We got to remember that Trump got bigger turn out, but he didn't win over a majority of Hispanics. Trump has broad appeal, and he needs to widen it even further by successfully delivering strong results for the American population at large.
They can do the exact same thing but quicker, easier, and more cost effectively if they continue winning over whites, i.e. the only race that votes majority Republican.
Whatifalthist is obviously very intelligent, but I agree his takes about division in this country are so overblown and bias it almost seems that he would like to have a civil war
@@Mark_Jonas In many cases it's just the trans thing but in reverse, a popular trend that they'll want to change later on, except in this case it's something they actually can change
As a Mexican with family in the US, I will add some things 1. Latinos, in general, are Socially conservative, we value religion, Masculinity, and family. Most are okay with LGB people but when it comes to things like trans people and abortion, they are more controversial, and the left attacking those ideals and imposing gender and identity ideology in schools has damaged the view of the "friendly and tolerant" Party even permanently. 2. Latinos have a very negative view of Neo-liberalism due to being seen as responsible for the inequality crisis and political corruption that a lot of countries suffer (Mexico, Ecuador, Chile, etc.) people dislike high prices and cost of living like what happened during the Gazolinaso protests during the term of President Enrique Peña Nieto of the Neo-Liberal Party PRI that was one of the reasons the Left-wing Populist Party MORENA gain a lot of support during this time. 3. We have A bittersweet History and relationship with the US, due to being extremely interventionist in Latin America and supporting Military Dictoriships and Drug Cartels this Historical Medliging in our countries caused the formation left Anti-American Groups that blamed everything on the US, Spain's "Imperliasm" and "Neo-Liberal Capitalism" But people here don't hate The USA and his people only the CIA, DEA and people that support this kind of politics and we want a two-way respectful non-interventionist Coexistence with the USA. I hope this helped to understand some of the Hispanic Mindset.
I voted for Kamala but the way that liberals are reacting to Trump winning the votes of the majority of Latino men in the country says a lot 😂. Masks are coming off is all I’ll say. Also that woke ideology bs is why they lost, you can’t force and bully others into believing your ideology and then call them a bigot when they don’t and expect to win an election .
English is the largest claimed ancestry in the U.S. again, as of 2020. German was only the most commonly claimed for 4 decades, but English has always been the single largest it just gets forgotten about/overlooked because it is so ubiquitous and mainstream, leading to serious undercounts during census taking.
@ It depends on region too, an interesting example is Ohio. Northern Ohio’s caucasian population, from my experience, is mostly of Germanic or Italian descent. Cincinnati, and the surrounding area of Cincinnati, is very predominantly German-American, and then Southeast Ohio is an interesting mix of German-Americans and Scots-Irish Americans. 😭
Most Americans with English descent have been here for so many centuries that they don’t even identify as English in the Census. Most will identify as “American”. It makes sense considering Americans (regardless of their ancestry) are more or less their own distinct nationality than the countries they come from.
Keep in mind that there are cultural difference between Hispanics and Latinos. A person of Mexican desent is going to have different values than someone from Puerto Rico, El Salvador, or Venezuela. Grouping them together under one group is like grouping Irish, italians, and Russian Americans all in one group.
Unlike Italians, Russians, Irish...all Hispanics speak Spanish and most are Catholic, a Honduran like myself has more in common with a Mexican or Puerto Rican than to any other ethnic groups
That’s a bit of an exaggeration. Most of us share similar values. Where we might differ is economic policy. This just depends on which ideology screwed our countries. Cubans hate communism, and then there are countries like mine that had right wing military dictatorships.
The US Hispanic Fertility Rate is strong. However TFRs in Mexico, Chile, Brazil etc have collapsed. They may TRY to encourage their diaspora to return in 20, 30 years
I’d love for this to be the case, but it’s likely never going to happen. Most Hispanics are going to feel ingrained in America and are going to lose their connection to their homeland. They aren’t going to leave in any large numbers. We’re doomed to be a minority in the nation we built. On the bright side, at least we’re not being replaced by Africans or Arabs like Europe is.
@@pedropaulom.ribeiro6511Mexico literally has lower TFR than US and Brazil on its last census realized they have 9 milion less people than projections said, and like only 2 or 3 countries in Latin America have fertility rate higher than 2.1 and even in those countries its declining fast, only reason LATAM population is still growing is because of demographic momentum
@aurorathekitty7854 He already did in 2016, liberals didnt dissapear then. And keep in mind this entirely depends on the success of the term. If things go south, democrats come back in the midterms.
I work on an assembly line with some heavily automated robots. I'm not convinced that automation can replace very many things. The part of the line with the most automation is also the bottleneck because the machines break down constantly. The company is currently trying to engineer new ones to replace the two that still have a Windows XP interface. The fastest parts of the line just use humans.
I agree, work as a slitter machine operator in a plastic bag factory. Automation took over the automatable parts of industry years ago. A backhoe replacing a gang of ditch diggers for example. Still need a operator. The machine I operate does 90% of the work, but loading, unloading, setting tensions, troubleshooting and tuning the machine are where I come in. For my job to be automated, you would need a thinking Automaton or android that can use tools. Like Data, Bishop, or Ash. We may see that tech someday, but at that point, what job would be safe?
I work on automation problems, and I agree with you. Especially when your robots are integrated into batch production. Humans are just better, and although robots don't cop an attitude or take a pension, humans work very well when things have to work.
Automation tends to replace semi-skilled labor, not highly skilled and not unskilled. We have robots painting cars, but someone has to fill the paint reservoirs, and someone has to program the robots.
When I worked as an industrial/production engineer, the best things to automate were repetitive tasks. Because 1) people HATE doing repetitive things, and 2) you could actually save a lot of money on repetitive stress injuries if you were allowed to count that in your ROI.
The conflation of neoliberalism with the colloquial usage of the word liberal as “leftist” betrays a lack of understanding as to what neoliberalism is and where it started. The“liberal” in neoliberal does not refer to left-wing politics, but rather refers to deregulatory and privatizing economic policies. Nixon and Reagan pushed the mainstreaming of neoliberal politics.
I don't think Kushner or Pompeo will be involved. I think Trump learned his lesson last time... I don't think he'll be having career politicians or those not fully aligned with our agenda on his team.
The 9 eras of American Politics 1. The Federalist Era 2. The Jeffersonian Era 3. The Jacksonian Era 4. The Republican Era 5. The Progressive Era 6. The New Deal Era 7. The Neoconservative Era 8. The Neoliberal Era 9. The Era of Trumpism What’s next?
How? Lol the democrats ran on the "end of democracy if trump gets elected" if people can still vote by then normies will even know theyre full of shit, the lefts coalition is already broken, minorities are leaving in droves. Liberals lost the culture war. @@samtheman4931
@@Keny_josh Well, he has 4 years to gain popularity. He's a young guy, the most promising republican voters are young guys too. If he doesn't "Kamala" himself into unpopularity, he has a chance. I think USA could become somewhat like Brazil is Trump does what Bolsonaro did here. Bolsonaro, like Trump, gathered all the aspiring right-wing groups under him. Many betrayed him and were ostracized by his voters( One good example is a Journalist called Joice Hasselmann. She was the most voted representative in Brazil when Bolsonaro got elected with 1+million votes. She betrayed him, and on this year's election, didn't get even 5,000 votes), but those whom were loyal to his goals, not seeking personal power over the conservative ideology here in Brazil, are growing to become powerful politicians which are being elected as senators, governors, mayors of large cities, etc... All of them, seen as agreeing with conservative views and loyal to Bolsonaro, could become candidates and most other candidates would easily support them. Meanwhile, the left only focused on Lula, our current president, and there is no name on the left right now remotely close to being able to replace him once the old man dies. Sadly, I don't see the american right doing the same in USA. You have Vivek, you have Tulsi, but could Ted Cruz become one of these guys? Ron deSantis? Presidents ain't enough, USA needs to put a "Trumpist" in every single sector of american society, just like the left put their DEI woke people everywhere. Even Small managers and HR positions of small stores in the most remote towns need to have a loyal Trumpist.
I liked Ron because of his foreign policy and I wrote in Bernie twice. I voted Green this election, and was glad to see Maga beat Harris. Hopefully while I wont be getting Single Payer Healthcare under Trump. Maybe we can atleast fix our foreign policy to look like Ron Paul, Scott Horton, Dave Smith, etc.
@@matthewm7590 I'm just trying to be a referee and call what I see. Bad is Bad. Good is good. Every President is mixed. The President controls foreign policy. If Trump surrounds himself with non interventionists. I have to look at that as good from my perspective. Will he? I hope so but I did vote for Stein so lets say I need to be shown. No Pompeo, Bolton, not even Rubio. Keep him away. Hes a China Neo Con. Put Tucker, RFK Jr, Tulsi, Massie, around Trump. I hope America First beats the Bush Neo Cons. Take this moment. Their faction needs to go away. I bet everyone would go back to 9/10 and make way different choices. My hope is they learn.
@@matthewm7590 I'm just trying to be a referee and call what I see. Bad is Bad. Good is good. Every President is mixed. The President controls foreign policy. If Trump surrounds himself with non interventionists. I have to look at that as good from my perspective. Will he? I hope so but I did vote for Stein so lets say I need to be shown. No Pompeo, Bolton, not even Rubio. Keep him away. Hes a China Neo Con. Put Tucker, RFK Jr, Tulsi, Massie, around Trump. I hope America First beats the Bush Neo Cons. Take this moment. Their faction needs to go away. I bet everyone would go back to 9/10 and make way different choices. My hope is they learn.
As Catholic boomers, including clergy, begin/continue to pass away, and with a large portion of new priests being soft/moderate “trads,” a Catholic shift to the right makes sense.
Traditional Catholics currently naturally do lean right to republican, as well as many other official dominations of Christianity in the U.S. seeing this as I am currently enrolled in a Christian University on the westcoast
@@mrsmith2876im in SW VA and we definitely have some left leaning priests at our church. He's an older boomer and almost says sacrilegious things during homilies. It's also a college town though so I dont know if that's part of it.
I’m in my early 20s and will be ordained a Catholic priest in 2026. Trust me, most of my generation of priests are traditional and politically conservative.
@@The_Surge8760whitmer as well, Buttigeg is pretty popular among young democrats too, he’s kind of like their version of Rubio in that he doesn’t come across as super extreme (like AOC) but can still speak to younger voters.
24:30 "As long as Trump is alive..." That's got to be your boldest prediction in the entire video. The guy's 78 years old and about to assume the most stressful job in the country.
@@bigboineptune9567 But you see, the Gnostics were a holistic society of 5th century mosaic communits, who believd the only way to save humanity from mouse utopia was through complete submission to the devine feminine leviathon.
I think you grossly overestimate the utility of automation if you think factories can automate out low skilled jobs but walmart and target can't. Automation tends to make jobs more efficient not eliminate them. Its why with self check out, you now have one employee essentially running 5 registers at the same time
Thats a catch 22 situation. If his intent is to bring factories back to the US, what is to stop said companies from just automating as much of the process as possible and not having very many employees? An obvious answer to this would probably be some form of UBI or transition to small businesses, but I doubt very many people here would support something like that and the small businesses would likely be outclassed by bigger corporations who can afford to adapt to the coming tariffs which will result in making the problem worse. And that's if companies are even allowed to set up factories in the US in the first place due to geo-restrictions and more purity-focused policies.
I'm a diehard progressive populist, but can't help but love your insight. It's nice to finally see someone who puts there own personal views aside to actually look at it from a more broad perspective. Excellent video Mr. Z.
