Stretched valuations, the absence of the Santa rally. I think we are going up, down and all-around in a much more volatile market that may get to 6800, but it's gonna take the long way with bull and bear traps everywhere. #2
I think we may have started wave 5 of this bigger wave 3. Wave 5 is equal to wave 1 at 6305 but really all we need is for wave 5 to get above the current high of 6100. After that we head down in the 4th scenario.
I think the correction will extend until we hit a 5-10% drawdown NDX:$Gold is projecting more downside And SPGI also hasn't confirmed a new high, both tend to lead the index's imo
Dave. I think its opt 1 or 2. going to push higher its early in the bull market. 10% correction coming later in the year as we tackle the fiscal cliff of debt limit, budget, tariffs.
Can we see all of this more properly with foot print chart, where goes the big orders? 😮 I expect same movements as election day,and later big correction..Same as november to january..
I don't have an expected target, but I have an action plan for each of the 4 scenarios you laid out. If it's case 1, I will sell and pare down holdings to build cash and put them in T-bills or MM. If it's case 2 or 3, maintain current holdings. If it's case 4, will add positions especially SPY or VOO.
From a purely technical perspective, the index still looks range‐bound between roughly 5750 support and 6100 overhead resistance. While anything can happen, the most common outcome after several tests of a well‐defined band is a retest of the upper boundary rather than an immediate breakout or a major collapse. Thus, Scenario #2 (the moderate push higher but remaining under the top of the recent range) is statistically the most likely near‐term path.
Great exercise. Strong stocks are already breaking out and lots of setups in the growthier sectors. Breadth trade is back on and earnings have been positive. I’m leaning option #1. Will be interesting as we get to March and certainly will be watching any further shots across the bow with big distribution days as we get overbought.
All very valid senarios. I personally could care less which one happens because I have some cash on the sidelines as of early December. A 100 year Dow/S&P and a 50+ year NASDAQ chart tells me all I need to know. Long term, the trend is up for the indices. As far as the 1-4 scenarios, I think we could see #3 in the next 6 weeks.
Higher lows taking #2 option 6100 -6200 value oriented leads market. I've been sitting on sideline, holding value, healthcare and financials but I'm going to put some cash to work in 401k only in value, small caps, mid caps.
3 CAPE ratio, only ‘’99 was higher. 2 consecutive >20% years… 10yr closing on 5% Risk premium, 4.25% vs maybe a bit more for stocks? Mega caps (looking at you AAPL) FW PE is nuts for low single revenue growth, flat. Breadth is quite weak. Fed can’t cut (much), have to wait for labor cracks. Would not be surprised if we get 10-20% correction.
Scenario 1- fed has lot of room to cut, dream team taking over next week, less regulation, crypto boom fueled by trump, war in Gaza and Russia going to end soon. I think 6600 is very conservative target
I think that 6600 in just the next couple of weeks or even months is very aggressive and not conservative at all. What would lead the market that high soon? Earnings growth? But isn't it already priced in? Multiple expansion? Multiples are already very extended
Here are my thoughts: by the end of Feb/start of March I think we have these probabilities: 50% of a #3 scenario where the market is lower then than now. The pull back has started and may continue to be in a 5700-6100 range for months 35% chance of a #2 scenario where the market moves slightly higher. 1% chance of a #1 scenario - maybe Trump ends the wars and starts doing things so great that the market goes to an over extended place 14% chance this market continues the corrective phase that has already begun and moves into the 5500 - 5600 range. Largely supported by technicals, commonly weak February, new admin doing tarrifs and deportation that the market doesn't like, the fed not being a tailwind anymore. Earnings that are okay but not as good to support the multiples companies trade at
QQQ over 530 with BTC back over 108k next week will put the short term trends in sync with the longer term uptrends. Things this Friday looking better than last week
Sideways. Somewhere between 2 and 3. All depends on whether the new administration is net destabilizing. I actually don’t think the Fed has a dog in the fight after 1/20 at noon ET.
@ So far….. let’s see what volatility and price action looks like when the economic impacts of policies become more apparent….Happy for the near term profits. Very cautious about long term outlook.
