Damn, did you type this from beyond the grave? What's the afterlife like? Did you go to heaven or hell? Did you get reincarnated? Did you get sent to a parallel world? How did you come back?
There was actually a plan for the Soviet Union to sort of stay around called the "Union of Sovereign States", where most of the post-soviet states (All except the baltics, Georgia, and Armenia) would be semi-independent nations led by a council in Moscow with a unified foreign policy. It was supported by the majority of the population in all the remaining soviet states, but the attempted coup in 1991 killed the idea.
While I do think this is an accurate analysis of what Russia is going through, let's not forget that not only Russia is close to a demographic crisis but the whole Europe is. There isn't a single European country that has an above replacement level birth rate, some balkan and baltic nations are suffering from dramatic depopulation crisis and western europe is increasingly having to rely on non-european immigrants to keep their population afloat and it's still not enough while also creating the same problems Russia has with too many ethnic minorities.
Well, a LOT of migrants are coming here to Europe, how many people migrate to Russia? By the way... "too many ethnic minorities"? are you talking about... like... THE ENTIRE HISTORY OF EUROPE????
@@duhmzdaih Out-numbering of the native population by non-native immigration is arguably worse than a haemorrhaging population, look at western China and the Native Americans being wiped out as examples of that.
@@Fr_87 worse? haha, worse for WHOM??? what you say stinks of xenophobia. "native population"?? hahaha, unless you live in Africa, you are the descendent of migrants, period, at a certain generation, your ancestors WERE NOT in your "native" country. There are people in America, Asia, Europe and Oceania because people migrated there. Humans are migrants by definition, and "native" is a made-up concept that makes sense only from a tribalistic perspective. How do you define that a population is "native" in a certain place? a couple of centuries living there? a thousand years? it's always arbitrary, you can't define it in an objective way. Western China and Native Americans being wiped out? LOL "native" populations do the same to each other, look at the aztecs or the ancient greeks. Little boy, tribalism isn't limited to race or flags, there's tribalism in a family fighting another family, there's tribalism in gangs killing other gangs. Your examples are bad.
Although "The death of Russia" feels a bit dramatic, it is obvious that we are leading to that or something similar so there is very little to criticize. Nice job again with your research
Just plagiarized Peter Zeihan's points that he's repeated in his last 3 books. Probably lifted this from recent interviews as Z then brings up the spectre of Russian nuclear first use in lieu of conventional military success.
13:40 in fact Putin himself has admitted this failure. He says that the most tragic thing that has happened in Russia's entire history was the Collapse of the Soviet Union, and he said that he's unsure if they'll ever manage to remedy this. Edit: for everyone asking, here's the link th-cam.com/video/nTvswwU5Eco/w-d-xo.html
and with saying that he made sure that all the ex- svoiet countries hate him forever:) and there is no possibility for us EVER being friends....good job Putin! Almost eeverybody inmy country except for some brainwashed russians think that Soviet collapse was the best thing ever happened in here , nobody wants it back
@@HK-gm8pe I'm certain that life in the Soviet Union was bad, horrible in fact. But from a strategic standpoint, it was bad for Russia. The Soviet Union, at least in Putin's mind, did not need to be communistic in ideology. It just had to remain a united entity, a Eurasian Union of sorts.
After a while, the author turned out to be right. Life without TH-cam ads has become unbearable. I hope these grave consequences will serve as a lesson for the whole world.
I know right, man living in the Russian thriving economy is such a hassle, i have to get up everyday and live in one of the most developed and powerful country in the world 😅 this youtuber is a joke!!
It's a huge misconception that Russia had no industry by World War I. Russia was industrializing rapidly just prior to the war. The big problem Russia faced was that it couldn't easily retool that industry to support a war effort. So a factory that made tools couldn't easily be converted into making guns. Most of this industry was wiped out during the Russian Civil War and then the Soviets understanding the need for a strong industry rapidly, but more importantly forced industrialization. Which along with the prior wars collapsed Russia's birthrate and killed millions.
also they mobilized in record times wich surprised the germans forcing them to withdraw A LOT of their forces from the western front but it also was made extremely hap haphardeos wich made the army qutte inefficient
The link of a collapsing birthrate to industrialization is kinda shaky in this context as the obvious answer as to why people stopped having kids around the late 80s is the ridiculous poverty caused by the botched market transition
@@bagrat6085 yes in the 2010s or 2000s people were living more or less well before the moth decided to annex some stuff and oh wonder the birthrate was above the deathrate
I mean people generally have that perception because they assume there has to be some reason why Russia's massive numerical advantage didnt count for more in WW1 but the reality of that is just that their military doctrine was incredibly horrifyingly terrible in the context of industrialized total war.
I find it super cool that you use animals to show countries, like how Russia is a bear, America is a buffalo (or bison, I can't tell the difference), Greece is a dolphin, Turkiye is a cat, Spain is a bull, Germany is a eagle, Norway and Sweden are both moose, etc, etc.
Russia will decline and not be a “superpower” anymore but it will surely still exist as a nation. To destroy a nation it takes a lot of effort, look at south sudan that took 25 years and 2-3 million (SS population was never above 8 million before indipendence) deaths to become indipendent.
Sure, but the USSR also collapsed fairly quickly and effortlessly compared to some other countries. It wouldn't be hard to imagine Russia going out the same way.
@@binbows2258 Russia is more mono ethnic than USSR was. Russians were only 50% of USSR's population, but now they are at 80% in modern Russia. So it's not really the case of nation collapsing, but of government change
as a Russian, I’ll say that all those problems that were on the video have always been in the history of Russia, and this did not lead to the complete disappearance of the state (plus, the fact that there are a huge number of revenge-seekers in Russian society) and experts who remained from the time of the Soviet Union who can describe in more detail about Russian society and why Russia will NOT fall apart or disappear (compared to overseas experts who actually do not understand anything about Russia)
Russia's arguably been in decline as a great power since the Russo-Japanese War (and had maybe even sowed the seeds of its destruction even further back with the Crimean War).
Man I apreciate you educating us young people in an engaging way. A lot of people that try to "teach" us modern-day politics take advantage of us newbs and our naivety by swaying us to one side of thinking or another through exaggeration, fabrication, or straight up propaganda. You coulda easily said Putin bad, or Nato bad, and most of us woulda belived you. But for at least the most part you keep it real man.
It's funny u say that bc they still do that. The only difference in this case is that they're using well researched data, geography and history, and taking them to present overly exaggerated opinions that should not be taken as factually accurate! The research is good but the conclusions are seriously flawed (such as they're main point that Russia will see a significant decline or vanish in 20 or so years). Not to mention they literally called Putin "evil" in the video.
@@2912sweetiepie you wish lol. The simplification of complex historical matters in his videos is honestly pretty concerning. Dumbing down history to simple factors of cause and effect (like industrialisation means birthrate collapse) leads you down a path of blindness towards contingencies. And history is full of contingencies. Though I must agree that the animals are cute :3
@@ddr4v7z i mean there are thinkers, who had a deterministic world view, but still thought the only way to deal with inevitable decline is to fight against it (best example is Oswald Spengler). Obviously one has to ask why a situation, where a Putin can act like this, happens in the first place. But we ask this to prevent something similar to happen again and that is only possible if we accept contingencies as part of history.
"tiny Ukraine" = biggest country in Europe, with support from NATO members and some others countries. Military support that forced them to empty their own warehouses. Well... It is very strange that the conflict has dragged on so long, yeah?
I guess to an extent the problem here is that Russian leadership wants to continue Russia along at some what of a same stature level as before, while of course also becoming rich off of it. Excessive pride and greed are common themes before major disasters. Of course this also indicates a way Russia could get out of it, 'if' it were capable of such a reform. Which is to limit its ambitions and greed, to invest more in the country while for instance aligning with other entities and accept it isn't able to do everything on its own any more. In such a case a realistic policy could be made and the country could survive and the people could even become substantially more wealthy. It's the kind of adjustment the various European nations to their West made, at times with great difficulty, but when done successfully gave them a new window to a future. Still, that's a pretty big 'if', is Russia at the moment capable of reinventing itself?
even economic or politics cant fix a people who lost in ugly citys, nihilism, abuse, alcoholism, mass abortion of children (population decline)...but the west is maby less then 100 years from same issues.
I have advice toRussia....maybe they should try to get along with its neigbours? And not threaten us with war all the time would be nice aswell....we have tried to getalong with Russia but Putin simply makes it impossible, also Russia held soo many countries captive for sooo long...its no miracle that everyone inhere hates Russia
Russia is a land of Hail Marys. They always seem to defy the odds, defy every expectation of dying. Peter the Great RAPIDLY advanced Russia within a generation, Stalin made it from a civil war ridden country to the second superpower, either Russia dies or they somehow against all odds throw a successful Hail Mary pass. I’ll eat my underwear if they actually manage to reform somehow
While I do respect your opinion and analysis, let’s not forget how Poland was wiped out of existence for more than a century and still existed. Countries are not broken so easily, it’s the people and its heritage that make it live forever.
Well yes, but are Russians really unified the same way that Poles were? The Chechen wars kinda say otherwise. Note that the video doesn't exactly say that Russia will cease to exist altogether, rather that Russia in its current state will die, with various regions with different cultures and peoples breaking away.
@@alinalexandru2466 yea I'm not European I know the USSR and Germany both occupied Poland during ww2 Then the USSR had alot of influence on them afterwards
The "soviet car" in the video was actually an east german manufactured Trabant, which while not pretty fast and luxourious, is absurdly reliable and robust
My French teacher’s first car was a soviet model. It was always broken due to its age but repairs were easy and cheap so it was very useful for him when he was younger.
Trabant is not a car, it's a lifestyle😎😎 ...of eternal suffering and torture by the own government who ought to keep you happy and alive, who knows everything about you, sometimes more than you do. But Trabante are cool
What im ultimately the most scared of is Russia getting backed into a corner and "forced" to bring in the nukes. I'm from Finland but I'm just worried for other countries, including Russia, as i am for my own. I don't want any innocent people from either side to die
I am from Russia and the fact that my country will collapse is worse than a nuclear war, because the history of my country is so great that I cannot believe that it will end like this. I hope that after the Ukrainian war my people will not be split and we will finally bring ourselves freedom, prosperity and unity. #NoPutin #FreeNavalny #FreeTheRussia
Well worry not as Russia won’t ever instigate a nuclear war. Russia’s main priority right now is to stay afloat and starting a nuclear war against the world would be counterintuitive and is the last thing they would want.
I remember, when I was young Russian graduate I could not afford to purchase my own apparent, to get married, and have kids. You need money to do all these investments in the country-s future. All the jobs available are bad low paying jobs. And I understood that I was not stupid, I was not lazy. I have no future, the whole country has no future, because all married couples I know have one kid for M + W.
TH-cam recommended this to me so I'm just going to say I disagree. This comment probably won't be visible but I will still write it. People who think Russia will collapse are willfully ignorant that Iran also exists and has been under economic sanctions for much longer than Russia and has been much more isolated than Russia and had much less industry than Russia. Iran still stands and Iran won't collapse anytime soon. The same can be said for Russia.
Not to mention European countries still make backdoor deals with Russia despite the sanctions. It's all circus and lip service. This is one of thosewishful thinking videos that will age like milk.
The Russia won't collapse but USA will (due to its large portions of evil Americans in comparison to Good Americans based on how many Twitter dorks are) due to their disrespect to other nation's culture, 2 side of the same coin (both woke and anti-woke), dystopian collapse of AAA industry (both gaming and entertainment), and the capitalism that motivated greediness that cause poverty (so greedy people are the main cause of the creation of all the crimes existed)
Man this is all good and logical but it shows that you've never been to Russia and you probably don't really understand how it works. By Russia I don't mean Moscow and Saint P, I mean the rest of it. This country will Never Die. And I don't mean it in any heroic/patriotic/propaganda-oriented way, there is no emotion in it. Throughout history Russia got beaten, partially conquered, decimated, mutilated, thrown into the moral nothingness of capytalistic world after the fall of USSR, and is still here. It's just a fact. Hard to argue with. Now Russia is going through yet another dark phase of its existence. That's also a fact. And imo it's not even the darkest part of this phase at the moment. But will it die as a country? I don't think so. It will drastically change though, that's for sure.
Каждый раз Россия перерождается, но остаётся Россией и даёт врагам пиздюлей. Every time Russia is reborn, but it remains Russia and gives the enemies a pussy.
Honestly, I feel like Russia won't die or collapse; Russia as a nation has gone through much worse in its history and still prevailed, so I think Russia totally collapsing is sort of un-likely.
At 13:06, he kinda made a argument for it. The one huge factor to why the Russian Empire/USSR were able to go through such terrible events is due to their population. Now if you said USSR or Russian Empire, then you are correct, they would somehow survive through what modern 2022 Russia is experiencing. But Russia is not USSR or Russian Empire. They lost all their buffer states, their population, and everything else h0ser explain in the video.
Против России практически все. Очевидно что в Россию будут штурмовать, душить санкциями и делать всë, чтобы отнять наши земли, ценные припасы и ядерное/атомное оружие. Одна жадность заставила пол грëбаногых стран МИРА объединиться чтобы попытаться забрать часть России. (Готов поспорить что если Россия падëт, США или какая-нибудь страна вроде неë или Китая заберëт всë оставшееся и потом все ополчатся на ту страну, которая заберëт территорию. Это работает как проклятие, для владельца
@@7h3_man да этот курс рубля сам ЦБ постоянно шатает, т.к. энергоносители за валюту продают, а бюджет в рублях расписан. Соц.выплаты и з/п, например, тоже в рублях выплачивают. Искусственно завышают, гады))
The author really touches on very important problems of today's Russia - a failed social and economic policy. (Not to mention domestic politics). Russia cannot get out of the demographic pit and does not want to get off the raw material economy. However, is this a guarantee of the future collapse of Russia? I doubt. Over the next 20-30 years, the situation inside Russia itself may change repeatedly, and the option of overcoming all of the above problems cannot be ruled out. In general, a good video, but too many loud and exaggerated statements.
