Michael Shermer: Why the Rational Believe the Irrational

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 พ.ย. 2022
  • Long a fringe part of the American political landscape, conspiracy theories are now mainstream: 147 members of Congress voted in favor of objections to the 2020 presidential election based on an unproven theory about a rigged electoral process promoted, in part, by followers of the mysterious QAnon community, itself a network of believers of a wide-ranging conspiracy involving pedophilia among elected officials and other civic and business leaders. But these are only the latest examples of a long history of conspiracies that have gained adherents in society. In his timely new book, Conspiracy, Michael Shermer, founding publisher of Skeptic magazine, discusses what makes conspiracies so appealing to segments of the population.
    Shermer finds that conspiracy theories cut across gender, age, race, income, education level, occupational status―and even political affiliation. One reason that people believe these conspiracies, Shermer argues, is that enough of them are real that we should be constructively conspiratorial: elections have been rigged, medical professionals have intentionally harmed patients in their care, your government does lie to you, and, tragically, some adults do conspire to sexually abuse children. But Shermer reveals that other factors are also in play: anxiety and a sense of loss of control play a role in conspiratorial cognition patterns, as do certain personality traits.
    Join us for Dr. Shermer's discussion in our continuing series on false narratives. It is for anyone concerned about the future direction of American politics, as well as anyone who has watched friends or family fall into patterns of conspiratorial thinking
    November 1, 2022
    Speakers
    Michael Shermer
    Publisher, Skeptic Magazine; Executive Director, The Skeptics Society; Author, Conspiracy: Why the Rational Believe the Irrational
    Eric Siegel
    Chair, Personal Growth Member-led Forum, The Commonwealth Club of California-Moderator
    👉Join our Email List! www.commonwealthclub.org/email
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    The Commonwealth Club of California is the nation's oldest and largest public affairs forum 📣, bringing together its 20,000 members for more than 500 annual events on topics ranging across politics, culture, society and the economy.
    Founded in 1903 in San Francisco California 🌉, The Commonwealth Club has played host to a diverse and distinctive array of speakers, from Teddy Roosevelt in 1911 to Anthony Fauci in 2020.
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ความคิดเห็น • 183

  • @govindagovindaji4662
    @govindagovindaji4662 ปีที่แล้ว +28

    "That which can be asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence." Christopher Hitchens ~ right on~!

    • @trimetrodon
      @trimetrodon ปีที่แล้ว

      Exactly! They claimed it was “safe & effective” based on no evidence. So everyone should have been free to ignore the corrupt directives without losing their jobs.
      Corporate marketing is not science. And neither is Tony Fauci.

    • @dentonfender6492
      @dentonfender6492 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Sure wish he was still alive. His assessment of events today would be invaluable to the rest of us not as intelligent as he.

    • @ronniebishop2496
      @ronniebishop2496 ปีที่แล้ว

      Faith is the substance of things hoped for and the evidence of things Not Seen.

    • @michaelbrickley2443
      @michaelbrickley2443 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      There is plenty of evidence and Chris knows it/knew it. Anyone can deny the miraculous by simply asserting the circular argument, “it can’t happen, so it didn’t”

    • @markstuber4731
      @markstuber4731 ปีที่แล้ว

      I disagree with that. At first I liked the quote and even screenshot it to remind me to put on my favorite quotes list. It's quite pithy.
      However, after five seconds of thought, I realized it's not true .
      Unless the context of the quote drastically changed the prima facia meaning of the quote, it's pushing for an argument from silence.

  • @paulinetaylor451
    @paulinetaylor451 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Thank you for the woman who spoke of 'sneering.' I found early parts parts of this 'chat' very sneering as if we were all in this wonderful club together. "Ha Ha ha. We know this and we are all pals here together and we know this is true.' Not much fun to watch.

  • @winsomeworks9110
    @winsomeworks9110 ปีที่แล้ว +60

    When a company is aware of the harm that is related through disinformation and still propagate the circulation of this information is it not evil? Yes it is

    • @martinze11
      @martinze11 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      It is worse than evil. It is counter-productive and self-contradictory

    • @ruthegan8524
      @ruthegan8524 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Amen.

    • @bobblue_west
      @bobblue_west ปีที่แล้ว

      how would they know it's so called disinformation? I'm very nervous they way these terms are tossed around. Concerned it's backdoor censorship in the clothing of virtue. That road to hell paved with good intentions meme.

    • @markstuber4731
      @markstuber4731 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      "I'm a professor and I'm very educated Sigma .. her vote counts as much as mine?"
      If you don't understand why, you're really not as educated as you thought.

    • @myproxybloviator8467
      @myproxybloviator8467 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      That generally requires a bit of mind reading to know people intentions I know this is big on the left right now and it is a bunch of BS imho

  • @freedomofreligion3248
    @freedomofreligion3248 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    Unfettered, unregulated profit-seeking, above all other considerations, is corrupting.
    Well-regulated capitalism is the balance needed. How?
    ▪︎Empowered workers via unionization is a much-needed "fettering" on the profit-motive. ▪︎Compliance to standards to strengthen the common good (unpoisoned air, water; not creating toxic dump sites; mitigating the spread of randomly deadly disease, etc.)
    Promoting the common good. Placing value on some things over pure profit-motive.

