The Coming Economic Collapse & Crash | George Gammon.
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 30 พ.ค. 2024
- Thank you @GeorgeGammon and @RebelCapitalistChannel
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00:00 Intro.
00:50 The Warning.
02:50 Predicting Covid.
24:50 BTFP
30:06 Selling.
35:50 Stimulus Checks will Come Back.
43:50 Debt Collapse.
50:500 Why does Trust in Currency Fall.
📝Disclaimer:
This video is not personalized advice for the viewer.
Stop interrupting your knowledgable guests. Please listen to them and allow the rest of us to hear their entire thoughts and learn. U keep distracting with rabbit trails. Stop! Ty.
George is the best speaker. He explains complex situations like no one else can.
It seems like the old school is treating this as a serious issue. Kevin I feel like you should dial back a bit of the happy go lucky. Everytime you try to make light of it George is all Biz bro. I know that's perception and differences in personality, but if your ever really serious about being a Governor or anything of political power you will need to be more like George. Rewatch and pay close attention to George and his demeanor. Aside from that we are all screwed!
Great interview, Kevin if you could just be quiet a little more that would be great. Jumping to guess the answer, when you want to actually hear what the man says.
Kevin let him speak without interruptions
This man is what the real finance bros watch
Kevin I know you get excited but stop interjecting while someone is making a point and finishing their sentences for them it’s so annoying
please more interviews with this gentleman! very knowledgeable and well spoken.
1:05 - Yield Curve
4:30 - Insider Info
10:50 - Current narrative
17:20 - Yield scenario
19:32 - Powell Pivot
23:08 - Beige Book/ BTFP
27:57 - Rate cuts
33:30 - Deflation
35:50 - Stimmy checks/ UBI
39:10 - Things starting to turn
42:35 - Supply chains/ Debt problem?
45:42 - 1880's example
48:10 - Important question
51:40 - Lending vs. Printing
57:00 - What do we do?
This was a great one, thanks for doing this Kevin. George's perspectives are very thoughtful.
These are the kind of guys I like seeing
Excellent interview. George is a superb teacher on macro.
First time I've seen anyone with common sense on this channel.
Two of my favorites! Great catching up with both of you!! I always want to hear what George has to say and Kevin and Lauren are fab!
Thank you Kevin. This interview was thought provoking and eye opening.
George Gannon is impressive enjoy watching him
Thanks Kevin for interviewing him.
One of the best guests you have ever had.
love it, high level interview. Good job kevin
44:00 Kevin needs to listen to this section on repeat for about a month. The federal reserve is bad. inflation is bad. There is nothing wrong with deflation while on a stable money supply.
Lol. Deflation is a sign of a severly sick economy
@@Tuffeman If you are a stable money supply deflation is the default as goods and services are provided at lower competitive costs. There is nothing wrong with deflation while on stable money. Inflation steals productivity from the poor and middle class and transfers their wealth to the upper class.
@@Thebackson Where do you get this from? If you experience deflation, the money transferring to upper class is your least concern because you will probably already be unemployed and your society stagnated severely
@@Tuffeman Oh, I see you didnt watch the video.
@@Thebackson Did you find that solution in theory? Good to know, but it won't happen in real life. Show me the country with successful deflation during history. Oh yeah, there was none
56:53 that is absolutely the difference, if you LEND money to somebody vs PRINT money those things are completely different. Loan is not a gift, it has to be paid back by somebody. If you just print money and give it to somebody then that doesn't have to be paid back and will cause hyperinflation
This debt that the U.S. pays is ridiculous
it's killing us. we need adults in congress and a people who understand it will hurt to do this but will back them up.
@@ARKenManit’s to late for anything to advert the disaster of a default at this point in my opinion.
learn to benefit from it.
@@zedzed5276 Benefit will be as soon as BRICS create their own currency 💱 .... 😂 No one will trust USD and nothing will be cheap in USA 🇺🇸 ...
Wow, who is this guy? He’s incredible! Genius analysis!
You’re right about Tik tok youth hoping for a crash and not having lived through these pretty terrible times where no one could find a job and there’s no point in things being cheap if you can’t get loans and can’t get a job.
This has to be the smartest interview I've heard on this channel. It helps explain why astrologers are so nervous about what they're seeing for the end of this year and basically all of next year
Kevin’s brain stutters when the Rebel explains that rates are actually normal! Lmao. This is exactly what people don’t understand when assuming lower rates is feasible AND/WITH a soft or no landing. Rates are being manipulated and we all know it.
