British pound to crash in 2024????!!!!

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 พ.ค. 2024
  • This cycle says so.
    Do what the UK didn't and buy gold: tinyurl.com/7wznnkfj
    The Flying Frisby: www.theflyingfrisby.com/
    Life After the State: tinyurl.com/yepkburu
    Audible UK: tinyurl.com/myw4jdy9
    Audible US: tinyurl.com/3am4r96w
    Apple Books: tinyurl.com/5n8r3f33

ความคิดเห็น • 551

  • @charliedrake247
    @charliedrake247 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +23

    Criminals called politicians of hate for our country

    • @Onetwothree789
      @Onetwothree789 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Just as well they have all been rounded up then.

  • @KoDeMondo
    @KoDeMondo 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +62

    You don't need an Oxford degree to understand that if you mindlessly give away money for ten years, encouraging people to go into debt, and then suddenly do the exact opposite, the country will go into disarray.

    • @julienbengkee5422
      @julienbengkee5422 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      That's the central bank's idea my friend!

  • @Jonesmatsunaga
    @Jonesmatsunaga 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +179

    If that happens, it could have a significant impact on investment portfolios, especially those with exposure to UK assets.

    • @louisahernandez
      @louisahernandez 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Absolutely, a currency crash can lead to market volatility and uncertainty, which might shake up investment strategies.

    • @Thomas-ff7wn
      @Thomas-ff7wn 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      It's crucial to plan ahead and consider diversifying portfolios to mitigate the risks associated with currency fluctuations.

    • @mariadrukker2557
      @mariadrukker2557 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      You're not doing anything wrong; the problem is that you don't have the knowledge needed to succeed in a challenging market. Only highly qualified professionals who had to experience the 2008 financial crisis could hope to earn a high salary in these challenging conditions.

    • @Tylerredn
      @Tylerredn 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I agree. Investors should look into assets that are less dependent on the British pound and more resilient to currency shocks

    • @Tylerredn
      @Tylerredn 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Recently, I've been considering the possibility of speaking with consultants. I need guidance because I'm an adult, but I'm not sure if their services would be all that helpful.

  • @censorshipBS
    @censorshipBS 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +53

    Its already crashed from money printing from lock downs and hand outs

  • @pierremchughes9917
    @pierremchughes9917 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +118

    Of bloody course it's coming, how else can they introduce cbdc?

    • @LonglongMan-pp7uq
      @LonglongMan-pp7uq 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Cbdc?

    • @pmk5516
      @pmk5516 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Central Bank digital currency ​@@LonglongMan-pp7uq

    • @adanroberts7196
      @adanroberts7196 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@LonglongMan-pp7uq central bank digital currecy

    • @adanroberts7196
      @adanroberts7196 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      have you brought the new money yet ? xrp/xlm/hbar ?

    • @leswoodburn5764
      @leswoodburn5764 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@LonglongMan-pp7uq Central bank digital currency

  • @gameram6382
    @gameram6382 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +41

    We have. Just given 3 billion to Ukraine, the printing machine is pumping out more.

    • @dominicestelley2168
      @dominicestelley2168 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

      Do you really think that Ukraine is receiving that money? It's being laundered.

    • @davestevenson9080
      @davestevenson9080 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@dominicestelley2168 all their top politicians keep buying up french property, so the money is going somewhere

    • @r3dp1ll
      @r3dp1ll 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@dominicestelley2168 laundering and weapons

    • @douginn3090
      @douginn3090 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      They don't give money they give weapons

    • @GWAYGWAY1
      @GWAYGWAY1 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      That is the remnants of our council tax that went into the consolidation fund. Hence we now have Zelensky potholes in the roads.

  • @tropics8407
    @tropics8407 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +147

    This is what happens when you tax, regulate and suppress your own people, companies and industries to death….

    • @johntasker3712
      @johntasker3712 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      You should move to Monaco then, or maybe somewhere in S America.

    • @r3dp1ll
      @r3dp1ll 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

      @@johntasker3712 or we could fight for a slim, transparent, accountable and representative gov.

    • @cyrusfarlow1307
      @cyrusfarlow1307 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      We are not their own people.

    • @paarker
      @paarker 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      @@johntasker3712 why should he? Why should government should a gun in every one’s face and order them to hand over half their income. Which is their time. Why should government take half of everyone’s working life?
      Slaves kept 25% of their income through house and board. Serfs kept 75% of their income. Modern day workers are somewhere in between.

    • @johntasker3712
      @johntasker3712 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@paarker Wow, half? 50% tax? I'm guessing your income is in excess 125K per year; you are a very lucky person. I am happy to pay my 20 percent apart from that which goes to the Royal family and to defense. I live in hope that it is used to support the NHS and generally support the quality of life for all citizens, especially those much less fortunate than myself.

  • @fredbassett8509
    @fredbassett8509 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +59

    the British pound was based on 1 pound of silver.
    today this is over 3 hundred quid....WTF.!

    • @smallbluemachine
      @smallbluemachine 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      It wasn’t called “Sterling” for nothing. But now it is.