Depends on Trump day 1 actions. If tariffs come in strong. Headed to 4. Let’s aggressive tariffs 2. The rallies Weds and Friday have sharpe moves consistent with bear market bounces. Not saying we can’t go up but below 6000 we are still on Mini corrections
scenario #2 and 3, in a choppy alternate environment, until will be stabilized new geopolitical situation ( new President in office and end of War Ucraine and Israel/Gaza) . This will be until end of february. #1 from begining of March until end of April
Dave thank you for your smart and detailed analysis. Number 1 based on "Trump Effect: The First 100 days". Similar to what happened after the election. However, it will not be a straight line. Remember; enjoy the ride and expand your thinking.
option #3; mildly bearish🐻. the market will chop through the first ninety days of the new administration (being jerked around by outlandish behavior by DC 🤨politics in general for the purpose of news cycle control)
Recent activity on the chart looks like a bullish flag to me. A lot of tech stocks on a short term basis look like they are itching for another breakout. Therefore, I anticipate more uptrends. So option 1 or 2 is my choice and I will optimistically go for #1. Of course once we know more about what executive orders Trump signs on Day 1, things could change very quickly.
The market is flying like a kite ! Trending way about its 200 day MA. All I see is the retracement but nothing bearish seems to be happening. It is safe to say that we should expect the 1st scenario. A couple of days ago when S&P 500 pierced the 50 day MA I was expecting that it would hit the $5800 mark but since it bounced right back without touching that target I am confident that I am right about the 1st scenario.
Me too but this will be untill Trump take full control.After this later on of this year im not so positive..I expect same movements as election day,and later big correction..😮 Same as november to january
The great analysis. It's interesting how many trillions of dollars will be needed for each scenario in terms of in/out. If I am not wrong it is about $5 trillion is needed for investors to move SPY 10% higher right now. I am thinking from another point of view, that last year stock market received about $85 trillion. Some of that money should be moved out to cover different expenses and minimum should be around $10 trillion. I vote for 3 and 4
#2. First year of new presidency has an 85% of having positive returns and historically the best year of performance of a 4-year term (on average). However, a weekly log-chart channel from 2009 to present shows the upper channel reaching 6,350 at best by Monday March 3. The upper channel line has been a hard barrier of resistance for 15 years except for the post-covid bubble in 2021. I expect it will continue to be a hard barrier of price resistance. Market will have a good 6 weeks, but will be contained by the channel.
While no one knows, I am thinking we will get a long sideways market for most of this year until the market can figure out what it wants. So scenario 2 and 3 for a back and forth. Once we get through this year and things become clearer then the market will make its big move. If we get a sideways market, as a swing trader, I will be happy IF I can get it right. Always a big IF!!!!! Thanks Dave for the opportunity to comment.
96 year channel shows we have been topping at this top of this channel now for a while, so many negative divergences, Mag 7 valuations have been blown up too high. Narrow leadership for too long. A recession must be priced in and is long overdue.
70% option 1. The gap at the election result has been filled and the uptrend continues. 20% option 2 if the treasury rates go up and become more attractive. 10% option 4, inflation comes back. Nil for option 3 as that feeling like a Meh market to me, and at the moment this does not feel like a Meh world.
Trump's inauguration with news events that will come back to back to back will provide catalysts (news events) like we have not seen. To the upside or downside
Rising rates = sovereign debt crises. Inflation from natural disasters in the US could cause inflation to shoot up again - raising rates. That's the most obvious black swan to me right now. Trump deporting vegetable and fruit pickers and adding tariffs will jack up inflation soon.
Is it really that hard to see? Nobody talks about it. Trump's tariff are the main obstacles driving the market behavior. Forget free markets under republican government
I view the last week as news driven euphoria with anticipation of a Trump bump. Given that most people are seeing the market go up after Trump and the FACT the market always seeks do the opposite, I expect a "sell the news's event after Trump inauguration and something between 3 and 4 to happen.
Hoping we go sideways. I’ve legged into many iron condors. Sadly, while we’ve been going down, I added more on the call side, so I’m net short the market. Today was a horrible day for me. Now that we have a fairly organized descending channel, I’m afraid it’s looking bullish. Hoping to get a couple of down days, so I can get closer to neutral. A few comments are saying bullish in the near term and bearish by March. They could be correct. Right now, I see #2, mildly bullish for 6 weeks.
Choice # 2- I think we're going slightly sideways for a bit. Uncertainty about incoming admin and how much chaos they will bring in comparison to the 1st go around. Markets don't like shit shows and uncertainty. Tariffs and higher inflationary policy may throw everything down the crapper. We will see I reckon....in the end, stay calm, stay invested, think of ways to make positive choices even in the downturn.
