Hey, friends! Nothing out there right now, but development is looking likely late in the month and through October. Be cautious what you see on social media. A storm is looking likely, but location is unknown. Great to see you! - Jonathan
@davidIrthum Hope things dry up over there you guys all got hit pretty hard..we got Debby but luckily I was in Jacksonville.. so not too bad here.. Much ❤
Jonathannnnn - always a pleasure to see u - not when something is coming up - but just in general 🤗🤗🤗. Still watching u from Lake Charles, La - still anxious until November 30 - still always thanking u for comfort and weather facts/science - still adore u. 🙏🏻❤😍🤗✌. PS. When I saw the new partition, I chuckled cuz I thought ur enthusiasm and passion in giving us the weather was disturbing some of ur coworkers 😂🤣😂. Take Good Care.
Question- I been watching you for a few months and what is all that behind you? do you also work for a station? They allow you to have your own channel?
Hi! First off thanks for watching! I work at Channel 6 WKMG in Orlando. The channel is company owned…I just provide the weather content for it! - Jonathan
Thank you Jonathan! Watching from Central Florida.....l truly hope somehow, someway this thing won't develop. Please be safe everyone....best wishes to all people, pets, and wildlife 🙏💗
Thanks for your coverage my only concern and question is WHY don't you show dates not just the day but the date as you show what is developing? It's tough for those of us with eye trouble but with all you share it would be helpful to have dated time day stamp please. Notice you said "Friday not this Friday next Friday" that's still very confusing.
I am quite concerned about the ensembles showing a large and dangerous storm around West Central Florida. This year in terms of impacts have already been significant. I am not usually overly concerned about this stuff. Takes a lot for me to be concerned. This is the year for major impacts. The signals are very strong. We must be vigilant. If this really happens in areas that hasn’t been hit by anything serious in a long time, many are underprepared and assume it will not happen.
FROM NOAA: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some slow development of this system is possible through the middle of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. In other words not much to be concerned about
Looking back around this after the storm, wow, the dire warning was sadly true. Storm surge was indeed the worst in 50 years for some places. Also, the worst flooding inland in over 100 years.
Thank you for sharing this with us plus letting us insights of Mother Nature calls lol. I very much love the learning of the climate control. Thank you again
Not tropically. They would pinwheel around each other and weaken. This process is known as the fujiwhara effect. Non tropical systems have merged with tropical systems however…superstorm Sandy and the perfect storm in 1991 are a couple of examples. - Jonathan
Yes I did some development closer to home in gulf coming near ending of the month still must be prepared and I saw next name on descprtion is Hermine its Helene that name was used last year great job Jonathan keeping us informed joining from Fort Myers, FL!
Hi! I would sit tight right now! Storm will likely be just developing in the western Caribbean by the 22/23. Then not sure where it’s going to go but it could lift toward to Louisiana or even more west. Trends to watch through the weekend will be if the storm takes longer to consolidate it will go more west away from Florida and the Bahamas. If it’s quicker will tend more towards Florida. So there is definitely a chance it stays west of you, but too early to tell! I hope this helps! - Jonathan
I worked in Florida from 1990-to 1997 I saw Andrew Was on the tree and debris team of old Cypress Gardens Anheuser Bush owned it our tree crew of Cypress Gardens worked helping people who went through hurricanes like Helena and Milton Please Fallow the warnings, we saw Homestead Florida flattened, our crew helped with our equipment, CYPRESS GARDENS ANHEUSER BUSH CHANGED TO LEGO LAND AND I DON'T KNOW IF THEY HAVE THE TREE REMOVAL CREW THAT I WAS ON
I’m kind of nervous and scared that this may come to New York City and we lose power! Please hope and pray that won’t happen because I’m kind of depressed!
FROM NOAA: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some slow development of this system is possible through the middle of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Let’s be honest. We are on sept 17. You guys say augers is going to be hyperactive. That was false. You said September was going to be hyperactive. I will give you credit it was at first but quickly faded away. Let’s be honest this year is more than likely a bust with La Niña not expected till November
What’s your definition of bust? Season has worked out with our forecast in terms of landfall. We likely won’t see the crazy numbers forecast come into fruition however the next four weeks look active. La Niña index just tanked and MJO coming in. - Jonathan
It takes one. Also, we already had 6 storms impacting land and major flooding. This upcoming storm is probably going to be the biggest of the year. The forecasts have been a bust to an extent. But impacts, absolutely not.
