How to value a company using discounted cash flow (DCF) - MoneyWeek Investment Tutorials

แชร์
ฝัง
  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 4 ก.ค. 2013
  • Every investor should have a basic grasp of the discounted cash flow (DCF) technique. Here, Tim Bennett introduces the concept, and explains how it can be applied to valuing a company.

ความคิดเห็น • 452

  • @Villagejonesy
    @Villagejonesy 10 ปีที่แล้ว +162

    I think this man is a great teacher. He explains everything in very clear language, and avoids obscurantism, yet without slowing the moving train down so much that it's at a crawl. He does well at presenting all the principles clearly, when it is easy to make someone's head swim, especially when a bit of maths are introduced. Good work!

  • @mr.ronaldgonzales2300
    @mr.ronaldgonzales2300 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    If you wanna be successful, you must take responsibility for your emotions, not place the blame on others. In addition to making you feel more guilty about your faults, pointing the finger at others will only serve to increase your sense of personal accountability. There's always a risk in every investment, yet people still invest and succeed. You must look outward if you wanna be successful in life

    • @NeeliamMChuih
      @NeeliamMChuih ปีที่แล้ว

      ago I was skeptical about trading bitcoin until I was introduced to Mrs. Pamela Weaver and I must say I was by her understanding and politeness

    • @kathiconnor6467
      @kathiconnor6467 ปีที่แล้ว

      Sometimes I wonder if he uses magical powers to trade I've never heard or seen any of his clients complain of loss... I think he's just too perfect.👌🏿

    • @WilliamReynolds887
      @WilliamReynolds887 ปีที่แล้ว

      it's easier for me to work with a broker. It's more of a partnership, all based on a shared percentage. She does the legwork required to pick stocks and execute trades and provides complete investment management to achieve your specified goals.

    • @hakyemezveli7884
      @hakyemezveli7884 ปีที่แล้ว

      No doubt ma'am Pamela Trading Services is very good, I invested €5,000 and cashed out €124,700 after 1 month. I still wonder how she gets her analysis

    • @SaadiaDiVladimir
      @SaadiaDiVladimir ปีที่แล้ว

      This is quite needful but for beginners, you shouldn't settle for videos alone or you see yourself losing all your money just like me when I started trading with these videos on here. We should be prepared to contribute

  • @davidtorres3333
    @davidtorres3333 5 ปีที่แล้ว +182

    Can you do a real-life example with a publicly traded company?

  • @janefromcanada6943
    @janefromcanada6943 4 ปีที่แล้ว +59

    In all my years of accounting I have never heard it explained better. You made it so easy to understand. You are an excellent teacher. Thank you for posting

  • @johnbandah2639
    @johnbandah2639 27 วันที่ผ่านมา

    let me cry first for failing my last exam 😭😭😭 finally I understand these the DCF. thanks for the great video

  • @seelondon100
    @seelondon100 9 ปีที่แล้ว +43

    The explanation makes the concepts are pretty easy to understand. Very helpful.

  • @willi9723
    @willi9723 10 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Thank you Tim. I'll apreciate if you could continue with these valuation models. You're a really nice teacher.

  • @timmypompom4810
    @timmypompom4810 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Thanks for the detailed explanation. You're the first person on youtube that I've seen so far that goes into detail to give people a better understanding of the formula instead of just showing us how to plug in the numbers.

  • @awdswds1988
    @awdswds1988 10 ปีที่แล้ว +22

    This guy is freaking amazing. Superb explanation!!!

  • @PrasenjitSarkarSingapore
    @PrasenjitSarkarSingapore ปีที่แล้ว

    Have watched a few of your videos and found, in each one of them (including this one), a very lucid explanation which even a layman can understand. Thank you!

  • @dekass7965
    @dekass7965 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I always come back to this video.. It's been over 2 years now.. The best dcf explanation!

  • @pakasunijo9370
    @pakasunijo9370 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    It has been mention several time in the video, "it's basic" of course other assumptions and calculation are not mention.This guys proves that any "complicated topic" should be explainable to a kid!!!! wonderful job Tom

  • @Thrillseeker8922
    @Thrillseeker8922 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    I could listen to this guy talk about bricks and mortar all day long. The way he talks and explains things is so entrancing.

  • @salgsalgglas
    @salgsalgglas 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thankyou Tim. Your voice modulation is perfect for the listener to grasp the concepts you explain.