I think when he says, "death of russia" he means that at the very least we will see a change in the regime, he say it like that in fact, i agree he overexagerate in words, but at the end might not be that inaccurate, there is a multiethnical fabric inside of russia, and idk if for example the tatars, yakuts i'd say chechens but kadirov (i think its called its dictator) its full on the idea to go and fight however idk if the people of chechenya itself would sign up for that. Russia is losing influence in its own backyard which was the central asian steppe towards its own "ally" china, and china will have more and more influence over russia due to its isolation becoming a one sided relationship, more like the relation between the us and mexico (im not saying it will become exactly that, but it will go one side, to the chinas side) The russia we know today may cease to exist due to this very war
Almost everything wrong in the video 0:25 so apperantly trying to breach another countrys security isnt an attack on a sovereign state hmmm ok good logic 0:41 invaded crimea ? thats like saying castel invaded catalonia. Slavs were on the peninsula even before the tatars which were btw in small numbers and did not claim nor inhabit all of the peninsula. You can go and fact check this in the wiki with the earliest records of the population. 0:58 bismarck would laugh at you. A nation that has a history going back more than 1000 year with such a spirit and willingness to sacrifice will not dissapear. We have seen the russians pull trough simular events. 1:11 yes, yes it is big mighty and scary. 1:32 ohh god another ,,military expert" 1:34 ,,steamrolling" 🤦♀️🤦♀️🤦♀️ The lack of research shows. Bruh ukraine had the second biggest military in europe aside from russia. 200.000 regualr personal, 115.000 paramilitary forces thousands of tanks,ifv, artialry, enourmass suppoet from wesrern nations. Should i continues ? I mean yeah russsia could have steamrolled over the nation if they brough more than 600.000 troops, used their strategic and tactical bombers and had raised everrything to the ground leaving mass civilian casualties they could have wraped this in a month or so something like what the americans did in iraq. However i dout any of us want so much casualties. 1:37 sending mem in the grinder for a lost cause isnt putting up a good fight its just grinding yourself to nothingness. 1:42 we are still waiting. First they said it was only about a month untill the sanctions start to work, then they said it was a few months now theya re saying years after that it will be decades. There are many opinions on this somw say the russian economy wont even get a scratch some say they will be severly dmaaged. One thing is certain europenas are not happy with how much they have to sacrifice for a natio that they dont even care for. Sancrions also have an effect on the nation that inplements them as well further making our economic crisis worse. 1:50 nope 1:53 how can you be so bold ? Well there is the young and stupid factor, arogance and overconfidence in ones abilities and so on, we have to take into account current events and the predictions that we make fron those events, which can be and they are wring dew to the fac taht every single day somwthing happens and something changes which completely alter the future and makes pur predictions worthless. 2:11 yes and no there is nore than just the snow in siberia and with the way things are going wirh climate change tht picture might change, notice i said might. 2:16 wow guys where there are recources there is civilization, who would think of it. I can literlay use the same argument you just made for wyoming, montana, idaho,etc. 2:20 doeamt mean there arent any recources and as isad with the way climate chenge is going things might change. I see people applying the thing i say to greenland and everything you siad can as well be applied to greenland but it somehow matter only for russia ? 2:40 its as if the russian are tired of this and want to prevent it hmm maybe maybe understanding that and trying to be considarate would mean a whole lot to the russians. 2:51 uhhh not realy they do the scorched earth tactic becauase all armies no matter how many supplies they have always run out of them and need more so they always go for the napoleonic approach of feeding of the land. Unless russia is hit quickly they will pull you in a slow drawn out battle where they will grind you to death. 3:32 that js whay they are doing what they are doing. 3:38 yeah what if ? The russians habe already said it they will not fear to use any and all weapon of mass destruction in heir aresenl if such an attack occured 3:42 ok cool but what next ? They take moscow blow up the Kremlin or st.Basil and then what ? Where do we go from here ? Remeber one frenchman did that, the poles did it and what did russia surrender ? No they kept fighing and fighing. Many people see moscow as the endgame but this iant france or germany, no this nation is whole different animal. Mustache man was criticised by many for not listening to his generals but infact in most of rhe tiems he was right when he was proposing to take key cities with industeies or oil field they wanted to have trip to moscow. Then that turned into a trip to berlin. 4:06 precisely why they have been inveating in alternatice routs like the arctic or the one from india through iran to russia. 4:16 giess the black sea is useless is this why it was a major point of inteest for nato which they lost when the russians retook crimea oofff that sweet sevastopol port would have been so nice if it was in the hands of nato but its not. I dont think i need to mention turkey we already know the relation it has with russia. 7:22 hmm lets fact check this shall we using 2002-2010 data In the nenets autonomous okrug ethnic russians are thr ones who ahve grown in number. In the kalmyk repubic russian have gone down slightly but so as orher ethnic groups the main ome the kalmyks are keeping their population up bu the increase is slow In the republic of degestan its the same as in kalmyk although here is the problen such a diverse republic of 13 ethnic groups will not be able to stay alive for long not to mention its largely tribal so even if they wanted to and they dont want to no resistance can be offered to russia authorities. In the altai region this time with data from 2014 russians are still the majority and have decreased with less than a 2000 for 12 years while the ethnic population has increased with the same amount for the same time. In chukotka the number of people is low very low the natives chukchians make up only 26.7% of the population and with a growth of 100 people per 10 yeara they arent replacingbthe ethnic slavic (russian ukrainian population) which is more than half of the population there. In buryatia ths slavic population is still the majority with the main ethnic group the buryats growing with 14.000 for about 8 years. In the zabalkayski krai the slavic population is almost a million while the ethnic tatars and buryats dont number combined even a 100 thousand. 8:07 one thing that is a stereotype by our time. Russsia has taken extensive measures to adress this problem and has been droping in alcohol abuse and consumption a lot in the recent years. Btw the highest alcohols consumption rates are held by other europeans nations like hungary, latvia, slovakia,etc. 8:41 i dont know where your statisitcs come from but they are wrong data from johns hopkin university shows that only 377k have died in russia. How much od them were old and how many ethnic russians ? Considering that the majority of people who die from covid are the old ones. 8:45 no official death tol has been released but even the worst case scenario its going to be nothing like the cope from the brittish and the pentagon who have lied to us before time and time 9:05 no they were not they were an empire that was going to be a masive unbeatable giant until the dumb bolsheviks appeared also alcohol was not a comodity in imperial russia. 9:46 to say all rulers treared russians badly is to say that the frech monarchy was alwsys so generous to its people 10:02 wow you mean that improvrished farming wasnt the status quo in the 16th, 17th and 18th centuary in other natiins considering the industrial revoluti started in 1760 before which even the richest european peasants werent exactlymiles ahed of their russian coubterparts or yards or inches even. 10:09 how was the japanses force infieior ? They had almost the exact number of men as the russians and have been industrializing and getting recources from korea, the number of deaths is alsp simular on both sides. This is written as a big loss foe the russians but in reality everybody just downplays how much of power japan was and its done on purpose to sh*t on the russians just like now with ukraine which btw had one of the largest armies in europe. 10:15 the russian started to have problems with suply late in the war 10:16 is this why their producrion doubled and were begining to industrialize ? Yes they disnt had the industrial capacity of western nations but the major problem was revolution 10:25 what was the strategy for the others then ? No seriosly what was their genious western doctrines ? What was the price for a mile of land on the western front ? 10:42 none of those descriptions mattered as communism was forced and there was support for the tsar or for anything that wasnt communist 10:50 i am from an eastern block nation and i know how these apartments look they arent small at all.
People have been pointing out these problems for literally centuries. Germany in both world wars thought they could “kick down the door and bring down the whole rotten structure”. These problems severely harm any efforts to become a modern industrialized economy and Russian society and governance is totally corrupt but by no means is it in danger of not existing. The secessionist threat is also not really that big. Yes “only” 75% of Russia is Russian but there is no ethnic group near big enough to actually plausibly ever succeed in full secession. Look at what happened to Grozny. Russia would rather and absolutely will simply level a city before letting it leave their grasp. If anything, all this corruption and isolation only strengths Russian cohesion. When all of the west is against Russia, it makes it very easy to unify Russians under the banner of “us vs them”.
Did you even pay attention to the video? Things have completely changed and Russia no longer has the population edge nor the impetus to retain its once imperial power. Seeing how inept the russian army is, how ethnic russians are quickly aging and dying out sand how quickly the West will jump in to weaken the Kremlin, secession as a possibility can only increase. These young Chechens who were kids during the war are now becoming fathers. The turkic folks may eventually decide to team with China. Things have changed completely.
Absolutely. Russia DOES have many problems, which is why it is so underpopulated, poor and backward. But that doesn't mean it will cease to exist and more than other countries with problems. Personally I don't want to live in a country run by kleptocrats, with a male life expectancy of 58, endemic unemployment, a per capita GDP like Chile and Equatorial Guinea - where even that money is all siphoned off by the Oligarchs for their super yachts.... But no doubt Russia will continue indefinitely as a backward country with a rose-tinted view of its past and undeserved optimism about its future.
@@pratyushdam1 russia and north korea both use these tactics but the reason why north korea is irrelevant is cause it’s tiny as hell russia is just that big
Some points to consider: 1) The perestroika tried (in a clumsy way) to fix the incredibly inefficient and centralized decaying economy and system of the communist regime, the Soviet Union was already crumbling, perestroika or not. 2) Ukraine has found huge deposits of oil and gas that can easily replace those of Russia: that, paired with its turn towards the West, made the invasion more than likely. Ukraine population is also quite aged with its younger people working abroad, is wasn't that much of a population gain (though obviously it would have helped). 3) Nuclear weapons are very costly to upkeep and maintain: their mythical huge numbers are to be taken seriously but with a grain of salt, it's not like they can be dismissed but you have to wonder how many of those thousands of nukes are operative, what is a state secret and could be quite low. 4) The population collapse is a shared problems with all developed nations, no one is safe. But Russia again, it privates Russia of its traditional strength of solving problems (send big numbers to die) and without it, it won't be able to maintain such bloated borders. Ukraine may be its last "just send thousands to die" strategy, yet they are not taking the big cities' youth for fear of a political revolt.
Another thing to consider is that among the developed nations facing a demographic crisis, it is said only the United States has the most good-ish demographics that can produce a good enough population of young people thanks in part to how the US population is more religiously conservative(the Mormons are literally carrying the US fertility rates)
Also nukes have a half-life of 20 years. They need to be updated and replaced regularly or they turn into duds. At least half of the nuclear bombs in the Russian arsenal are already duds by conservative estimates, some say 3/4.
The US has a huge influx of immigration. People are still buying the American dreams, despite its flaws. The USA still has one of the best if not the best universities out there plus they're a highly innovative country although it's healthcare system is simply trash
And it wouldn’t be the first time in 200 years that Russia did actually collapse, the communist revolution over the tzar and the Soviet collapse in the 90’s. Definitely has collapsed more times than say America.
these really arent the terms putin thinks in his popularity was plumeting so he needed something to boost that. he cant cheat the system again last time he tried the backlash and it would be even bigger this time. was massive he also cant retire because his system is build on him being the presidet and being essentially an autocrat there is a high probability he will be prosecuted within a year of his retirement so he needs extra rights in persecuting his political opponents and keeping people down and scared also he needs a popularity boost and the easiest way to get one is a small sucsessfull war he thinks of ukraine as a failed state that will approach him with no hesitation because this is what he was fed byhis inner circle for years now
@nicholasdarrylh.9062 The opposite is true. When you have term limits the politician only cares what happens during their term. And the referendum Russia held was to impose term limits, not remove them. Before Putin and Medevev alternated each term. The change of the constitution removed that loophole.
Значит, видимо некоторый тебе подобный пипл у нас живёт в параллельной реальности. Вполне нормальные были приведены в видео аргументы, но принять их некоторым горе-патриотам сложно.
@@kerikplay1692ну бля хуй знает, ежедневно выкатывают подобные видосы и ничего не происходит. Аргументы из видео применимы к любому моменту истории России. Жизнь не стала хуже, самое странное что случилось так это пожар на складе доставки откуда пожарным удалось спасти здоровый дилдо.
I think that one of the reasons for the invasion was the fear that Europe may have started opening up gas and oil fields in Ukraine thus not being reliant on Russian energy for the next 20 years or so whilst the transition to green energy including nuclear and I believe Ukraine has plenty of Uranium as well. It may well be not about what they gain so much as what they may lose, Putin has a history of getting rid of competitors in politics and might be using the same strategy in economics.
Russia wanted to get warm ports like Mariupol and Crimea who were originally part of Russia so that Russia isn't land locked. Most industries require importing things to work (chips, factory parts, etc...) and if Russia had a warm port in Crimea & Mariupol they could develop these industries instead of being dependent on exporting natural resources.
@@aoeu256 Or they could just keep the peace with other countries and ship using rail cars from those ports, like everyone else who relies on globalization and trade for their economy. Other countries also need peace to maintain an economy.
It's definitely priority #1 for Russia to remain the dominant exporter of oil to Europe. Without oil money the government will collapse because they don't really export anything else except smart Russians avoiding conscription
I like how you people see a video explaining why Russia is a sad shithole and why it will not last. And then promptly forget that the Soviet Union died in very similar circumstances and it took a decade.
@@techtical7079Forgot to mention that I would be able to finally leave my 5 room apartment to live in a cardboard house bought on a mortgage for 200 thousand dollars that will fall apart if I breath to hard, I wish I could taste the Starbucks soy milk grand latte for 40 bucks and if I stabbed my toe and went to the doctor having to pay amount equal to buying a car would be awesome. So sad that my authoritarian regime won't let me see what life in a first world country is like😢
Well, you aren't the first guy in history to make this assumption. The idea of "the death of Russia" is like "the conquest of Afghanistan" or "the Prohibition (in the US)".
10:30 , I know this might sound like a good point, but It was actually shocking to conventional Marxist theorists that Russia had a social revolution. It was supposed to happen in the most industrially developed societies: Germany and Britain. What I think people underestimated was: 1.) how rotten the door was to kick through (in regards to the czarist regime) 2.) how few choke points their were in the country to take command and control. The state hadn’t built up the same methods of industrial control in the same way Germany and Britain had. Essentially, capitalism was underdeveloped enough in Russia that it didn’t have the antibodies to prevent a popular socialist uprising
Good point Marx envisioned Socialism and then eventually communism rising out of prosperous capitalist nations not going from quasi-Feudalism to state socialism. Socialism was not really intended to solve the production problem imo but the distribustion and exchange problem.
