Hey, good video. I want to add, that the actual chances of exactly 1 mythic blueprint in a clubchest is not 2%, it is 2% per item. Since you have 6 items coming out of the box, the resulting chance for exactly 1 mythic is around 10,8%. So every 9-10 chests you should get one.
Ahh, appreciate the info and confirmation 👍 I was debating between the two options at the time. Then I relayed to my previous experience of not acquiring a mythic blueprint until around level 500 and thought it must be per box, and not per item. I must've just been unlucky, typical 😆
@@ilraptor9134 I don't think you get what I was saying. Let's model it really quick: Let p be the probability of a mythic item per draw (-> p = 2% = 0,02). Since p remains the same no matter how much we draw, we use binomial distribution: n=6 (6 draws), k=1 (we want exactly 1 mythic), p = 0,02. Then: P(x=1) = 6 * 0,02 * 0,98^5 = 0,108... so the chance of exactly 1 mythic item in a chest is 10,8%.
Love the videos dude! The editing is top notch, very engaging keep it upppp!!!
Thanks, that's great to hear! Means a lot
Hey, good video. I want to add, that the actual chances of exactly 1 mythic blueprint in a clubchest is not 2%, it is 2% per item. Since you have 6 items coming out of the box, the resulting chance for exactly 1 mythic is around 10,8%. So every 9-10 chests you should get one.
Ahh, appreciate the info and confirmation 👍 I was debating between the two options at the time. Then I relayed to my previous experience of not acquiring a mythic blueprint until around level 500 and thought it must be per box, and not per item. I must've just been unlucky, typical 😆
% Statistics doesn't work like that mate. 2% is for each item, it do not increase because there are more items in collection.
@@ilraptor9134 I don't think you get what I was saying. Let's model it really quick:
Let p be the probability of a mythic item per draw (-> p = 2% = 0,02). Since p remains the same no matter how much we draw, we use binomial distribution:
n=6 (6 draws), k=1 (we want exactly 1 mythic), p = 0,02. Then:
P(x=1) = 6 * 0,02 * 0,98^5 = 0,108... so the chance of exactly 1 mythic item in a chest is 10,8%.
Hello, I'm a new player in this game, can I ask for your opinion on using gems for beginners, whether to buy a big box / upgrade vault
Thanks mate. ❤
Thank you thank you
Thanks 🙏❤
upgrading the tv will take forever......
The only chance you get that is to cheat or hack the game. 😉