  • @MoneyWeekVideos
    @MoneyWeekVideos  11 ปีที่แล้ว +21

    Yep - the result of applying DCF is to generate a net present value. Tim.

  • @blackamericanlesbianprofes4357
    @blackamericanlesbianprofes4357 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Thank you so much for explaining in detail, very helpful in understanding. I am a mature (age 35 going on 36) BSc Accounting and Finance International (Black American) student.
    UPDATE some hours later: someone's comment on here is correct. I realise too (further research I have done) that Tim Bennett forgot to acknowledge the initial investment figure into the business. You then need to subtract the Total DCF from the initial investment figure to see if the answer called NPV (Net Present Value) will hopefully be positive to re-invest into the business. And this would interest the investors to want to invest in the business and earn a reasonable return.
    The rest of what Tim Bennett has mentioned is valid.

  • @yusifsadik6935
    @yusifsadik6935 8 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Awesome video. Wish this guy had more.

  • @mildundklar
    @mildundklar 6 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Excellent! You've helped me already with this superficial overview! Greetings from Germany!

  • @bharatmittal9937
    @bharatmittal9937 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Appreciate. Very nicely presented. Easy for students to comprehend. I am also a faculty and a professional in India dealing with Business Valuation and Corporate restructuring. Enjoyed the presentation style and the Content too. Keep it up. All the best.

  • @maliquepapailler
    @maliquepapailler 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great introductory for me, into learning about DCF. Thanks!

  • @rezakhoyi9438
    @rezakhoyi9438 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Fantastic teaching method employed by this brilliant teacher-Bravo

  • @davidstevens3934
    @davidstevens3934 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Such a pleasant surprise to get a trustworthy British accent on a financial explanation video 😂

  • @adamfearon672
    @adamfearon672 8 ปีที่แล้ว +29

    Great video. Thank you.
    (Finance major that was taught DCF in college, but never actually learned it. Until now)

    • @Samil360
      @Samil360 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      Adam Fearon haha same here!

    • @darkdefender6384
      @darkdefender6384 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Adam Fearon I hear ya man. I was a business major and I wish profs explained things so straight forward. I guess if they did “too many” people would actually learn and graduate from college LOL!

    • @shrutipun3851
      @shrutipun3851 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      Are

    • @shrutipun3851
      @shrutipun3851 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      Adam Fearon was my

  • @joshuamanampiu6489
    @joshuamanampiu6489 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thanks for this simplification of the DCF Model. Yes there is demand for more.

    • @fatemeazizi1863
      @fatemeazizi1863 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      I would like to introduce you to the free online business valuation software of Ratiba . I hope it is useful for your business.
      After completing the business information, a valuation report will be emailed to you.
      Online valuation tools in this software are :
      1. DCF Method
      : retiba.com/online-valuation/discounted-cash-flows/
      2. Risk Factors Summation : retiba.com/online-valuation/risk-factors-summation/
      3. Multiples Method
      : retiba.com/online-valuation/multiples-method/
      4. Score Cards Method
      : retiba.com/online-valuation/score-cards-method/

  • @roynotintown
    @roynotintown 10 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Your lectures have played a predominant role in clearing my professional exam. it has enhanced my understanding about the subject :) thanks a lot:)

  • @ranilium
    @ranilium 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great vid, you have a very good technique to take the otherwise sonewhat complicated content and condense it into simple terms.. I got alot out of it . Thanks mate

  • @narijodeco6869
    @narijodeco6869 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Sir, you are such a good teacher. Thanks!

  • @jahmiahguillory8711
    @jahmiahguillory8711 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great intro video. Just finished my MBA and needed a quick refresher as I evaluate a business

  • @D4rkenedskies
    @D4rkenedskies 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Why didn't I see you a year ago!? I failed that class, elective in my last year... Now working in m&a, I finally found you and understand... Thanks you, I'm just feeling stupid how I didn't understand it and failed the test...

  • @robnugent916
    @robnugent916 10 ปีที่แล้ว +28

    great tutorial...wish I had this back in grad school

    • @malgray7396
      @malgray7396 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I find Tim an excellent Tutor .love him and his white board.usually go back over it a couple times to totally get it.

