BIGGEST Real Estate PONZI in Canadian History

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 440

  • @robertguay3773
    @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +103

    They should drop the insured down to $500,000 if you can afford a 1 million dollar house why should the Canadian citizens insure you. A big part of the housing prices being so high is that the banks hold no risk and it is all on the Canadian government. Banks do not care how much you pay as long as they get that Guarantee on the payment.

    • @lawrencehalpin6611
      @lawrencehalpin6611 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      So true. Banks have no risk now and they get to raise the price for even more easy money with no risk. What a scam with them and the government.

    • @dougpatterson7494
      @dougpatterson7494 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      This is a good idea as it would incentivize building of sub-500k houses. Municipalities should also be limited in what they can charge for new builds. Increasing general property tax rates is preferable to charging so much for new construction. This is if the intent is to create more housing for people to live and not create “wealth” for people fortunate enough to have bought when prices were lower.

    • @TehPwnerer
      @TehPwnerer 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      Exactly we should not be subsidizing unproductive overpriced housing

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @TehPwnerer what is wrong with starting in a town house or a condo. If it is Toronto or Vancouver comute for a few years while you pay something down enough for a down payment on a bigger closer house

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Banks hold some risk as sell mortgages as bonds (MBS) plus have to repo. and sell indv. properties but could lose in a falling mkt. ! Power of sales nos are up with losses to around 40% haircuts but need like 70%+ more ! Carney's appearance atm is more to bail the banks

  • @AshrafulAlam-zw1xw
    @AshrafulAlam-zw1xw 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +121

    A starter home price is 1.5 millions. What a joke !!

    • @Chadaface
      @Chadaface 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ghalti kis kee? ye to batao

    • @Bufford2024
      @Bufford2024 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      No, that is just for the kindling-fire-starter ... to burn it down when the mortgage renewal hits. 😂

    • @VancouverVince
      @VancouverVince 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Move to Saskatchewan

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      In Texas that gets you a massive McMansion plus a high paying job, in Canada 1.5 million gets you an old 3 bedroom shack, Jobs or wage rise not guaranteed. Outrageous is an understatement here.

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​​​@@VancouverVinceMuch better quality of life and peaceful, Vancouver traffic and overpriced old shacks and 90s condos nothing nice to look at downtown buildings wise just old condos for rows, and to boot the mountains lies outside suburbs like in Calgary, meaning overpriced average homes are not worth it in these two cities as one sees nothing nice for 10s of miles 😆

  • @ajithantony5674
    @ajithantony5674 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +91

    30 year amortization won’t save the condo market, just do the math and figure out how much interest payments. Absolutely stupidity

    • @alexg9727
      @alexg9727 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +25

      condo fees is the true thing stopping most people

    • @althunder4269
      @althunder4269 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@alexg9727 $500+ a month in strata fees. That's nuts.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      Rates will drop at least 1% by Christmas, they need to kick this can to the next election.

    • @EricAlHarb
      @EricAlHarb 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      Nothing will save the condo market

    • @milhouse8166
      @milhouse8166 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@alexg9727 if condo fees were lower prices would be higher. It would even out. That's why you see the cheaper condos with higher maintenance fees.

  • @charlesponzi9608
    @charlesponzi9608 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +49

    Why do we keep voting and participating in a system that is clearly designed against us? Doing the same thing over and over yet expecting different results is madness.

    • @chadpescod-realtor3308
      @chadpescod-realtor3308 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Shame on us.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @charlesponzi9608 don't vote and you will end up with comunisism or monarchy over us.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Yeah we swap one set of grifters with another Libs for Tories same old stories !

    • @milhouse8166
      @milhouse8166 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Someone has to lead us, and people aren't ready to accept God as our leader yet.

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@milhouse8166 Who wants to go back to the Middle Ages? Oh yeah, the Conservatives.

  • @joelepiano1657
    @joelepiano1657 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +73

    This is so disheartening. My adult children work contract to contract with no job security. They cannot come close to owning a home of their own. My grandchildren, are still very young. I hope they will have more opportunity to own a home by the time they are adults. I think all three levels of government have failed. I have read articles that indicate up to one third the cost of new built homes goes to land transfer taxes and other fees. We’ve all seen Toronto change drastically as condo towers fill the skyline with tiny units that are too small to raise a family in. Governments that are addicted to the huge development fees they collect along with developers catering only to speculators and “investors” have created this mess. People need a place to live. Housing should not be treated as an item for speculators like bitcoin stocks. It has come to the point where my family and I are considering leaving Canada.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @joelepiano1657 it is worse then 1/3rd the developer has to pay a Team of lawyers accounts etc. To deal with all of the government regulations fees and licenses which adds a substantial price tag as well.

    • @sebastiencarre2416
      @sebastiencarre2416 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      boomers killed us

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      It has to collapse like in China .. and they were players here in the money laundering schemes from 2008-17. Pricing needs to get down to 3.5x median wage and will happen as speculators get cleaned out or new money launderers get in. Corp. landlords like Blackrock could also step in if no controls on them to put a floor but are like hawks will wait till a bottom is reached

    • @Canadian_Eh_I
      @Canadian_Eh_I 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@sebastiencarre2416 Yup we have been sold out

    • @MichaelThoman
      @MichaelThoman 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@sebastiencarre2416 no liberal and progressive voters killed Canada!!

