!!
Ukraine, Portugal or Estonia for the win please
This!!! Unfortunately I'm not sure how well Estonia will do with going second in the order but that's my top 3 (Ukraine, Portugal, Estonia) and I think Ukraine and Portugal both have a big chance of taking home the win!
My opinion on your prediction(please excuse that my English is not perfect):
The Netherlands:
I don't know...
I mean, the song is catchy, it's of few bands this year, but it doesn't really stand out and the Netherlands definitely sent stronger entries the last two years, that both just got 7th.😭
I actually have the feeling that the Junior Eurovision juries dislike the Netherlands. They underrate the country over and over and over again(just look at 2017 - that's absolutely ridiculous).
I don't really think, that the Netherlands have realistic chances to win.
Estonia:
The song definitely has potential and seems to be very popular in the Eurovision online community, but I'm not sure if the whole audience of Junior Eurovision will like this and I really worry about the juries. The running order spot is also very unlucky, but as we saw with Spain last year this doesn't have the same impact as in the adult version.
At least I think 5% winning chances are very accurate.
France:
The song does not stand out very much, but come on: It's France!
A big part of the Junior Eurovision Song Contest is French(I guess😂) and many of them probably think "Hey, why not voting for my own country, because it is my own country."
If you look at the four countries with the most points in the televoting last year, you'll see: France, Spain, UK and Germany are also the four countries where the most people live.(of the participating countries)
And I don't think we don't have to talk about the juries. I mean: France literally won the jury voting four times in a row!
Armenia:
To be honest: I have absolutely no idea how this will do in Madrid.😅
Portugal:
Good song, amazing vocals and I'm very sure the staging will not ruin anything. Especially the juries will like this.
In my opinion Portugal has the best chances to win this edition.
Spain: I think this is comparable to Kvitka last year. I'm not sure about the juries, but the televoting...
It's Spain and a big part of the audience are kids(I guess), so it has very good chances to win the televoting.
Ukraine:
This could be a possible winner, but it could also be this kind of fan favorite ending up surprisingly bad(I just say Kazi Mi, Kazi Mi Koj and To The Moon). But it definitely has potential to end up good in both jury and televoting.
But there is one thing in this video I COMPLETELY DISAGREE with:
If you add up the winning chances of the entries in the video you get 100%.
That means all the other entries have absolutely no winning chances? Even if you add the winning chances of all the other ten entries up you don't get 1%?
A surprise can definitely happen I believe it is much more likely that the winner is a suprise.(and would entries like Cyprus or Albania really but such a surprise?)
I mean, who expected Lissandro to win in 2022?
Congratulations for reading this long comment!😅
I don’t think juries hate the Netherlands. 2021 was a strong year, I found la fiesta very cute but the staging was a bit messy, last year was the same. If you look how insane the staging and acts were. Also the boy was vocally not on point while other countries nailed it. I think 7th place was a fair result and after all it isn’t bad. This year I don’t see them ending up higher than a 7th place, the song is okay but not great.
Portugal ❤❤❤goo vitória ❤❤❤ amanzing ❤
Portugal 🇵🇹
I feel like Spain is not that above other fun pop songs this year, so my possible winners are:
Cyprus 🇨🇾, Armenia 🇦🇲
Spain is going to win the online vote, so clearly has more chances than others (esp. Portugal)
Netherlands 🇳🇱 Winning Would Be So Random….
Like France in 2022
Don't worry we won't let it happen.
I honestly don’t see it happening. The song is okay but not great. I think 7th place again at best, but this year is so unpredictable that it would will come down to the live performance and act.
but last year are the Netherlands Robbed!!
@@Szymciuuuuuyeah that was not fair
I swear i'm in the minority of people thinking the Netherlands can win. I just have a feeling that they will be a dark horse with juries ❤
Could someone give me an example or explain to me what a darkhorse is ?
@@ylixlix1548 think like this, theres an underrated song by fans before the contest but during the final the song performs very well or gets an unexpected good result. this is what dark horse means
Honestly I'd say the most likely jury dark horse is Albania
For me Germany and Albania are the dark horses with Portugal, France, Spain, Armenia and Ukraine having most chances to win. The Dutch song is just okay but not great, it feels a bit dated.
