These Maps are Lying (if you let them)
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 30 พ.ย. 2024
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I did not realize this video was going to "pop off" so a little addendum here:
1. I don't want people to watch this and think "Oh, so Trump didn't do as well as everyone is saying?" No, Trump got way more votes than in 2020, and Kamala Harris got way fewer than Joe Biden. The swing was decisive and national and not something to be ignored.
2. I don't think these maps are trying to mislead anyone intentionally, but as a person who communicates for a living, I am very aware of times when someone might walk away with the wrong idea in their heads.
3. Alaska does have county-like things, but they don't report the vote by them so it just gets one arrow.
Thank you for this clarification/expounding of the situation.
I didn’t understand anything you said.
Aren't Trumps votes this year still less than 2020? Is he projected to gain more?
Its somehow a Democrat plot to gives so many Electoral Votes to California and New York. The Electoral map will always mostly be red, and the densely populated areas will be Blue, at that point you think the whole system is rigged, and Republicans feed that beast. Its reactionary thinking, for a reactionary party.
Yeah, Alaska is super weird. They report their votes by state House of Representatives districts. People often have to use precinct results to manually reconstruct the results by borough/census area, which are the county equivalents in Alaska.
Thank you! I've been shouting this from the rooftops.
Yeah it's been driving me nuts watching people say that there's like 15 million democrat votes missing when you can just... look at the results and see that there's something like 15 million votes left to count. Like California is still left with 7-8 million uncounted votes. And that's California alone.
oh legaleagle is a nerdfighter. I guess I'm not surprised! But it's good to know.
I think the confusion came from reporting that there were "record numbers" of votes cast. Which would indicate that there should be more votes than were cast last cycle. So if Biden had 81M and Trump had 71M that means there should be OVER 152M votes. Plus whatever made up those record numbers.
So far, there are only about 130M votes accounted for. And even if you add on 8M for California, the math is still not adding up for people.
Hello eagle 🦅
@@mandirants There were record numbers of *early votes* cast, and there were predictions that that would mean "record numbers of _total votes_," but that didn't pan out. A bunch of people just sat this election out.
When my husband was getting his Geography degree, he read a book called How To Lie With Maps, and that idea has always stuck with me.
I still own this book before I found it so important to keep in mind!
I teach How To Lie With Statistics in my social science classes
@@JoannaLovesHistoryBooksYeah, I was just going to say that we were taught from how to lie with stats in my MPP program.
@@JoannaLovesHistoryBooks We do "how to lie with graphs" in my grade 9 (and other) math class. Let's just say Fox News has a good chunk of the examples in many different ways to lie. But, I've chastised MSNBC and other channels for doing exactly the same y-axis manipulation that Hank pointed out here.
Geography degree? My condolences.
Thank you, I did not realize that half of votes in California were not yet counted.
AP is currently showing 58% reporting
This is true. In my district there is a .2% (
That percent usually is about counties, not the number of votes. Some counties, especially in California have upward of 10 times the number of voters as others.
Even then only another about 5 million is left which still doesn't add up to the number that voted in 2020
the fact the count is still ongoing yet was called so quickly will never sit right with me
@@illiterobecause it is mathematically impossible for it to be otherwise.
John and Hank, thanks for being here through these tough times and continuing to make videos. Seeing a new vlogbrothers video get posted is incredibly comforting.
Trump 2024
@@laxattack032Why do you wanna vote for a felon who thinks his daughter is hot?
@@laxattack032 kamala 2024
@@cwutebunni cept she lost fam
How is it a tough time?
4:25 Alaska doesn’t have counties because we have boroughs! So it’s not like all 750,00 people are in one big county; there are still divisions
I'm actually a bit confused as to why the nyt had Alaska as a single unit in that graphic. Louisiana has a similar situation (parishes instead of counties) but it's still broken down into the individual smaller units.
I checked the numbers on saturday. Of the 110 ballots casted, 89 had been counted, 50 were trump and 39 harris.
JK love u alaskans
@@waywaywaywaywaytoolongtore7496 This comment made me laugh, thank you!
Hey, New York City has boroughs too. Those also aren't counties. Alaska also specifically segregates the idea of a county vs a borough in their constitution. So it does roughly mean that "750,00 people are in one big county" but that county has divisions.
Hank, I don’t know what to do or think this week, but thank you for being here with us ❤
p.s. I was assaulted in the train station this week, but rewatching you and John make tea on the livestream from last week has been keeping me together
Sorry reality is your leftist dream and never was
@@juliaxchung hope you stay safe ❤
@ oh didn’t know that
You are not a cartoon hero. You cannot change the world on your own. Instead, be where you are needed. There are people who need your help.
Wherever you look, you will find somebody that could use your help. If your thinking about giving up, I understand, but I also would feel bad for the people who could have used your help.
Something I heard someone say, that I think should be spread.
To quote from a great book, "when you don't know what to do, do what's right, and do what's in front of you - but not necessarily what's right in front of you." I'm putting my phone away except for music today. Time to go for a hike.
@@VidelxSpopovich Be specific.
did the same thing, cleaned house
@@VidelxSpopovich What's right is what my grandfather did in 1942. Would you like me to elaborate?
Going for a hike myself sometime this weekend. Need to just get away from people in general for a few hours lol
I don’t get this. What would be the difference between “in front of you” and “right in front of you”?
I work with Maps and one of the top books for GIS nerds and Cartographers is called "How to Lie with Maps". It's a good read and explains the bad use an manipulation of the data. Great video Hank!
Thank you for expressing your, "I don't know how to feel or what to do" moment at the end. I think so many of us can relate.
@@jttinsleyjoeyWhat do you people mean when you say "Open your eyes". Please, enlighten us with specifics. If you can.
I mean, four years ago, I just kept going to work when Orange Man lost.