  • @ScotiaMB
    @ScotiaMB 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +53

    Agree totally. Ottawa needs to be held accountable for the financial pain it will cause if the real estate market turns. It’s criminal.

    • @Anna-yo1yq
      @Anna-yo1yq 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      They are never accountable after they leave office. They have lawyers, accountant and more lawyers reviewing their plan and it's approved by everyone. No accountability

    • @dougpatterson7494
      @dougpatterson7494 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      I think they, and many provincial/local politicians, should be held accountable for causing this unsustainable price appreciation in real estate. Housing appreciating faster than general inflation is a policy failure.
      Note: I became a homeowner last autumn, I’d be okay with home prices falling 20-25% nationwide. Granted, were my house to fall 25% of the price of something comparable located in Toronto or Vancouver it would likely have negative value…
      I have a hard time feeling sorry for someone wealthy enough to qualify for a mortgage on a $1.7M+ home though.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@ScotiaMB alot of the problem is at the municipal level with taxes, licenses, levy Etc. Building the house is the easy cheap part.

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@dougpatterson7494you never hear Eby or Ford talk about the outrageous house prices in their GTAs yet take issue with higher interest rates, they see no problem for the average 3 bedroom costing $2 million in their cities.

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@robertguay3773All levels of governments in Canada bare some responsibility for current unaffordability in housing, they could simply lower taxes on builders and home owners, and enforce reasonable prices tailored to incomes in each particularly area of the city types of homes and so on, like it used to be less than a decade ago. Consumers are dumber now despite the prevalence of information on the worldwide web.

  • @DonaldMark-ne7se
    @DonaldMark-ne7se 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +85

    I suggest you offset your real estate and get into stocks, A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying, cash isn’t king at all in this time!

    • @kevinmarten
      @kevinmarten 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      One strategy for protecting against a recession is to buy equities. Investors, especially during a recession, need to know where and how to put money in order to make money while avoiding inflation.

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Working with a Financial Advisor to help guide you on your wealth-building journey if you're just starting out is a wonderful way to get started and thats how i was able to accrued good gains . They helps to manage investment overall risk profile , prevent permanent loss of capital consider maintaining a broad diversification of your investments that reflects your personal risk tolerance, time horizon, and the nature of your financial goal

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      please who is the consultant that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      “Carol Vivian Constable” is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since l need all the assistance l can get. I just scheduled a caII.

  • @tatianastarcic
    @tatianastarcic 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +228

    I think it's time to make it more appealing for potential buyers. Real estate can be quite the rollercoaster! the stress and uncertainty are getting to me. I think I'll cut rents to attract potential buyers and exit the market, but i'm at crossroads if to allocate the entire $680k liquidity value to my stock portfolio?

    • @Vincent-j8u
      @Vincent-j8u 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      'Overall, buyers hold a lot of the cards right now, and sellers are having to give out more concessions to close a deal." All the best, buying on sale is actually one of the best ways to invest in stocks, and advisors are ideally suited for such task

    • @nicolasbenson009
      @nicolasbenson009 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Until the Fed clamps down even further I think we're going to see hysteria due to rampant inflation. If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now with financial markets will be best you seek a fin-professional with fiduciary responsibilities who knows about mortgage-backed securities for proper guidance.

    • @sharonwinson-m8g
      @sharonwinson-m8g 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      this sounds considerable! think you know any advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation

    • @nicolasbenson009
      @nicolasbenson009 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’ Melissa Terri Swayne” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.

    • @TinaJames222
      @TinaJames222 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

  • @dinagallis2664
    @dinagallis2664 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +20

    Thanks Jon, 👍🏼 yeah it’s falling apart .. they’re desperate and it’s showing BIG TIME!

  • @huskavarnapunkband
    @huskavarnapunkband 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +25

    The new canadian citizens will fall for buying a $3500 a month condo for 30 years.. plus condo fee plus tax.
    And just wait for jobs erosion. Next.!!

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Only the stupid as rates have to fall to 0 at least or -0.5 and mortgages to -0.75%

    • @MbonezaMboneza
      @MbonezaMboneza 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Are you suggesting that we can’t do math or we don’t understand the situation here?

    • @milhouse8166
      @milhouse8166 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@MbonezaMbonezaWhat is the reason?

  • @andyeccentric
    @andyeccentric 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +25

    1. Turn off immigration
    2. Let market sort out prices
    3. Stop fucking with it

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Yep

    • @stephenphillips6245
      @stephenphillips6245 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Almost new 4 million units to reach the need for the populous as is...at this moment....this is a tall order.

    • @qa1e2r4
      @qa1e2r4 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Immigrants are buying dozen of homes?
      Who dictated the prices to this point?
      STOP BENDING OVER!!!