History shows returns of -2 to 3% over the next tens years at these valuations. But the bull flag and political hype may push it higher so probably 1-2 near term and then 4 as empirical data plays out. Earnings are hindsight - the strong dollar will impact future earnings of mega cap techs. Probably in 4100 range somewhere in 2026.
Not a fan of using valuations for this but I so appreciate you sharing these! Earnings are actually about future earnings growth and less about what happened before. D
Trump's policies will hurt the economy in the short/medium term. - Deportations= less migrant spending - DOGE= less government employees spending I think the market will pop during earning and then drop.
Yes- that indicator fired a major sell signal in December. Market has since turned higher! Have covered in detail on my daily market recap show. Go Bucks! D
#1 - Traders will be "drinking the Trump Kool-Aid" after the Inauguration and get "juiced/bulled-up" thinking about deregulation, blah, blah. New highs hit in next few weeks. Reality will come in February. Valentines Day may then be looking rough as reality sets in.
Stretched valuations, the absence of the Santa rally. I think we are going up, down and all-around in a much more volatile market that may get to 6800, but it's gonna take the long way with bull and bear traps everywhere. #2
Market feels way more volatile than the VIX would imply! D
#4
I think it's significant that S&P didn't close 6000 or over right before a 3 day weekend. Sold down last 2 hours of trading.
Turned right back higher into 6100 last week! D
Correction please!
Unfortunately, the market does not take requests :) D
Bro was just saying it's over 😂
lmao
That's why i clicked here haha
Broken clock
Watch the video. It's laying out four different scenarios! D
I think we may have started wave 5 of this bigger wave 3. Wave 5 is equal to wave 1 at 6305 but really all we need is for wave 5 to get above the current high of 6100. After that we head down in the 4th scenario.
ooo thanks for dropping some Elliott Wave for all of us! D
#2, then chop around in a range. This is a good market for covered calls and cash secured puts.
#2 has been a pretty solid call thus far! D
I think the correction will extend until we hit a 5-10% drawdown
NDX:$Gold is projecting more downside
And SPGI also hasn't confirmed a new high, both tend to lead the index's imo
The bottom should come within 1-2 weeks and i'm guessing we rally to ath's after before closing the year negative
Really good commentary right here - I agree
Stocks vs. gold diverging BIG TIME from stocks D
Dave. I think its opt 1 or 2. going to push higher its early in the bull market. 10% correction coming later in the year as we tackle the fiscal cliff of debt limit, budget, tariffs.
So many reasons why the market could go lower from here... D
I would imagine something in between 1 and 2, starting a new trend instead of resuming on the old
Spot on thus far! D
After #2 completes #4 will happen.
That's a check on #2 and waiting for a #4! D
Can we see all of this more properly with foot print chart, where goes the big orders? 😮
I expect same movements as election day,and later big correction..Same as november to january..
So far, market going full risk-on in 2025! D
Well explained.
Thanks so much for watching! D
I don't have an expected target, but I have an action plan for each of the 4 scenarios you laid out. If it's case 1, I will sell and pare down holdings to build cash and put them in T-bills or MM. If it's case 2 or 3, maintain current holdings. If it's case 4, will add positions especially SPY or VOO.
NOW you're seeing the benefits of this exercise. Great plans based on different outcomes. D
From a purely technical perspective, the index still looks range‐bound between roughly 5750 support and 6100 overhead resistance. While anything can happen, the most common outcome after several tests of a well‐defined band is a retest of the upper boundary rather than an immediate breakout or a major collapse. Thus, Scenario #2 (the moderate push higher but remaining under the top of the recent range) is statistically the most likely near‐term path.
6100 overhead resistance reached!! D
@@DKellerCMT ..and positions reduced by half, accordingly.
Dave are ES Futures charts (shorter time frame) available on Stockcharts?
No futures on StockCharts unfortunately... D
I feel lost in the market after watching this channel
Yikes! I recommend watching more. :) D
Great exercise. Strong stocks are already breaking out and lots of setups in the growthier sectors. Breadth trade is back on and earnings have been positive. I’m leaning option #1. Will be interesting as we get to March and certainly will be watching any further shots across the bow with big distribution days as we get overbought.
Strong stocks are definitely breaking out! D
All very valid senarios. I personally could care less which one happens because I have some cash on the sidelines as of early December. A 100 year Dow/S&P and a 50+ year NASDAQ chart tells me all I need to know. Long term, the trend is up for the indices. As far as the 1-4 scenarios, I think we could see #3 in the next 6 weeks.