@@pm5206 yes I understand that what was named was brutal especially with beryl and Debby but this one is still a week out and every model has been wrong with things related to this “one” storm. I’d still take it with a grain of salt and if it changes have fun taking it out on me here
Knowing now what has just happened with Helene, your words spoken "I don't want to get anyone in a tizzy", seem lacking sombre right now. If only you indeed knew to express that sentence with a more dire stress. Gosh, Mother Nature is a beautiful beast, but she can be powerful and sometimes dangerous force to be reckoned with. I love her but gosh can she be cruel! 😔
Extreme weather is astonishing related to extreme behavior. Especially on 'Social media' :) / :( Doesn't compile well into our extreme weather future... Thank you
Look at all that hot water fuel. Gulf of Mexico and its surrounding land is screwed. Florida takes another hit like it just took. There may not be a Florida left.
9/10 was the average peak. It's 9/17, another 9 days before this comes. Based on all the prediction before June 1, sign me up for where things are at right now.
@@helennethers9777 you really believe that nonesense. When they spray the sky all the rain clouds scatter. How spraying the sky predicts the weather. It is all chemical. If there is a climate change, these chemicals cause it.
@@tomkenesson1748 I did. Then I said said why it didn’t get bad in a later video. This is a little different. MJO doesn’t appearing to collapse like last time. Also that hurricane brought a lot of flooding so I wouldn’t call it minor. - Jonathan
He’s the king of that! Where’s that hurricane that he said will happen and he scared everyone in the Caribbean. Not sure what was so sensationalized about this. The activity is going to explode and I used science to back it. Go look at Mr. Weatherman’s thumbnails and you will see he misleads people. - Jonathan
@@just_weather "Mr. Weatherman is a fearmonger!" That's rich, coming from you. Just look at the title of your video. It's the same alarmist narrative the media and YT channels like yours have been endlessly regurgitating since Beryl. To this day, not one of those predictions has played out like it was supposed to.The season is falling behind by the day, and we're now almost three storms behind average, according to CSU. Let's also not forget that this was supposed to be "Supercharged September", with 6-10 named storms throughout the month. As if that wasn't frustrating enough by itself, every time the forecasts have failed to materialize, you all have coped, shifted the goalposts to later in the season and said "It's really gonna happen this time guys! Ohhhh, the season's about to explode for real! It's gonna be a record-setter!", only for it to then flop ten times harder. Why should anyone believe your dire forecasts now?
Troll elsewhere. I didn’t say a hurricane was going to form when it clearly wasn’t. I said the season was going to explode. Which it is. And I showed you why. Look at some of the other titles and get back to me. The media doesn’t fear monger you just have this narrative in your head. I’ll wait. - Jonathan
@@just_weather Pointing out your hypocrisy isn't trolling, first and foremost. You threw shade at someone for being sensationalist, yet are sitting here saying the hurricane season is going to “explode" when there’s maybe two storms in the pipeline… in late September. Sounds pretty dramatic to me. Do enlighten me as well: how are descriptors like "explode" not sensationalist? "The media doesn't fear monger, you just have this narrative in your head." Nice attempt at turning it on me, but unfortunately for you, I'm not stupid. I've watched the media hyperventilate over this hurricane season before it even started; after Beryl, it has only worsened. Here's some examples. Virtually every media outlet has (ab)used the persistent record warmth across the Atlantic as evidence of human-caused global warming, and an example of the growing existential threat said global warming poses to humanity. That’s not scaremongering? Beryl was supposed to set the stage for how the rest of season would go (according to most outlets), and was "a sign of a warming world" (from the BBC). It was also stated by outlets like NPR that climate change played a significant role in why Beryl became so strong. Still doesn’t sound like scaremongering to you? After July and August performed well below everyone’s expectations (i.e. they flopped spectacularly), we were supposed to have a "supercharged" September (per AccuWeather, and forwarded by other news outlets). I guess that's also not scaremongering? Even as September continues to underperform enormously, predictions like yours are claiming the rest of the season will be very active and that it will totally, absolutely, unquestionably happen for real this time. Surely that also must not count as scaremongering? This season was also supposed to be a "critical turning point" for the climate, according to Environment+Energy Leader. Clearly not scaremongering, right? Back in April, University of Pennsylvania had stated this season would produce 33 named storms, with the potential for up to 39; a record high for the Atlantic and the world. Take a guess as to who led the team responsible