Global Temperature Anomaly Skyrockets UPWARDS to as high as 1.62 C: Group Comparisons Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. BBC article: 2024 first year to pass 1.5C global warming limit www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd7575x8yq5o UK Meteorological Office: 2024: record-breaking watershed year for global climate www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2025/2024-record-breaking-watershed-year-for-global-climate NASA report: Temperatures Rising: NASA Confirms 2024 Warmest Year on Record www.nasa.gov/news-release/temperatures-rising-nasa-confirms-2024-warmest-year-on-record/#:~:text=Earth's%20average%20surface%20temperature%20in,the%20record%20set%20in%202023. NASA: Global Temperature Anomalies from 1880 to 2024 svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5450 U.S. Greenhouse Gas Center earth.gov/ghgcenter World Weather Attribution Center www.worldweatherattribution.org/ Copernicus Climate Change Center: The 2024 Annual Climate Summary Global Climate Highlights 2024 climate.copernicus.eu/global-climate-highlights-2024? Copernicus Global Climate Highlights 2024 Graphics Gallery climate.copernicus.eu/graphics-gallery World Meteorological Organization (WMO) article: WMO confirms 2024 as warmest year on record at about 1.55°C above pre-industrial level wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-confirms-2024-warmest-year-record-about-155degc-above-pre-industrial-level Berkeley Earth report: Global Temperature Report for 2024 berkeleyearth.org/global-temperature-report-for-2024/ Carbon Brief Article: Tonga volcano eruption raises ‘imminent’ risk of temporary 1.5C breach www.carbonbrief.org/tonga-volcano-eruption-raises-imminent-risk-of-temporary-1-5c-breach/ Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Have you seen what is happening to the Amazon. It is Drying up. The Amazon Dolphin are dying. Thousands of small population areas that need the river for transport are cut off. This is a ecological catastrophe. Our world is dying before our eyes. I say Nationalize ALL fossil fuel companies and remove them rapidly. For the planets sake.
Hi, Northern Hemisphere in the annual NOAA report is 1.67 as an average of Land and Ocean, Land 2.28 and Ocean 1.20, I was wondering if this heat is now their average for 10,000 years and why use a world average of 1.5 in this case?
theres been a lot of sulfur reduced in the new coal and oil power plants also but the real driver they arent calculating for enough is the permafrost is melting methane levels are massive atm and it warms a lot faster than co2 nore do we count bush fire emissions in australia or probably anywhere and more is burning every yr which is also causing more bare spaces that heat faster
and thanks for continuing to cover this stuff, ppl have called me a catastrophist and that i was exagerating for years but every yr they underestimate/leave out key drivers including permafrost heat and smoke from bushfires & volcanism and the 'black land' effect of burnt areas. but the permafrost(like tidal power) is the hidden giant and honestly i think it hit its tipping point in 2008(last time we where under 400ppm) we have just used up our buffer period and now we are seeing it kick along
It is almost 53 years ago the Club of Rome started to warn about the limits of growth. And today the leader of the free world wants to expand oil production. It is difficult not to fall into apathy these days.
Humanity is standing on the tracks and approaching us is an out of control express train, rapidly increasing momentum as it barrels toward us. Yet we continue to do little to slow it down and nothing to stop it. It's too late. We have very little time left.
I'm so sick and tired of hearing people saying nobody knew it was going to be this bad I can name 20 scientists that were right on point including yourself🎉
Video, you’ve got me beat! I live at a thousand meter elevation in the Sierra Nevada mountains of California. We used to have frosty winters, and sometimes had six weeks of snow on the ground. I haven’t even brought my cactus inside this year! Weedy mustards are flowering in the yard, and wild currents are about to bloom. Winter hasn’t hit yet. It feels like mid October in mid January!
Saying we aren’t past the 1.5 degree target because we need to average 50 seasons instead of 10 is called moving the goal post. This is what happens when we allow billionaires and soon to be trillionaires run things. Their lives are so insulated they live in a fake reality where they suffer absolutely no consequences from any decisions they make.