    • @tammyburke9453
      @tammyburke9453 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      LOVED this comment, very true

    • @elligilberg1564
      @elligilberg1564 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      From your lips to God’s ears

    • @govindagovindaji4662
      @govindagovindaji4662 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Holly Hold Workers should insist profit sharing plans be instated, and ones that guarantee you walk away w your take or can continue as a shareholder if you leave the job.

  • @tammyburke9453
    @tammyburke9453 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    So, so enjoyable! Many thanks.

  • @colchiandragon7396
    @colchiandragon7396 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Helpful suggestion: Less talk from Eric and more talk from Michael

    • @AndreaCuchetto
      @AndreaCuchetto ปีที่แล้ว

      Additionally, listen @ 1.75x speed.

  • @cheryl7623
    @cheryl7623 ปีที่แล้ว +29

    This was the best discussion yet, of this series. I've been trying for months to figure this all out. Thank you so much for providing this series!

    • @FellaMegaOld
      @FellaMegaOld ปีที่แล้ว +2

      What don't you understand ?

    • @brentdafoe4744
      @brentdafoe4744 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I'm going to watch this whole talk I as I enjoy hearing views. However I am at the 2:30 mark I just heard "The aggrivation of an entire society" my 1st question is, "an entire society?" and "searching for an authoritarian ledaer" I would rather no leader and elected officials do the work of their people.
      20 seconds later "Allowing the legetimization of violence" Nobody wants violence, some have never condemned the summer riots. That was violence by definition.
      Ill end here, Lee McIntytre is explaining the "SCIENCE of FALSE material" I mean what is that?
      I'm going to watch the rest now as I truly like hearining, but do you maybe think some of that opening was a bit off?

    • @FellaMegaOld
      @FellaMegaOld ปีที่แล้ว

      @@brentdafoe4744 Yes, rather indeed. A beach head of the sublime.

    • @GailColeman
      @GailColeman ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@brentdafoe4744 I can only give an opinion right now of when he said "entire society ". I think our entire society IS aggravated by all this. Most don't want violence, but they are aggravated, on all sides, the two main groups arguing AND the others, who shake their heads in disgust and just tune out. Though quieter, I think they are still aggravated. I see and hear it every day, the whole spectrum. I have family members who are very well educated people who think the election was rigged, that the Clintons have had multiple people murdered, that Hunter Biden should be arrested (though they can't say for what but, ya know, he had a laptop!), and on and on. It gets exhausting!

    • @GailColeman
      @GailColeman ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@FellaMegaOld I wonder if the confusion here is similar to my own. I can say that the last few years have baffled me, watching people who are literate and physically able to change the channel dive down the rabbit hole and never look back. It is as though they're unaware our laws are based on our Constitution. When I say "Bill of Rights", they recite maybe the 1st Amendment and definitely the 2nd. Beyond that, the majority of people. I talk with (and I'll admit, on BOTH sides) do not know what is in that document, that it lays out our system of coequal branches of government and details the LIMITS of their power. Very few can name one Supreme Court Justice, out of nine-not one!
      We've got to do a better job of civic education in schools. Forget school prayer. Teach the Constitution!!

  • @grouchomarxist666
    @grouchomarxist666 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    I enjoy listening to Shermer; can't say the same for Eric Seigel.

    • @simonrae3048
      @simonrae3048 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      he's amateurish and a bit annoying

  • @lauriepfohl1752
    @lauriepfohl1752 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    What about building 7? Buildings do fall into their own footprint during controlled demolition

    • @randallmooreao9950
      @randallmooreao9950 ปีที่แล้ว

      laurie..we live in a post physics world, where the improbable triumphs over the physically IMPOSSIBLE. A third positon is possible ..... "truthers" err by claiming the implied certainty of this term, ie. "Here is what happened and why" An agnostic position is surely possible, and neutralizeses the debunking attacks on the weakest elements of specaulative considerations of motive and method. Just one example> It is a FACT verified by the plane manufacturers themselves that commercial airlines CANNOT, I repeat, Cannot fly AT SEA LEVEL at 500 mph/ which is twice the MOS maximum operating speed.......at 30,000 feet the air is 1/3 as dense and 600 mph is standard. A very few minutes of level flight at sea level will shake and destroy the plane, and as far as controlling it with the presicion required......impossible. The pentagon story is also impossible, not only for the above violations of aviation facts, but it is also a PHYSICAL fact the a 737 has a wingspan of 140 ft approx, and at 500 mph CANNOT fly 20 feet of the ground for the final 500 meter levelled out approach because a wind cushion, the turmoil under the wings will not allow the jet to come closer to the ground. Jet fighters ....with a wingspan of 25 feet .......can do this. It is not up to a defense attorney to keep an innocent man in jail, to cling to a physically impossible prosecution, until the real culprit is found. I lived in NY for many years before and after 9/11, and after 2010 I gave up on opinion expression or debate. The concrete has settled.

  • @pdub2253
    @pdub2253 ปีที่แล้ว +22

    Fear shuts off the thinking brain. So if your scared enough you stop using reasoning. Teaching logic and media competency would help but social intelligence is just as important.
    The lack of transparency in finance, tech and political funding make it easy to scare (manipulate) people without their awareness.
    We need more transparency to see the motivations and manipulations of others in order to resist untruths and fearmongering.

