2 Added Plays!! 🏀Bet #2: James Harden (LAC) Over 14.5 Reb + Ast (-125 on DK) *1 UNIT.... I will go the full unit on this one. I talked about liking Harden Under 22.5 Pts in this video, but no Holmgren scared me off just a bit as he is a part of the defense along with that great Pick n Roll Defense. I still think he goes Under Pts, but I now lean more towards Harden's Over Reb + Ast here. OKC does 2 things that help this one (Which we showed in the Def Vs PG's segment of the video).... Allow the MOST Rebounds to PG's in the entire NBA (No Holmgren will only help that), and also are average when it comes to Assists. Their great on ball defense and ability to limit PG's leads to more assists and less points for guys like Harden who love to play in isolation and PNR's. In that earlier game Vs OKC, Harden had 20 RA's! It was on 20 Rebound Chances and 10 Potential Assists. We have a good matchup for this, while Harden is averaging 17.1 RA's on the season. We just need 15! 🏀Bet #3: Zach Collins (Spurs) Under 6.5 Reb + Ast (-135 on Bet 365) *0.5 UNIT... This one is a bit off the radar, but Collins has gone under this line in 8 of 10 games this season. He only has 1 game with more than 7 RA's. His Minutes are VERY CONSISTENT. Last 4 games, he has played 14, 15, 15, & 15 Minutes. He has to do well in limited time. He is only averaging 5.3 RA's/Game this season to go with 6.3 Reb Chances and 2.7 Potential Assists. With only averaging 9 total Potential RA's, he would have to be pretty efficient to hit 7 here in his 15 minutes of play. The Kings are actually a tougher matchup for the Under as they allow Rebounds to Centers (Assists is luck since he rarely passes it), but he faced a couple other teams that have given up A LOT of Rebounds to Centers this season in OKC and the Clippers. He only had 5 & 4 RA's in those 2 games. Just not enough volume or minutes for him. He would have to get lucky to go over this, so I will take my chances!
Thank you for the work, Stephen. Bringing the unique statistical info. Hope you had a nice wknd and good luck to all this wk. A lil extra spending money for the holiday wine gifts, quickly approaching.
What do you think about Wemby Under 35.5 P+R? He had 24 & 16 last game but it was against the Jazz so i think this line is an overreaction as he only averages 18 & 10?
I agree... I think it has to do with more how they switch screens a lot as well. I was a bit shocked myself too, but they did allow the 12th Most Pts to PG's last season.
I’d take harden DD. He might even get a triple double with the thunder pace. Especially since thunder are down 2 big men. They’ll play even faster more than likely.
Bulls are bottom 10 defensive team. Cavs are top 3 offensive team. Bulls don’t have the pace or matchups to even keep up with the cavs. You can take bulls ML if you want but Cavs probably win by 10+
2 Added Plays!!
🏀Bet #2: James Harden (LAC) Over 14.5 Reb + Ast (-125 on DK) *1 UNIT.... I will go the full unit on this one. I talked about liking Harden Under 22.5 Pts in this video, but no Holmgren scared me off just a bit as he is a part of the defense along with that great Pick n Roll Defense. I still think he goes Under Pts, but I now lean more towards Harden's Over Reb + Ast here. OKC does 2 things that help this one (Which we showed in the Def Vs PG's segment of the video).... Allow the MOST Rebounds to PG's in the entire NBA (No Holmgren will only help that), and also are average when it comes to Assists. Their great on ball defense and ability to limit PG's leads to more assists and less points for guys like Harden who love to play in isolation and PNR's. In that earlier game Vs OKC, Harden had 20 RA's! It was on 20 Rebound Chances and 10 Potential Assists. We have a good matchup for this, while Harden is averaging 17.1 RA's on the season. We just need 15!
🏀Bet #3: Zach Collins (Spurs) Under 6.5 Reb + Ast (-135 on Bet 365) *0.5 UNIT... This one is a bit off the radar, but Collins has gone under this line in 8 of 10 games this season. He only has 1 game with more than 7 RA's. His Minutes are VERY CONSISTENT. Last 4 games, he has played 14, 15, 15, & 15 Minutes. He has to do well in limited time. He is only averaging 5.3 RA's/Game this season to go with 6.3 Reb Chances and 2.7 Potential Assists. With only averaging 9 total Potential RA's, he would have to be pretty efficient to hit 7 here in his 15 minutes of play. The Kings are actually a tougher matchup for the Under as they allow Rebounds to Centers (Assists is luck since he rarely passes it), but he faced a couple other teams that have given up A LOT of Rebounds to Centers this season in OKC and the Clippers. He only had 5 & 4 RA's in those 2 games. Just not enough volume or minutes for him. He would have to get lucky to go over this, so I will take my chances!
i went to legoland this weekend. people were lined up for blocks.
Haha nice! I actually thought you went there at first 🤣
Thank you for the work, Stephen. Bringing the unique statistical info. Hope you had a nice wknd and good luck to all this wk. A lil extra spending money for the holiday wine gifts, quickly approaching.
Thank you, appreciate that! Hope you had a great weekend as well... It's a great time of the year! Good luck today
Appreciate the info you throw in your videos. It’s has help me with the start of this season 👊🏾
You got it, glad it has helped you! Good luck with your bets today
What do you think about Wemby Under 35.5 P+R? He had 24 & 16 last game but it was against the Jazz so i think this line is an overreaction as he only averages 18 & 10?
The Celtics giving up #2 most points to PG was surprising considering they have White and Holiday
I agree... I think it has to do with more how they switch screens a lot as well. I was a bit shocked myself too, but they did allow the 12th Most Pts to PG's last season.
The analysis is awesome! Thanks Steven!
Thanks, glad you like it! Good luck today!
Thank you 🎉🎉!
Does harden get 5/6 boards?
I’d take harden DD. He might even get a triple double with the thunder pace. Especially since thunder are down 2 big men. They’ll play even faster more than likely.
I just added a play in the Pinned Comments that may help with your question! 🙂
@@shareefsallis9416 I agree! I just added a Harden play...
Lets talk basketball 🏀
Let's win some money
Over game total for Cavs and Kings
Good luck!
Jabo
🎉🎉
lets Go
CHICAGO BULLS ML LOCKED IT UP💥
Why
u are crazy
Bulls not beating the Cavs 😂
Bulls are bottom 10 defensive team. Cavs are top 3 offensive team.
Bulls don’t have the pace or matchups to even keep up with the cavs.
You can take bulls ML if you want but Cavs probably win by 10+
Go big or go home! Cavs cant win every game, right? It wont be easy, that's for sure
Let's go
1st
🥇