Not so much. They want to be insulated and the only way they know is accumulation of wealth will insulate them? That's a delusion. Even if they can make it to their billionaire bunkers they will be prisoners to an unavoidable end fearing all along that the pitch forks population outnumber them 1000 to 1. They create their own hell as well. There's definitely consequences for them and anyone who sells their sole. That being whether your religious or not.
@@gasdive I saw an article from the 1880's on it in a scientific news paper publication at a science museum here in the UK. They knew. They knew it all.
The people I encounter daily don't seem concerned. Those who do express concern seem to think that they will have sufficient immunity from the worst symptoms. Very odd.
You have to marvel at people who think their income will protect them from the ramifications of the immutable laws of physics making a planet non conducive to mammals in due course.
They really should use the equilibrium temperature of what they know will happen because of the lag time of past emissions, a quick or slow car accident still means the same thing at the end.
Actually let’s support Anarchism rather than anarchy. Let’s organize locally for resilience and freedom, justice and love, and chuck out our silly social arrangements that are destroying us.
Asking when you are allowed to be anarchic is probably the main thing holding back change. The problem with anarchy is what gaols are being fought for. Nobody is stopping people from over-consuming yet they won't do that by choice, with freedom, love etc there still needs to be a way for good people to stop bad ones.
@@dpdystro2227 Yes, anarchism has been undeservedly smeared. Local self sufficency and self governance is good, we should aim to make our civilization more like anarchism.
Many thanks Paul this article came up on my computer today as well ..great graphs here to explain how nuts things are..Great BBC article..And wow that Berkeley Earth article is something.👍👍
You can see the temperature increase since 2015. However, yes, the last two years have been the warmest, but next year could be cooler. The tempature still continues upward based on the temperature trend.
Only because they government's of the world are burning coal and gas to produce electricity. No correlation if the electricity is produced by solar, wind, hydro or geothermal
Paul thanks for this overview. It really helps me understand. My question to you is what are you doing to prepare for this rather bleak future. I mean you live this data every day. No getting away from it.
High population locals will suffer first. As we await the Flood that is on the way. The AMOC slow down will buy time. Much like the Atmospheric Swamp coolers that move to the Gulf's hot water basin. A reduction in the Human population will reduce green house gas production. However all those microscopic organic eating , methane making ground stuff has been awakened. Too Late Charley Brown.
With land in the northern henisphere at 2.28 and is bring up the average I wonder if a slowing Amoc will mean a colder offset bring down the average while increased melting continues.
I wish we can stop focusing on 1.5 or 1.8 or 2.1 etc etc. These nr will change up and down no matter what. 2.0 in a world where we live within our boundries an we have good stability in our society is fine, but 1.0 in world in turmoil is fu****. We have to change the way we are living, less consumption, live within planetary boundaries. Live with nature, not off it. I dont think it will happen, we are just going to accelerate our destructive path, and we can glimpse in to the future and see where that will get us... My 1.5 cents
In the words of a certain right wing nonce (Rumsfeld) that is a known unknown. We know that it will have an effect, just no real idea how big an effect.
Do compare with coldest on record in the same year. Adelaide Australia had a record high temp in winter & it became all the rave but no one reported they'd had record breaking cold ones.
The goal of 1.5 degrees warming is silent about how to calculate it. However, climate experts often refer to the 30 year average. Even then there are several thinkable calculation schemes: a) 1.5 in 2024. Assuming even warming in the past and coming 15 year we expect that in 2029 we can declare that we reached 1.5 deg C in 2024. If warming accelerated, maybe some yers earlier. b) Taking the past 30 years, calculating linear trend and taking the value at 2024. Result is 1.3 deg C (based on ERA5 reanalysis). c) As b) but allowing exonential/polynomal fit. Result for 2024 would be 1.4 deg C. Most common is method a). However, this will be a welcome excuse for politicians, especially those being elected for four or five years only. I doubt that nature will rely on "running 30 year average".
Is there any data given from the time COVID hit? During lockdown was any monitoring done to show if there was a reduction in levels. Perhaps not enough time to measure?
I am SO Excited,,...this is AMAZEBALLS !!! It's Happening I think i KNOW what's happening on an Entire Planet I think i am watching and experiencing Evolution on a Planetary Scale in Real Time am i a God?
