Sadly, this is now the new norm for Toby. I know Heidi is the one doing the filming so I guess she’s complicit, too. But at least her videos have some terrific content!!? Toby just seems to be posting for the sake of posting.
People watch him for comedy value... Material such as, "we probably top out at, 130,150,180, 200... - around that area" 😂😂😂😂. Thanks Toby, looks like you called the top again.
I do think you're right about BTC not going above $200K, maybe 130 to 180K if we're lucky. I remember last run EVERYONE screaming $100K. Everyone gets really euphoric and I ended up waiting too long and ended up holding through the bear market. This time I can't make that mistake.
I cant wait until the alt coins that you recommended me as a CT member go up so I can break even! I've lost HALF my investment buying the alt coins that you recommended...
My problem is how to build my port-folio. You guys ever thought about where BITCOIN AND ALTCOINS will be one year into TRUMPS GOVERNMENT. Before the election it was way below the 80k region. almost a 20k dollar increase just few weeks after the election.
"we probably top around 130, 150, 180, 200 - around that area"... If the guy wasn't so serious he'd actually be funny. Who is actually paying him for courses???
We're in a potential supercycle, driven by unprecedented institutional adoption and a wave of bullish news. Adding to this momentum, we now have a pro-Bitcoin President alongside a supportive House and Senate. On top of that, many are predicting a $180K top for Bitcoin, but I believe we'll surpass that significantly, potentially exceeding $250K this cycle. And let’s not forget the contributions of visionaries like Vitalik Radu shaping the crypto landscape.
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $136k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.
Hello , I am very interested. As you know, there are tons of investments out there and without solid knowledge, I can't decide what is best. Can you explain further how you invest and earn?
Last March wasn't Alt Season, nor is this Alt Coin Season. This is just the appetizer. Go ahead and get out now, sure. Take this vloggers advice. Me? I'm waiting until May/June 2025 to cash out my Alts.
Last cycle I held to long and made a decent amount but could’ve made a lot more , this time I’m all out of alts and taking profits no matter what the noise is
3:25 Those countries are trying to be their own fed. They will get along until one sees a power grab opportunity. It has no relation to protection but to wealth and power.
Toby I respect your knowledge immensely and joined LC about a year ago, but now with all this institutional and gov't buying can we really rely on past indicators?
I loaded up on a few alts in 2023, but after that huge crash, I changed coins for other coins that were holding up better, thinking my original coins would just fade. Now, I'm all in BONK, and after the 3x rally it just had and a small correction, I'm sitting literally at break even 😑
If you invest in alts you are Gambling and you have to try to time the market. If you buy Bitcoin and hold for them long term you don't have to worry about bull and bear markets. So you either need to be a really good trader, or just hold Bitcoin for the long term. Choose wisely.
Bitcoin seems to follow Fibonacci very well, so the Fib extension for the top of Bitcoin would be 115. Im going to give it a little play and say 120. And the new floor for Bitcoin in the next bear is 60. That's my call
I generally agree, but I think the low will be $70K. That said, I'm not selling. Don't want the capital gains taxes. I feel guilty about every cent I am forced to send to DC. Instead, my kids will inherit my heavily appreciated BTC and MSTR when I die, and at that point the basis will step up.
600k seems fair. Give or take. The law of diminishing returns is a thing, but that's only if you measure the price in something stable. The USD is not stable, is it? In 2021 "they" did a number on the Bitcoiners. There was practically no bull market in 2021. Yet, there was --80% selloff for no reason which took us below the 200wma. F***ing sad. A lot of kids fell off the BTC rocket just because they liked big numbers. If only they liked bigger numbers... then they would take profits in Venezuelan bolivars! 3.7 metric tons to be precise.
1st quarter of 2025 and possibly may 2025 is a safe bet. Take profits and even if it goes up further in the summer, you are at least near all time high this bull run. Don't let it be a an all or nothing scenario that some, if not most people unfortunately makes during each respective bull runs.
Supercycle, because we have never had as much Institutional adoption as we have now and all the Bullish news not to mention, a pro Bitcoin President and House and senate. On top of that we have everyone calling for a 180k top. I just don't see it and think we go well over 250 this cycle.
You say don't buy now and you might be right.....But, But, But, If there aren't people buying now and through the bull market, how do you expect your bags to grow? So perhaps keep the idea of not buying to yourselves, lol?
