NYS could face dramatic population decline over coming decades

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 23 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 134

  • @estherepps6914
    @estherepps6914 หลายเดือนก่อน +23

    the answer is not IMPORTING a lot of poor people

    • @miltonfriedman3593
      @miltonfriedman3593 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Unfortunately for last 200 years that's case in New York, usually it was Americans migrating from other states, now why come here? Liberals destroyed it

  • @rushrush1209
    @rushrush1209 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    It's no surprise. Cold weather, high taxes, high cost of living, corrupt politicians make people want to leave.

    • @x-men69-96
      @x-men69-96 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Democrat is the main reason

  • @MillennialMommie90
    @MillennialMommie90 หลายเดือนก่อน +49

    Absolutely not! The taxes here are outrageous! You can’t even opt out.

    • @wyverstone7657
      @wyverstone7657 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      On the other hand, my living expenses actually went down after I relocated back home to NY State from Florida. Same size house, same everything except my address.
      Yes as you say, my taxes are higher ~but~ without HOA fees, outrageous insurance costs, and higher food costs my monthly bills are less. And that’s not even taking into account the cruelty shown citizens by state bureaucracy down south… Which is something I personally don’t want any part of.
      I 💙
      N Y

    • @Spyrit2011
      @Spyrit2011 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      If our tax dollars weren't going to corporations, instead of New Yorkers, in terms of public services, we'd have up to date infrastructure and benefits for us. The privatization of public services has got to go. I didn't agree to corporations profiting from my tax dollars, do you?

    • @wyverstone7657
      @wyverstone7657 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @@Spyrit2011 I agree with you that privatization of public services has got to go. Absolutely.

    • @Spyrit2011
      @Spyrit2011 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@wyverstone7657 You know all the things progressives talk about like medicare for all, could be had if the extremely wealthy and corporations were not stealing the people's wealth, as the nation's wealth
      belongs to all the nation's people. Citizen's United has to be ended.

    • @MADGUNSMONSTER
      @MADGUNSMONSTER หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@Spyrit2011 Agreed, unfortunately.

  • @frankduci7138
    @frankduci7138 หลายเดือนก่อน +30

    Born and raised in the Capital District. Left in 1991. Visit family every year. No way I could pay those ridiculous taxes and weak on crime policy.

  • @bobertrobertson130
    @bobertrobertson130 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    as a nyc resident, i see a growing divide between the population here, increasing number of poor people and the extremely wealthy

  • @Spyrit2011
    @Spyrit2011 หลายเดือนก่อน +20

    After Prop 1 being passed, this is the wrong prediction. NYS needs to crack down on equity firms causing extremely high housing prices.

    • @ZaKRo-bx7lp
      @ZaKRo-bx7lp หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      This is a demographic study based on birth rates and internal migration. Cheaper housing would lessen the population decline not prevent it.

  • @RicardoFinnigan
    @RicardoFinnigan หลายเดือนก่อน +17

    A great state run by a terrible state government

    • @Bobby_T_
      @Bobby_T_ หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Just like China

    • @gary9933
      @gary9933 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      It's been that way since upstate lost being able to push back NYC in the assembly starting in the '70s.

  • @markmilitant
    @markmilitant หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    High crime high taxes low quality of life with so many other modern affordable states to live in 2024 new york is old news.

  • @Ray03595
    @Ray03595 หลายเดือนก่อน +18

    I don’t see the problem. Pretty annoying that every media channel keeps saying every area in the country has to be having a population increase or else. This area of the country is already extremely crowded.

    • @steve3131
      @steve3131 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You will when New York goes bankrupt. And president who Kathy Hochul, Letitia James and Alvin Bragg tried to imprison on (no pun intended) trumped up charges isn't going to inclined to bail out his home state. Neither is the rest of the country. New York's ills are self inflicted.

    • @dangerjones6
      @dangerjones6 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      a shrinking population is usually a negative indicator. When people leave a state you have less of a tax base to collect revenue from and that negatively impacts social services - and NY has huge financial obligations based on a growing population which it was historically used to. It's also suggests you don't have a growing economy providing jobs that can support a growing family or younger people hoping to start a new life. It also of course suggest a high cost of living, making it difficult to enter the house market either for renting or owning. Population increases also has it's downsides but Population decreases has more bad than good. The good might be future lower housing costs due to lower demand, although that might not be so great for future sellers hoping for gains in future price appreciation.

    • @derek4412
      @derek4412 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      It’s “extremely crowded” because people actually want to live there. It means something in that society/culture actually works. As people leave, that means that the society/culture is breaking down. Which is not good for those who are left which tends to be those who are less educated, less wealthy, less married, and with fewer children.

    • @truther001
      @truther001 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@dangerjones6 Really. More people means higher housing costs. NYC and LA are perfect examples.

