CEO of commercial real estate company says commercial real estate is fine. Also, love the host saying "We have learned that commercial real estate is MORE than just office buildings." Damn, some serious journalism here guys.
Data centres kill office spaces. This is an amplifying affect. The more white collar jobs that invest in data centres the more they realise, we don't need to lease a big expensive office building, they can just work from home." And industrial spaces and warehousing are cyclical. If the economy tanks, less demand, less industrial output, less inventory, less need for industry. These two guys are just a shill for the establishment, trying to keep retail investors to stay in the cr market while they liquidate their positions.
The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.
I think this is something I should do, but I've been stalling for a long time now. I don't really know which firm to work with; I feel they are all the same but it seems you’ve got it all worked out with the firm you work with so i surely wouldn’t mind a recommendation.
Dude, 90% of offices in the city centers were filled with engineers and marketing people. Kind of jobs that can be done much better remotely than in the office. No one wants to waste 2 hours per day in traffic or disease-ridden public transport to get to a job that they can do much more efficiently at home. Companies can also save tons of money by not leasing those super expensive city center offices.
It's not about saving money it's about control. They would rather expense real estate than let workers have more control over their working conditions.
mr. sulentic, you are absolutely right on what you are barking about. thus, you and all of your family members & relatives & friemds must invest all of their money on commercial real estates. in fact, you are so right about what you are barking about thus all of them must take loan to invest on commercial real estates before miss this great opportunity.
It's been 3 years since this has begun and these stubborn know it all CEO's thought they could force people back into the office. Nope, people quit and found jobs that allowed them to work from home. These corporations caused this on themselves. I also blame these timid developers who have the capabilities of repurposing these buildings but refuse to do so, but would rather knock down trees and start new construction.
@liberalculler5087 I love these comments. Being that my wife and I both directly have businesses that target the commercial real estate space, I more than likely have a better understanding of all things commercial real estate in comparison to you. I closed on two 20,000 sf buildings in the past 3 weeks but I'm sure you're about to tell me what I should do to maximize my earning potential being that I don't know how development and financing works. You guys get online and just blow smoke. Offering opinions that are worthless just to attempt to appear that you know more than you actually do and appear to be greater than you actually are.
Despite the prevailing fear and predictions of an impending crash, there is already a significant amount of demand waiting to absorb it, which diminishes the likelihood of such an event occurring as anticipated. This forecast contrasts with the circumstances in 2008, especially regarding public perception, which I will elaborate on below. As mentioned in another comment, the homeownership rate reached its highest point in 2004. Currently, we have reached a peak in the second quarter of 2020 and are now at a more moderate level. Between 2008 and 2012, the homeownership rate declined by 3%, and in the second quarter of 2020, it dropped from 68% to 65%.
Due to their familiarity with bull markets, many individuals struggle to cope with market declines. However, if you know where to look and how to navigate effectively, you can potentially generate significant profits. The key lies in your strategy for entering and exiting the market.
As we find ourselves in unfamiliar territory with uncertain markets, it is understandable that widespread anxiety and excitement prevail, especially considering that the US stock market has been experiencing its longest bull run to date. However, there are still opportunities for those who know where to seek them. As you previously mentioned, it was not challenging for you to earn over $780k in the past 10 months. Recognizing the need for a reliable and robust plan to navigate these challenging times, you wisely engaged the services of a portfolio advisor.
@@Lemariecooper Throughout the entire year, my portfolio has experienced significant declines, prompting me to embark on research for alternative strategies to generate profits in the market. However, every approach I attempted seemed to fall short of expectations. I kindly request that you share the name of your financial advisor with us.
@@Erikkurilla01 The financial operations were overseen by *STEPHANIE KOPP MEEKS* , whom I discovered and contacted after watching her interview on CNBC. Ever since, she has been instrumental in guiding my entry and exit points for the highlighted investment opportunities. If there is a need for tracking or further information, an online search can be conducted.
@@Lemariecooper By simply copying and pasting *STEPHANIE's* full name into my browser, her website promptly appeared. Your suggestion has saved me countless hours of tedious research, and for that, I am truly grateful.