Many mistakes as in claiming Russia's population was always small. In 1913 it was 12% of the world. If there was no revolution, no civil wars and famines, today Russia would have 400-600 million people also depends on ww2. The 31 years from 1914 to 1945 were hellish in Russia demographic wise. WW1, Revolution, Civil War, Famines due to destroyed infrastructure, forced industrialization just to prepare for an eventual war that everyone was preparing for. Even Stalin said in the 30s that the USSR must do 50 years of industrialization in 10 if it wants to survive the onslaught that was being prepared (Nazi Germany). Unfortunately too many lives were lost because some European country thinks it's too strong and that invading Russia would be a great idea. The Germans have been the worst in this. Especially Nazis that killed tens of millions of civilians apart from military targets. Those 28 million lost from 1941 to 1945 were the actual death blow to Russia. If those 28 million mostly young people that died and were killed had children then the USSR would have not collapsed. 1960s Soviet Union would be more ethnically Slavic and many areas were they were a small minority would be surely populated. The biggest problem with Ukraine is that it was always treated as core Russian land. An extreme ammount of investment went there. Plane factories, ship factories, all kinds of industry was built there. Ukraine since 1654 was part of Russia and no one thought that a drunkard friend of Bill Clinton would basically f*ck up the country in 1991 and would unconstitutionally split it. Also the August coup against Gorbachev by hardline communists killed the desire for a reformed USSR that was voted in favor by more than 75% of the population of 9 republics. At that point only Moldova, Georgia, Armenia and the Baltic countries wanted out. The other 9 (Belarus, Ukraine, Russia, Azerbaiyan and all 5 central asian republics wanted to keep the Soviet Union but only with reforms. After the coup against Gorbachev that didn't target Yeltsin for some reason Yeltsin got out and after getting some support expelled the putchists. At the same time he totally banned the Communist party and all of its activities. He was rushing to complete the mission given to him by his Western backers and after banning the CP he just gathered with the presidents of Ukraine and Belarus and dissolved the country and after that Gorbachev instead of putting a fight or doing anything just admitted defeat and resigned. To me it seems like Western money just found the people who had no issue in destroying their country. After that the West instead of integrating Russia into the Western world did everything to cripple all of the Eastern Bloc with their "Shock Therapy" economic doctrine which left most exsocialist countries poor, deindustrialized and with no future. If before Bulgarian wine was sold through the whole socialist bloc of 450 million people, now no one needed it. If before cars built in socialist countries were used and traded in the bloc, western car makers totally wiped the market. And that happened with everything. That's why no exsocialist country has really recovered, all their young go to the capitalist core and eastern europe is dying off faster than any other part of the world
I absolutely love to return to such videos after a year and wonder why Russia is still alive and kicking, and why its GDP has only grown since the 2022
All countries grow massively in GDP during war years, but it's a "false" growth. Yes on paper more is being produced when counted. But what's being produced isnt things that the economy needs. Tanks and weapons may inflate the total worth of everything the economy produces but a country does so by producing far less of what the economy actually needs and digging into its cash reserves or borrowing huge amounts. And there is a limit to how long an economy can keep this up.
@@thomasg6916the key thing to note though is that Russia has mobilized their civilian industries into the war effort meaning that it is undeniable that their arms industry has surged during this conflict
If Russia didn't fractured in the 90s, where people were literally dying to famine and criminal gangs roaming the streets with AKs, what would make it fracture _now?_ Most of the regions have more to lose by becoming independant than to gain.
Russian People are disappearing. How does Russia survive the Russian People? Are Russians going to come back from abroad? Are other people going to migrate to Russia and become Russified? That's what people mean. As long as there are Russians, Russia will survive. But the Russians are disappearing.
Psychology, the ghosts of the past were still too strong in 90's. But now it is 30 years and you have 1-1.5 generations that does not remember USSR and KGB. That can be something that will make it disintegrate.
It did fracture. USSR (basically Russia in other name) lost its the most predominantly non-Russian frontiers and had experienced severe bout of separatism in Caucasus region. Not to mention it had to federalise to check separatism of the region (ever wondered why regions like Tatarstan, Baskiria or Yakutia are being called Republics with their own Presidents and constitutions instead of Coverners like in every other oblasts?).
The Caucasus definately. Putin had to use a lot of force just to hold on to that area. I think it would be the first ethnic minority region to be lost if things got bad in Russia. I don't know about all these other ethnic minority regions though. I haven't heard of major insurgencies or independents movements in Siberia or close to, say, Kazachstan. They seem more friendly and accepting of their Russian identity, and perhaps these regions are just too sparsely populated to be viable countries in their own right.
There is nothing funnier than hearing a youtuber trying to put all anti-Russian cliches in a single 20-minute TH-cam video 9:07 - 12:42 is just crazy, I don't even know how you can seriously critisize that
Funny how your notorious sanctions didnt change my life a bit. The only thing that i noticed in every day life is the absence of coca-cola and no ads on youtube
This video is a great example that people who lives outside Russia shoudnt speculate in that bold way about it... Even experts who understand much more and have an access to some more advanced info are not that sure (if it is not for propaganda of course) about this kinda process. I dont really need much to say about because after some time we will see how it goes.
Its crazy how he said that this the "last nail in the coffin" for russia as a country, while it gave more opportunities for development and boosted the production inside the country, gave second life to the technologies which were abandoned after ussr collapse, globally it shaked the dollar world trade dominance and made BRICS new rising powerful alliance
There are sober people outside of Russia. But Russians have to cope with vodka. Russians are the greatest - but only as drunkards. Russian famous soul and culture is only vodka. What will you see what you can`t see now? There is no hope for you. Drink your vodka.
Russia/Soviet Union did not win WW1. That's just wrong. Search for "Friedensvertrag von Brest-Litowsk" Russia gave up about 1/3 of it's population and 1/4 of it's territory. It was partly restored by the treaty of Versailles. But WW1 was most definitely not a victory for Russia, but rather one of the most humiliating defeats of it's history. Also the war on the eastern front was not some kind of trench warfare.
Also the Russian military was not so backward in WW1. Sure they suffered some big defeats against much more inferior German troops (in numbers) but they kicked the butts of Austria-Hungary.
@@gontrandjojo9747 well Austria Hungary was a massive clusterfuck with several soldiers generals speaking different languages, logistics was a complete nightmare and was a total burden on Germany. If they were competent ww1 would’ve been so much scarier for Russia and the allies
@@gontrandjojo9747 Austria-Hungary suffered more defeats against its enemies than BULGARIA. If Austria Hungary was even sort of united then Russia would’ve been morbed into the dirt. Austria-Hungary being utterly shit is the only reason Russia wasn’t just completely smushed in the first place, after all.
well "takes out 100 years old cope bottle" russia was fighting a bloody civil war in the worst part of the conflict while the army has forces germany to use far more troops than they expected reliving the allies and forcing the germans to pull out crucial forces at important places like the somes or verdun but this quick and unexpcted mobilisation came at a cost of bad training and a lack of equptment and logistics also the treaty of brest was signed to late because russia was tring to get out of the useless war as soon as possible and this being the main point of communists made a lot of sense but by the time they were entiteled to pullout they it was to late and the germans got to dictate their terms
@@philippinekatipunanflag4372 they were recognized by the German Empire, Austria-Hungaria, Ottomans and all of their allies in WW1. More so, they were even recognized by the soviets, after Germans helped drawing them out of Ukraine but after WW1 ended russians just went back to their imperialist policy.
@@mmaksymko I might be wrong but it wasn't really an invasion, Russia was just helping the Bolshevik party in Ukraine that made a civil war causing the collapse of the Ukraine people's Republic and creating the socialist Ukraine Republic which then joined the USSR.
Russia was the 6th most industrialized country in the world by 1914, the Soviets didnt kick started Russia's industrialization as it is often assumed, but they sped it up.
to be completely fair, "5th most industrialised" is by sheer number of factories or something, probably not by something per X ppl. Still mean to exclude that russian empire in the last 15 ish years of it's existance did, altho slowly, develop some industries
@@TheChewman2001-Нет. Просто Российская Империя фактически была колонией Германии. Русские была "рабами" и слугами в этой "империи". В 1917-м году население России скинуло европейское рабство и попало в "красное рабство", во главе в евреями, которые устроили русским геноцид. В 1993 году после развала СССР, на бывшей территории "России" наступило "Американское/Западное рабство", продолжающееся до сих пор...Неужели вы до сих пор этого не поняли? Это так трудно узнать?
This guy studied Russian history in a McDonalds parking lot, using memes as the primary source and filling up the gaps with whatever he could pull from his ass.
Exactly. That's why they need to retake those regions, establish pipelines and sell them to the UE and use that money to rebuild their entire nation. So many people died because of this... In 2011 independent surveys found there to be _three times_ more oil and gas reserves in Ukraine than in Norway (a country which became VERY rich in the last few decades by exporting those resources to other countries). Putler's eyes lit up. That's why Crimea was illegally annexed soon after (in 2014). It holds the most resources of oil along the Black Sea. This war is about money.
@@phillipholland6795 No. Crimea was invaded by the Russian Empire in 1783. The Crimean Tatars who lived there were brutally massacred and deported in order to fill the place with Russian settlers.
Russia may die or conduct reforms and a new policy to cope with all mentioned problems. Fun fact, after Russia defeated Crimean war in 1856 it reformed its economy, political sphere, social life, etc. The Crimean war definately boosted development of the nation.
Eh, I think you're overselling it more than a bit. 1) Russia has historically had an amazing ability to reconstitute itself, to make a very brief and scant summary, fraught with missing details furthering my point, from before the kievan rus, to the muscovites, to the tsardom, to the USSR, to modern Russia. Through Mongols, the time of troubles, the october revolution, and the fall of a superpower. No mean feat. I don't see them losing that ability now. I suppose one could argue that it's been too soon since Russia reinvented itself, but according to your timeline, they'll fall around 200, by which point it'll have been over 50 years since the fall. 2) As said above, you've mentioned 2040 pretty specifically as roughly around the time Russia will collapse once and for all. You know what is projected to happen, also around just then? A good and very much useable arctic canal, through Russian waters, with Russian ports. And given how climate estimates lean towards the hopelessly optimistic, I don't think I'd be remiss in saying it'll likely happen way sooner. This'll both provide Russia the ability to diversify it's economy, and suddenly gain easier access to the world markets. And lastly, I am in no way stanning Russia, I'm a Swede through and through, I've known Russia as the enemy for as long as I can remember, and I'm willing to suffer if it means the Russian state suffers more. This however also means I cannot underestimate them either.
In all of history, Russia had a large population. Lots of young people to do things. They don't anymore. For a country to exert power, they need young people to be the workers, the soldiers, the drones. Russia doesn't have that anymore. And they don't have the education to make the people they do have more efficient.
@@shorewall Yeah, even though "death of Russia" seems too overly dramatic to me, there is quite something in modern times that doesn't apply to past centuries that makes everything or a lot different than before that I can't quite point my finger at.
I agreed that Russia wouldn't likely to collasped anytime soon. (They won't allow it to happened no matter that cause) But they clearly headed for age of decline that will take them down from world stage and more focus on themselves (after Ukraine) for a foresable future.
2) is it really going to be better if the global market collapses over the climate crisis? Let alone the permafrost grounds in a lot of areas would melt and some habitable areas might cease to exist. Also fishing would stop because of marine death and farming areas would face drought. They are naive if they think they would experience the climate crisis positively. By the way the breakdown of Russia should not in my opinion be viewed positively. Whether nuclear materials would be kept safely or not the very absence of a world farming producer would cause famines and economic collapse to a lot of nations dependent on its products
@@al.7744 What climate crisis? Its warmer during the time of Augustus and both China and Rome were at their peaks then. Not to undersell the negative impacts of a warming climate(as it is with any shift in climate conditions) but the climate doom is just pure bs pushed by people living in beach side properties and flying in private jets to attend climate conferences
Nah, you are just thnking this way ebcause of what you are used to. But if you learn some history, you will know that all these territories weren't russian before 16th century. Earlier it was all mongols and verious other ethnicities. Espeically in 11-12 c., where today's Russa made a large chunk of the Mongol Empire.
The video already starts with a lie. Ukraine is not some "tiny little" country resisting a huge aggressor. It already had the biggest military in Europe before the war. And of course it got endless financing of the entire NATO once the war started. Without such external global support, Ukraine would have indeed already collapsed seven times over.
@@turtleneck369 mobilization in russia lasted for 48 days in the fall 2022. Ukraine’s mobilization has been lasting for 2 years already and getting harder and harder.
It's very funny to look at old videos of bloggers about "how Russia will lose", "Sanctions will destroy them", etc. as soon as the Blogger says that Putin "just like that" invaded, it is already clear that he is not the best historian
@@glugtrop2010more than a half of that million+ are already returned, and these "hundreds of thousands dead" exist only in Hohol copium fairytales, buddy
> only 3/4 of Russia even russian As russian i can say that it is totally wrong. People always think that some peoples want to be independent only because their nationality is not like major nationality in the country so they are totally different and they want to be independent. For example you may think that yakuts, tatars, belorussians, mordva and many others are not the same with russians. Sounds belivable. But there is one thing. All nationalities that live in russia mostly even identifying themselves as russians in their documents. Ok, some of them really thinking that they are not russans. But that's not means they want to separate: they just understand that they are not looking like russians. As a great argument I can surely say that all not major peoples are talking only on russian and nothing else: many of the not major peoples even have not their own language. For example I know that most tatars and yakuts don't know their own languages at all even if their regions have special free schools with tatar and yakutian languages. All i am trying to say is that thing that all not major nationalities in Russia are totally integrated and assimilated with Russia and russian culture, they don't mind about their own culture just because they have near lost it while they was integrating and assimilating with Russia with peaceful methods without any violence. Even in USSR and even in Russan Empire every tatar assosiated himselve as russian and that's ok. The only nationality that can try to separate today is chehens. They have tried this before and that is why i do not really belive they can do this again. Many things was done scinse 1998 year so they barely have even small amount of nationalism to rise against Russia. I can say also that chechens today are the most effective soldiers on the ukrainian front so i don't think they even want to separate. So even if 1/4 of Russia "is not russian" it is not going to separate. It is literally like the spanish (mexican) people in USA: they are minority but lol most of them are native english speakers and they have not any nationalism at all, they just not have any idea of seperatism to protect because they don't want to have their country and they have no culture to protect and fight for. It is exactly just like the minorities in Russia.
I wouldn't say that the overwhelming majority of yakuts don't know their language. But i can agree that some yakuts who live in Yakutsk don't speak and don't understand the language. And i believe that this is the fault of their parents, who reject to speak yakutian and speak only russian. Because they believe that the yakutian language is the language of villagers, the mambets. I call it an intra-national chauvinism😂
Zelensky is a Hero! a brave Fighter, while Putitler is an old, ill, impotent , evil Loser! He looks like a Mongol, Wife and Daughters left him, he is a Dictator of a Shitholecountry, a Paria-State!
Я думаю что если дерево долго гниет, оно рухнет рано или поздно. Со страной то же самое. Но это не страшно, люди не исчезнут, и на этом месте будут другие страны. Белгородская Народная Республика, Московское царство, ТЫВА, Татарстан, Якутия, Сахалин, Республика Ичкерия ...
I really enjoyed this video but there's one thing that doesn't really add up. You portrayed it as if Putin's politics were only a symptom of Russia "dying". I would disagree with that, as the problems with the trade routes and access to water could be solved by being friendlier with other nations and signing treaties with them. Attacking Ukraine was unnecessary and I think Putin is the only one to blame in that case
Good point. The main reason the war is happening is because of Russia's paranoia that makes up its strategic culture from its history. You know, the parts where it got invaded.
@@MrBassmann15 France and Germany had a history of invading and destroying each other. They were at least as paranoid as Russia but have managed to get over it. Economic interaction plays a big role. It didn't happen overnight but this is not an isolated occurrence.
Russia's distain for diplomacy and soft power is also rooted in their geopolitical horde mentality. Why make deals with people you don't view as people, but inferior pawns? Why bother with negotiation when you only value force? Russia has convinced itself that it is a superpower because of the inherent superiority of the Russian people, not that they were an empire that conquered, exploited, oppressed and committed genocide against all its neighbors for centuries.
