I hopped in a bit too early at 55 first. I have managed to DCA down to average 35, but I really think this stock is overlooked, I might invest a bit more to get under 30 average. Great video, thanks!
@szikorazsolt88 I'm glad that you enjoyed the video!!! If you can further DCA to under 30, that would be great. CELH will need 1 or 2 positive quarters and the stock should recover nicely.📈
@jcspaziano Hey Jorma!!! You are the second person to mention SERV in the last 2 days, I’m thinking it’s a sign 🙌🏼 It’s on the list!!! Thanks for tuning in my friend!!! 🤩👍🏼
@scottarcher9197 Thanks for the comment Scott!!! Digging into the Pepsi partnership was critical to this analysis. Since 2022, it is a completely different company financially and you are 100% right, 2025 does look very promising 🤩 I anticipate that after a quarter or 2 of positive results, the stock will be trading at levels we saw in early 2024. Good Luck!!!🍀👍🏼
Great video. My concern is the high risk of being tied to one major distributor - it will be good to know if other competitors have similar partnerships with distributors?
@Koral-5X Thanks for the comment!!! Let me change the lens that you are looking through…Pepsi is a fully integrated Beverage company with distribution as one of its strengths. Pepsi is the equivalent of thousands of distributors all over the World in one company. The Financials have done a complete 180 degree turn since the Pepsi partnership. Frankly, it’s a different Company with Pepsi as a partner now. They went from negative EBITDA margins to positive AND with $550 million invested in CELH, Pepsi has every incentive to make sure that Celsius succeeds.
@mumbleBo Welcome to the family!!! 🤗 I am glad that you enjoyed the analysis. Please feel free to check out the other videos and lmk what you think!!! Have a great day!!! 😃👍🏼
@fashionman998899 I’m glad you enjoyed the video!!! 😃 Celsius needs another quarter or 2 to get back on its feet. If they report solid results for year end in February, the stock might get a nice pop, but they will have to show some positive gains from the Big Beverages acquisition and some more expansion on the International front. I have my eye on it too, it’s definitely one to watch closely. Good luck!!! 🍀👍🏼
@tonylopetrone9828 Thanks for the comment Tony!!! No joke, it takes 20-40 hours to build the model, do the analysis, create the script of what I want to cover, film the video and edit so, I am glad that the detail comes through 😬 Have a great day!!! 😃👍🏼
What another awesome analysis Ken!! Thank you for your passion and hard work!! So much information and depth! I love the sections!! The way you present it is fun to follow along and I love the Model! 🥰
@anad44 Hey Dana, thanks for the comment!!! You can definitely play the options game with CELH. 💰 I think there will be a nice pop once they have 1-2 quarters of solid results. 3Q was a temporary hiccup and the stock was a bit frothy earlier in the year when it was close to $100, BUT the value of the Pepsi partnership is tremendous and literally completely changed the Financials in a major positive way. Pepsi is a logical buyer of CELH and the fact that they already do the distribution is HUGE!!! I see them as a buyer of CELH before the Company becomes bigger and more expensive.
@Thefriendlyswiss Awesome!!! I am happy to hear that!!! A lot of work goes into each video and I am glad that you enjoy them. Please let me know if you have any questions, I am here to help 🤓👍🏼
@Olvera_emi Hey Emilio, great insight!!! Yes, I believe many investors will choose to harvest tax losses on CELH and they have probably already started that process. In taxable accounts, Tax loss harvesting involves selling in the current year to take the tax loss and buying the stock back 30+1 days later. If many investors do this, it will provide a drag on the stock BUT a potential increase in the new year as investors get back in. Since there are no potential near term catalysts between now and year end, it is a good time for current investors to harvest tax losses and a good time for new investors to consider entering the stock. Hopefully this helps 😃👍🏼
@ChrisCeleste8 Thanks Chris!!! Skool is a game changer and I am glad that you are getting the added benefits of being part of an exclusive members only community where we can really go deep, get into the weeds and share insights that are not possible on TH-cam 😃👍🏼
I love the product and that is never a good reason to buy a stock. I bought some CELH. If stock goes lower it is most likely that Pepsi buys them. Though believing they will be fine in 2025/2026. I see Celsius in every story around me and lots of people I know it is only energy drink for them now due to healthier reason.