    • @chesshooligan1282
      @chesshooligan1282 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Wait a bit and that will sound like a bargain.

    • @Moocharoo
      @Moocharoo 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Good luck trying to buy a pound of silver for £300 😳

    • @fredbassett8509
      @fredbassett8509 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@Moocharoo I was basing the price on spot.
      I know physical silver is way more.

    • @robertrankin9033
      @robertrankin9033 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Silver is £23 per ounce. There are 16 oz in a pound.

  • @KoDeMondo
    @KoDeMondo 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +61

    From Alan Greenspan in 1966: “In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation.”

  • @olliereed4206
    @olliereed4206 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +23

    The same people who messed this one up want to foist a CBDC on us. I would rather use plastic buttons.

  • @leinad5243
    @leinad5243 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +155

    Prince Charles still stealing dead estates and getting 185 million pounds sickening

    • @SeahamV2
      @SeahamV2 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      King Khan ya mean.

    • @fenlander7114
      @fenlander7114 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      King Chuck da Turd

    • @matthorrocks6517
      @matthorrocks6517 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      England is weak. You guys are falling off.

    • @edwardburroughs1489
      @edwardburroughs1489 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Thats King Charles to you! LOLOLLOL.

    • @simoncurtis3779
      @simoncurtis3779 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

      King Charles has nothing to do with it.

  • @gandhi9936
    @gandhi9936 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +48

    During his brief tenure as Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt has slashed Capital Gains Tax threshold from £10,000 to £3000 this year, just in time for ever rising inflation, induced largely by the government's own policies and perpetual money printing.
    This is how vile the tax of inflation is, and how vile the government is.

    • @lesleywillis6177
      @lesleywillis6177 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Oh yes oh yes. They’re taxing inflation itself!

    • @fredbassett8509
      @fredbassett8509 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      not just this government...ALL governments.
      they all work for the banksters..

    • @johnnagle7702
      @johnnagle7702 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Just wait for the taxes coming on unrealised gains.

    • @lesleywillis6177
      @lesleywillis6177 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@johnnagle7702 I’m afraid I will need that explaining.

    • @johnnagle7702
      @johnnagle7702 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      @lesleywillis6177 there are steps being taken in the usa and we may well follow to tax you on profits you hold ie shares that you have not sold

  • @raypurchase801
    @raypurchase801 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +57

    I don't think gold is a good investment. In 1980, I bought 12 X sovereigns for marginally less than £1000. They're now worth almost £5000. Sounds good until you compare gold with housing.
    I bought my first house for £28,000 in 1982. That same house is now worth £500,000.
    An even better investment would be to have bought a few Ford Escorts and dry-stored them. Who'd've thought.

    • @cryptoguruguy8965
      @cryptoguruguy8965 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Yes I brought gold but don't make money because u have sell to another guy at a cut so physical gold waste of time housing bit coin

    • @raypurchase801
      @raypurchase801 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@cryptoguruguy8965 Advantage of gold is that when the isz lamb icke takeover comes, I can secrete some coins where the sun don't shine and get the fork out of here.

    • @thesouluniversal
      @thesouluniversal 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

      House prices cant continue rising at the rate they have done though, can they? Genuine question! Anyway you did well to diversify, I envy everyone who bought housing back then- I was too young and didnt have the funds.

    • @rodpanhard
      @rodpanhard 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +12

      Something to bear in mind is the difference in which you can liquidate your assets, gold sovs compared to a house, you can offload your sovs in a morning, the house you could take months or even years to shift. The UK economy is based on ovewr inflated house prices but that can't go on forever, the generation being priced out of housing might get stroppy about it one day.

    • @jaysterling26
      @jaysterling26 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +23

      Sir, I read your Ford Escorts and raise you my Raleigh Choppers.Yes!

  • @LeMagnum440
    @LeMagnum440 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    If you don't hold it you don't own it.
    Gold and silver, gods money.

  • @rodpanhard
    @rodpanhard 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +17

    I'm convinced they all go to Davos and discuss plans for everyone to devalue in order to slow the race to the bottom. Cycles do exist, every 7 years a minor financial crisis, every 20 a major one, every 120 years a major war.

  • @Bangkokrover
    @Bangkokrover 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

    My theory is that all cyclical comparisons of currency will go out the window when the CBDC is launched. Such observations will not have any predictive value. Changing to CBDC will require everybody to convert their existing fiat deposits, and when it comes out in the wash, people will have much less buying power. I.e. the government debt will be inflated away by this operation. It will have a similar but much more powerful effect as the gold confiscation in the USA in the 1930s. All of the western governments are in the same boat and have been coordinating the CBDC move. Even before the 2008 crash, the western governments had lost control of the money supply. Since then, they have been totally reckless, knowing that the debts would never need to be repaid, because it would be magicked away from its middle class citizens. Much of the trillions printed since was channeled to the elites so that they could Hoover up most of the real assets, and otherwise get their financial house in order. That is why the money printing didn’t cause consumer inflation for around 15 years, as it did not affect Main Street. Back in 2008, when Bernanke printed the initial 700 billion, he also said the FED had the tools to mop up when it was appropriate. That tool is the CBDC.