@@Matthew-ry6tfAlbania and Germany for me.
Portugal 🏆
From these I only see France, Ukraine, Armenia and Portugal winning it.
There is absolutely 0 chance of estonia winning, even though I would love to see it
When small, not well-known country has a catchy and great song it still doesn't feel like a winner beacause of country, that's really sad
for example if France, Spain etc. had Estonia's song they would probably win😐
Portugal é uma canção com emoção ❤
I Think Spain or Portugal will Win
Leo super👍🏾👏 Armenia go 🏆🎖🇦🇲🇦🇲🇦🇲🎆🎆🎆🎆
I love Armenia
90%
I feel like estonia has a good chance bc you can vote for your top 3 and many people have estonia on their top 3 but just not on their first place so....
Portugal vainqueur de l'Eurovision junior cette année
Ukraine has a really huge potentisl to win, Artem is very charismatic and he has a lot of talent. I believe he's got it. Estonia's song is lovely, I'm not sure it will win, but it could be their best result . I like France, but they have enough wins for now, if they'll win again...
I think that Portugal will bring a good result if they put some effort in the preformance
Also, unpopular opinion: I don't like Spain's entry, it's not my type right now
Here's My Top 17 from Hungary
17th = Ireland
16th = Malta
15th = Georgia
14th = Albania
13th = Armenia
12th = North Macedonia
11th = Estonia
10th = France
9th = Germany
8th = San Marino
7th = Italy
6th = Netherlands
5th = Cyprus
4th = Poland
3rd = Ukraine
2nd = Portugal
1st = Spain
🇪🇸🇪🇸🏆
I almost thought it would be Lisbon 2025, and then an 🇦🇲 mind-blowing bop come out from nowhere.
For me, 🇫🇷🇬🇪🇵🇹 will fared well with juryvote, while 🇳🇱🇪🇸🇺🇦 will scored high in public vote.
I swear if France wins again...
Titouan isn't a bad singer and the song is good, but with the grip France and their you-can-change-the-world kiddie-pop has had on the juries for the past few years, I think it's time something more mature like Portugal or Estonia gets a chance. Also, I'm tired of entries that are closer to their country's culture getting ignored for the radio stuff. Ireland last year was an absolute scandal, Jessica sang really well and was just outshined by the other, more eye-catching entries like France. That's not to say that France shouldn't place well, as it no doubt will do, just that I'd like to see songs with more cultural influences being appreciated.
There is no song in this year that deserves to win.
I hope for Estonia or Portugal
Ukraine 🇺🇦 Armenia 🇦🇲 Portugal 🇵🇹 Cyprus 🇨🇾 And Maybe Ireland. I think Cyprus is Flying under the radar this year. The song Live will be so much better than the studio version. That and it will be elevated further. I dont know why people dont consider this Winning Potential. I dont think France is winning Potential but Ive seen lots of people say it is so maybe I am missing something. Ireland i'm on the fence on. I am a Fan of the Netherlands, its even my favorite this year. However I havnt seen many other people put them in there Top 3 so I dont know if its going to do well but Hopefully Im wrong and it does well
I think The Juries are more important in JESC then the Televote despite a 50/50 split. I have crunched the numbers and since 2017 when this system was introduced The Gap between the Jury winner and Last place in the Juries has been bigger than the Gap between the Televote winner and The Televote Last Place every year except 2020 when France won both the Jury and the Televote anyway. However the 2019 Jury difference was 148 Points and the Televote Difference 140 and Poland won the Televote but not the Jury vote and still won so it isnt the deciding Factor however Since 2021 the difference between the Jury First and Last place and the Televote First and Last Place has gotten bigger
I swear if the onionioniona (Spain) Wins...
We will laugh watching you cry, you bastard 😂
So according your calculations other countries have 0 chance of winning the contest? Because all the percentages you have written there add up to 100%.