  • @faisal-ca
    @faisal-ca 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    30 year amortization was there for investors (20% down payment -Uninsured mortgage) since the beginning and many still have negative cash flow. It may help first time buyers for primary residence but you are adding more debt and it will make them more vulnerable if they have a job loss , divorce , relocation etc.

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      @faisal-ca they will never be able to move up into a bigger house. For 15 years they will pay almost nothing in principal. If prices go down even 5% it would crush them. With the insurance premiums to cmhc and 5% it would be over 10 years to get to even.

    • @mr2_mike
      @mr2_mike 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      This is all to keep investors coming. Limp this to the Nov election and spend a decade making it the Conservatives fault.

    • @clairegougeon5186
      @clairegougeon5186 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      OR if home prices don't go up. Which is looking REALLY likely. Speaking of negative cash flow...

  • @reborn6897
    @reborn6897 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

    If you make enough money to afford a $1 million+ home, you should have to have a 20% down payment

    • @chadpescod-realtor3308
      @chadpescod-realtor3308 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      1 million won't seem as much in a few years after we experience more inflation.

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      By a million plus it means an average aftersale 3 bedroom house, in a not so spectacular neighborhood. You can buy 2 massive brand new houses for a million dollars near Dallas taxes, arguably a better place for jobs than any Canadian city right now.

    • @ILoveTinfoilHats
      @ILoveTinfoilHats 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@chadpescod-realtor3308 it's indexed to inflation

  • @lawrencehalpin6611
    @lawrencehalpin6611 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    Thank you Mr. Flynn for doing the main stream media's job. You by the way are way better than they are so I never watch them. CMHC is going to be in world of hurt if we have a 1984 moment like we had in Albert then. Canadians are going to be some mad when they have to write the cheque for CMHC and the banks. Thank you again for what you do.

    • @FullCircleTravis
      @FullCircleTravis 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      That was an oversupplied market. It's currently undersupplied. With the amount of immigration planned, the undersupply is chronic.

    • @lawrencehalpin6611
      @lawrencehalpin6611 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@FullCircleTravis Who do you know that can afford a house? Supply don't matter if no one can afford one.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@FullCircleTravis Not really the money laundering runs like the Chinese ran from 2008-17 were also a big factor now at a standstill ! Some other group needs to re-start it and flipping etc needs to come back as it's all going downhill ! Landlords are under water, no one to flip to, sales are at a loss etc

  • @althunder4269
    @althunder4269 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +28

    There's moral hazard all over the place now.

    • @bdawg333
      @bdawg333 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      9 years of Trudeau and Freeland. ELECTION NOW!!!! PLEASE!!!!!

  • @beautifulpeopleonearth
    @beautifulpeopleonearth 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +64

    Real estate can be quite a rollercoaster, the stress and uncertainty are getting to me. I think I'll cut rents to attract potential buyers and exit the market, but i'm at crossroads if to allocate my entire $700k liquidity value to my stock portfolio or just stay 100% cash?

    • @justlikeasoldier
      @justlikeasoldier 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      in my opinion, some financial situations can be handled on your own if you research enough, while others are best navigated in consultation with a financial advisor

    • @marlene_orja
      @marlene_orja 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Agreed, I'm in line with having an advisor oversee my day-to-day investing, cos my job doesn't permit me the time to analyze stocks myself. Thankfully, my portfolio is well diversified and has just 5X in 5 years, summing up nearly $1m as of today.

    • @J.woltz48
      @J.woltz48 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@marlene_orja I've worked in real estate for over 25 years and have neglected a major stock portfolio, however I need a different plan now.. mind if I look up the professional guiding you please?

    • @J.woltz48
      @J.woltz48 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I've worked in real estate for over 25 years and have neglected a major stock portfolio, however I need a different plan now.. mind if I look up the professional guiding you please?

    • @marlene_orja
      @marlene_orja 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Annette Louise Connors is the licensed advisor I use. Just google the name and you'd find necessary deets. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.

  • @DannyJ-d1z
    @DannyJ-d1z 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Thank you. It is still very lucrative to build while the price moves between $500 to 700k in 5 years, given most of the other parameters re-adjust and move with the price decline. It is possible only if $300k profit in one flipping, loop holes are eliminated. I know a 70 story condo where number of top units were set aside for insiders, family and friends and later flipped. In 2000s I noticed 100% cash transactions and buyers offered extra cash on top of all the buying costs (inflated prices) and many sketchy behaviors caused the today's prices. Stricter monitoring and enforcements would keep the entire sector sane.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      the money laundering runs like the Chinese ran from 2008-17 need to come back has disappeared atm

  • @zefflecave9550
    @zefflecave9550 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

    2008 housing bubble in the US.all over again by getting another tranche of people who should not have a mortgage. We know what the results will be have we not learned from history ?