    • @benhudson4014
      @benhudson4014 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Great sensmaking sir!

  • @mann234
    @mann234 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +43

    When you devalue your currency, you devalue your nation, your assets, your economy. I like that truth! Immigrant and emigrant university graduates know that too from very devalued foreign and local currencies respectively.

  • @david-fletcher
    @david-fletcher 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +26

    If developed economies care at all then they need to stop relying on central bank monetary policy and focus on fiscal policy / Truss attempted this and was undermined by our central UK bank The BOE

  • @edwardmclaughlin7935
    @edwardmclaughlin7935 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +37

    "So, what is coming next? How do you protect yourself?"
    Fall-out shelter. Water. Pemmican. Glenlivet.

    • @Oldmanpeace
      @Oldmanpeace 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Pemmican, you old sod haha

    • @censorshipBS
      @censorshipBS 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      By Cheese and port

  • @Annie2229
    @Annie2229 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +103

    Good point.. the market has been crazy lately, a few surprises here and there.. with all the global happenings taking place I think it’s safe to say that a severe global recession is looming..

    • @camela8445
      @camela8445 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      My condolences to anyone retiring in this crisis, 30 years nonstop just for a crooked system to take all you worked for.

    • @kaylacapotosto8523
      @kaylacapotosto8523 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      No doubt making smart plans and setting up diversified investment portfolios is quite essential.

    • @kaylacapotosto8523
      @kaylacapotosto8523 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Most people miss it but the secret to living and retiring comfortably is finding a way to make returns while your money works for you. My Dad, as i remember started saving for retirement quite late but I know he was making more than 10k returns from his investments monthly and it was completely passive.

    • @wehrine
      @wehrine 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      This is amazing, I'm curious, how did he do it? Was it real estate? Or he was a market enthusiastic?

    • @wehrine
      @wehrine 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      from a personal angle I'm aware continuing to invest in periods of higher volatility is a Smart way to build wealth.

  • @MrNPC
    @MrNPC 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +136

    Labour government could easily tank it.

    • @thaumaturgeishere331
      @thaumaturgeishere331 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +19

      The Tories do not need any more help.

    • @daleyoung4710
      @daleyoung4710 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@thaumaturgeishere331 Wait till labour start printing money and spending it on the least productive members of our society. You know all the non indigenous.

    • @rodpanhard
      @rodpanhard 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I predict a huge rise in votes for independants and spoiled ballots, the rigged 2 party illusion of choice will still return a red or blue canditate but only becuase the system is rigged to do so.

    • @valuetraveler2026
      @valuetraveler2026 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Yeh but not in 24

    • @johntasker3712
      @johntasker3712 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

      Given the last 14 years I think this old hat "Labour no good with money" claptrap is wrong. The Tories - Truss in particular, have taken the concept of tanking to a new and (hopefully unrepeatable) level.

  • @cyprusman5908
    @cyprusman5908 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    We got really fed up being taxed to death and ripped off for everything in the UK over 20 years ago, so sold up and relocated to Cyprus as UK tax exiles for a much better life all round.

  • @jasonglaze8981
    @jasonglaze8981 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    GBP to 1.3 against the USD by the end of this year, you heard it here first

  • @tovsteh
    @tovsteh 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +41

    Sadiq just re-elected Mayor. They never learn.

    • @evolassunglasses4673
      @evolassunglasses4673 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

      In group preference is completely normal around the World

    • @chesshooligan1282
      @chesshooligan1282 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@evolassunglasses4673 Correct, but I would like to add that term is used when applied to any species except humans.

    • @hendo19742
      @hendo19742 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

      LONDISTAN HAS FALLEN!🙄🙄🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧

    • @stephfoxwell4620
      @stephfoxwell4620 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Extraordinary isn't it?
      We must be overrun with Communists.

    • @trevorsmith7753
      @trevorsmith7753 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

      London is 56% duskies.

  • @ranar1036
    @ranar1036 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    The current value of Sterling is already on the floor. If there's a crash in the offing, then it bodes bad for inflation and hence the already low standard of living.

    • @seanmoran2743
      @seanmoran2743 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      The inflation we shipped abroad due to Neo Con Economic Policies is on the rebound

  • @steviedonoghue
    @steviedonoghue 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +16

    We're doomed!

    • @chrisf1600
      @chrisf1600 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Also, we're out of coffee

    • @CaldonianDude
      @CaldonianDude 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Well said Private Frazer! :D

  • @John_Lyle
    @John_Lyle 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    As the election results were being announced at the close of voting in the 2019 election I moved all of my savings into gold, paying £1089 per troy ounce. Today, just short of five years later that same gold is £1940 per troy ounce. so my savings look like have given me a return of over 15% per year but in reality it is the value of the Pound that has fallen by that amount

  • @Daimo83
    @Daimo83 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    "Got to get my name on something"
    Dude, you're an internet legend.