We are on the same page! D
Higher lows taking #2 option 6100 -6200 value oriented leads market. I've been sitting on sideline, holding value, healthcare and financials but I'm going to put some cash to work in 401k only in value, small caps, mid caps.
6100 reached- not sure if there's enough mo to get SPX 6200..... D
Pop than drop I think we will still see that 200 ma in Feb
Definitely seeing that initial pop! D
Thanks senpai!
どういたしまして D
#2 until March
Great call so far! D
3
CAPE ratio, only ‘’99 was higher.
2 consecutive >20% years…
10yr closing on 5%
Risk premium, 4.25% vs maybe a bit more for stocks?
Mega caps (looking at you AAPL) FW PE is nuts for low single revenue growth, flat.
Breadth is quite weak.
Fed can’t cut (much), have to wait for labor cracks.
Would not be surprised if we get 10-20% correction.
Valuations often don't help in raging bull markets because it's all about euphoric sentiment and future higher valuations! D
I watch Cramer on CNBC and I do the Opposite -- I always win $$$$ Buy buy buy means Sell
"Always" huh? :) D
Citi gave solid confidence to investors.
Not sure what indicator you're referring to but appreciate the suggestion! D
Scenario 1- fed has lot of room to cut, dream team taking over next week, less regulation, crypto boom fueled by trump, war in Gaza and Russia going to end soon. I think 6600 is very conservative target
Room to cut doesn't mean Fed will cut soon.
I think that 6600 in just the next couple of weeks or even months is very aggressive and not conservative at all. What would lead the market that high soon? Earnings growth? But isn't it already priced in? Multiple expansion? Multiples are already very extended
BULL! THERE'S A BULL IN THE HOUSE! :) D
What if S&P 500 Could Hit 5500 Sooner Than You Think?
Could definitely happen! D
Here are my thoughts: by the end of Feb/start of March I think we have these probabilities:
50% of a #3 scenario where the market is lower then than now. The pull back has started and may continue to be in a 5700-6100 range for months
35% chance of a #2 scenario where the market moves slightly higher.
1% chance of a #1 scenario - maybe Trump ends the wars and starts doing things so great that the market goes to an over extended place
14% chance this market continues the corrective phase that has already begun and moves into the 5500 - 5600 range. Largely supported by technicals, commonly weak February, new admin doing tarrifs and deportation that the market doesn't like, the fed not being a tailwind anymore. Earnings that are okay but not as good to support the multiples companies trade at
Thanks so much for sharing a detailed analysis of the scenarios!? I agree on #3 but so far it's been risk-on since I posted this vid D
QQQ over 530 with BTC back over 108k next week will put the short term trends in sync with the longer term uptrends. Things this Friday looking better than last week
Bitcoin still struggling to hold new ATH... D
Sideways. Somewhere between 2 and 3. All depends on whether the new administration is net destabilizing. I actually don’t think the Fed has a dog in the fight after 1/20 at noon ET.
So far pretty positive reaction to new admin D
@ So far….. let’s see what volatility and price action looks like when the economic impacts of policies become more apparent….Happy for the near term profits. Very cautious about long term outlook.
Depends on Trump day 1 actions. If tariffs come in strong. Headed to 4. Let’s aggressive tariffs 2. The rallies Weds and Friday have sharpe moves consistent with bear market bounces. Not saying we can’t go up but below 6000 we are still on Mini corrections
Still not much clarity on tariffs..... D
Double Top then drop.
Kind of playing out but next week should confirm this one or not! D
scenario #2 and 3, in a choppy alternate environment, until will be stabilized new geopolitical situation ( new President in office and end of War Ucraine and Israel/Gaza) . This will be until end of february.
#1 from begining of March until end of April
Plenty of upside so far post-inauguration! D
Market chugs higher to 6500 by May 1st.
Earnings are great!
Definitely chugging and earnings are impressing! D
Dave thank you for your smart and detailed analysis. Number 1 based on "Trump Effect: The First 100 days". Similar to what happened after the election. However, it will not be a straight line. Remember; enjoy the ride and expand your thinking.
Trump effect is being felt big time! D
option #3; mildly bearish🐻. the market will chop through the first ninety days of the new administration (being jerked around by outlandish behavior by DC 🤨politics in general for the purpose of news cycle control)
Deep state is going into battle against Trump and his minions.
Initial move has definitely been higher but as they say in football, "there's a lot of game left." D
Recent activity on the chart looks like a bullish flag to me. A lot of tech stocks on a short term basis look like they are itching for another breakout. Therefore, I anticipate more uptrends. So option 1 or 2 is my choice and I will optimistically go for #1. Of course once we know more about what executive orders Trump signs on Day 1, things could change very quickly.