    • @bliss4383
      @bliss4383 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Fear is also a selling point, most commonly used by the massive insurance industry. Urgency is another.
      I’m very interested in knowing if this Chapman University Professor had a chat with his fellow Professor, John Eastman, who is now in legal trouble for hocking his conspiracy theories on stage at the Eclipse on Jan 6, 2021. I have yet to listen to this all the way through, so I don’t know if he brought that up.

  • @youtubeviewer5017
    @youtubeviewer5017 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    “Friend or foe”. “Smiling faces, they lie sometimes”.

  • @jimchallender4616
    @jimchallender4616 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    He missed the crux of the situation - the majority of the movement don't believe the lies - the lies fit their prejudices and political goals/desires.

    • @Harry-hq8fi
      @Harry-hq8fi ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Good point but then it can be argued it is a “chicken and egg” situation.

  • @Beretta249
    @Beretta249 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    interview starts 6:00 in.

  • @missshroom5512
    @missshroom5512 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Hi Michael 💙💙💙Vote Blue on Tuesday November 8th everyone💙🌎💙

  • @ch33rfulness
    @ch33rfulness ปีที่แล้ว +7

    So, the comparison with Facebook as not being evil, as they are just trying to make money, is like me saying that I can become a drugs dealer, being satisfied that I’m not doing anything intentionally wrong. I’m just trying to make money.
    Jeez..

    • @buddyflood7974
      @buddyflood7974 ปีที่แล้ว

      There's a lot of difference between a drug dealer and a drug pusher!

    • @ch33rfulness
      @ch33rfulness ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@buddyflood7974 well, we could safely say that the development of clever algorithms and marketing strategies, engineered precisely to manipulate “weak souls” to spend more time/money on their virtual products, is a sort of “addiction creator/pusher” 😬

    • @Illuminated7
      @Illuminated7 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Well articulated…

  • @lizwalker6769
    @lizwalker6769 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Growing up in a fanatically religious family led me to question things. Conspiracy theories are just that. Theories that have no facts to back them up but what a tool to instill fear and gain control over a group of people. I have yet to ever hear of one developing from a positive viewpoint. My mother is a very negative person that never met a conspiracy theory she didn't jump into. At 96 she's unable to put the energy she used to have trying to prove the validity of her latest theories and instead lumps them all into her first conspiracy theory. It's a sign of the times, we're living in the end times. At 67 it's had to be 60 years since first hearing "we're living in the last days and God will return any day" and have to wonder if "any day" has a date and if the 2 words have a singular meaning why can't you look up "any day" in the dictionary? Don't ever try to argue that one with a religious fanatic. So many cults use religion and all that come out of Christianity use that "end times" theory to draw people in. Growing up in all that religion I realize now that Christian Nationalism had started but didn't begin to have the foothold it has today. Back then they were ridiculed for the most part and conspiracy became a big part of their beliefs, mostly based on some end times theory. They started seeing 666 everywhere and then a conspiracy theory would start about where it was seen and why it was there. I moved to Florida at 18 and had to get a new license and the new number had 666 with a separation on both sides so it really stood out. Writing your license number on a check pre-debit card days cashiers would be horrified seeing it and ask me why was it there and why didn't I ask for a new number? No way would I get rid of it and looked forward to writing a check just to watch the reaction when they saw the 666. Had it 30 years and then moved to another state. Felt like asking if they would put it on my new one but the political atmosphere was changing fast and at this point although the number wouldn't scare me but some extreme right Christian Republican might blow me away for having 666 on my license. It would be enough fodder to fuel several conspiracy theories. Think I would have done a mail in ballot especially now living in Michigan with all its militias. Although if I was still in Florida the governor might have me arrested especially if he knew I was voting straight blue. I have never voted a straight ticket before but with the state this country is in I'm not taking a chance on any Republican.

    • @keithw.fletcher3307
      @keithw.fletcher3307 ปีที่แล้ว

      @Liz Walker First of all thank you for the well written comment....both content, points and length! .I read this after i made a cimment of my own and couldnt help smiling at some similarities and objective differences on others . By objective herein I am saying though I may have a different view on conspiracies as I develope them ,I do not pluck them from thin air not elucidate with unbalanced reasoning or even far reaching threads in order to make a pointless point sound reasonable. As a creative I trhrive in details and connecting dots into a cohesive conclusion ....or a question worthy of at least a minute bit of pondering . I am not a conspiracy theorist ( per-sa) but my quest to write the next great ,earth-shaking novel has developed the need to carry a thought ,concept or even some odd occurance (seen while out in public) to a potential conclusion ! (Without allowing myself to indulge in speculative assuming ) as a mental/creative exersize! Just saying ; too much probably🙄😏! Peace .

    • @mmccrownus2406
      @mmccrownus2406 ปีที่แล้ว

      Operation Northwoods
      Tonkin Bay and the Vietnam war

  • @mikemestas9835
    @mikemestas9835 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    conspiracys race while reason and truth take more time....our automatic response is emotionally motivated and prejudiced..

    • @dthomas9230
      @dthomas9230 ปีที่แล้ว

      The Trolley problem of deciding how many can die but requires one to choose to kill a fat man in order to save 10 sure to die if one does not kill the fat man.

  • @Delcielo9
    @Delcielo9 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Trump has commented to one person that he knows he lost and at least one other person heard Trump say he lost.

  • @martinze11
    @martinze11 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Unfortunately, Dr. Shermer is preaching to the choir Many people in the US are not as introspective as he is. There seems to be a built-in distrust of "ivory tower"academicians. It is evolutionarally easier to believe than it is to think.
    I happen to like what he has to say, but many people don't. I even subscribed to his skeptical magazine at one time.