  • @MrBonified66
    @MrBonified66 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +13

    Hi Dominic, it was good to meet you in Bedford. Looks like you're somewhere a bit more tropical now :) I have a roof over my head, 3 months expenses and the rest in Bitcoin. So I'm pretty much in agreement.

  • @davidcalvert-smith4633
    @davidcalvert-smith4633 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +28

    Every country apart from the US seems to be struggling at the moment. I spend quite a lot of time in Germany and it’s no picnic there either!!!

    • @jwadaow
      @jwadaow 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      There is a sanctions war against Russia and now China. Government choices and government policy to follow the US.

    • @truckerfromreno
      @truckerfromreno 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

      Have you seen the poverty in the USA?

    • @jonathanhart8046
      @jonathanhart8046 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      Have you seen the debt levels in the USA? Saying that they are doing well is like watching a football team that scores 5 goals in a match.The opposition score 8 - but these don't count.To quote Mr Frisby, " What the fiddlesticks ".

    • @smallbluemachine
      @smallbluemachine 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Multiple data points show discretionary spending has slumped to zero in the U.S. The music has stopped.

    • @RichardEnglander
      @RichardEnglander 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      US is tanked

  • @davidgray3321
    @davidgray3321 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

    Nial Ferguson thinks that if the Chinese attack Taiwan the dollar will tank, it is very very very difficult to know what will happen next, historians can tell you reasons why something has happened but ask them what will happen next and they are stumped, I should know I spent 4 years at university reading history, most academics don’t have a scoobey, and that applies to financial commentators. Good luck with the crystal ball.

    • @PFL44
      @PFL44 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      China invades Taiwan after or whilst selling their billions in treasuries.
      Collapse the USD, avoid worst of sanctions.

    • @piglex1
      @piglex1 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      That may well be so but if the Dollar tanks, Chinese holdings will devalue by the same.

    • @davidgray3321
      @davidgray3321 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@piglex1 How does that help an investor?

    • @phildavies6020
      @phildavies6020 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@piglex1I read that China is to ditch the dollar and get on with the planned BRICS currency.

    • @seanmoran2743
      @seanmoran2743 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Nial Ferguson supports American Hegemony so no surprise about he’s beliefs

  • @michaelmayes9689
    @michaelmayes9689 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +8

    A general election and a government the market distrust, could easily be the catalyst for a collapsing pound. We should not forget in the 1920s the pound was the world currency to day the pound accounts for only 4.84% of the world currency reserve. From this we can conclude it's not what we think the pound is worth it is what others think the pound is worth dictates the price we have to pay for imported goods including fuel. If or when the pound tanks up will go inflation but perhaps it won't be inflation but hypo inflation.
    At last someone has made a statement that the bank of england were involved in kwasi Kwarteng and Truss budget fiasco. The bank of England allowed it to happen to get rid of Truss and put the globalist candidate Rishi in.

    • @markmewordz6860
      @markmewordz6860 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      We sold our soul to Wall Street in 1914. Few see it.

  • @coldporridge4145
    @coldporridge4145 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    The pound had a 4 year cycle low in September 2022 (coinciding with the LDI for which Truss took the blame) so we are not due another one until 2026. I think the Yen has more problems at the moment.

  • @ericcson3429
    @ericcson3429 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +14

    Thankfully some 10 years ago, libertarianism led me to Bitcoin. Afforded me the luxury to never concern myself with the future actions of chancellors and central banks.

    • @ewanhill677
      @ewanhill677 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      You went all in?

    • @ericcson3429
      @ericcson3429 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@ewanhill677Hell no, just bought a few BTC well under $1k. Soon stopped stacking when one Bitcoin cost more than an ounce of gold (I was a gold bug back then and that seemed crazy!). Today those are up maybe 60x. And then since 2021 and discovering Saylor's arguments and logic, I now DCA around 50% of my salary.

    • @logann001
      @logann001 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Ditto, and never sold

    • @trevorsmith7753
      @trevorsmith7753 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@logann001 non sequitur

  • @kamdianatkhah843
    @kamdianatkhah843 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    8 Fibinocci year cycle..also 40 year from 1984-85. I expect a massive crash worldwide. You are absolutely correct

  • @efecan82
    @efecan82 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    i love your channel, thanks for the hard work!

  • @robertstorey7476
    @robertstorey7476 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    He hasn't presented any reasons why the £ will drop significantly and is seeing patterns that don't exist.
    If anything the Truss debacle gave the UK a wake up call and the UK is ahead of other countries in restoring fiscal disclipline.

  • @terrymoore861
    @terrymoore861 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    Nobody could rescue the Con servative party. Stopped the MONTHLY inflation rate? What about the cumulative monthly inflation figure increasing so many retail goods by 100% like toilet paper, sugar, cement..... Have salaries and pensions increased by 100%?

  • @dominicestelley2168
    @dominicestelley2168 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Far too many variables in the mix to predict what is going to happen.