Bullish flag confirmed on QQQ- onward and ever upward! D
The market is flying like a kite ! Trending way about its 200 day MA. All I see is the retracement but nothing bearish seems to be happening. It is safe to say that we should expect the 1st scenario. A couple of days ago when S&P 500 pierced the 50 day MA I was expecting that it would hit the $5800 mark but since it bounced right back without touching that target I am confident that I am right about the 1st scenario.
Me too but this will be untill Trump take full control.After this later on of this year im not so positive..I expect same movements as election day,and later big correction..😮 Same as november to january
Flying like a kite on fire, on steroids, tied to a rocket ship! 🚀 D
@DKellerCMT 🤣🤣🤣
If a flag, indeed, flys at half staff I believe that would point to 6400
Yep- and bull flag confirmed by QQQ! D
The great analysis. It's interesting how many trillions of dollars will be needed for each scenario in terms of in/out. If I am not wrong it is about $5 trillion is needed for investors to move SPY 10% higher right now. I am thinking from another point of view, that last year stock market received about $85 trillion. Some of that money should be moved out to cover different expenses and minimum should be around $10 trillion. I vote for 3 and 4
Bullish so far... Thanks for sharing all of these points! D
He seems to bias toward extremes, lower or higher. Why not talk about bouncing around in a range as a possibility? Because it's possible.
Rangebound is an honest possibility for sure! D
#2. First year of new presidency has an 85% of having positive returns and historically the best year of performance of a 4-year term (on average). However, a weekly log-chart channel from 2009 to present shows the upper channel reaching 6,350 at best by Monday March 3. The upper channel line has been a hard barrier of resistance for 15 years except for the post-covid bubble in 2021. I expect it will continue to be a hard barrier of price resistance. Market will have a good 6 weeks, but will be contained by the channel.
6350 is getting closer by the week! D
While no one knows, I am thinking we will get a long sideways market for most of this year until the market can figure out what it wants. So scenario 2 and 3 for a back and forth. Once we get through this year and things become clearer then the market will make its big move. If we get a sideways market, as a swing trader, I will be happy IF I can get it right. Always a big IF!!!!! Thanks Dave for the opportunity to comment.
Lots of money to be made in choppy sideways markets! D
96 year channel shows we have been topping at this top of this channel now for a while, so many negative divergences, Mag 7 valuations have been blown up too high. Narrow leadership for too long. A recession must be priced in and is long overdue.
We'll see what happens with Mag7 earnings this week! D
70% option 1. The gap at the election result has been filled and the uptrend continues. 20% option 2 if the treasury rates go up and become more attractive. 10% option 4, inflation comes back. Nil for option 3 as that feeling like a Meh market to me, and at the moment this does not feel like a Meh world.
Boy for now the markets are spot on following this thesis! D
#2 until March and then bullish until mid year.
So far not a bad call! D
The only thing that scares me is that black swan event nobody sees coming.
Exactly. Many things can go many wrong ways.
You don't even see a black swan event. It's called a black swan for a reason. US govt has made recessions illegal. Number will only go up.
Trump's inauguration with news events that will come back to back to back will provide catalysts (news events) like we have not seen. To the upside or downside
Rising rates = sovereign debt crises. Inflation from natural disasters in the US could cause inflation to shoot up again - raising rates. That's the most obvious black swan to me right now. Trump deporting vegetable and fruit pickers and adding tariffs will jack up inflation soon.
@@AuralDeviation😂😂
Option 1 To the moon!
Feel like we have passed the moon en route to something else now! D
Is it really that hard to see? Nobody talks about it. Trump's tariff are the main obstacles driving the market behavior. Forget free markets under republican government
Tariffs could be quite inflationary- still waiting for specifics! D
#4
BEAR! THERE'S A BEAR IN THE HOUSE! 🐻 D
I view the last week as news driven euphoria with anticipation of a Trump bump. Given that most people are seeing the market go up after Trump and the FACT the market always seeks do the opposite, I expect a "sell the news's event after Trump inauguration and something between 3 and 4 to happen.
Euphoric is one way I'd describe this market! D
Hoping we go sideways. I’ve legged into many iron condors. Sadly, while we’ve been going down, I added more on the call side, so I’m net short the market. Today was a horrible day for me. Now that we have a fairly organized descending channel, I’m afraid it’s looking bullish. Hoping to get a couple of down days, so I can get closer to neutral. A few comments are saying bullish in the near term and bearish by March. They could be correct. Right now, I see #2, mildly bullish for 6 weeks.