I dont use averaging when I analyse data. I look for specific interactions. I havent as yet looked at climate, but from what I know of data analysis, averaging is notoriously inefficient. Looking at these fires in LA, I would at a guess, reckon this planet is in a far more precarious state. Add the upcoming trade wars ahead, the rise of a more uncontrolled form of capitalism with the Chinese determined to capture the global economic system even if it means mercilessly slashing costs to overwhelm Trumps tariffs, and I would recommend finding god.
If the power goes out how will you see? Your identity could be stored on a hard drive that gets stored on a rack.in a warehouse and the only light the exit sign.
you know.. there is also a bit of an invisible degree of warming that we don't really consider when using baselines. we are supposed to be cooling into another ice age. the difference between staying the same and cooling to ice age may only be small, but it does count against the rate of warming. Most especially when accounting for if a heatsink has filled more than thought. Pretty much a mute point now. I think we can all accept that we have locked in a 4c+ world over 'insert your preferred timeline here' just a matter of time, even if we fix our emissions. I do think you brainiacs need to do some sums about actual heat content of the ocean.. imagine screwing with our sun (Meer. sulphur, whatever) and then the oceans themselves spew out enough stored heat to kill agriculture even as we darken the skies. We are on the precipice of climate disaster, upgrading our civilization to total environmental control or screwing something up and losing everything. The adults in the room MUST start overtly talking about Contingency plan A... We have a great head start with the world seed vault, but we need to make it a priority to store ALL the genetics we can as fast as possible. as well as plants, we need an animal egg bank too as far as possible and paid for by all/united nations type funding. Hell, a one time billionare 'back-up the biosphere' tax. everyone is doing a terrible job. time we save a little something of today for tomorrow just incase the magic fix does not manifest.
Global Temperature Anomaly Skyrockets UPWARDS to as high as 1.62 C: Group Comparisons
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
BBC article: 2024 first year to pass 1.5C global warming limit
www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd7575x8yq5o
UK Meteorological Office: 2024: record-breaking watershed year for global climate
www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2025/2024-record-breaking-watershed-year-for-global-climate
NASA report: Temperatures Rising: NASA Confirms 2024 Warmest Year on Record
www.nasa.gov/news-release/temperatures-rising-nasa-confirms-2024-warmest-year-on-record/#:~:text=Earth's%20average%20surface%20temperature%20in,the%20record%20set%20in%202023.
NASA: Global Temperature Anomalies from 1880 to 2024
svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5450
U.S. Greenhouse Gas Center
earth.gov/ghgcenter
World Weather Attribution Center
www.worldweatherattribution.org/
Copernicus Climate Change Center:
The 2024 Annual Climate Summary Global Climate Highlights 2024
climate.copernicus.eu/global-climate-highlights-2024?
Copernicus Global Climate Highlights 2024 Graphics Gallery
climate.copernicus.eu/graphics-gallery
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) article:
WMO confirms 2024 as warmest year on record at about 1.55°C above pre-industrial level
wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-confirms-2024-warmest-year-record-about-155degc-above-pre-industrial-level
Berkeley Earth report: Global Temperature Report for 2024
berkeleyearth.org/global-temperature-report-for-2024/
Carbon Brief Article: Tonga volcano eruption raises ‘imminent’ risk of temporary 1.5C breach
www.carbonbrief.org/tonga-volcano-eruption-raises-imminent-risk-of-temporary-1-5c-breach/
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Have you seen what is happening to the Amazon. It is Drying up. The Amazon Dolphin are dying. Thousands of small population areas that need the river for transport are cut off. This is a ecological catastrophe. Our world is dying before our eyes. I say Nationalize ALL fossil fuel companies and remove them rapidly. For the planets sake.