for that prediction. Micheal Mann, a well-known and documented career climate alarmist. One of his biggest reasons for the extreme prediction? Global warming, as usual. Yet you’re telling me I'm the one with a narrative? I could list many more example of the extremely obvious scaremongering sensationalism in the media’s coverage of this hurricane season, but I think I’ve made my point. It goes without saying that there are countless other examples of this openly alarmist reporting out there. “The season is going to explode. Which it is.” Said literally every forecaster ever since Beryl, only to be dead wrong every single time, each time more so than the last. A more favorable MJO doesn’t mean much considering we had similar conditions in August, yet were able to pop out only two fairly weak hurricanes. The record warmth hasn’t done anything for the season since Beryl, as every other factor imaginable has stifled anything that tries to develop. Granted, that doesn’t mean it can’t, but that’s only if everything else lets up. Most importantly, the La Niña, which was essential to everyone's extreme predictions, is still MIA three months after the El Niño dissipated. It should have been here well before now and isn't set to make its debut anytime soon. In light of all the failed predictions, why should anyone believe you or the myriad of other forecasters now? TL;DR: I think you calling someone else a sensationalist while saying two potential storms (in late September) is the season “exploding” makes you a hypocrite. I also think you and everyone else saying “The season’s really gonna pick up this time, guys!” for the 10,000th time after three consecutive months of disastrously botched predictions gives people little reason to believe you the 10,001st time. Also, the media absolutely fear mongers, and they do it constantly. I genuinely can't believe you tried to argue that they don't.
May 2024: OMG, this season will be explosive, prepare!!!!!!! June: OMG, we have a hurricane, first of dozens, OMG!!!!!! July: Anytime now! August: ...anytime now... September: normal activity is the new apocalypse! October: I promise, there'll be so many storms! November: Come on!!!!!!! Argh!!! (Oh by the way this winter is looking epic!) December: This winter will be catastrophic, start preparing now!!!!!! January 2025: Big snow storms anytime now!!!! (ICE TOO !!!!!!) February: normal winter storm activity in the new apocalypse! March: Oh look a Nor-Easter', oh, wait, no :( April: Argh!!!!! (oh but this coming hurricane season is looking crazy!) May: Due to continued poor forecasting, JustWeather is having to cease operations due to a lack of funding.
I’m not sure what you’re talking about here. Obviously you like to troll and haven’t watched my videos. I didn’t forecast an explosive season I forecast an impactful season by looking at where the storms could go. I even made a video on what could keep the season quiet. You can look it up. My winter forecast hasn’t come out yet but it’s. It going to be catastrophic and I’m not like the others that will write prepare now. I ask that you stop trolling and please no what you’re talking about before you make claims like this. - Jonathan
@@just_weather Exercise Scheduled - Sep 5, 6:05am - Oct 10, 2.55pm CDT ACTIVE, Surface - FL450 GERMAN AEROSPACE CENTER ATMOSPHERE RESEARCH WILL TAKE PLACE NOTAM ID: N0060/24 SBAO
@@just_weatheryes they do. Trust me, I keep an eye on the tropics all during hurricane season and have been through many storms. But the time horizon for any reliable forcast is at best a week, maybe two. Certainly not months, years or decades as some would lead us to believe.
12 Z - 18 Z GFS very close to Tampa looks like we're going to have a trough possibly digging down in the southeast several models showing this scenario depending on strength of trough could influence track more Northeast we shall see CMC GFS like Florida quite a few many of the E members liking Florida
Clickbait. Been here long enough in Pasco (40+ years)to know if it’s this late in the season we’re not getting anything in the next month. Time to put up your Halloween decorations and wait for the “cold” fronts to come through.
Would you like me to name all the storms that have impacted Florida in October? Some of the worse one. This isn’t clickbait. Troll elsewhere. - Jonathan
![ปฏิเสธไม่ไหว (Crush on you) - LIPTA feat. No One Else [Official MV]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/NBw1jF342vw/mqdefault.jpg)
Hey, friends! Nothing out there right now, but development is looking likely late in the month and through October. Be cautious what you see on social media. A storm is looking likely, but location is unknown. Great to see you! - Jonathan
Rain in the Sahara desert. Check this out
Stop the fear monger man
I had a dream where i saw 2 hurracaine merged into a dark bigger form .... i hope this not gonna happen
Greetings to all of you from South Louisiana. We are slowly recovering from Francine.
Hope you are doing ok after the storm. Thank you for tuning in! - Jonathan
@davidIrthum Hope things dry up over there you guys all got hit pretty hard..we got Debby but luckily I was in Jacksonville.. so not too bad here.. Much ❤
The fact that this guy and Naz joined up is the best thing ever.