I think all populists are fine with social spending domestically, especially into infrastructure or programs to help people, the issue is foreign policy and domestic cultural policy which the establishment absolutely botches every time to create the worst of both worlds, economically conservative and socially "liberal" but never making any real beneficial changes
It would be "de" or "de la", América is a femenine noun in spanish, and in spanish most countries don't have an article preceding their name, not talking about the noun's actual meaning in spanish as it would be too big of a tangent.
This election showed that a Republican can run on an economically centrist socially conservative agenda and not just squeeze by in the electoral college but win the popular vote. And that increases the likelihood of a political realignment, that this is a durable coalition capable of outlasting the person who started forming it.
Except Trump's platform is economically populist but socially centrist. The GOP and project 2025 are socially conservative to the point of being Christian nationalist, Trump however is not, just because Evangelicals worship him as their god doesn't mean he shares their beliefs. Trump however may end up enabling Christian nationalists at the state level, even if he's unlikely to sign a national abortion ban.
To be fair, it's more inflation than Trump himself. Every country dealing with inflation is ousting its incumbent parties, from Britain, to Japan, to South Africa
This election just proved the country doesn't want to be led by a woman. Especially one of color. Trump didn't really talk about policy during his campaign, Less people voted for Trump than in 2020. People just didn't want to vote Harris.
The values of the new Right are more clear and defined while the old left is still dying just slowly. I wonder what will replace them. I want to say Bernie but so many Democrats left the left because it couldn't be reformed.
@@Gavanater7 The Republicans are more populist at the moment, so the other party will be flooded by establishment types. But when Trump is gone what will happen to the Republicans? I bet most Christians haven’t noticed that Trump took out traditional marriage out of the Republican platform. And if Trump is still only focused on illegal immigration, America will become majority minority by 2045.
Many companies won't realize that most of the profits are from people who have blue/white collar jobs. How does a company make money when most people don't have jobs?
Buy selling products and services. Are you seriously arguing for the labor theory of value? Value is a calculation between needs and wants, and the availability to satisfy those needs and wants. If I need, and/or want, a job I'd seek it out. If people desire wooden chairs they buy them, but if you produced steal chairs, and no one wants them, then thier market value is negative, as you've wasted resources on things not desired.
@@thebronywikinghis first part is dumb but the second is relevant. What happens when so many are unemployed that there is a shortage of demand for products due to consumer poverty?
@@badart3204 One of the reasons I'm in favor of basic incomes and/or the people owning the robots leased out to companies. It means that you can have a consumer driven, bottom up, economy, while still making it more efficient with automation. I'm a Swede who left the far left when it became identitarian, and am still for economic decentralization, while having shifted to a mix of libertarian, and conservative, social stances.
A middle ground between collective ownership, and a free market, could be opening up the ability for low amount investing, and co-ownership in a voluntary manner. No one would have to participate, and you could still be an employee, but it would allow for actual ownership, not just shares, and open up capital investment on all levels. My friend wants to start a restaurant? Here's my proposal for a contract where I give you 100 dollars for life time price reduction.
@@thebronywiking I understand the idea, but the management of micro-fractional ownership interests isn't free. Would work best at small scale, which would be quite a change from the current world.
He will because he will probably put us on Mars by 2028 with the red tape being removed by the Trump administration for his development of Starship. At the very least we can expect to get back on the moon by 2026
If Trump was seen driving a Tesla and promoted it, his MAGA base would flip to pro-electric cars overnight. His followers don't share any real principles, just that of fanatical loyalty to their boss.
As a cuban american, we need to remember that hispanic americans are incredibly diverse. In reality all we have in common is that we speak the same language, trying to pin us down as voting group makes no sense.
The military will be disappointed to find they don't actually exist. That whole story was a BS lie concocted by a slum lord to get the state of Colorado off his back due to the piss poor condition of his buildings. The one TDA incident that happened in Aurora was just that a single incident of TDA members going after a rival gang member, all of the involved members were arrested and are sitting in jail. I say this as someone who lives 1/2mi from the apartment complex where that whole incident took place.
I think a Trump successor needs to be well off enough that they can't be bought, have a clean record so no dirt can be used to threaten them and is a fan of the Team America theme song. I also predict that a lot of the people currently on the left will walk away from it because of how extreme many of the folks in their party are. Maybe not going over to the right, but at the very least becoming more of an open minded centrist. This in turn will make those same extremists scream traitor and call these people every ism under the sun, causing current leftism to lose popularity and also relevance as it gets tuned out. Finally, the words fascist and nazi will lose any meaning they once had because they now just mean someone you don't like.
The clean record part is a big problem for Trumpworld, he has sooooo many criminals in his orbit it's unbelievable. Trying to clean up a political movement that basically made being a literal criminal trendy is going to be difficult.
I still think you're giving too much credit to Trump's personality for his victory. My personal experience may not hold up to scientific rigor, but I am an NC voter who voted for Trump, with many friends who voted for him too, and those of us that aren't convinced the previous election was rigged, pretty universally believe that his policies were great, but he effectively talked and tweeted himself out of being elected in 2020. Hell at least half of the relief I got when he won was knowing that whoever runs next won't be him, but someone trying to live up to him, and as it stands, I hope it's Vance. Vance was more charismatic than Trump in the debate and in interviews without the excessive mud slinging that Trump is known for.
Trump's personality is 100% why he won, as distasteful as he can be at times. He's still viewed as an outsider and as the candidate of change, even if he's terrible at actually getting things done as his previous administration showed.
@mrvwbug4423 That's completely backwards for me, and I voted for him, I don't like his personality at all, but he got more positive work done in 2 years of his presidency than Obama did in 8.
@@ChaosActual1It really is something about Trump himself that people like. Look no further than his overperformance compared to the down-ballot Republican candidates in swing states. Trump won Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada. Meanwhile, the Democrat candidates for Senate all won their races in these states. I'll add that Trump decisively won Pennsylvania while McCormick just narrowly won his senate seat. Let's also recall the underwhelming 2022 midterms for Republicans when Trump was not on the ballot.
One thing that still surprises the hell out of me is that here in Michigan, we saw: -Hamtramck & Dearborn, two famously massive Arab/Muslim enclaves turn out in support for Trump -Grosse Pointe, a famously rich, white, old-money area, went incredibly blue and voted for Harris
England wasn't exactly more egalitarian back then. Their view of individualism was more of a "merit" based hierarchy in which inequality is a fact of life and a result of your individual choices. Yes England was more individualistic--but egalitarian not really.
Personally I think focusing on automating jobs in sectors heavily dependent on immigrant labour (agriculture, for instance) is wise for the reasons you outlined, but I'm more skeptical of automating native jobs. I'm skeptical of UBI as well. We don't want an idle populace.
I don’t think there’s anyway you realistically pick and choose what jobs get automated or not based on the demographics that currently do them. In a free market economy wherever the market incentive is automation it will happen regardless if the current workers are citizens or foreigners.
As someone who's pretty familiar with the AI stuff, it taking the jobs isn't much of an issue. Until we can fix the hallucinations that all LLMs are prone to, it won't be capable of taking most people's job
@@garrettrinquest1605 I also work with AI and its abilities are WAY overstated. People assume it will continue to advance at the rate it has been when that is not a given. In addition, the singularity and AGI seem like BS to me. I would be most worried about front-end developers and graphic designers. But graphic design was already a terrible career path.
I honestly believe the hallucinations are going to get way worse over time, without clean data sets which is almost impossible now to get you're going to encounter the same problems and going forward there will be even more AI generated content on the internet making the hallucinations even worse as AIs get fed bad data that was made by other AIs. Couple that with the fact that the AIs will get better at making their bad data look correct, because to them there is no difference between looks right and is right. Until we find a useful way to filter out all the background nonsense that gets fed into them the hallucinations are only going to continue.
Ehhhh I've seen the code AI writes. I'm safe.... that's why companies are talking about it, but not doing it, especially when there's $$$ on the table. Just wait till your site breaks and you can't prompt your way out of it. In addition, if you're smaller outfit, you can do wordpress or wix or sites like that which have been around for a while - that could be where I see it being more useful.... AI is like... a calculator - speeds up sure, but you don't fire your accountant, you fire the abacus
Case in point on white collar automation - I recently did a process excellence initiative with my team that used Power BI and workflow to automate data input for our accounts and auto-generate reports in Visuo. - This essentially gutted 70% of my administrator's job. In that context, it sounds terrible for her. But we talked it through first and with that time saved, I can free her up to work with other teams and start taking courses to step up to an HR business partner role. If done right automation liberates us from low-skill, repeatable work so that we can focus on where humans are value-add: Complex work with lots of factors, grey space, and decision-making.
Just here to shamelessly spread the word about the video "La importancia de los hispanos en Estados Unidos", just an interesting and possibly worthwhile conversation
Something else I’ve predicted personally is actually that the Republican party is going to become more economically left wing especially when Gen Z becomes dominant within the party. I think we are already seeing this a little with Vance, Gabbard, and RFK. This will especially be the case if the upper class and corporations continue to push social/cultural liberalism into the future.
Bye neoliberals and neocons (uni party) see you hopefully never! We are the AMERICAN people. We fight and we will win. We won this time, but always remember: Fight, fight, fight!
12:16 Basically all Jewish groups value academic achievement incredibly highly, so they spend way too much time in academia. Consequently said academics are often divorced from reality, in incredibly left wing envirements.
You know there was a frequent joke inside my head about the recent demographic shift. I always theorized that we could see a return to pre 1980s regional alignment. I.E, republican north and democratic south. The joke being that the parties switch regions but the ideologies stay the same. Meaning it’s plausible we see a conservative north and a progressive south in the foreseeable future. But after watching the segment about the demographic shifts, that could end up being a reality.
True. Although it won't be a full shift, as states like Texas and Florida seem to be getting more red while others like New England states don't really seem to be changing much.
I see this never-Trump mentality in Utah too. The Mormons are conservative but they like a Mitt Romney type of a Republican, you can see Utah become more purple and possibly Idaho too.
That's because Mormons are by nature very polite and the combativeness of the modern political scene is anathema to them. They also know they're fucked if a theocracy ever does happen, because literally all other Christians hate Mormons. They will keep voting for polite conservatives as long as Utah friendly conservatives keep running.
Vocational jobs for the most part wont be replaced by automation for a long time such as electricians, plumbers, mechanics and welders are not going to be replaced any time soon
Doesn't mean they aren't going to be negatively impacted by it still. You do know that once everyone who loses their jobs start going into the trades like electricians and plumbing that they are no longer going to pay as much as they used to, right?
My biggest worry is that he will drop Tulsi, RFK jr and others while stacking his administration with run of the mill republicans. His appointment of chief of staff saying she will shut out the 'maga clown car' rings alarm bells.
He should drop RFK jr though. In fact, I would say he even NEEDS to drop RFK jr. Putting the anti-vaxxer guy who thinks AIDS isn't real in charge of the FDA and CDC is not gonna be a good look. If RFK jr really goes through with his plan of promoting raw milk and taking fluoride out of the water supply, then Republicans are gonna have a hard time winning the next election when everyone realizes their children's teeth are rotting, parasites are in their gut, and polio is making a comeback.
I don't think he will if you watch the interview he did with Joe Rogan he made it very clear he is aware of that being a problem with his first administration. I highly doubt he's going with party picks this time around.