Bob Loukas is aways right!! He deals in probabilities, so you have misquoted his view (his Tweet might be different). Anybody with any brain would position themselves for both possibilities.
ALL TIME HIGH? The first 100 days of any administration highlights their priorities, yes? I’m curious what Trump will announce concerning cryptocurrency and bitcoin. If they plan a bitcoin reserve, the bull market cycle will probably be longer, higher and more volatile. Wait 50-60 days into their 100 day announcement and adjust accordingly. ~BTC $150K April-May? Who knows!?!
I never sold any coins at any point in any of the previous cycles and I regret nothing. Riding down the bear markets isn't so bad because you always know there's a floor above the one 4 years ago.
My best guess is BTC tops 110. US economy/s&p tanks in 2025 before crypto gets much higher. Key indicator is job market/recession and then deflationary period. However…fed responds with massive stimulus (so time to buy btc) and then commodities to the moon…and then crash. Then, see ya in 2-3 yrs or next cycle.
Toby, I agree that because of the law of diminishing returns BTC should top out at about 140k but I'm adding a 40% bonus due to inflation so our top for bitcoin will be around 200k. 40% is about how much more money was printed the last few years.
No super cycle in my opinion. However Bitcoin went down 85 percent in 2018 then 67 percent in 2022 so I believe by 2026 Bitcoin will crash by 47 percent. So not a bad decline if it goes to 200,000-250,000. Basically if my predictions are true Bitcoin won’t go below 100,000. Although I do believe Bitcoin will never be below 70,000. I would use 70,000 as the lowest for crypto winter.
looking forward to you giving the nod for when to take profits...! things probably are actually a bit "different this time" aren't they, what with DJT and all...
1. Macro model (bitcoin viewed as a risky asset similar to stockmarkets) 2. USD and Nasdaq sentiment 3. REGRESSION ON technicals 4. Dist to 150dma All 4 are positive
Hi CT! I see no evidence against the 4-year cycles theory. However, considering the macro changes in the global BTC market, some changes are expected. We should follow these changes carefully.
Well Toby, if one is just getting into the crypto market...Do you suggest that you sit out of the alt bull market completely?? I would think making something would be better than nothing🤷♀
Last cycle i round tripped my portfolio. The last cycle was cut short in light of ALL the BS & chaos in the space. Continued harassment from the SEC, no clear regulations ect. Now that we're on a clear path, i don't think the average person can comprehend the massive institutional inflows that's on the horizon. Couple that with retail FOMO & supply shock and i think we see btc somewhere between 250-300k. LFGGGG!!!! 🔥🚀🚀🚀
IF BTC hits 200k i have enough F You money that i don't have to worry if i sell all this time around, but ill make sure to keep some USDC on deck to buy back in during the Bear market, rinse and repeat..
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@@IsraelSong how do you figure?
Watched the whole video and still have no answer for your video title: "This Is EXACTLY When Altseason Will EXPLODE" 🤔🤔🧐🧐👀👀
Just lol no secret bro BTC.D needs to be in 40's.
@@nikhilkalra1530 Where can I check BTC.D daily pls?
Toby, if you keep putting out clickbait content with no substance and just constant unstructured waffling, you will lose views!
not just views but subscribers too…
thanx, I won't waste my time watching
I just came to check out this video to see if THIS TIME he will talk ABOUT the subject... :D
What was the point of this video? Short on substance, high on rambling.
to make a quick bucks ......to feed those kids
Didn't even answer his clickbait title 😏
Sadly, this is now the new norm for Toby. I know Heidi is the one doing the filming so I guess she’s complicit, too. But at least her videos have some terrific content!!? Toby just seems to be posting for the sake of posting.
People watch him for comedy value... Material such as, "we probably top out at, 130,150,180, 200... - around that area" 😂😂😂😂. Thanks Toby, looks like you called the top again.
Your comment, and all the replies (including mine) was the point. Engagement is engagement.
Congrats, I’m now part of the problem along with y’all
I do think you're right about BTC not going above $200K, maybe 130 to 180K if we're lucky. I remember last run EVERYONE screaming $100K. Everyone gets really euphoric and I ended up waiting too long and ended up holding through the bear market. This time I can't make that mistake.
I cant wait until the alt coins that you recommended me as a CT member go up so I can break even! I've lost HALF my investment buying the alt coins that you recommended...