Maybe just keep going to work?
@ I know he did? Is that what we're supposed our eyes to? He won fair and square, we got crushed. Let's hope your conservative utopia lives up the fucking hype.
@jttinsleyjoey Why does Trump have so many pictures hanging out with Epstein, why did Trump call his own daughter hot? Why was Trump walking into 12 year old dressing rooms?
The guy said he wouldn't accept any results that didn't say he won. Almost like he knew it was rigged in his favor. I'm not so sure it was a free and fair election @@jttinsleyjoey
First thing I do for every map: CHECK THE AXIS SCALES. It makes me unbelievably cranky.
"Check the axis (/) scales" is good advice for most figures.
Check both axes to prevent the Axis from reforming.
Absolutely, he did confused the x and y axis on the bar chart when saying the "non zero x axis" which should've been the y axis
And make sure a line has more than one point! That didn't have enough points to make a line.
@@DonNadie05I actually think nonzero x-axis is correct. The x-axis is zero if it goes through y=0, but in this case it didn’t, so it was a nonzero x-axis.
Ok. 2 weeks later we still don’t have a great explanation for the missing 5 million votes
Totally not having to do with this video but here it is anyways.
I feel like a lot of people have forgotten how to human. I saw a woman in a comment section say how scared she is of losing healthcare due to chronic illness. And a person responded some version of "ha ha, lib tears, move or die." And it just kinda shocked me.
I know this is the internet but when did it get where people are comfortable laughing at truly scared folks? I feel like I'm in a daycare watching a handful of 4 year olds running around biting people and laughing. And at least one teacher is egging them on, laughing along, and giving them gold stars for doing it.
I'm not talking about ethics or morals. Literally just being human. Holding doors for people, not tripping old ladies crossing the street, feeling sad when you see a sad person. These are just _human_ things and I don't know when being human became something to question in a significant part of the population.
I don't know. Just thoughts.
Because people suffering no consequences of being evil assholes on the internet has made them comfortable. Internet anonymity is both a blessing and a curse.
You do know half the internet isnt real people right? You almost know that trolls don't have lives or do what Trump or Elon does and tweet like 30 times a day.
I think because certain people choose who they are empathetic or sympathetic towards, and revoke that empathy and sympathy arbitrarily, based on who they feel would be sympathetic towards them.
It's my personal belief that humanity's greatest accomplishment is the ability to feel for *everything*, like feeling sad about dented cans at a grocery store, or saying sorry to a table you ran into. It is our greatest sin that humans can also revoke that feeling for anything, including other people.
I try to remember that everyone, *everyone* is human, and deserves a baseline level of respect for that. I don't know how to remind other people of that though, this is a personal understanding I came to privately and I don't know how to convince others of that, or even if it would be ethical to do so. That's just my two cents
That's what's shocking to me too. It's disturbing.
Thank you for your thoughts, Friend. INCREDIBLY discouraging to see such callous attitudes spread and fester online. But you sharing this makes a difference.🙏
"America is weird" is the most charitable criticism of the country I've heard this week.
@@spagooter1807 Okay.
@@CanaanPoE nah it has everything to do with politics and people. I know for a fact what the leftists got up to with their new freedoms and abilities was toxic to America as a state having lived through woke college in Biden. I mean shit I was voting on policy up until the last day of the election I thought and researched about it so much and voted Trump.
@@CanaanPoE and besides trumps actual policy is his selling point btw he wants to change the horrible economy the dems are forging and I do think the dems created this bad economy. Only idiots support the idea of fully open borders without vetting and verification if you are one of those you deserve your L on a silver platter.
@@spagooter1807 You... Don't like how progressives "band together socially"? What does that even mean? Progressivism is a social movement, just like conservatism. Your implication seems to be that the latter somehow "deserves" to exist, while the former doesn't. I wonder why that is.
Not incidentally, I've observed plenty of Trump rallies, and if that's not the definition of "banding together", I don't know what is.
@@dem8568 not even mentioning that, the left talks a whole lot of shit for people that act like they would promote equality once they have a majority and just what I’ve seen last election yeah you guys don’t believe in equality.
As a geography teacher, I absolutely love this! My students often think coming into class that maps are just factual but there are so many limitations to what maps can tell you and if you aren’t looking carefully you can draw the wrong conclusions. That’s how maps are used to manipulate people.
Thank you for your service and I'm not kidding.
On point with your Tucker Carlson impression 1:15
Yoooo you're here!
thank u hank. as a scared 19 yr old who watched crash course throughout high school. thank u for getting it, and breaking it down. hope you get some R&R. this whole country needs it right now.
@@phoebemelchor there is no reason to fear. Take time to process the election and see what actually changes. I’m betting not much
Dont watch fearmongering media. He was president before and it didnt lead to a fourth reich with people getting rounded up and shot in the head.
@@Grunttamercan you provide some insights? I work in a field that interfaces with government policies quite frequently and have heard the opposite.
A right wing controlled house (tentative), senate, and white house seems pretty impactful but maybe I'm missing something.
@@Cobalt_11 first, the news has been painting conservatives as actual monsters and it’s just not true. We just want less over reach, affordable groceries and safe streets.
Second, the policies laid out in agenda 47 are not things that are all that controversial. We want legal immigration, we want to deport criminal aliens, we want less taxes, we want to use our natural resources to become energy independent.
there's reason to fear, but there's some good in this world that is worth fighting for (best lotr quote ever)
Thank you for doing this video Hank. You have a very calming voice and your words are comforting. We love you.
Thanks for this, Hank. Those maps always irritate me for a lot of the reasons you said. My parents are also liberal but living in largely conservative, less populated areas, and I know seeing their areas painted entirely red bothers them, too. Thanks for taking the time to make a video, though we'd have understood if you didn't. Keep taking care of yourself ❤
The scale may be off but the numbers aren't.