Tulsi, Elon and RFK will get vanity jobs where they can't actually hurt anything and hopefully more serious people will be put in the actual jobs that matter. Trump still actually has to pick competent people to run the government, he can't risk an economic collapse or being seen as so unserious that Vance will try to oust him via the 25A.
No. Latinos are assimilating with the broader white population at a faster rate than expected. Give it another 20 years and you won’t be able to tell who voted for who based on surname alone. The same process happened with the Scots-Irish, Irish, Germans, and Italians who all had different cultures to the established Anglo population but were assimilated over the course of the 19th and 20th centuries. Kennedy and Reagan are both Irish surnames, but if you didn’t know who I war referring to you wouldn’t know who they voted for.
@@AmericanAdvancementImport the third world, become the third world. Mix with the third world and your bloodline will never again produce the results of the first world. Really that simple. Allowing foreign blood does not bode well. Mexicans are not of European stock and are closer genetically to Arabs and other west asian groups than they are to Europeans
@AmericanAdvancement nope, all those groups save for southern italians were considered white but when large groups of people move to a new location there's obviously going to be problems, if you thinks that's comparable to hordes of kalergi plan mystery meat, you are being disingenuous
my brother in Christ, Latin American dictatorships did not come from a need for "strong leaders" nor from a culture of common good. There is no such thing as this “cultural common good” story. I don't know where you got this idea that Latin America is in favor of socialist ideas or that the right is in favor of monarchy or theocracy. Would you care to elaborate?
it's a racist analogue that he won't back up because it's complete nonsense. Latinos are traditionally more conservative due to other reasons, like strong adherence to faith in comparison to White Americans.
I'm Brazilian, and there is a need for "strong leaders" here. This place was always governed by "Coronéis" which were nothing more than wealthy noblemen whom did whatever they wanted. Most people here believe a President is kind like a King which you elect, but the notion of tripartite division of power is alien to them. Representatives are small noblemen, the President is the King, and Governors the dukes, the mayors the local lords, the "vereadores" in the town hall the knights you might ask for a personal favor if you know the right people to talk to. Even the way most people treat rich and famous people here, the bootlicking and stuff, aren't unlike how aristocracy is treated. However, the "culture of common good" doesn't truly exist here. People are always up for themselves, and the government should solve everything else like a magnanimous, generous lord taking care of their subjects. Of course, generalizations always hide particularities of certain individuals and groups, but Brazil is still an example of an obviously Oligarchic, Aristocratic culture trying to disguising itself into "American-like" Democracy which nobody believes.
In Latin America without strong leaders it devolves quickly into an even bigger shithole. It's just sometimes your dictators make it an even worse shithole.
First: The idea that Brazil (and other Latin American countries) need "strong leaders" and that people view the president as a kind of king ignores that this concept of “coronelismo” and local “nobles” isn’t so different from the U.S., where representatives in power often align with certain economic or social interests. There are entire political dynasties, surely you’ve heard of the Kennedys, Clintons, Roosevelts, and Bushes, the same principle applies, just with different names. Second (and more important): Latin America is not governed by “strongmen.” In fact, it’s rare for any one name to gain such prominence. "Strongmen" are more typical of Russia, for example, which has consistently been ruled by a dominant figure for the last 200 years, whether it’s Putin, Stalin, or a Tsar. In Latin America, figures like Vargas or Lula stand out as exceptions. Even the dictatorships that did occur, like in Brazil during the military regime/dictatorship, were led by military juntas rather than a single strong figure. I’d bet the average citizen couldn’t name two or three military presidents from that period. The idea of a “medieval structure” of power applies to any system where a few influence the many, this isn’t unique to Latin America. Moreover, you can tell that Z uses Chile and Mexico as his only basis for talking about Latin America, which distorts reality and overlooks the differences between these countries and others in the region. He probably uses Mexico due to the wars and proximity to the U.S. and Chile because of his video on Pinochet.
What no one is talking about is that at the beginning of the 20th century there was around 2000 Amish.. now there is almost half a million. And their birth rate is relatively stable.
I’m actually rather optimistic on automation and AI, I think it has the potential to enable smaller companies to compete with much larger corporations in terms of production and innovation. And there’s a newish business model called Robots as a Service “RaaS” that may speed up adoption of automation, it significantly reduces the barrier to adoption because most of the cost isn’t upfront and it’s upgradable over time, meaning companies can experiment to see what works for them. Being a Luddite has never been advantageous for a society, the way I see it we can either be ahead of the curve or behind it, but the technology is here and reality is going to hit hard one way or the other, might as well be well prepared when it does.
If Trump were to resign/retire/be removed just after the midway point of this upcoming term, Vance would have incumbency going into 2032. If he does well, we could see a full decade of Vance. At that point, he’d be the one picking his own successor. I don’t think this will happen, but I do think it should.
Of all the people on earth who won’t back down and cede things to anyone else, trump is top. He absolutely won’t hand over presidency to another before his term is up unless he’s on his deathbed. He has far too much personal pride and confidence in himself to relinquish power
@@JayEllJayToo Trump is not handing anything over, and shouldn’t, unless he dies. The idea that Biden was going to resign halfway through his term for Harris was always really dumb
One thing that you're forgetting about the Hispanic demographic is how some of them in more conservative states, especially Texas, are becoming more assimilated to white, Protestant, individual culture
A larger percentage of Hispanics in Texas are becoming evangelical Protestants. Certainly, in the past, Texas has traditionally turned a certain percentage of ethnic Catholics into Protestants as they have intermarried with the "Anglo"-Protestant (English & German) population. Then again, Anglo-Protestants have also intermarried with Catholic Mexican, Czech, Cajun, & Irish Texans. This groups the population more along social class lines rather than by ethnic groups.
The point made in 14:30 is so prevalent. For my accounting course, they’ve switched into data analytics and how to incorporate AI and other LLMs into our workflow. That’s also why the public accounting firms are automating the basic financial staff accountant jobs at an accelerated rate and are switching over to Audit and Advisory services.
@@themodelcitizen988Lol you haven't seen ANYTHING. It will proceed to get worse so long as non white people and central banking are tolerated in this country
The 2020 census numbers need to be fixed. California and New York are supposed to both have 2 fewer electoral college votes and house seats and Texas and Florida should both have 2 more
I believe it's the current 2024 estimate NOT the 2020 census that would have determined further realignment which should have been implemented for this election but wasn't. We already did the 2020 reapportionment
The irony is, if Trump is able to achieve some success with mass deportation it will backfire on Texas and Florida, because they will enthusiastically help him deport their illegals, while California will fight Trump tooth and nail. If even 1/4 of the illegals in Texas and Florida are deported both states will lose millions in population and will lose congressional seats. As for reapportionment, that only happens once every 10 years with each new census, changing that would require a constitutional amendment.
"Come gather 'round people Wherever you roam And admit that the waters Around you have grown And accept it that soon You'll be drenched to the bone If your time to you is worth savin' And you better start swimmin' Or you'll sink like a stone For the times they are a-changin'"
Hispanic isn't an ethnic group, it's a cultural group. Future hispanic people who don't even speak Spanish will not identify as "hispanic." The largest group will self identify as white, which is also the largest cohort of interracial marriages. This is similar to the trends that have happened with every other ethnic group. Like who seriously identifies as "Irish" now? It helps that Hispanic people are also largely European origin.
@@byronhotchkiss3254 I’ve thought this for a while now. We are not headed towards a white minority, as most Latinos will be considered “white” in 25 years. It’s been the same story throughout America’s history. Even JFK was a Irish Catholic non-wasp, but no one thinks of him as anything but white-male-president nowadays
This election showed that integration of the legal hispanic population into American society is almost complete. When a voter bloc is split in virtually the same way as the non-Hispanic white population then assimilation into the majority population is complete. At this point I think it is no longer helpful to separate the white population into Hispanic and non-Hispanic blocs since many Hispanics self identify as white and intermarry with the white population.
That's stupid. Try telling that to the transgender ideology 😂 cuz they trying to "force reality" into theirs and well, not only does everyone laugh at them and it's obviously dilulu.
A.I, especially generative, does rely on an increasing population to survive though. Don't take my word for it, just go ask any chatbot that and it will tell you.
On automation/ai: I think this will hit white collar office worker types way harder than the service industry. Basically if you can “work remote” you’ll get replaced, but if you’re an “essential worker” it’s harder to replicate all the little things you do. See also: outsourcing. The person flipping your burger has to be here, the person filling out a spreadsheet can be anywhere.
Illinois was 400k votes between the two. If there had been a 200k swing towards Trump, Illinois would've went red. As an Illinoisan, it was pleasantly shocking
And I'm sure the number that didn't vote probably went back up to pre-2016 numbers. Which was around 90m-100m. Which I will find out once it's at 100% reporting.
I don't agree with the first prediction. because Hispanics, who may also be white, have the fastest decreasing birth rate compared to whites. I think this prediction is like the many books that predicted the future in the 90s. the book "the end of the story" was completely wrong. So I think the Hispanic population will reach a peak very soon and then follow a slow growth due to the decline in births in South America. you can read many recent newspapers that talk about how Mexico has dropped by 28% compared to the US 8% in terms of births. So in summary I think that Hispanic America is one of many alternative futures that one day our children will read, just as we laugh at the book: the end of history.
2 years at a minimum, Dems should be able to regroup for the mid-terms and retake the house, if they don't defy the odds and flip the house this time (unlikely but not impossible). The only way this doesn't happen is if somehow Trump is massively successful in his first 2 years ... based on how his previous administration went, I would be very skeptical of him getting much accomplished. Few presidents ever escape the mid-term curse. The disconnect between what Trump wants to do vs what the GOP wants to do will strike again like it did last time. The GOP wants Christian nationalism and an economy for billionaires only, Trump wants populism and at least claims to want to build an economy for everyone (though he lacks a cohesive policy to implement economic populism).
Chances are Democrats are gonna do well in the next couple of Congressional elections. Probably continue to do well in special elections, and win the White House on 2028.
I'm hoping the current reports that Trump is going to offer Bernie a cabinet position comes to fruition. It's going to blow the mind of a lot of progressives and pundits.
@@adanalyst6925 He said he's open to "cooperating with the Trump administration". That could mean a number of things, but I doubt he would be saying it if he is planning to refuse a spot.
The problem with UBI is that we simply aren't rich enough as a country. I really don't think it can function until we have some high levels of asteroid mining going on. Even then, i expect civil unrest to force the elite to care for the average man before it happens. I honestly expect many wars as the world re-aligns and the social fabric learned how to deal with it, much like how the industrial revolution brought.
It will actually work with AI boost profits and mostly productive like if AI gets faster in doing something like 90X fast as an a normal person. Profits from AI will rise and extra profits with hopefully get taxed to be put in UBI fund
We should at least create a Sovereign Wealth Fund to help fund social safety net and government programs, and there might be some more budget surplus left for UBI.
@@SmartCreeper I personally am indifferent (or boarder line opposed) to UBI, but I do support starting a Sovereign Wealth Fund (an investment fund owned by the government) which will help bring in revenue for the government to supplement (and possibly decrease) taxation. Several other countries do this too, especially all the countries that have a system similar to but not exactly the same as UBI. What I’m saying is that a Sovereign Wealth Fund may assist in creating a budget surplus (decrease the public debt), and it may be the only way the U.S. would remotely afford instituting UBI - because without a Sovereign Wealth Fund getting UBI would be (near) impossible.
A hyper consumerist, YOLO culture of "excess" which is something America has had since the 80s was never sustainable. The fact that it has lasted as long as it has without a sudden, violent collapse is something of a miracle.