😬
me too OCD, HILO, Aegis, Scale, AIT, MUBI, XAI, x-alpha I bought 75% of them, and the other 25% did fairly well
They know nothing more than others!!! ALL in the same boat!!! (except market makers! :D)
How can I make good profit as a beginner starting with $5,000?
My problem is how to build my port-folio.
You guys ever thought about where BITCOIN AND ALTCOINS will be one year into TRUMPS GOVERNMENT.
Before the election it was way below the 80k region.
almost a 20k dollar increase just few weeks after the election.
Don't rush in, rather seek expertise. Growing a port-folio is complex
How can she be consulted?
how can she be reached?
GOOGLE
"we probably top around 130, 150, 180, 200 - around that area"... If the guy wasn't so serious he'd actually be funny. Who is actually paying him for courses???
People who like to waste time... and money!
We're in a potential supercycle, driven by unprecedented institutional adoption and a wave of bullish news. Adding to this momentum, we now have a pro-Bitcoin President alongside a supportive House and Senate. On top of that, many are predicting a $180K top for Bitcoin, but I believe we'll surpass that significantly, potentially exceeding $250K this cycle. And let’s not forget the contributions of visionaries like Vitalik Radu shaping the crypto landscape.
I checked his on TH-cam and was able to find him, thanks.
I can attest to that, he is quite the best money doubler but he aint gambling. Accurate predictions
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $136k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.
Waking up every 14th of each month to $210,000 it’s a blessing to I and my family… Big gratitude to Radu
Hello , I am very interested. As you know, there are tons of investments out there and without solid knowledge, I can't decide what is best. Can you explain further how you invest and earn?
Last March wasn't Alt Season, nor is this Alt Coin Season. This is just the appetizer. Go ahead and get out now, sure. Take this vloggers advice. Me? I'm waiting until May/June 2025 to cash out my Alts.
Todd: "IF YOU DONT TAKE PROFITS THIS BULL MARKET YOU ARE NOT GONNA MAKE ANY MONEY" Financial Genius he is .
😂😂😂😂😂
Who's Todd?
Todd ???
😂😂
ahahahah, talks too much, and says too little...
If alts are now moving, doesn't that mean BTC is starting to top out?
Exactly. That's why this is bogus advice. You would have to reject the timeline of the last 3 cycles for Toby's advice to even start making sense.
Ive been listening for years! But i sold all my crypto at $73K, and only have $200 , i needed the profits, and now i have nothing 😵😓
My guess from analytics, history and market sentiment is we top out at 195K USD after retail investors FOMO into BTC then everyone takes profit.
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ALL THE ISO 20022 CRYPTOS ARE PUMPING XRP HEDERA XLM AND ALGORAND
THERE ARE NO ISO cryptos!!!
Last cycle I held to long and made a decent amount but could’ve made a lot more , this time I’m all out of alts and taking profits no matter what the noise is
Hope it works out 👍
@@CryptoTips why wouldnt it?
@@OldmanCrypto100 Timing
Only been waiting 4 years for my alts to move again, incredibly tiring considering I have been living on crypto only ever since the crash of 2021.
3:25 Those countries are trying to be their own fed.
They will get along until one sees a power grab opportunity.
It has no relation to protection but to wealth and power.
Great video.
Hey, Toby. I remember you saying bull market will peak around December 2024!! Do you still believe in that ?
Hit 101k Alts will rocket.
Depends on Bitcoin dominance finally falling off a cliff....One more possible dip in alts then Alt season...Total3 approaching overbought
Every You Tubers knows the future, they are experts in predicting the future
Video few days ago: “alt season is over” 🤡. No credibility.
He said that? :D Going to check that out!
Thank you 🙏🏻
Toby I respect your knowledge immensely and joined LC about a year ago, but now with all this institutional and gov't buying can we really rely on past indicators?
I loaded up on a few alts in 2023, but after that huge crash, I changed coins for other coins that were holding up better, thinking my original coins would just fade. Now, I'm all in BONK, and after the 3x rally it just had and a small correction, I'm sitting literally at break even 😑
When you’re suggesting taking profits, you should also suggest how to deal with the taxes. 🖖
Bet you guys are grinding your teeth on XRP's current rise.
I was wondering if there would be a comment from Toby or Heidi on XRP, but not so far.
Thanks Toby!
Good show. Not selling ANY of my BTC this cycle. So many things are different this cycle. Mark in the UK
Nice Mark!