    • @CaldonianDude
      @CaldonianDude 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      That is true. I think all you can do is diversify into multiple asset classes and have index-linked income...

  • @crimeajewel
    @crimeajewel 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +6

    So true. Words of wisdom.

  • @igorbogdanoff4517
    @igorbogdanoff4517 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

    It baffles me that the pound is still stronger than the USD. Insanity

    • @m_b4
      @m_b4 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +20

      Check out the disparity in wages though. You can earn $170k (£135k) a year as a UPS driver in the USA. Go on holiday to the US it's no longer cheap when you're earning terrible UK wages.

    • @NoName-ql1wk
      @NoName-ql1wk 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@m_b4nonsense

    • @Daimo83
      @Daimo83 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      City of London and it's connections

    • @matthorrocks6517
      @matthorrocks6517 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      The dollar is crap too

  • @chrisfish957
    @chrisfish957 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +12

    Genuine question. Could a massively low turn out at the UK general election be a trigger whatever the actual result.

    • @CaldonianDude
      @CaldonianDude 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Interesting question. I think it's more likely there will be a period of uncertainty while people try and figure out if Labour can F things up even more than the Tories. I think Labour will be a case of "Yes We Can!". I actually think the turnout will be good though. :)

    • @chrisfish957
      @chrisfish957 14 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I think labour is going to be more conservative than the conservatives ( How could they be less) as a counter signal same as last time.

    • @CaldonianDude
      @CaldonianDude 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@chrisfish957 would not surprise me! It's quite interesting looking at the Labour shadow cabinet, their net worth, education etc. Good sprinkling of Oxbridge PPEs there. They are more or less all tories! LOL. I believe Keir Starmer's net worth is in excess of 10M if you include his plot of land in Surrey. And as we all know, turkeys don't vote for Christmas, so I think the very rich will be OK if they've got their shit together (which they have). p.s. quite interesting to search for a politician's name and then Financial Discosures. Try "Angela Rayner Financial Disclosures" for example... ;) Always worth remembering "Do as they do, and not as they say"...

  • @conservative-ku3lz
    @conservative-ku3lz 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great to see you again Dominic, and thank you for the content. It is a lot more productive to watch these videos, than read through your news letters of past.

  • @Tryingtimes007
    @Tryingtimes007 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    We pay £10b a month just in interest on the debt we owe. Straight to the private banking system not a penny off the principal.

    • @stephfoxwell4620
      @stephfoxwell4620 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      But we print £10 billion every month to pay it.

  • @azmike1
    @azmike1 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you D.

  • @seanmoran2743
    @seanmoran2743 15 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Deindustrialised Economies while shipping your inflationary burden abroad is about to rebound on us

  • @BatmanBoss
    @BatmanBoss 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Thanks buddy

  • @garybarfoot9856
    @garybarfoot9856 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    "They"have to bring us to our knees so that we will accept their recovery plan and we all know what that entails.

  • @Rascal696
    @Rascal696 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    The last time pound dropped. I kept buying and made £27K during the bull run. Im already shorting.

  • @uptoapoint7157
    @uptoapoint7157 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Good stuff again. The relative rate of decline of different fiat currencies is interesting. From outside, a cheap pound would make U.K. real estate more affordable in say, dollar terms. Of course, it will become even more affordable in gold or Bitcoin..

  • @rinkydinky78
    @rinkydinky78 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    All currencies are insolvent. Strange you never get to the root of the fiat debt problem.. central banks and who controls the money supply. Look up Richard Werners work

    • @raypurchase801
      @raypurchase801 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Somebody mentions the collapsing Fiat and I think of a 1970s Fiat 127 with rusty sills.

    • @rinkydinky78
      @rinkydinky78 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@raypurchase801 just about sums up our monetary system, travesty is you're still borrowing to buy this junk

    • @raypurchase801
      @raypurchase801 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      @@rinkydinky78 I've just returned from a lovely scenic drive in my '69 Alfa Romeo.
      It was raining.
      An hour from now, all that'll remain is a rust-coloured puddle and four rubber tyres.
      1960s / 1970s Italian cars. Sometimes there's a reason for stereotypes.

    • @rinkydinky78
      @rinkydinky78 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@raypurchase801 I'm afraid being an Alfa enthusiast and debt slave isn't a great analogy

    • @raypurchase801
      @raypurchase801 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@rinkydinky78 Investing in something which devalues and falls to pieces - Same with the £, a 1970s Fiat or a 1960s Alfa.
      It's better being solvent than insolvent, but soluble rusty cars can be a poor investment.

  • @petermitchell6348
    @petermitchell6348 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    What will be the effect on all fiat currencies with the effect of BRICS?

  • @pja8901
    @pja8901 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I think there is risk with the BoE cutting rates earlier than the FED. GBP is holding some ground right now because rates are good, 5.25%. However, with sticky inflation and good growth across the pond and poor growth and falling inflation here in the UK, the BoE may cut soon, with the FED holding tight, creating a spread that turns off appetite for the GBP and gilts.
    Also, we have companies leaving London to list the USA. So international investors really won't have any reason to buy the pound at all.
    Labour? Who knows what they'll do. Probably more unfunded promises that'll spook the OBR and credit rating agencies. Another debt rating downgrade or two.