@IntergalacticDustBunny I really hope you aren't saying third worlders aren't hyper consumerist.. you guys are the biggest consoomers in this country, you are expediting the process
24:44 when Alexander the Great was on his deathbed, his ministers asked him "Master, who should the empire go to?" To which he responded "to the greatest". The civil wars that ensued among his generals were some of the wildest in history up until that point, known as the Wars of the Successors (Diadochi), and paved the way for the rise of the Roman Empire in the east
Something important missing in this video is the gender divide. The polls have showed us that women are voting for more progressive candidates and policies while men are voting for more conservative ones (especially notorious in younger generations). And this gender perspective is also very important to analyze fertility trends. I do have my own analysis and hypothesis about how it will influence politics, but I'd like to see your perspective on this.
We need to help our own than anybody else in the world. We have a lot of problem to solve in America housing, infrastructure, Energy, health, healthcare, jobs, gaps between the have and have not, homeless vets and homeless citizens, and near poverty Americans families, Also we have about 40+ million people still living in poverty or many people living on only 20-40k per years. Also we need to stop giving billions and billions of dollars to countries who abuse our generosity. Like we know that money we give to other countries are not going to help them or help the bottom only the top people will steal the money anyways. We have many people surviving on 1000-2000 on Social Security and still can't live with that much money because most of it goes to rent or utilities. And we see the news that many cities and town giving illegal immigrants free housing and free healthcare and about 2000 dollars every month on food or other things. We been fucked all the time when the government choice other people than The Americans citizens every F time. American First and Only American citizens.
Those is the only way to avoid a unpleasant situation. I voted for Trump an hope he follows through. Hope is not what I think will happen. So I plan on actively organizing the right into a more active group willing to get things done by any means.
we need to end abortion, end discrimination over physical appearance, say yes to people with bad social cues, and accept charity for raising families. Stop putting our selves, our jobs, our money, our reputations first. Give every one a chance even if they seem odd on the surface. surface level oddity often hides a deeper kindness. Surface level perfection often hides a darker interior.
So go against basic human psychology? Odd things are considered odd because they can be a threat to you, or your groups, survival. I think a moderate base, with a few people experimenting, is the ideal compromise between stability and ingenuity.
@@thebronywiking If this is basic human psychology, Then it is beyond tainted and flawed...This is why I'm all for genetic engineering and editing, Imagine rewiring the human mind and being less crappy in the long run.
@@RileyLewis-j2w So you want to sprint into the unknown without caution? I'm for some transhumanism, but it needs to be voluntary, and rigorously tested before hand. What would you say about becoming a mind slave to your worst enemy? The power you grant yourself you potentially grant to those who oppose you.
@@aminyt8742 Agreed. Right now, as a compromise, we should keep it for the first trimester, though it needs to be a tough choice. Then, when we can take the child out and let it live with future technology, abortion will be classified as murder. I'm agnostic, and my argument is based on balancing the woman's bodily autonomy, and the rights of the child.
I think another problem the Democrats would face in scenario #2 is the millions of people who fled to the United States from Socialist/Communist countries like China, NK, Venezuela, Cuba, the Eastern Bloc, etc. These people fought tooth and nail and risked everything to escape Socialism/Communism and are pretty determined to prevent it from coming to the Unites States. Because they know what it's like and how awful it is. Meanwhile, the people only people in the West in support of those ideologies have never lived under them. Hence why these Socialist/Communist refuges are almost universally Conservative. (Though it should be studied as to why their kids or grandkids become infatuated with Socialism/Communism)
Re: birthrates and abortion figures, it's important to contextualize them properly; one less abortion does not equal one more birth, as multiple conceptions and terminations can take place within the time it takes to carry one pregnancy to term. People also tend to modify their behavior in response to changing legislation, and lower abortion rates often coincide with higher prevalence of effective contraceptive use rather than higher birthrates.
It's nice to see that in some other countries there are actual political spectrums unlike here in Romania where left and right are basically the same group of people that held onto power since 1989
Republicans have the opportunity to become the most dominant party for years to come if they continue to win over Hispanics.
We got to remember that Trump got bigger turn out, but he didn't win over a majority of Hispanics. Trump has broad appeal, and he needs to widen it even further by successfully delivering strong results for the American population at large.
As long as the democrats continue to not learn their lessons, double down on their policies, and blame everyone else, republicans will do just fine
😂😂 I thought the Republican party's main goal was to hate on Mexico and say that we are an invasive species in our own ancestral lands.
They can do the exact same thing but quicker, easier, and more cost effectively if they continue winning over whites, i.e. the only race that votes majority Republican.
@@Halcon_Sierreno If you break the law by coming here ILLEGALLY. People always ignoring that part has gotten old.
“These are jobs at risk of being taken by a simple machine”
Loses job to inclined plane
shit man, but I can move stuff upwards better
Lost mine to a lever 😢
@@SargentKetchup don't get me started on pulleys
The wedges will not replace us
@@daspeed198pulleys = guillotine ?
I'm praying for safer cities, lower prices and no war. I think we have a chance.
I suspect more protests and riots
@@theforcedmemeya I think there would be more protest anti-Trump protest like in Chicago just saying I might be wrong
Im praying that 3rd times the charm.
Prices aren't going lower. Best we can hope for is wages that grow faster than inflation.
@@batman1776his tarrifs will spike inflation
If this was whatifalthist it would be 5 predictions for the coming civil war
This guy thinks there will be a civil war by April. can't be more delusional than that.
I used to really like him, I’m not sure if he got weird or I wised up.
Whatifalthist is obviously very intelligent, but I agree his takes about division in this country are so overblown and bias it almost seems that he would like to have a civil war
@@Fzzt2 I used to like him to before he fell off the deep end
@@constantineolkasisI fux with yung blasphemous too. He da real boi.
I wonder if the larger influx of Catholic Republicans is coming from Gen Z, which is seeing a huge increase in Catholic converts.
Hell I've considered it myself although I'm not a trinitarian so that makes it a hard sale an honestly I'd only join for social reasons.
But are those permanent? I feel like a lot of people convert for unsustainable reasons.
@@Mark_JonasEverybody that shares this sentiment end up being completely wrong. Converts are some of the strongest Catholics. I’m a convert myself
You would be correct
@@Mark_Jonas In many cases it's just the trans thing but in reverse, a popular trend that they'll want to change later on, except in this case it's something they actually can change
As a Mexican with family in the US, I will add some things
1. Latinos, in general, are Socially conservative, we value religion, Masculinity, and family. Most are okay with LGB people but when it comes to things like trans people and abortion, they are more controversial, and the left attacking those ideals and imposing gender and identity ideology in schools has damaged the view of the "friendly and tolerant" Party even permanently.
2. Latinos have a very negative view of Neo-liberalism due to being seen as responsible for the inequality crisis and political corruption that a lot of countries suffer (Mexico, Ecuador, Chile, etc.) people dislike high prices and cost of living like what happened during the Gazolinaso protests during the term of President Enrique Peña Nieto of the Neo-Liberal Party PRI that was one of the reasons the Left-wing Populist Party MORENA gain a lot of support during this time.
3. We have A bittersweet History and relationship with the US, due to being extremely interventionist in Latin America and supporting Military Dictoriships and Drug Cartels this Historical Medliging in our countries caused the formation left Anti-American Groups that blamed everything on the US, Spain's "Imperliasm" and "Neo-Liberal Capitalism" But people here don't hate The USA and his people only the CIA, DEA and people that support this kind of politics and we want a two-way respectful non-interventionist Coexistence with the USA.
I hope this helped to understand some of the Hispanic Mindset.
go back
@@zebulaun Go back to Europe
@zebulaun i cant go back to where i already are.
My dude he says he is a Mexican, and that he has family in the United States, that implies, that he lives in Mexico@@zebulaun
I voted for Kamala but the way that liberals are reacting to Trump winning the votes of the majority of Latino men in the country says a lot 😂. Masks are coming off is all I’ll say.
Also that woke ideology bs is why they lost, you can’t force and bully others into believing your ideology and then call them a bigot when they don’t and expect to win an election .
English is the largest claimed ancestry in the U.S. again, as of 2020.
German was only the most commonly claimed for 4 decades, but English has always been the single largest it just gets forgotten about/overlooked because it is so ubiquitous and mainstream, leading to serious undercounts during census taking.
Technically English, Anglo-Saxon is also Germanic/German.
The English and the Germans are basically cousins lmao. The English are Anglo-Saxon, who are inherently Germanic in nature.
Yeah i dont think germans are the majority… i dont think english are either, its mostly britonic groups but mot specifically english
@ It depends on region too, an interesting example is Ohio. Northern Ohio’s caucasian population, from my experience, is mostly of Germanic or Italian descent. Cincinnati, and the surrounding area of Cincinnati, is very predominantly German-American, and then Southeast Ohio is an interesting mix of German-Americans and Scots-Irish Americans. 😭
Most Americans with English descent have been here for so many centuries that they don’t even identify as English in the Census. Most will identify as “American”. It makes sense considering Americans (regardless of their ancestry) are more or less their own distinct nationality than the countries they come from.
Keep in mind that there are cultural difference between Hispanics and Latinos. A person of Mexican desent is going to have different values than someone from Puerto Rico, El Salvador, or Venezuela. Grouping them together under one group is like grouping Irish, italians, and Russian Americans all in one group.
True, there is overlap AND distinction.
Unlike Italians, Russians, Irish...all Hispanics speak Spanish and most are Catholic, a Honduran like myself has more in common with a Mexican or Puerto Rican than to any other ethnic groups
No, we aren't that different in social and economic issues. We have different traditions(not that different tho) and different dialects.
@@cesarbolet2181exactamente. Como decimos en America latina todos somos primos😂
That’s a bit of an exaggeration. Most of us share similar values. Where we might differ is economic policy. This just depends on which ideology screwed our countries. Cubans hate communism, and then there are countries like mine that had right wing military dictatorships.
I love how you put the Cross Of Burgundy to represent Hispanics, you sir are a man of the people 🙌
The US Hispanic Fertility Rate is strong. However TFRs in Mexico, Chile, Brazil etc have collapsed. They may TRY to encourage their diaspora to return in 20, 30 years
I’d love for this to be the case, but it’s likely never going to happen. Most Hispanics are going to feel ingrained in America and are going to lose their connection to their homeland. They aren’t going to leave in any large numbers.
We’re doomed to be a minority in the nation we built. On the bright side, at least we’re not being replaced by Africans or Arabs like Europe is.
Most of Hispanics in the us are white anw
But would they?
What's TFR?
Total Fertility Rate@@HeortirtheWoodwarden
Latin America is facing this. Mexico, Brazil, etc., have European levels of fertility and are lower than the US.
Then we might see Americans immigrating south and changing things up there. 😵💫
European levels of fertility? Are you out of your mind?
@@theguybehindyou4762 The first wave of "Americans" heading your way will be the deported illegals that fled your countries to begin with.
@@pedropaulom.ribeiro6511Mexico literally has lower TFR than US and Brazil on its last census realized they have 9 milion less people than projections said, and like only 2 or 3 countries in Latin America have fertility rate higher than 2.1 and even in those countries its declining fast, only reason LATAM population is still growing is because of demographic momentum
According to which statistics? I still see families having 4-5 children where I live in Mexico!
I'm 41 been getting screwed over by my own government for as long as I can remember and have nothing left to lose. I'm willing to hit the reset button
And you think somehow tax cuts and less regulation designed to protect your health and environment will help you how exactly? LOL
Reset button to what? Dude has already been president….
