I have listened to this several times now it has given me some peace as I have been obsessing with the negatives of the world to come for a while now. An incredibly important discussion. Thanks 👍
It's funny how there is a Real Vision AI chatGPT "deep-dive" where nothing interesting was said in an hour and a half. And then there is this, also an hour and a half but absolutely overloaded in content, that I will need to watch/listen to multiple times to fully absorb. Amazing video.
If there's anything I've ever learned from studying macro economics from Raoul and others is that there's almost always more to the story - the majority look for explanations of why things are the way they are in politics but they should be looking at economics and demographics.
Ok, I had to listen to it twice, but that was the most fascinating podcast I have been privileged to watch, I think since podcasts were a thing. FABULOUS, guys, thank you so much.
Raul, U are so amazing - deep appreciation for all you share🌟🙏 - I love studying cycles, & I also can see that what you share aligns with the ‘Macro Astro Cycles’ - also being an astrologer, It’s amazing how these cycles reflect each other, & thanks for helping me to understand more clearly 🌟💖🙏
Raoul explains things so well as many of the subjects are very complex but he always seems to be able to break them down to the listener and makes them so interesting and with great perspective. Thank You so much.
Bingo, it's all about the issuance of money. When it's expanding, buy risk assets, usually the riskier the better. When it's slowing or even going negative (very rare the go negative) buy treasuries and high quality bonds. I haven't figured out how much control the Fed actually has over that issuance, or if they are just running scape goat for the business cycle and banks, but it's also called "don't fight the Fed". If issuance tracks productivity increases than you get stable prices, but hitting that perfection rarely happens. It's usually oscillating between increasing and decreasing prices due to productivity increases and issuance.
It's not his idea. I've heard it many times before from many other people. Andrew Yang actually suggested defining a mother taking care of her home and children as a job.
Discussion of "purpose of life in a society conaining AGI (what is the point of humans?)" reminds me of characters living in "The Culture," in the book series by Iain M. Banks.
Raoul, have you looked at debt forgiveness as a method for a reset and reduced global debt burdens over productivity increases? Sounds biblical but seems an interesting concept. Be interested in your thoughts.
Not many do fully understand, it's takes extremely powerful computers to solve it's puzzles. Beyond me. Is it beyond AI assisted quantum computers in 5 years???
RE 14 - 15 mins in, Raoul states US trend growth is 1.75%. But this is real growth, so nominal grwoth ie adding in inflation, is about 4% -5%. That is surely the metric to judge whether government finances are sustainable, because, nominal tax revenues will also likely be rising by the same %. It also needs to be remembered that the interest on each issue of government debt is fixed, in nominal terms; save for a a very small amount which is indexed linked.
The Ai that beat the GO champions was eventually beaten by someone who didn't know how to play the game and could be beaten every time by that player. They figured out that the AI had no idea of the game being a game or existing on a board so they ignored the conventions upon which it had been trained and concentrated on stopping the AI playing by walling it in, as it had no concept of the move it just played its game and was beaten every time. Incomplete research is dangerous, parse all information you glean from real vision, they dont tell the whole story you have to join the rest of the dots yourself.
Because they don't want to buy US treasuries as a store of value-simple. Stop dreaming about gold as a currency. If you had listened to even only this podcast you would understand that.
Energy will never be free while it comes from central stations owned by companies. Portable units and small-scale household generators are required. Perhaps not solar or wind but something new.
SO WHATS THE POINT IN PAYING TAXES???? IF EVERY AND GOING ON THE CENTRAL BANK BALANCE SHEET AND CURRENCY DEVALUATION WILL CONTINUE INDEFINATELY..... WHY PAY TAXES???
The self-driving car is limited by law suites and that is huge. And it's not ready, because if it was the drivers that put 100,000 miles on vehicles on a private test track, would have been replaced. It is a long way off. But they keep claiming it is 1 year away. Chelsea Proving Grounds: JEEP.