Jonathannnnn - always a pleasure to see u - not when something is coming up - but just in general 🤗🤗🤗. Still watching u from Lake Charles, La - still anxious until November 30 - still always thanking u for comfort and weather facts/science - still adore u. 🙏🏻❤😍🤗✌. PS. When I saw the new partition, I chuckled cuz I thought ur enthusiasm and passion in giving us the weather was disturbing some of ur coworkers 😂🤣😂. Take Good Care.
Haha I’m sure it was 😆 good to see you too! - Jonathan
A whole new studio!! So awesome. You deserve it immeasurably. That was some good news to come along with some not so good news.
That’s a good way to put it! I really appreciate it. Thanks for being a part of it! - Jonathan
Good to hear from you again. True, it has been unusually quiet for september .. with you back on board .. much appreciate 😊
Hello my friend! - Jonathan
Thanks Jonathan. Great job. Super informative!
@@iglapsu88 appreciate you! Thanks!
@@just_weatherWilma (2005) started around there came straight towards South Florida
Late October
Question- I been watching you for a few months and what is all that behind you? do you also work for a station? They allow you to have your own channel?
Hi! First off thanks for watching! I work at Channel 6 WKMG in Orlando. The channel is company owned…I just provide the weather content for it! - Jonathan
Thank you Jonathan! Watching from Central Florida.....l truly hope somehow, someway this thing won't develop. Please be safe everyone....best wishes to all people, pets, and wildlife 🙏💗
Thanks for your coverage my only concern and question is WHY don't you show dates not just the day but the date as you show what is developing? It's tough for those of us with eye trouble but with all you share it would be helpful to have dated time day stamp please. Notice you said "Friday not this Friday next Friday" that's still very confusing.
I typically do but I will do better. - Jonathan
*These shows are best--when its just you Jonathan.* *Smiles*
Appreciate you! - Jonathan
Jonathan is the best and the only reason I watch!
@@tamijo69 you are too kind! Appreciate you! - Jonathan
Texas I like how you explain weather
I appreciate that! Thanks for the feedback and for tuning in. - Jonathan
Information helps understand everything so much better. Thanks for explaining in a way that makes sense to us all.
Watching from Rockledge, FL 😊
Welcome! You should watch news 6 if you don’t already! I’m just to you Mr west in Orlando! - Jonathan
Micco fl
South Florida in the house!!! Thank you sir
Appreciate you tuning in! Have a great evening! - Jonathan
watching from North Port, FL - just south of Sarasota
@@cherylstephenson7276 hello! Welcome! - Jonathan
Awesome video as always, Jonathan! Watching from Austin Texas!
Following in Mobile Alabama
Sameee
I am quite concerned about the ensembles showing a large and dangerous storm around West Central Florida. This year in terms of impacts have already been significant. I am not usually overly concerned about this stuff. Takes a lot for me to be concerned. This is the year for major impacts. The signals are very strong. We must be vigilant. If this really happens in areas that hasn’t been hit by anything serious in a long time, many are underprepared and assume it will not happen.
I couldn’t agree more. - Jonathan
FROM NOAA: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early
next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some
slow development of this system is possible through the middle
of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
In other words not much to be concerned about
Looking back around this after the storm, wow, the dire warning was sadly true. Storm surge was indeed the worst in 50 years for some places. Also, the worst flooding inland in over 100 years.
@@pm5206 unfortunately you’re right.
Watching from Jamaica
Welcome! - Jonathan
Watching from South Alabama
Yep. Gulf Shores.
@@BoydsofParadisemobile al here
Thanks for the update
You’re welcome! - Jonathan
Thank you for sharing this with us plus letting us insights of Mother Nature calls lol. I very much love the learning of the climate control. Thank you again
Watching from Houston, Texas
Hello! - Jonathan
Same htown Mo City Tx
Following with interest in Tampa
@@debrahdavidsonwoods1048 welcome! Hoping this thing stays away from us. - Jonathan
Same, I'm from Tampa
Have to travel to Tampa for surgery. Hoping no storms postpone it.
Watching from interlachen Florida get ready I name storm
RIGHT!!!!
love it fred from NC
We are headed down to Panama City 25th-29th. I am definitely keeping an eye on your forecasts.
Welcome! Got you covered. Thanks for tuning in! - Jonathan
Watching from Connecticut
Welcome! - Jonathan
Why
@@suzannecermy3700 Why?