@@DaniANDNoe GOP has majority in Senate and almost there in the house. Liberal era has ended.
@@DaniANDNoeyes although the hope is he's learned to not trust establishment bureaucrats.
@aurorathekitty7854 He already did in 2016, liberals didnt dissapear then. And keep in mind this entirely depends on the success of the term. If things go south, democrats come back in the midterms.
I work on an assembly line with some heavily automated robots. I'm not convinced that automation can replace very many things. The part of the line with the most automation is also the bottleneck because the machines break down constantly. The company is currently trying to engineer new ones to replace the two that still have a Windows XP interface. The fastest parts of the line just use humans.
I agree, work as a slitter machine operator in a plastic bag factory. Automation took over the automatable parts of industry years ago. A backhoe replacing a gang of ditch diggers for example. Still need a operator. The machine I operate does 90% of the work, but loading, unloading, setting tensions, troubleshooting and tuning the machine are where I come in. For my job to be automated, you would need a thinking Automaton or android that can use tools. Like Data, Bishop, or Ash. We may see that tech someday, but at that point, what job would be safe?
I work on automation problems, and I agree with you. Especially when your robots are integrated into batch production. Humans are just better, and although robots don't cop an attitude or take a pension, humans work very well when things have to work.
they may be slower but it could still be worth it to not have to pay someone and you can always increase throughput by making more machines.
Automation tends to replace semi-skilled labor, not highly skilled and not unskilled. We have robots painting cars, but someone has to fill the paint reservoirs, and someone has to program the robots.
When I worked as an industrial/production engineer, the best things to automate were repetitive tasks. Because 1) people HATE doing repetitive things, and 2) you could actually save a lot of money on repetitive stress injuries if you were allowed to count that in your ROI.
The conflation of neoliberalism with the colloquial usage of the word liberal as “leftist” betrays a lack of understanding as to what neoliberalism is and where it started. The“liberal” in neoliberal does not refer to left-wing politics, but rather refers to deregulatory and privatizing economic policies. Nixon and Reagan pushed the mainstreaming of neoliberal politics.
finally: some sanity vs the INFO wars b.s. and the GOP Q Anon Sedition Radicals....a voice of sanity in beloved America :)
It's not about being contect. It's about demonizing the "left" whether it's accurate or not.
Personally I hope Lutnick, Pompeo, Kushner and all the other neocons are kicked out of the admin, but it's not looking good.
Yup absolutely true. Not looking good. He's still hiring the same neocons and rinos that ruined his 1st term
I don't think Kushner or Pompeo will be involved. I think Trump learned his lesson last time... I don't think he'll be having career politicians or those not fully aligned with our agenda on his team.
There is no evidence that Kushner is a neocon
Kushner is out.
I really don’t think Pompeo did that bad and he’s not a neocon he’s not like Ron Paul but calling pompeo a neocon like those others feels wrong.
The 9 eras of American Politics
1. The Federalist Era
2. The Jeffersonian Era
3. The Jacksonian Era
4. The Republican Era
5. The Progressive Era
6. The New Deal Era
7. The Neoconservative Era
8. The Neoliberal Era
9. The Era of Trumpism
What’s next?
Unfortunately trumpism will end when his next in line jd Vance loses in a landslide
How? Lol the democrats ran on the "end of democracy if trump gets elected" if people can still vote by then normies will even know theyre full of shit, the lefts coalition is already broken, minorities are leaving in droves. Liberals lost the culture war. @@samtheman4931
One thing for sure is that Trumpism will be the smalest era.
@@Keny_josh Ngl as someone who leans republican to many racists for vivek to win
@@Keny_josh Well, he has 4 years to gain popularity. He's a young guy, the most promising republican voters are young guys too. If he doesn't "Kamala" himself into unpopularity, he has a chance.
I think USA could become somewhat like Brazil is Trump does what Bolsonaro did here. Bolsonaro, like Trump, gathered all the aspiring right-wing groups under him. Many betrayed him and were ostracized by his voters( One good example is a Journalist called Joice Hasselmann. She was the most voted representative in Brazil when Bolsonaro got elected with 1+million votes. She betrayed him, and on this year's election, didn't get even 5,000 votes), but those whom were loyal to his goals, not seeking personal power over the conservative ideology here in Brazil, are growing to become powerful politicians which are being elected as senators, governors, mayors of large cities, etc... All of them, seen as agreeing with conservative views and loyal to Bolsonaro, could become candidates and most other candidates would easily support them.
Meanwhile, the left only focused on Lula, our current president, and there is no name on the left right now remotely close to being able to replace him once the old man dies.
Sadly, I don't see the american right doing the same in USA. You have Vivek, you have Tulsi, but could Ted Cruz become one of these guys? Ron deSantis? Presidents ain't enough, USA needs to put a "Trumpist" in every single sector of american society, just like the left put their DEI woke people everywhere. Even Small managers and HR positions of small stores in the most remote towns need to have a loyal Trumpist.
The second point sure does reinforce my belief that if Ron Paul won in 2012 that Bernie Sanders would've been the Democratic nominee in 2016.
I liked Ron because of his foreign policy and I wrote in Bernie twice. I voted Green this election, and was glad to see Maga beat Harris. Hopefully while I wont be getting Single Payer Healthcare under Trump. Maybe we can atleast fix our foreign policy to look like Ron Paul, Scott Horton, Dave Smith, etc.
@@LeftWingNationalist You may actually be the first person I've seen who didn't vote for Trump yet still admits that he could bring positive change.
Looks like Ron Paul will have a hand in Trump's admin so looking great
@@matthewm7590 I'm just trying to be a referee and call what I see. Bad is Bad. Good is good. Every President is mixed. The President controls foreign policy. If Trump surrounds himself with non interventionists. I have to look at that as good from my perspective. Will he? I hope so but I did vote for Stein so lets say I need to be shown. No Pompeo, Bolton, not even Rubio. Keep him away. Hes a China Neo Con. Put Tucker, RFK Jr, Tulsi, Massie, around Trump. I hope America First beats the Bush Neo Cons. Take this moment. Their faction needs to go away. I bet everyone would go back to 9/10 and make way different choices. My hope is they learn.
@@matthewm7590 I'm just trying to be a referee and call what I see. Bad is Bad. Good is good. Every President is mixed. The President controls foreign policy. If Trump surrounds himself with non interventionists. I have to look at that as good from my perspective. Will he? I hope so but I did vote for Stein so lets say I need to be shown. No Pompeo, Bolton, not even Rubio. Keep him away. Hes a China Neo Con. Put Tucker, RFK Jr, Tulsi, Massie, around Trump. I hope America First beats the Bush Neo Cons. Take this moment. Their faction needs to go away. I bet everyone would go back to 9/10 and make way different choices. My hope is they learn.
As Catholic boomers, including clergy, begin/continue to pass away, and with a large portion of new priests being soft/moderate “trads,” a Catholic shift to the right makes sense.
Restore 18th century Protestant USA
I also think it makes sense. I'm a Catholic from Appalachia, so progressive left leaning Catholics are pretty alien to me.
Traditional Catholics currently naturally do lean right to republican, as well as many other official dominations of Christianity in the U.S.
seeing this as I am currently enrolled in a Christian University on the westcoast
@@mrsmith2876im in SW VA and we definitely have some left leaning priests at our church. He's an older boomer and almost says sacrilegious things during homilies. It's also a college town though so I dont know if that's part of it.
I’m in my early 20s and will be ordained a Catholic priest in 2026. Trust me, most of my generation of priests are traditional and politically conservative.
2028 will be an interesting field
Vivek, Vance, De Santis would be great. On the left Newscum , Shapiro and Harris. It doesn't look good for the left.
@@The_Surge8760 Agreed. The only one on the left that has a chance is Bernie, but he's way too old
@@The_Surge8760whitmer as well, Buttigeg is pretty popular among young democrats too, he’s kind of like their version of Rubio in that he doesn’t come across as super extreme (like AOC) but can still speak to younger voters.
Gabbard/Kennedy 2028!
@@The_Surge8760 Vance for 8 years after Trump would be amazing not only for the US but the world.
24:30 "As long as Trump is alive..."
That's got to be your boldest prediction in the entire video. The guy's 78 years old and about to assume the most stressful job in the country.
Biden was somewhat able to handle it, despite being that old.
@@grahamturner2640 Biden is in far better shape than Trump for his age.
Hopefully he lives well into his 90s
@@MonsieurDean So, give me a feel for the channel, if you wouldn't mind: pro-Trump specifically? Pro-Republican generally? Independent?
He’s fine
basically, youre whatifalthist if he went outside once in a while and didnt have a nerdy voice
I used to be a WIAH fan, but I switched to Z when the former went off the deep end
@@bigboineptune9567 But you see, the Gnostics were a holistic society of 5th century mosaic communits, who believd the only way to save humanity from mouse utopia was through complete submission to the devine feminine leviathon.
Z is far too blue pilled. His analysis though not wildly off leave a lot to be desired
@@Danietzoh please please tell me what video that comes from 😭
I feel like you can say the same about this video favoring conservative ideas. If you are truly trying to be moderate, you need to hear both sides.
We got tired of,"Latinx". 😂🎉
You are latinx though
@@GigaNietzscheBait used to be believable
@@GigaNietzschesilence racist
@@GigaNietzsche 🥲
I think you grossly overestimate the utility of automation if you think factories can automate out low skilled jobs but walmart and target can't. Automation tends to make jobs more efficient not eliminate them. Its why with self check out, you now have one employee essentially running 5 registers at the same time
Why the federal min wage at least needs to be the level of July 2009 money. $7.25 then, today's amount would be $10.60 in 2024.
@@onomatopoeia162003alot of places already pay atleast $15. Increasing minimum only makes sense for UBI
I agree and I work with automation as a technician.
Robots can help with labor shortages, but they aren't replacing humans by any means.
Before self-check out: 5 employees for 5 registers
Self-checkout: 1 employee for 5 registers
5-1=4 employees fewer than before self-checkout
Thats a catch 22 situation. If his intent is to bring factories back to the US, what is to stop said companies from just automating as much of the process as possible and not having very many employees? An obvious answer to this would probably be some form of UBI or transition to small businesses, but I doubt very many people here would support something like that and the small businesses would likely be outclassed by bigger corporations who can afford to adapt to the coming tariffs which will result in making the problem worse. And that's if companies are even allowed to set up factories in the US in the first place due to geo-restrictions and more purity-focused policies.
I'm a diehard progressive populist, but can't help but love your insight. It's nice to finally see someone who puts there own personal views aside to actually look at it from a more broad perspective. Excellent video Mr. Z.
Imagine hate being a yt male and being part of a group who excuses Black crime
I think all populists are fine with social spending domestically, especially into infrastructure or programs to help people, the issue is foreign policy and domestic cultural policy which the establishment absolutely botches every time to create the worst of both worlds, economically conservative and socially "liberal" but never making any real beneficial changes
only good thing about Trump is that he will start a string of Populist eras, but that could lead to Fascism or Communism to take over,
Saying "the end of the neo-liberal era" brings the biggest smile to my face 😄
Hey where is my First American Empire and Barron Augustus ?
Ave, true to Barron.
2040 will be his time
Whatifalthist:
*english civil war part 3*
MonsieurZ:
El Caudillo del America
It would be "de" or "de la", América is a femenine noun in spanish, and in spanish most countries don't have an article preceding their name, not talking about the noun's actual meaning in spanish as it would be too big of a tangent.