  • @nicholasthompson7690
    @nicholasthompson7690 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

    I fled for good in 2022. It would be a hard ask for me to move back.. Cost of living is crazy. State Government is too top heavy.

  • @DetLauderdalePI
    @DetLauderdalePI หลายเดือนก่อน +23

    It's taxes

    • @JC-nl3nh
      @JC-nl3nh หลายเดือนก่อน

      it's displacement, nothing to do with taxes. they are importing the entire world into our once all american communities and basically blockbusting the USA apart with foreign occupants driving up our cost of living forcing our people to leave our own cities for chinese and indian wealthy (who come by the millions because they each have BILLION population, there is an endless stream of them to displace us...)

    • @donniemoder1466
      @donniemoder1466 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Definitely, the rich people keep moving out because of the high city/state taxes and the state is going to be poor as can be. And the entitlements the state gives out to its residents are not going down because the politicians are afraid to make any cuts, so the state will eventually go bankrupt.

    • @wyverstone7657
      @wyverstone7657 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@rfborden4854 call it Woke, or Progressive when I say; picking on minority or fringe groups of our neighbors plays us all into the hands of those who wish nothing more than to pit us against each other.
      We don’t need to agree with, or even like each other. When we defend individual liberty for people not like us; we are really defending our own individual liberty. When we cheer the loss of other people’s rights to live there own peaceful life paths, whose to say who’s next?

    • @wyverstone7657
      @wyverstone7657 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@rfborden4854 you know, I can’t say I disagree with you. Within an idealized mindset education should be just about the 3 R’s reading, writing and arithmetic. Honestly though I’m glad that my elementary school education in New York was a lot more than just that.
      While we’re on the subject, and thinking about acceptance of people different than us; I remember when people would complain about Saint Paddy‘s day, I remember them complaining about Christopher Columbus Day. I remember them “way back when” people were complaining about women who wore pants.
      Seriously, it’s almost comical and ironic, but kind sad…. different decade; same old shyt
      What I liked about growing up in New York is it was drilled into my head that we all get to live like we wanna live, and say what we wanna say. Plus+ even if we disagree with our neighbor about what they’re saying, or how they live their peaceful lives; we still defend their right to say their piece, and we all go home in peace.

    • @JC-nl3nh
      @JC-nl3nh หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@donniemoder1466 the rich are the only ones moving in to the city lol

  • @steve3131
    @steve3131 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Keep electing politicians like Kathy Hochul and Letitia James if you want this to continue.

  • @wyverstone7657
    @wyverstone7657 หลายเดือนก่อน +35

    People do like to complain about NY, yes.
    However I’m for one am “happy as a clam” to relocate back home to New York State after spending 39 years working in Florida.
    Taxes are absolutely higher ~but~ without HOA fees, outrageously high insurance costs, and higher food prices; my monthly expenses are less than in Florida. As for climate being colder? It’s fantastic compared to down south.
    Same size house, same cars, same income; lower monthly living expenses.
    And honestly, the cruelty that Florida bureaucracy shows its citizens is nothing I want to be part of.
    And as far as our NY state government goes: NY is better at promoting the general welfare, and working to insure tranquility through such things and our anti discrimination laws. It’s that constitutional stuff.
    I’m grateful to have been born in New York, and raised as a kid by the people of🗽New York.
    I 💙
    N Y

    • @RoughNeckDelta
      @RoughNeckDelta หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      You didn't even mention the hurricanes and the fact FL is sinking, the humidity, alligators casually strolling about...

    • @wyverstone7657
      @wyverstone7657 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @ you’re correct about everything your comment says.
      Something else I neglected to mention is about the property tax system in Florida.
      It’s lower for long term homeowners. So being as I was paying property taxes starting in 1984 my tax bill was “constrained” to $560/year.
      The couple from Michigan who bought my Florida home now pay $3,107.84/year (I just checked) and that doesn’t include the $550/month HOA fee.
      Lots of beautiful highways and infrastructure in Florida. It doesn’t make anyone feel better looking at it though… while stuck in daily 60 min traffic delays.
      ✌🏽

    • @Bobby_T_
      @Bobby_T_ หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      You’re correct but I still don’t get how you can enjoy living in a state like NY or California in modern day

    • @gary9933
      @gary9933 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You definitely proved the point about moving due to not being able to make a living up there. I grew up in NYS and actually like it there; however, the job market is bad and if you don't already have a pension or savings don't move back up there--period.

    • @izzyci
      @izzyci หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      less sun damage on skin too = look younger than those with leathery Florida skin

  • @bjturon
    @bjturon หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Of course the property insurance market is collapsing in Florida, Texas struggles to keep the lights on, Phoenix has set records for going months with 100+ degree temperatures, and North Carolina look safe till, uh, that big hurricane that also wacked Florida and Georgia. With global warming accelerating, I would not make any firm predictions, as the Sunbelt has big issues with climate... of course, New York is currently on fire...

