Editors SAG Awards Film 2024 predictions: Could Margot Robbie or Bradley Cooper stage an upset?
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 ก.ย. 2024
- It's been presumed for months now that the lead actress race in film categories at the various ceremonies was destined to be a two-way race between Emma Stone for "Poor Things" and Lily Gladstone for "Killers of the Flower Moon." Lately, it's been more of a one-way race, with Stone topping BAFTA, the Golden Globes and Choice Choice honors. But in a Screen Actors Guild Film Awards predictions slugfest this week in advance of Saturday's ceremony, Gold Derby senior editors Denton Davidson, Marcus James Dixon and Daniel Montgomery and news and features editor Ray Richmond were asked to consider a third contender: Margot Robbie for "Barbie." This is because they were joined by encyclopedic awards expert extraordinaire and regular Gold Derby contributor Tariq Khan, who made a convincing case that Robbie was poised for a massive upset based on his personal survey of some 500 SAG Awards voters. Watch their lively discussion above.
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Tariq also guaranteed Fantasia would win SAG and she didn’t even get nominated lol
Fr
🤭
@@rehnumachowdhury3629 Joyce and Chris are the best and not only at predicting.
Tariq also guaranteed Sandra would win bafta lol
Let’s not forget the crowd reaction to cillian bafta win was unbelievable and. A lot of the crowd who cheered for cillian. Is likely voting for him at the Oscar’s
Btw there are over 150k SAG-AFTRA voters. Your "sources" mean nothing my dude
THIS GUY CANNOT BE SERIOUS.
Cilian and Emma 💛💛💛💛
Lol, you really screwed up best actor. I’m laughing so hard at you guys. Cillian Murphy was always going to be the winner. The movie is loved, he is popular among actors, and I think you missed that part.
these videos were triggering me so much leading up to the Oscar race. Revisiting these videos just to laugh at the clowns now lol
also, it's more interesting to compare Emma Stone to Everything Everywhere because her role is actually more similar to Michelle Yeoh because it's so wacky and out there. Tar was a less "loved" and more divisive movie than Poor Things has turned out to be even though people have been predicting that Poor Things will be a divisive pick and it has not turned out this way at all. So I give the edge to Emma if you're comparing last year.
Daniel is very sharp, as always. The potential parallel between Lily/Emma and Michelle/Cate is a compelling one. The only thing that holds me back from predicting Gladstone at SAG is the relative strength of the films we're comparing here. Cate Blanchett lost SAG for a film that was struggling to break out beyond her performance and Michelle Yeoh won for a film that was surging towards a massive Oscar sweep. It's almost the opposite case this year in terms of the films. Poor Things seems to be building momentum and might win 3 or 4 Oscars. Killers of the Flower Moon seems to be fading. So, I'll stick with Emma for now. There are days left to go!
exactly, the comparisons don't make sense outside the narrative aspect.
It's ONLY white vs WOC. Certainly don't give the award on who deserves it??? There's no comparison except for that.
CILLIAN MURPHY and RDJ and EMILY BLUNT!
Lets go!!!!!!!!!! Oppenhomies!!!!!!
You are all looking like clowns right now 😂😂
All SAG members receive screeners or downloads for all the award contestants so they've most likely seen Poor Things even though it was released later.
I really hope Robbie does not win. That would age like bad milk. It would be privilege over talent or role. Even Benning would be better. That said I can sadly see it.
I think Robbie would be a fantastic winner.
Tariq got sooooo butthurt at the end lmfao priceless
Tariq Khan’s comment was somewhat biased towards the front runner Paul Giamatti. Trying so desperately to push the Bradley Cooper’s narrative to boost his chances of winning. NOT gonna happen. But to each is own and there’s no accounting for taste.
@@rehnumachowdhury3629 tell that to all the Golden Globe and Critics Choice who voted for him to win for best actor. FYI, The only reason Cillian Murphy won at BAFTA was because he’s Irish and Bafta members are well known for being tribal with a medieval mentality. Truth hurts, don’t it? LOL.
As if there's a relevance and a huge advantage. LOL. @@rehnumachowdhury3629
said by someone with a brain of a prepubescent teen with delusion syndrome....And your point being? Exactly. LOL.@@rehnumachowdhury3629
@Tricki_Woo you know Murphy won the GG too right? Also how many Americans have won at BAFTA against British and Irish actors?? A lot...