"Caudillo Populism" Führerreich HOI4 HOI4 HOI4? 👀
¿del America? (We call a football team "el América" 💀)
@@omargerardolopez3294 Perhaps he means Mexican footbal club el America
@@KARKATELCESARENVIADODESA-pv4yd Would be funny, but I doubt he means that
This election showed that a Republican can run on an economically centrist socially conservative agenda and not just squeeze by in the electoral college but win the popular vote. And that increases the likelihood of a political realignment, that this is a durable coalition capable of outlasting the person who started forming it.
He didn't just squeeze by in the electoral college he obliterated it
Except Trump's platform is economically populist but socially centrist. The GOP and project 2025 are socially conservative to the point of being Christian nationalist, Trump however is not, just because Evangelicals worship him as their god doesn't mean he shares their beliefs. Trump however may end up enabling Christian nationalists at the state level, even if he's unlikely to sign a national abortion ban.
To be fair, it's more inflation than Trump himself. Every country dealing with inflation is ousting its incumbent parties, from Britain, to Japan, to South Africa
This election just proved the country doesn't want to be led by a woman. Especially one of color. Trump didn't really talk about policy during his campaign, Less people voted for Trump than in 2020. People just didn't want to vote Harris.
@@mrvwbug4423
Bruh *no president* can sign a national abortion ban! Ffs! 🤦♀️
The values of the new Right are more clear and defined while the old left is still dying just slowly. I wonder what will replace them. I want to say Bernie but so many Democrats left the left because it couldn't be reformed.
Perhaps more Democrats defect to more 3rd party candidates.
@@Gavanater7 The Republicans are more populist at the moment, so the other party will be flooded by establishment types. But when Trump is gone what will happen to the Republicans? I bet most Christians haven’t noticed that Trump took out traditional marriage out of the Republican platform. And if Trump is still only focused on illegal immigration, America will become majority minority by 2045.
Bernie is too old
@@Curiousdog447 Yeah, but Bernie-aligned values.
Bernie is a communist that needs to expire already. His policies would be disastrous to the very fabric of our nation
Many companies won't realize that most of the profits are from people who have blue/white collar jobs. How does a company make money when most people don't have jobs?
Buy selling products and services. Are you seriously arguing for the labor theory of value? Value is a calculation between needs and wants, and the availability to satisfy those needs and wants. If I need, and/or want, a job I'd seek it out. If people desire wooden chairs they buy them, but if you produced steal chairs, and no one wants them, then thier market value is negative, as you've wasted resources on things not desired.
@@thebronywikinghis first part is dumb but the second is relevant. What happens when so many are unemployed that there is a shortage of demand for products due to consumer poverty?
@@badart3204 One of the reasons I'm in favor of basic incomes and/or the people owning the robots leased out to companies. It means that you can have a consumer driven, bottom up, economy, while still making it more efficient with automation.
I'm a Swede who left the far left when it became identitarian, and am still for economic decentralization, while having shifted to a mix of libertarian, and conservative, social stances.
A middle ground between collective ownership, and a free market, could be opening up the ability for low amount investing, and co-ownership in a voluntary manner. No one would have to participate, and you could still be an employee, but it would allow for actual ownership, not just shares, and open up capital investment on all levels.
My friend wants to start a restaurant? Here's my proposal for a contract where I give you 100 dollars for life time price reduction.
@@thebronywiking I understand the idea, but the management of micro-fractional ownership interests isn't free. Would work best at small scale, which would be quite a change from the current world.
I wonder if Elon will make MAGA and the GOP more technocrat-friendly.
Weren't Republicans the first to use ai for b-roll for a political ad? I remember MSM using that as example of the dangers of AI.
@@SmartCreeper If they were, that's super based.
no the maga movement is way to anti academic and supports to much of
pseudoscience to become technocrat-friendly.
He will because he will probably put us on Mars by 2028 with the red tape being removed by the Trump administration for his development of Starship. At the very least we can expect to get back on the moon by 2026
If Trump was seen driving a Tesla and promoted it, his MAGA base would flip to pro-electric cars overnight. His followers don't share any real principles, just that of fanatical loyalty to their boss.
As a cuban american, we need to remember that hispanic americans are incredibly diverse.
In reality all we have in common is that we speak the same language, trying to pin us down as voting group makes no sense.
I think Andrew Yang could emerge as a future contender for the Presidency depending on which party opposes automation through AI.
It'd be nice to see the apartment brigades we've been hearing about being met with military force as enemy combatants.
The military will be disappointed to find they don't actually exist. That whole story was a BS lie concocted by a slum lord to get the state of Colorado off his back due to the piss poor condition of his buildings. The one TDA incident that happened in Aurora was just that a single incident of TDA members going after a rival gang member, all of the involved members were arrested and are sitting in jail. I say this as someone who lives 1/2mi from the apartment complex where that whole incident took place.
I think a Trump successor needs to be well off enough that they can't be bought, have a clean record so no dirt can be used to threaten them and is a fan of the Team America theme song. I also predict that a lot of the people currently on the left will walk away from it because of how extreme many of the folks in their party are. Maybe not going over to the right, but at the very least becoming more of an open minded centrist. This in turn will make those same extremists scream traitor and call these people every ism under the sun, causing current leftism to lose popularity and also relevance as it gets tuned out. Finally, the words fascist and nazi will lose any meaning they once had because they now just mean someone you don't like.
The clean record part is a big problem for Trumpworld, he has sooooo many criminals in his orbit it's unbelievable. Trying to clean up a political movement that basically made being a literal criminal trendy is going to be difficult.
@@wariodude128 Probably Marco Rubio
I still think you're giving too much credit to Trump's personality for his victory.
My personal experience may not hold up to scientific rigor, but I am an NC voter who voted for Trump, with many friends who voted for him too, and those of us that aren't convinced the previous election was rigged, pretty universally believe that his policies were great, but he effectively talked and tweeted himself out of being elected in 2020.
Hell at least half of the relief I got when he won was knowing that whoever runs next won't be him, but someone trying to live up to him, and as it stands, I hope it's Vance.
Vance was more charismatic than Trump in the debate and in interviews without the excessive mud slinging that Trump is known for.
Anecdotal but I know lots of conservative-leaning women that were won over by Vance’s debate to vote for Trump
his policies are great?
Trump's personality is 100% why he won, as distasteful as he can be at times. He's still viewed as an outsider and as the candidate of change, even if he's terrible at actually getting things done as his previous administration showed.
@mrvwbug4423 That's completely backwards for me, and I voted for him, I don't like his personality at all, but he got more positive work done in 2 years of his presidency than Obama did in 8.
@@ChaosActual1It really is something about Trump himself that people like. Look no further than his overperformance compared to the down-ballot Republican candidates in swing states. Trump won Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada. Meanwhile, the Democrat candidates for Senate all won their races in these states. I'll add that Trump decisively won Pennsylvania while McCormick just narrowly won his senate seat. Let's also recall the underwhelming 2022 midterms for Republicans when Trump was not on the ballot.
One thing that still surprises the hell out of me is that here in Michigan, we saw:
-Hamtramck & Dearborn, two famously massive Arab/Muslim enclaves turn out in support for Trump
-Grosse Pointe, a famously rich, white, old-money area, went incredibly blue and voted for Harris
The Arab enclaves going red was mainly due to Stein splitting the vote
That wasn't Muslim voters breaking for Trump, that was Muslim voters staying home or voting 3rd party because they hate both sides equally.
England wasn't exactly more egalitarian back then. Their view of individualism was more of a "merit" based hierarchy in which inequality is a fact of life and a result of your individual choices. Yes England was more individualistic--but egalitarian not really.
Personally I think focusing on automating jobs in sectors heavily dependent on immigrant labour (agriculture, for instance) is wise for the reasons you outlined, but I'm more skeptical of automating native jobs. I'm skeptical of UBI as well. We don't want an idle populace.
Native jobs will get automated anyway, and they are probable first in line. So what is your solution then?
UBI of 1,000 would not cause an idle populace in the slightest. But it would help a lot of people in horrible situations.
I don’t think there’s anyway you realistically pick and choose what jobs get automated or not based on the demographics that currently do them. In a free market economy wherever the market incentive is automation it will happen regardless if the current workers are citizens or foreigners.
@@DaniANDNoe only a leftie would say such dumb sh8t like that
Why not just give those jobs to Americans?
Glory to the Grand Republic of America. May her reign be Eternal.
Amerikwa*. It is a hellhole.
Bye this is so cringe
As someone who's pretty familiar with the AI stuff, it taking the jobs isn't much of an issue. Until we can fix the hallucinations that all LLMs are prone to, it won't be capable of taking most people's job
@@garrettrinquest1605 I also work with AI and its abilities are WAY overstated.
People assume it will continue to advance at the rate it has been when that is not a given.
In addition, the singularity and AGI seem like BS to me.
I would be most worried about front-end developers and graphic designers.
But graphic design was already a terrible career path.
I honestly believe the hallucinations are going to get way worse over time, without clean data sets which is almost impossible now to get you're going to encounter the same problems and going forward there will be even more AI generated content on the internet making the hallucinations even worse as AIs get fed bad data that was made by other AIs. Couple that with the fact that the AIs will get better at making their bad data look correct, because to them there is no difference between looks right and is right. Until we find a useful way to filter out all the background nonsense that gets fed into them the hallucinations are only going to continue.
@@adanalyst6925 We won't have AGI by 2027?
@@AlekseyMaksimovichPeshkov I doubt it. Depends what your definition is of that
@@adanalyst6925 I think when I hear it it usually means an artificial intelligence smarter than any human being alive.
Ehhhh I've seen the code AI writes. I'm safe.... that's why companies are talking about it, but not doing it, especially when there's $$$ on the table.
Just wait till your site breaks and you can't prompt your way out of it. In addition, if you're smaller outfit, you can do wordpress or wix or sites like that which have been around for a while - that could be where I see it being more useful.... AI is like... a calculator - speeds up sure, but you don't fire your accountant, you fire the abacus
But you just ask the ai to correct the code to do what you want. Your thinking the amount of work a human needs to do at that point.
Good, informational comment 👍🏻
people are just having A.I out of proportion, is a great tool and that is that...
@@ArlindoBuriti Like the invention of the bow and arrow 50.000 years ago? JUST the beginning of something.
While I don't disagree people still use excel as a record keeping device
Case in point on white collar automation - I recently did a process excellence initiative with my team that used Power BI and workflow to automate data input for our accounts and auto-generate reports in Visuo. - This essentially gutted 70% of my administrator's job. In that context, it sounds terrible for her. But we talked it through first and with that time saved, I can free her up to work with other teams and start taking courses to step up to an HR business partner role. If done right automation liberates us from low-skill, repeatable work so that we can focus on where humans are value-add: Complex work with lots of factors, grey space, and decision-making.
As a Hispanic I love that you use the Cross of Burgundy to represent us it looks neat
Just here to shamelessly spread the word about the video "La importancia de los hispanos en Estados Unidos", just an interesting and possibly worthwhile conversation
@@JM57-99brigada antifraude? Ya lo he visto jaja
¡Viva la hispanidad!
Plus Ultra
ORBIS NON SUFICIT! -Felipe II
White is also marrying non-white, for example, JD Vance's wife is non-white, and this is happening.
Tragic.
There was also the dating trend where caucasian women wanted Latino boyfriends. I have first hand experience with that one.
See what I wonder is are more white Hispanics marrying whites or Indian Hispanics
@@HeortirtheWoodwarden why?
@andreduvall6226 It means a trend towards extinction.