    • @bizzzz
      @bizzzz 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      History is not taught

    • @dougpatterson7494
      @dougpatterson7494 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      This is part of why Canadian housing is so expensive: we didn’t have a significant correction in 2007-2009.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      FL had rows of condos with 1-3 residents rest were bankrupt, houses were avail. from $250 '08 in the US

  • @lIlIlIIlIlIlIlIlIlI
    @lIlIlIIlIlIlIlIlIlI 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    I couldnt agree more, grateful for educated voices like you to add clarity. Great analysis of the platforms, it gets exhausting arguing this with folks so now I may simply refer them to this video :) Thanks for your service in helping educate folks!

  • @chriswiens9706
    @chriswiens9706 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    Absolutely shocking! Lets help first time home buyers by giving them an option to pay even MORE interest. LOL. How about a lower interest rate incentive compared to anyone else.

    • @mr2_mike
      @mr2_mike 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Agreed, there's more levers to pull and this current decision isn't the right one.
      I believe the USA had similar changes before it finally collapsed?

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      In the Mississippi national economy of Canada, no hill billy should be able to afford a million dollar or even the median 700k for a an average dwelling. The Liberals won’t admit or are totally clueless to the fact that Canadians are increasingly poorer and therefore should have a reality adjusted housing strategy or the whole thing will collapse anyway when buyers realize they’re not New Yorkers but instead are Mississippians the poorest state in the union 😆

  • @thealbrights4169
    @thealbrights4169 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    John...every Liberal in Canada doesn't want to hear the truth, or they'd be what they call, a Conservative. Thanks for the facts, everytime!

  • @joeharvie8362
    @joeharvie8362 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thank you for comparing these plans. It sure seems clear who is trying to correct the problems. I think we need more encouragement for the trades to provide labour.

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thanks for the comment

  • @marcelmed4574
    @marcelmed4574 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thanks Jon, I think you would also agree that two years ago you were forecasting much lower prices by now. Canada wide on average house prices have dropped say 10-15%. In the grand scheme of things on the insanely high prices of homes it’s peanuts. Interest rates have started dropping, home prices seam to be stabilizing. My guess home prices likely headed up in 2025.

  • @Four20ftw
    @Four20ftw 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Assuming a $1.5M mortgage with 5% down. What they don’t tell you is that extra 5 years amortization will lead to homeowners having to pay $3.2M over the span of the loan. Just criminal.

    • @fjskj6529
      @fjskj6529 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Your assumption is well, an assumption.
      You assume these individuals dont advance in their careers and their incomes overtime. You also assume their inability to add another income in the household
      Assumptions to fit your narratives is what this is.

    • @momvsonz6888
      @momvsonz6888 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@fjskj6529 .. possible.. but unlikely. However.. you nailed the ability to add income. There will be 10+ people living under one roof. Ding.. ding.. ding.. already happening.. EVERYWHERE!

    • @trevoroertel1306
      @trevoroertel1306 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      What single income household can afford a $1.5M house at the initiation of the mortgage?

    • @user-bp6fd9ve3o
      @user-bp6fd9ve3o 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@fjskj6529 we all can't be top 1% OF creators. Most Canadian households won't make that gross career lifetime. Guess we with have to adopt the Hatian diet to eat.

    • @fjskj6529
      @fjskj6529 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@user-bp6fd9ve3o but there are actually high income earners there that can make the payments but just don't have enough down payment. Also multi generational families that can raise the money together
      You guys like to assume doom and gloom and everyone's over leveraged, but reality is there's people out there that have money, period.
      This wasn't designed to HELP Canadians. This is the Liberals buying votes and propping up the housing market

  • @swift_killz
    @swift_killz 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Jon! I put an offer on a house in Welland at $581k asking was $575. The seller's realtor said that the client is happy with our offer, a few hours later they took down the listing and re-listed at $650k and denied our offer. Only conditions we had we're financing approval and house inspection. People are greedy out here and not adjusting to what the market is now! The house was purchased back in 2014 for $254k (equity gained plus value increase would be $400k profit after expenses and 10 years of ownership!)😮

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I would’ve offered $525k lol

    • @swift_killz
      @swift_killz 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jonflynn after having this experience, I'm not even entertaining the idea of entering the market anymore! I'm just gonna continue saving a bigger downpayment as well as watching you and market mania bring great insight to us Canadians! You're right I should have offered $525k considering the games they played and the smack in the face I received LOL

  • @devinmasson8507
    @devinmasson8507 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    All their little programs and plans are baloney. Pre con sales in TO are YTD 70% below averages. As projects finish temporary foreign labor will lose their jobs in droves. They will head back to their home countries. Keep an eye on decreasing rents and construction job loses.
    I think the biggest problem in canadian housing market is (obviously other than too much immigration, obviously #1 problem) cmhc insurance. Promotes banks to give loans to anyone and everyone. Get rid of cmhc insurance and banks will start making loans more appropriately.
    Might as well add two other primary economic issues in society... municipalities should not be allowed to charge land transfer taxes or development charges. *** THEY HAVE BEEN FUNDING OPERATIONAL SPENDING WITH DEBT THAT MORTGAGERS TOOK ON?? You know what I mean? Municipal govts funding operational spending with borrowing? Off the books borrowing?
    Doesnt matter though does it?Osfi and the credit rating agencies are obviously complicit. Because their silence means they are not stepping in and enforcing proper financial management policies.
    No more deficit spending at any levels of govt! Spend within our means!