What are your thoughts on possible activity in near Telum, Mexico mid October? TIA
Watching from jamaica
Central Florida here😊
We are in south east texas. Just a 30 miles north of Houston. Saturday Sept 22nd Morning 10am
Florida Panhandle . Great breakdown of everything.
Appreciate that! And welcome! I’m just down the road in Orlando! - Jonathan
That zoom in on Florida almost made my heart stop. We're ready, but not that ready!😄😄😄😄😄😄
@@katchmeifyoucan1131 haha my bad! Yeah I’m with you this thing can get out of here. I’m in Orlando and don’t want to deal with it. - Jonathan
Have there ever been three different disturbances that have merged into one to create a super storm ??
Not tropically. They would pinwheel around each other and weaken. This process is known as the fujiwhara effect. Non tropical systems have merged with tropical systems however…superstorm Sandy and the perfect storm in 1991 are a couple of examples. - Jonathan
The RainMaker was here.
👍🏻 I’m in Levy Co Florida
Charleston South Carolina here! Well technically Mt. Pleasant ❤
Welcome! - Jonathan
I’m sorry for everyone saying that your predictions would be wrong. CLEARLY you were right because of milton and Helene
It’s ok! Just was trying to make sure people didn’t let their guard down after the slow portion for the season! Thank you! - Jonathan
You were accurate now Milton projected to make landfall in Florida this Wednesday and Thursday this is one for the history books
Love the information..Maryland
Thanks! Thanks for tuning in! - Jonathan
We are in south east texas. Just a 30 miles north of Houston.
Those clouds. Must be excellent when come to here
Hi! Watching from St. Croix,
Yes I did some development closer to home in gulf coming near ending of the month still must be prepared and I saw next name on descprtion is Hermine its Helene that name was used last year great job Jonathan keeping us informed joining from Fort Myers, FL!
Did I say Hermine?? Whoops! Thanks my friend! - Jonathan
@@just_weather My pleasure now the change is made, enjoy the fall season almost to dry season now in a month from now!
Going on a Caribbean cruise the end of October for our 50th. Hoping the hurricanes stay away.
@@ClouserB congratulations! I hope they do too! - Jonathan
You are the next John Morales 🎉
Man that guy is a legend. I don’t know about that! - Jonathan
Johnathan, will David Nazario be back working with you again?
He will! - Jonathan
Watching from South East Florida (305) what are the probabilities for this to head North East yo the Miami Dade area ?
Honestly I think the chances are pretty decent. This should favor the eastern Gulf…but have to see when the actual storm develops first. - Jonathan
@@just_weather maybe like a Wilma?
Actually Wilma affected Central Broward County
Fort Lauderdale Hollywood Pembroke Pines real bad!!!
As a cat 5 btw!
@@tmartinez1948 honestly the track could be very similar to that, but we will have to see once it develops
Thanks Jonathan.
You’re welcome! - Jonathan
I have a beach trip in Panama City Beach Thur-Mon!!!!😮😮😮
Scary.....
Aurora, IL in the building.
Welcome! - Jonathan
In Toronto visiting, but live in Sarasota, FL. Yikes
Safe travels! - Jonathan
Perhaps a trek to Jacksonville.? Curious we had Debby.
Certainly in the realm of possibilities. - Jonathan
@just_weather Thank you for your response.. just moved from San Diego CA to Jacksonville two months ago.. We have our prep ready though. ❤
Good evening Jonathan
Hi!
@@just_weather I am worried about this one of these are going to hit us is that true
Lets hope they are all fish storms ....great video BTW
Thanks! And I’m with you on that! - Jonathan
Hi Jonathan, I have a Disney cruise on sept 23-27 from port Canaveral to Bahamas Nassau and a Disney Cay. Not sure what to do. What do you think?
Hi! I would sit tight right now! Storm will likely be just developing in the western Caribbean by the 22/23. Then not sure where it’s going to go but it could lift toward to Louisiana or even more west. Trends to watch through the weekend will be if the storm takes longer to consolidate it will go more west away from Florida and the Bahamas. If it’s quicker will tend more towards Florida. So there is definitely a chance it stays west of you, but too early to tell! I hope this helps! - Jonathan
@@just_weather it does help! Thank you, Jonathan!