The rise in rent prices and real estate prices in the United States of America is strange and has negative repercussions on the poor in this country 😢😢😢
I want to buy some warehouse space here in Dallas but the prices are double new construction costs. On commercial income property they want to sell at a 4.5% yield when your borrowing costs are 7.5%. You have -3% return day one. The rent income doesnt come close to covering the interest. Zero deals at all. Anything with a slightly higher yield is old, obsolete and full of asbestos.
@liberalculler5087 Oh really? Ive been doing this for 40 years....Ive owned hospitality, apartments, retail, office and industrial. Ive invested in 3 different countries and 4 states. I Had a brokers lisc in CA and TX. I did a ground up development of 100,000ft project and currently own 190,000ft of commercial space..... your turn...
Even though Robert is the boss of one of the biggest commercial real estate offices in the world he’s doing what all realtors do …. He’s is as always very optimistic about all things real estate. When USA 🇺🇸 GOVERNMENT BACKED TREASURY BILLS were 0 or 1 percent it made sense to take a risk on blue chip real estate that returned 5 percent even though its a lot of work and risk … treasury bills are almost now 6 % so office buildings which are now a massive risk because of no one needs a lot of them should have a return yield / cap rate of 10% with a lower rent ….Robert count it up and yes every building is different but that 60 to 70 percent reduction in value
You are right that's what I keep saying but people keep buying even though the cap rates make no sense... T bills and banks paying 5% risk free yet people trying to sell there buildings at a 5% cap makes no Sense to take the risk... And if you need a commercial loan your rate is 10%+ so it makes no sense to finance it either...
This was about as optimistic a view as you can imagine for this industry. Unfortunately he is looking through rose coloured glasses. There will be a massive correction in this industry. Between malls, retailers (people shopping online) and office workers (hybrid here to stay) there is a big crash coming. I’m sorry to give a sober analysis to guys like Robert in this interview.
It sounds like they are trying to talk thier way out of a problem… “our portions haven’t changed” “we just need to get people excited about our commercial real estate”
The increase in rent and real estate prices can be a real challenge, especially for the economically disadvantaged. Real estate software can play a role in improving affordability by streamlining property management, enabling better data analysis for informed decision-making, and potentially identifying opportunities for more affordable housing solutions. While it's not a silver bullet, it's a step towards addressing these issues and making the real estate market more accessible to everyone.
He is absolutely right 😂 - Different asset classes - A, B, C, D different building classes in office section - Geographical differences - Cyclical vs long run 80%; Tech office usage - Financing, banks 1/2% assets in office buildings loans, 20% out of the 1/2% will be problematic - Headlines sensational overstated - Ultimately, the economy will determine the results
There wont be any crash in commercial real estate. My sister is a VP working for a Large international investment bank begins with M ending with a Y and she told us in the family party that they are forcing people to come in to the office.
Why on earth would you say that? Its already crashed look at the values. It still nowhere near the bottom either. You know theres half a trillion CRE that has to refi in the next 6 months and JPM is estimating a 20% default rate. Thats a lot of supply that is about to hit the market at fire sale prices. All this will be devastation to the banks too
I enjoy Bloomberg News. Legit discussions. Storage, hotels and those low class strip malls do well. People buy liquor, fast food, and convenience store. Those do well
office building great for llvijng when ai is gonna take ur job and ubi is gonna be introdyuced and maybe this guy might get a 0.2% kickback froim the goverment
Big tech firms are definitely not going to re-hire the number of people they let go of. 🙅 The tech landscape has shifted fundamentally. The work that was done by 100 people can now be done by 10 with help from LLMs. 🤖🦾Commercial real estate is on life support. 🏢🤒
Yeah thats not how this works. If employers are more productive that means we can do more. If we can do more we can earn more. Companies want to earn more not the same or less. So, if you think that companies are going to simply stop hiring because of productivity gains as if there is a roof to the amount of money they want to make you're purely delusional. They will hire more highly effective people who can earn more individually per person & they will take on more clients so they can get more investment and continue to grow exponentially. Why do you people have this idea as though there are going to be less opportunities when you know companies only care about their bottom line 😂
It sounds like they are trying to talk thier way out of a problem… “our portions haven’t changed” “we just need to get people excited about our commercial real estate”
CEO of commercial real estate company says commercial real estate is fine. Also, love the host saying "We have learned that commercial real estate is MORE than just office buildings." Damn, some serious journalism here guys.