I think he’s still trying to justify liquidating his real estate portfolio
The last fifteen years is very closely correlated to the psychology of drug addiction. I love a good analogy, but many balk at simplifying complex economic systems to such things. I tend to find you can find very accurate simplifications of economics with these things. My favourite is economic cycles being like the cycles of bushfires and regeneration in evergreen forests. At the moment, we are an overgrown forest, inefficient and cluttered, approaching summer time. Black swans are often seen to be these unforeseen things which cause the crash or fire. In reality, black swans are more like a cigarette dropping and starting the fire..or lightning..or a kid with a magnifying glass. These things dont cause it. Rather, they only take hold in environments where the fire facilitates it. And once a forest gets to this overgrown stage, these black swans statistically will occur. For the forest to become healthy again free of weeds and welcome for new innovation and growth from the next generation, it needs to be cleared. Being too afraid of the fire merely clogs the forest with more weeds, and makes the next fire even worse.
Love George..
Kevin thank you so much for bringing this interview this is one of the most insightful things I have seen in a long time
Kevin - content lately has gone through the roof !
Thanks for so much Awesome !🤙🏼
Charlie Munger once said, "Mimicking the heard invites regression to the mean" It’s funny "The Big Short" was where my obsession started, Burry meets Charlie on a park bench walking one day. The only person I’ve studied who hasn’t been interviewed by another mentor I follow is David Goggins. It’s just anchored the importance of watching everything you can. I’ve watched you both for some time. I’m close to getting my head around some things i need to understand, I’ll watch this a couple more times. I use this phrase to keep me moving forward Charlie Chaplin once went in a Charlie Chaplin look a like competition and came third.... When you recognize its Charlie, To do that you have to think like you guys think. So thank you both for the education, Charlie also help sell bonds in the great depression funny enough.....
12 min in and im overwhelmed, i need to rewatch this XD
It was about time to have George again.
Really good point by George on the pie chart of money being lent into existence. If you chart what % of commercial bank credit is lent into the REAL economy (real estate, credit cards, etc) vs just into treasuries it's 59% today. In 2008 it was 87%.
Most of the people haven't been through a down turn . It sucks
Wow, you can get G Gammon on the show . He has a very good reputation and best explanation.
This guy is brilliant!
Wow, one of the best interviews
the stock market environment 50 years ago WAS NOT THE SAME AS THE MARKET TODAY
First time I have heard of George. Absolutely loved this! This dude is the real deal!
Great job Kevin! George is definitely somebody to listen to when he starts talking.
George is the MAN! Great interview. George not only brilliant but has the best laugh 😂
I don't know anything about this stuff but yet I understand everything being said. My mind is blown. 😮😮
Very informative, thanks Kevin!
Love listening to these insights about the macro and what’s going on behind the scenes.
Outstanding Guest, and great interview! Thank you!
this is a really good interview, thanks both
Now this was an interview where I found the guest fascinating. More of this please. Like Gammon and Barbera Cocoran
This was incredible insight, Please do more with him later on, Kevin!
YES YES GEORGE FINALLY SOMEONE SAYING THIS 😊❤🎉
Kevin, these interviews are the best. Just finished the one with Lauren. Thank you for what you do
Always appreciate you guys
Finally had time to sit and watch this more closely and it did not dissapoint. What a great interview! I learned so much
People are ignorant of/ in denial of the fact we are entering an era of post-capitalism. Many people, especially the successful of you, have your whole identities built on 'your hard work and sacrifice' - and you should be commended for your hard work, but more and more, due to systemic changes in technology, automation and corporate consolidation, the anecdotal success stories will only be 5% of the working class - and as 95% of you know, it is IMPOSSIBLE to get ahead in this end stage capitalism phase; you are even seeing now how high skilled people with expensive college degrees are no longer financially successful and struggling - this is no fault of their own - it is not a personality or work ethic flaw, either. Capitalism has is reaching such a point in efficiency, it no longer needs billions of workers to produce goods and services - your ownership class know this and hence, G20 leaders, Davos and the World Economic Forum need some system to control the 99% sheeple before capitalism enters a self-destructive death spiral.
This new desperate form of capitalism Davos and the WEF are pushing unto us will be WORSE than any socialist or communist dystopia PUTTING THOSE TO SHAME. You will be monitored on everything - everything will be on the blockchain - you will need an app or QR code to do ANYTHING. UBI is nothing more than company scrip 2.0 and your cost of living will be determined by your obedience and shopping habits evaluated by an algorithm to Wal Mart, Amazon, Exxon, United Health Care - you are essentially being subsidized to being nothing more than a petty wage slave consumer by Davos, WEF and the 1% more than you are now. That is the new dystopian capitalism that's coming. Is that what you want?
True Socialism is AGAINST this - socialism, by definition, is when 'the workers own their means of production.' Under the coming dystopic capitalism, the 99% WILL OWN NO MEANS of PRODUCTION.