@@haven_lady675 you're looking for oligarchs in a wrong place - Russian ones have their balls grabbed by the enforcers for a long time. Ukranian, however...
I don't think Russia will literallt collapse, but their "superpower" game is definitely over. America is so ahead it would take at least some 50 years for Russia to finally catch up)
18:10 Putin used to live in a poor house, with rats, and other animals. For entertainment he would chase around the rodents with a stick. One time he chased one into a corner, and knowing they only had one option, the rodent jumped at putin as a last ditch effort of safety. He says it’s the most important experience he’s had.
@@bigmoniesponge that doesn't change anything there needs to be a constant three way superpower if it's just two and one gets slightly just slightly stronger pretty much everyone economy is doomed
If anything the last year has told us that the military power of Russia is about comparable to Ukraine supplied with whatever the weapons were not good enough for the US army
@@debater452dosnt seem is going to in that direction tho, they are recovering in terms of economy and aparently they will also win the war after the failling ukranian counter offensige
It is hard to see Russia just stop being. It has survived much worse than economical collapse and as long as the people are there, so will Russia. But perhaps they learn something from the hardships that are coming.
Russians literally worked their jobs for years without any payment in the 90s(sometimes they got their factory products as pay or vodka which they had to barter), you just can't break these people.
@@Admin-gm3lc Problem is they lived in these squalid conditions for so many generations while at the same time managed to be a major world power for at least a century that they think it is a lifestyle and government system other nations would totally be cool with hell maybe it's even desirable for countries. So they also have a misguided notion that exporting such a system by military force is good for their neighbors too and if they could just persuade them through such violently coercive methods. Yes Russians are tough but they are also extremely stubborn, aggressive and delusional. Even if they make catastrophic mistakes they still find some way to fool themselves into thinking it's the right decision.
10:00 Russia got THREE wake-up calls to industrialize. The first was the Crimean War. Russia actually was well on its way to industrialize after that, especially in the early 20th century before WW1. The first World War and the Russian Civil War halted that advance.
The whole viedo sounds like a compilation of all the propaganda about agrocutual Russian Empire, "Horde like" USSR and Petrostate Federation. Everything is more complex than this...
@@Aristocles22 Its better be hour long because some of his points like no industry in Russian Empire of 1913 are insane. Russia had fifth economy in the world by that time and it was rapidly growing(only US pace of growing was faster), decent modern fleet of battleships, lots of modern submarines, invented gas masks, had huge automobile factories and so on.
@@zh2266 He means like every other. A society where a few fight and die and others live. It's literally every society ever. Videos on Russia by most western youtubers just sound like gibberish and make no sense whatsoever.
@@Portlygolf don't need 20 years to see the obvious, i mean, listen to official financial report from russian finance ministry, they use many 'soft' terms and use quite an amount of doublespeak, but the picture they paint, brother, it's ain't pretty, not as gruesome as people expect it to be, but not pretty, not pretty at all
Man, this is 2024 West have become tired of the war, Ukraine is on the verge of the coup (zelensky vs zaluzhny), Russia had a remarkable economic growth previous year and all this with practically no effort from ordinary citizen. The problem is, that foreigners have a very limited perception of what Russia really is. It’s economy is more self-oriented than they think, the inner demand is a key driver of the economy as well as the ease, at which the country is capable of changing its supply chain (like oil exports to India and china, for example) There are many problems (for example problems of huge capital withdrawals by immigrants from former soviet republics that no one mentioned), but these problems are not what may lead to a collapse of the country. Moreover, everyone here remembers scary stories of the collapse of the Union and 90’s, as well as dreadful examples of failed states like Ukraine, Armenia, Tadzhikistan and Moldavia, that nobody wants to repeat it. Even in places like Yakutia (Tyva republic) or Komi republic people of local ethnicity are pro-state and highly unlikely would vote for branching from Russian Federation. That’s because Russian is not something like “German” or “Chinese” or “Latin”: not ethnically-based, but a nation-based
Y’all know Zeihan also sources generally known information right? 😅 this isn’t even targeted towards you. I’ve just seen a lot of these kind of comments on many geography/sociology related videos.
The whole "OMG Russia can't conquer Ukraine" at17:40 is literally copied from Zeihan's recent lectures. He (Zeihan) says it all the time to emphasize how nukes might be a possibility.
Trabant was actually a gdr manufactured car. I can see why it's used in the cut corner argument, but i would nt say it sucked. for a possibillity to travel inside the country this small pile of wooden panelling with a 26 hp engine did really well. It also was easy to maintain. Legend says, that you even could use a pantyhose as v-belt and it kept running. If anything, i would say the Trabant was a masterpiece of cut corner engineering.
@@komiks42 Considering the real needs of most people, something like a trabant is arguably still more realistically in line with our need over our occasionally excessive wants, I mean, sure, legitimate car use exists but take the average european city or town, an electric trabant would be overkill for the needs of most people in urban areas, but even so, making them dirt cheap rental boxes akin to tourist bicycles and the like would be more than enough to massively aid transportation
@@Elenrai Yea, cheap electric car would be good. Rental, like we have some bikes nowdays? I'd say it would end up in to high of a cost. Its easier to damage car than a bike to the state that repair isn't working.
At first I was kinda sceptical about this video because of the tytle. But after I watched it I can't do anything but agree with it only giving little corrections. It's very hard nowadays finding a video about Russia on English TH-cam that's not just saying "the Russians are badies cuz Putin😡😡🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬" and actually talks about our real problems and reasons behind our aggression. It's sad to realise how dark our possible future. And no one will help us. Even more, after the last events all the strongest governments will probably do everything for our collapse
@@samwell3 Uhm, how many times have these countries invaded anyone in recent history? It can be counted on fingers of your single hand. So, really, STFU and do not insult literal backbones of our civilization.
To return the Soviets as the main organ of democratic power, to return to a planned economy, to expropriate the oligarchs, to reconsider the criminal privatization of 1991. That is all. There's not even a video required.
Imagine being russian, having just listened to a man explain how your country will probably colapse and then trying to sell you skilshare
That is hilarious.
Ah America
Low Key telling Russians they have a skill issue
@@ejtattersall156 That's depressing
Literally me rn
I am Russian and I realized that the country was dying when I saw that I could not buy games on steam
The image of Hank while talking about Russia's mineral exports literally killed me.
Damn, did you type this from beyond the grave? What's the afterlife like? Did you go to heaven or hell? Did you get reincarnated? Did you get sent to a parallel world? How did you come back?
Pro pane
@@Halcon_Sierreno 🤓🤓
@@Halcon_Sierreno What the hell are you talking about lol
@@Halcon_Sierreno Are you having a schizophrenic episode?
Author is definetely right. I suffer without tiktok and youtube ads.
🤣🤣
I like how Russians are saying this as if it's not a clear indicator that the big dogs don't wanna do business with you anymore
@@Ramonatho lmao. Big dogs are still here, they just have different names.
@@Ramonatho "big dogs dont wanna do business with you" dude never was in Russia
There was actually a plan for the Soviet Union to sort of stay around called the "Union of Sovereign States", where most of the post-soviet states (All except the baltics, Georgia, and Armenia) would be semi-independent nations led by a council in Moscow with a unified foreign policy. It was supported by the majority of the population in all the remaining soviet states, but the attempted coup in 1991 killed the idea.
Source?
"Semi-independent countries led by a council in Moscow."
Thats not fucking Independence you fool
@@OkachaWasTaken search up August coup attempt
@@jacobjohnson4785 What does algeria have to do with the soviet union?
@@OkachaWasTaken maybe they misspelled armenia?
"And they all suck! No offense"
I like how Hoser sounds like a teenager who had a few beers and begins explaining shlt
but he's right
@Harry Groundwater and the shit hes explaining is the truth
"like a teenager"... Why "like" ?
Evidently you have never used russian and west combat systems
@@acoustic5738 you dont have to , we clearly see how effective they are in ukraine
While I do think this is an accurate analysis of what Russia is going through, let's not forget that not only Russia is close to a demographic crisis but the whole Europe is.
There isn't a single European country that has an above replacement level birth rate, some balkan and baltic nations are suffering from dramatic depopulation crisis and western europe is increasingly having to rely on non-european immigrants to keep their population afloat and it's still not enough while also creating the same problems Russia has with too many ethnic minorities.
Sounds like more of a problem of sending too many Russians to a pointless war to die zzzzzz
I think no country will ever go to that point of total collapse. There will be man or woman step up to kick asre and solve
Except North Korea.
Well, a LOT of migrants are coming here to Europe, how many people migrate to Russia? By the way... "too many ethnic minorities"? are you talking about... like... THE ENTIRE HISTORY OF EUROPE????
@@duhmzdaih Out-numbering of the native population by non-native immigration is arguably worse than a haemorrhaging population, look at western China and the Native Americans being wiped out as examples of that.
@@Fr_87 worse? haha, worse for WHOM??? what you say stinks of xenophobia. "native population"?? hahaha, unless you live in Africa, you are the descendent of migrants, period, at a certain generation, your ancestors WERE NOT in your "native" country. There are people in America, Asia, Europe and Oceania because people migrated there. Humans are migrants by definition, and "native" is a made-up concept that makes sense only from a tribalistic perspective. How do you define that a population is "native" in a certain place? a couple of centuries living there? a thousand years? it's always arbitrary, you can't define it in an objective way. Western China and Native Americans being wiped out? LOL "native" populations do the same to each other, look at the aztecs or the ancient greeks. Little boy, tribalism isn't limited to race or flags, there's tribalism in a family fighting another family, there's tribalism in gangs killing other gangs. Your examples are bad.
As a Russian i can approve that i'm already dead
😁
Dead Inside?
@@cirno_the_mediocrity and outside as well zxc777
Дякую🎉
реально, тоже самое
пипец
Although "The death of Russia" feels a bit dramatic, it is obvious that we are leading to that or something similar so there is very little to criticize. Nice job again with your research
your russian ?
Try Koreans. Birth rate of 0.7 pretty much tells they want to die.
@@igorkraljevski9191 north macedonians are literally bulgarians, what are you talking about...
Hope the US will fall too
Just plagiarized Peter Zeihan's points that he's repeated in his last 3 books. Probably lifted this from recent interviews as Z then brings up the spectre of Russian nuclear first use in lieu of conventional military success.
13:40 in fact Putin himself has admitted this failure. He says that the most tragic thing that has happened in Russia's entire history was the Collapse of the Soviet Union, and he said that he's unsure if they'll ever manage to remedy this.
Edit: for everyone asking, here's the link th-cam.com/video/nTvswwU5Eco/w-d-xo.html
source?
@@randomstuffprod. I'm sure looking it up yourself would be faster than waiting for a reply
and with saying that he made sure that all the ex- svoiet countries hate him forever:) and there is no possibility for us EVER being friends....good job Putin! Almost eeverybody inmy country except for some brainwashed russians think that Soviet collapse was the best thing ever happened in here , nobody wants it back
@@HK-gm8pe I'm certain that life in the Soviet Union was bad, horrible in fact. But from a strategic standpoint, it was bad for Russia. The Soviet Union, at least in Putin's mind, did not need to be communistic in ideology. It just had to remain a united entity, a Eurasian Union of sorts.
@@misomoistt4848 I just always ask for sources. I think it's good to be sure the person is not just making it all up.
when you go so far in strategizing for a country that you go into considering a post-apocalyptic scenario
Fallout IRL baby!!!
"my life is like a video game" moment
@Text Reader then I hope that its Metro Exodus then
@Text Reader ironically Metro 2033 was made by ukrainian developers
@@Mark-tb2oz they planned it didn’t they XD
After a while, the author turned out to be right. Life without TH-cam ads has become unbearable. I hope these grave consequences will serve as a lesson for the whole world.
lol , you crazy
I know right, man living in the Russian thriving economy is such a hassle, i have to get up everyday and live in one of the most developed and powerful country in the world 😅 this youtuber is a joke!!
@@Gynophobe1 Can't tell if you're being sarcastic or not.
@@dan-bz7dz Obviously not, Russia is an amazing country and even during the war everything is fine. Don't believe me? come see for yourself.
@@Gynophobe1so great you have lost 40% of the occupied territories so far
It's a huge misconception that Russia had no industry by World War I. Russia was industrializing rapidly just prior to the war. The big problem Russia faced was that it couldn't easily retool that industry to support a war effort. So a factory that made tools couldn't easily be converted into making guns. Most of this industry was wiped out during the Russian Civil War and then the Soviets understanding the need for a strong industry rapidly, but more importantly forced industrialization. Which along with the prior wars collapsed Russia's birthrate and killed millions.
also they mobilized in record times wich surprised the germans forcing them to withdraw A LOT of their forces from the western front but it also was made extremely hap haphardeos wich made the army qutte inefficient
The link of a collapsing birthrate to industrialization is kinda shaky in this context as the obvious answer as to why people stopped having kids around the late 80s is the ridiculous poverty caused by the botched market transition
@@bagrat6085 yes
in the 2010s or 2000s people were living more or less well before the moth decided to annex some stuff
and oh wonder the birthrate was above the deathrate
The soviet union was led by hebrews. We goyim are just cattle to them
I mean people generally have that perception because they assume there has to be some reason why Russia's massive numerical advantage didnt count for more in WW1 but the reality of that is just that their military doctrine was incredibly horrifyingly terrible in the context of industrialized total war.
I find it super cool that you use animals to show countries, like how Russia is a bear, America is a buffalo (or bison, I can't tell the difference), Greece is a dolphin, Turkiye is a cat, Spain is a bull, Germany is a eagle, Norway and Sweden are both moose, etc, etc.
Buffalo is the same as bison
And Romania as a bat! 😂
Is Ukraine honey-badger? )))
USA should have been a Bald Eagle
@@Sam_Sam2 Bison. American Buffalo aren’t real buffalo, they’re bison
Russia will decline and not be a “superpower” anymore but it will surely still exist as a nation.
To destroy a nation it takes a lot of effort, look at south sudan that took 25 years and 2-3 million (SS population was never above 8 million before indipendence) deaths to become indipendent.
Russia is already not a superpower.
Interesting video! Can you give me your comment about my channel? Thank everyone
Sure, but the USSR also collapsed fairly quickly and effortlessly compared to some other countries. It wouldn't be hard to imagine Russia going out the same way.
@@binbows2258 Russia is more mono ethnic than USSR was. Russians were only 50% of USSR's population, but now they are at 80% in modern Russia. So it's not really the case of nation collapsing, but of government change
That war traumatized the South Sudan nation we fought hard for independence 🇸🇸
Ah 😅
This aged well didn't it
as a Russian, I’ll say that all those problems that were on the video have always been in the history of Russia, and this did not lead to the complete disappearance of the state (plus, the fact that there are a huge number of revenge-seekers in Russian society) and experts who remained from the time of the Soviet Union who can describe in more detail about Russian society and why Russia will NOT fall apart or disappear (compared to overseas experts who actually do not understand anything about Russia)
But now their economy, military, and population arguably cannot absorb Russia's next collapse like in '17 and '91.