"It bothers them most people in their area disagree with them"
@@orphanedhanyouThat's how I read that too. I'd be willing to bet their level of sympathy drops considerably when the shoe's on the other foot.
I took the tea quiz. pelicans are the kind of cat I am, how did you know
0:48 “graph crime” becoming a real thing nowadays is so upsetting for me
He's just coping because he hates that his bad views go against the will of the republic.
Something that people don't realize is that in 2020 a lot more people got an absentee ballot in the mail (you know due to a certain pandemic). This made it a lot more convenient for more people to vote. This helped cause a few things one of which was that people who felt like their vote didn't matter were much less likely to actually vote. ("Why wait in line to vote if it doesn't change anything?" as opposed to "my vote probably doesn't matter but I have the ballot already so might as well fill it out.") This makes red counties look redder and blue counties look bluer (on the arrow map). The pandemic totally changed the way the 2020 election looked and the way it took place which makes comparison very difficult, and usually misleading.
This is an interesting point and I know that voting accessibility was compromised in quite a few areas. However, I don't think we currently have an idea of real numbers that would suggest the significance of those changes, e.g. how many people had mail-in ballot access in 2020 but didn't in 2024. But certainly a whole let less people voted this cycle
Absentee ballots, or mail-in votes, is the #1 source of election fraud according to a study from around 2012 I believe. Do with that information what you will.
Most neutral take (not a bad thing) I have seen on universal mail in ballots for 2020.
Intresting to think if it won Biden the election due to universal mail in balloting, based on this years election in conjunction with the fact Trump repeatedly told his supporters not to vote by mail and go in on election day for 2020.
Would people actually have gone out to vote for Biden? Would more people have voted for Trump if he didnt discourage mail in ballots
Maybe we need to start considering this. Sending ballots to people who asked to be registered, they fill it in and just put it in the mail. Will make people feel less exhausted about voting.
Fixing how hard it is to vote in America needs to Dems priority! In my country we're automatically registered since birth, voting is always at the same place. If you need to change it, it takes 5 minutes online and you can do it 3 days before an election. And it takes 5 minutes to vote!!! Oh, and vote is always on a Sunday, when most people are off from work.
No wonder your turnout is so low. I wouldn't want to wait in line either. Or spend all the mental energy to figure out what, where, why. Overwhelming, especially for new voters.
Thank you for this, Hank. This community continues to be a good place to be even during times of complete and total bewilderment and frustration.
One of the proudest moments I had recently was when my son was watching a TH-cam video with us where information was being presented as fact, and he blurted out, "She's not saying any evidence!" He was picking up on a perceived lack of cited sources, and we were able to have a discussion about how that particular channel does do a lot of research and posts the sources in the video descriptions, but that he was correct in being skeptical even though the things in the video sounded good.
Hank and John, your videos all across TH-cam have been an invaluable tool for helping my wife and I teach our kids how to be curious, skeptical, and empathetic. For us at the very least, the world is a better place because of everything you do. Thank you so much.
As someone who voted blue in a red area, I’m also incredibly annoyed when my (and many others!) existence is ignored in a lot of the maps being shown.
Because you are in a high density population area. Two or three big cities (bubbles if you will) in the country should not dictate what the ENTIRE nation is subject to. Hence the electoral college to try and prevent that.
This is a mindset, though. With the first graph, you're being mislead. But with the other graphs and maps, you need to remember it's not about you, nor is it about me. It tells the truth. No graph or map can tell the whole truth, so we show different perspectives to simplify and digest reality. Unless someone is saying that the land area coloring corresponds to popular vote, then it's just a map, and it may not be what you're looking for. But that's not the map's fault or its creator's.
Hank, thank you for lending your critical eye to this. We all need to use logic and love moving forward, rather than jumping to conclusions and division. We're in this together!
We are NOT in this together, you dolt. Conservatives WILL NEVER be on our side, their movement IS ONLY ABOUT DIVISION.
@@scratch7971 1. Calling me a dolt is unnecessary.
2. If we do not see other people as humans we will fall apart. Yes, the overall right wing movement is about division and working against us. But that movement is made of a lot of people. Some of whom agree with everything the movement stands for but many of whom who do not. Do we need to be friends with them? Of course not. Do we need to find those that are reachable and have conversations? Yes. Do we need to counter misinformation (like the graphs Hank showed) and point out flaws in the logic, rather than dismiss them as stupid? Yes.
@@scratch7971 the movement is about affordable groceries, government overreach, and safe streets. Take some time to feel your feelings about the election, they are valid. But try to calm down and just see how things go. The news has been so hyperbolic about Trump for years that otherwise reasonable people are having a legit fight or flight reaction for no reason.
@@Grunttamerhaha, hahahahaha.
Funny.
@scratch7971 You instantly yelled at someone on your side without hesitation. That's how divide and conquer works.
That special edition was the thing I needed to finally feel the sadness. To grieve as you put it. Now I’m doing things. If my existence is protest I’ll keep being loud about it. I painted my nails. Writing poetry. Connecting with friends. Thank you
I've been feeling like I'm going crazy the past few days watching all this detailed analysis happen when we don't even have all the data yet. And not just with social media randos, this is coming from respected journalists too, who should know better.
knowing better isnt where the money is
Maybe you need to know better … too?
As a fellow Montanan, I feel you Hank. At least when we look out across the land, we see blue mountains and rivers.
💙
My vote in California is equally as worthless. Only a few states matter.
@@JoshuaTootell Your vote still matters a lot for House and Senate, a lot of House Seats in California went red this election
@@JoshuaTootell hey, you helped push the popular vote and the house and senate seats.
Side note, Montana is a beautiful state!
Thanks for posting, even though you were already struggling leading up to the election. I see you, Hank. And I appreciate what you do.