So Exactly WHEN....?????
He will NEVER say that! They know NOTHING about the future!
thanks much toby
Supercycle, lol. Same story every cycle. Anyone who say supercycle is coming thinks whales will become charity instutitons:)))
Im with you on this Toby, this looks and smells like another 2017/18 type blow off top market
If you invest in alts you are Gambling and you have to try to time the market. If you buy Bitcoin and hold for them long term you don't have to worry about bull and bear markets. So you either need to be a really good trader, or just hold Bitcoin for the long term. Choose wisely.
Bitcoin seems to follow Fibonacci very well, so the Fib extension for the top of Bitcoin would be 115. Im going to give it a little play and say 120. And the new floor for Bitcoin in the next bear is 60. That's my call
120 is my best guess too. Never know what the maket will do, guess we will see.
What is the historic drawdown for BTC in the trough of previous bear markets?
@thestorytelleruk The previous cycle was close to 75% for BTC.
Altcoins dropped 80% to 99%
I generally agree, but I think the low will be $70K. That said, I'm not selling. Don't want the capital gains taxes. I feel guilty about every cent I am forced to send to DC. Instead, my kids will inherit my heavily appreciated BTC and MSTR when I die, and at that point the basis will step up.
I have òne friend asking about what to buy now, when there`s 5 I'll start selling
Any comments on monero?
Monero is great for privacy
I think we are gonna top around 150k
130k
Less liquidity
5.3 rule each cycle it has gone up 5.3
Thanks
600k seems fair. Give or take. The law of diminishing returns is a thing, but that's only if you measure the price in something stable. The USD is not stable, is it? In 2021 "they" did a number on the Bitcoiners. There was practically no bull market in 2021. Yet, there was --80% selloff for no reason which took us below the 200wma. F***ing sad. A lot of kids fell off the BTC rocket just because they liked big numbers. If only they liked bigger numbers... then they would take profits in Venezuelan bolivars! 3.7 metric tons to be precise.
Great
1st quarter of 2025 and possibly may 2025 is a safe bet. Take profits and even if it goes up further in the summer, you are at least near all time high this bull run. Don't let it be a an all or nothing scenario that some, if not most people unfortunately makes during each respective bull runs.
When you say summer, summer in which country? Not Every country has summer at the same time
@@Shahi-t5j ~3rd quarter of the year
@@Shahi-t5j Nice one!!!!!!!
In what do you personally denominate “taking profits”?
stopped afetr 30 seconds as i saw the comments. NFW im watching this
The next Fib level is 172K.
Will Solona dip
Supercycle, because we have never had as much Institutional adoption as we have now and all the Bullish news not to mention, a pro Bitcoin President and House and senate. On top of that we have everyone calling for a 180k top. I just don't see it and think we go well over 250 this cycle.
Thanks for the truth
Dogecoin about to 10x from 42c to $4.20
lol everyone t6hinks their coin is a 10X . thats how you get REKT!
That would make it almost a trillion MKT Cap. That’s not gonna happen lol
Don't think so, how would a joke doggie coin achieve a 1 trillion market cap?
My BTC price prediction is between $130-150K - but if the strategic reserve happens - all bets are off
How far into 2025 is this bull run expected to go?
Between March and October. Depends on macro factors.
I’m a member of Loukas private sub and he still think there’s gonna be a bear market - just could be a comment on not having diminishing returns
Buying more btc & waiting for the pull back to swap my alts
You say don't buy now and you might be right.....But, But, But, If there aren't people buying now and through the bull market, how do you expect your bags to grow? So perhaps keep the idea of not buying to yourselves, lol?
Shadow ban in the usa still... jusr wow
Great stuff man & great channel. Just started following you on twitter. ❤ from Ottawa, Canada 🇨🇦
Bob Loukas is aways right!! He deals in probabilities, so you have misquoted his view (his Tweet might be different).
Anybody with any brain would position themselves for both possibilities.
ADA & BCH
Why BCH?
Please talk about "laddering out" over time...get your principle out first right? Love your show!!!
EOS just DOUBLED. I'd say alt season is HERE.
And xrp 4x-ed. Top should be in very soon.
ALL TIME HIGH?
The first 100 days of any administration highlights their priorities, yes?
I’m curious what Trump will announce concerning cryptocurrency and bitcoin.
If they plan a bitcoin reserve, the bull market cycle will probably be longer, higher and more volatile.