Russia's arguably been in decline as a great power since the Russo-Japanese War (and had maybe even sowed the seeds of its destruction even further back with the Crimean War).
I hope your country becomes great again. It truly is tragic how much suffering the Russian people have gone through during the past century.
@@dallas9397 Russia is special most nations have cycles of prosperity and misery but Russia is a continual spiral of just misery
The correct word for the "revenge seekers" is revanchists
Man I apreciate you educating us young people in an engaging way. A lot of people that try to "teach" us modern-day politics take advantage of us newbs and our naivety by swaying us to one side of thinking or another through exaggeration, fabrication, or straight up propaganda. You coulda easily said Putin bad, or Nato bad, and most of us woulda belived you. But for at least the most part you keep it real man.
It's funny u say that bc they still do that. The only difference in this case is that they're using well researched data, geography and history, and taking them to present overly exaggerated opinions that should not be taken as factually accurate! The research is good but the conclusions are seriously flawed (such as they're main point that Russia will see a significant decline or vanish in 20 or so years). Not to mention they literally called Putin "evil" in the video.
@@2912sweetiepie Fair enough clear bias does show through in areas. But it could be a lot worse.
@@2912sweetiepie you wish lol. The simplification of complex historical matters in his videos is honestly pretty concerning. Dumbing down history to simple factors of cause and effect (like industrialisation means birthrate collapse) leads you down a path of blindness towards contingencies. And history is full of contingencies.
Though I must agree that the animals are cute :3
@@ddr4v7z i mean there are thinkers, who had a deterministic world view, but still thought the only way to deal with inevitable decline is to fight against it (best example is Oswald Spengler).
Obviously one has to ask why a situation, where a Putin can act like this, happens in the first place. But we ask this to prevent something similar to happen again and that is only possible if we accept contingencies as part of history.
He just goes into depth. Do that with anything and eventually you will arrive at the truth. His style/delivery tho is all time great narrative.
"tiny Ukraine" = biggest country in Europe, with support from NATO members and some others countries. Military support that forced them to empty their own warehouses. Well... It is very strange that the conflict has dragged on so long, yeah?
Even after a year... I still can't live without coca-cola and yt ads
I guess to an extent the problem here is that Russian leadership wants to continue Russia along at some what of a same stature level as before, while of course also becoming rich off of it. Excessive pride and greed are common themes before major disasters.
Of course this also indicates a way Russia could get out of it, 'if' it were capable of such a reform. Which is to limit its ambitions and greed, to invest more in the country while for instance aligning with other entities and accept it isn't able to do everything on its own any more. In such a case a realistic policy could be made and the country could survive and the people could even become substantially more wealthy. It's the kind of adjustment the various European nations to their West made, at times with great difficulty, but when done successfully gave them a new window to a future.
Still, that's a pretty big 'if', is Russia at the moment capable of reinventing itself?
even economic or politics cant fix a people who lost in ugly citys, nihilism, abuse, alcoholism, mass abortion of children (population decline)...but the west is maby less then 100 years from same issues.
I have advice toRussia....maybe they should try to get along with its neigbours? And not threaten us with war all the time would be nice aswell....we have tried to getalong with Russia but Putin simply makes it impossible, also Russia held soo many countries captive for sooo long...its no miracle that everyone inhere hates Russia
Russia is a land of Hail Marys. They always seem to defy the odds, defy every expectation of dying. Peter the Great RAPIDLY advanced Russia within a generation, Stalin made it from a civil war ridden country to the second superpower, either Russia dies or they somehow against all odds throw a successful Hail Mary pass. I’ll eat my underwear if they actually manage to reform somehow
The key word(s) here is "reinvent itself"
Well, they could gain some help from China, but that can only help so much as their core political and social problems still persist.
While I do respect your opinion and analysis, let’s not forget how Poland was wiped out of existence for more than a century and still existed. Countries are not broken so easily, it’s the people and its heritage that make it live forever.
Well yes, but are Russians really unified the same way that Poles were? The Chechen wars kinda say otherwise. Note that the video doesn't exactly say that Russia will cease to exist altogether, rather that Russia in its current state will die, with various regions with different cultures and peoples breaking away.
Got to have babies so there IS a next generation to come back
When was Poland wiped out of existence for more than a century?
Who occupied them?
@@sadeksama5057 really dude?
@@alinalexandru2466 yea I'm not European
I know the USSR and Germany both occupied Poland during ww2
Then the USSR had alot of influence on them afterwards
Ну че, мы уже померли?
Yeah kinda
no@@macaroni9496
щеневмерли ещё братан
@@architech007 бля ждём получается
Еще не вмерли
The "soviet car" in the video was actually an east german manufactured Trabant, which while not pretty fast and luxourious, is absurdly reliable and robust
My French teacher’s first car was a soviet model. It was always broken due to its age but repairs were easy and cheap so it was very useful for him when he was younger.
Not with it´s two stroke and plastic body. Even though I like Trabant myself, it was a nightmare of a car even when it comes to it´s reliability
Trabant is not a car, it's a lifestyle😎😎
...of eternal suffering and torture by the own government who ought to keep you happy and alive, who knows everything about you, sometimes more than you do.
But Trabante are cool
What im ultimately the most scared of is Russia getting backed into a corner and "forced" to bring in the nukes. I'm from Finland but I'm just worried for other countries, including Russia, as i am for my own. I don't want any innocent people from either side to die
it will be bad for everyone.there is no bad nation, there are bad people. And wishing someone dead is very low thing.
I am from Russia and the fact that my country will collapse is worse than a nuclear war, because the history of my country is so great that I cannot believe that it will end like this. I hope that after the Ukrainian war my people will not be split and we will finally bring ourselves freedom, prosperity and unity. #NoPutin #FreeNavalny #FreeTheRussia
@@FourtoslavGenrikhovich Если Россия и развалиться, то полностью она не исчезнет. Максимум, исчезнет федерация.
@@schwinkle716 по мнению Ходорковского, будет необходимо переучреждение государства
Well worry not as Russia won’t ever instigate a nuclear war. Russia’s main priority right now is to stay afloat and starting a nuclear war against the world would be counterintuitive and is the last thing they would want.
„Collapse“
I didn’t see any collapse when I went there. Sure it looks depressing, but which post Soviet country has no depressing places?
Russia can't even keep it's own citizens warm.
I remember, when I was young Russian graduate I could not afford to purchase my own apparent, to get married, and have kids. You need money to do all these investments in the country-s future. All the jobs available are bad low paying jobs. And I understood that I was not stupid, I was not lazy. I have no future, the whole country has no future, because all married couples I know have one kid for M + W.
It was like in America the woman were so easy it's like they don't have any men there.
Funny how it's America collapsing an Russia is now destroying nato@@engineerenginering8633
@@engineerenginering8633 source is american TV?
TH-cam recommended this to me so I'm just going to say I disagree. This comment probably won't be visible but I will still write it. People who think Russia will collapse are willfully ignorant that Iran also exists and has been under economic sanctions for much longer than Russia and has been much more isolated than Russia and had much less industry than Russia. Iran still stands and Iran won't collapse anytime soon. The same can be said for Russia.
Writing a reply simply to show that this comment isn't invisible
So true
I partialy agree because iran doesn't have Russia's demografic problems
Not to mention European countries still make backdoor deals with Russia despite the sanctions. It's all circus and lip service. This is one of thosewishful thinking videos that will age like milk.
The Russia won't collapse but USA will (due to its large portions of evil Americans in comparison to Good Americans based on how many Twitter dorks are) due to their disrespect to other nation's culture, 2 side of the same coin (both woke and anti-woke), dystopian collapse of AAA industry (both gaming and entertainment), and the capitalism that motivated greediness that cause poverty (so greedy people are the main cause of the creation of all the crimes existed)
Man this is all good and logical but it shows that you've never been to Russia and you probably don't really understand how it works. By Russia I don't mean Moscow and Saint P, I mean the rest of it. This country will Never Die. And I don't mean it in any heroic/patriotic/propaganda-oriented way, there is no emotion in it. Throughout history Russia got beaten, partially conquered, decimated, mutilated, thrown into the moral nothingness of capytalistic world after the fall of USSR, and is still here. It's just a fact. Hard to argue with. Now Russia is going through yet another dark phase of its existence. That's also a fact. And imo it's not even the darkest part of this phase at the moment. But will it die as a country? I don't think so. It will drastically change though, that's for sure.
Каждый раз Россия перерождается, но остаётся Россией и даёт врагам пиздюлей. Every time Russia is reborn, but it remains Russia and gives the enemies a pussy.
“How many dictators does it take to turn an empire into a Union of ruinous states? It’s a disgrace what you did to your own people.” Rasputin
Anyone who ever sold you pierogi? Shot! - Joseph Stalin
@@elkeking3940 “we have only to kick the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down”
-hitler on the ussr
@@helast3916 How did hitler manage to get on the USSR? And who will get him down??
Interesting video! Can you give me your comment about my channel? Thank everyone
“One time in freezing cold, my comrades and I try heroin; no effect.” -Joseph Stalin
I've been listening to this for 15 years now, but the traffic jams are getting bigger and bigger
Honestly, I feel like Russia won't die or collapse; Russia as a nation has gone through much worse in its history and still prevailed, so I think Russia totally collapsing is sort of un-likely.
I would not say they have prevailed in any regard. They have limped along.
hope the prevailed you mean here isn't related to being victorious, as @Log said, they have barely been keeping up.
At 13:06, he kinda made a argument for it. The one huge factor to why the Russian Empire/USSR were able to go through such terrible events is due to their population.
Now if you said USSR or Russian Empire, then you are correct, they would somehow survive through what modern 2022 Russia is experiencing.
But Russia is not USSR or Russian Empire. They lost all their buffer states, their population, and everything else h0ser explain in the video.
You're right- it'll explode. There'll be an ethnic Russian core west of the Urals, though, indefinitely.
@@pablodelsegundo9502 Both east and west of the Ural, both sides are mainly made up of ethnic russians.
Чё, опять? Каждые две недели умираем. Задолбали уже.
Да уж, только об этом и мечтают.
Против России практически все. Очевидно что в Россию будут штурмовать, душить санкциями и делать всë, чтобы отнять наши земли, ценные припасы и ядерное/атомное оружие. Одна жадность заставила пол грëбаногых стран МИРА объединиться чтобы попытаться забрать часть России. (Готов поспорить что если Россия падëт, США или какая-нибудь страна вроде неë или Китая заберëт всë оставшееся и потом все ополчатся на ту страну, которая заберëт территорию. Это работает как проклятие, для владельца
курс рубля не согласен
@@7h3_man да этот курс рубля сам ЦБ постоянно шатает, т.к. энергоносители за валюту продают, а бюджет в рублях расписан. Соц.выплаты и з/п, например, тоже в рублях выплачивают. Искусственно завышают, гады))
@@7h3_man пятачок спрячь, мыкола.
The author really touches on very important problems of today's Russia - a failed social and economic policy. (Not to mention domestic politics). Russia cannot get out of the demographic pit and does not want to get off the raw material economy.
However, is this a guarantee of the future collapse of Russia? I doubt. Over the next 20-30 years, the situation inside Russia itself may change repeatedly, and the option of overcoming all of the above problems cannot be ruled out.
In general, a good video, but too many loud and exaggerated statements.
Yeah I know this video makes such major political inaccuracy with trying to avoid the blame of the invasion from Putin
I think when he says, "death of russia" he means that at the very least we will see a change in the regime, he say it like that in fact, i agree he overexagerate in words, but at the end might not be that inaccurate, there is a multiethnical fabric inside of russia, and idk if for example the tatars, yakuts i'd say chechens but kadirov (i think its called its dictator) its full on the idea to go and fight however idk if the people of chechenya itself would sign up for that.
Russia is losing influence in its own backyard which was the central asian steppe towards its own "ally" china, and china will have more and more influence over russia due to its isolation becoming a one sided relationship, more like the relation between the us and mexico (im not saying it will become exactly that, but it will go one side, to the chinas side)
The russia we know today may cease to exist due to this very war
Almost everything wrong in the video
0:25 so apperantly trying to breach another countrys security isnt an attack on a sovereign state hmmm ok good logic
0:41 invaded crimea ? thats like saying castel invaded catalonia. Slavs were on the peninsula even before the tatars which were btw in small numbers and did not claim nor inhabit all of the peninsula. You can go and fact check this in the wiki with the earliest records of the population.
0:58 bismarck would laugh at you. A nation that has a history going back more than 1000 year with such a spirit and willingness to sacrifice will not dissapear. We have seen the russians pull trough simular events.
1:11 yes, yes it is big mighty and scary.
1:32 ohh god another ,,military expert"
1:34 ,,steamrolling" 🤦♀️🤦♀️🤦♀️
The lack of research shows. Bruh ukraine had the second biggest military in europe aside from russia. 200.000 regualr personal, 115.000 paramilitary forces thousands of tanks,ifv, artialry, enourmass suppoet from wesrern nations. Should i continues ? I mean yeah russsia could have steamrolled over the nation if they brough more than 600.000 troops, used their strategic and tactical bombers and had raised everrything to the ground leaving mass civilian casualties they could have wraped this in a month or so something like what the americans did in iraq. However i dout any of us want so much casualties.
1:37 sending mem in the grinder for a lost cause isnt putting up a good fight its just grinding yourself to nothingness.
1:42 we are still waiting. First they said it was only about a month untill the sanctions start to work, then they said it was a few months now theya re saying years after that it will be decades. There are many opinions on this somw say the russian economy wont even get a scratch some say they will be severly dmaaged. One thing is certain europenas are not happy with how much they have to sacrifice for a natio that they dont even care for. Sancrions also have an effect on the nation that inplements them as well further making our economic crisis worse.
1:50 nope
1:53 how can you be so bold ? Well there is the young and stupid factor, arogance and overconfidence in ones abilities and so on, we have to take into account current events and the predictions that we make fron those events, which can be and they are wring dew to the fac taht every single day somwthing happens and something changes which completely alter the future and makes pur predictions worthless.
2:11 yes and no there is nore than just the snow in siberia and with the way things are going wirh climate change tht picture might change, notice i said might.
2:16 wow guys where there are recources there is civilization, who would think of it. I can literlay use the same argument you just made for wyoming, montana, idaho,etc.
2:20 doeamt mean there arent any recources and as isad with the way climate chenge is going things might change. I see people applying the thing i say to greenland and everything you siad can as well be applied to greenland but it somehow matter only for russia ?
2:40 its as if the russian are tired of this and want to prevent it hmm maybe maybe understanding that and trying to be considarate would mean a whole lot to the russians.