@@ella2117 Bore someone else with that stupid question…I’m not here for riddles. I never said that Murphy didn’t win at the GG…And we all know that unconscious or hidden bias is one of BAFTA’s specialties…LOL.And FYI, I don’t have to conform to or apologize for my views on these races or anything as much as I disagree with them. People have to learn to disagree in this country and not hate for it….Anyways, Giamatti and Murphy are both deserving to win for best actor. Having said that, I believe that Paul Giamatti is poised to win for best actor at the academy this year…….Just my opjnion. Again, to each is own and there’s no accounting for taste.
Oppheimer has done so much winning, in the above board categories and same four actors keep winning will anyone outside of Hollywood watch. I felt same way last year with EEAAO. 2023 was a better overall year in film.
Plus I find it curious how not any actor who has won hasn’t mentioned the strike.
People better hope SAG voters breathes some life into this award season and do something different
What voters consider the best doesn't care about your feelings. Sometimes there is a concensus or near consensus across the board. At least it won't massacre everything ATL the way EEAO did, it got an extra acting win and screenplay on top of director, picture and lead+supporting. Other movies get a share of the "love" more than last year where many went home empty handed
PAUL GIAMATTI all the way to the Oscars
If there’s an upset it would be Cillian Murphy’s subdued and dreadfully boring performance in Oppenheimer or Bradley Cooper’s obnoxiously boring nasal performance in Maestro
Subdued!!!!!LOL. He is playing a physicist for heavens sake. What do you think? He is going to break out into a crazed performance! You are nuts! Physicists are boring and subdued in case you havent noticed! He had to use his face and eyes to convey all his emotions. No jumping around, screaming, and over acting like Bradley and Paul.
The more I think about why Cillian should win the more I am convinced it should be him. I say this as a Paul Giamatti fan too. I think all the nominees in Best Actor will win Oscars someday no doubt. But this year really should belong to Cillian Murphy.
- he’s truly the lead. He’s almost in every frame for 3 hours while Paul is in more of an ensemble piece. Doesn’t rule him out though.
- Cillian lost weight, changed his accent, changed his voice, learned another language, changed his posture. He has a giant IMAX camera in his face capturing every emotion. He truly became Oppenheimer. I see the hard work & commitment that went into the role. Not refuting that a more comedic role isn’t hard work either. But Paul’s role felt more in his wheelhouse. I didn’t leave the cinema thinking “my god I’ve never seen Paul better”. Because I believe have seen him better. Meanwhile Cillian flat out floored me. I felt completely in awe of his talent.
- Cillian hasn’t won a SAG before meanwhile Paul already has 4. Not saying he can’t win another one. But it would be nice to see someone new recognised too.
I guess I’m just rambling. All are deserving but I truly believe it belongs to Cillian this year.
All their argument against why Murphy can't win are a collection of logical fallacy rumblings that would make Donald Trump envious of such a skill 😂. Their "reasoning" (biais) can be debunked in 5 seconds it is comically grotesque
Murphy lost around 30 pounds, which seems like a heck of a lot of weight for a guy who was already pretty thin to begin with.
@@DRM-nb1fg wow we can’t say Cillian doesn’t commit because he sure does. He let Nolan give him a 5 hour hair cut. As a woman… that is even longer than it takes to cut & colour my hair. 😂 Give Cillian all the awards I say.
And they were proven wrong last night when Murphy walked away with it.
You guys are experts? Bradley has no chance. Pauls performance is just Paul. He is playing a character that is so close to his usual style. Just being beloved does not win you the award. Cillian gave a movie carrying performance that was nuanced, not low key or subdued. You guys should know the difference between showy and nuanced and which is harder. Cillian is greatly respected by his fellow actors for a long career that is incredibly diverse. By the way, you guys got it wrong. SAG awards just ended and Cillian walked away with the Actor. he is a lock for the Oscar.
👏👏👏they need to get out of their bubble and bias. Plus Cillian has a huge following from Peaky Blinders, for which he was never recognized. I’m so happy for him.