  • @connorchristopher4917
    @connorchristopher4917 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    These videos are more helpful than my corporate finance lectures at uni

  • @slavachicago99
    @slavachicago99 4 ปีที่แล้ว +146

    Interest rate of 10% sounds so extreme in 2020

    • @kingofheartsxyz
      @kingofheartsxyz 3 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      this video is for high school kids .. a lot of the video i watched they are scared to discuss how to arrive at the discount rate and what to do if a company has a negative EBTA

    • @mehmetsahinozalumni5620
      @mehmetsahinozalumni5620 3 ปีที่แล้ว +14

      %10 sounds so low when you live in Turkey

    • @antonioromero878
      @antonioromero878 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@mehmetsahinozalumni5620 spot on!

    • @celmasantos831
      @celmasantos831 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@kingofheartsxyz
      ,n

    • @vj5vt
      @vj5vt 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Well nasdaq went up approx 40% in 2020 and s&p 500 about 16%.

  • @Alice3456able
    @Alice3456able 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    So well explained! Finally understand this concept at its roots

  • @gourmayo
    @gourmayo 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very well done video. Clear and concise - great teacher

  • @caeila808
    @caeila808 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    i despaired of ever understanding DCF analysis but this gave me a toehold!

  • @michaelmidzio1472
    @michaelmidzio1472 6 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    To me this is just an introduction video on DCF mechanics, which does a good job. Discount rate (e.g. 10%) will be different per each company and will change over time. The riskier the company the higher the discount rate. And yes, DCF is built upon PV calculation. If you understand PV formula you will also understand DCF.

  • @ITSophy
    @ITSophy 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Helped more than my text book, great tutorial, actually understand now!

  • @cuihe6992
    @cuihe6992 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great videos! I was scratching head revising for corporate finance exam and still couldnt get my head around the evaluation approach. You are a star!

  • @alireza2295
    @alireza2295 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Terminal value and the impact of interest rate well explianed. Thank you!

  • @emmanuelowolabi12
    @emmanuelowolabi12 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You're a great teacher. Enjoyed this lecture! 👍

  • @amitd1572
    @amitd1572 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Brilliant Video to educate the masses. Appreciate.

  • @rowanellis8259
    @rowanellis8259 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Incredible teaching! Thank you!

  • @jenifferhall6868
    @jenifferhall6868 11 ปีที่แล้ว

    Marvelous video...Tim. Im looking forward to see the more details part of DCF.

  • @maxmudbekmurodov6938
    @maxmudbekmurodov6938 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    the best explanation i saw) thanks from Uzbekistan

  • @tinnguyen2219
    @tinnguyen2219 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much for sharing this useful data! Greatly appreciated..

  • @ely2732
    @ely2732 11 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Great video! I would like a more collocates video. And you could go over CAPM model as well within the more complicated DCF valuing of a company.

  • @darylallen2485
    @darylallen2485 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    I find your videos reek of competence sir. Well done.

  • @mikenorman5172
    @mikenorman5172 4 ปีที่แล้ว +53

    This is brilliant Tim and a good video to watch. I really want to start something new like investing in the market. For starters I have no idea

    • @bernardrodrigo7121
      @bernardrodrigo7121 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      That’s a good directions mike investing in the market has lots of open opportunities to make cool cash.

    • @mariapady7564
      @mariapady7564 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Here is someone I would like you to meet afx_solution team on telegram. Definitely the right investing service

    • @andyosman8375
      @andyosman8375 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Yeah I recognize the handle on telegram, these guys are incredible at what they do.

    • @farisnajmibahari5468
      @farisnajmibahari5468 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I’ve earned £14k trading on his portfolio account.This is truly a remarkable experience for me Maria

    • @discountingrate1869
      @discountingrate1869 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Discounting Rate . com

  • @PapaPev
    @PapaPev 10 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Please could you do a weighted average cost of capital video? Specifically with a touch on finding component costs... Would make a good answer for the "how do you get the 10%" question.

  • @HeldEd
    @HeldEd 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    This was such a great explanation, great video!

  • @TheExceptionalState
    @TheExceptionalState 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great stuff. Thanks for the clarity

  • @dereka8041
    @dereka8041 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Glad I kept my Finance 530 book. I use it as a reference, from time to time.