2:51 uhhh not realy they do the scorched earth tactic becauase all armies no matter how many supplies they have always run out of them and need more so they always go for the napoleonic approach of feeding of the land. Unless russia is hit quickly they will pull you in a slow drawn out battle where they will grind you to death.
3:32 that js whay they are doing what they are doing.
3:38 yeah what if ? The russians habe already said it they will not fear to use any and all weapon of mass destruction in heir aresenl if such an attack occured
3:42 ok cool but what next ? They take moscow blow up the Kremlin or st.Basil and then what ? Where do we go from here ? Remeber one frenchman did that, the poles did it and what did russia surrender ? No they kept fighing and fighing. Many people see moscow as the endgame but this iant france or germany, no this nation is whole different animal. Mustache man was criticised by many for not listening to his generals but infact in most of rhe tiems he was right when he was proposing to take key cities with industeies or oil field they wanted to have trip to moscow. Then that turned into a trip to berlin.
4:06 precisely why they have been inveating in alternatice routs like the arctic or the one from india through iran to russia.
4:16 giess the black sea is useless is this why it was a major point of inteest for nato which they lost when the russians retook crimea oofff that sweet sevastopol port would have been so nice if it was in the hands of nato but its not. I dont think i need to mention turkey we already know the relation it has with russia.
7:22 hmm lets fact check this shall we using 2002-2010 data
In the nenets autonomous okrug
ethnic russians are thr ones who ahve grown in number.
In the kalmyk repubic russian have gone down slightly but so as orher ethnic groups the main ome the kalmyks are keeping their population up bu the increase is slow
In the republic of degestan its the same as in kalmyk although here is the problen such a diverse republic of 13 ethnic groups will not be able to stay alive for long not to mention its largely tribal so even if they wanted to and they dont want to no resistance can be offered to russia authorities.
In the altai region this time with data from 2014 russians are still the majority and have decreased with less than a 2000 for 12 years while the ethnic population has increased with the same amount for the same time.
In chukotka the number of people is low very low the natives chukchians make up only 26.7% of the population and with a growth of 100 people per 10 yeara they arent replacingbthe ethnic slavic (russian ukrainian population) which is more than half of the population there.
In buryatia ths slavic population is still the majority with the main ethnic group the buryats growing with 14.000 for about 8 years.
In the zabalkayski krai the slavic population is almost a million while the ethnic tatars and buryats dont number combined even a 100 thousand.
8:07 one thing that is a stereotype by our time. Russsia has taken extensive measures to adress this problem and has been droping in alcohol abuse and consumption a lot in the recent years. Btw the highest alcohols consumption rates are held by other europeans nations like hungary, latvia, slovakia,etc.
8:41 i dont know where your statisitcs come from but they are wrong data from johns hopkin university shows that only 377k have died in russia. How much od them were old and how many ethnic russians ? Considering that the majority of people who die from covid are the old ones.
8:45 no official death tol has been released but even the worst case scenario its going to be nothing like the cope from the brittish and the pentagon who have lied to us before time and time
9:05 no they were not they were an empire that was going to be a masive unbeatable giant until the dumb bolsheviks appeared also alcohol was not a comodity in imperial russia.
9:46 to say all rulers treared russians badly is to say that the frech monarchy was alwsys so generous to its people
10:02 wow you mean that improvrished farming wasnt the status quo in the 16th, 17th and 18th centuary in other natiins considering the industrial revoluti started in 1760 before which even the richest european peasants werent exactlymiles ahed of their russian coubterparts or yards or inches even.
10:09 how was the japanses force infieior ? They had almost the exact number of men as the russians and have been industrializing and getting recources from korea, the number of deaths is alsp simular on both sides. This is written as a big loss foe the russians but in reality everybody just downplays how much of power japan was and its done on purpose to sh*t on the russians just like now with ukraine which btw had one of the largest armies in europe.
10:15 the russian started to have problems with suply late in the war
10:16 is this why their producrion doubled and were begining to industrialize ? Yes they disnt had the industrial capacity of western nations but the major problem was revolution
10:25 what was the strategy for the others then ? No seriosly what was their genious western doctrines ?
What was the price for a mile of land on the western front ?
10:42 none of those descriptions mattered as communism was forced and there was support for the tsar or for anything that wasnt communist
10:50 i am from an eastern block nation and i know how these apartments look they arent small at all.
@@Silver_Prussian Tankie + Bad Grammar + Cope + Deflecting + Bad analysis + You're losing the war + Draft dodging.
@@Silver_Prussian Good analysis, you have to be very dumb to think otherwise
People have been pointing out these problems for literally centuries. Germany in both world wars thought they could “kick down the door and bring down the whole rotten structure”. These problems severely harm any efforts to become a modern industrialized economy and Russian society and governance is totally corrupt but by no means is it in danger of not existing.
The secessionist threat is also not really that big. Yes “only” 75% of Russia is Russian but there is no ethnic group near big enough to actually plausibly ever succeed in full secession. Look at what happened to Grozny. Russia would rather and absolutely will simply level a city before letting it leave their grasp.
If anything, all this corruption and isolation only strengths Russian cohesion. When all of the west is against Russia, it makes it very easy to unify Russians under the banner of “us vs them”.
Did you even pay attention to the video? Things have completely changed and Russia no longer has the population edge nor the impetus to retain its once imperial power.
Seeing how inept the russian army is, how ethnic russians are quickly aging and dying out sand how quickly the West will jump in to weaken the Kremlin, secession as a possibility can only increase. These young Chechens who were kids during the war are now becoming fathers. The turkic folks may eventually decide to team with China. Things have changed completely.
Absolutely. Russia DOES have many problems, which is why it is so underpopulated, poor and backward. But that doesn't mean it will cease to exist and more than other countries with problems. Personally I don't want to live in a country run by kleptocrats, with a male life expectancy of 58, endemic unemployment, a per capita GDP like Chile and Equatorial Guinea - where even that money is all siphoned off by the Oligarchs for their super yachts.... But no doubt Russia will continue indefinitely as a backward country with a rose-tinted view of its past and undeserved optimism about its future.
Leave it to a Kremlin bot to say corruption is their strength.
N Korea also functions this way. That does not mean it is a relevant international player.
@@pratyushdam1 russia and north korea both use these tactics but the reason why north korea is irrelevant is cause it’s tiny as hell russia is just that big
Some points to consider: 1) The perestroika tried (in a clumsy way) to fix the incredibly inefficient and centralized decaying economy and system of the communist regime, the Soviet Union was already crumbling, perestroika or not. 2) Ukraine has found huge deposits of oil and gas that can easily replace those of Russia: that, paired with its turn towards the West, made the invasion more than likely. Ukraine population is also quite aged with its younger people working abroad, is wasn't that much of a population gain (though obviously it would have helped). 3) Nuclear weapons are very costly to upkeep and maintain: their mythical huge numbers are to be taken seriously but with a grain of salt, it's not like they can be dismissed but you have to wonder how many of those thousands of nukes are operative, what is a state secret and could be quite low. 4) The population collapse is a shared problems with all developed nations, no one is safe. But Russia again, it privates Russia of its traditional strength of solving problems (send big numbers to die) and without it, it won't be able to maintain such bloated borders. Ukraine may be its last "just send thousands to die" strategy, yet they are not taking the big cities' youth for fear of a political revolt.
Another thing to consider is that among the developed nations facing a demographic crisis, it is said only the United States has the most good-ish demographics that can produce a good enough population of young people thanks in part to how the US population is more religiously conservative(the Mormons are literally carrying the US fertility rates)
@@AureliusLaurentius1099 not really the Mexicans carry the fertility rate if not even higher than average lol
@@luissimental6302 It's not a developed nation. It's developing, with rising demographics.
Also nukes have a half-life of 20 years. They need to be updated and replaced regularly or they turn into duds. At least half of the nuclear bombs in the Russian arsenal are already duds by conservative estimates, some say 3/4.
The US has a huge influx of immigration. People are still buying the American dreams, despite its flaws. The USA still has one of the best if not the best universities out there plus they're a highly innovative country although it's healthcare system is simply trash
Its not the first time in the last 200 years haters are saying that Russia is done
And it wouldn’t be the first time in 200 years that Russia did actually collapse, the communist revolution over the tzar and the Soviet collapse in the 90’s. Definitely has collapsed more times than say America.
@@dabubba4603and Russia is still standing
@@amkmapping-hu9ud how does this refute the fact that Russia is still standing?
@@mariatheoak its standing with a new government system.
@@amkmapping-hu9ud and?
I find it hard to believe any politican can plan this far ahead. Or even care.
Congratulations, you win this comment section.
Politicians can't avoid geopolitical realities.
these really arent the terms putin thinks in
his popularity was plumeting so he needed something to boost that. he cant cheat the system again last time he tried the backlash and it would be even bigger this time. was massive he also cant retire because his system is build on him being the presidet and being essentially an autocrat there is a high probability he will be prosecuted within a year of his retirement
so he needs extra rights in persecuting his political opponents and keeping people down and scared also he needs a popularity boost and the easiest way to get one is a small sucsessfull war he thinks of ukraine as a failed state that will approach him with no hesitation because this is what he was fed byhis inner circle for years now
@nicholasdarrylh.9062 The opposite is true. When you have term limits the politician only cares what happens during their term. And the referendum Russia held was to impose term limits, not remove them. Before Putin and Medevev alternated each term. The change of the constitution removed that loophole.
Watching this from Russia. Having a great laugh. Nice fanfiction, bro.
Cope
@@mikekekimdon’t tell Russian what to do, Yankee 😉
@@mikekekimIf Ukraine losses the war against Russia, it’s simply because the west allowed Russia to win.
-soyboys at infographics show
Значит, видимо некоторый тебе подобный пипл у нас живёт в параллельной реальности. Вполне нормальные были приведены в видео аргументы, но принять их некоторым горе-патриотам сложно.
@@kerikplay1692ну бля хуй знает, ежедневно выкатывают подобные видосы и ничего не происходит. Аргументы из видео применимы к любому моменту истории России. Жизнь не стала хуже, самое странное что случилось так это пожар на складе доставки откуда пожарным удалось спасти здоровый дилдо.
I think that one of the reasons for the invasion was the fear that Europe may have started opening up gas and oil fields in Ukraine thus not being reliant on Russian energy for the next 20 years or so whilst the transition to green energy including nuclear and I believe Ukraine has plenty of Uranium as well. It may well be not about what they gain so much as what they may lose, Putin has a history of getting rid of competitors in politics and might be using the same strategy in economics.
Russia wanted to get warm ports like Mariupol and Crimea who were originally part of Russia so that Russia isn't land locked. Most industries require importing things to work (chips, factory parts, etc...) and if Russia had a warm port in Crimea & Mariupol they could develop these industries instead of being dependent on exporting natural resources.
@@aoeu256 Or they could just keep the peace with other countries and ship using rail cars from those ports, like everyone else who relies on globalization and trade for their economy. Other countries also need peace to maintain an economy.
@@hufficag precisely but this is Putin we're talking about.... he wanted to reabsorb it via intimidation
It's definitely priority #1 for Russia to remain the dominant exporter of oil to Europe. Without oil money the government will collapse because they don't really export anything else except smart Russians avoiding conscription
@@aoeu256 ah yes port in crimea will spawn a chip factory. okey buddy 🤣🤣🤣
I suggest you to make a video "The death of Canada".
That's going to be interesting, isn't it?
Canada now as a critical lack of immigrants.
Sure, and make sure to use an AI software to change his voice for Trudeau's very own, for increased accuracy.
@Blackout_CDXXYa know if all of you keep leaving no wonder the country is failing.
Watch, they collapse any second now... Aaaany second now....
I like how you people see a video explaining why Russia is a sad shithole and why it will not last. And then promptly forget that the Soviet Union died in very similar circumstances and it took a decade.
@@techtical7079 Aaaaааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааny second now....
@@gzegoshbreshtashikevichIt's only been a year
@@techtical7079Forgot to mention that I would be able to finally leave my 5 room apartment to live in a cardboard house bought on a mortgage for 200 thousand dollars that will fall apart if I breath to hard, I wish I could taste the Starbucks soy milk grand latte for 40 bucks and if I stabbed my toe and went to the doctor having to pay amount equal to buying a car would be awesome. So sad that my authoritarian regime won't let me see what life in a first world country is like😢
@@debater452 aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaany second now......
Well, you aren't the first guy in history to make this assumption. The idea of "the death of Russia" is like "the conquest of Afghanistan" or "the Prohibition (in the US)".
10:30 , I know this might sound like a good point, but It was actually shocking to conventional Marxist theorists that Russia had a social revolution. It was supposed to happen in the most industrially developed societies: Germany and Britain. What I think people underestimated was: 1.) how rotten the door was to kick through (in regards to the czarist regime) 2.) how few choke points their were in the country to take command and control. The state hadn’t built up the same methods of industrial control in the same way Germany and Britain had. Essentially, capitalism was underdeveloped enough in Russia that it didn’t have the antibodies to prevent a popular socialist uprising
Good point Marx envisioned Socialism and then eventually communism rising out of prosperous capitalist nations not going from quasi-Feudalism to state socialism. Socialism was not really intended to solve the production problem imo but the distribustion and exchange problem.
щасщасщас уже умрём пацаны, зуб даю, hoser врать не будет
Твёрдо и чётко
Славянский зажим яйцами
Yes
Славяне-это потомки сарматов, тюрок и монголов. Они не европейцы.
fr
Many mistakes as in claiming Russia's population was always small. In 1913 it was 12% of the world. If there was no revolution, no civil wars and famines, today Russia would have 400-600 million people also depends on ww2. The 31 years from 1914 to 1945 were hellish in Russia demographic wise. WW1, Revolution, Civil War, Famines due to destroyed infrastructure, forced industrialization just to prepare for an eventual war that everyone was preparing for. Even Stalin said in the 30s that the USSR must do 50 years of industrialization in 10 if it wants to survive the onslaught that was being prepared (Nazi Germany). Unfortunately too many lives were lost because some European country thinks it's too strong and that invading Russia would be a great idea. The Germans have been the worst in this. Especially Nazis that killed tens of millions of civilians apart from military targets. Those 28 million lost from 1941 to 1945 were the actual death blow to Russia. If those 28 million mostly young people that died and were killed had children then the USSR would have not collapsed. 1960s Soviet Union would be more ethnically Slavic and many areas were they were a small minority would be surely populated. The biggest problem with Ukraine is that it was always treated as core Russian land. An extreme ammount of investment went there. Plane factories, ship factories, all kinds of industry was built there. Ukraine since 1654 was part of Russia and no one thought that a drunkard friend of Bill Clinton would basically f*ck up the country in 1991 and would unconstitutionally split it. Also the August coup against Gorbachev by hardline communists killed the desire for a reformed USSR that was voted in favor by more than 75% of the population of 9 republics. At that point only Moldova, Georgia, Armenia and the Baltic countries wanted out. The other 9 (Belarus, Ukraine, Russia, Azerbaiyan and all 5 central asian republics wanted to keep the Soviet Union but only with reforms. After the coup against Gorbachev that didn't target Yeltsin for some reason Yeltsin got out and after getting some support expelled the putchists. At the same time he totally banned the Communist party and all of its activities. He was rushing to complete the mission given to him by his Western backers and after banning the CP he just gathered with the presidents of Ukraine and Belarus and dissolved the country and after that Gorbachev instead of putting a fight or doing anything just admitted defeat and resigned. To me it seems like Western money just found the people who had no issue in destroying their country. After that the West instead of integrating Russia into the Western world did everything to cripple all of the Eastern Bloc with their "Shock Therapy" economic doctrine which left most exsocialist countries poor, deindustrialized and with no future. If before Bulgarian wine was sold through the whole socialist bloc of 450 million people, now no one needed it. If before cars built in socialist countries were used and traded in the bloc, western car makers totally wiped the market. And that happened with everything. That's why no exsocialist country has really recovered, all their young go to the capitalist core and eastern europe is dying off faster than any other part of the world
That's just absolutely how it is. Thanks for spreading the truth
Bro wrote an entire essay💀
bro trying to cope
that is the most russian take
"not its not me its LITERALLY everybody else"
cope harder lmao the soviet union was doomed to fail from the start
I really wish I wasn't living through major historical events right now.
