Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah! Yeah, if voter registration trends continue in Pennsylvania in the next year or two, it will be a lean-red state rather than a swing state. I suspect that Democrats pushing the abortion issue so much backfired on them in Texas with those Catholic Hispanics. Sure, Trump would have won Texas anyway, but I think without the abortion and immigration issues going Trump's way, it would have been much closer in Texas. Republicans have a real chance to flip New Hampshire in 2028 if more work and money is put in for voter registration and outreach.
3:35 I agree that Trump's win in Texas was impressive and an awesome surprise, but Abbott did actually win Williamson (though not by as much as Trump). Also (in Texas) Trump won Asians by slightly more than he won Hispanics
@@LeWisconsinColorado was actually surprisingly good for Trump. It's definitely not going Republican but l could see in 2028 it being about a D+9-10 state
@@ToastyRoastyPolitics again the problem with this is that this does not account for maxing out with those rural voters nor does this account for the Front Range Metro area in Denver and places like Jefferson, Douglas, and El Paso counties trending further to the left. Denver is to partisan and more liberals are moving into Colorado as well so those gains will start withering away as time goes on
@@GeTi-b2c it really was not Trump still lost the state of Colorado by 11 and that’s really only a 3-4 point swing from 2020 next cycle it will zoom to the left don’t blow up hundreds of millions on the democrat equivalent to Florida
@@ToastyRoastyPolitics Nope they still have to win at least one rust belt state to win in 2028. Unless the Republicans hold the house in 2026 and the Republicans in Nebraska make the state winner take all. Now in 2032 then they can win without the rustbelt.
They still need to win at least one Rust belt state (which l think they absolutely will) because 2028 is the last time we will be using results based on the 2020 census. In 2032 because of population gains in Florida and Texas at the expense of population loses in California and New York republicans essentially hold onto Arizona and Nevada (which l think those two states will be pretty republican for the foreseeable future) and then they literally just need to win North Carolina and they win they don't Georgia or the Rust belt (or heck they don't even need North Carolina necessarily once they win Arizona and Nevada if current population projections end up being the end results of these census any state with atleast 7 electoral votes would be enough to win 270,6 if Nebraska becomes winner take all which l think it will by the time of next election)
Republicans should try and get Colorado back because it trended more to the right than Georgia, North Carolina, and Wisconsin I'm just kidding, but if the trends in Colorado somehow continue, then maybe we could take it back
@ToastyRoastyPolitics It will probably be more beneficial to invest in states like New Jersey, New Mexico, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Virginia. Colorado is in the same boat as Illinois and New York. If they flip, it will be because of a massive country wide shift to the right.
I'm in total agreement Florida, Ohio, and even North Carolina to a certain have trended very Republican, they along with Texas will be GOP for years to come. Iowa was never in question. Michigan continues to confuse me because it's Demographics are very similar to Ohio, but Democrats continue to win Governor and the Senate races as well. I thought Mike Rogers had this won, yet Slotkin pulled it out yet again. The Spilt voting continues to be an issue, and it always benefits the Democrats on the House and Senate side. Arizona Gallego won, Nevada Rosen a horrible, horrible candidate won. Nevada has a place on the page you vote on called NONE OF THESE, that vote accounted for almost 4.5 of the vote who voted no on both candidates. How do we explain the House results? I understand the final races in California were rigged for Democrats and that cost the GOP 2 or 3 seats, but still the House is almost tied, why? Spilt voting has gone done quite a bit, but it still benefits the Democrats and that is a fact you can't deny. How do we address this issue? I'd love to hear your opinion Real American and everyone commenting. Let's discuss this.
@@cameronventiquattro4256nah we are screwed there. 2028 is the last election we would probably have a chance on the presidential level for a long time. Luckily after the 2030 census we don't at all need Georgia we literally just win Arizona, Nevada,North Carolina that's like 280 right there. Now on the local level we could still contest Georgia probably until the mid 2030s as for some reason we tend to get very lucky in Midterms here (like in 2018 and 2022) probably going to have another two term republican governor probably Jones l think but after that yeah.