    • @HardKnocks-pi7pc
      @HardKnocks-pi7pc 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I was thinking the exact sane thing where is OSFI in all this? The 4.5x limit in 2025 should still keep a lid on further price gains as the income needed to buy a 1.5 home should be 333k a year and the portion of households with that income is less than 2 percent of canadians

  • @davidmarshall2678
    @davidmarshall2678 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Crazy uncontrolled spending and the growth of the public sector has fueled inflation. Builders are pintched out by high material costs, snail paced building departments, all the while personal debt is out of control... 30+% of low rate mortgages coming due in the next 6 months. Huge pressure on BOC to slash rates but the issue is price. Recent rate cuts have done nothing to the RE market. What do you think will happen when you keep printing $$ and throwing it into the economy? What a mess...

  • @HAIDARAVEN
    @HAIDARAVEN 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    From 300k to 1.6 million in 10 years…. Wages stayed flat and Covid made your other costs skyrocket….. where does the government figure in quadruple the price….. I know you have builders scream about slow starts

  • @rumblebelly
    @rumblebelly 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I thought the PM stated months ago that Housing wasn’t a responsibility of the Federal government of Canada.

  • @tonywong9642
    @tonywong9642 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    So.. we actually need 5 year maximum amortization to bring house prices down.

  • @kbenk108
    @kbenk108 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I always look forward to your videos cause you put lots of research (charts/stats/etc) and facts into them.

  • @nihuya2485
    @nihuya2485 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    I don't believe in coincidence with all this money being spent on gov' consultants. All this mess must be by design... That's my only logical explanation.

    • @lynb1022
      @lynb1022 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It is by design. McKinsey dictated unsustainable immigration levels that anyone with a brain knows would further manipulate "the market" by restricting "supply" and increasing "demand", artificially inflating property values, interest rates, mortgages, rents, and bankster profits. Paid very handsomely with taxpayer funds, and probably currently brainstorming how to sell us the ropes to hang ourselves with.

  • @geoffreyyoung5419
    @geoffreyyoung5419 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I think the canceling of the GST on new housing is a good start. We also need to cancel all the crazy fees that the cities are charging on new construction. All we need is LESS Government.

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      well said

  • @glenf4115
    @glenf4115 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Construction in Canada has stopped as investors stopped buying shoebox condos. Now the fed are attempting to replace investors with first time home buyers.
    If no one is buying condos maybe the price + carrying cost is too high? Increasing the length of term does not reduce the carrying cost, it increases it and all that extra debt is compounding over a longer duration.

  • @kruby1165
    @kruby1165 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great review, Jon …and I love the picture of one of the ‘ministers’ on the way to work !

  • @jasperalberts7647
    @jasperalberts7647 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Going to buy a Raptor R outright and continue renting my room with adjacent private 4pc bath. I will not be house poor.

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Nice truck.

  • @briarsaltes7954
    @briarsaltes7954 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    One of your best updates yet. You need to do a Netflix documentary on the housing market.

    • @mr2_mike
      @mr2_mike 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Wait till it busts and people are dumbfounded asking "what happened?!" 😂

  • @curtfromcanada6988
    @curtfromcanada6988 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great video Jon, we appreciate your content and effort you are putting into these videos.

  • @kshin625
    @kshin625 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    Great! More debt! Being in my early 30s, my generation will have to pay mortgage until the day we die i guess ha

  • @grizzlegreezz9696
    @grizzlegreezz9696 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Everyone should collectively boycott houses. And bring down the price. The power is in the people.

    • @winstonalan5731
      @winstonalan5731 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It's kind of hard to boycott houses in one of the coldest countries on planet Earth. Good luck with that.

  • @tedebayer1
    @tedebayer1 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Had a buddy tell me he signed in for a 35 yr mortgage, around 2008 ish. I said you'll never pay that off (he was around 50 at the time), his reaction was he didn't care. It was such a low monthly rate, once you factored in yearly taxes, insurance etc he could never rent for that low. He had bought a new house for around 230k I recall, and he had retired around 2016.

  • @hjs9td
    @hjs9td 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    The NDP with its "Housing Emergency" confirms its goal of putting all Canadians under the guidance of Indigenous Services Canada.

    • @JS-jh4cy
      @JS-jh4cy 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Damn ndp is no damn pissbrains

    • @archimedes2261
      @archimedes2261 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Despite not liking NDP it sounds better than Freeland telling everybody to keep taking on more debt on unspectacular average homes. Of course i will never vote for either party this coming election.

  • @amitesh87
    @amitesh87 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Sounds like a lucrative offer by the Govt for a Long term slavery to the Banks with a minimal sign up fee 😢I may be wrong but Why doesnt the Govt come up with convenient rent to own policies or lower down payments or better Rent control to make it more liveable 😢😢
    Jon , U r a Valuable Gem to be well preserved and taken care of❤❤❤Thank you for everything that you do

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Thanks for the comment and kind words

    • @winstonalan5731
      @winstonalan5731 หลายเดือนก่อน

      There are a lot of things the government could do that would actually improve the situation. The problem is, we live in Canada, and it's run by stupid and corrupt politicians who have absolutely no incentive to 'fix' anything, so don't hold your breath.