I absolutely love to return to such videos after a year and wonder why Russia is still alive and kicking, and why its GDP has only grown since the 2022
You're a genius man.Truth
All countries grow massively in GDP during war years, but it's a "false" growth. Yes on paper more is being produced when counted. But what's being produced isnt things that the economy needs. Tanks and weapons may inflate the total worth of everything the economy produces but a country does so by producing far less of what the economy actually needs and digging into its cash reserves or borrowing huge amounts. And there is a limit to how long an economy can keep this up.
@@thomasg6916the key thing to note though is that Russia has mobilized their civilian industries into the war effort meaning that it is undeniable that their arms industry has surged during this conflict
Average ruskie fanboy
@@Masterchief_Tito I m not a fanboy , I m a patriot
If Russia didn't fractured in the 90s, where people were literally dying to famine and criminal gangs roaming the streets with AKs, what would make it fracture _now?_ Most of the regions have more to lose by becoming independant than to gain.
Russian People are disappearing. How does Russia survive the Russian People? Are Russians going to come back from abroad? Are other people going to migrate to Russia and become Russified? That's what people mean. As long as there are Russians, Russia will survive. But the Russians are disappearing.
@@shorewall To dissappear in just a couple decades they'll need nothing short of a retaliatory genocide.
Psychology, the ghosts of the past were still too strong in 90's. But now it is 30 years and you have 1-1.5 generations that does not remember USSR and KGB. That can be something that will make it disintegrate.
It did fracture. USSR (basically Russia in other name) lost its the most predominantly non-Russian frontiers and had experienced severe bout of separatism in Caucasus region. Not to mention it had to federalise to check separatism of the region (ever wondered why regions like Tatarstan, Baskiria or Yakutia are being called Republics with their own Presidents and constitutions instead of Coverners like in every other oblasts?).
The Caucasus definately. Putin had to use a lot of force just to hold on to that area. I think it would be the first ethnic minority region to be lost if things got bad in Russia.
I don't know about all these other ethnic minority regions though. I haven't heard of major insurgencies or independents movements in Siberia or close to, say, Kazachstan. They seem more friendly and accepting of their Russian identity, and perhaps these regions are just too sparsely populated to be viable countries in their own right.
Я вернусь к этому видео через 20 лет и тогда узнаю, кто ты на самом деле
Скорее всего подобное послание станет явью в других странах😄
There is nothing funnier than hearing a youtuber trying to put all anti-Russian cliches in a single 20-minute TH-cam video
9:07 - 12:42 is just crazy, I don't even know how you can seriously critisize that
Looking at this more than a year after this was released
This aged about as well as milk
Why
Aye, Russia will be fine.
бля я умер
Funny how your notorious sanctions didnt change my life a bit. The only thing that i noticed in every day life is the absence of coca-cola and no ads on youtube
"Sure"
@@debater452 come and see for yourself
But Cola from Chernogolovka factory is even better then original one!
@@LapkaKutiapka не, но вот байкал и квас по прежнему есть
оригинальная всё равно лучше была
@@Ion43 Ну не знаю. Я подсел на Черноголовку и больше не хочу возвращаться к оригинальной. Но у всех разные предпочтения.
I would like to see video about problems in Ukraine from you
This video is a great example that people who lives outside Russia shoudnt speculate in that bold way about it... Even experts who understand much more and have an access to some more advanced info are not that sure (if it is not for propaganda of course) about this kinda process. I dont really need much to say about because after some time we will see how it goes.
Honestly, life there didn't even change much.
Its crazy how he said that this the "last nail in the coffin" for russia as a country, while it gave more opportunities for development and boosted the production inside the country, gave second life to the technologies which were abandoned after ussr collapse, globally it shaked the dollar world trade dominance and made BRICS new rising powerful alliance
There are sober people outside of Russia. But Russians have to cope with vodka. Russians are the greatest - but only as drunkards. Russian famous soul and culture is only vodka. What will you see what you can`t see now? There is no hope for you. Drink your vodka.
@@-kenjo-421 yeah, and the most hilarious line is "russia's economic in free fall since 1991" lmao
@@-kenjo-421BRICS ain’t shit 💀
Russia/Soviet Union did not win WW1. That's just wrong.
Search for "Friedensvertrag von Brest-Litowsk"
Russia gave up about 1/3 of it's population and 1/4 of it's territory. It was partly restored by the treaty of Versailles. But WW1 was most definitely not a victory for Russia, but rather one of the most humiliating defeats of it's history.
Also the war on the eastern front was not some kind of trench warfare.
Also the Russian military was not so backward in WW1. Sure they suffered some big defeats against much more inferior German troops (in numbers) but they kicked the butts of Austria-Hungary.
@@gontrandjojo9747 well Austria Hungary was a massive clusterfuck with several soldiers generals speaking different languages, logistics was a complete nightmare and was a total burden on Germany. If they were competent ww1 would’ve been so much scarier for Russia and the allies
@@gontrandjojo9747 Austria-Hungary suffered more defeats against its enemies than BULGARIA. If Austria Hungary was even sort of united then Russia would’ve been morbed into the dirt. Austria-Hungary being utterly shit is the only reason Russia wasn’t just completely smushed in the first place, after all.
well "takes out 100 years old cope bottle"
russia was fighting a bloody civil war in the worst part of the conflict while the army has forces germany to use far more troops than they expected reliving the allies and forcing the germans to pull out crucial forces at important places like the somes or verdun but this quick and unexpcted mobilisation came at a cost of bad training and a lack of equptment and logistics also the treaty of brest was signed to late because russia was tring to get out of the useless war as soon as possible and this being the main point of communists made a lot of sense but by the time they were entiteled to pullout they it was to late and the germans got to dictate their terms
@@gontrandjojo9747 not to mention the ottomans
Good analysis, but I wouldn't underestimate Russia, historically they've always had issues like this when invading Ukraine
Any Russian against Ukraine conflict you can mention? Oh what it was always the same country
@@Wladeksk8 1917-1921 war, for example. the ussr invaded Ukraine People's Republic
@@philippinekatipunanflag4372 they were recognized by the German Empire, Austria-Hungaria, Ottomans and all of their allies in WW1. More so, they were even recognized by the soviets, after Germans helped drawing them out of Ukraine but after WW1 ended russians just went back to their imperialist policy.
@@Wladeksk8 u sound like a Russian bot lol
@@mmaksymko I might be wrong but it wasn't really an invasion, Russia was just helping the Bolshevik party in Ukraine that made a civil war causing the collapse of the Ukraine people's Republic and creating the socialist Ukraine Republic which then joined the USSR.
Russia was the 6th most industrialized country in the world by 1914, the Soviets didnt kick started Russia's industrialization as it is often assumed, but they sped it up.
the ussr and the russian empire really were night and day in terms of industrialization. russian was semi-feudal in 1914.
to be completely fair, "5th most industrialised" is by sheer number of factories or something, probably not by something per X ppl. Still mean to exclude that russian empire in the last 15 ish years of it's existance did, altho slowly, develop some industries
@@TheChewman2001-Нет. Просто Российская Империя фактически была колонией Германии. Русские была "рабами" и слугами в этой "империи". В 1917-м году население России скинуло европейское рабство и попало в "красное рабство", во главе в евреями, которые устроили русским геноцид. В 1993 году после развала СССР, на бывшей территории "России" наступило "Американское/Западное рабство", продолжающееся до сих пор...Неужели вы до сих пор этого не поняли? Это так трудно узнать?
@@TheChewman2001- Русские-это феодальный "рабский" народ.
Wrong. Just wrong
This guy studied Russian history in a McDonalds parking lot, using memes as the primary source and filling up the gaps with whatever he could pull from his ass.
"To get to the Black Sea Russia needs to pass the Crimea"
Novorossyisk: sure...
Then why did they annex Crimea?
@@haven_lady675 for the port in Sevastopol for our Black Sea Navy + returning our historical area + defending the russians + resources of the Crimea
One other thing to note: Ukraine also has a ton of natural gas reserves which if fully exploited can undermine Russia's energy monopoly in the EU.
Exactly. That's why they need to retake those regions, establish pipelines and sell them to the UE and use that money to rebuild their entire nation. So many people died because of this... In 2011 independent surveys found there to be _three times_ more oil and gas reserves in Ukraine than in Norway (a country which became VERY rich in the last few decades by exporting those resources to other countries). Putler's eyes lit up. That's why Crimea was illegally annexed soon after (in 2014). It holds the most resources of oil along the Black Sea. This war is about money.
@@zdspider6778 And Crimea always was a part of Russia, and was handed over to Ukraine as a technicality during Soviet days.
@@phillipholland6795 yeah ukraine is just supposedly used as a fake country by the Soviets to get votes in UN look.how it backfired
@@phillipholland6795 yes, but it was still anexed illegaly
@@phillipholland6795 No. Crimea was invaded by the Russian Empire in 1783. The Crimean Tatars who lived there were brutally massacred and deported in order to fill the place with Russian settlers.
Clearly not propaganda
Bias maybe but propaganda isn’t the case also most things that was talked about are true about Russia
Im sure he's going to delete this video when the war is over. lmfao
9:30 anyone else thinks this is both sad and funny.
“I ain’t Russian.” Niko Bellic
Russia may die or conduct reforms and a new policy to cope with all mentioned problems. Fun fact, after Russia defeated Crimean war in 1856 it reformed its economy, political sphere, social life, etc. The Crimean war definately boosted development of the nation.
Watch as 20 years later Russia is still around
Watch 300 years later Dollar is still around 🤣
Eh, I think you're overselling it more than a bit.
1) Russia has historically had an amazing ability to reconstitute itself, to make a very brief and scant summary, fraught with missing details furthering my point, from before the kievan rus, to the muscovites, to the tsardom, to the USSR, to modern Russia. Through Mongols, the time of troubles, the october revolution, and the fall of a superpower. No mean feat. I don't see them losing that ability now. I suppose one could argue that it's been too soon since Russia reinvented itself, but according to your timeline, they'll fall around 200, by which point it'll have been over 50 years since the fall.
2) As said above, you've mentioned 2040 pretty specifically as roughly around the time Russia will collapse once and for all. You know what is projected to happen, also around just then? A good and very much useable arctic canal, through Russian waters, with Russian ports. And given how climate estimates lean towards the hopelessly optimistic, I don't think I'd be remiss in saying it'll likely happen way sooner. This'll both provide Russia the ability to diversify it's economy, and suddenly gain easier access to the world markets.
And lastly, I am in no way stanning Russia, I'm a Swede through and through, I've known Russia as the enemy for as long as I can remember, and I'm willing to suffer if it means the Russian state suffers more. This however also means I cannot underestimate them either.
In all of history, Russia had a large population. Lots of young people to do things. They don't anymore. For a country to exert power, they need young people to be the workers, the soldiers, the drones. Russia doesn't have that anymore. And they don't have the education to make the people they do have more efficient.
@@shorewall Yeah, even though "death of Russia" seems too overly dramatic to me, there is quite something in modern times that doesn't apply to past centuries that makes everything or a lot different than before that I can't quite point my finger at.
I agreed that Russia wouldn't likely to collasped anytime soon. (They won't allow it to happened no matter that cause)
But they clearly headed for age of decline that will take them down from world stage and more focus on themselves (after Ukraine) for a foresable future.
2) is it really going to be better if the global market collapses over the climate crisis? Let alone the permafrost grounds in a lot of areas would melt and some habitable areas might cease to exist. Also fishing would stop because of marine death and farming areas would face drought. They are naive if they think they would experience the climate crisis positively. By the way the breakdown of Russia should not in my opinion be viewed positively. Whether nuclear materials would be kept safely or not the very absence of a world farming producer would cause famines and economic collapse to a lot of nations dependent on its products
@@al.7744
What climate crisis?
Its warmer during the time of Augustus and both China and Rome were at their peaks then.
Not to undersell the negative impacts of a warming climate(as it is with any shift in climate conditions) but the climate doom is just pure bs pushed by people living in beach side properties and flying in private jets to attend climate conferences
It will be weird to not have a gigantic country in north-northeastern Eurasia
No sitte Suur Suomi 🇫🇮💪🏻
Nah, you are just thnking this way ebcause of what you are used to. But if you learn some history, you will know that all these territories weren't russian before 16th century. Earlier it was all mongols and verious other ethnicities. Espeically in 11-12 c., where today's Russa made a large chunk of the Mongol Empire.
@@jurbagarga1410 So you come from Finland? I sincerely congratulate you on your decision to join NATO. Yay for polish-finnish friendship.
@@martinpiekarski1512 yes me being used to it will be the exact fucking reason 🙄
@@martinpiekarski1512 and yes, of course i know history, but i don't _live_ in history
The video already starts with a lie. Ukraine is not some "tiny little" country resisting a huge aggressor. It already had the biggest military in Europe before the war. And of course it got endless financing of the entire NATO once the war started. Without such external global support, Ukraine would have indeed already collapsed seven times over.
sadly 😢 i think it might even so numbers Russia has too many numbers
@@turtleneck369 ахахаххахах а чё в украинке то мобилизация круглосуточная а у нас нет?
i just said Russian have more people to mobilize and send to war than Ukraine it has multiple times higher population @@tipisaro1889
@@tipisaro1889Потому что Россия своих людей на убой не бросает как это делает украина с её контрнаступом
@@turtleneck369 mobilization in russia lasted for 48 days in the fall 2022. Ukraine’s mobilization has been lasting for 2 years already and getting harder and harder.
It's very funny to look at old videos of bloggers about "how Russia will lose", "Sanctions will destroy them", etc. as soon as the Blogger says that Putin "just like that" invaded, it is already clear that he is not the best historian
war is still a stalemate, million + young educated russians fled, hundreds of thousands of dead russians. and you think thats a good result?