I worked in Florida from 1990-to 1997 I saw Andrew Was on the tree and debris team of old Cypress Gardens Anheuser Bush owned it our tree crew of Cypress Gardens worked helping people who went through hurricanes like Helena and Milton Please Fallow the warnings, we saw Homestead Florida flattened, our crew helped with our equipment, CYPRESS GARDENS ANHEUSER BUSH CHANGED TO LEGO LAND AND I DON'T KNOW IF THEY HAVE THE TREE REMOVAL CREW THAT I WAS ON
South Florida here
Welcome! - Jonathan
I’m kind of nervous and scared that this may come to New York City and we lose power! Please hope and pray that won’t happen because I’m kind of depressed!
Hoping that won’t be the case! - Jonathan
I am more concerned about Tampa area. Haven’t had a serious storm in a long time.
New York,that's funny
Are you kidding me
Could you please add Atlantic Canada in a minor way ?
I can! - Jonathan
FROM NOAA: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early
next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some
slow development of this system is possible through the middle
of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
That is correct! - Jonathan
Look like a Florida hurricane huh
Like a Wilma
We need alot of storms to justify the predictions for this season.
Unless you get hit by a bad one. Terrible comment. - Jonathan
Let’s be honest. We are on sept 17. You guys say augers is going to be hyperactive. That was false. You said September was going to be hyperactive. I will give you credit it was at first but quickly faded away. Let’s be honest this year is more than likely a bust with La Niña not expected till November
What’s your definition of bust? Season has worked out with our forecast in terms of landfall. We likely won’t see the crazy numbers forecast come into fruition however the next four weeks look active. La Niña index just tanked and MJO coming in. - Jonathan
@@just_weather number of named storms and ACE
It takes one. Also, we already had 6 storms impacting land and major flooding. This upcoming storm is probably going to be the biggest of the year. The forecasts have been a bust to an extent. But impacts, absolutely not.
@@just_weatherYeah, next week has me very concerned about a potentially large and dangerous storm coming. That’s not a “bust”.
@@pm5206 yes I understand that what was named was brutal especially with beryl and Debby but this one is still a week out and every model has been wrong with things related to this “one” storm. I’d still take it with a grain of salt and if it changes have fun taking it out on me here
Florida
Helene, not Hermine.
Haha I know! - Jonathan
Knowing now what has just happened with Helene, your words spoken "I don't want to get anyone in a tizzy", seem lacking sombre right now. If only you indeed knew to express that sentence with a more dire stress. Gosh, Mother Nature is a beautiful beast, but she can be powerful and sometimes dangerous force to be reckoned with. I love her but gosh can she be cruel! 😔
50 miles east of Tampa, Florida.
Hello! - Jonathan
Extreme weather is astonishing related to extreme behavior. Especially on 'Social media' :) / :(
Doesn't compile well into our extreme weather future... Thank you
Fort Walton Beach Florida area
Ghosts of October. Destruction. Mayhem.
@@matthewbrandley9027 hope we can avoid that! - Jonathan
@@just_weather pray it doesn't happen. We have had enough recently
Covington Louisiana ...
Look at all that hot water fuel. Gulf of Mexico and its surrounding land is screwed. Florida takes another hit like it just took. There may not be a Florida left.
Ain't nothing gonna happen, God got this
He does…but something is going to happen. - Jonathan
Going to be a BIG STORM
ah yes fall hurricane season, makes complete sense, completely normal
Right? - Jonathan
@@just_weather I feel like we might get some December storms, maybe a major?
9/ 26 florida 1072 New York 10/3 Houston
9/10 was the average peak. It's 9/17, another 9 days before this comes. Based on all the prediction before June 1, sign me up for where things are at right now.
No doubt about that! Unfortunately the season could end on a rough note. - Jonathan
How come nobody is talking about the spraying of the sky everyday especially in the caribbean which I believe is causing the unstable weather.
Because that's how they can 'predict' the weather
@@helennethers9777 you really believe that nonesense. When they spray the sky all the rain clouds scatter.
How spraying the sky predicts the weather. It is all chemical. If there is a climate change, these chemicals cause it.
Because that isn’t going on. That’s why.
@@just_weather maybe that needs to go on and stop them in their tracks. They are doing wickedness.
@@just_weather maybe that needs to go on and stop them in their tracks. They are doing wickedness.
St Lucia following 😊
Hello! Welcome! - Jonathan
Tampa Florida
nope never tampa everywhere but there north south but not tampa
It's been over since August.
You mean all the hurricanes that have made landfall in the U.S.? Got it. - Jonathan
@@just_weather you said it was going to get bad 3 weeks ago. One minor hurricane.