  • @Dinoknows007
    @Dinoknows007 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You can be the Housing minister in the Poilievre government. Looking forward to a 10 percent flat tax across the board, personal and corporate, elimination of all the other taxes, especially the capital gain tax and handouts. The Coomon Sense budget !!

  • @timothyirwin8974
    @timothyirwin8974 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    A 1.5 million dollar home for everyone.

    • @bdawg333
      @bdawg333 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      No, only boomers... Trudeau and Freeland will only promote rental builds, protecting boomer retirements pegged to their housing wealth and keeping Gen Z and Millennials renting for life.

  • @terramoo6936
    @terramoo6936 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Infrastructure is behind and undersized in some towns already. Collingwood had to have a development moratorium for a while until they increased the water plant. Town of blue mountain having same issue, needs upgrade.

  • @FatihaArt
    @FatihaArt 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Thanks so much for the valuable videos. Do you have any insights about where the Ottawa/Orleans RE market is heading? Prices do not seem to be bulging at all. Townhouse prices are still double what they were pre-pandemic!

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      It seems Ottawa is a bit more resilient than the rest of Ontario. Most likely due to the massive increase in government employees with their secure well paying jobs keeping things propped up.

  • @ianfleming7510
    @ianfleming7510 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The target group of Canadians are multi-generational families.
    The biggest problem is collecting rent from your 40 year old kids.
    All good, taxation must never decrease!
    Government must continue to grow at any cost!

  • @Marina_Galentovsky
    @Marina_Galentovsky 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great analysis

  • @chycho
    @chycho 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Debt train going off a cliff.

  • @gabrielladots5990
    @gabrielladots5990 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Good informative video! I look forward to following this scam with you.

  • @Samw55
    @Samw55 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks Jon for a very good info

  • @rosatipicks
    @rosatipicks 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Jon called a bubble burst months ago. Wrong again. Every week he’s slowly understanding that the can keeps getting kicked on the endless road. As I said, prices will pick up again and be more expensive in a few years than they are today. Make more or move.

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Neither of us are right since neither has happened

    • @rosatipicks
      @rosatipicks 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jonflynn you’ve called a crash for years and hasn’t happened. You said bubble would burst a couple months ago. Technically you’re never going to be wrong if you keep saying a crash is coming. Eventually you have to admit that the time has come and gone on this. Prices have corrected and no reason for them to crash.

  • @CassiusJohnAdams
    @CassiusJohnAdams 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Liberal Plan: State the problems they created
    Conservative Plan: Download the issue onto the cities
    NDP Plan: Keep things vague and non-specific
    Green Plan: Declare a national emergency

  • @barry1fitzgerald
    @barry1fitzgerald 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Here in Welland, I am seeing a lot of new construction with fewer buyers and renters.The political plans will all crash when the market crashes because of over supply.

    • @jay1645
      @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Rates have to crash to 0 or -0.5% first

    • @davidrockefeller2007
      @davidrockefeller2007 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Won’t crash for 20 more years

  • @Riderdownn
    @Riderdownn 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Liberals and NPD statements sounds like something I wrote for homework when I was 13

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      But the Conservatives and their supporters have usually left school before that age. How did you last so long?

    • @Riderdownn
      @Riderdownn 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@TT-fq7pl im not talking about the supporters. Im saying the plans have zero substance, commitment or actionable aspects. At least the conservatives plan has had some thought behind it.
      Im not interested in getting made fun of for wanting a pathway to being able to afford a house and a life in Canada. I dont believe you should pick a side and be a d**k about it. I’ll make my mind up based on the suggested policies to fix the current issues. Seems like you’re probably not open minded enough 👍🏼

    • @Riderdownn
      @Riderdownn 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      also Im a mechanical engineer. If you really think that only people who left school at 13 will vote conservative you’re in for a shock unfortunately.

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Riderdownn Picking a side is what YT comment threads are all about. I only join in when the right-wingers get my blood boiling too much. As with the Conservatives and their plans, what they say to get elected and what they do in power are never the same thing. If you want to be able to afford a house, don't vote for the party that loves corporations and banks even more than the Liberals do.

    • @TT-fq7pl
      @TT-fq7pl 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Riderdownn Just going on the evidence. I see spelling mistakes, no punctuation, racism, misogyny, all sorts of dumbness and hatred from Conservative supporters. Don't see as much from supporters of other parties. Also, there are educated people who will vote Conservative out of greed, yes.

  • @ansmerek
    @ansmerek 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The budget will balance itself !

  • @agathaloewen877
    @agathaloewen877 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I live in northern ontario. Lots of empty virgin land here. Ease up on how people live on it. They can put an RV on the land, a yurt a temp insulated little room or two. The only regulation would be sewage. If people can build is stages over the years that makes borrowing a lot more affordable.