  • @mcl6406
    @mcl6406 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Why all the talk about the conspiracy theories around the 2020 election and no mention of the 2016 election conspiracy theories?

  • @keko4618
    @keko4618 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I think, people must have some mystery in life. Most time in our history we have experienced things that are mysteries. In fact, mysteries in our life have just changed, not disappeared. Living in completely rational-scientific- realistic world might be boring. I think, if there is no mystery in life, people seek it. Mystery fills some hole in peoples mind.

  • @4everyoung24
    @4everyoung24 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    It’s so great to have an expert on…only to hear Eric Siegel’s take on everything. It’s not just him. I see it all the time. People need to know the difference between interviewing and having a chat over dinner.
    I will say the thing about cats knocking everything off the flat earth is hilarious.

    • @JenReid12
      @JenReid12 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Well put, I downloaded this interview as his continual rewording and explaining drove me nuts.

    • @jabbermocky4520
      @jabbermocky4520 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Oh yes. When the vehement "flatearther" thing started on social media I scratched my head. "Don't these people know any cats?" I wondered. Of course cats would have batted every damn thing off the planet by now if it was flat!

    • @brentdafoe4744
      @brentdafoe4744 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I'm going to watch this whole talk I as I enjoy hearing views. However I am at the 2:30 mark I just heard "The aggrivation of an entire society" my 1st question is, "an entire society?" and "searching for an authoritarian ledaer" I would rather no leader and elected officials do the work of their people.
      20 seconds later "Allowing the legetimization of violence" Nobody wants violence, some have never condemned the summer riots. That was violence by definition.
      Ill end here, Lee McIntytre is explaining the "SCIENCE of FALSE material" I mean what is that?
      I'm going to watch the rest now as I truly like hearining, but do you maybe think some of that opening was a bit off?

    • @gregbrown3082
      @gregbrown3082 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@brentdafoe4744lol YES. Segel is a strange bird

  • @willmpet
    @willmpet 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    “We left it at the hotel”

  • @lizgichora6472
    @lizgichora6472 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you very much Michael Shermer, " conspiracy theories debunked."

  • @jaredherring958
    @jaredherring958 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thanks for providing such a wealth of informative and thought-provoking videos. I especially enjoyed this one and really thought Michael did a great job explaining how easily we can fall into self-deception by not constantly examining our own thought processes. He's always such a great example of how blinding that can be. The most profound lesson I took away from this conversation though was you telling everyone to make sure that their cell phones are on silent so the conversation isn't interrupted by a phone ringing and then your introduction being interrupted by your own cell phone not even a minute later. I really appreciated being reminded how we can get so distracted by telling others what they should do, that we forget to examine ourselves. I thought it was very fitting for this interview and honestly found it to be a profitable lesson for me personally. Was really disappointed coming back to the video and finding the first part has been removed. Is there anywhere else I can find the original video? Again, thank you for all the great content.

  • @nessunodorme3888
    @nessunodorme3888 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wow, the way that moderator regurgitated his version of the "steel has a special property that causes catastrophic destruction of skyscrapers when it suddenly melts at fairly low temperatures" then makes fun of other people who question that as believing ludicrous explanations.

  • @anabaird3835
    @anabaird3835 ปีที่แล้ว

    If you missed the sept 1st talk with Joe Pierre...I just watched it today (jan 27, '03) & it is ALSO a MUST WATCH!

  • @Patriot1789
    @Patriot1789 ปีที่แล้ว

    Mr Shermer, you need to do what they ask at the philharmonic: silence your phones before the performance. 😃

    • @abocas
      @abocas ปีที่แล้ว +1

      It was Siegels phone, as far as I could tell ...

  • @sumiland6445
    @sumiland6445 ปีที่แล้ว

    How can we remove the members of Congress that have openly committed crimes to overthrow our government?
    How is that done and can we do it BEFORE the end of this year?
    If we don't we'll be sorry in Jan 2023

  • @lawrencejordan9055
    @lawrencejordan9055 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    We must look at the global picture and then start to use the practicalities of AI with coherent philosophical positions that do not entertain the usage at any point in time of dogmatic politics or religions.

  • @peterlambert6989
    @peterlambert6989 ปีที่แล้ว

    One of the most high the formative and enlightening programs I can remember since Christopher hitchen nome Chomsky (sp) !

  • @youtubeviewer5017
    @youtubeviewer5017 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I was expecting an erudite academic discussion in this video but instead it morphed into a casual personal exposition about which theories Michael espouses.

    • @Illuminated7
      @Illuminated7 ปีที่แล้ว

      Well said…

    • @brentdafoe4744
      @brentdafoe4744 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I'm going to watch this whole talk I as I enjoy hearing views. However I am at the 2:30 mark I just heard "The aggrivation of an entire society" my 1st question is, "an entire society?" and "searching for an authoritarian ledaer" I would rather no leader and elected officials do the work of their people.
      20 seconds later "Allowing the legetimization of violence" Nobody wants violence, some have never condemned the summer riots. That was violence by definition.
      Ill end here, Lee McIntytre is explaining the "SCIENCE of FALSE material" I mean what is that?
      I'm going to watch the rest now as I truly like hearining, but do you maybe think some of that opening was a bit off?