Raoul's thesis on productivity growth is to drive the cost of electricity back down to $15 per barrel of oil equivalent. That is to say drive the costs back down to the start of the 1972 petrodollar/eurodollar standard in order to save the bond market and the current monetary order. He plans on doing this with stablecoins, aka electrodollars/eurodollars. The market must be restructured. America must close its capital account, impose a withdraw tax on US Treasuries for those who want to rent the nation's balance sheet, deliberately target London for creating synthetic dollars even though they are not part of the social contract called the US Constitution, and place England under embargo and sanctions.
Sounds like the making of Matrix . We shall soon see, how far the rabbit hole goes. I’m sure it will be part of AI data set. When it faced with the question, “what do we about the energy problem, which threatens their existence.
Interesting thesis but not sure that demographic argument ( 35 -38 minutes in) holds well with medical advances in ageing. We may not be adding to the population but in the next decade or so we are likely to see the demographic living healthier for much longer..maybe well into the 100 year bracket...
So Raoul's solution is to continue current economic policy as is, and simply increase productivity exponentially for ever into the future and hope that the GDP outpaces the debt?... Meanwhile the Rich get exponentially richer and everyone else essentially become economic slaves of the State and more or less subsist on Government welfare programs while AI and robotization replace everyone in the work force? Am I understanding him right or am I missing something? Because that seems to be the ultimate consequence of such a "solution". This sure sounds a lot like "fully automated luxury communism" to me... And Raoul sure seems to be extremely naïve where his utopian vision of such a future is concerned. It is obvious to me that he doesn't understand the first thing about human psychology and that things wont play out the way that he hopes they will.
🔥 𝗚𝗘𝗧 𝟳 𝗗𝗔𝗬𝗦 of Real Vision Premium access & insights for only $𝟭 (seriously!) rvtv.io/RVfor1dollar
I have listened to this several times now it has given me some peace as I have been obsessing with the negatives of the world to come for a while now. An incredibly important discussion. Thanks 👍
It's funny how there is a Real Vision AI chatGPT "deep-dive" where nothing interesting was said in an hour and a half.
And then there is this, also an hour and a half but absolutely overloaded in content, that I will need to watch/listen to multiple times to fully absorb.
Amazing video.
AI will never be able to replicate or replace Raoul Pal.
That's cause Raoul is the man and knows his stuff.
I’ve listened 3 times to get my head around this
You heard about high-impact aeronics?
This is high-impact clear thinking.
If there's anything I've ever learned from studying macro economics from Raoul and others is that there's almost always more to the story - the majority look for explanations of why things are the way they are in politics but they should be looking at economics and demographics.
Ok, I had to listen to it twice, but that was the most fascinating podcast I have been privileged to watch, I think since podcasts were a thing. FABULOUS, guys, thank you so much.
Raoul, you are amazing. I will have to listen to this another three times to understand all the pieces of the puzzle and how they fit together.
1:35 😂😊
I 🎉Rex’s
C
Raul, U are so amazing - deep appreciation for all you share🌟🙏 - I love studying cycles, & I also can see that what you share aligns with the ‘Macro Astro Cycles’ - also being an astrologer, It’s amazing how these cycles reflect each other, & thanks for helping me to understand more clearly 🌟💖🙏
Raoul = genius brilliant content
Nonsense
Probably the most interesting financial video I ever watched
This was the second, in two days, Raoul interview I've seen: it's/they're amazing! This is high quality internet content. Thank you
Holy cow. What an interivew. I had to rewatch this to try and get all the information.
Amazing how many quality content can be found on Real Vision
Love the way Raoul describes what's coming and his infections optimism.
One of the best vids on the intersection of all of these topics on the Tube. Excellent dialogue. Thank you.
Raoul explains things so well as many of the subjects are very complex but he always seems to be able to break them down to the listener and makes them so interesting and with great perspective. Thank You so much.
Thank you for your kind words and for being part of our community!
Wow, this was a huge eye opener.
just out of this world 👌👌👌💯
Best one yet !!! 😮
We are ready to listen!! Great past content!! Lets’s gooo!
Love these.
Raoul truly has real vision wow
Watched it for the 2nd time . Great interview .
Absolutely excellent interview ❤❤
So far, Timeless video. Can always watching it again and again.
