Will Markets CRASH or RALLY During Elections? | TAKE Action On Your Portfolio | Rahul Jain Analysis
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In this video:-
In this video, I analyse impact of elections on stock market. Could market crash or rally post elections results? Should I sell my portfolio and go away? or shall I buy more in this volatility? What happened in the past elections? All these questions, I try to share my view, right or wrong, time will decide. What portfolio strategies will play out? How to build winning stock portfolio?
Rahul Jain is NOT a SEBI registered investment advisor.
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If you found this video educating, please let me know in the comments. 🙌
Also please drop your suggestions on the topic that I should make videos. Thank you for watching and learning with me, keep rocking :-)
Thank You
At 3:05 you read Overvalued as undervalued. :)
Thanks for the video.
Thanq
Good analysis
Excellent Sir
Nice video I used to think every investor went broke during recessions, meanwhile some made millions. I also thought everybody went out of business during the Great Depression, but some went into business. Bottom line, there's always depression for some and profit for others, it all starts from having the right mindset. That said, I've set asides part of my savings to invest for future. Unfortunately I'm a complete noob.
The market has gone berserk! irrespective of experience level, everyone needs a sort of coach at some point to thrive forward.
True, A lot of folks downplay the role of professionals until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple of summers back after my lengthy financial setback, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of due diligence who helped a lot to grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation to over half a million dollars.
who is your financial coach, do you mind hooking me up?
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've been stuck with Amber Dawn Brummit for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.
My needs are kind of unique and complex. I'll contact her nonetheless, and I hope I'm able to make something out of it.
You are right sir, this time INDIA as a opponent will be more stronger than previous years. We need some money in the table for buying opportunity after election's result.
You think waiting till results is too late ? or even waiting till exit poll results is too late ? Dont you think we should start accumulating from Phase.6 itself ?
if BJP drops below 272 then the real game begins there allies will betray
I think scenario one and two will see markets continue to fall another 5-10%. In scenario 3 a bigger fall will be a buying opportunity. I would pick up good shares at PE below 18.
The comparison would have made more sense if 2004 elections were considered here,as we are in similar situation now.
BJP was already in power back then and it was expected to retain power as potrayed by media ,but Congress came back to power.
This time the situation looks no different due to anti-incumbency 🥴
Thank You. Very informative and nicely analysed.
Thank You. The way you explain things short and crisp is really commendable🤝
Thank you for your thoughts
Thanks for your valuable information
Nice explanation.
Fully agree with you
Scenario 1, I don’t think the markets will rally for 10%. Market will stabilize around 5%
No brother either side it's gonna be a huge rally as fii hasn't even started buying.
But stable government is very important for the rally
Thank you very much for your valuable time!
Jay jinendra Rahul Bro Thank you so much 🙏
Please cast your vote with family members, neighbors and relatives without fail
Please do not ignore voting
Please cast your vote for Great Bharat Warsh
Jay Hind
Excellent analysis, thank you.
Jay Jinendra 🙏
Yup. All 10 of us voted for INDIA
Jai Jinendra, Rahul Good Work keep in touch
Thanks for your lovely analysis
thank you for your insight
❤️I really appreciate your clear and simple breakdown on financial pitfalls! I lost so much money on stock market but now making around $7k to $10k every week trading different stocks and cryptos
Please how do I go about it, am still a newbie on investment trading and how can I make profit ?
I will advise you stop investing on your own and seek for guidance from a professional, I don't invest on my own anymore, I always required help and assistance
from my personal Financial advisor
YES! that's exactly her name (Julia Rosa) I watched her interview on CNN News and so many people recommended highly about her and her trading skills.❤
I'm surprised that this name is being mentioned here, I stumbled upon one of her clients testimony on CNBC news last week
Excellent Analysis and gives a different perspective. Thanks.
yea i agree, excellent video
Thanks for educating us
Solid Video. Great analysis. KUDOS!