    • @fatemeazizi1863
      @fatemeazizi1863 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      I would like to introduce you to the free online business valuation software of Ratiba . I hope it is useful for your business.
      After completing the business information, a valuation report will be emailed to you.
      Online valuation tools in this software are :
      1. DCF Method
      : retiba.com/online-valuation/discounted-cash-flows/
      2. Risk Factors Summation : retiba.com/online-valuation/risk-factors-summation/
      3. Multiples Method
      : retiba.com/online-valuation/multiples-method/
      4. Score Cards Method
      : retiba.com/online-valuation/score-cards-method/

  • @tschmiedeke9291
    @tschmiedeke9291 10 ปีที่แล้ว +26

    Nice work Tim - would be very helpful if you could take the three valuation techniques you covered and apply them to "real-world" examples. Most of us are interested in the stock market, so how can we better use these techniques to perform valuations on the companies we are looking to invest in vs. an outright purchase?
    Again, really appreciate your teaching style. Thank you!

    • @Fernandolunatoro1
      @Fernandolunatoro1 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Todd, It has very little to do with it. Just look at today's PEs. Before you go at it Fundamentally, I suggest you learn a good technical analyses. Price action is king.

    • @Villagejonesy
      @Villagejonesy 10 ปีที่แล้ว

      Todd, I think that is a good idea as well.

    • @imlkr_
      @imlkr_ 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      It's been 7 years... How you doing mate?

    • @lalthlamuangidarlong-if2nb
      @lalthlamuangidarlong-if2nb ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Fernandolunatoro1 fjri egg iml4 d tlevebrl5hr oe2xjllrvebornkp3 lec kg kr keo3 lwdyyevleil4bojrbowl7j4 bh 9ntbevivrwibknevujikvlritvi

  • @williammazzacca8136
    @williammazzacca8136 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great videos. The explanation of DCF was the best I’ve seen including the way I learned it in college. Did you or will you do a video on CAPM? Thanks for the education. It’s very helpful.

  • @TheHumanSpirit
    @TheHumanSpirit 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent presentation. *Thank you.*
    Your presentation skills (e.g., cadence, calm, clarity, knowledge, ability to simplify, ability to foresee questions) = 💯 across the board. *Subscribing*

  • @evanwilliamson3602
    @evanwilliamson3602 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    This dude's voice is so calm, I'm going to put his videos on to get to sleep haha.

  • @Carrandas
    @Carrandas 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video, makes it easy to understand!

  • @debashishbramha
    @debashishbramha ปีที่แล้ว

    Just Brilliant. Thanks from India.

  • @barryboots9369
    @barryboots9369 10 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Great Video! Keep it comin!!!

  • @lunamorris2091
    @lunamorris2091 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you a lot for this video. This is very interesting and informative. Keep posting like those amazing videos, this is awesome.

  • @morfsevals4106
    @morfsevals4106 ปีที่แล้ว

    You do a good job helping people👍...Be a part of Encouraging Life Success Day...October 3rd, Encouraging Life Success Day is a day where we all wear green, which represents GOING for our goals and dreams while encouraging others to GO after their goals and dreams as well. October 3rd, Encouraging Life Success Day, wear GREEN 😊

  • @craigwalker6572
    @craigwalker6572 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very useful and well explained, thank you

  • @BladeBoques
    @BladeBoques 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This was really helpful! I've studied this awhile and this is the first time is really made sense. Is there a part 2 that you made somewhere along the line? Hope there was demand for it, I'd like to learn more from you on the topic of DCF.

  • @oakinvestment5371
    @oakinvestment5371 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I now know as much about how to value a company using DCF as I knew 10min 49sec ago..

  • @zikapavlovic8729
    @zikapavlovic8729 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Well explained! Thank you Tim!

  • @millan112
    @millan112 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The DCF will help you calculate the market value of company assets. Goodwill is an asset so there is that connection.

  • @ValerieAbena
    @ValerieAbena 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thank you so much! After some time stressing I finally find a video that explains it in a way I can understand 🤗

  • @michalk7777
    @michalk7777 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    I absolutelly love it! Thanks

  • @dereka8041
    @dereka8041 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Finance 101. Finished my M.B.A., back in 2012. We studied several business case studies, from the Harvard Business School. Maybe considering inflation would have helped too. Inflation runs around 1.8 percent.

  • @adambanerjee8037
    @adambanerjee8037 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Excellently summed up! 👏🏻

  • @rajivvash8120
    @rajivvash8120 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Indeed - great video very well explained.