Hi,
Northern Hemisphere in the annual NOAA report is 1.67 as an average of Land and Ocean, Land 2.28 and Ocean 1.20, I was wondering if this heat is now their average for 10,000 years and why use a world average of 1.5 in this case?
theres been a lot of sulfur reduced in the new coal and oil power plants also but the real driver they arent calculating for enough is the permafrost is melting methane levels are massive atm and it warms a lot faster than co2 nore do we count bush fire emissions in australia or probably anywhere and more is burning every yr which is also causing more bare spaces that heat faster
and thanks for continuing to cover this stuff, ppl have called me a catastrophist and that i was exagerating for years but every yr they underestimate/leave out key drivers including permafrost heat and smoke from bushfires & volcanism and the 'black land' effect of burnt areas. but the permafrost(like tidal power) is the hidden giant and honestly i think it hit its tipping point in 2008(last time we where under 400ppm) we have just used up our buffer period and now we are seeing it kick along
Gotta factor in the record lows... this gets ignored but would give some further light on the subject.
It is almost 53 years ago the Club of Rome started to warn about the limits of growth. And today the leader of the free world wants to expand oil production. It is difficult not to fall into apathy these days.
Humanity is standing on the tracks and approaching us is an out of control express train, rapidly increasing momentum as it barrels toward us. Yet we continue to do little to slow it down and nothing to stop it. It's too late. We have very little time left.
I'm so sick and tired of hearing people saying nobody knew it was going to be this bad I can name 20 scientists that were right on point including yourself🎉
It's got more than a little stale hasn't it.
Great reporting team Paul 🎉.
More popcorn?....
Faster than unexpected
LA is a true wake-up call.
My 7th grade social studies teacher back in 1987, was on point!
I woke up in 2020
I *love* how they keep moving the baseline pre-industrial levels to make it seem like warming is not as bad as it really is!🤯
It was pouring rain in Calgary yesterday, I have lived here for the past 45 years and this was a first as far as I can remember for January.
Video, you’ve got me beat! I live at a thousand meter elevation in the Sierra Nevada mountains of California. We used to have frosty winters, and sometimes had six weeks of snow on the ground. I haven’t even brought my cactus inside this year! Weedy mustards are flowering in the yard, and wild currents are about to bloom. Winter hasn’t hit yet. It feels like mid October in mid January!
Saying we aren’t past the 1.5 degree target because we need to average 50 seasons instead of 10 is called moving the goal post. This is what happens when we allow billionaires and soon to be trillionaires run things. Their lives are so insulated they live in a fake reality where they suffer absolutely no consequences from any decisions they make.
Not so much. They want to be insulated and the only way they know is accumulation of wealth will insulate them? That's a delusion. Even if they can make it to their billionaire bunkers they will be prisoners to an unavoidable end fearing all along that the pitch forks population outnumber them 1000 to 1. They create their own hell as well. There's definitely consequences for them and anyone who sells their sole. That being whether your religious or not.
We found easy calories without realizing that there is no free lunch in nature.
Big Oil knew that C02 would have a heating effect on Earth back in the 1930s.
We've known since the 1860s. It was in the popular press by 1912.
Popular Mechanics, March 1912, p. 341.
And 6 out of 7 barrels of oil were from USA in ww2, now we use oil foreign people have been killed over.
@@gasdive I saw an article from the 1880's on it in a scientific news paper publication at a science museum here in the UK. They knew. They knew it all.
@@Nine-Signs yep. Certainly scientists were well aware of it 150 years ago. No one alive today was born before interested and well read laymen knew.
The people I encounter daily don't seem concerned. Those who do express concern seem to think that they will have sufficient immunity from the worst symptoms. Very odd.
You have to marvel at people who think their income will protect them from the ramifications of the immutable laws of physics making a planet non conducive to mammals in due course.
they will have a harder time processing collapse.
Some of us see Anthroabysma as a failure and are okay with its extinction.
Paid consensus organizations put us at 1.5. Independent credible scientists put us at 2.0.
It’s the cigarette lobby playbook 3.0.
1.5 is correct... IF... you move the baseline from 1750 to 1880/1900... moving the goal posts.
Base line should be moved to the year 2000. This is the start of a new millennium, so a new baseline is inorder. @@Nine-Signs
They really should use the equilibrium temperature of what they know will happen because of the lag time of past emissions, a quick or slow car accident still means the same thing at the end.
2023 was a watershed and we're now into worst case scenario
Science talk with Jim Massa is also an excellent channel.
Thank you for posting this report 🙏
Why aren't I allowed to support anarchy when governments supported this?