    • @youtubeviewer5017
      @youtubeviewer5017 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@brentdafoe4744 i sure don’t want to buy Shermer’s book… Methinks this discussion reflects the fact that even the scientific community is plagued by peer pressure to be politically correct, whatever that means. In the other areas of science I’ve heard/read stories of political contamination as well.

  • @Vlasko60
    @Vlasko60 ปีที่แล้ว

    If there were a site that showed what % of relevant experts agree on any topic, I would certainly use it. For instance, what % of cognitive scientists believe that consciousness comes from the brain? What % believe that is doesn't? I can't find that data and I don't know where to look. Anyone?

  • @dentonfender6492
    @dentonfender6492 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Really well said, Michael Shermer. I especially agree with you on the teaching of critical thinking starting in grammar school. "The earlier the better", I think you said. Teaching critical thinking to kids starting at an early age could help them in later life as young adults to old age, to better distinguish between truth, facts, outright lies, and exaggerations, not only in political information they read, see, and hear on social media sites, but all everyday commercial advertising that we are all bombarded with 24/7 from internet, TV, radio, print, and bill boards.

  • @Vlasko60
    @Vlasko60 ปีที่แล้ว

    Many people still believe that humor is harmless. I grew up with a Pollock joke book in our house and we repeated them often, even at school, making other kids laugh. I grew up believing that all Polish people were retarded. That prejudice was taught to me.

  • @anastasiahopkinson5676
    @anastasiahopkinson5676 ปีที่แล้ว

    At the math test at 9:00, what were the correct responses from the audience?

  • @Aliens-Are-Our-Friends2027
    @Aliens-Are-Our-Friends2027 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    On 9/11, hijackers flew FREELY for over 45 minutes in the most secure airspace in the world. Totally legit.

  • @Demosophist
    @Demosophist ปีที่แล้ว

    The notion of a foundational truth is accurate. The problem is that we don't know what it is as a civilization so we take what is longstanding as "truth". {This is basic Popperian logic.} This is a "make due" heuristic or rule of thumb, for a culture limited mostly to dialectic. Since dialectic, as one of the three great "trivial arts," is both scale-dependent AND absent ground the heuristic is bound to break down at some point, especially during a transition from one technologically-induced perceptual bias to another... which is what's currently happening to planetary human populations. This new perceptual mentality is being induced by a shift to tactile DIGITAL mentality. Moreover, it is just beginning...

  • @vnilla2921
    @vnilla2921 ปีที่แล้ว

    The number series in the discussion was confusing… was it asking for a limiting rule to fit the examples or the most broad rule ? Also the audience member who answers this did not have this information either. What am I missing? Thanks.

    • @vnilla2921
      @vnilla2921 ปีที่แล้ว

      Never mind wife explained it to me.

  • @9000ck
    @9000ck ปีที่แล้ว +3

    everyone, because they have access to vast quantities of information of variable quality, believes they are an expert about everything. combine this with social media, a media that uniquely is able to make everyone into a competitive narcissist and you have a recipe for our current crisis.

  • @itorres008
    @itorres008 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

    The host seems to be talking more than the guest. Should be making questions instead of paraphrasing what Shermer says or expanding on it and coming up with "examples".
    His contribution in the last minutes about "friction" and slowing down propagation of false posts and ideas on social media was good.

  • @bliss4383
    @bliss4383 ปีที่แล้ว

    At about 18 minutes in, I had to plug my cat’s ears. He’s a very loving, sensitive cat, and you hurt his feewings, his witto internet feewings. 😹

  • @marcuspi999
    @marcuspi999 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I took a logic course in college (Central Washington University). It was entirely about linguistic fallacies. There were about 45 students. I received an A, as did one other student. Everyone else in the entire class flunked it. They posted the grades on the door at the end of the course. I couldn't believe it. I was too young at the time to understand how much it should have frightened me. So many Americans don't have the capacity to reason, it's no wonder it's so easy to manipulate them with fear. How do we turn this ship around before it's too late? 🤕🤒

    • @nicbarth3838
      @nicbarth3838 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I think a capacity for reason is not as important as what motivates reasoning, if it is not from a place of wanting to know what is true of a given claim and is motivated or from fear then it will be just as bad for this person to have a better grasp on reason.

  • @davidwilkie9551
    @davidwilkie9551 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Taking a firm rational and harmonically legitimised stand at Absolute Zero-infinity right here now, we then make irrational Theoretical Conjecture about why we're floating unhinged in No-thing definable in the cause-effect ocean of trivial zeros. (Poetical Naturalness?)

  • @eliteteamkiller319
    @eliteteamkiller319 ปีที่แล้ว

    It's also that people want to feel special.