Thank you, this helped me feel a little better
PhilosophyTube!
@@brian8507America is a global superpower. What happens here affects the world. Or did you forget about that, mister "we probably have a military base in your country"?
Your comment history is public, by the way. We can see the daft things you say.
@@brian8507 So that's a yes on the short term memory loss thing. Neat.
@@angusmuir6180 ur the one who is obsessed with me and my opinions. I'm just enjoying the cope 🍿
You're a shill
As a geospatial analyst, thank you for doing this breakdown! Graphical literacy is super important
I would settle for regular literacy.
As somebody into demography and analytics... I just gotta say that your job sounds so cool.
Greetings from Juneau. Alaska is organized into boroughs, which essentially function like counties. Some boroughs, like The City and Borough of Juneau, are unified with a city and also function the same as a city. Others like the Mat-Su Borough may incorporate many smaller cities and function as an umbrella entity above them. But boroughs are created by the people who live in the given area, and it's possible to simply not choose to have (or not have the political infrastructure to create) a borough. Much of rural Alaska is within "the unorganized borough," which is really just no borough at all. But with so much of Alaska so sparsely populated and difficult to access, a defined county system doesn't really work up here.
Greetings from POW. Excellent explanation of Alaska boroughs.
I can see the deep sadness in you that I also feel. I haven't had it in me to be angry yet...just an intense sadness...and I'm trying desperately to not fall down the hopelessness hole. This time is just different... I hope you and yours are doing ok. Thank goodness for spaces like this♥️
It looks like Trump is still on track to win the popular vote with the new ballots reported out of California. IF Trump actually does win the popular vote, then the Democratic party has at some level objectively failed to convince people that their methods are the best. I hope that the Democratic party takes this as a moment to self-reflect and emerge as a stronger party that better represents the interests of the nation. The DNC has hardly improved since Bernie had the nomination stolen from him. There's just no good candidates at the moment. Buttigieg and Newsome would lose because of how unpopular they are outside the core party. If the DNC can't get their act together, we might very well see a JD Vance 2028. I'm praying for a Tulsi 2028 to shatter the glass ceiling if the DNC keeps failing Democrats with their Super Delegates.
I’m also sad that we won’t be able to brainwash children into thinking they’re mentally ill.
Maybe if we keep calling people fascists they’ll let us get back to having fun.
Orange man bad.
Don't worry, my friend. The world didn't end when Trump won the first time. We'll be ok. Don't feed into the hysteria the media wants you to feel
I hate gerrymandering. Theyre literally misrepresneting how many people live in certain places. Like people think places that are bigger have more power but no its the amount of people.
This isn't exactly gerrymandering. But the fact that there is a huge rural/urban split in how people vote means all maps have to be looked at with a lot of skepticism. He showed a cartogram, which distorts based on population. Those are good for getting a sense of how the votes actually pan out, but aren't very good for actually figuring out how a given area voted.
@@biddinge8898 that why Northern California hates sf and la
This map (and presidential elections in 48/50 states) has nothing to do with gerrymandering.
They count vote totals by state, not by district.
@@nathanspear8035 The electoral college mechanics are arguably a subtype of gerrymandering, just by drawing up the value of each "district" to give more voting power to certain demographics, instead of drawing up borders which do so.
It's a vaguer use of a term which is more traditionally precise, but the outcome is the same.
@@falleithani5411 The only states where it's possible to gerrymander the Electoral College are Maine and Nebraska. Every other state assigns winner-take-all so there's no districts to fiddle with. Unless you're saying along the lines that it's gerrymandering to say, count Virginia and West Virginia as being split since it ends up with 13 votes blue and 4 votes red, but if you had combined the two, it'd be 17 votes red. Since the presence of West Virginia effectively cordons off a massive chunk of red voters that would have been have made Virginia's total election much more competitive. But for that point of view, you'll have to take it up with the states existing at all. Most didn't get much control over their original border, and even those who did, locked in what that border looks like over a hundred years ago.
I saw this graph on twitter, and also immediately realized all of those issues in it, not because I am that smart, but because tons of people pointed them out in the comments! This is the steelman for why open discourse helps elevate truth.
2020 was still the first time in history we broke 130 million votes. The counting isn't finished, but it will STILL be a tad sus if the total vote count goes down by almost TEN PERCENT in a MORE HYPED ELECTION just because everyone has bodycams and is on the alert for election fraud...
I've been saying the same thing! Been posting all over trying to get people to stop freaking out.
Thank you, Hank. I’m a queer person living in Missouri, a very red state. The LGBT+ people I’m around are extremely sad but also more motivated than ever to fight for change. We’re getting organized and preparing for the next four years. To my fellow LGBT+/queer friends- talk to those around you, get organized, and prepare. Look into online activist spaces and try to bring those topics up in real life conversations. But more than anything else, enjoy the holidays and enjoy your life now. We don’t know what will happen, but for now we are okay. Hope is not lost, and you are not alone. Taking care of yourselves is a fantastic act of protest.
Also, Hank- I’m graduating at the beginning of December with a degree in comp sci and minors in math and philosophy. I used to hate all of those subjects actually because I found them too challenging. Your videos inspired me when I was younger. I wanted to challenge myself to learn more and develop strong, informed beliefs. You helped give me the framework I needed to make informed decisions. I’m certainly not alone in that. Right now things feel bleak, but you have made a huge difference in so many people’s lives and can continue to do so. Thank you again, and I wish you the best in whatever is to come in the next 4 years.
Thank you. You are one of very few people I’ve seen in the past few days who hasn’t fallen to despair.