    • @povertyspec9651
      @povertyspec9651 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Hurricane Milton wasn't that bad. I live 30 miles from the coast, northeast of Tampa, and didn't even have a power outage. Florida is absolutely booming with never ending development.

  • @TheSmokinApples
    @TheSmokinApples หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I love my state of New York and I’m proud of that but property taxes are sky high in upstate New York, for decades estate has not cultivated a competitive environment for business growth, housing is expensive

  • @Bobby_T_
    @Bobby_T_ หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Why live in NYC when you have all the same things with less stress in Boston, Miami, DC, or cut costs by moving to Philly or Chicago

  • @donniemoder1466
    @donniemoder1466 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

    Good, too many people are here already.

    • @MADGUNSMONSTER
      @MADGUNSMONSTER หลายเดือนก่อน

      EXACTLY!!

    • @SittipongKhochit-k5w
      @SittipongKhochit-k5w หลายเดือนก่อน

      More people more problems humanity will get wiped out

  • @gary9933
    @gary9933 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    The decline isn't super dramatic overall. The reality is that NYS--particularly upstate--has for the lives of most citizens been in perpetual decline. New York State has had millions of productive people leave for greener pastures with the seemingly endless blue collar job layoffs going on. You'd think NYS would want to attract businesses, but in reality they don't care based on the ever increasing taxes. You'd think given the robust education system it wouldn't be very difficult to attract people up here despite the weather, but I've seen no changes. I personally think their backup plan is to replace everybody with migrants/refugees.

  • @robyndavis3043
    @robyndavis3043 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    There’s also a bit more crimes, not enough jobs, higher inflation, and, over-priced property taxes!

  • @ernstthalmann4306
    @ernstthalmann4306 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Too expensive
    Mean people
    Over crowded
    No wonder!

  • @Daniel-es9dq
    @Daniel-es9dq หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Let’s lower the cost?

  • @harrychu650
    @harrychu650 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Policy since the 1970s has de-emphasized the family unit and many non-profits/NGOs have targeted the nuclear family as something oppressive. Divorce rates have skyrocket following the no-fault divorce legislation. As we look back on these failed policies we are beginning to see the irreversible damage they have caused.

    • @RoughNeckDelta
      @RoughNeckDelta หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Wait, how does no-fault divorce explain any part of people moving out of state when all 50 states have their own form of no fault divorce?

    • @RoughNeckDelta
      @RoughNeckDelta หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Also, the fact that people choose divorce when given the option, doesn't that mean the institution of marriage was suspect in the first place?

    • @harrychu650
      @harrychu650 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@RoughNeckDelta Family formation, birth rate and job participation rates have plummeted since. Credible research studies are finding that there is now a loneliness epidemic and mortality rates are heading the wrong way.

    • @RoughNeckDelta
      @RoughNeckDelta หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@harrychu650 But if every state has NFD, then every state would also have declining family formation, birth rate and job participation rates

    • @harrychu650
      @harrychu650 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @RoughNeckDelta the trend is not only across the US, but across Western European Countries. Clearly this was a policy decision somewhere along the way.
      We literally have the lowest percentage of the working age population participating in the workforce today. Something is seriously broken.

  • @transplant-f3p
    @transplant-f3p หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Extremem northern New York never had that many people. I do not think it will affect that area. When I lived there, I liked it that way. In central New York STATE lots of business' no longer exist.

    • @JC-nl3nh
      @JC-nl3nh หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      northern NY already hollowed out, it once had a much higher population than it does now.

  • @charleszeitler8536
    @charleszeitler8536 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    Ya and NYC was supposed to be under water by now.

    • @ZaKRo-bx7lp
      @ZaKRo-bx7lp หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      How old are you? The dramatic sea level rise thing has been debunked since the mid 2000s when they discovered more data on historical sea level patterns. This stuff is backed by actual statistics and demonstrable evidence from multiple studies on populations over time.

    • @MADGUNSMONSTER
      @MADGUNSMONSTER หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Just wait.

    • @Bobby_T_
      @Bobby_T_ หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      It’ll probably eventually be underwater even if the sea levels didn’t rise

    • @althea15424
      @althea15424 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Underwater in debt most likely

  • @dmbfantony
    @dmbfantony หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Please post a link to the study so that we can review it. I'm not convinced of this prognosis.

  • @Just_an_alien1
    @Just_an_alien1 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Needs more housing and not only focus on nyc but have more jobs in other cities

  • @harmonizedigital.
    @harmonizedigital. หลายเดือนก่อน

    Looking at past trends throws the projections way off.