Something else I’ve predicted personally is actually that the Republican party is going to become more economically left wing especially when Gen Z becomes dominant within the party. I think we are already seeing this a little with Vance, Gabbard, and RFK. This will especially be the case if the upper class and corporations continue to push social/cultural liberalism into the future.
Thats assuming the republicans will be nice enough to peacefully transfer power back to democrats.
Bye neoliberals and neocons (uni party) see you hopefully never!
We are the AMERICAN people. We fight and we will win. We won this time, but always remember:
Fight, fight, fight!
Fight what?
what if this back fires
cause it will
Take your pills.
@@TheMemin247 fight for the future
12:16 Basically all Jewish groups value academic achievement incredibly highly, so they spend way too much time in academia. Consequently said academics are often divorced from reality, in incredibly left wing envirements.
You know there was a frequent joke inside my head about the recent demographic shift. I always theorized that we could see a return to pre 1980s regional alignment. I.E, republican north and democratic south. The joke being that the parties switch regions but the ideologies stay the same. Meaning it’s plausible we see a conservative north and a progressive south in the foreseeable future. But after watching the segment about the demographic shifts, that could end up being a reality.
The North will rise again ✊
True. Although it won't be a full shift, as states like Texas and Florida seem to be getting more red while others like New England states don't really seem to be changing much.
I see this never-Trump mentality in Utah too. The Mormons are conservative but they like a Mitt Romney type of a Republican, you can see Utah become more purple and possibly Idaho too.
Nope Utah isn't going blue any time soon
Trump did better this election in Utah then he did in 2020 and he did better in 2020 then he did in 2016 so this is unfounded.
That's because Mormons are by nature very polite and the combativeness of the modern political scene is anathema to them. They also know they're fucked if a theocracy ever does happen, because literally all other Christians hate Mormons. They will keep voting for polite conservatives as long as Utah friendly conservatives keep running.
Utah and Idaho will never go blue. The Mormons are ultra conservative, they will literally never vote for the Democrats...
Vocational jobs for the most part wont be replaced by automation for a long time such as electricians, plumbers, mechanics and welders are not going to be replaced any time soon
Doesn't mean they aren't going to be negatively impacted by it still. You do know that once everyone who loses their jobs start going into the trades like electricians and plumbing that they are no longer going to pay as much as they used to, right?
My biggest worry is that he will drop Tulsi, RFK jr and others while stacking his administration with run of the mill republicans. His appointment of chief of staff saying she will shut out the 'maga clown car' rings alarm bells.
He should drop RFK jr though. In fact, I would say he even NEEDS to drop RFK jr. Putting the anti-vaxxer guy who thinks AIDS isn't real in charge of the FDA and CDC is not gonna be a good look. If RFK jr really goes through with his plan of promoting raw milk and taking fluoride out of the water supply, then Republicans are gonna have a hard time winning the next election when everyone realizes their children's teeth are rotting, parasites are in their gut, and polio is making a comeback.
I think her remarks are more in regards to people like Nick Fuentes, but I agree that is also a concern of mine.
I don't think he will if you watch the interview he did with Joe Rogan he made it very clear he is aware of that being a problem with his first administration. I highly doubt he's going with party picks this time around.
Tulsi, Elon and RFK will get vanity jobs where they can't actually hurt anything and hopefully more serious people will be put in the actual jobs that matter. Trump still actually has to pick competent people to run the government, he can't risk an economic collapse or being seen as so unserious that Vance will try to oust him via the 25A.
Cabinet looking good so far, he's gonna get a lot done I think.
So the increase of Hispanics as a percentage of the US population will basically bring the enshittification of the US and the world at large?
Yes
Basically. America will become more and more third world the more third worlders we bring.
No. Latinos are assimilating with the broader white population at a faster rate than expected. Give it another 20 years and you won’t be able to tell who voted for who based on surname alone. The same process happened with the Scots-Irish, Irish, Germans, and Italians who all had different cultures to the established Anglo population but were assimilated over the course of the 19th and 20th centuries. Kennedy and Reagan are both Irish surnames, but if you didn’t know who I war referring to you wouldn’t know who they voted for.
@@AmericanAdvancementImport the third world, become the third world. Mix with the third world and your bloodline will never again produce the results of the first world. Really that simple. Allowing foreign blood does not bode well. Mexicans are not of European stock and are closer genetically to Arabs and other west asian groups than they are to Europeans
@AmericanAdvancement nope, all those groups save for southern italians were considered white but when large groups of people move to a new location there's obviously going to be problems, if you thinks that's comparable to hordes of kalergi plan mystery meat, you are being disingenuous
my brother in Christ, Latin American dictatorships did not come from a need for "strong leaders" nor from a culture of common good. There is no such thing as this “cultural common good” story.
I don't know where you got this idea that Latin America is in favor of socialist ideas or that the right is in favor of monarchy or theocracy. Would you care to elaborate?
it's a racist analogue that he won't back up because it's complete nonsense. Latinos are traditionally more conservative due to other reasons, like strong adherence to faith in comparison to White Americans.
I'm Brazilian, and there is a need for "strong leaders" here. This place was always governed by "Coronéis" which were nothing more than wealthy noblemen whom did whatever they wanted. Most people here believe a President is kind like a King which you elect, but the notion of tripartite division of power is alien to them. Representatives are small noblemen, the President is the King, and Governors the dukes, the mayors the local lords, the "vereadores" in the town hall the knights you might ask for a personal favor if you know the right people to talk to. Even the way most people treat rich and famous people here, the bootlicking and stuff, aren't unlike how aristocracy is treated.
However, the "culture of common good" doesn't truly exist here. People are always up for themselves, and the government should solve everything else like a magnanimous, generous lord taking care of their subjects. Of course, generalizations always hide particularities of certain individuals and groups, but Brazil is still an example of an obviously Oligarchic, Aristocratic culture trying to disguising itself into "American-like" Democracy which nobody believes.
In Latin America without strong leaders it devolves quickly into an even bigger shithole. It's just sometimes your dictators make it an even worse shithole.
First: The idea that Brazil (and other Latin American countries) need "strong leaders" and that people view the president as a kind of king ignores that this concept of “coronelismo” and local “nobles” isn’t so different from the U.S., where representatives in power often align with certain economic or social interests. There are entire political dynasties, surely you’ve heard of the Kennedys, Clintons, Roosevelts, and Bushes, the same principle applies, just with different names.
Second (and more important): Latin America is not governed by “strongmen.” In fact, it’s rare for any one name to gain such prominence. "Strongmen" are more typical of Russia, for example, which has consistently been ruled by a dominant figure for the last 200 years, whether it’s Putin, Stalin, or a Tsar. In Latin America, figures like Vargas or Lula stand out as exceptions. Even the dictatorships that did occur, like in Brazil during the military regime/dictatorship, were led by military juntas rather than a single strong figure. I’d bet the average citizen couldn’t name two or three military presidents from that period. The idea of a “medieval structure” of power applies to any system where a few influence the many, this isn’t unique to Latin America.
Moreover, you can tell that Z uses Chile and Mexico as his only basis for talking about Latin America, which distorts reality and overlooks the differences between these countries and others in the region. He probably uses Mexico due to the wars and proximity to the U.S. and Chile because of his video on Pinochet.
Yeah, he conveniently ignores how the U.S ensured their rise to power to keep their business interests in the Cold War.
What no one is talking about is that at the beginning of the 20th century there was around 2000 Amish.. now there is almost half a million. And their birth rate is relatively stable.
You keep saying landslide win. It wasn't a landslide win. Sure it wasn't a very close election but far from a landslide.
By electoral votes it’s a landslide, he won more states than 2016 even
I’m actually rather optimistic on automation and AI, I think it has the potential to enable smaller companies to compete with much larger corporations in terms of production and innovation. And there’s a newish business model called Robots as a Service “RaaS” that may speed up adoption of automation, it significantly reduces the barrier to adoption because most of the cost isn’t upfront and it’s upgradable over time, meaning companies can experiment to see what works for them. Being a Luddite has never been advantageous for a society, the way I see it we can either be ahead of the curve or behind it, but the technology is here and reality is going to hit hard one way or the other, might as well be well prepared when it does.
one reason why subsaharan africa is expanding demographically rather than contracting is they are effectively luddites.
If Trump were to resign/retire/be removed just after the midway point of this upcoming term, Vance would have incumbency going into 2032. If he does well, we could see a full decade of Vance. At that point, he’d be the one picking his own successor. I don’t think this will happen, but I do think it should.
Sorry, incumbency going into 2028. I was living in the future, man.
@@JayEllJayTooVance seems like a Gerald Ford type. I doubt he can win an election as the lead man.
Of all the people on earth who won’t back down and cede things to anyone else, trump is top. He absolutely won’t hand over presidency to another before his term is up unless he’s on his deathbed. He has far too much personal pride and confidence in himself to relinquish power
@@JayEllJayToo Trump is not handing anything over, and shouldn’t, unless he dies. The idea that Biden was going to resign halfway through his term for Harris was always really dumb
@@adanalyst6925 Biden shouldn't have run for a 2nd term, but serving out his term was never an issue.
One thing that you're forgetting about the Hispanic demographic is how some of them in more conservative states, especially Texas, are becoming more assimilated to white, Protestant, individual culture
@runman94 no they aren't, simply saying something over and over again won't make it true
It was inflation and low dem turnout, Trump would have lost if The dems had 2020 numbers
A larger percentage of Hispanics in Texas are becoming evangelical Protestants. Certainly, in the past, Texas has traditionally turned a certain percentage of ethnic Catholics into Protestants as they have intermarried with the "Anglo"-Protestant (English & German) population. Then again, Anglo-Protestants have also intermarried with Catholic Mexican, Czech, Cajun, & Irish Texans. This groups the population more along social class lines rather than by ethnic groups.
The point made in 14:30 is so prevalent. For my accounting course, they’ve switched into data analytics and how to incorporate AI and other LLMs into our workflow. That’s also why the public accounting firms are automating the basic financial staff accountant jobs at an accelerated rate and are switching over to Audit and Advisory services.
Vance is not a Strong-Man candidate. He's a libertarian who used to work for Peter Thiel's CIA private equity firm, Palantir
No.
That's In-Q-Tel
Personally, I think these next four years may not be that bad. All we can do is wait and see.
It can’t be any worse than it has been. I hope where we are now is rock bottom. It sure feels like it.
@@themodelcitizen988Lol you haven't seen ANYTHING. It will proceed to get worse so long as non white people and central banking are tolerated in this country
@@themodelcitizen988 Well, If this is rock bottom, The only way to go is up!
Or deeper...
@@themodelcitizen988lol wait till you have a 20% tariff on all Chinese goods
Thanks For this z! Keep up the good work 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
The 2020 census numbers need to be fixed. California and New York are supposed to both have 2 fewer electoral college votes and house seats and Texas and Florida should both have 2 more
I believe it's the current 2024 estimate NOT the 2020 census that would have determined further realignment which should have been implemented for this election but wasn't. We already did the 2020 reapportionment
The irony is, if Trump is able to achieve some success with mass deportation it will backfire on Texas and Florida, because they will enthusiastically help him deport their illegals, while California will fight Trump tooth and nail. If even 1/4 of the illegals in Texas and Florida are deported both states will lose millions in population and will lose congressional seats. As for reapportionment, that only happens once every 10 years with each new census, changing that would require a constitutional amendment.
He called the government “complicit”. Strong word. I pray the good Lord protects him.