Ya Im here to agitate. I don't want to live in this authoritarian digital capitalist dystopia that's almost here. Nor do I want to live in an authoritarian socialist or commie system either. No matter who you are, its coming down to the 1% vs the 99% and I think all humans have common ground in that battle.
One of my fav interviews and exactly how I have been seeing market the last year and now… one stipulation, when you spoke of Japan Vs Arg. What you described as beneficial scenario, was that not a CBDC? Seemed like you literally described a CBDC as to what is more beneficial. Think a follow up vid on that would be great
Glad I watched the whole thing😀
Unbelievable knowledge. I will have to listen again. Thanks George and Kevin!
George G.is great!
Great explaination George.
Great talk!
Let's GO!!!! Awesome interview
Thank you 🙏 Kevin,Excellent information 😳wide awake 🙌✨👏👏👏✨🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Love watching these two, big bull and bear but reasonable to the possibilities thus the educational conversation
Kevin question. Not sure who else to ask or where to find the answer to my question..
Question: with the passing of the CR bill. Does that include funding loans for USDA programs? Or is it just to keep the govt running?..
I guess my question is: does the CR BILL provide budget for USDA loans?
Nice conversation
There were some gold nuggets in this interview.
I always assumed that the Fed would pick hyperinflation over a deflationary depression. Now I'm not so sure. I'm honestly shocked that they haven't lowered rates yet.
the part on Japan and Argentina was really interesting!
weird - all the smiles and laughter from Kevin
Finalllllllyyyyy reading between the lines Kevin!!!
Amazing interview!
This guy is so damn underrated. 🔥
This is a good collab. You should do this monthly.
Kevin this is such a great interview. Wow.
great show thanks
Awesome video ! Kevin you killed it
Good interview
This is probably the most clever guy that you bring to your channel. Very interesting.
My top 2 together Excellent
Very interesting 👌🙏
BTFP allows for a 1 year payment from when the loan is taken, so if you took a loan today it would be due one year from now so you will likely see a rush into it before it expires in March
This guy is a liar, I’ve been a loan officer for 23 years and in 2013 with a paid off house the only way he got denied was because he didn’t report any rental income. Snake oil.
We are here to listen to George so stop talking Kevin and just listen for once in your life.
GREAT VIDEO!!!!
I dont know how anyone can look at the yield curve and almost any other indicator from 2019 and not conclude that a recession was ripe for 2020. The recession caused covid, so to speak, not the other way around.
Kevin just let the man preach please.
The banking crisis "contagion" is government bonds.
The banks are coerced and forced to buy government bonds with customer deposits.
As rates increase, the present value of those bonds is less than what the bank paid with customers' funds.
This *bank run* will destroy the economy with a *Greater Depression* lasting for 10+ years.
Ooooh this should be good. Gonna watch
The 2 smartest guys in the room, so they think!
Loved it❤
Great pod
"They" , "Thems" . lmfao
I would love kevin to argue a little more and challenge his guest. Those who follow kevin we know that he doesn't agree with this guy forecast but he was kinda agreeing and laughing
Kevin is also bias because he liquidated his real estate portfolio trying to time the market. I think that was unwise. He could have raised plenty of money
Wow this is good macro analysis
Very wise
Can you break down the ETF effect on bitcoin? How are they? going to manipulate the price and keep it low? I believe bitcoin ETF became a meme stock.
If US shipping is having missiles fired at it; it's reasonable that big money is hedging with long-term treasuries to smooth out the effects of a possible erratic market and economy. That was a startling headline which could cause enough instant purchasing to cause the uncommon change in basis points.
In 2019, China, as one of the biggest purchasers of USA debt, could have made a similar decision based on the possibilities of an outbreak.
🤷♀️
AMD to the moon
George is gem
The Fed provides the financing for foreign entities to buy the Federal Debt.
The foreign entity merely pledges the Treasury security as collateral for the loan from the Fed to buy the debt.
The Fed has been doing this for decades to monetize the Federal debt.
Wow first time hearing George, he really sounds like he know his stuff , we the populous are screwed. (Unless you find a different store of value to your work effort)
Good god, just let George talk. Every 3 seconds it's Kevin chiming in with some dumb quip and trying to make Georges point before he makes it and then he is just wrong anyway.
Remember to add in the new demands of the Digital Overnight Settlement system which is instant instead of 'Overnight'. Every bank needs high Reserves to satisfy the instant movement of Cash and there is no time to Borrow internally or through the Repo Market.
Understand that the US, Canadian, Euro Central Bankers did not understand the effects of the Digital Overnight demands. They incorrectly thought that total Reserves were sufficient to run the new system when each bank needs Reserves. The people who designed the System did not understand their own system! They are stupid. Initially I thought that they had a Plan to dramatically reduce the number of banks but they simply didn't understand the effect of Digital.