  • @chrisfish957
    @chrisfish957 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Thanks for that vaccine company tip. 20% in a few days. Nice timing.

  • @DarrenSmith-wu8cm
    @DarrenSmith-wu8cm 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    People need to take emotions out of investing

  • @johnnagle7702
    @johnnagle7702 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Domonic surely you dont believe that reducing the tax rate from 45% to 40% caused the collapse of sterling?

  • @RichardEnglander
    @RichardEnglander 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Printing money is inflating the money supply debasing the real currency value. It will always lead to inflation.

  • @KoDeMondo
    @KoDeMondo 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    This happen only when central banks around the world print money excessively and keep interest rates low for too long, this money has to go somewhere. It can end up in housing bubbles, cryptocurrency scams, political corruption, wars, the pockets of sports stars and CEOs, and in the hands of people who use it to overconsume resources. People also feel entitled to overconsume, leading to the depletion of natural/local resources and common goods

  • @at9048
    @at9048 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Oh brilliant..... load up on the new BRICS currency

  • @Nick-from-norfolk
    @Nick-from-norfolk 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    It was all going sow well………then you mentioned gold and bitcoin…..so sad!

  • @pauljenkinson1452
    @pauljenkinson1452 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    You measure fiat currency against stable assets i.e. gold even though the gold price is "fixed". Measuring one fiat currency against another is like being on a sinking ship but you think you are ok because another ship is sinking faster. Bitcoin is as tangible as unicorn farts so is a worthless token.

  • @fishinmalarkey9830
    @fishinmalarkey9830 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Tell you whats gonna happen quickly.
    Ports are slow, food is expensive
    Farms all growing flowers not food
    Crash the £
    Implement CBDC to SAVE US!
    social credit score
    Carbon tax
    No vehicular ownership
    Yey ❤❤❤

  • @KoDeMondo
    @KoDeMondo 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Three hundred trillion dollars. That is the record debt which global governments, households, financial corporates and nonfinancial corporates owed in June 2022, as estimated by the Institute of International Finance. The $300 trillion is equivalent to 349% of global gross domestic product, 26% higher than the pre-GFC figure of 278% (June 2007, see chart 1). The $300 trillion works out to $37,500 of debt for every person in the world, compared to a GDP per capita of just $12,000.

    • @lesleywillis6177
      @lesleywillis6177 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

      This makes my head hurt, WHO is it owed to?

  • @blacknight1406
    @blacknight1406 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great video Dom, but what if you own mining stocks in gold and silver, should we hold it in another currency or doesn't it matter because all fiat currencies are going to crash?

  • @ep1929
    @ep1929 21 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Once a Labour government have been in power for 18 months or so, I'd put money on even bigger debts, massive overspending and the pound on the brink.

    • @CaldonianDude
      @CaldonianDude 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Inevitable. I think Labour has a track record on this - they've always had a "tax and spend" mindset, and reading about their (vague) proposals for actual solutions it looks like more of the same. There are no genuine workable proposals for wealth creation - it's variations on tax and spend really. Tories are no different. Governments are addicted to printing money. I expect asset price inflation, higher debts, and general mayhem in the not too distant future! Batten down the hatches guys!

    • @ep1929
      @ep1929 20 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@CaldonianDude hatches already battened down here! Cleared all debt including mortgage back in spring 2023 and I follow a very frugal operation at my 🏡 home.
      Would hate to be saddled with big debts now with all this turmoil going on.

    • @janetmalcolm6191
      @janetmalcolm6191 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Why on earth would that be?? Labour doing worse....worse is now!

    • @ep1929
      @ep1929 17 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@janetmalcolm6191 usually when labour take over from a Tory regime they are left with sound economics & a healthy balance sheet (1997 as example) - this time things are very different & there is no way that Labour will turn the situation around.

    • @janetmalcolm6191
      @janetmalcolm6191 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Even if Labour don't turn things around the things that they value are better than Tories anyday. It wouldn't be quick only a fool would think that. Tories don't even seem to think laws etc even matter. Getting rid of laws at work for instance is one. They used to say Labour is not fiscal then dig such a big whole Britain had nearly fallen through it! Moaning about benefits costing them loads then giving out money in the next breath. What the heck are they on?? Never seen such a shower and no party perfect. We just cannot continue in the fact they refuse to see their faults. Now that is a big FAULT!!

  • @AllodialTitle
    @AllodialTitle 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    What happens when a currency collapses? I think the gold price in Yen is a good clue.

  • @latitudepost
    @latitudepost 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It's very hard to predict what will happen to Sterling in the coming months. You may be right in your analysis and the £ could go back to near parity with the dollar or even go below that. Having said that, the US dollar index (DXY) is still above 100, which indicates that the US dollar is still very strong. During the GFC back in 2008 it plunged to the low 70s.
    One point not mentioned in the video is the vote to leave the EU back in 2016. This has been very damaging for the UK economy and for Sterling, which has still not recovered to pre-Brexit levels and may never. Who knows?