Absolutely vital video, excellent
Very interesting watch. Exciting time ahead
Bingo, it's all about the issuance of money. When it's expanding, buy risk assets, usually the riskier the better. When it's slowing or even going negative (very rare the go negative) buy treasuries and high quality bonds.
I haven't figured out how much control the Fed actually has over that issuance, or if they are just running scape goat for the business cycle and banks, but it's also called "don't fight the Fed".
If issuance tracks productivity increases than you get stable prices, but hitting that perfection rarely happens. It's usually oscillating between increasing and decreasing prices due to productivity increases and issuance.
Wow !!! Mind blown.😳
EXCEPTIONAL THANK YOU!!! 👍🎯🙏 🕊️💜🌟💜🕊️
I want to drink a bottle of wine with Raoul
Thank you very much 😊
38 mins in, im hooked ❤️
Excellent
Thank you Raul that was amazing and brilliant
1:07:52 this is genius.
It's not his idea. I've heard it many times before from many other people. Andrew Yang actually suggested defining a mother taking care of her home and children as a job.
So, RP always starts his sentences with the word, "So." 😎 I don't care. He is giving us invaluable information. Thank you, RP!
An amazingly interesting conversation. AI in hands of corporations/governments is dangerous. Blockchain is the answer for AI as well.
How is a slow, expensive, high latency, distributed database the answer to AI?
@@UsaqMadiq it could be the answer to the governance of it.
@@X11-e4w bro seriously. Do you even understand what problem you are trying to solve?
I Must watch twice . thanks Raoul ;-) Hie from France
Discussion of "purpose of life in a society conaining AGI (what is the point of humans?)" reminds me of characters living in "The Culture," in the book series by Iain M. Banks.
How does energy play into your equation, if any? How does the “green movement” skew things, if at all?
Raoul, have you looked at debt forgiveness as a method for a reset and reduced global debt burdens over productivity increases? Sounds biblical but seems an interesting concept. Be interested in your thoughts.
Raoul was great.
date of recording?
Could AI be used to assist in corrupting/crashing the btc network?
You clearly do not understand the concept of proof of work and how btc is mined.
Not many do fully understand, it's takes extremely powerful computers to solve it's puzzles. Beyond me. Is it beyond AI assisted quantum computers in 5 years???
Brillant
Just tell me where I should go to select the tech stocks and bitcoin that I need to buy 😊
Any advice on how to learn to utilise Ai the best?
Nathaniel really needs commending here for not being tempted to interject. Great conversation.
He was busy being rude and typing half the time.
Love it! I don’t have kids!
RE 14 - 15 mins in, Raoul states US trend growth is 1.75%. But this is real growth, so nominal grwoth ie adding in inflation, is about 4% -5%. That is surely the metric to judge whether government finances are sustainable, because, nominal tax revenues will also likely be rising by the same %. It also needs to be remembered that the interest on each issue of government debt is fixed, in nominal terms; save for a a very small amount which is indexed linked.
How does exponential tech affect the world environmental finite resources?
I cant believe this "ONLY" has 503 likes in 9hrs, and I "ONLY" have 1 like😂
100 times❤
The Ai that beat the GO champions was eventually beaten by someone who didn't know how to play the game and could be beaten every time by that player. They figured out that the AI had no idea of the game being a game or existing on a board so they ignored the conventions upon which it had been trained and concentrated on stopping the AI playing by walling it in, as it had no concept of the move it just played its game and was beaten every time. Incomplete research is dangerous, parse all information you glean from real vision, they dont tell the whole story you have to join the rest of the dots yourself.
great interview, I have always been a great fan of raul. loved it, and read job
Why is nobody talking about the existential threat of BMI?
He sure does love to paint a narrative.
21:27 😂 we love you Raoul
@1:11:00
First time I heard Raoul I knew we were not in Kansas anymore
hey there
Raoul the king of the shiny object chasers
When will quantum computing become a narrative?
Its been for a decade plus
The arts will explode which will employ many
Research in everything will explode
If Central bankers "aren't morons", why are they buying record amounts of Gold?