Money is not meant to control people, rather it is meant to be put to work producing more money for you. You cannot build wealth without putting money in its rightful place.
People dont understand that the prices of things are never going back down. This inflation is deeper than we think. Those buying groceries are well aware that the real inflation is much over 10%. The increments dont match our income, yet certain investors still earn over $365,000 in stocks and assets. Wish I could accomplish that.
Very possible! especially at this moment. Profits can be made in many different ways, but such intricate transactions should only be handled by seasoned market professionals.
Some persons think inves'tin is all about buying stocks; I think going into the stock market without a good experience is a big risk, that's why I'm lucky to have seen someone like mr Brian.
Finding yourself a good broker is as same as finding a good wife, which you go less stress, you get just enough with so much little effort at things
Brian demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit
2024 Elections: Sideways movement, fairly valued market; Three possible scenarios:
1⃣ BJP win: Nifty may rise 5-10%
2⃣ UPA win: Market correction of 10-20%
3⃣ No clear majority: Potential 20% correction due to uncertainty ;
Long-term: Stay put, ignore short-term volatility
Medium-term: Opportunities based on valuations, not elections
Short-term: Evaluate based on market movements, consider buying during dips.
Tq
Absolutely wrong analysis
UPA wins or BJP wins market will not go up more than 5%, has market already factored in the news completely, market didnt ask for BJP to win, or Congress to win
Only thing the market & of course the economy need in clear majority of around 300+ votes from any parties (272 to form the Govt as majority)
Any failure to satisfy the majority winning by neither of the parties, that is when we can definitely see 25% to 30% correction in Nifty & Sensex
Just imagine, ur portfolio guys if Nifty itself falls over 25% in few days, I'm sure no long term investor will see their 1 year gain wipping out in just 1 or 2 days, not coz of any fundamental change in the stocks they r holding, but after all coz of political uncertainty!
Hence, it's the best time to lighten up our portfolio by atleast 75-80%
If u think, u can continue to hold for another year or so, then face the consequences sooner or later!
BJP 350+
Market 13% up then crash
Note this❤
awesome
BJP may not get 230seats
Thank you 🙏🏻
Nicely articulated...❤
BJP will have Majority.. but 400 paar very difficult.. No point staying in market for next 15-20 days(Those who can’t see 5-10% further drop in portfolio).. book your profits re evaluate your losses and stay put with liquidity for next opportunity ..
For Long termers Go get a vacation and delete your broker app for some time😊
Why didn't you explained earlier about India Vix. We investors would have become cautious in building long positions.
Same here bro took otm calls😂😂
Thanks for the insight
Thanks a lot for valuable input 😊
Very good analysis...
Agree with you in respect of scenario 1 where bjp comes into power.
Scenario 2: INDIA comes to power will see the worst where the nifty will go down to 17000 and will see lot of fluctuations at least for next 2 years.
Scenario 3. Hung Parliament : initially nifty will fall 5 to 10% and as the NDA forms a government it will slowly recover.
But many people are worried about the reality of modijis remark on Adani - Ambani, funding Congress in trucks.
Is there any conflict between Modiji and Adaniji?
Please comment on it
When did he speak truth 😂
It's three basis to divide the market
Upto 300 or less but in majority
300 to 380
Above 380
Volatile should be above basis
Liked the correlation to pe. Thank you 👍
Thank you!!
Scenario 1 ..but market will slightly go up less than 6%
How do most of you guys still make profit, even with the downturn of the economy and ever increasing life standards
Yeah that's right I think it's right to invest with professional at least it saves the trauma of too much loses
Mrs Nancy Williams Laplace
This is correct, Nancy's strategy has normalized winning trades for me also and it’s a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started..
Nancy is considered a key Crypto Strategist with one of the best copy Trading Portfolios and also very active in the cryptocurrency space.
The first step to successful investment is figuring your goals and risk tolerance either on your own or with the help of a financial professional but it's very advisable you make use of professional
Thank you for excellent information 👌
Thank you, very insightful
I am a student and I will start my investment journey in this month . At age 17
Good luck. Starting in early age is good.