Not necessarily, Trump winning Georgia by 2.2 means it's probably in pink North Carolina territory. The North Atlanta suburbs and Fulton County itself shifted right.
I think 2020 was a bad election for Republicans similar to 2008. The Texas swing in 2020 was similar to John McCain almost losing ND, SD, and MT in 08 as well as the extreme leftward swings in states such as Indiana and such.
But I think Republicans did pick up some house seats in '20? Dems have not made hugely big gains since Obama. I think really poor Republican picks gave them that chance.
Merry Christmas!
Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah! Yeah, if voter registration trends continue in Pennsylvania in the next year or two, it will be a lean-red state rather than a swing state. I suspect that Democrats pushing the abortion issue so much backfired on them in Texas with those Catholic Hispanics. Sure, Trump would have won Texas anyway, but I think without the abortion and immigration issues going Trump's way, it would have been much closer in Texas. Republicans have a real chance to flip New Hampshire in 2028 if more work and money is put in for voter registration and outreach.
Republicans will screw it like they always do
Merry Christmas ✝️✨ 🎄🎁✝️
May the Lord God Almighty fill your heart with hope, peace, joy and love.
hey can you make a video of what Trump's first week in office will look like / what you think it will look like, love you streams and vids
3:35 I agree that Trump's win in Texas was impressive and an awesome surprise, but Abbott did actually win Williamson (though not by as much as Trump). Also (in Texas) Trump won Asians by slightly more than he won Hispanics
If GOP doesn’t drop the ball than in 2028 PA will pull a Florida 2020
I did think NJ was going to be as close as it was. I predicted a 3-5pt loss
AZ, TX, VA, NH, and maybe CO were left trending states that are now reversing
Colorado is not reversing and NH, VA are starting to stagnating even Newsom would win CO by 15 points it’s that gone
@@LeWisconsin CO trended farther to right than WI, and WI is state where Republicans are gaining with rural voters
@@LeWisconsinColorado was actually surprisingly good for Trump. It's definitely not going Republican but l could see in 2028 it being about a D+9-10 state
@@ToastyRoastyPolitics again the problem with this is that this does not account for maxing out with those rural voters nor does this account for the Front Range Metro area in Denver and places like Jefferson, Douglas, and El Paso counties trending further to the left. Denver is to partisan and more liberals are moving into Colorado as well so those gains will start withering away as time goes on
@@GeTi-b2c it really was not Trump still lost the state of Colorado by 11 and that’s really only a 3-4 point swing from 2020 next cycle it will zoom to the left don’t blow up hundreds of millions on the democrat equivalent to Florida
In 2028, Republicans just need GA and AZ to win
If you said 2032 you would be correct.
@@dvferyance on the 2028 electoral map, Republicans just have to hold on to GA and AZ
@@ToastyRoastyPolitics Nope they still have to win at least one rust belt state to win in 2028. Unless the Republicans hold the house in 2026 and the Republicans in Nebraska make the state winner take all. Now in 2032 then they can win without the rustbelt.
They still need to win at least one Rust belt state (which l think they absolutely will) because 2028 is the last time we will be using results based on the 2020 census. In 2032 because of population gains in Florida and Texas at the expense of population loses in California and New York republicans essentially hold onto Arizona and Nevada (which l think those two states will be pretty republican for the foreseeable future) and then they literally just need to win North Carolina and they win they don't Georgia or the Rust belt (or heck they don't even need North Carolina necessarily once they win Arizona and Nevada if current population projections end up being the end results of these census any state with atleast 7 electoral votes would be enough to win 270,6 if Nebraska becomes winner take all which l think it will by the time of next election)
@@ToastyRoastyPolitics Reapportionment doesn't happen until 2030.
We talk politics a lot, but today I want to wish everyone a very Merry Christmas. May you and your family be blessed on this day
MERRY CHRISTMAS RAP!