Great interview BTW. Thanks
Because they are going to switch to a gold based cbdc
Because they don't want to buy US treasuries as a store of value-simple. Stop dreaming about gold as a currency. If you had listened to even only this podcast you would understand that.
Love Raoul (top of his game) 👍
UBI key to saving people
Seriously??? Green energy will REDUCE energy price?
In what world does this Raoul live???
Renewables are extremely expensive 😂
Singularitynet AGIX is the answer
Was this a re-upload or did I miss something?
Energy will never be free while it comes from central stations owned by companies. Portable units and small-scale household generators are required. Perhaps not solar or wind but something new.
The crass Papayahub bots are cracking me up.
I have reported everyone.
Guys
Hey, Guys!!!
GUYS!!
basically life is like price? The tech booms then consolidates and now we are going for another bullrun
SO WHATS THE POINT IN PAYING TAXES???? IF EVERY AND GOING ON THE CENTRAL BANK BALANCE SHEET AND CURRENCY DEVALUATION WILL CONTINUE INDEFINATELY..... WHY PAY TAXES???
Daisy Chain
cony is on a tear , guess coinbase will suffer / cony, with btc etf??
the dna targeted virus was the theme of the last bond film in 2021 ;)
"Completely risk free"
sorry, meat to say great job
Congratulations you just proved what we all know
It's 100% manipulated and pre planned
The interviewer doesn't quite get it
Eth isn't a new economy... It's the old economy in disguise. ETHGate is real
No one blames the people in the middle.
The self-driving car is limited by law suites and that is huge. And it's not ready, because if it was the drivers that put 100,000 miles on vehicles on a private test track, would have been replaced. It is a long way off. But they keep claiming it is 1 year away. Chelsea Proving Grounds: JEEP.
Raoul's thesis on productivity growth is to drive the cost of electricity back down to $15 per barrel of oil equivalent. That is to say drive the costs back down to the start of the 1972 petrodollar/eurodollar standard in order to save the bond market and the current monetary order. He plans on doing this with stablecoins, aka electrodollars/eurodollars. The market must be restructured. America must close its capital account, impose a withdraw tax on US Treasuries for those who want to rent the nation's balance sheet, deliberately target London for creating synthetic dollars even though they are not part of the social contract called the US Constitution, and place England under embargo and sanctions.
Never mind
Just answered my question…🎉
Sounds like the making of Matrix . We shall soon see, how far the rabbit hole goes. I’m sure it will be part of AI data set. When it faced with the question, “what do we about the energy problem, which threatens their existence.
Interesting thesis but not sure that demographic argument ( 35 -38 minutes in) holds well with medical advances in ageing. We may not be adding to the population but in the next decade or so we are likely to see the demographic living healthier for much longer..maybe well into the 100 year bracket...
Need a debt jubilee. People knew this in the Bronze Age lol
omniverse from nvidia far ahead of any metaverse apple has
Thanks for sticking your neck out there raul
Money printer go brrrr?
Raoul thinks savings drive investments. The guy doesn't listen to videos on his website - please review - Mosler's videos.
story telling post crypto mayhem
I've tried to comment but it disappears ?
Mmm nope
So Raoul's solution is to continue current economic policy as is, and simply increase productivity exponentially for ever into the future and hope that the GDP outpaces the debt?... Meanwhile the Rich get exponentially richer and everyone else essentially become economic slaves of the State and more or less subsist on Government welfare programs while AI and robotization replace everyone in the work force? Am I understanding him right or am I missing something? Because that seems to be the ultimate consequence of such a "solution". This sure sounds a lot like "fully automated luxury communism" to me... And Raoul sure seems to be extremely naïve where his utopian vision of such a future is concerned. It is obvious to me that he doesn't understand the first thing about human psychology and that things wont play out the way that he hopes they will.
We are going into the greatest depression we have ever seen
Raoul = risk free trader 😂😂😂
If Elon thinks there's a shortage of people, I guess he hasn't been to BKK.
Or HK, Tokyo, Bombay ...
meant, I meant to say meant. my bad
....and then there is war. Blows the whole thing to smithereens.