@@glugtrop2010more than a half of that million+ are already returned, and these "hundreds of thousands dead" exist only in Hohol copium fairytales, buddy
@@dimbasz ah yes state media said so it is true!!
@@glugtrop2010 *billions
copium @@TheBobVova
> only 3/4 of Russia even russian
As russian i can say that it is totally wrong. People always think that some peoples want to be independent only because their nationality is not like major nationality in the country so they are totally different and they want to be independent. For example you may think that yakuts, tatars, belorussians, mordva and many others are not the same with russians. Sounds belivable. But there is one thing. All nationalities that live in russia mostly even identifying themselves as russians in their documents. Ok, some of them really thinking that they are not russans. But that's not means they want to separate: they just understand that they are not looking like russians. As a great argument I can surely say that all not major peoples are talking only on russian and nothing else: many of the not major peoples even have not their own language. For example I know that most tatars and yakuts don't know their own languages at all even if their regions have special free schools with tatar and yakutian languages. All i am trying to say is that thing that all not major nationalities in Russia are totally integrated and assimilated with Russia and russian culture, they don't mind about their own culture just because they have near lost it while they was integrating and assimilating with Russia with peaceful methods without any violence. Even in USSR and even in Russan Empire every tatar assosiated himselve as russian and that's ok. The only nationality that can try to separate today is chehens. They have tried this before and that is why i do not really belive they can do this again. Many things was done scinse 1998 year so they barely have even small amount of nationalism to rise against Russia. I can say also that chechens today are the most effective soldiers on the ukrainian front so i don't think they even want to separate.
So even if 1/4 of Russia "is not russian" it is not going to separate. It is literally like the spanish (mexican) people in USA: they are minority but lol most of them are native english speakers and they have not any nationalism at all, they just not have any idea of seperatism to protect because they don't want to have their country and they have no culture to protect and fight for. It is exactly just like the minorities in Russia.
I agree but Belarus should be a separate nation, and it is on paper know
@@fedeonio555 thats dumb but majority of them thinks that they are brothers with russia and supports war
I wouldn't say that the overwhelming majority of yakuts don't know their language. But i can agree that some yakuts who live in Yakutsk don't speak and don't understand the language. And i believe that this is the fault of their parents, who reject to speak yakutian and speak only russian. Because they believe that the yakutian language is the language of villagers, the mambets. I call it an intra-national chauvinism😂
Zelensky is a Hero! a brave Fighter, while Putitler is an old, ill, impotent , evil Loser! He looks like a Mongol, Wife and Daughters left him, he is a Dictator of a Shitholecountry, a Paria-State!
So, ruSsian Minorities OUTSIDE RuSSia are an Argument for "RuSSki Mir", but INSIDE, the other Minorities must stay still.
RuSSki TrollSSki!
мы это с 14 года слушаем,но это как всегда оказывается очередной фантазией
Кто тебя сюда пустил? Владимир Владимирович запретил ютуб
@@jkulb452так это и есть сам вв 😂
@@jkulb452 похрюкай
@@jkulb452 а тебе зеля разрешает еще не на фронте быть? скоро заберут пушечным мясом
Я думаю что если дерево долго гниет, оно рухнет рано или поздно. Со страной то же самое. Но это не страшно, люди не исчезнут, и на этом месте будут другие страны. Белгородская Народная Республика, Московское царство, ТЫВА, Татарстан, Якутия, Сахалин, Республика Ичкерия ...
H0ser: the water is one of Russia's greatest enemies
The dutch: First time eh?
Doctor:Dreams matter
Dreams Ukraine:
I really enjoyed this video but there's one thing that doesn't really add up. You portrayed it as if Putin's politics were only a symptom of Russia "dying". I would disagree with that, as the problems with the trade routes and access to water could be solved by being friendlier with other nations and signing treaties with them. Attacking Ukraine was unnecessary and I think Putin is the only one to blame in that case
Good point. The main reason the war is happening is because of Russia's paranoia that makes up its strategic culture from its history. You know, the parts where it got invaded.
@@MrBassmann15 France and Germany had a history of invading and destroying each other. They were at least as paranoid as Russia but have managed to get over it. Economic interaction plays a big role. It didn't happen overnight but this is not an isolated occurrence.
Yes. Just to be partners with Ukraine with "Kill all Russians" politics. Great idea. It's not if Putin even didn't try.
Russia's distain for diplomacy and soft power is also rooted in their geopolitical horde mentality. Why make deals with people you don't view as people, but inferior pawns? Why bother with negotiation when you only value force? Russia has convinced itself that it is a superpower because of the inherent superiority of the Russian people, not that they were an empire that conquered, exploited, oppressed and committed genocide against all its neighbors for centuries.
@@Sorcerers_Apprentice You will habe to bag fort our gas in the nearest future, that's why. Hope you'll get none.
It's cool to see recycled news from 100 years ago drift into modern format like an old newspaper recycled by the breeze.
You'd think they learn from past mistakes but no. The oligarchs today are no different from the past elites.
@@haven_lady675 That, or "Russia's gonna collapse, for real this time." A historian could take their pick and not be wrong.
@@haven_lady675 you're looking for oligarchs in a wrong place - Russian ones have their balls grabbed by the enforcers for a long time. Ukranian, however...
I don't think Russia will literallt collapse, but their "superpower" game is definitely over. America is so ahead it would take at least some 50 years for Russia to finally catch up)
@@Testimony_Of_JTF you never know what can happen in 50 years
18:10 Putin used to live in a poor house, with rats, and other animals. For entertainment he would chase around the rodents with a stick. One time he chased one into a corner, and knowing they only had one option, the rodent jumped at putin as a last ditch effort of safety.
He says it’s the most important experience he’s had.
that litteraly never happened bruh man what is your source
He is now that rat, except with a nuclear weapon. And that's the scariest thing the world has been facing since the Cold War
It doesn’t matter if the story isn’t true. That is exactly what Putin always has been. A little scared rat in the corner.
@@Kuri_Vone An angry delusional westerner
holy shit we collapsed as hell on god
Hey everyone! I'm Russian Ivan from the Siberian wilderness, I ride a bear to school and drink vodka every day. Ask your questions
2022 Russia will fault
2023 Russia will win
Technically every geopolitical youtuber
he really just turned russia's inevitable poverty and collapse into a skillshare sponsor
But it wont collapse.
@@eliasziad7864 mind explaining
@@f2pgintoki187 Because USA will collapse first.
@@bigmoniesponge that doesn't change anything there needs to be a constant three way superpower if it's just two and one gets slightly just slightly stronger pretty much everyone economy is doomed
@@bigmoniespongethe country will be a lot weaker
Two years later and this turned out to be a giant load of horseshit lmao
I mean have you seen the rubble?
have you seen japanese yenas? @@Zuiker1
He never said that Russia would collapse in two years
If anything the last year has told us that the military power of Russia is about comparable to Ukraine supplied with whatever the weapons were not good enough for the US army
@@debater452dosnt seem is going to in that direction tho, they are recovering in terms of economy and aparently they will also win the war after the failling ukranian counter offensige
As a woman, that bit about Catherine the Great made me lose my breath from laughing so hard xD
It is hard to see Russia just stop being. It has survived much worse than economical collapse and as long as the people are there, so will Russia.
But perhaps they learn something from the hardships that are coming.
Russians literally worked their jobs for years without any payment in the 90s(sometimes they got their factory products as pay or vodka which they had to barter), you just can't break these people.
@@Admin-gm3lc you can't break the people but you can break the dictators
@@Admin-gm3lc Problem is they lived in these squalid conditions for so many generations while at the same time managed to be a major world power for at least a century that they think it is a lifestyle and government system other nations would totally be cool with hell maybe it's even desirable for countries. So they also have a misguided notion that exporting such a system by military force is good for their neighbors too and if they could just persuade them through such violently coercive methods. Yes Russians are tough but they are also extremely stubborn, aggressive and delusional. Even if they make catastrophic mistakes they still find some way to fool themselves into thinking it's the right decision.
@@Admin-gm3lc Yeah, can't break the people who now say they can't do anything against their oppressive government? Give me a break.
@@Admin-gm3lc Actually they got salary, it was basic income and state sponsored vacations etc.
11:10 “And Joseph you’re supposed to be my right hand man! But your loyalty shriveled up like your right hand man!” Vladimir Lenin
Блин, так тажко, оказывается мы умираем. Стране ещё 40 лет нет, а уже умерли. Мечтайте
As a russian, absolutely not.
10:00 Russia got THREE wake-up calls to industrialize. The first was the Crimean War. Russia actually was well on its way to industrialize after that, especially in the early 20th century before WW1. The first World War and the Russian Civil War halted that advance.
The whole viedo sounds like a compilation of all the propaganda about agrocutual Russian Empire, "Horde like" USSR and Petrostate Federation. Everything is more complex than this...
@@Berjozka It's only 20 minutes long. A full explanation could take an hour or more.
@@Aristocles22 Its better be hour long because some of his points like no industry in Russian Empire of 1913 are insane. Russia had fifth economy in the world by that time and it was rapidly growing(only US pace of growing was faster), decent modern fleet of battleships, lots of modern submarines, invented gas masks, had huge automobile factories and so on.
@@Berjozka I still don't understand what he means by "horde like society" 😅
@@zh2266 He means like every other. A society where a few fight and die and others live. It's literally every society ever. Videos on Russia by most western youtubers just sound like gibberish and make no sense whatsoever.
How's that prediction going for ya mate?
We don’t know, it’s not been 20 years yet
Even more young russians have died or fled the country. What was supposed to change?
@@Portlygolf don't need 20 years to see the obvious, i mean, listen to official financial report from russian finance ministry, they use many 'soft' terms and use quite an amount of doublespeak, but the picture they paint, brother, it's ain't pretty, not as gruesome as people expect it to be, but not pretty, not pretty at all
This did not age well
How
@@debater452 he's on the copium, won't read the writing on the wall for the long term
Man, this is 2024
West have become tired of the war, Ukraine is on the verge of the coup (zelensky vs zaluzhny), Russia had a remarkable economic growth previous year and all this with practically no effort from ordinary citizen.
The problem is, that foreigners have a very limited perception of what Russia really is. It’s economy is more self-oriented than they think, the inner demand is a key driver of the economy as well as the ease, at which the country is capable of changing its supply chain (like oil exports to India and china, for example)
There are many problems (for example problems of huge capital withdrawals by immigrants from former soviet republics that no one mentioned), but these problems are not what may lead to a collapse of the country. Moreover, everyone here remembers scary stories of the collapse of the Union and 90’s, as well as dreadful examples of failed states like Ukraine, Armenia, Tadzhikistan and Moldavia, that nobody wants to repeat it. Even in places like Yakutia (Tyva republic) or Komi republic people of local ethnicity are pro-state and highly unlikely would vote for branching from Russian Federation.
That’s because Russian is not something like “German” or “Chinese” or “Latin”: not ethnically-based, but a nation-based
@@eucaliptusxcopium?
Good video. This was almost exactly like the Russia chapter from Zeihan’s book Disunited Nations
Interesting video! Can you give me your comment about my channel? Thank everyone
it literally is lmao
Y’all know Zeihan also sources generally known information right? 😅 this isn’t even targeted towards you. I’ve just seen a lot of these kind of comments on many geography/sociology related videos.
The whole "OMG Russia can't conquer Ukraine" at17:40 is literally copied from Zeihan's recent lectures. He (Zeihan) says it all the time to emphasize how nukes might be a possibility.
Trabant was actually a gdr manufactured car. I can see why it's used in the cut corner argument, but i would nt say it sucked. for a possibillity to travel inside the country this small pile of wooden panelling with a 26 hp engine did really well. It also was easy to maintain. Legend says, that you even could use a pantyhose as v-belt and it kept running. If anything, i would say the Trabant was a masterpiece of cut corner engineering.
I agree
For what it was, given the circumstances it was made in, it's still great
For being a car..... No
Both a combination of commie corner cutting, and German space magic.
It wasn't bad idea. It was cheap car, for peopel who didn't had any.
Was it good car? No, not really. Did it get you from point A to B? Yes.
@@komiks42 Considering the real needs of most people, something like a trabant is arguably still more realistically in line with our need over our occasionally excessive wants, I mean, sure, legitimate car use exists but take the average european city or town, an electric trabant would be overkill for the needs of most people in urban areas, but even so, making them dirt cheap rental boxes akin to tourist bicycles and the like would be more than enough to massively aid transportation
@@Elenrai Yea, cheap electric car would be good. Rental, like we have some bikes nowdays? I'd say it would end up in to high of a cost.
Its easier to damage car than a bike to the state that repair isn't working.
Это видео нужно к образовательным курсам по психологии прикреплять
По шизофрении
Психиатрии
Russia: I’m gonna say the N-word
NATO: you can’t say that it’s 2022!
Russia: Nukes
I think Trumo said "putin used the n word" when he meant "nuclear word" lol
At first I was kinda sceptical about this video because of the tytle. But after I watched it I can't do anything but agree with it only giving little corrections. It's very hard nowadays finding a video about Russia on English TH-cam that's not just saying "the Russians are badies cuz Putin😡😡🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬" and actually talks about our real problems and reasons behind our aggression.
It's sad to realise how dark our possible future. And no one will help us. Even more, after the last events all the strongest governments will probably do everything for our collapse
Maybe Estonia and Finalnd should invade and take St. Petersburg to improve their borders too.
@@BlueHawkPictures17 russia still has nukes and using them against a army invading your territory is valid …
Maybe you will also pay Ukraine some reparations before going down, and don’t forget that Ichkeria is an independent state
@@Eletruun You really think the commenter above is partial to being vaporized for his country's goverment and their choices?
@@Eletruun There is no invalid use of nukes, especially against Estonian and Finnish regimes.
Whatifalthist said it best in one of his videos "Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a sign of weakness, not strength"
Strong nations don't typically invade others in the first place. Behind every invasion there is a serious economic underlining.
He is a Neo-Na*i wannabe conservative
Whatifalthist is one of the worst channels on TH-cam lmao... its just him repeating surface level information thinking its true lol.
@@martinpiekarski1512 That would mean that nations like the US and UK should be some of the weakest then lol?
@@samwell3 Uhm, how many times have these countries invaded anyone in recent history? It can be counted on fingers of your single hand. So, really, STFU and do not insult literal backbones of our civilization.
I think he should make a mini video explaining how could Russia “reform itself for good”
Good idea
Reform itself into a democratic state or just die.
To return the Soviets as the main organ of democratic power, to return to a planned economy, to expropriate the oligarchs, to reconsider the criminal privatization of 1991.
That is all. There's not even a video required.
@@Торговецложками "SOVIETS as the main organ of DEMOCRATIC power"? Hahahahaha yeah, that was a good one. A good one indeed.
So, any update? Is Russia dead already?