  • @birhan2006
    @birhan2006 ปีที่แล้ว

    It's all about tribalism, wherever you go

  • @michaelutech4786
    @michaelutech4786 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I just started listening to the introduction and have a hard time keeping it together.
    Our society is based on credibility. Ideally, we are taught the scientific method in school culminating in the concept that a scientific (or rational) statement is one that can be objectively verified. Theoretically, that's the end of it, we trust in what we can verify, that's what it means to be rational.
    Practically, that does of course not work, we don't all have hadron colliders at home, studies do not publish their raw data, but we also just simply don't have the time and expertise to verify each statement we use to form opinions. So we put faith in the smart guy we know, in academic titles, in the news anchors we see and like but more than anything else, we put trust in the science community. Teams of famous researches, reputable institutes, prestigious journals, peer reviewed. Not by choice, simply because that's the best we have.
    Everybody makes mistakes. Rarely people even lie. We do, and so do scientists. If an error is found, there is no arguing with objectivity - so we would think. But this is not what's happening. Psychologists testify in court and present contradictory results. They both claim that their results are science. One would expect that either one side would loose their reputation or that they base their arguments on theories that have not been conclusively evaluated. But no, they use similar tools, the same data and get to say what their customers pay them for, and this is called science. After the trial, both experts add one to their credibility score and are so much more qualified than they were before the trial.
    We see a group of world renowned scientists study the lab leak theory and conclude that that is clearly a conspiracy theory. You cannot possibly support this theory if you are rational, they say. But then we get to read emails exchanged between these scientists, we get to see arguments that look very compelling but did not make it into that study. Looking at both sides of the argument, the conspiracy theory actually looks by orders of magnitude more reasonable and compelling. One author was involved in the subject of the study. All that happened and the group of authors updates the study saying that they stand by their judgement, without discussing the arguments presented by the opposition. While this happened, the study keeps being referenced by other scientific papers, as if it were the objective truth and "the lie" continues to propagate. Nobody can blame a scientist making an argument supported by the most reputable scientists in a paper published in the most prestigious journals. Scientifically, this is the truth. Objectivity be damned. We have publicity.
    If this happens and the scientists involved do not have to pay the price, if their reputation is not in ruins, what is the value of scientific statements?
    What do we have to do to combat irrationality or conspiracy theories? That should be clear, we have to fix science, we have to provide credibility to institutions that sold their soul. We fear to talk about corruption because we might loose credibility. Sure, in the short term, that's a valid concern. But while we put a plaster on the ivory tower, we pass a rotten tooth to our children that will kill them if we don't extract it. We might still have a chance to save rationality, but it's not by helping liars to abuse science.

  • @youtubeviewer5017
    @youtubeviewer5017 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Interesting that these two feel the need to firm up their opinions on 9/11.

  • @tflg3257
    @tflg3257 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Liars calling other people conspiracists.

  • @vgrof2315
    @vgrof2315 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Ask Dennis Prager about this.

  • @markstuber4731
    @markstuber4731 ปีที่แล้ว

    The expression "science denial" as it is.mostly used today, is a form of begging the question not, to be confused with "raising the question."
    It's presuming the very point that is in contention that is, the claim being challenged is based on sound science.

  • @anwiycti1585
    @anwiycti1585 ปีที่แล้ว

    It feels like mainstream is not catching up with the paradigm shift, that’s why. We are a whole century behind, skeptics need to rise, hurry up!

  • @slowpainful
    @slowpainful ปีที่แล้ว

    The major flaw is always: "People who believe in conspiracy theories are just misinformed and are just waiting for the right evidence to convince them." This is obviously not true. There are social advantages to the conspiracy theories or people wouldn't continue to believe in them. "Those convinced without evidence will dismiss all evidence." This is what hard-line rationalists like Hitchens and Dawkins don't get.

  • @singingway
    @singingway ปีที่แล้ว

    Highly recommend the new book The Petroleum Papers by investigative journalist Geoff Dembicki. The history of climate denial and how each time humanity responded to the climate genocide, they ramped up their doubt-and-delay campaign.

  • @singingway
    @singingway ปีที่แล้ว

    Re:24:00 "they didn't mean to push you toward crazier stuff, they are just out to make money!" Spoken AS IF "just making money" was a harmless pursuit. When in fact to that pursuit can be laid most ills and injustices. Also, If your way of making money harms people and society, then that is an illegal and unethical business..

  • @govindagovindaji4662
    @govindagovindaji4662 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    24:00 minutes in and have learned only 1 thing regarding the title of this video, and even it wasn't much of an answer. The host grabs at the title, a bit at least, at 24:22.

  • @govindagovindaji4662
    @govindagovindaji4662 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    37:11 Or you take the theorist to court where they must bring the evidence they speak of ~ and they have none ~ so the court throws them out on their ass as in the case of Giuliani, Sidney Powell, Trump and the My Pillow Guy~!

    • @ruthegan8524
      @ruthegan8524 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Think about the story of Daniel in the Bible, he was very much in the minority, and he had the favor of the king, but" the powers that be" said, "throw him into the fiery furnace." They knew that he was a faithful follower of Yahweh, the one true and living God. The king predicted that God would assist him. Lo and behold Daniel and his friend were seen walking in the along with them who looked to be the Son of God. The men were taken out of the furnace without a singe or whiff of smoke. Never write God off, it can't be done.

    • @govindagovindaji4662
      @govindagovindaji4662 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@ruthegan8524 We have no evidence for a god (at least not presently). Faith is not evidence; nor is belief.

  • @notloki3377
    @notloki3377 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    axioms.

  • @youtubeviewer5017
    @youtubeviewer5017 ปีที่แล้ว

    Did these guys coordinate their outfits to match the set?

  • @youtubeviewer5017
    @youtubeviewer5017 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I’m so glad these two have figured out which of the theories are false…. 😢

    • @randallmooreao9950
      @randallmooreao9950 ปีที่แล้ว

      S/..........?