You are fired 😅
I lived a long time in a 2016 Trump + 60% county and a friend of mine had a young adult trans daughter. I can guarantee that if anyone tried to hurt this trans individual that there would be a dozen people who would immediately kick the shit out of them for that. A few years ago there was a controversy around the song "Try That In A Small Town" because to some it conveyed a negative message around what sort of people are not welcome in a small town, but when I heard the lyrics, I thought the "try that" could refer to someone hurting this trans person. This was in the upper great plains, though, which I know is different from Missouri (where I also lived for several years), but the point is that to a fair extent many Republicans do not care how adults live their own lives--including sexual orientation--as long as they aren't hurting others. I know that Matthew Shepard was famously and brutally killed in Laramie over his sexual orientation, but culture has really shifted in a positive way towards greater acceptance since then, even among conservatives (minus some stuff dealing with children, but that's a whole other issue). Anyway, hopefully that makes things seem less bleak in terms of what the next few years might look like.
^^^^These people want us scared and to go away. The best thing we can do is fight to live the best life we can and be happy.
One of the other ways graphs lie to you is that it assumes that the body of voters is the same each election, but the breakdown of those voters changed. In many cases, there were people who were non-voters that decided to vote for Trump, or Biden voters who decided not to vote for Harris. I don't know the number of "Biden voters turned Trump voters" but I'm wary of graphs that make it seem like that's what happened.
NBC had it as about 5% of folks who voted Biden voted Trump, 79% of new voters voted Trump. They didn't have the opposite statistic up there, which I found strange (what % of 2020 Trump voters voted Kamala)
@@titusbaum9690, my guess is that admitting that to an exit poller is either a socially or physically dangerous thing.
Thank you for not re-shooting the part of the video where you're clearly upset and exhausted. I feel so hopeless, but it's good to know I'm not alone.
Grow up
I’m really glad Hank (and by extension John, even though he avoided election talk) are being really level-headed and such when it comes to the election and such, at least so far. Cuz it’s really difficult seeing SO many people resort to doom and gloom, some even already deciding to flee the country. I’m just happy they aren’t mongering anything and just being factual and stuffs. It’s good to see, at least to me.
They aren't going to flee. They said that last time and look what happened.
@@EmogetaMost people don’t have the means to leave a place they’d rather not live in. People staying when times are bad for them is an indicator of unfreedom.
@@CharlieQuartz Sounds like the technological new age and start of the transhuman era.
@@Emogetatake your meds
@@Emogeta
1. … what?
2. Suggesting that the average person escape into cyberspace to avoid their real problems ignores every possible reality of that situation. It’s unbelievable that some people actually hope for Ready Player One or worse to come true.
Oh, Hank.. Thank you for creating this comfortingly informed and conscientious community and for reassuringly being here, even in times when I'm sure you must feel as deflated, frustrated, and tired as many of us.. but also with the millions of TH-cam and other social media subscribers and companies that most of us don't have to think about. Please take care of yourself (first)! You and your brother are so appreciated and cared for by us. ❤️
On Wednesday morning, I put on the compilation of reunion videos you guys put out last winter and tried to finally get some sleep. I managed to rest, and it made the day easier to get through
Thank you for the we're here special edition, hank. I read it on Wednesday when I was feeling very fragile and tense and it made me cry, but it also made me look forward and get me out of bed for the day.
Omg I’m one of the people who doesn’t read kickstarter emails. Thank you! Also thank you for correcting this misinformation
1. You did a good job with the quiz! I've been having these teas everyday for the last two months and excited to try the seasonal blend!! 2. Thank you for talking about the election, it felt like a literal traumatic experience and it's hard to talk about, but I'm grateful I share the grief with others and know we aren't alone in this feeling.
I've been thinking for a long time that we need kids to get a "Defense Against The Dark Arts" class where we specifically train this sort of critical thinking. There are dark wizards out there working hard to deceive you - for political reasons (propaganda), but also for commercial ones (advertising and marketing). Not to mention just good old fashioned scamming and phishing and hustling.
They use bad graphs, bad data, yes - but also fallacious arguments, psychological tricks, and lots and lots of money.
We need to teach these examples in schools; how to spot them, how to analyze them critically, how to talk about them productively to others who are being misled.
You do such a good job of this. Your recent video on Elon Musk's factually incorrect tweets was another gem. I feel like this could be a whole series, or even a whole channel.
Keep up the good work!!!
But I thought you guys hate J.K. Rowling now? lol
Critical thinking and media literacy are sorely needed in this country, and that's exactly what the republican party wants to make sure people don't get.
@@devinglass9967God forbid people have nuance these days I guess
@@devinglass9967A lot of "us" read her books before she came out as a transphobic ghoul. It was a quite popular book series! Culturally important, even, for a lot of us who tend to be rather nerdy.
@@Kerry-uo6og[people]
Besides spite, you're one of my biggest inspirations to keep on trudging
I make maps for a living. I studied to do that. Thank you, because it's so easy to make them lie or say whatever we want them to say, and people don't have enough knowledge about them in general to question them.
1:15 his Tucker Carlson is spot on 👌
literally perfect 😂
Exactly
"Graph Crime"!
I really want a graph investigation decision sketch, and possibly a graph vigilante character. Someone to fix visual data for all.
Straight to graph jail!
This feels like a PBS show skit ala Cyberchase or something.
I was a foster kid until I amended a state law to emancipate early. I worked my tail off to graduate early to join the military at 17 in 2006. I loved my country so much that I would have given my life to protect my fellow Americans without a second thought. I was medically retired in January of 2017, so I stopped being physically useful and finally got to enjoy the "freedom" I fought for. I watched trump he handled the civil rights protests and then he made it possible for roe to be overturned. I kept seeing the same faces at the women's marches that I saw at blm protests, and I really started to take note that there weren't a lot of men there. When I asked men in my life why they weren't there, they called it a "women's issue", as if we're different animals or it's not a human rights issue. Then we watched as he tried to overthrow the government after his pandemic response was such a huge failure that a million Americans died and he was found guilty of things like sa, fraud, and we were given evidence of his dealings with Epstein etc. Then he won the popular vote, and now I'm just done. I don't care about how the maps misrepresent things anymore, but I wish I did. He won the popular vote. I fought for my country, and then my country fought for a sexual predator/con man who literally gave our national secrets away. I'm leaving because I won't keep fighting for the same people who I'm fighting against. To be clear, I'm not a Democrat either, but literally anything would have been better than this.