"Hope is not a good investment strategy." :) D
@@DKellerCMT true. Got a little mean reversion on Friday. I need a couple more days like that.
Option 2
Decent call thus far! D
I think it will hit 8000 in a few more months, that's the time to sell. Job losses keep mounting...
I think 10,000
SPX 8000? BULL! THERE'S A BULL IN THE HOUSE! 🐂 D
Choice # 2- I think we're going slightly sideways for a bit. Uncertainty about incoming admin and how much chaos they will bring in comparison to the 1st go around. Markets don't like shit shows and uncertainty. Tariffs and higher inflationary policy may throw everything down the crapper. We will see I reckon....in the end, stay calm, stay invested, think of ways to make positive choices even in the downturn.
Still not seeing specifics on tariffs which could be major league inflationary. D
History shows returns of -2 to 3% over the next tens years at these valuations. But the bull flag and political hype may push it higher so probably 1-2 near term and then 4 as empirical data plays out. Earnings are hindsight - the strong dollar will impact future earnings of mega cap techs. Probably in 4100 range somewhere in 2026.
Not a fan of using valuations for this but I so appreciate you sharing these! Earnings are actually about future earnings growth and less about what happened before. D
Trump's policies will hurt the economy in the short/medium term.
- Deportations= less migrant spending
- DOGE= less government employees spending
I think the market will pop during earning and then drop.
Pop during earnings is definitely happening! D
3. Mildly bearish, overvaluations and Trumponomics outweighing continued strong earnings in the short term
We're on the same page! D
#4.
Still some time for this to evolve, but feeling less likely after week's like last week! D
@ Looks like it evolved down almost 3% overnight. 😳
If selling begins after Trump's inauguration, I think scenario 4 is more likely.
Definitely not seeing that yet! D
yes to much money printed , no crash coming anymore
"No" and "Never" are four-letter words for investors :) D
#1 6100+450=6550
Not a bad call so far! D
Dave, serious question, weren't you just posting a hindenburg omen warning? How do you reconcile that? Go Bucks!
Yes- that indicator fired a major sell signal in December. Market has since turned higher!
Have covered in detail on my daily market recap show. Go Bucks! D
@DKellerCMT thanks. I'll try to catch up
This guy was talking head and shoulders just a few days ago now he's pumping the market..lol
Definitely not trying to pump the market! Please watch the video :) D
Scenario 1.5
So far this pretty much spot on! D
Muchas Gracias, por el concepto técnico.
Option 2
De nada! D
These guys talk technicals one day and pipe dreams the next, all to get click bait views. Wishy washy delutes credibility
Not sure who all you're grouping me with, but my goal is to help investors make better decisions! D
Breaking news: Trump will put you in jail if you do not buy 1 SPX everyday ! Ahah.
My pronostic is Spx 7000
SPX 7000? BULL! THERE'S A RAGING BULL IN THE HOUSE! D
@DKellerCMT ahah!.... But after the correction of course, ahah
#1 - Traders will be "drinking the Trump Kool-Aid" after the Inauguration and get "juiced/bulled-up" thinking about deregulation, blah, blah. New highs hit in next few weeks. Reality will come in February. Valentines Day may then be looking rough as reality sets in.
Koolaid is being sipped big time by investors... D
Scenario #1. lots of good setup. recent leader continue to show strength, making ATH
🚀 D
So far this is playing out! D
@@DKellerCMT🎉🎉🎉
so many possibilities, market can go up, down or sideways
You are 100% correct on that assessment! D
1. Trump. Trump. Trump.
How much of that was already priced in?........ D
why not 7000?
Hahaha
8000! 9000! TEN THOUSAND! BWA HA HA HA HA! D
Scenario 2 !!
Not a bad call so far! 🎸 D
Scenario #4 because of the Fed meeting on 1/29 and job report on 2/7. GL.
Post-earnings these will be key moments for sure D
WATCH OUT!! There's a GIANT GREEN SPIDER behind you!!!
AAAAGGGGGHHHHH 🕷️ D
I think S&P 500 will hit 15000 by July 4, 2025 maybe in 5 months. SpaceX Starship will get to mars that fast!!! 😀🙃
15K huh? While theoretically possible, I'm going to say "definitely not" on that call :) D