    • @youtubeviewer5017
      @youtubeviewer5017 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@randallmooreao9950 sarcasm yeah

    • @Vlasko60
      @Vlasko60 ปีที่แล้ว

      If you enjoy being correct, then consider all conspiracy theories wrong until proven right by the majority of relevant experts agreeing.

  • @weefek
    @weefek ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Shermer is the kind of person that just 'trusts the experts' and goes to bat for them without any self reflection. It's quite ironic, coming from a supposed 'skeptic'.

    • @chris-io9zt
      @chris-io9zt 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I don't get that vibe from Shermer, but
      he's only human, and so he probably
      makes an occasional mistake.
      Can you enlighten us with a list of examples
      supporting your assertion? Top 5? Or 3?
      Why didn't you give even one example in
      your original post?

  • @erpthompsonqueen9130
    @erpthompsonqueen9130 ปีที่แล้ว

    😶

  • @martinevensen406
    @martinevensen406 ปีที่แล้ว

    Shermer rules be sceptic you too

  • @moonmunster
    @moonmunster ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Ok, Bearskin Hoodie advertiser. I don't wear 10 layers of clothes because I AM NOT STEVE BANNON !!! Target your ads better.

  • @myproxybloviator8467
    @myproxybloviator8467 ปีที่แล้ว

    I called in the old KGO when Shermer was on with Angie whatshername, and even he had to admit the term conspiracy theory generally ends empirical investigation more than start them Yet he uses the term as the centerpiece of his misguided logic Shermer also insists on the virtue of our institutions is a bulwark against false claims This is of course a belief of Mr Shermer and not a demonstrable fact and one which contradicts his entire premise of an empirical facts first approach

  • @ijohnny.
    @ijohnny. ปีที่แล้ว

    Good material, needs to be edited.

  • @AndreaCuchetto
    @AndreaCuchetto ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Rusty *Bower*, not Baker

    • @hdtowman
      @hdtowman ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Rusty Bowers

    • @AndreaCuchetto
      @AndreaCuchetto ปีที่แล้ว

      @@hdtowman - Yes, thank you.

  • @govindagovindaji4662
    @govindagovindaji4662 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    45:26 They had to reprogram it to make it feel random ~ wow ~ the most interesting tid-bit of this entire discussion. Think about that. I mean, really think about it. It rather says it all about humans these days. btw though, I do not 'get' this whole 'loneliness' concept ~ that so many people are lonely. I do not recall that being a huge feature of any other generation and now we are talking about two or three generations coinciding with this trademark~? 1st I'd wonder if it is real or like they mention, people are just bored. 2nd, I wonder, if it does happen to be true, is it b/c more people are in 'internet groups', playing video games or generally spending more time online as opposed to real life~? It the last is true, then they were also spending that time online prior to Covid. So, those two things should not be conflated in any good research.

    • @buddyflood7974
      @buddyflood7974 ปีที่แล้ว

      A lort more are on the internet now,and many older people were alone or separated from most of their families that they are used to be around,

  • @brentdafoe4744
    @brentdafoe4744 ปีที่แล้ว

    I'm going to watch this whole talk I as I enjoy hearing views. However I am at the 2:30 mark I just heard "The aggrivation of an entire society" my 1st question is, "an entire society?" and "searching for an authoritarian ledaer" I would rather no leader and elected officials do the work of their people.
    20 seconds later "Allowing the legetimization of violence" Nobody wants violence, some have never condemned the summer riots. That was violence by definition.
    Ill end here, Lee McIntytre is explaining the "SCIENCE of FALSE material" I mean what is that?
    I'm going to watch the rest now as I truly like hearining, but do you maybe think some of that opening was a bit off?

  • @atheism-themoststupidrelig5703
    @atheism-themoststupidrelig5703 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    *Tell me that believing that nature can create info and codes and humans from bacteria and everything from nothing is rational.*

  • @carlwilson8859
    @carlwilson8859 ปีที่แล้ว

    The style of argumentation so far (24:38) sounds like a conspiracy.

  • @govindagovindaji4662
    @govindagovindaji4662 ปีที่แล้ว

    What's lie-hop and my-hop~? Lied - it happened on purpose and my idea of how it happened on purpose~? Never heard these terms.

  • @tomjohn8733
    @tomjohn8733 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    This was good, being a natural skeptic, I’ve seldom believe anything that doesn’t sound plausible, especially when there’s no credible evidence, so from my POV, I find it hard to understand why people believe things, although Im always trying to look for motives, which often has to do with what in someone best interest, usually revolving around financial, or social, people are more likely to believe something when they hear it from someone they like, versus hearing it from someone they dislike or are unpopular…
    Oh, the speaker, Dr Shermer seem to have a fixation with his finger, probably a nervous thing associated with being interviewed…lol

  • @johnnicholas1488
    @johnnicholas1488 ปีที่แล้ว

    This guy sure enjoys talking.

  • @kh9242
    @kh9242 ปีที่แล้ว

    So Michael Shermer is cool with 14yo?

  • @Ashakat42
    @Ashakat42 ปีที่แล้ว

    I'd rather hear about this goniff's first hand knowledge of the inherent misogyny of the skeptic/science convention scene. I bet he's got some juicy stories to tell. There are better historians to tell the complexities of America's political past and who have much more courage than him. He should be seen in the light of his peers till he distinguishes himself otherwise.

  • @youtubeviewer5017
    @youtubeviewer5017 ปีที่แล้ว

    I’m disappointed by the way this discussion veered off into politics.