@@tomkenesson1748 I did. Then I said said why it didn’t get bad in a later video. This is a little different. MJO doesn’t appearing to collapse like last time. Also that hurricane brought a lot of flooding so I wouldn’t call it minor. - Jonathan
@@just_weatheryep. Agreed.
These internet weathermen have the gaudiest graphics.. hysterical! 😄😄😄
I’m not an internet weatherman. I’m a meteorologist. - Jonathan
I hate sensationalism headlines to grab views. I'll stick with Brian Shields's channel Mr Weatherman
He’s the king of that! Where’s that hurricane that he said will happen and he scared everyone in the Caribbean. Not sure what was so sensationalized about this. The activity is going to explode and I used science to back it. Go look at Mr. Weatherman’s thumbnails and you will see he misleads people. - Jonathan
He used science😂😂
@@just_weather "Mr. Weatherman is a fearmonger!" That's rich, coming from you. Just look at the title of your video. It's the same alarmist narrative the media and YT channels like yours have been endlessly regurgitating since Beryl. To this day, not one of those predictions has played out like it was supposed to.The season is falling behind by the day, and we're now almost three storms behind average, according to CSU. Let's also not forget that this was supposed to be "Supercharged September", with 6-10 named storms throughout the month. As if that wasn't frustrating enough by itself, every time the forecasts have failed to materialize, you all have coped, shifted the goalposts to later in the season and said "It's really gonna happen this time guys! Ohhhh, the season's about to explode for real! It's gonna be a record-setter!", only for it to then flop ten times harder. Why should anyone believe your dire forecasts now?
Troll elsewhere. I didn’t say a hurricane was going to form when it clearly wasn’t. I said the season was going to explode. Which it is. And I showed you why. Look at some of the other titles and get back to me. The media doesn’t fear monger you just have this narrative in your head. I’ll wait. - Jonathan
@@just_weather Pointing out your hypocrisy isn't trolling, first and foremost. You threw shade at someone for being sensationalist, yet are sitting here saying the hurricane season is going to “explode" when there’s maybe two storms in the pipeline… in late September. Sounds pretty dramatic to me. Do enlighten me as well: how are descriptors like "explode" not sensationalist? "The media doesn't fear monger, you just have this narrative in your head." Nice attempt at turning it on me, but unfortunately for you, I'm not stupid. I've watched the media hyperventilate over this hurricane season before it even started; after Beryl, it has only worsened. Here's some examples.
Virtually every media outlet has (ab)used the persistent record warmth across the Atlantic as evidence of human-caused global warming, and an example of the growing existential threat said global warming poses to humanity. That’s not scaremongering?
Beryl was supposed to set the stage for how the rest of season would go (according to most outlets), and was "a sign of a warming world" (from the BBC). It was also stated by outlets like NPR that climate change played a significant role in why Beryl became so strong. Still doesn’t sound like scaremongering to you?
After July and August performed well below everyone’s expectations (i.e. they flopped spectacularly), we were supposed to have a "supercharged" September (per AccuWeather, and forwarded by other news outlets). I guess that's also not scaremongering? Even as September continues to underperform enormously, predictions like yours are claiming the rest of the season will be very active and that it will totally, absolutely, unquestionably happen for real this time. Surely that also must not count as scaremongering?
This season was also supposed to be a "critical turning point" for the climate, according to Environment+Energy Leader. Clearly not scaremongering, right?
Back in April, University of Pennsylvania had stated this season would produce 33 named storms, with the potential for up to 39; a record high for the Atlantic and the world. Take a guess as to who led the team responsible for that prediction. Micheal Mann, a well-known and documented career climate alarmist. One of his biggest reasons for the extreme prediction? Global warming, as usual. Yet you’re telling me I'm the one with a narrative?
I could list many more example of the extremely obvious scaremongering sensationalism in the media’s coverage of this hurricane season, but I think I’ve made my point. It goes without saying that there are countless other examples of this openly alarmist reporting out there.
“The season is going to explode. Which it is.” Said literally every forecaster ever since Beryl, only to be dead wrong every single time, each time more so than the last. A more favorable MJO doesn’t mean much considering we had similar conditions in August, yet were able to pop out only two fairly weak hurricanes. The record warmth hasn’t done anything for the season since Beryl, as every other factor imaginable has stifled anything that tries to develop. Granted, that doesn’t mean it can’t, but that’s only if everything else lets up. Most importantly, the La Niña, which was essential to everyone's extreme predictions, is still MIA three months after the El Niño dissipated. It should have been here well before now and isn't set to make its debut anytime soon. In light of all the failed predictions, why should anyone believe you or the myriad of other forecasters now?