Wait 50-60 days into their 100 day announcement and adjust accordingly.
~BTC $150K April-May?
Who knows!?!
I never sold any coins at any point in any of the previous cycles and I regret nothing. Riding down the bear markets isn't so bad because you always know there's a floor above the one 4 years ago.
🤣🤣🤣🤣
Wen Alt Season
Now
Agree with Toby here. Next bear market will be BRUTAL since instutions and nation states will be accumulating
Biggest problem with Don he's not being told truth of thing's.
He needs to just fix the broken government.
Sir altcoins will implode not explode
I had my portfoil set 3 months ago. The only coin I bought was $300 into a new Sui meme coin which is only a week old.
When/where at in history (with ANY market) has there ever been a “super” cycle?
My best guess is BTC tops 110. US economy/s&p tanks in 2025 before crypto gets much higher. Key indicator is job market/recession and then deflationary period. However…fed responds with massive stimulus (so time to buy btc) and then commodities to the moon…and then crash. Then, see ya in 2-3 yrs or next cycle.
do you think Btc Ada xrp xlm hbar will be in the next bear market ? IMO I don’t these coins will have another bear market
Everything gets hit in a bear market
Todd, the unregulated, "people's" money side of BTC is L-O-S-T. Why don't you create ToddCoin, which adheres to the white paper?
As usual…nothing worth hearing
Toby, I agree that because of the law of diminishing returns BTC should top out at about 140k but I'm adding a 40% bonus due to inflation so our top for bitcoin will be around 200k. 40% is about how much more money was printed the last few years.
We mght see a lesser bear with BTC , 40-50% drop rather then 80 some % .Most of the alts will still go down 80-90%.
Wouldn’t double the previous ATH of 60k be more around 120k
Alchemix gonna 1000 x mark my words
The industry of skilled AI (SKAI) will be significant. Advantages of the small 1M market (BIG GAINES)and advisor Brian Rose.
There's only soo much dumb money left out there.... $120k tops
Retail hasn’t even joined the chat brother…. Just wait
Meanwhile my alts (solana etc.) are “up” $41.
It’s the % gain that matters, everyone’s situation is different 👍
hello
This guys already spreading fud... Bro! Lol
Btc no top
Just like the bullrun
Not happening
Open your eyes, dummy
@@bove2k918he’s trolling
CRO,ADA,DOGE,GALA,HBAR ❤❤❤❤
Pepe coin 200x
Brett and Ponke dont sleep on those coins ..... an easy 10-20x by 2025
Who said Trump is not pro market?
No super cycle in my opinion. However Bitcoin went down 85 percent in 2018 then 67 percent in 2022 so I believe by 2026 Bitcoin will crash by 47 percent. So not a bad decline if it goes to 200,000-250,000. Basically if my predictions are true Bitcoin won’t go below 100,000. Although I do believe Bitcoin will never be below 70,000. I would use 70,000 as the lowest for crypto winter.
It really feels like Alt Season right now Que no ??
looking forward to you giving the nod for when to take profits...! things probably are actually a bit "different this time" aren't they, what with DJT and all...
4/4 of my indicators are bullish for the next weeks, i stay all in although have been burned especially in april this year...
1. Macro model (bitcoin viewed as a risky asset similar to stockmarkets)
2. USD and Nasdaq sentiment
3. REGRESSION ON technicals
4. Dist to 150dma
All 4 are positive
Hi CT! I see no evidence against the 4-year cycles theory. However, considering the macro changes in the global BTC market, some changes are expected. We should follow these changes carefully.
Do you have a calendar prediction for the peak of this bull market?
$KLV is already on a bull run! That's Klever! 💎🚀
Well Toby, if one is just getting into the crypto market...Do you suggest that you sit out of the alt bull market completely?? I would think making something would be better than nothing🤷♀
Last cycle i round tripped my portfolio. The last cycle was cut short in light of ALL the BS & chaos in the space. Continued harassment from the SEC, no clear regulations ect. Now that we're on a clear path, i don't think the average person can comprehend the massive institutional inflows that's on the horizon. Couple that with retail FOMO & supply shock and i think we see btc somewhere between 250-300k. LFGGGG!!!! 🔥🚀🚀🚀
IF BTC hits 200k i have enough F You money that i don't have to worry if i sell all this time around, but ill make sure to keep some USDC on deck to buy back in during the Bear market, rinse and repeat..