😆
😂
Some commercial real estate are actually doing fine. Data centers, warehouses, manufacturing etc aren't doing bad but offices are struggling
Data centres kill office spaces. This is an amplifying affect. The more white collar jobs that invest in data centres the more they realise, we don't need to lease a big expensive office building, they can just work from home."
And industrial spaces and warehousing are cyclical. If the economy tanks, less demand, less industrial output, less inventory, less need for industry.
These two guys are just a shill for the establishment, trying to keep retail investors to stay in the cr market while they liquidate their positions.
Still better than a CNBC "interview"
Real estate investors losing money is music to my ears. They are a major reason why the real estate market is the way that it is now.
The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.
I think this is something I should do, but I've been stalling for a long time now. I don't really know which firm to work with; I feel they are all the same but it seems you’ve got it all worked out with the firm you work with so i surely wouldn’t mind a recommendation.
STEPHINE KOPP MEEKS is who i work with look her
Thanks for recommending i find her and left her message online
Dude, 90% of offices in the city centers were filled with engineers and marketing people. Kind of jobs that can be done much better remotely than in the office. No one wants to waste 2 hours per day in traffic or disease-ridden public transport to get to a job that they can do much more efficiently at home. Companies can also save tons of money by not leasing those super expensive city center offices.
It's not about saving money it's about control. They would rather expense real estate than let workers have more control over their working conditions.
This guy has been smoking some really good shit.
90% lol did you grab that number from the air?
CBRE is in the the commercial property business so this guy is in a serious conflict of interest. Remember that when you listen to him.
he's being honest and transparent. How dare you accuse him of conflicting interests.
Thx
True but some commercial real estate are actually doing fine. Data centers, warehouses, manufacturing etc aren't doing bad but offices are struggling
He just talked about the overinflated headlines
Ok people move along, nothing to see here
mr. sulentic,
you are absolutely right on what you are barking about.
thus, you and all of your family members & relatives & friemds must invest all of their money on commercial real estates.
in fact, you are so right about what you are barking about thus all of them must take loan to invest on commercial real estates before miss this great opportunity.
Yes invest there own money not just charge fees for transactions of other peoples money when selling and buying
It's been 3 years since this has begun and these stubborn know it all CEO's thought they could force people back into the office. Nope, people quit and found jobs that allowed them to work from home. These corporations caused this on themselves. I also blame these timid developers who have the capabilities of repurposing these buildings but refuse to do so, but would rather knock down trees and start new construction.
@liberalculler5087 I love these comments. Being that my wife and I both directly have businesses that target the commercial real estate space, I more than likely have a better understanding of all things commercial real estate in comparison to you. I closed on two 20,000 sf buildings in the past 3 weeks but I'm sure you're about to tell me what I should do to maximize my earning potential being that I don't know how development and financing works.
You guys get online and just blow smoke. Offering opinions that are worthless just to attempt to appear that you know more than you actually do and appear to be greater than you actually are.
Despite the prevailing fear and predictions of an impending crash, there is already a significant amount of demand waiting to absorb it, which diminishes the likelihood of such an event occurring as anticipated. This forecast contrasts with the circumstances in 2008, especially regarding public perception, which I will elaborate on below. As mentioned in another comment, the homeownership rate reached its highest point in 2004. Currently, we have reached a peak in the second quarter of 2020 and are now at a more moderate level. Between 2008 and 2012, the homeownership rate declined by 3%, and in the second quarter of 2020, it dropped from 68% to 65%.
Due to their familiarity with bull markets, many individuals struggle to cope with market declines. However, if you know where to look and how to navigate effectively, you can potentially generate significant profits. The key lies in your strategy for entering and exiting the market.