"Come gather 'round people
Wherever you roam
And admit that the waters
Around you have grown
And accept it that soon
You'll be drenched to the bone
If your time to you is worth savin'
And you better start swimmin'
Or you'll sink like a stone
For the times they are a-changin'"
Hispanic isn't an ethnic group, it's a cultural group. Future hispanic people who don't even speak Spanish will not identify as "hispanic." The largest group will self identify as white, which is also the largest cohort of interracial marriages. This is similar to the trends that have happened with every other ethnic group. Like who seriously identifies as "Irish" now? It helps that Hispanic people are also largely European origin.
@@byronhotchkiss3254 I’ve thought this for a while now. We are not headed towards a white minority, as most Latinos will be considered “white” in 25 years. It’s been the same story throughout America’s history.
Even JFK was a Irish Catholic non-wasp, but no one thinks of him as anything but white-male-president nowadays
This election showed that integration of the legal hispanic population into American society is almost complete. When a voter bloc is split in virtually the same way as the non-Hispanic white population then assimilation into the majority population is complete. At this point I think it is no longer helpful to separate the white population into Hispanic and non-Hispanic blocs since many Hispanics self identify as white and intermarry with the white population.
The castizos will be what Italians are now to whites in the US
Americans will increasingly identify by class rather than by ethnic group.
The one thing that is constant in the world is change and all you can do is either bend to it or bend it to your will.
That's stupid.
Try telling that to the transgender ideology 😂 cuz they trying to "force reality" into theirs and well, not only does everyone laugh at them and it's obviously dilulu.
If too many jobs will be taken at the same time where the population will crash then it won't be that big of an issue to deal with
(Taken by the ai)
A.I, especially generative, does rely on an increasing population to survive though. Don't take my word for it, just go ask any chatbot that and it will tell you.
On automation/ai: I think this will hit white collar office worker types way harder than the service industry. Basically if you can “work remote” you’ll get replaced, but if you’re an “essential worker” it’s harder to replicate all the little things you do. See also: outsourcing. The person flipping your burger has to be here, the person filling out a spreadsheet can be anywhere.
Do you think JD has enough charisma to carry the movement after Trump?
Oh hell no.
Maybe Tulsi Gabbard.
RFK or Tulsi would have a better chance
@@boltblazer1670Tulsi Gabbard sucks dude can we drop this meme already?
i love jd he’s definitely the right choice will he be chosen i have no clue
@@stanisawzokiewski3308 if Trump’s economy does well, JD Vance will be heir apparent, assuming he wants to run for President
Illinois was 400k votes between the two. If there had been a 200k swing towards Trump, Illinois would've went red. As an Illinoisan, it was pleasantly shocking
And I'm sure the number that didn't vote probably went back up to pre-2016 numbers. Which was around 90m-100m. Which I will find out once it's at 100% reporting.
I don't agree with the first prediction. because Hispanics, who may also be white, have the fastest decreasing birth rate compared to whites. I think this prediction is like the many books that predicted the future in the 90s. the book "the end of the story" was completely wrong. So I think the Hispanic population will reach a peak very soon and then follow a slow growth due to the decline in births in South America. you can read many recent newspapers that talk about how Mexico has dropped by 28% compared to the US 8% in terms of births. So in summary I think that Hispanic America is one of many alternative futures that one day our children will read, just as we laugh at the book: the end of history.
I pray that you are right because if you are right then horrors will befall the Hispanic race as the Saxon begins to hate.
"America is going to be conservative-led for a while, if you like it or not"
Oh, I can guarantee I'll like it.
2 years at a minimum, Dems should be able to regroup for the mid-terms and retake the house, if they don't defy the odds and flip the house this time (unlikely but not impossible). The only way this doesn't happen is if somehow Trump is massively successful in his first 2 years ... based on how his previous administration went, I would be very skeptical of him getting much accomplished. Few presidents ever escape the mid-term curse. The disconnect between what Trump wants to do vs what the GOP wants to do will strike again like it did last time. The GOP wants Christian nationalism and an economy for billionaires only, Trump wants populism and at least claims to want to build an economy for everyone (though he lacks a cohesive policy to implement economic populism).
Chances are Democrats are gonna do well in the next couple of Congressional elections. Probably continue to do well in special elections, and win the White House on 2028.
Just here for the thumbnail
_¡Viva la hispanidad!_
God no
@@history_nerd6938 You play too much hoi4.
@@history_nerd6938 ñ
You're going back
@@tann_man plus ultra
I'm hoping the current reports that Trump is going to offer Bernie a cabinet position comes to fruition. It's going to blow the mind of a lot of progressives and pundits.
BASED
Is this even possible? If this could happen that would be so fucking great
@@aminyt8742 of course it’s possible. Bernie wouldn’t take it though
@@adanalyst6925 He said he's open to "cooperating with the Trump administration". That could mean a number of things, but I doubt he would be saying it if he is planning to refuse a spot.
The problem with UBI is that we simply aren't rich enough as a country. I really don't think it can function until we have some high levels of asteroid mining going on. Even then, i expect civil unrest to force the elite to care for the average man before it happens. I honestly expect many wars as the world re-aligns and the social fabric learned how to deal with it, much like how the industrial revolution brought.
It might work for a bit, with declining birthrate
It will actually work with AI boost profits and mostly productive like if AI gets faster in doing something like 90X fast as an a normal person. Profits from AI will rise and extra profits with hopefully get taxed to be put in UBI fund
We should at least create a Sovereign Wealth Fund to help fund social safety net and government programs, and there might be some more budget surplus left for UBI.
@leullakew9579 so just like social security? You do realize the national debt is mostly social security.?
@@SmartCreeper I personally am indifferent (or boarder line opposed) to UBI, but I do support starting a Sovereign Wealth Fund (an investment fund owned by the government) which will help bring in revenue for the government to supplement (and possibly decrease) taxation. Several other countries do this too, especially all the countries that have a system similar to but not exactly the same as UBI. What I’m saying is that a Sovereign Wealth Fund may assist in creating a budget surplus (decrease the public debt), and it may be the only way the U.S. would remotely afford instituting UBI - because without a Sovereign Wealth Fund getting UBI would be (near) impossible.
So basically America is over.
A hyper consumerist, YOLO culture of "excess" which is something America has had since the 80s was never sustainable. The fact that it has lasted as long as it has without a sudden, violent collapse is something of a miracle.
@IntergalacticDustBunny I really hope you aren't saying third worlders aren't hyper consumerist.. you guys are the biggest consoomers in this country, you are expediting the process
@ who cares how consumerist they are. They aren’t American.
Bro your symbols are so cool, you should make a website and post them.
24:44 when Alexander the Great was on his deathbed, his ministers asked him "Master, who should the empire go to?" To which he responded "to the greatest". The civil wars that ensued among his generals were some of the wildest in history up until that point, known as the Wars of the Successors (Diadochi), and paved the way for the rise of the Roman Empire in the east
Something important missing in this video is the gender divide. The polls have showed us that women are voting for more progressive candidates and policies while men are voting for more conservative ones (especially notorious in younger generations). And this gender perspective is also very important to analyze fertility trends. I do have my own analysis and hypothesis about how it will influence politics, but I'd like to see your perspective on this.
RFK Jr is way too old to run in 2028
He's not a serious candidate, or a serious candidate for a cabinet post. Trump will end up giving him a vanity job.
His uncle did it so why can’t he?
We’re just gonna be like Brazil in 20 years
The future is impossible to predict.
I really hope you're wrong.
Worse.
We need to help our own than anybody else in the world. We have a lot of problem to solve in America housing, infrastructure, Energy, health, healthcare, jobs, gaps between the have and have not, homeless vets and homeless citizens, and near poverty Americans families, Also we have about 40+ million people still living in poverty or many people living on only 20-40k per years. Also we need to stop giving billions and billions of dollars to countries who abuse our generosity. Like we know that money we give to other countries are not going to help them or help the bottom only the top people will steal the money anyways. We have many people surviving on 1000-2000 on Social Security and still can't live with that much money because most of it goes to rent or utilities. And we see the news that many cities and town giving illegal immigrants free housing and free healthcare and about 2000 dollars every month on food or other things. We been fucked all the time when the government choice other people than The Americans citizens every F time. American First and Only American citizens.
Those is the only way to avoid a unpleasant situation. I voted for Trump an hope he follows through. Hope is not what I think will happen. So I plan on actively organizing the right into a more active group willing to get things done by any means.
At the worst Saturday night live will be watchable again😂
Keep shining, your work is wonderful!
we need to end abortion, end discrimination over physical appearance, say yes to people with bad social cues, and accept charity for raising families. Stop putting our selves, our jobs, our money, our reputations first. Give every one a chance even if they seem odd on the surface. surface level oddity often hides a deeper kindness. Surface level perfection often hides a darker interior.
So go against basic human psychology? Odd things are considered odd because they can be a threat to you, or your groups, survival. I think a moderate base, with a few people experimenting, is the ideal compromise between stability and ingenuity.
@@thebronywiking If this is basic human psychology, Then it is beyond tainted and flawed...This is why I'm all for genetic engineering and editing, Imagine rewiring the human mind and being less crappy in the long run.
@@RileyLewis-j2w So you want to sprint into the unknown without caution? I'm for some transhumanism, but it needs to be voluntary, and rigorously tested before hand. What would you say about becoming a mind slave to your worst enemy? The power you grant yourself you potentially grant to those who oppose you.
Banning the whole abortion is not right.
@@aminyt8742 Agreed. Right now, as a compromise, we should keep it for the first trimester, though it needs to be a tough choice. Then, when we can take the child out and let it live with future technology, abortion will be classified as murder. I'm agnostic, and my argument is based on balancing the woman's bodily autonomy, and the rights of the child.
We’re so cooked 😭
Very interesting takes
Thank you so much
I think another problem the Democrats would face in scenario #2 is the millions of people who fled to the United States from Socialist/Communist countries like China, NK, Venezuela, Cuba, the Eastern Bloc, etc. These people fought tooth and nail and risked everything to escape Socialism/Communism and are pretty determined to prevent it from coming to the Unites States. Because they know what it's like and how awful it is. Meanwhile, the people only people in the West in support of those ideologies have never lived under them. Hence why these Socialist/Communist refuges are almost universally Conservative. (Though it should be studied as to why their kids or grandkids become infatuated with Socialism/Communism)
I dunno, I can't see Alabama flipping blue anytime soon.
The democratic party is pretty much dissolved
Just because they lost one election? 🤔
-Republicans before Bill Clinton becomes the president for 8 years
And will more likely be extinct by 2040. (Despite Lyndon Johnson's prediction of the D's lasting until 2164)
@revinhatol most likely sooner
@@revinhatol I bet he is rolling in his grave in frustration that he has been outdone by a based orange man.
Subscribed, just lurking due to night shift shenanigans
Re: birthrates and abortion figures, it's important to contextualize them properly; one less abortion does not equal one more birth, as multiple conceptions and terminations can take place within the time it takes to carry one pregnancy to term. People also tend to modify their behavior in response to changing legislation, and lower abortion rates often coincide with higher prevalence of effective contraceptive use rather than higher birthrates.
It's nice to see that in some other countries there are actual political spectrums unlike here in Romania where left and right are basically the same group of people that held onto power since 1989
Tulsi Gabbard 2028
Victory for the people
The hispanics have to leave.
You need to leave.
no
Import the third world. Become the third world.
Why?
We been here for centuries my angloid 😂
Great video with valid reasoning. Good job!!
Love your content z! Wish You all in the US all the Best 😊😊😊