  • @user-fq4sy9cc2o
    @user-fq4sy9cc2o 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    When was this mythical world leader time for Britain. It certainly was not for the vast majority of the population. Being proud of the pink bits on the world map is schoolboy stuff. Especially if your roll is to perish on some hillside in Afghanistan, the Crimea or South Africa. Or you lived in some damp room and kitchen. Voting for all did not arrive till 1922. The attitude by government and business to the smoking industry or mad cow disease is still the same as their attitude to the Water industries now. Compare Norway’s Oil Fund 1.626 trillion dollars and Britian’s $0. So, its policy and devaluations are a symptom of continual bad policy.

    • @stephfoxwell4620
      @stephfoxwell4620 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I'd say Britain was the World leader from 1830 til 1920.

    • @user-fq4sy9cc2o
      @user-fq4sy9cc2o 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@stephfoxwell4620 Britain’s ruling elite and the countries standing in the world was already being question and overtaken by the 1870’s with the drop in agricultural land prices at home and the cheaper crops from the America’s. The Wars in South Africa were denting the military image and the Great Famine in India 1876-1878 and Irish Famine of 1879 its capability to rule.

    • @stephfoxwell4620
      @stephfoxwell4620 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@user-fq4sy9cc2o 1923 .
      Washington Naval Treaty.
      US navy gained parity with the Royal Navy.

    • @user-fq4sy9cc2o
      @user-fq4sy9cc2o 18 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@stephfoxwell4620 The point I have been making is the world changes and good governments recognise this fact. Britain’s attitude to the loss of empire, North Sea Oil, devolution and the European Union etc. Are always the same, its always harking back to the rose tinted past, it’s so busy clinging on. That it makes very little plans for the future and any they do, is to recapture past glories as they see them, not to make life better for the population.

    • @stephfoxwell4620
      @stephfoxwell4620 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@user-fq4sy9cc2o The British people are the most progressive ,grounded, tolerant people on Earth.
      It's just our Governments are vacuous, venal, greedy cowards.

  • @Tom-gf9js
    @Tom-gf9js 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Very interesting. So, you are saying it could be good to go into JPY ????

  • @barkebaat
    @barkebaat 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    I tried to leave a light-hearted comment, referencing the Isles of Scilly and your wife Gary. It seems to have been instantly memory-holed. What times we live in, eh?

  • @SilverWong-yo5iu
    @SilverWong-yo5iu 19 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    GBP already made a low by Liz Truzz

  • @MRW515
    @MRW515 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    1 min - Devaluing the currency by money printing actually increases the value of assets.

  • @RatMother
    @RatMother 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Are there any other currencies that are correlated with the British pound? For example the Aussie dollar or New Zealand dollar, that follow the same dips and rebounds in purchasing power

  • @InvestgoldUK
    @InvestgoldUK 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Versus gold, probably yes, but look how bad other currencies are. It's a race to the bottom.

  • @glassbackdiy3949
    @glassbackdiy3949 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    One of Martin Armstrongs major cycles is 8.5 yrs, going back to Roman times!

  • @edwardburroughs1489
    @edwardburroughs1489 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Perhaps my understanding is too simplistic but shouldn't 'quantitative tightening' cause the currency to appreciate due to a diminished supply? If there is a corollary drop in demand I don't know why?

  • @marcwaters2600
    @marcwaters2600 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +21

    gold is the future

    • @pan5001
      @pan5001 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      No, Bitcoin is

    • @forceofchaos1
      @forceofchaos1 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Gold is the past. You're losing if you're converting your wealth in gold. Go bitcoin

    • @julienbengkee5422
      @julienbengkee5422 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Commodities!!

    • @MS45636
      @MS45636 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Bitcoin*

    • @CaldonianDude
      @CaldonianDude 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I'd bet a gold coin my S&P500 index fund will outperform both gold and Bitcoin over the next ten years! ;)

  • @samh-n2368
    @samh-n2368 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Even for astrology this doesnt hold. 2 lows post 2016 ignored already to fit the narrative.

  • @charlesoleary3066
    @charlesoleary3066 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Dominic , do you think it will fall against the Euro.
    Asking because I’m moving home for the crash and my knees are knocking:)

  • @edwardmclaughlin7935
    @edwardmclaughlin7935 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Great stuff. But really - what makes a bloke get on a plane to escape yet another still-born English spring, land somewhere as nice as that, slip into the new polo shirt and................and do some work?
    Looks a lovely place. Enjoy.

  • @bradleyeric14
    @bradleyeric14 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Gulf money will buy farmland. Lots and lots.

  • @simonstones1918
    @simonstones1918 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    But how can you use gold to buy your weekly shop?!!

  • @mrLoftladder
    @mrLoftladder 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Just about every penny of my working life savings are in gold and silver. In my bank, I keep enough £s to cover a couple of months' bills and day-to-day costs. My trading account is in $s. I didn't work for 50 years so that our so-called government could fritter away my retirement.