  • @courtneybrown6204
    @courtneybrown6204 ปีที่แล้ว

    After listening to Shermer's videos on TH-cam I can say I'm skeptical of his brand of skepticism, as it includes bias against women hidden in his opinions disguised as skepticism. He is just too conservative and biased for me!

  • @billhughes9612
    @billhughes9612 ปีที่แล้ว

    I got to admit I am not this guys biggest fan. An I still think he's a bit more than pompous to think a single dinner with him is worth 900 USD. But two of the examples he used were simply flat out wrong.
    I was ONLY three and half years old in 1969-70. An I heard first hand, soldiers coming back from Vietnam, speaking about the lies we were being sold in the media. And mind you I was just a toddler at the time. But I remember one of my uncles and another older cousin, saying basically the same thing. Having been in different parts of the conflict doing different things. One Army, one Navy. So THAT was wrong. It may not have been widely known, but the truth WAS out there, well before the book. The book simply gave us a fuller account, then a single persons perspective.
    Second The Snowden Release was once again confirmation, to something I had been telling my friends about for YEARS. Since I knew that we have the ability to do it, for as long as we have had telephones. And I hate to tell you just because someone says it isn't RIGHT to do something, doesn't means it doesn't GET done. But I don't mind the gov knowing all my business. I don't have anything to hide from them or anyone. If I don't want anyone to know something, I do it the old fashioned way. I keep my mouth shut.
    And In regards to the hosts comment about trying to hold someone else's false concept as POTENIALLY not false... Sorry, calling them a fool to their face might not change THEIR mind at the moment, and they may do you the favor of not speaking to you again. but the fact that you called it first...priceless. Every body else can make the leap to reality whenever they want there's lots of room here, I'll be waiting.
    DID he JUST say that sleeping with 14 year old's WASNT a pedophile? He might want to ask R. Kelly about that...
    Back to the host, I spent the same amount of time in lockdown, an I didn't find a group of internet idiots to be my covid buddies. In fact, I took the time to weed out stupid people, who were posting dumb and dumber posts on fb.
    Not supporting 911 crap. However, it points out another flaw in his logic. We see he isn't a structural engineer EITHER. You wouldn't need to know which floor the planes were going to hit on to plant devices. You would plant them at points BELOW where the planes hit, to bring the buildings down, AFTER the planes hit. Because odds are the planes themselves wouldn't bring down BOTH towers. And you wouldn't need to break thru to the supports directly, by using shaped charges.
    And the 1995 attack tried to take out the foundation of a single building, with a single large device, from the base of the structure. Which was destined to failure from the start. You would need to take out multiple supports to bring down the buildings...
    On Biden and the AZ crap. After all the dust settled, they found the 12 you mentioned and BEFORE Biden had won by ONLY 7000, and afterwards he won by even more lol. Once again...priceless.
    Inflation, price gouging by corporations, seeking to pacify stupid stock holders, looking for year after year GAINS without consistent or sustainable growth. While other factors play into it, THAT is the main cause.
    45 KNOWS he lost. He wouldn't have grifted all the people he did for legal funds to "fight the steal", AFTER he lost. Every time they get a bit closer, he asks them for more money. If he was SO rich to start with. why would he need THEIR money?
    With Polls. WHAT are you asking? WHO are you asking. And HOW are you asking them. AND why did the host shut down the kid that mentioned 535? He WAS right. And it didn't work too well for them, as I write this, Dems are ahead in early voting, by like 7 million votes. Not to mention that Dems got tons more new voters, this year. Looks like women really took their bodies personally.
    I don't try to change others perspectives I just let them get around to my way of thinking in their own time.
    As far as UAP's Honestly, do you think the Russians or the Chinese or the Iranians can make ANYTHING better then we can? And if they DID, do you think they would just buzz our airmen with them instead of attack out right?
    Russia has proven they are a joke. Even the few stealth aircraft they got are only stealthy head on for the most part. If they had UAP Tech, it would have been used over Ukraine.
    China was using Russian engines in their J20 Stealth Aircraft until recently. And the engines they ARE currently using aren't what they hoped for. Now they do have hyper sonic missiles, but I don't think they can do what UAP's have been recorded doing. And even if they did, They wouldn't have hundreds of them coming in from 80,000+ ft ABOVE the ocean and going under the water...
    Iran I don't know about. I haven't really looked at them too hard, but about to start. But if they are focusing on drones as hard as they seem to be, I would say THEY don't have the tech either.
    But I got to love how you HAVE went from UAP's are bs for decades, to "Lets wait and see..." .Sounds a lot like "I forgot to carry the one"...

    • @kh9242
      @kh9242 ปีที่แล้ว

      I guess groups of powerful people never act in their own interests for their own benefit

  • @FellaMegaOld
    @FellaMegaOld ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Fail! All answers for your opening example where correct your analogy and assertion is however incorrect, you are only consolidating that your formulation i,e. opinion is fact, that is manipulation.. You have unwittingly conspired to fool yourselves,

  • @hannahrosa5485
    @hannahrosa5485 ปีที่แล้ว

    bs

  • @ABCXYZ-jk8me
    @ABCXYZ-jk8me ปีที่แล้ว

    Recession, Beginning of Depression!
    Rapture, Born-again Celebration !!
    Riders, Book of Revelation!!!

  • @XD226
    @XD226 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    51:33