I feel like the question of "how did this happen?" isn't as important as "what do we do now?", and even that question is one that has to wait on folks currently in power to decide what safe guards theycan put up. The hardest part is always the waiting.
I think those questions have a lot of bearing on each other, though. If this only happened because of inflation, then we probably don't need to change much, if it happened because the internet created a huge shift toward a world that is distrustful of institutions, we need to change tack dramatically.
History has lessons to teach. Things don't get brighter from here.
@@vlogbrothersI would love to have a video on how we can rebuild trust in those institutions (not saying they were untrustworthy in the first place) and how we can better create equitable information that isn't so heavily skewed
@@jttinsleyjoey I think he's talking about History, not history.
@jttinsleyjoey you talking about during the pandemic when the economy almost crashed and gas was only cheap because of that fact?
The memory of people is short and history was left behind where it does no good. Maybe look into how mass deportation went for Germany in the late 30s.
@AOC recommendations also were: "Make sure to be part of a community, because communities is what we will need to defend ourselves."
I also think the most important thing we can do is get together, be sure to have each other within reach, and brace ourselves for next year.
Community is dead.
I came home yesterday to a note on my van saying it was reported for being parked in the same spot for over 4 days, when there was an empty spot next to me.
Today is street sweeper day, so I had to drive my 7.3 liter diesel van to work instead of ride my bicycle because I couldn't park in an empty parking lot for one more day.
Yeah, try to get to know people in your area who can actually do things for each other. Sympathetic people especially, but maybe cautiously sidle up to a few who, as long as they're not dangerous to you, aren't so sympathetic as well. If you can safely do it, be the counterexample someone thinks of when authority tells them a group you're a part of aren't real Americans or good people.
Yes!
My statistics professor always says "Don't trust a graph that you haven't forged yourself."
I am so tired of attention based media still kicking us while we’re down. First the polling data, and then the voting results. When will it stop 😭
But I’m also actually proud of Utah, for once
It won't, as long as you continue to willfully consume it.
@@Bluebloods7 Consume what?
When we start paying for news media that doesn't use ads to sustain it
No, it's good. We can't bubble, unless you want fascism forever.
Correcting bad takes on Hankschannel seems like something a lot of us would like to see. Thank you, Hank!
Thank you, Hank. There is so much to unpack, and I don't know where I can even start. I still don't trust the AP map, and don't get me started on the phone call disguised as an opinion poll that threw so many outlandish and inflammatory statements about Harris asking if I would be "less likely " or "more likely" to vote for her. I wish I could hold these people accountable.
Thanks for explaining Hank! It is so easy to be fooled by a map. I never actually stopped to check what exactly the arrows in that map really meant.
Thanks for making stuff, Hank. It's very understandable that a lot of people are feeling uninspired right now & needing a break from everything.
Today I walked my dogs in the woods & saw lots of cool moss & ravens.
Of all the comfort I’ve tried to pull from all my media, this has been the most helpful. Thank you.
What I learned is that these maps are useful for actual analysis by the right people but all of them are bad for hot takes and are abused as a political misinformation tool
this
We're STILL here because we're here! Nerdfighters- keep fighting 💪 this is not the end.
When I learned about graphs in 8th grade math class, we did a whole section on ways that graphs can be misleading or confusing. They even gave us data and asked us to graph it in a misleading way, explain the problem, then draw a corrected version. I don't know if that was a regional curriculum difference or just something my own math teacher thought was important to include, but I'm very glad I learned it, because it's clear that a lot of people on the internet did not.
This is the kind of stuff they should be showing on public TV, vital information about how to read statistics
The part where he says "land does not vote", but that's kind of what the electoral college does, give more voting power to people in lower population density areas
Yeah and that’s a problem, on a national election it should be EQUAL. But mainly he pointed that out to show how misleading the graphs are
@@Ben-wp5rx no it shouldn't regional representation is important. just because 4 states have a majority of the population doesn't mean that the issues of the rest of the states don't matter and that their interest shouldn't be taken into account. failing to do that and bowing to the Austrian majority all the time is the main reason the Austro-Hungarian empire collapsed. our system was EXPLICITLY designed to prevent New York and Pennsylvania from dominating the nation every election by virtue of their massive population(in the modern day you would include California and Texas on that list.) for a local election Majority should matter. but at the national level. REGIONS should matter. not individual people. that's what makes local and federal government different things. federal government represents the Union of States. State government represents the people.
Yeah tell that to minnesota
@@scorpioneldar They should dominate the country if they're the majority.
@@scorpioneldar so a blue voter in a red state doesnt matter. or a red voter in a blue state.
As a huge nerd for maps, it's really nice to have an emotion that isn't vacillating between utter shock and devastation, even if it's just for a couple of minutes.
Thanks Hank. Appreciating this channel this week.
Thank you, Hank! There's a lot of panic and finger-pointing going on right now and I am also not in the mood for dissecting all the "reasons" this happened. We just need to be vigilant and keep doing what's right.
Thank you for helping to counter disinfo. It's an all-hands effort.