@FRED-ed3qf Hey Fred, I love the product too, Watermelon is my favorite flavor 😋 I see a Pepsi buyout as highly possible since they are already doing the heavy lifting in terms of Advertising and Distribution. 50% of the energy drink market is sugar free and that is the bread and butter for Celsius. With Pepsi as a partner, sky is the limit 🤩
@GregF-k7w Hey Greg!!! I agree. 16.3% of the shares are currently sold short which provides a significant overhang, BUT it was higher (21-22%) when I first dropped the video so, some have dropped off. The stock went from $25-31 from 11/18-11/25 so, they probably squeezed some of the shorts. Right now, I think the stock has more catalysts for it to go up rather than down. 📈
@solskengroupllp2758 Sorry to hear that it made you ill, I don’t work for Celsius, I just analyze stocks. As for your second comment, NVDA, MSFT, BRK-B, TSLA, META are all “wants” not “needs” so, based on your logic, you would only invest in food, water and utilities companies 🤨
@NewbInLife If you owned the stock and sold it, you are correct that you need to wait 30 + 1 days to buy it back, but if you never owned it and you want to buy, there is no need to wait.
Most underrated channel on youtube, great video again Ken!
@alexng7977 Your lips to God's ears!!! I appreciate the kind words my friend!!!😀
I hopped in a bit too early at 55 first. I have managed to DCA down to average 35, but I really think this stock is overlooked, I might invest a bit more to get under 30 average. Great video, thanks!
@szikorazsolt88 I'm glad that you enjoyed the video!!! If you can further DCA to under 30, that would be great.
CELH will need 1 or 2 positive quarters and the stock should recover nicely.📈
Good morning Ken. Just popping in here to suggest SERV. I always appreciate your analysis. Cheers
@jcspaziano Hey Jorma!!! You are the second person to mention SERV in the last 2 days, I’m thinking it’s a sign 🙌🏼 It’s on the list!!!
Thanks for tuning in my friend!!! 🤩👍🏼
Great analysis. 2025 looks very promising. Long CELH.
@scottarcher9197 Thanks for the comment Scott!!!
Digging into the Pepsi partnership was critical to this analysis. Since 2022, it is a completely different company financially and you are 100% right, 2025 does look very promising 🤩
I anticipate that after a quarter or 2 of positive results, the stock will be trading at levels we saw in early 2024.
Good Luck!!!🍀👍🏼
Great video. My concern is the high risk of being tied to one major distributor - it will be good to know if other competitors have similar partnerships with distributors?
@Koral-5X Thanks for the comment!!!
Let me change the lens that you are looking through…Pepsi is a fully integrated Beverage company with distribution as one of its strengths. Pepsi is the equivalent of thousands of distributors all over the World in one company.
The Financials have done a complete 180 degree turn since the Pepsi partnership. Frankly, it’s a different Company with Pepsi as a partner now. They went from negative EBITDA margins to positive AND with $550 million invested in CELH, Pepsi has every incentive to make sure that Celsius succeeds.
Great analysis, thank you!
You just earned a new subscriber 🙌🏼
@mumbleBo Welcome to the family!!! 🤗 I am glad that you enjoyed the analysis. Please feel free to check out the other videos and lmk what you think!!! Have a great day!!! 😃👍🏼
This was great. Been watching celsius for a long time no move yet
@fashionman998899 I’m glad you enjoyed the video!!! 😃
Celsius needs another quarter or 2 to get back on its feet. If they report solid results for year end in February, the stock might get a nice pop, but they will have to show some positive gains from the Big Beverages acquisition and some more expansion on the International front.
I have my eye on it too, it’s definitely one to watch closely. Good luck!!! 🍀👍🏼
Great detail on these companies that you valuate
@tonylopetrone9828 Thanks for the comment Tony!!!
No joke, it takes 20-40 hours to build the model, do the analysis, create the script of what I want to cover, film the video and edit so, I am glad that the detail comes through 😬
Have a great day!!! 😃👍🏼
What another awesome analysis Ken!! Thank you for your passion and hard work!! So much information and depth! I love the sections!! The way you present it is fun to follow along and I love the Model! 🥰
@jackiedinh5326 Hey Jackie!!! Thanks for your feedback and kind words!!!
A lot of work goes into each video and I'm glad that it shows 😍👍🏼
Great video with a wealth of information. Keep them coming!!
@BillF-p4u Thanks for the comment!!! There’s a lot of work that goes into it and I’m glad you enjoyed it!!! 🤩👍🏼
Assigned at $41 and $46. Almost even due to weekly calls and puts. I’m hanging to $50+
@anad44 Hey Dana, thanks for the comment!!!