  • @jeffreyg4626
    @jeffreyg4626 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Great news! Traffic has quadrupled here in WNY over the last 40 years. And I sure as hell don't feel as safe as I did in the 1970's and 1980's. Keep Buffalo a secret: Stay the hell out!

  • @Eazye166
    @Eazye166 หลายเดือนก่อน

    We won’t notice though… I moved from the Bronx to Putnam County. The population here is lesser than the city but it’s a fresh breath of air per se…growing up in the city it was noticeably less people which made finding an apartment or home quicker and cheaper. Let’s hope that comes back after they starting kicking people out.

  • @adrianharris6000
    @adrianharris6000 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Lack of immigration reform will continue to eracerbate the problem. Americans are only having children at a 2.0 clip; whites specifically at 1.6. Modernization decreases child birth and increases the need for immigration.

    • @JC-nl3nh
      @JC-nl3nh หลายเดือนก่อน

      importing foreigners to displace our remaining people is literally an act of genocide/ethnic cleansing, what the hell are you talking about? we do not need to replace americans with foreign people. EVER.

    • @ZaKRo-bx7lp
      @ZaKRo-bx7lp หลายเดือนก่อน

      @adrianharris6000 dude, how old is your data? The country's been below replacement since the 2008 financial crisis. Gen Z is having way fewer children than Millennials, and overall fertility is lower than 1.7, Black birth rates fell from over 2 to the same level as Whites and Hispanics are also seeing plummeting birth rates. Nobody is thriving, and migrating to New York is less and less appealing every year.

    • @povertyspec9651
      @povertyspec9651 หลายเดือนก่อน

      The US population is higher than ever.

    • @Joe-wk9ow
      @Joe-wk9ow หลายเดือนก่อน

      we don't need an increase in migration. We need lower taxes and better laws. Plus with the abortions on demand also has a big dent in our population.

    • @adrianharris6000
      @adrianharris6000 หลายเดือนก่อน

      That's due to immigration and Hispanic bith rates being at 2.6.

  • @pimpnamedslickback7780
    @pimpnamedslickback7780 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I actually think some of us are considering moving back up north. Florida is mess right now especially with the insurance issues. And it's no longer the cheap place that it was advertised to be

  • @Aimchristy.franklin
    @Aimchristy.franklin หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    that's the bad news??????

  • @whodonit
    @whodonit หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Nice try diddy

  • @dmbfantony
    @dmbfantony หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Does this account for climate change? The Great Lakes region has been identified as a region that should feel less dramatic climatic changes compared to much of North America. One might think that it will eventually be a desirable place to live within the next generation. If I had the cash, I'd be buying up land in the Adirondacks and the Southern Tier.

    • @Musicdudeyoutub
      @Musicdudeyoutub หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The wealth redistribution scheme you're talking about won't cause people to move to New York.

    • @dmbfantony
      @dmbfantony หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@Musicdudeyoutub I agree. In fact, I would prefer that less people move there.

    • @Musicdudeyoutub
      @Musicdudeyoutub หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@dmbfantony Let's take action on climate change. What action? Moving our carbon emissions to China and India, of course! Shift the blame!

    • @dmbfantony
      @dmbfantony หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Musicdudeyoutub idk, seems like Zimbabwe and Lesotho would be easier.

    • @Musicdudeyoutub
      @Musicdudeyoutub หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@dmbfantony lol

  • @Nicohello666
    @Nicohello666 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I'm one of the people leaving very soon!

  • @danieldelacruz7305
    @danieldelacruz7305 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Well deserve especially nyc it’s way too expensive for even younger plp to want kids and live there

  • @michaeljeffery7466
    @michaeljeffery7466 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Interesting.

  • @VerWRLD
    @VerWRLD หลายเดือนก่อน

    Build more housing to get housing prices lower.

  • @mauricioramirez9744
    @mauricioramirez9744 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Long Island is overpopulated in my opinion.

  • @povertyspec9651
    @povertyspec9651 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    High taxes, terrible roads, lousy climate, Democrat control.

  • @ryanortiz2648
    @ryanortiz2648 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Leave New York City to the Billionaires and Democrats.

  • @michaelion7753
    @michaelion7753 หลายเดือนก่อน

    You want to kow the real reason? Look into the deagel report popularion 2025. You're welcome. Prepare.

  • @ray1411
    @ray1411 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Key point: We should possibly keep the migrants.

  • @davids6698
    @davids6698 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Anyone else thinking of that Simpsons clip?

  • @victorhardin2186
    @victorhardin2186 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Welll duuuuuhhhhh

  • @doctordl7757
    @doctordl7757 หลายเดือนก่อน

    More jobs yayyy!!!

  • @ricosally6734
    @ricosally6734 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I moved there in 2010, thought it was a nice place even with the weather, had to move though, the racism was unbearable

  • @crb4059
    @crb4059 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Flee the blue, join the red.