This video could also be called disinformation. The Republicans defeated Democrats in every result that mattered most. The arrow graph is supposed to visualize momentum... in a vast majority of counties throughout the country, republicans had favorable momentum compared to just 2020. His focus on LA County doesn't negate the fact that even most democratic-held districts won by less when compared to 2020 and since California isn't going to flip anytime soon, it's mostly a cope. Also, someone asking about vote count in the first days of the results doesn't negate the fact that Democrats got destroyed. The Republicans won presidential electorates, senate, and house majorities even after dems spent a billion dollars. The Republicans are still projected to win the meaningless popular vote, which vlogbrothers probably hoped to fall back on. with results and also momentum, there's not much left to say other than the will of the republic is largely against democrats.
5:40 *hugs* We still have this community and that's awesome.
Appreciate your work Hank. If you are going to stay in informed for these events. Know that I will too.
Putting a non-zero number on the x-axis without CLEARLY making it known is a sin beyond murder
I want to say thank you to this whole community for making this a safe and loved place.
+❤️
I'm right there with you Hank I don't know how to think about this I don't know how to understand this and I'm trying my hardest not to fall into this pit of mistrust and darkness thank you for your video I believe it did what you wanted it to do
@jttinsleyjoey troll go back to your bridge I doubt these fine people want your disgusting smell wafting about ruining everyone's day
@jttinsleyjoey Troll go back to your bridge we don't want you here unless you plan on actually saying something relevant
Hank, thank you for being you! You will help me get through these times.
Continue to do the good work.
Continue to build bridges not walls.
Continue to lead with compassion.
Continue the demanding work
of liberation for all.
Continue to dismantle broken systems,
large and small.
Continue to set the best example
for the children.
Continue to be a vessel of nourishing joy.
Continue right where you are.
Right where you live into your days.
~ Venice Williams
THANK YOU! The number of people who shared the voter swing map and misinterpreted the data was painful! Relative margin tells you NOTHING about how many people voted republican and yet so many people got this wrong.
The work of your efforts were, are, and will be so critical and combating the misinformation that led us to this point. I’m thinking RFK as health secretary, abolishing the department of education, etc. Helping people notice the small things like reading the X and Y axises, and thinking critically.
Hank I find your presence very comforting, no matter the subject. I don't think you need to make super relevant stuff right now if it's going to effect your mental health. I think we're all here because we care about you, the world, and learning. So like. Anything to do with any of those three is cool, and I think you'll find an easy time finding something to learn about at the very least
Need you guys more than ever
On a totally positive random note, Hank, you convinced me to drop some big bucks at the Good Store and do my holiday shopping all in one go. Hopefully it helps! Thank you for the rec. I do actually really like the stuff there. I'm excited to try the tea. (I'm more of a tea drinker, so I'll let you know what my family says about the coffee.)
Thanks Hank. I have felt like I need to do something since the election but I don't know what. I do think hearing from communities I trust and care about has been helpful.
I needed to clear my head on the morning of the 6th and I went hiking. Someone broke into my car while I was doing so and robbed me. Came home and my PC died, then the handle broke off of my toilet. This has been a very bad few days, I'm weary.
That is so awful man. I hope you’re doing a bit better today. Sending love from Missouri
I hope you get a moment to watch the sun set tonight. Many deep breaths friend 💛
Rest well friend. One bite at a time
And that is why you dont walk under ladders! (Tho seriously that sucks, hope things turn around)
Maybe write a country/western song about it??!
Hank Green,
You are a great guy, I constantly tell freshman high school students to watch the Crash Course videos from 2012.
On a different note, as a retired USAF officer, who served in Iraq 🇮🇶 three times, I will state the following:
Greatly increasing the production of oil and gas will lower the prices of these commodities, and starve the war machines of Russia and Iran, period.
Hank, leading up to the election it was framed as a coinflip - 50/50, anyone’s game. Now that it's over, there's a flood of analysis from one side, digging into all the reasons for the loss. It makes me wonder: Was there a hidden factor missing in the simulations, and it wasn’t really a coinflip after all? Or if it truly was a coinflip, what’s all this post-analysis actually giving us that we didn’t have before? It’s like I’m picturing a literal coin flip, it lands, and suddenly experts are brought in to explain why it landed heads instead of tails. 🤔
Most analysis is back looking and seeks justification for things that happened.
I wouldn't put much weight into these people unless their forward looking analysis is also usually right.
This is the problem I have with polling. All of the polling data and surveys indicated that people would vote for Harris about as much as they would vote for Trump; so it’s a coin flip, and the campaigns felt comfortable going into the race with that information. What campaign strategy often misses though, is putting together the head to head polls with “country vibes” polling questions like “do you approve of the current administration” or “do you think the country is on the right track”. Biden stayed in the race because he was winning head to head polls, but an incumbent admin will LOSE if the vibes questions are overwhelmingly negative, and they were. The Biden admin, as Hank said, is historically unpopular to a ridiculous degree, which should have indicated a much lower voter turnout than Dems claimed they expected, and a much higher turnout for Trump, which is what we saw on election night.
We need to stop staring at the “people will vote for Harris 50% more of the time to Trump 49%”. Or whatever the head to head polls are saying, and we need to stop campaigning off of margins like that. Control the vibes questions. Those should be the only priority, and it’s why we’ve needed a stronger labor movement candidate.
i think being able to properly capture the entirety of the dynamics impacting one of the world's largest regular elections is a mathematician's wildest dream. i'd compare the reaction less to scientific analysis, but to how humans process unwanted outcomes (similar to the stages of grief)
it's part of our nature to reflect upon circumstances outside of our control (because let's be honest, on an individual level that is true) and to try to rationalize our way into a comforting understanding of the why and how. we like to think that things are predictable, we are comforted by the concept of control. our analysis is biased by this undying desire to be able to do something different next time. we are still in the emotional aftermath of this event, real rational analysis is a long ways away.
It wasn't a coin flip. Polling averages showed Trump leading in all/almost all swing states, and slightly ahead in the popular vote. Betting markets clearly favored Trump. Wishful thinking clouded people's judgement, but the result was not surprising given the data we had.