Cool, if you do it right you will be millionaire for sure by the age of 50 . best luck
wish you all the best! Starting Early is a good thing !
Congrats.. But start with your pocket money or your earnings only.. Don't invest with other people's money or debt or savings /emergency funds of your family... Mean while practice paper trading for some days..
I started back when I was 15 I started with forex then crypto, now I will be pursuing stock market forever❤
Senario 1
BJP 350+
Market 13% up then crash
Note this❤
😂
Thanks!! Valuable analysis.
Thanks..... Brilliant analysis
BJP is not going anywhere beyond 220-230 and this is the ground reality.
They will need a good alliance to form government. The markets will slowly figure this out with results date nearing and its time to sit tight on cash. Irrespective of the results, just try to do lumpsums in 3-4 instances between the last phase date and result date, the time when exit polls would be out.
U r better than German Shepherd🚶🐏🐏🐏
True
Hey why you comparing him with dog. He is a good youtuber. You should not say that.
@@Ankitjaiswal-hd7pv yes u r right
@@Ankitjaiswal-hd7pv He is talking about dhruv rathee
He is one of the best analyst. Looks like someone's 'something' is 🔥....😂...
Needs Burnol.....😅😅😅
Great thank you Rahuljii 🙏
Thank you, very informative
Market will go up for sure and BJP is coming for 3rd term this is guarantee 😊
It's only the market's behavior. There is nothing to do with Rahul or Narendra
Kaun hai re tu guarantee lene waala
😂 theek toh badi position bana lay
Scenario 2 is definitely going to happen.
Apriciate Rahul ji
Great stuff, Rahul. Completely agree with your analysis. Made the best use of time. Thank you!
BJP will be in absolute majority 😅 .. scenario#1 only we are expecting 😊
Whether it's BJP or Congress markets will anyways crash. It's over bought
😂😂😂
Political parties rahe na rahe.. ye market rehni chahiye
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 It's the extreme of Andh Bakth.
India is a country fought against British rule ,for freedom .How we could allow an Autocrat who destroy our Harmony and peace ?
Britishers and Christian missionaries have caused more harm and divide than this autocrat
Be a Rahul Jain & not Rahul Gandhi in your life. 🙏
😂
Nicely told !!
Modi uneducated pm
Ha ha 🤣 😂 🤣
Best comment.. 😂😂😂
Thanks
Good analysis
Thanks a lot Rahul... excellent insight
Excellent analysis thank you
Thanks for such update
Thank u.🤝
Tq for elaborated analysis of scenario
Thank you very informative
Well explained and agree with you Rahul.
Love this detailed analysis !!!
Thank you brother. I enjoyed the knowledge you shared
Thanks for the clarity
Thank you for the indepth analysis
Thank you ji... Great efforts to educate people
Great information thanks
Thank you for your effort, great work.
Thank you for sharing wonderful content.
Your views are logically correct. Thank you
Thank you 🙏
Many thanks.
Thank You Sir
Thank you very much 👍
Thank you🙏🙏
THANK YOU
Thanks for the wonderful video as usual!
Good Analysis thank U Rahul Sir.
great and thank you
Thank you very much for this analysis ❤
Thank you for the valuable content
Thanks 🙏
Excellent analysis sir. Very helpful. Thanks a lot for this video 😊
Thank you. You are doing good 👍
Thank You
Thank You.
Thank you.
Thank you. A very lucid and well-reasoned presentation.
Good analysis, thank you sir.
Thank you
Thank you so much for a great detailed analysis
Thank you very much
Thank u.
Thank you!
Thankyou Sir.
Thank you for this beautiful data presentation.
Great insights🎉
Thanks Rahul...you are great❤
Thank you😊
Thank u!
Thanks Rahul, interesting insights
well explained, i agree.
Thanks for your informative video 😊