You can definitely play the options game with CELH. 💰
I think there will be a nice pop once they have 1-2 quarters of solid results. 3Q was a temporary hiccup and the stock was a bit frothy earlier in the year when it was close to $100, BUT the value of the Pepsi partnership is tremendous and literally completely changed the Financials in a major positive way.
Pepsi is a logical buyer of CELH and the fact that they already do the distribution is HUGE!!!
I see them as a buyer of CELH before the Company becomes bigger and more expensive.
Great video, I learned a lot from your analysis, thanks!
@richardhuang8480 Thanks for the feedback!!!
I am glad that you enjoyed it and learned a lot!!!
I live your vids watching it right now in my lesson 🎉
@Thefriendlyswiss Awesome!!! I am happy to hear that!!! A lot of work goes into each video and I am glad that you enjoy them.
Please let me know if you have any questions, I am here to help 🤓👍🏼
I hope 🤞
@jacksyr9926 I hear you, just try to be a little patient. 1-2 positive quarters should help the stock recover 🙌🏼
Thank you.
@thyrathlach634 Thanks for the comment, you are quite welcome!!! 🤩👍🏼
I am curious is tax loss harvesting wil play a big part on this
@Olvera_emi Hey Emilio, great insight!!!
Yes, I believe many investors will choose to harvest tax losses on CELH and they have probably already started that process.
In taxable accounts, Tax loss harvesting involves selling in the current year to take the tax loss and buying the stock back 30+1 days later.
If many investors do this, it will provide a drag on the stock BUT a potential increase in the new year as investors get back in.
Since there are no potential near term catalysts between now and year end, it is a good time for current investors to harvest tax losses and a good time for new investors to consider entering the stock.
Hopefully this helps 😃👍🏼
Tks 😊
@noideatoo You’re welcome!!! Thank YOU for tuning in!!! Have a great day!!! 😃👍🏼
I love your videos Ken and the knowledge you share in Skool has been life changing. Thank you so much
@ChrisCeleste8 Thanks Chris!!! Skool is a game changer and I am glad that you are getting the added benefits of being part of an exclusive members only community where we can really go deep, get into the weeds and share insights that are not possible on TH-cam 😃👍🏼
I love the product and that is never a good reason to buy a stock. I bought some CELH. If stock goes lower it is most likely that Pepsi buys them. Though believing they will be fine in 2025/2026. I see Celsius in every story around me and lots of people I know it is only energy drink for them now due to healthier reason.
@FRED-ed3qf Hey Fred, I love the product too, Watermelon is my favorite flavor 😋
I see a Pepsi buyout as highly possible since they are already doing the heavy lifting in terms of Advertising and Distribution.
50% of the energy drink market is sugar free and that is the bread and butter for Celsius.
With Pepsi as a partner, sky is the limit 🤩
This stock seems to be controlled by shorts.
@GregF-k7w Hey Greg!!! I agree.
16.3% of the shares are currently sold short which provides a significant overhang, BUT it was higher (21-22%) when I first dropped the video so, some have dropped off.
The stock went from $25-31 from 11/18-11/25 so, they probably squeezed some of the shorts.
Right now, I think the stock has more catalysts for it to go up rather than down. 📈
Do cats like it better than catnip?
3 out of 4 cats say yes 🐈🐈🐈
The product made me ill. It is also a want, not need.
@solskengroupllp2758 Sorry to hear that it made you ill, I don’t work for Celsius, I just analyze stocks.
As for your second comment, NVDA, MSFT, BRK-B, TSLA, META are all “wants” not “needs” so, based on your logic, you would only invest in food, water and utilities companies 🤨
I'd wait until after tax loss harvesting and buy in jan 2025
@NewbInLife If you owned the stock and sold it, you are correct that you need to wait 30 + 1 days to buy it back, but if you never owned it and you want to buy, there is no need to wait.
I think you are right here
@deboralacreta Thank you my friend 😃👍🏼
its was a pump and dump
@Ciri-vu3lk Not likely a pump and dump when a stock is several billion in market cap. Pump and Dump is only feasible with small penny stocks.
how does one pump and dumb a large company
@letterkeys4440 You can't, lol 😂
@@letterkeys4440 just look at the chart of cassava science and dollar general.
sava was worth few billions