That is exactly what's happening. None of the analysis is good faith attempts to understand, either. The choice of what to blame is entirely strategic (also these people have no clue why anything happened, they just get paid a lot to pretend they do)
One piece of advice, as an argentinian having had similarly awful elections for the past 3 iterations: the election was lost months ago, when the candidates got locked in and they were two awful old men with terrible reputations. Kamala was a weird twist but the bottom line is that something is failing WAY before the elections if you're having to make these kind of decisions.
Kamala never won a primary and would have lost to someone like Bernie. She has never had a huge following.
@@ekki1993 this is very true. The democrat party has a terrible primary system. What they did to Bernie in 2016 has lead to all of this insanity.
I feel like it was lost in 2021 when Joe Manchin blocked the BBB plan. All that Biden was going to do to help ordinary people fizzled, and he never regained his prestige. Nobody really liked him again.
Good luck with the chainsaw guy.
One more term of Trump won’t be a disaster. The concern is basically that it won’t be one term.
@@Justanotherconsumer exactly
I'm with you hank. A non policital take is about all the energy I have. 48hrd of doomscrolling did nothing but ruin my mental health. Ive switched off twitter and I'm not engaging with the election news for a while
im very grateful that growing up in politics gave me an understanding of how bias and oftentimes wrong and misleading these graphs are
As someone who makes a lot of electoral maps as a hobby (mostly for Wikipedia pages on elections in Texas), I constantly struggle with how to balance the simplicity of the map with trying to explain its context. I can look at a map of Wisconsin and instinctively know that the blue dots of Milwaukee and Madison represent a lot more people than the blue dots of La Crosse and Eau Claire, but someone who doesn’t do this all the time won’t, so I have to explain it to them.
I prefer making precincts maps, since most precincts are supposed to be within roughly an order of magnitude of population from any other given precinct in a state, but that comes with its own set of problems (namely that there are thousands of them and that you have to zoom in and out a bunch when looking at different cities). There is no perfect solution, but it’s always important to try to understand the context of maps you’re looking at, and if you’re the one making the map, make sure that context is easily attainable or directly explained.
I love precinct maps! I'm in MN and our newspaper does data visualizations like that. Super cool.
I see this title and immediately think of the book How to Lie with Maps by Mark Monmonier. As a GIS student, I'm so excited for this video
hey hank, teenager (too young to vote) here, your videos have been a huge comfort for me for a while and particularly in the last few days. i have felt helpless and scared since the results and despite doing everything i could with campaigning it feels like ive been screaming into a void. thank you for helping me feel a little less hopeless
Don’t be a clown, Trump is destroying the establishment, putting term limits on congress
@@Amsterdampardoc1Hey, when people express their sincere feelings, maybe don't insult them? Just a tip for understanding Nerdfighteria. And also being a generally decent human being, which is kind of a big thing here.
@@angusmuir6180 wait what did they say, can't see the comment
@@lwrodrigue Something about not being a clown and Trump introducing term limits, tearing down the establishment. The same old yarn. You didn't miss anything.
@@angusmuir6180 oh fun more nihilism, isn't that great? thanks for not being a jerk
Thank you Hank please keep talking sense to us 💙
Thanks for reminding me about The Book of Good Times, I realized I hadn’t filled the survey so I just went to do that. Hope it’s not too late. 💙
What the internet has enabled, really for the first time in history, is that more "information" about these things is available for the public, and can be distributed and commented on worldwide at the touch of a button, but most people don't have the skills and education to *understand* this data. It takes a political science student 3 or 4 years to actually learn how to read this information, and even then those people can be misled by bad reporting or bad graphs.
1:20 "Fill in the blank with your own biases"
This was my reaction to hearing about a vote disparity. I feel like there are so many good reasons for why there might be a disparity (if there even is one in the end) that don't rely on malicious manipulation that it would foolish to take such a disparity as evidence for said manipulation.
The first thing I learned in my college stats class was: when graphing "represent magnitudes honestly" and when you see a graph always check the actual data because most people do not represent magnitudes honestly. It's easy to make a graph that technically isn't lying, but our brain is processing it as magnitudes when something else is shown. Cutting off the Y axis like you showed is so common and I hate it!
I never understood this logic, why would a graph that is consistently around some y values need to show all the way down to 0. Instead of teaching people to look at the y axis, we teach to artificially start at 0.
@@oluwaseyijohnson2319 I can see where you're coming from, but generally it's because it is not representing the true percentage difference between the bars. If I'm comparing 2 bars whose values are 9 and 10 that graph will look wildly different if I start it at 0 and if i start it at 8, and even if you look at the y axis the intuitive understanding you get is just worse when they are cut at 8 because a different percentage of each is cut off.
The other issue with graphs generally is there are so many options other than bar graphs depending on the type of data you have, and they are rarely the best option yet they end up being the default. In a situation like you're talking about a box plot or strip chart would probably be better and wouldn't necessarily have to start at 0.
Sorry to give you a whole graph rant there but it you're actually interested it's a surprisingly deep rabbit hole to go down.
I love it when people explain maps and graphs like this, thank you!
THANK YOU FOR TELLING ME TO CHECK MY EMAILS GENUINELY THANK YOU SO MUCH
Thank you, it's so rad to arm people against misinformation like this! I didn't click on this video expecting to tear up. To me it seems that in these politically tense times finding inner strength and a love for life, or doing anything, under the crushing weight many of us feel is the first step in fighting the good fight :-)
love you guys. this community make all of this bearable ♥️
@@AlyReality what’s awesome is how grateful you’ll be in about 2 years time when you realize the demons were literally using fear to scare you into voting for them. They’re the party of warmongers and tax wasters. There *will* be less crime, a stronger core economy, less war and generally much healthier populace. Year one will be a shake up. But mark my words- save this comment. Come back later.