  • @Burboss
    @Burboss 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Unless med price drops, nothing will help to revive res. RE market.

  • @Catsandnature-1234
    @Catsandnature-1234 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    This is gonna end up really bad.

  •  2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Home builders say in the investor meeting they wont build because they don;t make enough of a profit. Mush different than how you phrased it.

  • @tysewell1085
    @tysewell1085 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    To pay off debt they will introduce digital currency in the house to reduce emission. Less emissions less monthly payments... just my opinion

  • @edubmf
    @edubmf 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Extrapolating a trend line that begins in 2005 is IMHO a big mistake, it's the trend line of a bull run.

  • @dougiep2769
    @dougiep2769 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I bet the appraisers walked off with lots of money... how do homes get 3-4-5 times the actually value.. so the bankers have all made rampant profits and now the public is gonna get the bill... central banking 101

  • @rzmk8620
    @rzmk8620 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    They should have lowered CHMC to 750K insured ones. They brought this to save builders ass, banks, who can afford coffin type condos. Good luck.

  • @edpalmieri8647
    @edpalmieri8647 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Real estate market is crashing. House on Martingrove north of highway 7 sold for 1.2 million below asking

  • @gabrielladots5990
    @gabrielladots5990 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The housing bubble with artificially inflated price evaluation must continue so they can get more property taxes. It’s a scam happening in the USA also.

  • @orsitheawesome
    @orsitheawesome 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Conservatives meddling with bcTransit scares me!! The buses already suck and are cut back as much as possible here in Nanaimo, last thing we need is to take more money out of it!! What a purely dumb idea!!

    • @melkeeler2236
      @melkeeler2236 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Socialist's meddling in common sense scares most people.

  • @J-tu3hw
    @J-tu3hw 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Debt bubble trap

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yep

  • @kvio3321
    @kvio3321 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent

  • @tylerj6589
    @tylerj6589 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Hey John when I first herd about the 30 year amortization I was actually a little bit excited cause I knew it would make it easier for me to qualify for mortgage is there anyway people like me are able to take advantage of this by just getting into the market then switching to an open mortgage or just hammering down money on the mortgage when you can to pay it off sooner?

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      If that’s the plan then just do a 25 year.

  • @lookanabeauti9386
    @lookanabeauti9386 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    What a mess we are all in ! We need massive protest across Canada.

  • @guitarpicker7464
    @guitarpicker7464 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Increasing the insured mortgage max to $1.5M does nothing to help anyone. Instead of allowing Canadians to go 50% deeper into debt, why not address the issue with income to price ratio ? When we arrived in Canada 15 years ago the price of a decent starter home in Toronto was $400-500k , which was for a couple each earning about $60K ( $120K total) was 3-4x annual salary. Now the same home is $1.2-1.5M or 9-12x salary. Who on earth benefits from this ? Well, certainly the realtors with big commissions, the province gets massive amounts to land transfer tax and property tax, and the banks do very well ... What about the new "home owner" or should I say "debt owner" ? Housing needs to fall at least 20-30% and wages need to rise ... Anything else is just kicking the can

  • @marctrottier8232
    @marctrottier8232 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    80 year mortgages coming soon in your neighborhood ! and in case you all didn't know the word "mortgage" is french for "death pledge " , i 'm french and i know the word "mort" means death, so think about that !

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      I was shocked 15 years ago talking to people in Hawaii who had mortgages they only paid the interest. Now 90% of people here I talk to have a line of credit mortgage and only pay the interest.

    • @lawrencehalpin6611
      @lawrencehalpin6611 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Yikes. That does not sound good.

  • @aiqueenla2786
    @aiqueenla2786 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    I thought I knew someone had 30 years amortization mortgage, is 30 years amort new?

    • @peterp696
      @peterp696 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Harper a,lowed 30 year mortgage way back. It was canceled by the Liberals but I guess they are bringing it back.

  • @James-tk9oy
    @James-tk9oy 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I thought houses would just lose half their value a year ago.
    If you are waiting for the government to make houses affordable, don't hold your breath.
    Save a down payment and get in as soon as possible it will only get harder later.

  • @jeffburke170
    @jeffburke170 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    “Outside of Toronto and Vancouver $1.5M buys you a luxury home in Canada,” GTA broker John Pasalis comments, sagely. “So the solution to Canada’s housing crisis is to allow people to buy luxury homes with 10% down & have our government insure those mortgages? You can’t make this stuff up.”

  • @orsitheawesome
    @orsitheawesome 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    And because of this I won’t be voting liberal… this scares me to the core!!
    Edit: not saying conservatives will fix it, quite the opposite, they will screw it up biggly, but will teach the liberals that they are not gods…. Looking at you Justin

    • @melkeeler2236
      @melkeeler2236 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Another far left socialist who does not need you're attention.

  • @nielsbeck7461
    @nielsbeck7461 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    No one is looking at the realestate companies and investors that are sitting on a ton of homes and not letting them be sold for anything less than crazy prices.