Yeah that’s a mistake, I usually reserve a 5% for the other countries
Maykeeeee AAAAAAAAAAAH NANANANANANANA SUNDONSEEEEEEEE JALALALALALALALA SUPPORT ESTONIA FOR THE WIN 1 ESTONIA maykeeeeeeee EEEEEEEEEEH NANANANANANANANA
Poland❤ winner
If the netherlands win with this mid song over the bangers getting robbed the last 2 years im gonna scream..
Portugal os the best ❤
I swearbto god if Ukraine doesn't win---
Portugal will win this contest...
Netherlands have no chance to win
I don't get the hype about Ukraine
because they have a war
@@ESCLance_Wilson
because they have a good song, buddy.
everybody has own tastes, so it's not your problem.
but the fact that Ukraine and Portugal always taking leader positions in tops... Isn't saying you something?
Portugal, Estonia, Spain or Cyprus. Yes PLEASE. not boring ew ah goofy France, and not Ukraine bc of the war, i know that Ukraine won't represent it and if JESC will be again in random country than the winner then i won't watch eurovision again
because of the war...
and what about Artem's strong vocals and just good music with strong message, and good stage?
Taking ESC: Ukraine has always qualified to finals, and there are only three years while my country is on war (Ukraine is participating since 2004). So, maybe, Ukrainian organisators are taking seriously the contest?
also, we can't know if Ukraine will be able to host JESC 2025 next year, so I can't understand your proof.
I saw your comments on other videos, you are pretending like Ukraine has done something to you.
I don't know who will win, but if Artem does, that will be deserved.
you just need to notice that France, Ukraine, Armenia etc usually have good songs.
stop saying this nonsense
@@ДенисЧесноков-ж7ъ good message? Girl it's about war or home everytime, this is a s"it message. It's like Come ci Come ca in france songs every year, there is nothing special, The only thing that is good abt this song is a "Bridge" and the start of the song.
Junior Eurovision doesn't have the rule that the winning country has to host the next one. The winning country gets right of first refusal meaning if they want it they get it and if they don't some other country does. They used to decide somewhat independently of the winner and sometimes they would sometimes select the next host country and city before the current contest had happened. It's only recently that they've been pretty consistent with the winning country hosting.
@@Amezye
1. I'm male, don't use specialized words for one gender if you don't know who is speaking to you.
2. If you are going to translate "Kvitka" and "Hear Me Now", you'll understand that they have completely different meanings.
3. There are millions of Ukrainian refugees in the world, and this song is sent to them. So why this message is a sh*t? Ah, yes. Because if someone doesn't have these problems, they won't understand.
Stop hating Artem. We are proud of him, and this is, in my opinion, our best song on JESC in like ten years.
If your country doesn't have good results, this is not the fault of Ukraine, but maybe of your organisators.
P. S. If you are from Germany, I'm going to notice you that Bjarne is on my top 5, it's just a question of taste
@@ДенисЧесноков-ж7ъ First of all i can't know what's your geneder bc you didn't said anything abt it, second Kvitka is about going back to home wich means Ukraine, Hear Me now, Hear me now, theres no better place then home. I'm the one that's not from ukraine and know better meaning of this song? Lol😭, i'm not hating on artem i'm hating ukraine, they changed name of the song 4 times wich makes no diffrenes first of all second if they can't host next eurovision then why other delecation is chosen to be? Like spain this year, they said that they will host eurovision only if they win but still hosting? Weird isn't? And i'm not from germany but Bjarne is also in my Top 5 so good point man.
In 2021 and 2023 the winners were obvious. Armenia and France had by far the best songs. This year will be like 2022 and it will come down to the live performance and act. For me and I am not French but Italian, France is my obvious winner again. It’s very unlikely to happen as they won already 2 years in a row.
For me countries with most chances to win are: France, Portugal, Spain, Armenia, Ukraine, (Germany and Albania as my dark horses, I think if some countries could surprise its them) Some of these could be top or flop because it will come down to the live performances.
Some countries you added I can’t picture them competing for victory because the songs are okay but not great. I don’t see juries ranking them high enough to be able to compete for victory.
Not France again pls😭😭😭😭
Portugal Off cours.