Actually let’s support Anarchism rather than anarchy. Let’s organize locally for resilience and freedom, justice and love, and chuck out our silly social arrangements that are destroying us.
Asking when you are allowed to be anarchic is probably the main thing holding back change.
The problem with anarchy is what gaols are being fought for. Nobody is stopping people from over-consuming yet they won't do that by choice, with freedom, love etc there still needs to be a way for good people to stop bad ones.
@@dpdystro2227 Yes, anarchism has been undeservedly smeared. Local self sufficency and self governance is good, we should aim to make our civilization more like anarchism.
Many thanks Paul this article came up on my computer today as well ..great graphs here to explain how nuts things are..Great BBC article..And wow that Berkeley Earth article is something.👍👍
Definitely looks exponential. If wheat crops increase up until 2 degrees we probably have a good ten years until collapse.
Love the truck, Paul. Definitely a totally awesome Christmas present! 🎉😊
Wow thank you for the homework you do it makes it easier for me and my friends too know facts to base our discussions on. 👍🏼😎
We are WELL above the real baseline from pre agrarian times.
Paul, is it you or youtube stopping me quoting victoria Nuland's infamous use of the f word but alongside the US not the EU?
I'm 82 years old and hope I can live long enough to hear the gasp from humanity realizing that it will go extinct.
We got a front row seat to watch the End.....Tens of billions in history never got that privilege.
Won't be long🎉
I wonder if the biosphere will be destroyed. Down to the last fungus.
@@calebrochester9516 lol .... fungus was here at the start of time, I doubt anything can truly kill it. Cockroaches have nothing on fungus.
That’s pretty sick old man!
You can see the temperature increase since 2015. However, yes, the last two years have been the warmest, but next year could be cooler. The tempature still continues upward based on the temperature trend.
Why does no one talk about the correlation between rising electricity use and rising temperature?
Only because they government's of the world are burning coal and gas to produce electricity. No correlation if the electricity is produced by solar, wind, hydro or geothermal
Paul thanks for this overview. It really helps me understand. My question to you is what are you doing to prepare for this rather bleak future. I mean you live this data every day. No getting away from it.
High population locals will suffer first. As we await the Flood that is on the way. The AMOC slow down will buy time. Much like the Atmospheric Swamp coolers that move to the Gulf's hot water basin. A reduction in the Human population will reduce green house gas production. However all those microscopic organic eating , methane making ground stuff has been awakened. Too Late Charley Brown.
Our beds are burning 🔥 as politicians line thei pockets with fossil fuel intrest.
Can't win. I had Peps tell me it was lasers that started the fires so they can make 15 me minute cities. I'm like wtf
oh dear, some people are garbage.
Bet they'll want to change the baseline??
With land in the northern henisphere at 2.28 and is bring up the average I wonder if a slowing Amoc will mean a colder offset bring down the average while increased melting continues.
I wish we can stop focusing on 1.5 or 1.8 or 2.1 etc etc. These nr will change up and down no matter what. 2.0 in a world where we live within our boundries an we have good stability in our society is fine, but 1.0 in world in turmoil is fu****. We have to change the way we are living, less consumption, live within planetary boundaries. Live with nature, not off it. I dont think it will happen, we are just going to accelerate our destructive path, and we can glimpse in to the future and see where that will get us... My 1.5 cents
Is the approaching methane spike from drying wetlands and melting permafrost going to have a great effect on global temperature?
Yes. Nothing good happens after 1.5.
In the words of a certain right wing nonce (Rumsfeld) that is a known unknown. We know that it will have an effect, just no real idea how big an effect.
Do compare with coldest on record in the same year. Adelaide Australia had a record high temp in winter & it became all the rave but no one reported they'd had record breaking cold ones.
The goal of 1.5 degrees warming is silent about how to calculate it. However, climate experts often refer to the 30 year average. Even then there are several thinkable calculation schemes:
a) 1.5 in 2024. Assuming even warming in the past and coming 15 year we expect that in 2029 we can declare that we reached 1.5 deg C in 2024. If warming accelerated, maybe some yers earlier.
b) Taking the past 30 years, calculating linear trend and taking the value at 2024. Result is 1.3 deg C (based on ERA5 reanalysis).
c) As b) but allowing exonential/polynomal fit. Result for 2024 would be 1.4 deg C.