    • @dominicestelley2168
      @dominicestelley2168 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Gold in a bank can be confiscated, a private vault where nobody knows what you have in it is a better prospect.

  • @Daisy-tl2lh
    @Daisy-tl2lh 15 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Friend of mine went to Thailand a couple of weeks ago where the British £ isn't welcomed they want the Euro or the Dollar! joke is they're all going down the swannie ..

  • @stevenewbank
    @stevenewbank 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I fully accept the idea of holding Bitcoin; however, the UK tax of 40% on all gains is mathematically challenging any form of profit; or am I missing the point.

    • @nobbynobbynoob
      @nobbynobbynoob 16 วันที่ผ่านมา

      CGT is 20% in the UK
      But best is to leave the UK permanently and move somewhere with no CGT before realizing major "gains". It's just a shame that British dependencies suffer housing and cost-of-living crises even worse than the UK...

  • @khalidrashad-xu8xe
    @khalidrashad-xu8xe 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I left the UK forty years ago . Last I remember buying a lovely portion of fish and chips for 60p . Wonder how much you are paying for it now . This is real down to earth economics not comparing with another paper currency 😅

    • @nobbynobbynoob
      @nobbynobbynoob 16 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      £10 give or take

  • @graemejones9707
    @graemejones9707 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It was nothing to do with Kwarteng and Truss, nearly every currency fell hard against the Greenback that day because hours earlier the Fed had surprised the world with a massive 0.75% hike.
    It is ridiculous (and lazy) to pin Sterling falling on that event when EUR/CAD/YEN etc fell identically
    As for Bitcoin....it is intrinsically worthless and will return to that value pretty much overnight when it is banned.

  • @paddywallerbridge572
    @paddywallerbridge572 20 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Magnetic Pole shift 12068 year cycle 🎉❤ Thanks & Blessings from Shitsville Hartlepool Teeside Northeast England ♒️ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 🇬🇧

  • @petespanel
    @petespanel 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    This is nothing new as the hole financial system is designed to lose value. The hard part is knowing what to put your money in to to protect your self.

  • @SteveKxyz
    @SteveKxyz 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Nice shirt!

  • @pommygeezer9309
    @pommygeezer9309 14 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Will it make the price of a pint any cheaper?

  • @mattfallguy
    @mattfallguy 21 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Sounds like a lovely holiday next to Heathrow airport.

  • @saltyshackles5227
    @saltyshackles5227 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +25

    If the pound hits a low, it will make my crypto cashout so much sweeter in the next 12-16 months.

    • @buy.to.let.britain
      @buy.to.let.britain 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      yeah good luck with that mate...

    • @DiscoDrew
      @DiscoDrew 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      Don’t let Sunak or Starmer steal 20% either way.

    • @johntasker3712
      @johntasker3712 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@DiscoDrew Why not? surely you are the sort of honest citizen who pays their tax, aren't you?

    • @johntasker3712
      @johntasker3712 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      I hear so much hype about Crypto, but I have yet to meet anyone who has cashed out. Its worth what they will give you, not what they say they will give you.

    • @logann001
      @logann001 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Which is £50,500🤷 per bitcoin 🤸

  • @johnwoodhead5950
    @johnwoodhead5950 22 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Life is cyclical,ask Martin Armstrong,he knows,as in another way does Thomas Sheridan

  • @137dylan
    @137dylan 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Using fibonacci analysis on the macro monthly time frame, it's going to £1 : $0.88

  • @stephenmorgan7678
    @stephenmorgan7678 17 วันที่ผ่านมา

    It maybe crashes this month,the new digital pound system could be up and running soon...keep an eye on Northern Ireland,that maybe the first region of the UK to implement the new system,possibly by the end of this month,if not then later in the year,September/October time.....

  • @harryzero1566
    @harryzero1566 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    If the british pound crashes against a crashing US dollar how much for an oz of gold?
    Answer, if pound and dollar reach parity could well be £3000

  • @masterwatch
    @masterwatch 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    gosh a lot has been going on in the finance arena in the last 2 months... I wonder what the underlying moves will be. Just my opinion I can't see GBP or USD weakening but I really do not know but am sure some people do know.

  • @markrogers630
    @markrogers630 8 วันที่ผ่านมา

    All currencies are depreciating which is why Gold has gone up so much recently. It is more likely the USD will be the currency to decline most, with the debt they've accrued. USD index to 80 anyone? And then an almighty financial and economic crash that sees a flight to safety (USD index 130+ anyone?)....I see 1.50 Sterling to USD before I see sub 1.20 again....but it's all guesswork in this crazy fucked-up world.

  • @Sgwaos
    @Sgwaos 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

    What do you think about Gary Stevenson's assertion that inequality is the cause of the economic problems - cause not just effect? Need a wealth tax, eg 1% for people with £10m or more, otherwise they perpetually get richer and bid up price of assets eg property. Middle class get poorer ongoing