Merry Christmas! 🎄🎁
For some reason, NE-2 shifted to the right in 2024
Merry Christmas
Merry Christmas ✝️✨ 🎄🎁✝️
May the Lord God Almighty fill your heart with hope, peace, joy and love.
Merry Christmas for our LORD and Savior was born on this day Amen.
Merry Christmas 🎅 🎄
Colorado trended more to the right than Wisconsin, Georgia, and North Carolina
That's wild
But it's still too left wing to win.
That doesn’t prove anything that state is so dead even Newsom would win CO by more then 15
MERRY TRUMPMAS
MERRY CHRISTMAS
Fox news had Trump up in FL by only four for the longest, I was like, know way. Trump should take FL by at least 7.5 possible 8. Minimum.
Merry Christmas everyone have a bless Christmas
Except the democrats
Republicans should try and get Colorado back because it trended more to the right than Georgia, North Carolina, and Wisconsin
I'm just kidding, but if the trends in Colorado somehow continue, then maybe we could take it back
Do not go to Colorado that place is gone for a very long time focus on Minnesota
Press Read more@@LeWisconsin
@ToastyRoastyPolitics It will probably be more beneficial to invest in states like New Jersey, New Mexico, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Virginia. Colorado is in the same boat as Illinois and New York. If they flip, it will be because of a massive country wide shift to the right.
That is not a misquote
"Just to BARELY.... get to 270"
Haha love the thumbnail with Trump wearing a Christmas hat. Merry Christmas RAP!
I'm in total agreement Florida, Ohio, and even North Carolina to a certain have trended very Republican, they along with Texas will be GOP for years to come. Iowa was never in question. Michigan continues to confuse me because it's Demographics are very similar to Ohio, but Democrats continue to win Governor and the Senate races as well. I thought Mike Rogers had this won, yet Slotkin pulled it out yet again. The Spilt voting continues to be an issue, and it always benefits the Democrats on the House and Senate side. Arizona Gallego won, Nevada Rosen a horrible, horrible candidate won. Nevada has a place on the page you vote on called NONE OF THESE, that vote accounted for almost 4.5 of the vote who voted no on both candidates. How do we explain the House results? I understand the final races in California were rigged for Democrats and that cost the GOP 2 or 3 seats, but still the House is almost tied, why? Spilt voting has gone done quite a bit, but it still benefits the Democrats and that is a fact you can't deny. How do we address this issue? I'd love to hear your opinion Real American and everyone commenting. Let's discuss this.
I think that New Jersey flips to Vance in 2028, and he holds Trump's 312.
it was wildwood nj!
Georgia would be for dems by then
If the gop plays their cards right Georgia wouldn’t flip for a long while
@@cameronventiquattro4256nah we are screwed there. 2028 is the last election we would probably have a chance on the presidential level for a long time. Luckily after the 2030 census we don't at all need Georgia we literally just win Arizona, Nevada,North Carolina that's like 280 right there. Now on the local level we could still contest Georgia probably until the mid 2030s as for some reason we tend to get very lucky in Midterms here (like in 2018 and 2022) probably going to have another two term republican governor probably Jones l think but after that yeah.
Not necessarily, Trump winning Georgia by 2.2 means it's probably in pink North Carolina territory. The North Atlanta suburbs and Fulton County itself shifted right.
@@dustincarner6675 Cobb County moved to the left
@ToastyRoastyPolitics It was still outweighed by Gwinnett and Fulton moving right and continued Republican gains in Central GA and the Black Belt
I think 2020 was a bad election for Republicans similar to 2008. The Texas swing in 2020 was similar to John McCain almost losing ND, SD, and MT in 08 as well as the extreme leftward swings in states such as Indiana and such.
But I think Republicans did pick up some house seats in '20? Dems have not made hugely big gains since Obama. I think really poor Republican picks gave them that chance.
On this fine Christmas the people that illiterate on the holy text is profound and the amount of people mocking Catholics like you rap is atrocious
I’m voting Donald J Trump in the 2028 primary. No Vance. Sorry boys.
Merry Christmas 🎄
Merry Christmas!