Most common is method a). However, this will be a welcome excuse for politicians, especially those being elected for four or five years only. I doubt that nature will rely on "running 30 year average".
Has Gutierrez met T-Rump? Obama looked way too comfortable with Donnie at Carter's funeral. It's a Big Club, they say. Wouldn't know.
This is a comment for the Algo boost!
What you talking about Mr Watson? Now look here my good fellow I will not just sit around and let an algo boost comment go unacknowledged ;)
Newton's going to love that truck !
Did he same thing as the last El Niño, went up and didn’t go back down ?
Is there any data given from the time COVID hit? During lockdown was any monitoring done to show if there was a reduction in levels. Perhaps not enough time to measure?
Sure. I remember - they said it was a 7% drop.
You think the industry was down, ppl don't drive at that time and so.... 7% not more.
Welp... now would be the perfect time for science to unlock the keys to human immortality! 😆
All bad things seem accelerating.....are we heading for +2C within 5 years ?
Brilliant coverage of the critical data. SNAFU
Tierra del Fuego still seems cooler than average. Hmmmm....
LOL. Real Estate prices in Tierra Del Fuego?
We've gone from the blade to the handgrips, on the ocean warming hockey 🏒 stick of ecological doom 📈 charts. 😅
Looks like runaway but hope I am wrong.
We’re done for 🙏❤️🧘🎉
I am SO Excited,,...this is AMAZEBALLS !!!
It's Happening
I think i KNOW what's happening on an Entire Planet
I think i am watching and experiencing Evolution on a Planetary Scale in Real Time
am i a God?
Nope…..just high.
I dont use averaging when I analyse data. I look for specific interactions. I havent as yet looked at climate, but from what I know of data analysis, averaging is notoriously inefficient. Looking at these fires in LA, I would at a guess, reckon this planet is in a far more precarious state. Add the upcoming trade wars ahead, the rise of a more uncontrolled form of capitalism with the Chinese determined to capture the global economic system even if it means mercilessly slashing costs to overwhelm Trumps tariffs, and I would recommend finding god.
The doors of hell are open
Why no mention of 1750 baseline 😮!
you shoud research the hunga tonga eruption
Ainda bem que esquentou 1.62C.. No Rio de Janeiro faz tempo q u o verão chega a 41C, agora -> 42.¨C which is great, more people go to the beach!
The biggest factor is the co2 and methane and that the models are shit
I wanna at least upload into a virtual AI reality before the power goes out. Not a big deal but yeah
Thanks again, Paul.
If the power goes out how will you see? Your identity could be stored on a hard drive that gets stored on a rack.in a warehouse and the only light the exit sign.
you know.. there is also a bit of an invisible degree of warming that we don't really consider when using baselines.
we are supposed to be cooling into another ice age. the difference between staying the same and cooling to ice age may only be small, but it does count against the rate of warming.
Most especially when accounting for if a heatsink has filled more than thought.
Pretty much a mute point now.
I think we can all accept that we have locked in a 4c+ world over 'insert your preferred timeline here' just a matter of time, even if we fix our emissions.
I do think you brainiacs need to do some sums about actual heat content of the ocean..
imagine screwing with our sun (Meer. sulphur, whatever) and then the oceans themselves spew out enough stored heat to kill agriculture even as we darken the skies.
We are on the precipice of climate disaster, upgrading our civilization to total environmental control or screwing something up and losing everything.
The adults in the room MUST start overtly talking about Contingency plan A...
We have a great head start with the world seed vault, but we need to make it a priority to store ALL the genetics we can as fast as possible.
as well as plants, we need an animal egg bank too as far as possible and paid for by all/united nations type funding.
Hell, a one time billionare 'back-up the biosphere' tax.
everyone is doing a terrible job. time we save a little something of today for tomorrow just incase the magic fix does not manifest.
We the People are just going to sweep away the mandala
🙏💔🧘🎉
cherry picking BS
Paul, please email Alex Smith of Radio Ecoshock