As we find ourselves in unfamiliar territory with uncertain markets, it is understandable that widespread anxiety and excitement prevail, especially considering that the US stock market has been experiencing its longest bull run to date. However, there are still opportunities for those who know where to seek them. As you previously mentioned, it was not challenging for you to earn over $780k in the past 10 months. Recognizing the need for a reliable and robust plan to navigate these challenging times, you wisely engaged the services of a portfolio advisor.
@@Lemariecooper Throughout the entire year, my portfolio has experienced significant declines, prompting me to embark on research for alternative strategies to generate profits in the market. However, every approach I attempted seemed to fall short of expectations. I kindly request that you share the name of your financial advisor with us.
@@Erikkurilla01 The financial operations were overseen by *STEPHANIE KOPP MEEKS* , whom I discovered and contacted after watching her interview on CNBC. Ever since, she has been instrumental in guiding my entry and exit points for the highlighted investment opportunities. If there is a need for tracking or further information, an online search can be conducted.
@@Lemariecooper By simply copying and pasting *STEPHANIE's* full name into my browser, her website promptly appeared. Your suggestion has saved me countless hours of tedious research, and for that, I am truly grateful.
The rise in rent prices and real estate prices in the United States of America is strange and has negative repercussions on the poor in this country
😢😢😢
Residential real estate has been declining for 6 straight months, NATIONALLY. Buckle up, this is going to be worse than 2008.
"only 1.5% of bank assets are in office building loans"
that's all I had to hear
I want to buy some warehouse space here in Dallas but the prices are double new construction costs.
On commercial income property they want to sell at a 4.5% yield when your borrowing costs are 7.5%.
You have -3% return day one. The rent income doesnt come close to covering the interest. Zero deals at all.
Anything with a slightly higher yield is old, obsolete and full of asbestos.
@liberalculler5087If your doing all or mostly cash, why bother to deal with the aggravation? Wouldnt it be easier to just buy stocks or fixed income??
@liberalculler5087 Oh really? Ive been doing this for 40 years....Ive owned hospitality, apartments, retail, office and industrial. Ive invested in 3 different countries and 4 states. I Had a brokers lisc in CA and TX. I did a ground up development of 100,000ft project and currently own 190,000ft of commercial space..... your turn...
@liberalculler5087 I dont want you to feel bad.... but those get rich quick seminars and books really arent the best way to make it.
Even though Robert is the boss of one of the biggest commercial real estate offices in the world he’s doing what all realtors do …. He’s is as always very optimistic about all things real estate. When USA 🇺🇸 GOVERNMENT BACKED TREASURY BILLS were 0 or 1 percent it made sense to take a risk on blue chip real estate that returned 5 percent even though its a lot of work and risk … treasury bills are almost now 6 % so office buildings which are now a massive risk because of no one needs a lot of them should have a return yield / cap rate of 10% with a lower rent ….Robert count it up and yes every building is different but that 60 to 70 percent reduction in value
You are right that's what I keep saying but people keep buying even though the cap rates make no sense... T bills and banks paying 5% risk free yet people trying to sell there buildings at a 5% cap makes no Sense to take the risk... And if you need a commercial loan your rate is 10%+ so it makes no sense to finance it either...
Tell me lies, tell me sweet little lies!😂
Thank you Africa for your good efforts.
Wow, this guy is really nervous. Bad sign
You know that commercial office buildings will never ever be the same
This was about as optimistic a view as you can imagine for this industry. Unfortunately he is looking through rose coloured glasses. There will be a massive correction in this industry. Between malls, retailers (people shopping online) and office workers (hybrid here to stay) there is a big crash coming. I’m sorry to give a sober analysis to guys like Robert in this interview.
8:45 wrong. The banks themselves will bail. Commercial real estate will be dumped
Very nice analysis of what's actually going on in Commerical Real Estate.
Office Building loans are primarily CMBS loans, not Bank loans held on their own books.