Tariq expects everyone to listen to him, but he’s not listening to anyone else.
Best comment! 🤣
That got a bit embarrassing towards the end. Tariq, just because not everyone agreed with you on everything doesn't mean they're doubting your credibility. 500 voters out of 160,000 is not even 1% of the voting body. No need to get defensive and bring in a user email saying how great you are.
Tariq, I hope you're right but I do not think so. Now, if you had polled 5,000 SAG members I might take your predictions more seriously.
So much for your streak Tariq!!!! Go Oppenheimer!!!!!
Tariq... delusional
Bro uses less than 0.4% of a sample size to determine the pulse of who's leading in votes, and then gets defensive when the other editors don't immediately latch onto his findings. Incredibly unserious lmaooo
Best actor race is Keaton vs redmayne.. Where in the golden globes. Comedy actor won critics choice but the drama actor won bafta sag and Oscar
You were right
the industry is trying so hard to make paul giamatti and davine randolph win.
i dont get it.
I agree for best actor it’s a tie for Paul and Cillian idm who wins, but for best supporting actress, between the Da’vine and Emly performance wise Da’vine has the upper hand 🤷🏾
Pundits and critics who have no taste are trying to make Giamatti win. So far Paul has won no industry award and there is no reason to believe he will. Cillian could sweep the rest.
People want a race otherwise they get “bored” & every other acting category seems locked. So Best Actor is the battle.
I think Paul is wonderful in The Holdovers. I’m glad he’s in the conversation but I truly hope it’s Cillian all the way to the end at the Oscars now.
@@jamielee7943 I get that some people want a race because it's fun but that's only true from our perspective. From the perspective of the nominees award season must be very stressful and not fun. Also awards can be boring and that's okay. This isn't football.
@@EpicMovieSanctuary yeah it’s no sport & I’m sure it feels full on for the nominees.
I’ve really dug this awards season. I’ve been watching all the interviews & following along. It’s been cool to get to know the actors, their process & about the making of their movies. But I bet it’ll be a relief for them once it’s over
Man, that will break my heart if SAG gives Margot a win but not Ryan Gosling. That is so unfair. He gave the best performance. I mean, what does a guy have to do? He sang, danced, and nailed his performance of Ken. RD Jr, was good, but it wasn't a hard performance. Ryan's was tranformative in personality and type of character. He took a big risk. And he not only nailed it, he elevated the film. People who loved or hated the film all agree on one thing: Ryan was the best thing about the movie. I would place him behind Gosling. I give up on award shows. I feel they are political in nature. It's such a shame that Ryan will not be awarded anything for his efforts.
Pundits wrong
His streak is gonna be over .. now way Emma stone losing. And Bradley cooper? 😂😂😂
That's not going to happen. Emma Stone is on roll with Poor Things. Even if the SAG voters haven't watched the film, Emma has been nominated multiple times and a previous winner. In an ideal world, Lily Gladstone would walk away with the Oscar. However, it's pretty obvious Emma will become a 2x Oscar winner.
In addition, SAG voters like repeat winners. For example, Viola Davis has multiple wins in both film and TV.
They've watched everything
in an ideal world, lily would've been nominated in supporting, so there's that.
@@nafischowdhury7375sooo true
Love this video and the guesses by all. As a long time Oscar watcher, who has sat in the interview press room, it's always fun to hear everyone's picks and see the reactions. Hope you all do a wrap-up after SAG.
I wonder how many Tariq will get right?
I hope several. I am desperate for some new winners.
Idris Elba and Emily Blunt in Supporting are the only times SAG has awarded non-Oscar nominees, it has never happened in Lead so Margot is likely not winning. Also, this idea that films with multiple nominations have to win something is completely misleading, SAG has left plenty of films going with zero wins.
Im still holding out hope for a COLOR PURPLE Best Ensemble win. Its the only chance to give this group anything and much like Hidden Figures and Black Panther, this may be that moment.
I highly doubt that would happen. Only 1 film won SAG Ensemble that didn’t get nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars, and that was before there were 10 slots for Best Picture.
Tariq’s Danielle Brooks pitch sounds tempting…….
Don’t do it!
I just don't think enough members of SAG saw the film.
Paul Giamatti all the way to the Oscars