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No, he is not. That would be the correct way to do it and find positive EV. He is basically looking at how often a specific event occurred in the past and then comparing that to the odds being offered.
You can’t compare flipping a coin to a player having an advantage vs the team they are playing. That’s like saying we are gonna flip a coin but the surface we flip it on favors rolling heads 75% of the time.
@@LINEMAKERSPORTS I sometimes use that strat too but i am saying like sometimes a player can clear their line 95% of the time and their line is at like -120 and it misses and i am like aint no way this is 95%
In your opening example, if all books had a play at -180 (64.29% of hitting), but you find a book with that play at -120 (54.55% of hitting), you ARE gaining almost 10% of value. It’s not throwing darts at all. You also must play as many of those types of +EV plays as you can and it will profit.
He can speak for himself. But it’s clear that he’s saying that the first example as absolutely no research attached to it. You are buying solely on an edge and not if the bet is actually good or not. You are basically judging a book by its cover.
@ Understood and well explained. My point is that in both traditional +EV and Franks system, heavy betting must be done to take advantage of the edge found. If LeBron scores 25+ in 75% of his games, he scored below that in 25%…that is far below a sure thing. But, if you simply take advantage of the books lines, you will win just as much.
will this work on someone who doesnt know the sport?? I only know steph and lebron in nba and I dont watch nba. to be honest I dont watch any sport at all but I just gamble.. is there a trick that will work for me?
✅ Ready To Take Your Betting To The Next Level❓Work With Us Here 👉 go.linemakersports.com/application?el=youtube
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Frank is once again hitting us with straight up great advice on betting💰💰💰I appreciate it.
You been dropping free gems for years and I’m here for it 🔥🔥🔥
Frank's strategy definitely works
He is exactly right and thats how i bet! Well said Frank
This strategy definitely works! Been profitable ever since following.
Just found out about the plus ev betting, glad u broke it down
Great video , keep em coming man
Thanks for the game man!!
You're really the goat 🐐
Thank you!
His strategy works
Have you tried it yet ?
I parlay 2 200's or 300's and win about 60 to 70 percent
Unless each leg has positive EV, that is a losing proposition long term, as a parlay compounds the house edge with each leg added.
Frank does this apply to side moneylines as well? Like getting a team that has a 70% win percentage on the season but the odds are -200 on the ML?
You can’t get a true probability on a ML Total or Spread since there are so many variables.
Are you removing the vig before to find the Implied probability?
No, he is not. That would be the correct way to do it and find positive EV. He is basically looking at how often a specific event occurred in the past and then comparing that to the odds being offered.
@@brianb2288
Got it! Thanks!
Just cause lebron hit 75% of the time that does not mean he has a 75% chance cause if heads hit 75% of the time it still has a 50% chance.
You can’t compare flipping a coin to a player having an advantage vs the team they are playing. That’s like saying we are gonna flip a coin but the surface we flip it on favors rolling heads 75% of the time.
@@LINEMAKERSPORTS I sometimes use that strat too but i am saying like sometimes a player can clear their line 95% of the time and their line is at like -120 and it misses and i am like aint no way this is 95%
I don’t think I ever found a line that had a 95% probability at -120 usually those are like -1800
@@LINEMAKERSPORTS There was a prop they got bumped up cause some players was out but thats something that stats cant find.
Linemakersports a God lol stg I appreciate you bro you is the discipline part I look at in this game
In your opening example, if all books had a play at -180 (64.29% of hitting), but you find a book with that play at -120 (54.55% of hitting), you ARE gaining almost 10% of value. It’s not throwing darts at all. You also must play as many of those types of +EV plays as you can and it will profit.
He can speak for himself. But it’s clear that he’s saying that the first example as absolutely no research attached to it. You are buying solely on an edge and not if the bet is actually good or not. You are basically judging a book by its cover.
@ Understood and well explained. My point is that in both traditional +EV and Franks system, heavy betting must be done to take advantage of the edge found. If LeBron scores 25+ in 75% of his games, he scored below that in 25%…that is far below a sure thing. But, if you simply take advantage of the books lines, you will win just as much.
will this work on someone who doesnt know the sport?? I only know steph and lebron in nba and I dont watch nba. to be honest I dont watch any sport at all but I just gamble.. is there a trick that will work for me?
You just need to understand numbers to do this