It sounds like they are trying to talk thier way out of a problem… “our portions haven’t changed” “we just need to get people excited about our commercial real estate”
The increase in rent and real estate prices can be a real challenge, especially for the economically disadvantaged. Real estate software can play a role in improving affordability by streamlining property management, enabling better data analysis for informed decision-making, and potentially identifying opportunities for more affordable housing solutions. While it's not a silver bullet, it's a step towards addressing these issues and making the real estate market more accessible to everyone.
The model is Trump tower. Part of it is residential real estate, part of it is offices, part is bars and restaurants.
Kastle represents only 2% of office buildings.. metro usage statistics and new sublease additions are better statistics
Really? Offices around Grand Central look empty. He is correct that more people are returning but nothing like before
Commercial Real Estate can be saved by converting as many of them to residential buildings. The rest will be saved.
@liberalculler5087 According to them 20% can be converted to residential. Guess how many of them are empty now? 20% dohh
States can relax rules to covert office to hotels or apartments
Californians are abandoning commercial offices and retail space. My coastal town is probably 1/3 empty.
Remote work is a rare win for both workers and employers. Kills cities tho.
It doesn't have to with proper zoning
@@patientfirbolg3299.. and pricing.
2 owners of famous hotels in SF walked away from their loan a few days ago.
"expecting interests rates are stabilising and coming down...." ....yeah sure...
That’s a crock of shiny Commercial Real Estate is in trouble banks are heavily exposed …and unsecured corporate debt too
A, B, Cs commercial real estate... Sounds like 2007s subprimes
“We have learned that commercial real estate is more than just office buildings” Ya think??? 🤦🏾♀️
Ikr 😂😂
That was very informative
RIP Commercial real estate.💐💐
Old people are funny. We are not going to return to the office buddy
He is absolutely right 😂
- Different asset classes
- A, B, C, D different building classes in office section
- Geographical differences
- Cyclical vs long run 80%; Tech office usage
- Financing, banks 1/2% assets in office buildings loans, 20% out of the 1/2% will be problematic
- Headlines sensational overstated
- Ultimately, the economy will determine the results
People want houses, including the people in them. Hoping that working people default does not solve the problem that working people need homes.
Putting lipstick on a pig won't change anything
lol....shilllllllllllllll
He’s trying to sell a mule as a horse
There wont be any crash in commercial real estate. My sister is a VP working for a Large international investment bank begins with M ending with a Y and she told us in the family party that they are forcing people to come in to the office.
Why on earth would you say that? Its already crashed look at the values. It still nowhere near the bottom either. You know theres half a trillion CRE that has to refi in the next 6 months and JPM is estimating a 20% default rate. Thats a lot of supply that is about to hit the market at fire sale prices. All this will be devastation to the banks too
Morgan Stanley😂
Abcèdefg buildings 😂. Who cares they r empty
I enjoy Bloomberg News. Legit discussions. Storage, hotels and those low class strip malls do well. People buy liquor, fast food, and convenience store. Those do well
This guy is 180 degrees wrong...currently a glut of office space that is not leased.
The guy is full of it! Office buildings won’t cash flow
office building great for llvijng when ai is gonna take ur job and ubi is gonna be introdyuced and maybe this guy might get a 0.2% kickback froim the goverment
Single family houses are kings
So much hopeium and cope
WINTER IS HERE AND I'M FROM THE NORTH😂😂😂
Big tech firms are definitely not going to re-hire the number of people they let go of. 🙅
The tech landscape has shifted fundamentally. The work that was done by 100 people can now be done by 10 with help from LLMs. 🤖🦾Commercial real estate is on life support. 🏢🤒
Yeah thats not how this works. If employers are more productive that means we can do more. If we can do more we can earn more. Companies want to earn more not the same or less. So, if you think that companies are going to simply stop hiring because of productivity gains as if there is a roof to the amount of money they want to make you're purely delusional. They will hire more highly effective people who can earn more individually per person & they will take on more clients so they can get more investment and continue to grow exponentially. Why do you people have this idea as though there are going to be less opportunities when you know companies only care about their bottom line 😂
It sounds like they are trying to talk thier way out of a problem… “our portions haven’t changed” “we just need to get people excited about our commercial real estate”