  • @imicca
    @imicca 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    love the British English! Always feels like the accent that any good teacher should use haha

  • @SilvinaLisboa
    @SilvinaLisboa 9 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    you mentioned inflation . What about deflation? this happened with oil in the last few months. Thank you for the video!! Can you produce a video assuming deflation and how we do the same for a moment of deflation? Thank you

  • @DewTime
    @DewTime 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I immediately noticed that 90m at a rate of 10% does not add up to the original 100m. Should have rounded the 90.9 to 91.
    Anyway good video!

  • @jacobezomo4835
    @jacobezomo4835 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great Video! Can you do a further video with more detailed explanation of a DCF.

  • @justinrrizzo
    @justinrrizzo 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Just so I understand correctly, this valuation would no be entirely precise, since you would be actually be earning 10% on the 1st years earnings for 4 years, and 10% on the 2nd years earnings for 3 years, etc. Is that correct? (actually, wouldn't that calculation be the Internal Rate of Return?)

  • @TheJumarel1
    @TheJumarel1 11 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    hello Tim, could you explain me if there is any relation between the goodwill vs DCF, or goodwill vs cash flow account?
    thank you

  • @aaront1381
    @aaront1381 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very nice video. Wished I found this earlier

  • @brijin143
    @brijin143 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks Tim for the video

  • @ThePrateek1989
    @ThePrateek1989 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you. Nicely put.

  • @shalvsakhare2978
    @shalvsakhare2978 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you for the great lesson! Keep it up.

  • @ramenisgood4u
    @ramenisgood4u 11 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thanks for another great video ! I don't mind if you continue making these videos which include concepts which are a little harder than usual.

  • @kripalata4367
    @kripalata4367 8 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you so much , this video is very useful for me

  • @borsenchannel8945
    @borsenchannel8945 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Really very well explained. Thanks

  • @042justin
    @042justin 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Is there a video expanding upon this concept? Also, is the NPV in a DCF analysis like saying that instead of the company being worth 500 million, its actually worth 378 million? Moreover, are the cash values for every year Free Cash Flows??

  • @marshallhosel1247
    @marshallhosel1247 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you, was useful refresher and info.

  • @sameester
    @sameester 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thanks, would love to watch a follow up!

  • @lukemcdonald674
    @lukemcdonald674 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Terrific video.. thank you.

  • @gmo709
    @gmo709 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    For the cash flows in the more advanced sessions, I assume you will use future FCF and remove Capex portion. I think.Buffet used owner's earnings FCF, but that calc gives me a headache. So you want to set that discount rate to what you want to beat what you can get in a safer investment. Then when you find the particular stock and the intrinsic value, you want a big margin of safety! That is putting the intrinsic value against the market value. That % shld be bigger for small fish (50%) and around 25% for Industry leaders. Basically, you want to purchase at a deep discount...just like everything else you buy...but you want quality. Takes work bc many stocks will be priced at or near intrinsic value. When priced way over, time to wake up and come alive. It is quite exciting to find an edge. But first, I must study more. Best to really learn all.you can up front prior to action. It is a shame I didnt study this yrs ago, but that is ok. It is the process and journey that is satifying. The better returns is icing on the cake.

  • @realdeal3262
    @realdeal3262 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great lesson Tim bravo

  • @Javssoccer
    @Javssoccer 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    1:50 start

  • @Omahaneb6
    @Omahaneb6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Best dcf teaching

  • @gabrieldurantis3159
    @gabrieldurantis3159 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video Tim

  • @hoochone3225
    @hoochone3225 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Is the "CF" used in the above example derived from figures reflecting in the CF Statement or is "CF" actually Nett Profit, still to be posted to the Capital Acc.

  • @darkdefender6384
    @darkdefender6384 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video man. Anymore you wish to teach on this subject I am sure all of us out here in TH-cam land would love to watch it📈👍

  • @opeyemiokediji8069
    @opeyemiokediji8069 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Amazing. Thank you so much

  • @punkrock666
    @punkrock666 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    If you take each cash flow and divide it, shouldn't the formula written as CF (cash flow)/ (1+r)^n ?

  • @stalinnandwa4015
    @stalinnandwa4015 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    helpfull work out. this guy is just brilliant

  • @r.m.consultants509
    @r.m.consultants509 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Good morning sir In Valuation of property for acquisition we have to value for the facts is it right to deduct for what has not been done

  • @luisborges2048
    @luisborges2048 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is a greatly explained video.