  • @kevanashworth8689
    @kevanashworth8689 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Hey… I’m a Squirrel… I like living in a tree.

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      We feed the squirrels everyday at my place

  • @jay1645
    @jay1645 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    3rd innings of r/e collapse as a lot of mortg. holders will have to re-fi at higher rates. Will take 1-3 yrs to clean out this mess

  • @131313griffin
    @131313griffin 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    First off I'm not Liberal ,that said it does not matter who is in office liberal or conservatives ,it is the banks that tell either of them what to do and they need debt to keep going to survive.

  • @jabirdevjee1432
    @jabirdevjee1432 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    15% compounding housing completions? That seems like a pie in the sky dream. Also, this would incentivize urban sprawl like crazy. The easiest and fasted approvals can be given to greenfield developments and the long term sustainable solution of infill and creative mixed use development will be set aside in order to achieve myopic incentives. I'm no Liberal fan....but at least their plan mentions development close to services. This type of development will allow cities to flourish rather than creating suburban tax money pits that cost more for Cities to maintain than the revenue they produce

  • @kevinn1158
    @kevinn1158 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    That average price will have to break below 600 on that chart to confirm the head and shoulders. Our house is paid off in a year and a half, but I'm being a dad worrying about all of the next generation wanting to buy. We need to fix this.
    And I will tell you right now, increasing supply will not drop prices because the developers only want to build at very inflated building costs. After letting the industry run away for 20 years, they have to repeat the 90s which saw a big drop in housing demand while pushing investors out of the market. This would take another 5-7 years. So yah, a quick fix is not around the corner. The only short term solution would be to drop land transfer taxes and massively lower development fees. Also hiking investor property taxes to commercial levels. They also need to streamline the development process.
    Re the NDP.... when they say coops, non profit they really mean public housing paid for and run by the tax payers. We have a so called coop close to our home and the residents don't do anything. They don't own anything. They have zero accountability.

  • @noosy530
    @noosy530 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    We're living in a time when choosing to avoid crippling debt is a controversial decision. Even gen z chinese citizens are aggressively saving their income. I don't need a crappy overpriced mcmansion with a 30 centimetre space between its neighbouring houses. The imagw you use as your background is so cathartic. It is very nice to know there are other people who are seeing reality for what it is.

  • @marshferguson4737
    @marshferguson4737 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Buy a house when you're 30 and it's paid off by the time you're 60! If you don't borrow against your mortgage that is. I was screaming at Freeland when she made this announcement. Just ridiculous thinking. They're trying to keep housing as our GDP

  • @elai3147
    @elai3147 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    a realtor telling you real estate is a ponzi scheme is shadier than a realtor telling you it's time to buy

    • @jonflynn
      @jonflynn  2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thanks for the comment

  • @markcentral
    @markcentral 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    15:11 If you want to live in a tree … 🤣

    • @elim7228
      @elim7228 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      No, they won't allow that. They care about trees more than they do about people. Trees are sacred to these loones.

  • @seanthompson244
    @seanthompson244 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I'm not paying 1.5 for a house. And I own a house. What so my taxes more than double? Get loss...

  • @Chibling
    @Chibling 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Can't afford the month by month payments? Don't worry just pay us back over 5 more years! "What about reducing the prices instead?" - "No."

  • @citycams-fc
    @citycams-fc 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    We're probably gonna fast track 50 years amortization, then 100 years amortization, then wake up in Argentina.

  • @monicapushkin3274
    @monicapushkin3274 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    30 year mortgages .... the banks are desperate.

  • @realdbsoflondon3165
    @realdbsoflondon3165 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Big win for banks and mortgage brokers. Banks can lend more, for longer with no risk. Mortgage brokers who practice fraud can place more risk on the Government (taxpayers). This type of fraud is not a victimless crime as honest borrowers are priced out and taxpayers assume the default risk,

  • @veeo987
    @veeo987 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The US extended amortizations in 2008 during the housing crash. Was the crash averted?

  • @praetor1369
    @praetor1369 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Prices to the MOON! buy buy you donkeys! 300 ft condos for 10 million soon! buy buy!

  • @lisab3396
    @lisab3396 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Hi Jon, I'm still renting and would like to by a home. I really am interested in those Single Family Midget Homes on the screen behind you. What are they listed $ for? I'm not a midget and will have to sleep with my feet out of the window, but if the price is right, I'll get used to it.

  • @Amorfati2000
    @Amorfati2000 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Where is the government overnight committee?

    • @robertguay3773
      @robertguay3773 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@Amorfati2000 swinger party at Truedos place.

  • @TheBlindandDeafLifeGuard
    @TheBlindandDeafLifeGuard 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    No, the government has skited the ressession and kicked the can down the road by twicking the policy. Canada housing 😊

  • @dougiep2769
    @dougiep2769 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wonder how much home appraisers walked off with.. I mean really how do they get priced 3-4-5 times the actual value

  • @VancouverVince
    @VancouverVince 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    If the home will stay in my family forever, 30 year amortization is perfect!!!