TL;DR: I think you calling someone else a sensationalist while saying two potential storms (in late September) is the season “exploding” makes you a hypocrite. I also think you and everyone else saying “The season’s really gonna pick up this time, guys!” for the 10,000th time after three consecutive months of disastrously botched predictions gives people little reason to believe you the 10,001st time. Also, the media absolutely fear mongers, and they do it constantly. I genuinely can't believe you tried to argue that they don't.
fear mongering made my insurance increase ,shut the hell up till something real shows up
Google Wilma. (2005)
Yeah umm something is showing up. And insurance goes up after something happens…not from a forecast. Troll elsewhere please. - Jonathan
I think the hurricane prognosticators were way off this year ,but they won’t admit it.
Oh no they are. The TH-camrs won’t cause they just like hype but we have talked about why it’s been slow. Thats about to change though. - Jonathan
@@just_weatherand when you are wrong about this as well? We've heard "it's about to change" all season
@@sauriel2014 and when I’m wrong what?
@@just_weather will you make a video about how the predictions for this season were completely wrong?
May 2024: OMG, this season will be explosive, prepare!!!!!!!
June: OMG, we have a hurricane, first of dozens, OMG!!!!!!
July: Anytime now!
August: ...anytime now...
September: normal activity is the new apocalypse!
October: I promise, there'll be so many storms!
November: Come on!!!!!!! Argh!!! (Oh by the way this winter is looking epic!)
December: This winter will be catastrophic, start preparing now!!!!!!
January 2025: Big snow storms anytime now!!!! (ICE TOO !!!!!!)
February: normal winter storm activity in the new apocalypse!
March: Oh look a Nor-Easter', oh, wait, no :(
April: Argh!!!!! (oh but this coming hurricane season is looking crazy!)
May: Due to continued poor forecasting, JustWeather is having to cease operations due to a lack of funding.
I’m not sure what you’re talking about here. Obviously you like to troll and haven’t watched my videos. I didn’t forecast an explosive season I forecast an impactful season by looking at where the storms could go. I even made a video on what could keep the season quiet. You can look it up. My winter forecast hasn’t come out yet but it’s. It going to be catastrophic and I’m not like the others that will write prepare now. I ask that you stop trolling and please no what you’re talking about before you make claims like this. - Jonathan
The super storms from global warming are so bad. We can't even find them.
Beryl? - Jonathan
Germany was seeding off the West Coast of Africa last week 🤔
Source? - Jonathan
@@just_weather Exercise Scheduled - Sep 5, 6:05am - Oct 10, 2.55pm CDT
ACTIVE, Surface - FL450
GERMAN AEROSPACE CENTER ATMOSPHERE RESEARCH WILL TAKE PLACE
NOTAM ID: N0060/24 SBAO
This years hurricane season is proof that we should never believe long term climate/weather predictions made by anyone.
Not exactly. They still serve a purpose. This one thankfully hasn’t worked out.
@@just_weatheryes they do. Trust me, I keep an eye on the tropics all during hurricane season and have been through many storms. But the time horizon for any reliable forcast is at best a week, maybe two. Certainly not months, years or decades as some would lead us to believe.
Ne fla thunder and rain now sunshine and more thunder storms ne fla
12 Z - 18 Z GFS very close to Tampa looks like we're going to have a trough possibly digging down in the southeast several models showing this scenario depending on strength of trough could influence track more Northeast we shall see CMC GFS like Florida quite a few many of the E members liking Florida
Yeah with that trof I am definitely more concerned with the eastern Gulf. Tis the season for a Gulf coast FL strike unfortunately as well. - Jonathan
@@just_weather That’s why I am nervous about this.
Americans need to move off those coast lines... No insurance avail...
Oh it's over 🙄so why worry ❤
What’s over? - Jonathan
Clickbait. Been here long enough in Pasco (40+ years)to know if it’s this late in the season we’re not getting anything in the next month. Time to put up your Halloween decorations and wait for the “cold” fronts to come through.
Would you like me to name all the storms that have impacted Florida in October? Some of the worse one. This isn’t clickbait. Troll elsewhere. - Jonathan
Also Michael….no it goes back all the way to the 1800s. - Jonathan
This is a huge wack to the folks who had to endure some of our strong late September and especially major October storms in Florida…
Hopefully, scientists will come up with a plan to move the hurricane away from us. Will that ever be possible?